GRAM
Gram (prev. Toncoin) · Ethereum · gru_s4
- token id
- #99
- symbol
- GRAM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x582d872a1b094fc48f5de31d3b73f2d9be47def1
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 330
Track record at +1d
assessed
109
of 110 predictions shown
direction hit
61.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0176
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0046
actual -0.0049
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 1.3585 | 1.3525 | -0.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 1.3586 | 1.3528 | -0.43% | 1.3585 | -0.00% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 1.348 | 1.3423 | -0.43% | 1.3586 | +0.79% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.367 | 1.361 | -0.44% | 1.348 | -1.39% | 0.0207 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 1.3465 | 1.341 | -0.41% | 1.367 | +1.52% | 0.0210 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 1.3574 | 1.352 | -0.39% | 1.3465 | -0.80% | 0.0107 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.3512 | 1.3466 | -0.34% | 1.3574 | +0.46% | 0.0092 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.3812 | 1.3767 | -0.33% | 1.3512 | -2.17% | 0.0121 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.3552 | 1.3509 | -0.31% | 1.3812 | +1.92% | 0.0163 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.3737 | 1.3692 | -0.32% | 1.3552 | -1.34% | 0.0059 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.3593 | 1.3554 | -0.29% | 1.3737 | +1.06% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.4481 | 1.4426 | -0.38% | 1.3593 | -6.13% | 0.0402 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.4675 | 1.461 | -0.44% | 1.4481 | -1.33% | 0.0164 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.4535 | 1.4454 | -0.56% | 1.4675 | +0.96% | 0.0115 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3784 | 1.3716 | -0.50% | 1.4535 | +5.45% | 0.0497 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.4418 | 1.4353 | -0.45% | 1.3784 | -4.40% | 0.0251 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.5239 | 1.5172 | -0.45% | 1.4418 | -5.39% | 0.0302 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.5231 | 1.5167 | -0.42% | 1.5239 | +0.06% | 0.0066 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.5303 | 1.5238 | -0.42% | 1.5231 | -0.47% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.5149 | 1.5086 | -0.41% | 1.5303 | +1.02% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.4982 | 1.4916 | -0.44% | 1.5149 | +1.11% | 0.0132 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.5743 | 1.5669 | -0.47% | 1.4982 | -4.83% | 0.0415 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.4987 | 1.4923 | -0.43% | 1.5743 | +5.05% | 0.0412 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.4805 | 1.4743 | -0.42% | 1.4987 | +1.23% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.572 | 1.5604 | -0.73% | 1.4805 | -5.82% | 0.0544 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.6335 | 1.6174 | -0.99% | 1.572 | -3.76% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.6168 | 1.6056 | -0.70% | 1.6335 | +1.03% | 0.0168 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.459 | 1.4533 | -0.39% | 1.6168 | +10.82% | 0.1034 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 1.4085 | 1.4032 | -0.37% | 1.459 | +3.59% | 0.0419 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.4143 | 1.4081 | -0.44% | 1.4085 | -0.41% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 1.4723 | 1.4656 | -0.46% | 1.4143 | -3.94% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 1.4506 | 1.4439 | -0.46% | 1.4723 | +1.50% | 0.0234 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 1.3841 | 1.3787 | -0.39% | 1.4506 | +4.81% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.376 | -0.40% | 1.3841 | +0.18% | 0.0066 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 1.3754 | 1.3679 | -0.54% | 1.3815 | +0.44% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 1.3404 | 1.3267 | -1.03% | 1.3754 | +2.61% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 1.3143 | 1.3091 | -0.40% | 1.3404 | +1.99% | 0.0213 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 1.3203 | 1.3164 | -0.30% | 1.3143 | -0.46% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 1.3518 | 1.3489 | -0.22% | 1.3203 | -2.33% | 0.0094 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 1.3429 | 1.3403 | -0.20% | 1.3518 | +0.66% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 1.3844 | 1.3817 | -0.20% | 1.3429 | -3.00% | 0.0230 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 1.3619 | 1.3595 | -0.18% | 1.3844 | +1.65% | 0.0175 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 1.3407 | 1.3381 | -0.19% | 1.3619 | +1.58% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 1.3723 | 1.3701 | -0.16% | 1.3407 | -2.31% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 1.3953 | 1.3928 | -0.18% | 1.3723 | -1.64% | 0.0129 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 1.3904 | 1.3881 | -0.17% | 1.3953 | +0.35% | 0.0127 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 1.4305 | 1.4283 | -0.16% | 1.3904 | -2.81% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 1.4321 | 1.4294 | -0.18% | 1.4305 | -0.10% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 1.3931 | 1.3909 | -0.16% | 1.4321 | +2.80% | 0.0274 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 1.3694 | 1.3679 | -0.11% | 1.3931 | +1.73% | 0.0369 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 1.3281 | 1.3249 | -0.24% | 1.3694 | +3.11% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 0.97 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 1.3157 | 1.3107 | -0.38% | 1.3281 | +0.94% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 0.97 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 1.3881 | 1.3793 | -0.63% | 1.3157 | -5.22% | 0.0331 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 1.3368 | 1.3342 | -0.19% | 1.3881 | +3.84% | 0.0288 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 1.3546 | 1.352 | -0.19% | 1.3368 | -1.32% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 1.3677 | 1.364 | -0.27% | 1.3546 | -0.96% | 0.0117 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 1.415 | 1.4105 | -0.32% | 1.3677 | -3.34% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 1.4044 | 1.4007 | -0.27% | 1.415 | +0.75% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 1.4352 | 1.43 | -0.36% | 1.4044 | -2.14% | 0.0240 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 1.4634 | 1.4559 | -0.52% | 1.4352 | -1.93% | 0.0089 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 1.4916 | 1.4842 | -0.49% | 1.4634 | -1.89% | 0.0292 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 1.4431 | 1.4334 | -0.68% | 1.4916 | +3.36% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 1.4916 | 1.4757 | -1.07% | 1.4431 | -3.25% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 1.3964 | 1.3849 | -0.82% | 1.4916 | +6.82% | 0.0104 | ✗ | 0.91 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 1.3648 | 1.3573 | -0.55% | 1.3964 | +2.31% | 0.0223 | ✓ | 0.97 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 1.3197 | 1.314 | -0.44% | 1.3648 | +3.42% | 0.0415 | ✓ | 1.15 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 1.326 | 1.3208 | -0.39% | 1.3197 | -0.48% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.15 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 1.334 | 1.329 | -0.38% | 1.326 | -0.60% | 0.0340 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 1.3433 | 1.3383 | -0.37% | 1.334 | -0.68% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.23 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 1.3293 | 1.324 | -0.40% | 1.3433 | +1.05% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 1.23 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 1.3338 | 1.328 | -0.44% | 1.3293 | -0.34% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 1.24 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 1.3487 | 1.3432 | -0.41% | 1.3338 | -1.10% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 1.3395 | 1.334 | -0.41% | 1.3487 | +0.69% | 0.0133 | ✗ | 1.24 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 1.3275 | 1.3215 | -0.45% | 1.3395 | +0.91% | 0.0210 | ✗ | 1.26 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 1.3152 | 1.3102 | -0.37% | 1.3275 | +0.94% | 0.0322 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 1.3635 | 1.3576 | -0.43% | 1.3152 | -3.54% | 0.0306 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 1.3542 | 1.3471 | -0.53% | 1.3635 | +0.68% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 1.3672 | 1.3607 | -0.48% | 1.3542 | -0.95% | 0.0175 | ✓ | 1.32 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 1.4023 | 1.3953 | -0.50% | 1.3672 | -2.51% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 1.3896 | 1.3804 | -0.66% | 1.4023 | +0.92% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 1.4127 | 1.4008 | -0.85% | 1.3896 | -1.64% | 0.0202 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 1.4261 | 1.4196 | -0.45% | 1.4127 | -0.93% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 1.3922 | 1.3866 | -0.41% | 1.4261 | +2.43% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 1.32 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 1.4061 | 1.4004 | -0.40% | 1.3922 | -0.98% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 1.31 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 1.4278 | 1.4226 | -0.36% | 1.4061 | -1.52% | 0.0306 | ✗ | 1.42 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 1.4038 | 1.3987 | -0.37% | 1.4278 | +1.71% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 1.447 | 1.4402 | -0.47% | 1.4038 | -2.99% | 0.0267 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 1.4574 | 1.4515 | -0.41% | 1.447 | -0.72% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.41 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 1.5162 | 1.5097 | -0.43% | 1.4574 | -3.87% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 1.5054 | 1.4989 | -0.43% | 1.5162 | +0.71% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 1.4663 | 1.4602 | -0.41% | 1.5054 | +2.67% | 0.0272 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 1.46 | 1.4534 | -0.45% | 1.4663 | +0.43% | 0.0238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 1.4897 | 1.4819 | -0.53% | 1.46 | -2.00% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 1.5471 | 1.5365 | -0.68% | 1.4897 | -3.70% | 0.0244 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 1.4314 | 1.4232 | -0.57% | 1.5471 | +8.08% | 0.0636 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 1.4436 | 1.4368 | -0.47% | 1.4314 | -0.84% | 0.0119 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 1.4748 | 1.4677 | -0.48% | 1.4436 | -2.12% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 1.4997 | 1.4914 | -0.55% | 1.4748 | -1.66% | 0.0253 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 1.5245 | 1.5168 | -0.50% | 1.4997 | -1.62% | 0.0133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 1.5768 | 1.568 | -0.55% | 1.5245 | -3.32% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 1.6199 | 1.6108 | -0.56% | 1.5768 | -2.66% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 1.5964 | 1.5876 | -0.55% | 1.6199 | +1.47% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 1.62 | 1.6113 | -0.53% | 1.5964 | -1.45% | 0.0141 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 1.6447 | 1.6358 | -0.54% | 1.62 | -1.50% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 1.6453 | 1.6362 | -0.55% | 1.6447 | -0.03% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 1.5988 | 1.59 | -0.55% | 1.6453 | +2.91% | 0.0192 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 1.5855 | 1.5758 | -0.61% | 1.5988 | +0.84% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 1.6192 | 1.6056 | -0.83% | 1.5855 | -2.08% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 1.7809 | 1.7474 | -1.88% | 1.6192 | -9.08% | 0.0656 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 1.7765 | 1.7661 | -0.58% | 1.7809 | +0.25% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 1.00 |