INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s4

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2063

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0281

actual -0.0121

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.12835	0.120739	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.1274	0.120878	-5.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.120637	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.117849	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.120321	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.118717	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.120084	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.133912	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.121132	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.118587	-4.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.115422	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.113169	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.112841	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.10555	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.109516	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.112175	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.109036	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.114273	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.113331	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.108162	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.105614	-4.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.100754	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.09876	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.097255	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.085501	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.085653	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.090371	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.095635	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.095453	-4.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.085429	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.086857	-3.71%	0.12835	+42.29%	0.4079	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.080142	-3.03%	0.1274	+54.14%	0.4887	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.071714	-2.56%	0.1272	+72.83%	0.5577	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.073851	-2.57%	0.12365	+63.13%	0.5101	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.074327	-2.33%	0.12605	+65.64%	0.5182	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.073491	-3.30%	0.1242	+63.42%	0.4747	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.066609	-2.48%	0.1256	+83.89%	0.5817	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.065593	-2.39%	0.14145	+110.49%	0.7055	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.067814	-2.71%	0.12675	+81.85%	0.5939	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.063323	-2.20%	0.1239	+91.35%	0.6160	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.067993	-2.94%	0.12075	+72.38%	0.5361	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.068245	-2.79%	0.1177	+67.66%	0.4905	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.067979	-3.03%	0.1178	+68.05%	0.4964	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.064416	-2.47%	0.1097	+66.09%	0.4942	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.06435	-2.35%	0.11455	+73.82%	0.5460	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.065843	-2.31%	0.117	+73.59%	0.5357	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.066359	-1.76%	0.1128	+66.99%	0.4823	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.066881	-1.21%	0.1187	+75.33%	0.5197	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.062844	-0.88%	0.11765	+85.57%	0.5658	✗	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.061932	+0.13%	0.11285	+82.46%	0.5674	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.061188	-0.10%	0.11015	+79.84%	0.5127	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059741	+0.66%	0.10505	+77.00%	0.4849	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.059671	+1.48%	0.1037	+76.36%	0.5026	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.055024	+1.33%	0.10295	+89.59%	0.5599	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.057802	+1.32%	0.0897	+57.23%	0.3821	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.054209	+1.14%	0.0897	+67.35%	0.4322	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.055774	+2.06%	0.0942	+72.37%	0.4792	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.055615	+1.67%	0.09985	+82.54%	0.5294	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.05488	+2.20%	0.0999	+86.03%	0.5335	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.056082	+3.00%	0.0887	+62.90%	0.3942	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.058181	+2.43%	0.0902	+58.80%	0.3344	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.056612	+2.09%	0.08265	+49.05%	0.2614	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.059448	+2.94%	0.0736	+27.45%	0.1783	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.0548	-0.09%	0.0758	+38.20%	0.2149	✗	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.052459	-1.67%	0.0761	+42.64%	0.2047	✗	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.049792	-2.65%	0.076	+48.58%	0.2311	✗	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.049886	-2.85%	0.0683	+33.01%	0.1207	✗	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.049235	-3.27%	0.0672	+32.02%	0.0928	✗	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.049641	-3.61%	0.0697	+35.34%	0.0851	✗	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.049108	-4.09%	0.06475	+26.46%	0.0426	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.049309	-4.44%	0.07005	+35.76%	0.1170	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.04879	-4.71%	0.0702	+37.11%	0.1247	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.049698	-5.16%	0.0701	+33.78%	0.1259	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.049819	-5.20%	0.06605	+25.69%	0.0407	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.050675	-5.63%	0.0659	+22.72%	0.0398	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.049833	-6.15%	0.0674	+26.93%	0.0703	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.048256	-5.57%	0.06755	+32.19%	0.0976	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.047811	-5.98%	0.0677	+33.14%	0.1006	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.047788	-5.65%	0.0634	+25.17%	0.0456	✓	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.046496	-5.88%	0.06185	+25.20%	0.0329	✓	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.047071	-5.48%	0.06125	+22.99%	0.0472	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.047453	-5.28%	0.05935	+18.46%	0.0073	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.048681	-5.29%	0.0588	+14.40%	0.0598	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.046822	-5.12%	0.0543	+10.03%	0.0862	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.046279	-4.38%	0.05705	+17.87%	0.0094	✓	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.045975	-4.42%	0.0536	+11.43%	0.0695	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.047175	-4.41%	0.05465	+10.74%	0.1118	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.048899	-3.93%	0.0547	+7.47%	0.1337	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.052629	-3.25%	0.0537	-1.29%	0.1797	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.053406	-3.60%	0.05445	-1.71%	0.2066	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.053362	-3.15%	0.0568	+3.09%	0.1499	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.05441	-2.49%	0.05545	-0.63%	0.1668	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.05463	-1.74%	0.05775	+3.87%	0.1277	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.054363	-1.43%	0.05485	-0.54%	0.0915	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.052983	-1.88%	0.05335	-1.20%	0.0565	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.051385	-1.84%	0.05115	-2.29%	0.0046	✓	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.051657	-1.98%	0.05135	-2.56%	0.0007	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.051661	-1.69%	0.0509	-3.14%	0.0033	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.0522	-1.51%	0.0515	-2.83%	0.0009	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.053958	-1.00%	0.0512	-6.06%	0.0233	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054573	-0.51%	0.0516	-5.93%	0.0298	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.052843	-1.04%	0.0512	-4.12%	0.0519	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.054846	-0.64%	0.0524	-5.07%	0.0420	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.055766	-0.86%	0.05255	-6.58%	0.0618	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.05635	-1.05%	0.0537	-5.71%	0.0607	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.054885	-1.11%	0.0531	-4.32%	0.0633	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054122	-1.06%	0.0511	-6.58%	0.1047	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054434	-1.03%	0.05085	-7.55%	0.0848	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.056674	-1.18%	0.05065	-11.68%	0.1228	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.057179	-1.42%	0.0494	-14.83%	0.1536	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.057449	-1.63%	0.0498	-14.73%	0.1490	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.057409	-1.53%	0.0501	-14.07%	0.1514	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.056253	-1.48%	0.0514	-9.98%	0.1102	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.056425	-1.70%	0.04935	-14.02%	0.1803	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.051729	-1.28%	0.0484	-7.63%	0.1590	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.052866	-1.28%	0.0481	-10.18%	0.1501	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051499	-1.06%	0.04935	-5.19%	0.1057	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.051966	-1.02%	0.0509	-3.05%	0.0743	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.05455	-1.09%	0.0544	-1.36%	0.0779	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051381	-0.71%	0.0554	+7.05%	0.0107	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.05297	-0.81%	0.0551	+3.18%	0.0058	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.058302	-1.52%	0.0558	-5.74%	0.0742	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.05762	-1.50%	0.0556	-4.96%	0.0622	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.05506	-1.15%	0.05515	-0.99%	0.0382	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056207	-1.30%	0.054	-5.18%	0.0524	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057048	-1.39%	0.05235	-9.51%	0.1012	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.0587	-1.59%	0.0527	-11.65%	0.1327	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.058639	-1.94%	0.05255	-12.12%	0.1024	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.058882	-2.35%	0.053	-12.11%	0.0809	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.057371	-2.26%	0.0545	-7.16%	0.0297	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.058197	-2.52%	0.05485	-8.12%	0.0493	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.057523	-2.26%	0.0534	-9.26%	0.0448	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.058671	-2.62%	0.0552	-8.38%	0.0638	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.056769	-2.12%	0.05625	-3.02%	0.0121	✓	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.053869	-1.16%	0.05695	+4.50%	0.0199	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.055904	-1.84%	0.0555	-2.55%	0.0271	✓	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.056731	-2.36%	0.0547	-5.85%	0.0254	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.053262	-1.73%	0.055	+1.48%	0.0318	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.052577	-1.17%	0.05735	+7.80%	0.0441	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.05452	-1.59%	0.058	+4.69%	0.0268	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.056979	-2.77%	0.0584	-0.34%	0.0342	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.062389	-4.02%	0.0583	-10.31%	0.0504	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.060985	-4.56%	0.0571	-10.64%	0.0057	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.066877	-7.11%	0.0574	-20.28%	0.0772	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.068404	-7.56%	0.0524	-29.19%	0.1717	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.064105	-6.69%	0.05355	-22.05%	0.0825	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.059362	-5.47%	0.05205	-17.12%	0.0286	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.059853	-5.30%	0.0525	-16.93%	0.0330	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.063366	-5.63%	0.05515	-17.87%	0.0406	✓	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.073278	-5.75%	0.05175	-33.44%	0.2567	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.077142	-5.58%	0.0534	-34.64%	0.2907	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.076726	-5.63%	0.0592	-27.18%	0.1900	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.078231	-5.75%	0.0585	-29.52%	0.2231	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.076123	-5.90%	0.0557	-31.15%	0.2466	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.081227	-5.55%	0.05695	-33.78%	0.2908	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.080435	-5.37%	0.05785	-31.94%	0.2621	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.078642	-5.31%	0.05965	-28.18%	0.2099	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.080353	-4.68%	0.0598	-29.06%	0.2293	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.080544	-4.40%	0.0603	-28.43%	0.2188	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.081968	-3.85%	0.0587	-31.14%	0.2640	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.085656	-3.16%	0.0597	-32.50%	0.3145	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.092324	-2.77%	0.05885	-38.02%	0.4015	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.09506	-2.70%	0.06025	-38.33%	0.4123	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.101213	-2.87%	0.058	-44.34%	0.5166	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.099743	-2.21%	0.0545	-46.57%	0.5672	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.103302	-1.80%	0.05695	-45.87%	0.5579	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.107817	-2.69%	0.0581	-47.56%	0.5796	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.100165	-2.18%	0.0542	-47.07%	0.5822	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.106303	-3.32%	0.0532	-51.61%	0.6570	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.097752	-2.10%	0.0554	-44.52%	0.4580	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.088793	-1.99%	0.0586	-35.32%	0.2760	✓	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.088096	-2.12%	0.065	-27.78%	0.1682	✓	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.086811	-2.46%	0.0639	-28.20%	0.2040	✓	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.087276	-2.05%	0.072	-19.19%	0.1318	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.089165	-1.48%	0.074	-18.23%	0.1477	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.08932	-1.74%	0.0687	-24.42%	0.2368	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.089214	-1.85%	0.0628	-30.91%	0.3270	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.092733	-2.03%	0.0632	-33.23%	0.3540	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.08896	-1.54%	0.06715	-25.68%	0.2494	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.089596	-1.22%	0.07775	-14.28%	0.1124	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.088005	-1.39%	0.0817	-8.46%	0.0702	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.091105	-1.88%	0.0813	-12.44%	0.1089	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.084064	-1.22%	0.083	-2.47%	0.0039	✓	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.087077	-1.61%	0.0809	-8.59%	0.0451	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.088128	-1.97%	0.086	-4.34%	0.0369	✓	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.092376	-2.40%	0.085	-10.20%	0.1002	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.086277	-2.40%	0.08305	-6.05%	0.0699	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.091591	-2.67%	0.0843	-10.41%	0.0958	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.088357	-2.26%	0.08425	-6.80%	0.0509	✓	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.084542	-2.71%	0.08525	-1.90%	0.0228	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.081119	-2.79%	0.08845	+5.99%	0.0421	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.077854	-2.80%	0.09495	+18.54%	0.1274	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.077522	-2.73%	0.0977	+22.58%	0.1808	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.07392	-3.37%	0.1042	+36.21%	0.2357	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.079841	-3.34%	0.102	+23.49%	0.1540	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.080839	-3.42%	0.1052	+25.69%	0.1671	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.07748	-3.39%	0.1108	+38.15%	0.2641	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.07918	-3.50%	0.1024	+24.80%	0.1596	✗	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.079107	-3.41%	0.10995	+34.25%	0.2427	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.081513	-4.16%	0.09985	+17.40%	0.0593	✗	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.076795	-3.64%	0.0906	+13.68%	0.0293	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.078722	-3.88%	0.09	+9.89%	0.0136	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.079137	-4.08%	0.089	+7.88%	0.0206	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.077093	-4.05%	0.0891	+10.89%	0.0044	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.075614	-3.74%	0.0905	+15.21%	0.0581	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.072614	-3.69%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.1259	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.073916	-4.01%	0.0909	+18.05%	0.0935	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.074832	-4.18%	0.09465	+21.19%	0.1043	✗	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.076034	-4.36%	0.09035	+13.65%	0.0348	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.073686	-4.18%	0.0907	+17.95%	0.0561	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.079619	-4.53%	0.08925	+7.01%	0.0098	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.078448	-4.33%	0.09285	+13.23%	0.0952	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.080598	-4.96%	0.0851	+0.35%	0.0383	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.077152	-4.40%	0.0885	+9.67%	0.0495	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.073289	-4.45%	0.0899	+17.21%	0.0998	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.07359	-4.43%	0.09465	+22.92%	0.1665	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.076321	-4.12%	0.0884	+11.06%	0.1064	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.078407	-3.79%	0.0941	+15.46%	0.1117	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.082353	-3.68%	0.0904	+5.73%	0.0218	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.089791	-3.24%	0.0869	-6.36%	0.0474	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.087326	-2.86%	0.08345	-7.17%	0.0448	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.088606	-3.69%	0.0801	-12.93%	0.1179	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.087664	-4.19%	0.0797	-12.90%	0.1363	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.081369	-3.71%	0.0765	-9.47%	0.0592	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.085625	-4.44%	0.0826	-7.81%	0.0694	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.085492	-4.48%	0.0837	-6.48%	0.0581	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.081086	-3.93%	0.0802	-4.98%	0.0353	✓	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.078192	-3.82%	0.08205	+0.92%	0.0125	✓	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.077951	-3.88%	0.0819	+0.99%	0.0335	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.081237	-3.97%	0.08505	+0.53%	0.0234	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.083194	-4.48%	0.0797	-8.50%	0.0551	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.07853	-3.05%	0.0819	+1.11%	0.0934	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.076654	-2.85%	0.0825	+4.56%	0.1555	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.08076	-3.51%	0.08035	-4.00%	0.0184	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.07769	-3.25%	0.07855	-2.18%	0.0225	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.073023	-3.15%	0.0754	+0.00%	0.0064	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.076953	-3.39%	0.077	-3.33%	0.0044	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.078113	-3.56%	0.0781	-3.58%	0.0018	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.078668	-3.71%	0.0795	-2.69%	0.0298	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.078744	-3.68%	0.0769	-5.93%	0.0032	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.078836	-3.74%	0.0834	+1.83%	0.0270	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.082028	-4.06%	0.082	-4.09%	0.1150	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.085666	-4.55%	0.0848	-5.52%	0.0594	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.089421	-5.12%	0.0807	-14.38%	0.1515	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.094687	-5.83%	0.0767	-23.72%	0.2083	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.095084	-5.90%	0.077	-23.80%	0.2443	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.095294	-6.39%	0.0796	-21.81%	0.2512	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.104111	-8.19%	0.0815	-28.13%	0.2836	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.112212	-11.85%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.3080	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.098424	-9.87%	0.0928	-15.02%	0.1346	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.069063	-2.38%	0.0899	+27.07%	0.1852	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.067941	-1.89%	0.092	+32.85%	0.2399	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.069749	-1.90%	0.0915	+28.69%	0.1868	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.06942	-1.81%	0.0845	+19.52%	0.1319	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.064934	-1.24%	0.0896	+36.27%	0.2930	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.065902	-0.97%	0.0895	+34.49%	0.3043	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.067228	-0.92%	0.0844	+24.39%	0.2328	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.069839	-1.36%	0.0813	+14.83%	0.1660	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.068477	-1.47%	0.0811	+16.69%	0.2486	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.061076	-0.12%	0.0846	+38.35%	0.2430	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.070771	-1.84%	0.0871	+20.80%	0.2999	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.076271	-2.34%	0.081	+3.71%	0.1449	✗	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.078884	-2.91%	0.0789	-2.89%	0.1037	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.079611	-3.03%	0.0837	+1.95%	0.2062	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.084364	-3.47%	0.0803	-8.12%	0.1321	✗	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.100702	-6.06%	0.0754	-29.66%	0.0004	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.085355	-3.55%	0.07965	-10.00%	0.2075	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.093031	-4.58%	0.081	-16.92%	0.2049	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.08842	-3.89%	0.0817	-11.20%	0.2452	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.086111	-3.89%	0.08175	-8.76%	0.2494	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.085891	-4.88%	0.0819	-9.30%	0.3055	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.085278	-4.72%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.3902	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.078014	-4.16%	0.08975	+10.26%	0.4789	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.077027	-4.31%	0.09425	+17.08%	0.5333	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.077055	-4.63%	0.10055	+24.44%	0.5981	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.075488	-4.57%	0.10105	+27.75%	0.6295	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.080874	-5.08%	0.1018	+19.48%	0.6323	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.08844	-5.71%	0.1134	+20.90%	0.6467	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.087329	-5.59%	0.1273	+37.62%	0.7713	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.090902	-5.21%	0.1092	+13.87%	0.5861	✗	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.08897	-6.45%	0.07075	-25.60%	0.1576	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.086898	-6.16%	0.06925	-25.22%	0.2003	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.084343	-6.49%	0.0711	-21.18%	0.2831	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.076587	-6.49%	0.0707	-13.68%	0.2881	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.080694	-6.93%	0.06575	-24.16%	0.1357	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.084079	-5.53%	0.06655	-25.22%	0.0815	✗	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.086541	-5.21%	0.06785	-25.68%	0.0884	✗	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.08755	-4.84%	0.0708	-23.04%	0.1564	✗	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.088237	-4.81%	0.0695	-25.03%	0.2636	✗	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.092508	-4.04%	0.06115	-36.57%	0.3715	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.093956	-3.93%	0.0721	-26.28%	0.2292	✗	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.094235	-4.04%	0.0781	-20.47%	0.1939	✗	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.092941	-3.79%	0.08125	-15.89%	0.1511	✗	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.09083	-3.68%	0.0821	-12.94%	0.2143	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.086942	-3.50%	0.0874	-3.00%	0.2462	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.084375	-3.24%	0.1072	+22.94%	0.3174	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.086355	-3.19%	0.0885	-0.78%	0.1140	✗	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.08629	-3.37%	0.0975	+9.18%	0.0763	✗	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.085446	-3.01%	0.092	+4.43%	0.0462	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.090122	-3.41%	0.0896	-3.97%	0.0156	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.09812	-5.29%	0.0903	-12.84%	0.0664	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.087468	-3.78%	0.0895	-1.54%	0.0196	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.08135	-2.81%	0.0814	-2.75%	0.0410	✓	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.081414	-2.38%	0.0805	-3.48%	0.0567	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.082491	-2.15%	0.0808	-4.15%	0.0387	✓	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.082046	-1.98%	0.0791	-5.50%	0.0292	✓	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.085097	-2.30%	0.0852	-2.18%	0.0928	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.0829	-2.01%	0.0938	+10.87%	0.0014	✓	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.075355	-2.01%	0.0925	+20.29%	0.0056	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.079877	-2.11%	0.0959	+17.52%	0.0189	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.084321	-2.18%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.0468	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.081533	-1.89%	0.0926	+11.43%	0.0999	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.083415	-1.75%	0.0902	+6.24%	0.0786	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.087453	-1.85%	0.0819	-8.08%	0.0861	✓	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.085107	-1.61%	0.0867	+0.23%	0.0055	✓	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.089425	-1.30%	0.089	-1.77%	0.0427	✗	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.092357	-1.43%	0.0913	-2.56%	0.0220	✗	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.096603	-1.83%	0.092	-6.50%	0.0124	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.092421	-1.57%	0.0927	-1.28%	0.0107	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.089299	-1.33%	0.0964	+6.52%	0.0048	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.097225	-1.99%	0.0978	-1.41%	0.0968	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.098457	-1.93%	0.0982	-2.19%	0.0513	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.100436	-2.30%	0.0966	-6.03%	0.0049	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.099802	-2.54%	0.0943	-7.91%	0.0231	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.101834	-2.08%	0.0901	-13.37%	0.0616	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.099972	-1.80%	0.0872	-14.34%	0.1685	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.113033	-2.68%	0.0892	-23.20%	0.1872	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.111604	-2.70%	0.0893	-22.14%	0.1296	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.113994	-2.57%	0.0881	-24.70%	0.1820	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.118568	-2.77%	0.0933	-23.49%	0.1522	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.108178	-2.28%	0.1036	-6.41%	0.0343	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.106277	-1.28%	0.0909	-15.56%	0.1524	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.106098	-1.49%	0.0837	-22.28%	0.2205	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.10553	-1.19%	0.0834	-21.91%	0.2514	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.103841	-0.73%	0.0843	-19.41%	0.3126	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.109967	-0.80%	0.0837	-24.49%	0.3684	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.126466	-1.77%	0.0871	-32.35%	0.4194	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.11779	-1.35%	0.0846	-29.15%	0.2333	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.117182	-1.32%	0.0769	-35.24%	0.2020	✓	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.117371	-1.20%	0.0816	-31.31%	0.1895	✓	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.118788	-1.26%	0.0862	-28.35%	0.1366	✓	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.12355	-1.36%	0.0831	-33.65%	0.1304	✓	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.119207	-1.11%	0.0849	-29.57%	0.1558	✓	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.122647	-1.13%	0.0891	-28.17%	0.0409	✓	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.125108	-1.10%	0.0865	-31.62%	0.0308	✓	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.122081	-1.03%	0.0906	-26.55%	0.0102	✓	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.131052	-1.09%	0.0937	-29.28%	0.0718	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.130383	-1.08%	0.0984	-25.34%	0.0734	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.129431	-1.24%	0.0939	-28.35%	0.0360	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.131518	-1.15%	0.0905	-31.98%	0.0139	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.115539	-0.87%	0.0992	-14.89%	0.2087	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.118757	-0.37%	0.1004	-15.77%	0.2669	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.115682	-0.19%	0.1028	-11.30%	0.1616	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.121991	-0.29%	0.1024	-16.31%	0.2233	✗	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.137114	-0.43%	0.104	-24.47%	0.3056	✗	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.136691	+0.07%	0.1018	-25.48%	0.4500	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.13459	-0.04%	0.11615	-13.74%	0.4475	✗	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.137375	+0.24%	0.1147	-16.31%	0.3662	✓	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.154841	-0.07%	0.117	-24.49%	0.3102	✗	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.159304	+0.22%	0.12195	-23.28%	0.3925	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.162511	-0.05%	0.1107	-31.92%	0.3385	✗	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.17343	-0.36%	0.10765	-38.15%	0.3667	✗	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.16961	-0.41%	0.1077	-36.76%	0.2899	✗	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.171887	-0.21%	0.1068	-38.00%	0.3052	✗	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.166421	+0.04%	0.1046	-37.12%	0.3671	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.160497	+0.50%	0.11085	-30.59%	0.3743	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.167724	+0.10%	0.12875	-23.16%	0.4506	✓	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.180181	-0.31%	0.1194	-33.94%	0.1887	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.180354	-0.27%	0.11875	-34.34%	0.0708	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.175331	+0.07%	0.1188	-32.19%	0.0844	✓	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.17334	+0.11%	0.1203	-30.52%	0.0145	✓	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.176861	-0.28%	0.12525	-29.38%	0.0425	✗	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.183179	-0.74%	0.12055	-34.68%	0.0843	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.194171	-1.01%	0.12405	-36.76%	0.0478	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.20686	-1.66%	0.1265	-39.86%	0.0958	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.190972	-1.33%	0.12335	-36.27%	0.0914	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.173306	-0.51%	0.1325	-23.94%	0.1307	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.190917	-1.74%	0.1318	-32.17%	0.1345	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.296086	-3.85%	0.13105	-57.44%	0.4134	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.309259	-3.99%	0.13305	-58.69%	0.4386	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.299114	-4.25%	0.11655	-62.69%	0.4537	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.324195	-4.37%	0.1192	-64.84%	0.5087	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.306754	-4.26%	0.1159	-63.83%	0.4501	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.313252	-3.73%	0.12235	-62.40%	0.5641	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.324506	-3.58%	0.1377	-59.08%	0.5829	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.32567	-4.80%	0.1366	-60.07%	0.6180	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.310746	-4.06%	0.13465	-58.43%	0.6169	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.30023	-3.45%	0.13705	-55.93%	0.6369	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.301616	-3.36%	0.15495	-50.35%	0.5511	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.308778	-3.52%	0.15895	-50.34%	0.6833	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.29912	-2.87%	0.1626	-47.20%	0.7311	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.304852	-2.49%	0.17405	-44.33%	0.6940	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.291893	-2.36%	0.1703	-43.03%	0.6123	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.314672	-3.06%	0.17225	-46.93%	0.5375	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.309126	-2.67%	0.16635	-47.62%	0.5652	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.316737	-2.77%	0.1597	-50.97%	0.5395	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.34907	-3.52%	0.16755	-53.69%	0.5432	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.354449	-3.87%	0.18075	-50.98%	0.5336	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.355376	-4.43%	0.18085	-51.36%	0.4843	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.375365	-5.32%	0.1752	-55.81%	0.4925	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.