KAT

Katana · Base · gru_s4

token id: #157
symbol: KAT
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0xd5390300c5db71f80d46f0fa9983fc72d4d1e3da
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-18
predictions: 627

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

179

of 209 predictions shown

direction hit

68.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1524

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0279

actual -0.1638

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004091	0.003998	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-20	oos	0.00408	0.004011	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.003988	0.003885	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.003837	0.00374	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.004005	0.003887	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-16	oos	0.004156	0.004055	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-15	oos	0.004154	0.004087	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.00421	0.004135	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.004313	0.004303	-0.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-12	oos	0.00438	0.004305	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-11	oos	0.004635	0.004576	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-10	oos	0.004614	0.004527	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-09	oos	0.004588	0.004514	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-08	oos	0.004441	0.004377	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.004618	0.004556	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.004724	0.004697	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-05	oos	0.004836	0.004812	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.004805	0.00481	+0.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-03	oos	0.004783	0.004744	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-02	oos	0.004798	0.004793	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.004947	0.004943	-0.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.005049	0.005025	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.00486	0.004884	+0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.004899	0.004933	+0.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.005221	0.005236	+0.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.005144	0.005177	+0.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.005188	0.005231	+0.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-24	oos	0.005001	0.005121	+2.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-23	oos	0.004896	0.005067	+3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.005103	0.005348	+4.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.004902	0.005205	+6.16%	0.004091	-16.55%	0.1947	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004699	0.00484	+2.99%	0.00408	-13.16%	0.1926	✗	1.01
2026-09-19	oos	0.004719	0.004874	+3.28%	0.003988	-15.49%	0.2081	✗	1.01
2026-09-18	oos	0.004691	0.004833	+3.04%	0.003837	-18.21%	0.2453	✗	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.004315	0.004292	-0.54%	0.004005	-7.20%	0.1326	✓	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.00421	0.004189	-0.49%	0.004156	-1.27%	0.0762	✓	1.01
2026-09-15	oos	0.004137	0.004102	-0.84%	0.004154	+0.41%	0.0725	✓	1.02
2026-09-14	oos	0.004399	0.004419	+0.46%	0.00421	-4.30%	0.0906	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.004472	0.004444	-0.63%	0.004313	-3.58%	0.1094	✓	1.01
2026-09-12	oos	0.00477	0.004734	-0.75%	0.00438	-8.18%	0.1337	✓	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.004781	0.00478	-0.02%	0.004635	-3.03%	0.1088	✓	0.97
2026-09-10	oos	0.004846	0.004846	+0.00%	0.004614	-4.78%	0.1249	✗	0.95
2026-09-09	oos	0.006317	0.006229	-1.39%	0.004588	-27.37%	0.3466	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.004799	0.004836	+0.76%	0.004441	-7.48%	0.1168	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.004647	0.004736	+1.90%	0.004618	-0.65%	0.0650	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.004747	0.004903	+3.30%	0.004724	-0.48%	0.0780	✗	0.65
2026-09-05	oos	0.004658	0.004814	+3.34%	0.004836	+3.82%	0.0410	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.004648	0.004806	+3.39%	0.004805	+3.38%	0.0531	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.004535	0.004767	+5.13%	0.004783	+5.46%	0.0252	✓	0.68
2026-09-02	oos	0.004436	0.004527	+2.05%	0.004798	+8.16%	0.0127	✓	0.80
2026-09-01	oos	0.004487	0.004615	+2.84%	0.004947	+10.25%	0.0054	✓	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.004692	0.004886	+4.14%	0.005049	+7.62%	0.0131	✓	0.74
2026-08-30	oos	0.004442	0.004602	+3.60%	0.00486	+9.41%	0.0060	✓	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.004496	0.004665	+3.76%	0.004899	+8.96%	0.0020	✓	0.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.004483	0.004675	+4.30%	0.005221	+16.48%	0.0462	✓	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.004649	0.004964	+6.77%	0.005144	+10.66%	0.0035	✓	0.78
2026-08-26	oos	0.004582	0.004848	+5.80%	0.005188	+13.20%	0.0193	✓	0.78
2026-08-25	oos	0.004442	0.004713	+6.11%	0.005001	+12.58%	0.0026	✓	0.79
2026-08-24	oos	0.004572	0.004852	+6.13%	0.004896	+7.10%	0.0425	✓	0.78
2026-08-23	oos	0.004738	0.004965	+4.79%	0.005103	+7.70%	0.0567	✗	0.81
2026-08-22	oos	0.004697	0.004915	+4.65%	0.004902	+4.38%	0.0975	✗	0.81
2026-08-21	oos	0.004902	0.005161	+5.29%	0.004699	-4.14%	0.1222	✗	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.004634	0.004703	+1.48%	0.004719	+1.82%	0.0824	✗	0.80
2026-08-19	oos	0.004476	0.004427	-1.09%	0.004691	+4.79%	0.0705	✓	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.004288	0.00417	-2.75%	0.004315	+0.62%	0.1071	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.004303	0.004188	-2.67%	0.00421	-2.16%	0.1373	✓	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.00443	0.004277	-3.45%	0.004137	-6.61%	0.2000	✓	0.90
2026-08-15	oos	0.004304	0.004155	-3.46%	0.004399	+2.21%	0.1374	✓	0.90
2026-08-14	oos	0.004249	0.004106	-3.38%	0.004472	+5.26%	0.0946	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.00435	0.004201	-3.44%	0.00477	+9.66%	0.0507	✓	0.90
2026-08-12	oos	0.004339	0.004187	-3.49%	0.004781	+10.18%	0.0481	✓	0.92
2026-08-11	oos	0.00446	0.004291	-3.79%	0.004846	+8.65%	0.0478	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0046	0.004421	-3.89%	0.006317	+37.32%	0.1670	✗	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.00473	0.004534	-4.13%	0.004799	+1.47%	0.1236	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.00462	0.004425	-4.21%	0.004647	+0.60%	0.1373	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.0046	0.004393	-4.50%	0.004747	+3.20%	0.1235	✓	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.00454	0.004343	-4.33%	0.004658	+2.60%	0.1357	✓	0.95
2026-08-05	oos	0.004415	0.004234	-4.10%	0.004648	+5.28%	0.1076	✓	0.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00448	0.004296	-4.10%	0.004535	+1.23%	0.1749	✓	0.96
2026-08-03	oos	0.00438	0.004183	-4.49%	0.004436	+1.28%	0.1306	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.0043	0.004107	-4.48%	0.004487	+4.35%	0.0940	✓	0.92
2026-08-01	oos	0.0043	0.004111	-4.41%	0.004692	+9.10%	0.0825	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.00439	0.004199	-4.35%	0.004442	+1.18%	0.1464	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.004425	0.004244	-4.09%	0.004496	+1.60%	0.1286	✓	0.98
2026-07-29	oos	0.00425	0.004085	-3.88%	0.004483	+5.47%	0.0802	✓	0.88
2026-07-28	oos	0.00455	0.004373	-3.89%	0.004649	+2.18%	0.1393	✓	0.88
2026-07-27	oos	0.004485	0.004329	-3.49%	0.004582	+2.17%	0.1327	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.004775	0.004641	-2.81%	0.004442	-6.97%	0.1986	✓	0.84
2026-07-25	oos	0.004795	0.00468	-2.39%	0.004572	-4.66%	0.2031	✓	0.87
2026-07-24	oos	0.0048	0.00469	-2.30%	0.004738	-1.29%	0.1342	✓	0.75
2026-07-23	oos	0.004675	0.004595	-1.70%	0.004697	+0.47%	0.0971	✓	0.70
2026-07-22	oos	0.0048	0.004772	-0.58%	0.004902	+2.13%	0.0637	✓	0.53
2026-07-21	oos	0.004875	0.004891	+0.33%	0.004634	-4.93%	0.1072	✗	0.57
2026-07-20	oos	0.004805	0.004813	+0.17%	0.004476	-6.85%	0.1055	✗	0.54
2026-07-19	oos	0.004695	0.004721	+0.54%	0.004288	-8.66%	0.0960	✗	0.53
2026-07-18	oos	0.004765	0.004819	+1.13%	0.004303	-9.70%	0.1104	✗	0.58
2026-07-17	oos	0.004805	0.004853	+1.00%	0.00443	-7.81%	0.0809	✗	0.62
2026-07-16	oos	0.005075	0.005109	+0.66%	0.004304	-15.19%	0.1640	✗	0.62
2026-07-15	oos	0.0048	0.004861	+1.27%	0.004249	-11.48%	0.1141	✗	0.75
2026-07-14	oos	0.00488	0.004948	+1.40%	0.00435	-10.86%	0.1104	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.004965	0.00498	+0.30%	0.004339	-12.61%	0.1529	✗	0.83
2026-07-12	oos	0.005055	0.005116	+1.20%	0.00446	-11.77%	0.1344	✗	0.84
2026-07-11	oos	0.00542	0.005484	+1.19%	0.0046	-15.13%	0.1777	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.00554	0.005625	+1.54%	0.00473	-14.62%	0.1834	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	0.004945	0.004995	+1.02%	0.00462	-6.57%	0.1010	✗	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.00459	0.004635	+0.97%	0.0046	+0.22%	0.0413	✗	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.00479	0.004849	+1.23%	0.00454	-5.22%	0.0775	✗	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.00505	0.005115	+1.30%	0.004415	-12.57%	0.1546	✗	0.78
2026-07-05	oos	0.005025	0.005088	+1.25%	0.00448	-10.85%	0.1330	✗	0.80
2026-07-04	oos	0.005155	0.005217	+1.19%	0.00438	-15.03%	0.1796	✗	0.81
2026-07-03	oos	0.0051	0.005162	+1.22%	0.0043	-15.69%	0.1944	✗	0.75
2026-07-02	oos	0.005045	0.005101	+1.11%	0.0043	-14.77%	0.1864	✗	0.76
2026-07-01	oos	0.00497	0.005012	+0.85%	0.00439	-11.67%	0.1677	✗	0.75
2026-06-30	oos	0.00485	0.004881	+0.63%	0.004425	-8.76%	0.1774	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.004885	0.004924	+0.81%	0.00425	-13.00%	0.1958	✗	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.004875	0.004914	+0.80%	0.00455	-6.67%	0.1310	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.005075	0.005105	+0.60%	0.004485	-11.63%	0.1749	✗	0.75
2026-06-26	oos	0.00494	0.004965	+0.51%	0.004775	-3.34%	0.1030	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.00484	0.004868	+0.58%	0.004795	-0.93%	0.0705	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.005135	0.005156	+0.41%	0.0048	-6.52%	0.1107	✗	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.005345	0.005369	+0.44%	0.004675	-12.54%	0.1609	✗	0.60
2026-06-22	oos	0.005355	0.005383	+0.51%	0.0048	-10.36%	0.1351	✗	0.63
2026-06-21	oos	0.00541	0.005433	+0.43%	0.004875	-9.89%	0.1409	✗	0.64
2026-06-20	oos	0.00582	0.005839	+0.32%	0.004805	-17.44%	0.2052	✗	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.00569	0.00568	-0.17%	0.004695	-17.49%	0.2018	✓	0.60
2026-06-18	oos	0.00533	0.005345	+0.29%	0.004765	-10.60%	0.1331	✗	0.60
2026-06-17	oos	0.00564	0.005631	-0.16%	0.004805	-14.80%	0.1535	✓	0.60
2026-06-16	oos	0.005695	0.00567	-0.43%	0.005075	-10.89%	0.0922	✓	0.66
2026-06-15	oos	0.005765	0.005728	-0.65%	0.0048	-16.74%	0.1610	✓	0.66
2026-06-14	oos	0.00577	0.005727	-0.74%	0.00488	-15.42%	0.1529	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.00589	0.00583	-1.01%	0.004965	-15.70%	0.1377	✓	0.67
2026-06-12	oos	0.00628	0.006181	-1.57%	0.005055	-19.51%	0.2034	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.00671	0.006572	-2.05%	0.00542	-19.23%	0.1951	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.00679	0.006664	-1.85%	0.00554	-18.41%	0.2161	✓	0.73
2026-06-09	oos	0.00619	0.006148	-0.68%	0.004945	-20.11%	0.2354	✓	0.74
2026-06-08	oos	0.00539	0.005379	-0.20%	0.00459	-14.84%	0.1476	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0052	0.00517	-0.58%	0.00479	-7.88%	0.0766	✓	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.00506	0.005028	-0.64%	0.00505	-0.20%	0.0379	✓	0.84
2026-06-05	oos	0.00521	0.005155	-1.05%	0.005025	-3.55%	0.0599	✓	0.84
2026-06-04	oos	0.00584	0.005675	-2.82%	0.005155	-11.73%	0.0878	✓	0.74
2026-06-03	oos	0.00661	0.006327	-4.29%	0.0051	-22.84%	0.1980	✓	0.73
2026-06-02	oos	0.00654	0.006236	-4.65%	0.005045	-22.86%	0.1477	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.00727	0.006809	-6.34%	0.00497	-31.64%	0.1992	✓	0.67
2026-05-31	oos	0.007225	0.006724	-6.93%	0.00485	-32.87%	0.1638	✓	0.71
2026-05-30	oos	0.007175	0.006671	-7.02%	0.004885	-31.92%	0.1661	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.007195	0.006688	-7.05%	0.004875	-32.24%	0.1663	✓	0.71
2026-05-28	oos	0.00722	0.006716	-6.98%	0.005075	-29.71%	0.1344	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.00769	0.007129	-7.29%	0.00494	-35.76%	0.2192	✓	0.69
2026-05-26	oos	0.00782	0.007231	-7.54%	0.00484	-38.11%	0.2358	✓	0.69
2026-05-25	oos	0.008245	0.007609	-7.72%	0.005135	-37.72%	0.2365	✓	0.66
2026-05-24	oos	0.00813	0.007504	-7.69%	0.005345	-34.26%	0.2032	✓	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.008385	0.007754	-7.53%	0.005355	-36.14%	0.2497	✓	0.66
2026-05-22	oos	0.00805	0.007454	-7.41%	0.00541	-32.80%	0.2074	✓	0.64
2026-05-21	oos	0.00854	0.007898	-7.51%	0.00582	-31.85%	0.1937	✓	0.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.00854	0.007893	-7.58%	0.00569	-33.37%	0.2092	✓	0.59
2026-05-19	oos	0.00841	0.007776	-7.54%	0.00533	-36.62%	0.2607	✓	0.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.00821	0.007595	-7.49%	0.00564	-31.30%	0.1928	✓	0.59
2026-05-17	oos	0.00824	0.007652	-7.13%	0.005695	-30.89%	0.1973	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.00863	0.008084	-6.33%	0.005765	-33.20%	0.2434	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.00865	0.008134	-5.97%	0.00577	-33.29%	0.2355	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.00909	0.008688	-4.42%	0.00589	-35.20%	0.2639	✓	0.54
2026-05-13	oos	0.00904	0.008529	-5.66%	0.00628	-30.53%	0.1855	✓	0.54
2026-05-12	oos	0.00985	0.009416	-4.41%	0.00671	-31.88%	0.2255	✓	0.48
2026-05-11	oos	0.01041	0.010084	-3.13%	0.00679	-34.77%	0.2705	✓	0.44
2026-05-10	oos	0.01024	0.009966	-2.67%	0.00619	-39.55%	0.3477	✓	0.45
2026-05-09	oos	0.01013	0.009724	-4.01%	0.00539	-46.79%	0.4810	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.00975	0.009287	-4.75%	0.0052	-46.67%	0.4769	✓	0.44
2026-05-07	oos	0.00939	0.008911	-5.10%	0.00506	-46.11%	0.4467	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.00956	0.009212	-3.64%	0.00521	-45.50%	0.4459	✓	0.43
2026-05-05	oos	0.0094	0.009006	-4.19%	0.00584	-37.87%	0.3321	✓	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.01	0.009477	-5.23%	0.00661	-33.90%	0.2582	✓	0.46
2026-05-03	oos	0.00941	0.008763	-6.87%	0.00654	-30.50%	0.2241	✓	0.42
2026-05-02	oos	0.00988	0.009234	-6.54%	0.00727	-26.42%	0.1990	✓	0.41
2026-05-01	oos	0.00985	0.009163	-6.98%	0.007225	-26.65%	0.2126	✓	0.41
2026-04-30	oos	0.01068	0.009832	-7.94%	0.007175	-32.82%	0.2973	✓	0.52
2026-04-29	oos	0.01092	0.010036	-8.10%	0.007195	-34.11%	0.3157	✓	0.53
2026-04-28	oos	0.01151	0.010624	-7.70%	0.00722	-37.27%	0.3673	✓	0.51
2026-04-27	oos	0.01139	0.010597	-6.96%	0.00769	-32.48%	0.2996	✓	0.52
2026-04-26	oos	0.01224	0.011536	-5.75%	0.00782	-36.11%	0.3722	✓	0.45
2026-04-25	oos	0.01554	0.014508	-6.64%	0.008245	-46.94%	0.5619	✓	0.61
2026-04-24	oos	0.02469	0.021088	-14.59%	0.00813	-67.07%	0.9492	✓	0.62
2026-04-23	oos	0.01414	0.013137	-7.09%	0.008385	-40.70%	0.4268	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.00937	0.008787	-6.22%	0.00805	-14.09%	0.0481	✓	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.009565	0.008812	-7.87%	0.00854	-10.72%	0.0493	✓	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.00957	0.008809	-7.96%	0.00854	-10.76%	0.0552	✓	1.15
2026-04-19	oos	0.00903	0.008201	-9.18%	0.00841	-6.87%	0.0176	✓	1.09
2026-04-18	oos	0.00968	0.008996	-7.06%	0.00821	-15.19%	0.1077	✓	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.00971	0.009186	-5.39%	0.00824	-15.14%	0.1130	✓	1.06
2026-04-16	oos	0.00858	0.007786	-9.25%	0.00863	+0.58%	0.0645	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.00816	0.007363	-9.77%	0.00865	+6.00%	0.1062	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.00801	0.007223	-9.83%	0.00909	+13.48%	0.1410	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.00829	0.007515	-9.35%	0.00904	+9.05%	0.1217	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.00788	0.007152	-9.24%	0.00985	+25.00%	0.1913	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.00849	0.007686	-9.47%	0.01041	+22.61%	0.1916	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.0086	0.007813	-9.15%	0.01024	+19.07%	0.1517	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.00856	0.007808	-8.78%	0.01013	+18.34%	0.1440	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.00875	0.008005	-8.52%	0.00975	+11.43%	0.0767	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.00898	0.008234	-8.31%	0.00939	+4.57%	0.0247	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.008595	0.007921	-7.84%	0.00956	+11.23%	0.0202	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.00868	0.008028	-7.51%	0.0094	+8.29%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.009165	0.008532	-6.90%	0.01	+9.11%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.0089	0.008307	-6.66%	0.00941	+5.73%	0.0351	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.00903	0.008445	-6.47%	0.00988	+9.41%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.01009	0.009405	-6.79%	0.00985	-2.38%	0.0923	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.01048	0.009761	-6.86%	0.01068	+1.91%	0.0221	✓	1.00
2026-03-30	oos	0.01104	0.010317	-6.55%	0.01092	-1.09%	0.0699	✓	1.00
2026-03-29	oos	0.01139	0.010682	-6.21%	0.01151	+1.05%	0.0713	✓	1.00
2026-03-28	oos	0.01209	0.011347	-6.14%	0.01139	-5.79%	0.1503	✓	1.00
2026-03-27	oos	0.0119	0.011194	-5.93%	0.01224	+2.86%	0.0810	✓	1.00