GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +7d
assessed
68
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
41.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1442
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0255
actual -0.0510
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.260693 | -2.33% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.253452 | -2.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.227858 | -2.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.210995 | -2.29% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.210099 | -2.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.212149 | -2.64% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.223549 | -2.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.208595 | -2.62% | 0.2669 | +24.60% | 0.2453 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.201376 | -2.55% | 0.25965 | +25.65% | 0.2544 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.206285 | -2.65% | 0.23295 | +9.93% | 0.1214 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.225338 | -2.62% | 0.21595 | -6.68% | 0.0415 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.227727 | -2.68% | 0.21555 | -7.88% | 0.0539 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.219184 | -2.65% | 0.2179 | -3.22% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.221694 | -2.89% | 0.2297 | +0.61% | 0.0352 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.216358 | -2.98% | 0.2142 | -3.95% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.219578 | -3.06% | 0.20665 | -8.76% | 0.0589 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.216403 | -3.20% | 0.2119 | -5.21% | 0.0179 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.214673 | -3.19% | 0.2314 | +4.35% | 0.0774 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.209045 | -3.18% | 0.234 | +8.38% | 0.1140 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.209103 | -3.10% | 0.22515 | +4.33% | 0.0753 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.201499 | -3.01% | 0.2283 | +9.89% | 0.1274 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.201503 | -2.84% | 0.223 | +7.52% | 0.1016 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.197966 | -2.67% | 0.2265 | +11.36% | 0.1331 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.199926 | -2.81% | 0.22355 | +8.68% | 0.1098 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.195883 | -2.88% | 0.22175 | +9.94% | 0.1221 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.197802 | -2.97% | 0.2159 | +5.91% | 0.0872 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.203085 | -2.99% | 0.2158 | +3.08% | 0.0603 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.198996 | -2.79% | 0.20775 | +1.49% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.189447 | -2.55% | 0.2074 | +6.69% | 0.0915 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.191328 | -2.26% | 0.2034 | +3.91% | 0.0641 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.188176 | -2.12% | 0.2057 | +7.00% | 0.0929 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.186551 | -2.48% | 0.2017 | +5.44% | 0.0742 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.189045 | -2.45% | 0.20385 | +5.19% | 0.0717 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.184986 | -2.33% | 0.20935 | +10.53% | 0.1200 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.173077 | -3.15% | 0.2047 | +14.55% | 0.1726 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.162095 | -3.23% | 0.1944 | +16.06% | 0.1864 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.162324 | -3.46% | 0.19575 | +16.41% | 0.1934 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.16647 | -2.36% | 0.19225 | +12.76% | 0.1502 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.165412 | -2.84% | 0.1913 | +12.36% | 0.1492 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.167239 | -2.60% | 0.1938 | +12.87% | 0.1508 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.170461 | -2.57% | 0.1894 | +8.26% | 0.1086 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.163918 | -2.81% | 0.1787 | +5.96% | 0.0861 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.157034 | -2.01% | 0.1675 | +4.52% | 0.0645 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.163997 | -1.92% | 0.16815 | +0.57% | 0.0246 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.165884 | -1.67% | 0.1705 | +1.07% | 0.0273 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.1614 | -1.28% | 0.17025 | +4.13% | 0.0549 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.160711 | -1.22% | 0.1717 | +5.53% | 0.0672 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.16029 | -0.99% | 0.17495 | +8.06% | 0.0887 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.161417 | -0.48% | 0.16865 | +3.98% | 0.0469 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.156616 | -1.31% | 0.16025 | +0.98% | 0.0234 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.149166 | -0.82% | 0.1672 | +11.17% | 0.1142 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.16212 | -0.72% | 0.1687 | +3.31% | 0.0404 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.172471 | -1.11% | 0.1635 | -6.25% | 0.0507 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.16879 | -0.95% | 0.1627 | -4.52% | 0.0357 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.163455 | -0.88% | 0.1619 | -1.82% | 0.0329 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.171026 | -0.39% | 0.1622 | -5.53% | 0.0652 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.181597 | -0.60% | 0.1587 | -13.14% | 0.1128 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.195442 | -0.69% | 0.1504 | -23.58% | 0.2475 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.20295 | -0.47% | 0.1633 | -19.91% | 0.2121 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.230202 | -0.56% | 0.1744 | -24.67% | 0.2768 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.244674 | -0.62% | 0.1704 | -30.79% | 0.3770 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.284683 | -0.32% | 0.1649 | -42.26% | 0.5398 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.2722 | -2.26% | 0.1717 | -38.35% | 0.5556 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.291634 | -4.13% | 0.1827 | -39.94% | 0.5990 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.281016 | -4.16% | 0.1968 | -32.88% | 0.5502 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.269391 | -4.23% | 0.2039 | -27.52% | 0.4814 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.271585 | -3.97% | 0.2315 | -18.14% | 0.3724 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.280066 | -4.22% | 0.2462 | -15.80% | 0.3300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.289905 | -4.29% | 0.2856 | -5.71% | 0.2331 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.308322 | -4.51% | 0.2785 | -13.75% | 0.2425 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.30323 | -4.46% | 0.3042 | -4.16% | 0.0856 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.303125 | -4.35% | 0.2932 | -7.48% | 0.0512 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.313277 | -4.40% | 0.2813 | -14.16% | 0.1165 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.296779 | -4.60% | 0.2828 | -9.10% | 0.0167 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.282683 | -4.53% | 0.2924 | -1.25% | 0.0633 | ✗ | 1.00 |