KAIA

Kaia · native · gru_s4

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,142

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0746

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0186

actual -0.0138

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04134	0.040039	-3.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.04212	0.040651	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.040513	-3.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.03975	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.040297	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.042642	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.040752	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.040874	-3.28%	0.04134	-2.18%	0.0305	✓	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.041393	-3.80%	0.04212	-2.11%	0.0320	✓	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.044397	-5.27%	0.041885	-10.63%	0.0551	✓	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.043332	-3.92%	0.040865	-9.39%	0.0605	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.048858	-5.48%	0.041415	-19.88%	0.1356	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.05213	-7.98%	0.044045	-22.25%	0.1408	✓	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.054317	-10.22%	0.04206	-30.48%	0.2368	✓	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.035832	-3.21%	0.04226	+14.15%	0.1577	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.036703	-3.92%	0.04303	+12.64%	0.1880	✗	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.038105	-3.75%	0.046865	+18.38%	0.2473	✗	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.038608	-4.40%	0.0451	+11.68%	0.2220	✗	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.036274	-3.35%	0.05169	+37.73%	0.4012	✗	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.03623	-3.15%	0.05665	+51.43%	0.4780	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.034789	-3.50%	0.0605	+67.82%	0.5867	✗	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.035447	-3.69%	0.03702	+0.58%	0.0971	✗	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.033469	-3.06%	0.0382	+10.64%	0.1370	✗	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.032904	-2.87%	0.03959	+16.87%	0.1534	✗	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.031841	-2.28%	0.040385	+23.94%	0.2006	✗	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.0324	-2.88%	0.03753	+12.50%	0.1151	✗	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.034199	-2.76%	0.03741	+6.37%	0.0846	✗	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.033797	-3.01%	0.03605	+3.46%	0.0581	✗	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.031905	-3.48%	0.036805	+11.34%	0.1355	✗	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.030672	-3.35%	0.034525	+8.79%	0.1314	✗	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.031424	-1.78%	0.033875	+5.88%	0.1158	✗	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.032007	-2.10%	0.032585	-0.34%	0.0689	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.029735	-2.01%	0.03336	+9.94%	0.0598	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.029894	-1.99%	0.03517	+15.31%	0.1091	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.029258	-2.38%	0.034845	+16.27%	0.1208	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.027972	-2.88%	0.033055	+14.77%	0.0233	✓	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.027489	-1.23%	0.031735	+14.03%	0.0035	✓	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.026811	-1.09%	0.031995	+18.04%	0.0102	✓	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.028576	-1.36%	0.032695	+12.86%	0.0078	✓	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.028887	-1.29%	0.030345	+3.69%	0.0281	✓	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.028824	-1.29%	0.0305	+4.45%	0.0138	✓	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.028828	-1.44%	0.02997	+2.46%	0.0266	✓	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.027095	-0.93%	0.0288	+5.30%	0.0644	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.029636	-1.44%	0.02783	-7.45%	0.0254	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.031371	-1.38%	0.027105	-14.79%	0.0953	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.030756	-0.93%	0.02897	-6.68%	0.0437	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.031284	-0.59%	0.029265	-7.01%	0.0031	✓	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.030739	-0.43%	0.0292	-5.41%	0.0055	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.03038	-0.29%	0.02925	-4.00%	0.0044	✗	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.030385	+0.20%	0.02735	-9.81%	0.0229	✗	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.02792	-0.48%	0.03007	+7.18%	0.0572	✗	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.028571	-1.07%	0.03181	+10.15%	0.0890	✗	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.029317	-0.37%	0.031045	+5.51%	0.0485	✗	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027547	-0.05%	0.03147	+14.19%	0.0899	✗	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.028784	-0.16%	0.03087	+7.08%	0.0456	✗	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.028808	-0.47%	0.03047	+5.27%	0.0279	✗	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.031469	-0.76%	0.030325	-4.37%	0.0514	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.032226	-1.56%	0.028055	-14.30%	0.1125	✓	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.03145	-1.87%	0.02888	-9.89%	0.0683	✓	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.030507	-1.54%	0.029425	-5.03%	0.0299	✓	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.030851	-2.22%	0.02756	-12.65%	0.1118	✓	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.031131	-2.61%	0.02883	-9.81%	0.0949	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.02929	-2.40%	0.028945	-3.55%	0.0042	✓	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.025698	-2.32%	0.03171	+20.52%	0.1042	✗	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023578	-1.33%	0.032735	+37.00%	0.1920	✗	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.02137	-0.63%	0.03205	+49.04%	0.2234	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.022676	-0.91%	0.030985	+35.39%	0.1173	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.022644	-0.97%	0.03155	+37.98%	0.1237	✗	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.023549	-1.34%	0.031965	+33.91%	0.1093	✗	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.024194	-1.77%	0.03001	+21.84%	0.0084	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.025221	-2.34%	0.02631	+1.88%	0.0902	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.025513	-2.59%	0.023895	-8.76%	0.1494	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.026177	-2.51%	0.021505	-19.91%	0.2134	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.025986	-2.64%	0.022885	-14.26%	0.1353	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.026343	-2.50%	0.022865	-15.38%	0.1120	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.026535	-2.55%	0.02387	-12.34%	0.0781	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.026356	-2.71%	0.02463	-9.08%	0.0392	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.025951	-2.81%	0.025825	-3.28%	0.0076	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.026234	-2.44%	0.02619	-2.60%	0.0160	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.02614	-2.59%	0.02685	+0.06%	0.0344	✗	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.025687	-2.44%	0.02669	+1.37%	0.0318	✗	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.025778	-1.98%	0.02702	+2.74%	0.0274	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.025072	-1.99%	0.02723	+6.45%	0.0514	✗	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.02467	-2.08%	0.02709	+7.52%	0.0636	✗	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.025658	-2.27%	0.0267	+1.69%	0.0463	✗	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.025298	-2.40%	0.02689	+3.74%	0.0511	✗	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.02532	-2.95%	0.026835	+2.86%	0.0552	✗	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.025194	-2.40%	0.02633	+1.99%	0.0473	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.029509	-2.50%	0.0263	-13.10%	0.0925	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.029135	-2.30%	0.02558	-14.22%	0.1112	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.030521	-2.58%	0.025195	-19.58%	0.1761	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.030487	-2.58%	0.026255	-16.10%	0.1454	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.031361	-2.23%	0.02592	-19.19%	0.1639	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.032047	-2.39%	0.02609	-20.53%	0.1733	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.031541	-2.34%	0.025815	-20.07%	0.1824	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.031498	-2.36%	0.030265	-6.18%	0.0476	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.032072	-2.61%	0.02982	-9.44%	0.0668	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.032229	-2.35%	0.03133	-5.07%	0.0307	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.033014	-2.55%	0.031295	-7.63%	0.0697	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.032918	-2.68%	0.032075	-5.17%	0.0440	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.033281	-2.40%	0.03283	-3.72%	0.0337	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.033049	-2.58%	0.032295	-4.80%	0.0651	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.033907	-3.14%	0.03226	-7.84%	0.0631	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.033839	-2.69%	0.03293	-5.31%	0.0413	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.033791	-3.18%	0.033005	-5.43%	0.0203	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.032526	-3.22%	0.03388	+0.80%	0.0327	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.032242	-2.96%	0.033825	+1.81%	0.0145	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.032572	-3.81%	0.0341	+0.71%	0.0236	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.032671	-3.51%	0.033925	+0.19%	0.0614	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.034206	-3.02%	0.035005	-0.75%	0.0210	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.034041	-3.48%	0.034775	-1.40%	0.0121	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.033866	-4.39%	0.0349	-1.47%	0.0089	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.033367	-3.14%	0.03361	-2.44%	0.0150	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.032751	-2.67%	0.033225	-1.26%	0.0160	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.034185	-2.08%	0.03386	-3.01%	0.0755	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.034164	-2.35%	0.03386	-3.22%	0.0618	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.033624	-1.70%	0.03527	+3.11%	0.0100	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.033192	-1.62%	0.03527	+4.53%	0.0164	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.033464	-1.68%	0.03542	+4.07%	0.0213	✗	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.032426	-1.35%	0.03445	+4.81%	0.0353	✗	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.03309	-1.56%	0.03365	+0.10%	0.0317	✗	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.035757	-2.34%	0.03491	-4.66%	0.0332	✗	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.036112	-2.70%	0.034985	-5.74%	0.0193	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.035005	-1.99%	0.034205	-4.23%	0.0272	✗	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.03538	-2.02%	0.03374	-6.56%	0.0079	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.035514	-2.08%	0.034035	-6.16%	0.0025	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.035711	-1.64%	0.03287	-9.46%	0.0414	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.036657	-2.30%	0.033615	-10.41%	0.0428	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.036811	-2.44%	0.036615	-2.96%	0.0322	✗	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.03674	-2.49%	0.037115	-1.50%	0.0392	✗	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.036804	-2.13%	0.035715	-5.03%	0.0011	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.035912	-0.85%	0.03611	-0.30%	0.0081	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.035775	-0.47%	0.03627	+0.90%	0.0145	✗	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.036106	-0.26%	0.036305	+0.29%	0.0141	✗	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.0343	+1.03%	0.03752	+10.52%	0.0537	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.035622	+0.91%	0.03773	+6.88%	0.0109	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.037653	+0.33%	0.03768	+0.40%	0.0356	✗	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.036827	+1.03%	0.037605	+3.17%	0.0081	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.037402	+2.05%	0.03622	-1.17%	0.0784	✗	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.038534	+1.86%	0.035945	-4.98%	0.1031	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.04077	+0.49%	0.0362	-10.77%	0.1159	✗	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.043601	-0.25%	0.03395	-22.33%	0.2183	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.04414	-0.79%	0.0353	-20.66%	0.1625	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.04738	-1.93%	0.03753	-22.31%	0.1487	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.045675	-1.83%	0.03645	-21.66%	0.1134	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.047476	-2.24%	0.03665	-24.53%	0.1206	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.047861	-1.92%	0.03783	-22.48%	0.1029	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.047876	-1.88%	0.04057	-16.86%	0.0644	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.046767	-1.44%	0.04371	-7.88%	0.0402	✗	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.047967	-1.60%	0.04449	-8.73%	0.0174	✗	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.049518	-1.46%	0.04831	-3.86%	0.0359	✗	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.050482	-1.42%	0.046525	-9.15%	0.0473	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.051347	-1.80%	0.048565	-7.12%	0.0265	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.051292	-2.13%	0.0488	-6.89%	0.0283	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.05276	-1.95%	0.048795	-9.32%	0.0372	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.050659	-1.77%	0.04745	-7.99%	0.0335	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.049005	-1.79%	0.048745	-2.31%	0.0041	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.050044	-1.94%	0.05025	-1.54%	0.0011	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.049867	-2.62%	0.05121	+0.00%	0.0308	✗	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.045413	-1.04%	0.05229	+13.95%	0.1558	✗	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.045571	-1.64%	0.05241	+13.12%	0.1775	✗	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.046969	-1.72%	0.05381	+12.60%	0.1722	✗	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.046407	-1.92%	0.05157	+8.99%	0.1241	✗	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.046503	-1.75%	0.0499	+5.43%	0.1084	✗	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.048164	-0.74%	0.051035	+5.17%	0.1042	✗	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.049156	-0.60%	0.05121	+3.55%	0.0869	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.047456	-0.84%	0.04589	-4.12%	0.0092	✓	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.04834	-1.22%	0.04633	-5.33%	0.0317	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.046639	-0.98%	0.04779	+1.46%	0.0142	✗	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.046732	-0.66%	0.047315	+0.58%	0.0356	✗	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.046786	-0.75%	0.04733	+0.40%	0.0163	✗	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.045994	-0.53%	0.048525	+4.94%	0.0327	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.045136	-0.95%	0.049455	+8.53%	0.0500	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.045141	-1.12%	0.04786	+4.84%	0.0349	✗	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.045115	-0.82%	0.04894	+7.58%	0.0579	✗	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.04499	-0.97%	0.0471	+3.68%	0.0014	✓	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.045395	-1.21%	0.04704	+2.37%	0.0324	✓	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.046812	-0.87%	0.04714	-0.18%	0.0505	✓	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.047444	-0.78%	0.04624	-3.29%	0.0568	✓	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.048117	-0.72%	0.04557	-5.97%	0.0529	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.048306	-1.06%	0.04565	-6.50%	0.0693	✓	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.047991	-0.94%	0.04549	-6.10%	0.0636	✓	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.048167	-0.84%	0.04543	-6.47%	0.0327	✓	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.047309	-0.98%	0.04595	-3.82%	0.0032	✓	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.04746	-1.86%	0.047225	-2.35%	0.0046	✓	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.047891	-1.62%	0.047815	-1.78%	0.0218	✓	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.046221	-1.91%	0.048465	+2.85%	0.0190	✓	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.048473	-1.43%	0.048825	-0.71%	0.0187	✓	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.050484	-1.98%	0.048445	-5.94%	0.0461	✓	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.047497	-1.58%	0.048575	+0.65%	0.0195	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.046903	-0.98%	0.047775	+0.87%	0.0270	✓	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.046473	-1.12%	0.04836	+2.89%	0.0100	✓	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.047479	-1.14%	0.04868	+1.36%	0.0056	✓	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.045912	-1.38%	0.04712	+1.21%	0.0185	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.046926	-1.15%	0.049175	+3.59%	0.0094	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.046973	-1.23%	0.051505	+8.29%	0.0348	✗	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.046549	-1.29%	0.04826	+2.34%	0.0120	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.046265	-1.24%	0.047365	+1.11%	0.0306	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.047241	-1.45%	0.047	-1.95%	0.0377	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.046266	-1.47%	0.048025	+2.28%	0.0460	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.046322	-1.52%	0.046555	-1.02%	0.0217	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.046709	-1.91%	0.04747	-0.31%	0.0744	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.047858	-2.44%	0.04756	-3.05%	0.1019	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.047751	-2.84%	0.047155	-4.05%	0.0909	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.04692	-2.15%	0.046845	-2.30%	0.0494	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.045571	-2.26%	0.047935	+2.81%	0.0083	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.043908	-1.90%	0.046955	+4.90%	0.0323	✗	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.044088	-1.91%	0.047035	+4.65%	0.0143	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.043983	-1.84%	0.04762	+6.27%	0.0632	✗	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.045213	-2.10%	0.049055	+6.23%	0.0714	✗	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.048043	-2.01%	0.049145	+0.23%	0.0534	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.049673	-2.08%	0.04795	-5.48%	0.0157	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.050522	-2.16%	0.046625	-9.70%	0.0430	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.049974	-2.04%	0.04476	-12.26%	0.0429	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.049392	-1.77%	0.044945	-10.62%	0.0622	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.049728	-1.83%	0.04481	-11.54%	0.0603	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.050606	-1.88%	0.04618	-10.46%	0.0223	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.050596	-1.85%	0.04903	-4.89%	0.0125	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.052568	-2.01%	0.05073	-5.43%	0.0365	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.054426	-2.01%	0.051635	-7.03%	0.0025	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.054826	-2.14%	0.051015	-8.94%	0.0063	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.053227	-2.79%	0.050285	-8.16%	0.0277	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.053149	-2.23%	0.050655	-6.82%	0.0083	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.053159	-1.70%	0.051575	-4.63%	0.0227	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.053819	-1.74%	0.05155	-5.89%	0.0326	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.054069	-1.87%	0.053645	-2.64%	0.0255	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.053905	-2.09%	0.05554	+0.88%	0.0365	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.049807	-1.59%	0.056025	+10.70%	0.0108	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.048685	-1.74%	0.054755	+10.52%	0.0004	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.052361	-1.74%	0.05436	+2.01%	0.0304	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.051885	-1.80%	0.05408	+2.36%	0.0068	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.052813	-2.02%	0.054775	+1.62%	0.0425	✗	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.053484	-2.67%	0.0551	+0.27%	0.0714	✗	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.053029	-1.62%	0.055055	+2.14%	0.0082	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.054321	-1.76%	0.05061	-8.47%	0.0635	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.053832	-1.53%	0.049545	-9.37%	0.0868	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.054648	-1.62%	0.05329	-4.07%	0.0306	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.054842	-1.43%	0.052835	-5.03%	0.0793	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.055783	-1.42%	0.0539	-4.75%	0.0959	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.056282	-1.36%	0.05495	-3.70%	0.1076	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.052531	-0.97%	0.0539	+1.61%	0.0550	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.052884	-0.95%	0.055295	+3.57%	0.0330	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.054783	-1.18%	0.05467	-1.38%	0.0323	✗	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.056177	-1.29%	0.05555	-2.39%	0.0069	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.05579	-1.22%	0.055635	-1.50%	0.0366	✗	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.055285	-1.09%	0.056585	+1.23%	0.0137	✗	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.055908	-1.14%	0.05706	+0.89%	0.0089	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.05675	-1.24%	0.053045	-7.68%	0.0039	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.057401	-1.30%	0.05339	-8.19%	0.0059	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.056457	-1.20%	0.055435	-2.99%	0.0030	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.059819	-1.71%	0.05691	-6.49%	0.0172	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.056775	-1.33%	0.05648	-1.84%	0.0095	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.056018	-1.09%	0.055895	-1.31%	0.0164	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.054897	-1.03%	0.056555	+1.96%	0.0410	✗	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.053809	-0.87%	0.05746	+5.86%	0.0905	✗	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.054636	-1.07%	0.058155	+5.31%	0.0851	✗	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.054915	-1.10%	0.057145	+2.92%	0.0670	✗	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.054661	-0.93%	0.06086	+10.30%	0.0975	✗	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.056047	-1.52%	0.05754	+1.11%	0.0575	✗	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.05055	+1.58%	0.056635	+13.80%	0.0454	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.057221	-1.50%	0.05547	-4.51%	0.0938	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.057989	-1.83%	0.05428	-8.11%	0.0744	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.061696	-2.63%	0.055225	-12.84%	0.0608	✗	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.053236	-1.52%	0.055525	+2.71%	0.1703	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.05415	-2.13%	0.055175	-0.28%	0.2068	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.056252	-2.48%	0.05691	-1.34%	0.2883	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.056022	-2.88%	0.049765	-13.73%	0.3488	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.063305	-3.56%	0.05809	-11.50%	0.2166	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.07072	-4.69%	0.05907	-20.39%	0.0705	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.068625	-5.01%	0.06336	-12.30%	0.0935	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.073081	-6.17%	0.05406	-30.59%	0.1154	✓	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.086653	-9.11%	0.05533	-41.97%	0.2668	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.067426	-6.59%	0.057685	-20.08%	0.0655	✓	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.051294	-1.94%	0.057685	+10.28%	0.1994	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.051363	-1.93%	0.06564	+25.33%	0.2485	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.049599	-1.78%	0.0742	+46.93%	0.3898	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.053115	-2.61%	0.072245	+32.46%	0.3757	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.053778	-2.82%	0.07789	+40.75%	0.4819	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.057503	-2.93%	0.09534	+60.94%	0.5972	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.057776	-3.19%	0.07218	+20.95%	0.3143	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.05845	-3.31%	0.05231	-13.47%	0.0179	✓	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.06137	-3.37%	0.052375	-17.53%	0.0441	✓	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.062472	-3.26%	0.0505	-21.80%	0.1034	✓	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.058745	-3.21%	0.05454	-10.14%	0.0954	✓	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.061398	-3.50%	0.05534	-13.02%	0.1467	✓	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.061728	-3.41%	0.05924	-7.31%	0.1148	✓	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.063347	-3.63%	0.05968	-9.21%	0.1372	✓	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.063777	-4.67%	0.06045	-9.65%	0.1230	✓	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.064522	-4.03%	0.06351	-5.53%	0.1210	✓	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.066537	-5.16%	0.06458	-7.95%	0.0606	✓	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.064824	-3.43%	0.060695	-9.59%	0.0154	✓	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.059627	-4.32%	0.063625	+2.09%	0.0766	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.057158	-2.91%	0.06391	+8.56%	0.1159	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.057024	-2.72%	0.065735	+12.14%	0.1316	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.055522	-1.80%	0.066905	+18.33%	0.1434	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.054396	-1.61%	0.06723	+21.61%	0.1407	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.054934	-1.85%	0.07016	+25.35%	0.1468	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.054622	-1.56%	0.06713	+20.98%	0.0833	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.055677	-1.49%	0.06232	+10.26%	0.0463	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.056963	-1.65%	0.05887	+1.64%	0.0181	✓	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.055315	-0.59%	0.05862	+5.35%	0.0095	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.055266	-0.48%	0.05654	+1.82%	0.0060	✓	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.057547	-0.46%	0.055285	-4.38%	0.0380	✓	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.058122	-0.48%	0.05597	-4.17%	0.0551	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.059476	-0.55%	0.05549	-7.22%	0.0435	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.059105	-0.45%	0.05652	-4.80%	0.0312	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.059821	-0.44%	0.05792	-3.60%	0.0230	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.059934	-0.37%	0.055645	-7.50%	0.0599	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.055391	+0.12%	0.05553	+0.37%	0.0283	✗	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.062618	-0.42%	0.057815	-8.06%	0.1046	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.070457	-0.95%	0.058405	-17.90%	0.1803	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.07059	-0.97%	0.059805	-16.10%	0.2028	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.072974	-1.20%	0.05937	-19.62%	0.2144	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.074996	-1.30%	0.060085	-20.92%	0.1888	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.073838	-1.19%	0.060155	-19.50%	0.1677	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.0755	-1.27%	0.055325	-27.65%	0.1890	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.07526	-1.14%	0.06288	-17.40%	0.0796	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.077909	-1.37%	0.071135	-9.94%	0.0093	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.076946	-1.38%	0.07128	-8.64%	0.0038	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.077014	-1.63%	0.07386	-5.66%	0.0039	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.077249	-1.03%	0.07598	-2.66%	0.0334	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.07621	-0.99%	0.07473	-2.91%	0.0356	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.079347	-1.17%	0.07647	-4.75%	0.0444	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.079968	-1.24%	0.07613	-5.98%	0.0255	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.078508	-1.07%	0.07899	-0.47%	0.0172	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.074964	-0.71%	0.07802	+3.34%	0.0396	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.077545	-0.90%	0.07829	+0.05%	0.0090	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.078074	-0.89%	0.078055	-0.91%	0.0283	✗	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.078779	-0.86%	0.07697	-3.13%	0.0052	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.080529	-0.86%	0.080285	-1.16%	0.0170	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.081368	-0.78%	0.080975	-1.26%	0.0585	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.081217	-0.65%	0.07936	-2.92%	0.0993	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.08069	-0.66%	0.0755	-7.05%	0.0276	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.079277	-0.47%	0.07825	-1.76%	0.0819	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.07707	-0.05%	0.078775	+2.16%	0.0985	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.076011	+0.01%	0.07946	+4.55%	0.0695	✗	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.079866	-0.14%	0.08123	+1.57%	0.0749	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.0828	-0.61%	0.08201	-1.55%	0.0099	✗	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.085177	-0.76%	0.081745	-4.75%	0.0694	✗	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.084245	-0.51%	0.08123	-4.07%	0.0396	✗	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.086664	-0.62%	0.07965	-8.66%	0.0625	✗	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.087388	-0.60%	0.07711	-12.29%	0.0930	✗	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.086316	-0.44%	0.076	-12.34%	0.0631	✗	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.092645	-0.71%	0.079975	-14.29%	0.1128	✗	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.09715	-0.81%	0.083305	-14.95%	0.0406	✗	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.09813	-0.80%	0.085825	-13.24%	0.0488	✗	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.103287	-1.00%	0.084675	-18.84%	0.0495	✗	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.100127	-0.73%	0.087205	-13.54%	0.0493	✗	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.100098	-0.79%	0.087915	-12.87%	0.0068	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.09816	-0.75%	0.086695	-12.34%	0.0329	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.089744	-0.30%	0.093305	+3.65%	0.0678	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.090997	-0.28%	0.097945	+7.33%	0.1115	✗	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.085459	+0.24%	0.098925	+16.03%	0.1203	✓	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.092691	-0.06%	0.104335	+12.50%	0.1278	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.103797	-0.34%	0.10086	-3.16%	0.0625	✗	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.104654	-0.33%	0.1009	-3.90%	0.0874	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.103323	-0.20%	0.0989	-4.47%	0.0553	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.101814	-0.14%	0.090015	-11.71%	0.0103	✓	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.10674	-0.31%	0.091255	-14.77%	0.0601	✓	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.107784	-0.32%	0.085255	-21.15%	0.0511	✓	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.10975	-0.47%	0.092745	-15.89%	0.0511	✓	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.110489	-0.60%	0.104155	-6.30%	0.0022	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.107527	-0.60%	0.105	-2.94%	0.0016	✓	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.108186	-0.72%	0.103525	-5.00%	0.0205	✓	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.107537	-0.88%	0.101955	-6.03%	0.0244	✓	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.103866	-0.87%	0.107075	+2.20%	0.0088	✓	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.104589	-1.15%	0.108125	+2.19%	0.0385	✓	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.105809	-1.53%	0.110265	+2.62%	0.0146	✓	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.104667	-1.53%	0.111155	+4.57%	0.0338	✓	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.101664	-1.39%	0.108175	+4.93%	0.0104	✓	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.100735	-1.43%	0.108975	+6.63%	0.0040	✓	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.104565	-1.66%	0.108495	+2.04%	0.0058	✓	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.108003	-2.01%	0.104775	-4.94%	0.0215	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.110789	-2.36%	0.105805	-6.75%	0.0294	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.115617	-2.81%	0.10745	-9.68%	0.0003	✓	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.10805	-2.75%	0.106295	-4.33%	0.0834	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.102708	-2.39%	0.103095	-2.02%	0.0611	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.10009	-2.98%	0.102195	-0.94%	0.1270	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.135445	-2.66%	0.106325	-23.59%	0.1000	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.13974	-2.43%	0.110215	-23.04%	0.1104	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.138293	-2.64%	0.113465	-20.12%	0.1142	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.147882	-1.96%	0.118965	-21.13%	0.1287	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.146412	-2.07%	0.11111	-25.68%	0.1961	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.147627	-2.13%	0.105225	-30.24%	0.2251	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.151125	-2.16%	0.103165	-33.21%	0.2920	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.151903	-2.32%	0.139145	-10.53%	0.0980	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.151412	-2.54%	0.143215	-7.81%	0.1017	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.147007	-2.65%	0.142045	-5.93%	0.1105	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.149097	-2.78%	0.150835	-1.65%	0.0957	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.150468	-2.76%	0.149505	-3.38%	0.1284	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.147429	-2.84%	0.150845	-0.59%	0.1214	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.148463	-3.20%	0.154465	+0.72%	0.1028	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.143888	-3.65%	0.155515	+4.13%	0.0534	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.147146	-2.57%	0.155355	+2.86%	0.0090	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.14687	-2.61%	0.151005	+0.13%	0.0023	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.147018	-2.83%	0.153365	+1.37%	0.0228	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.157813	-2.82%	0.154735	-4.71%	0.0158	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.152653	-2.67%	0.151745	-3.25%	0.0716	✗	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.152478	-2.73%	0.153365	-2.16%	0.0810	✗	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.154849	-2.76%	0.14934	-6.22%	0.0664	✗	1.44

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.