KNOTS
KNOTS · Solana · gru_s4
- token id
- #767
- symbol
- KNOTS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 8RVBk8vxLiUHueLUW1f4izFVqN3nWippLhkohKg6EGkS
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +1d
assessed
33
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
63.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1974
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0398
actual -0.0587
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.003428 | 0.003383 | -1.31% | – | pending | – | – | 4.24 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003486 | 0.003435 | -1.46% | 0.003428 | -1.66% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00358 | 0.003522 | -1.62% | 0.003486 | -2.63% | 0.0657 | ✓ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003164 | 0.003138 | -0.84% | 0.00358 | +13.15% | 0.0766 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.002509 | 0.002513 | +0.14% | 0.003164 | +26.11% | 0.2393 | ✓ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002929 | 0.002922 | -0.25% | 0.002509 | -14.34% | 0.1851 | ✓ | 4.29 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002911 | 0.002905 | -0.20% | 0.002929 | +0.62% | 0.0144 | ✗ | 4.31 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003261 | 0.00324 | -0.65% | 0.002911 | -10.73% | 0.0742 | ✓ | 4.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.003038 | 0.003025 | -0.42% | 0.003261 | +7.34% | 0.0460 | ✗ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002995 | 0.002972 | -0.77% | 0.003038 | +1.42% | 0.1066 | ✗ | 4.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003356 | 0.003325 | -0.94% | 0.002995 | -10.74% | 0.1812 | ✓ | 4.67 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0045 | 0.00439 | -2.43% | 0.003356 | -25.41% | 0.1648 | ✓ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.003239 | 0.003182 | -1.76% | 0.0045 | +38.92% | 0.3075 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.002974 | 0.002877 | -3.27% | 0.003239 | +8.91% | 0.1142 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.003605 | 0.003512 | -2.59% | 0.002974 | -17.50% | 0.1766 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.003288 | 0.003104 | -5.60% | 0.003605 | +9.64% | 0.1688 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005163 | 0.00495 | -4.11% | 0.003288 | -36.31% | 0.3823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002456 | 0.002124 | -13.53% | 0.005163 | +110.16% | 0.8905 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003661 | 0.003299 | -9.89% | 0.002456 | -32.90% | 0.2861 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.002535 | 0.002151 | -15.17% | 0.003661 | +44.39% | 0.5112 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.002868 | 0.002436 | -15.07% | 0.002535 | -11.59% | 0.0373 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004536 | -8.83% | 0.002868 | -42.35% | 0.4543 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006722 | 0.006473 | -3.70% | 0.004975 | -25.99% | 0.2786 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007297 | 0.007 | -4.07% | 0.006722 | -7.87% | 0.0395 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006679 | 0.006176 | -7.54% | 0.007297 | +9.24% | 0.1646 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00815 | 0.007659 | -6.03% | 0.006679 | -18.04% | 0.1249 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.011331 | 0.011033 | -2.63% | 0.00815 | -28.07% | 0.3034 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009092 | -5.69% | 0.011331 | +17.54% | 0.2163 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01419 | 0.013958 | -1.64% | 0.00964 | -32.06% | 0.3666 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01521 | 0.014996 | -1.41% | 0.01419 | -6.71% | 0.0553 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01505 | 0.014801 | -1.65% | 0.01521 | +1.06% | 0.0486 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02248 | 0.02236 | -0.53% | 0.01505 | -33.05% | 0.3913 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02179 | 0.021643 | -0.67% | 0.02248 | +3.17% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021875 | 0.021712 | -0.74% | 0.02179 | -0.39% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.00 |