GRAM
Gram (prev. Toncoin) · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #99
- symbol
- GRAM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x582d872a1b094fc48f5de31d3b73f2d9be47def1
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +1d
assessed
108
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
58.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0181
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0023
actual -0.0049
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 1.3553 | 1.3493 | -0.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 1.348 | 1.3426 | -0.40% | 1.3553 | +0.54% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.367 | 1.3606 | -0.46% | 1.348 | -1.39% | 0.0204 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 1.3465 | 1.3407 | -0.43% | 1.367 | +1.52% | 0.0212 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 1.3574 | 1.3517 | -0.41% | 1.3465 | -0.80% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.3512 | 1.3469 | -0.32% | 1.3574 | +0.46% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.3812 | 1.3778 | -0.24% | 1.3512 | -2.17% | 0.0130 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.3552 | 1.3521 | -0.23% | 1.3812 | +1.92% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.3737 | 1.3708 | -0.21% | 1.3552 | -1.34% | 0.0048 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.3593 | 1.3568 | -0.18% | 1.3737 | +1.06% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.4481 | 1.444 | -0.28% | 1.3593 | -6.13% | 0.0412 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.4675 | 1.4628 | -0.32% | 1.4481 | -1.33% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.4535 | 1.4491 | -0.31% | 1.4675 | +0.96% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3784 | 1.3754 | -0.22% | 1.4535 | +5.45% | 0.0469 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.4418 | 1.4381 | -0.26% | 1.3784 | -4.40% | 0.0271 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.5239 | 1.5189 | -0.33% | 1.4418 | -5.39% | 0.0313 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.5231 | 1.5184 | -0.31% | 1.5239 | +0.06% | 0.0055 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.5303 | 1.5253 | -0.33% | 1.5231 | -0.47% | 0.0057 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.5149 | 1.5107 | -0.27% | 1.5303 | +1.02% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.4982 | 1.4946 | -0.24% | 1.5149 | +1.11% | 0.0112 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.5743 | 1.5694 | -0.31% | 1.4982 | -4.83% | 0.0431 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.4987 | 1.4971 | -0.10% | 1.5743 | +5.05% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.4805 | 1.4804 | -0.01% | 1.4987 | +1.23% | 0.0131 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.572 | 1.57 | -0.13% | 1.4805 | -5.82% | 0.0605 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.6335 | 1.6288 | -0.29% | 1.572 | -3.76% | 0.0252 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.6168 | 1.6129 | -0.25% | 1.6335 | +1.03% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.459 | 1.4599 | +0.06% | 1.6168 | +10.82% | 0.0988 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 1.4085 | 1.4107 | +0.16% | 1.459 | +3.59% | 0.0366 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.4143 | 1.4166 | +0.16% | 1.4085 | -0.41% | 0.0058 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 1.4723 | 1.4738 | +0.10% | 1.4143 | -3.94% | 0.0231 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 1.4506 | 1.4521 | +0.10% | 1.4723 | +1.50% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 1.3841 | 1.3855 | +0.10% | 1.4506 | +4.81% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3829 | +0.10% | 1.3841 | +0.18% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 1.3754 | 1.3766 | +0.09% | 1.3815 | +0.44% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 1.3404 | 1.3369 | -0.26% | 1.3754 | +2.61% | 0.0232 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 1.3143 | 1.3144 | +0.01% | 1.3404 | +1.99% | 0.0172 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 1.3203 | 1.3202 | -0.01% | 1.3143 | -0.46% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 1.3518 | 1.3536 | +0.14% | 1.3203 | -2.33% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 1.3429 | 1.3439 | +0.08% | 1.3518 | +0.66% | 0.0104 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 1.3844 | 1.3862 | +0.13% | 1.3429 | -3.00% | 0.0263 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 1.3619 | 1.3642 | +0.17% | 1.3844 | +1.65% | 0.0141 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 1.3407 | 1.343 | +0.17% | 1.3619 | +1.58% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 1.3723 | 1.3756 | +0.24% | 1.3407 | -2.31% | 0.0052 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 1.3953 | 1.3982 | +0.21% | 1.3723 | -1.64% | 0.0167 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 1.3904 | 1.3942 | +0.28% | 1.3953 | +0.35% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 1.4305 | 1.4341 | +0.25% | 1.3904 | -2.81% | 0.0167 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 1.4321 | 1.4346 | +0.18% | 1.4305 | -0.10% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 1.3931 | 1.3955 | +0.17% | 1.4321 | +2.80% | 0.0241 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 1.3694 | 1.3729 | +0.26% | 1.3931 | +1.73% | 0.0333 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 1.3281 | 1.3284 | +0.02% | 1.3694 | +3.11% | 0.0179 | ✗ | 0.97 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 1.3157 | 1.3147 | -0.07% | 1.3281 | +0.94% | 0.0112 | ✗ | 0.97 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 1.3881 | 1.3837 | -0.32% | 1.3157 | -5.22% | 0.0363 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 1.3368 | 1.3382 | +0.11% | 1.3881 | +3.84% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 1.3546 | 1.3567 | +0.15% | 1.3368 | -1.32% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 1.3677 | 1.3695 | +0.13% | 1.3546 | -0.96% | 0.0156 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 1.415 | 1.4164 | +0.10% | 1.3677 | -3.34% | 0.0062 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 1.4044 | 1.4062 | +0.12% | 1.415 | +0.75% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 1.4352 | 1.4357 | +0.03% | 1.4044 | -2.14% | 0.0279 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 1.4634 | 1.4616 | -0.13% | 1.4352 | -1.93% | 0.0128 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 1.4916 | 1.4903 | -0.08% | 1.4634 | -1.89% | 0.0334 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 1.4431 | 1.4423 | -0.06% | 1.4916 | +3.36% | 0.0254 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 1.4916 | 1.4871 | -0.30% | 1.4431 | -3.25% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 1.3964 | 1.396 | -0.03% | 1.4916 | +6.82% | 0.0025 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 1.3648 | 1.3627 | -0.15% | 1.3964 | +2.31% | 0.0263 | ✓ | 0.97 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 1.3197 | 1.3158 | -0.30% | 1.3648 | +3.42% | 0.0429 | ✓ | 1.15 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 1.326 | 1.3218 | -0.32% | 1.3197 | -0.48% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 1.15 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 1.334 | 1.3302 | -0.29% | 1.326 | -0.60% | 0.0348 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 1.3433 | 1.3395 | -0.28% | 1.334 | -0.68% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 1.3293 | 1.3257 | -0.27% | 1.3433 | +1.05% | 0.0123 | ✗ | 1.23 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 1.3338 | 1.3299 | -0.30% | 1.3293 | -0.34% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 1.24 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 1.3487 | 1.3443 | -0.33% | 1.3338 | -1.10% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 1.3395 | 1.3349 | -0.35% | 1.3487 | +0.69% | 0.0127 | ✗ | 1.24 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 1.3275 | 1.3222 | -0.39% | 1.3395 | +0.91% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 1.26 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 1.3152 | 1.3101 | -0.39% | 1.3275 | +0.94% | 0.0323 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 1.3635 | 1.3578 | -0.42% | 1.3152 | -3.54% | 0.0307 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 1.3542 | 1.3482 | -0.45% | 1.3635 | +0.68% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 1.3672 | 1.3609 | -0.46% | 1.3542 | -0.95% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 1.4023 | 1.3954 | -0.50% | 1.3672 | -2.51% | 0.0136 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 1.3896 | 1.3816 | -0.57% | 1.4023 | +0.92% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 1.4127 | 1.4002 | -0.89% | 1.3896 | -1.64% | 0.0198 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 1.4261 | 1.4179 | -0.57% | 1.4127 | -0.93% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 1.3922 | 1.3855 | -0.48% | 1.4261 | +2.43% | 0.0135 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 1.4061 | 1.4 | -0.43% | 1.3922 | -0.98% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 1.4278 | 1.4214 | -0.44% | 1.4061 | -1.52% | 0.0315 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 1.4038 | 1.3982 | -0.40% | 1.4278 | +1.71% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 1.447 | 1.4404 | -0.46% | 1.4038 | -2.99% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 1.4574 | 1.4503 | -0.49% | 1.447 | -0.72% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 1.5162 | 1.5077 | -0.56% | 1.4574 | -3.87% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 1.5054 | 1.4968 | -0.58% | 1.5162 | +0.71% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 1.4663 | 1.4585 | -0.53% | 1.5054 | +2.67% | 0.0284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 1.46 | 1.4529 | -0.49% | 1.4663 | +0.43% | 0.0242 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 1.4897 | 1.4826 | -0.48% | 1.46 | -2.00% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 1.5471 | 1.5386 | -0.55% | 1.4897 | -3.70% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 1.4314 | 1.4231 | -0.59% | 1.5471 | +8.08% | 0.0637 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 1.4436 | 1.4362 | -0.51% | 1.4314 | -0.84% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 1.4748 | 1.4678 | -0.47% | 1.4436 | -2.12% | 0.0149 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 1.4997 | 1.4926 | -0.47% | 1.4748 | -1.66% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 1.5245 | 1.5174 | -0.46% | 1.4997 | -1.62% | 0.0137 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 1.5768 | 1.5692 | -0.48% | 1.5245 | -3.32% | 0.0142 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 1.6199 | 1.6113 | -0.53% | 1.5768 | -2.66% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 1.5964 | 1.589 | -0.47% | 1.6199 | +1.47% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 1.62 | 1.6128 | -0.44% | 1.5964 | -1.45% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 1.6447 | 1.637 | -0.47% | 1.62 | -1.50% | 0.0099 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 1.6453 | 1.6375 | -0.48% | 1.6447 | -0.03% | 0.0100 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 1.5988 | 1.5923 | -0.41% | 1.6453 | +2.91% | 0.0178 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 1.5855 | 1.5801 | -0.34% | 1.5988 | +0.84% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 1.6192 | 1.6136 | -0.34% | 1.5855 | -2.08% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 1.7809 | 1.7648 | -0.90% | 1.6192 | -9.08% | 0.0755 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 1.7765 | 1.7703 | -0.35% | 1.7809 | +0.25% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 1.00 |