FLUX

Flux · native · gru_s4

token id: #546
symbol: FLUX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-05
predictions: 1,848

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0290

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0043

actual -0.0010

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.07164	0.071215	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-21	oos	0.07142	0.071047	-0.52%	0.07164	+0.31%	0.0060	✗	0.99
2026-10-20	oos	0.07158	0.071214	-0.51%	0.07142	-0.22%	0.0102	✓	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.07103	0.070697	-0.47%	0.07158	+0.77%	0.0011	✓	1.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.07138	0.071046	-0.47%	0.07103	-0.49%	0.0019	✓	1.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.074325	0.073963	-0.49%	0.07138	-3.96%	0.0433	✓	1.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.077035	0.076612	-0.55%	0.074325	-3.52%	0.0288	✓	1.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.077645	0.077185	-0.59%	0.077035	-0.79%	0.0057	✓	1.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.07975	0.079252	-0.62%	0.077645	-2.64%	0.0274	✓	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.082625	0.082041	-0.71%	0.07975	-3.48%	0.0096	✓	1.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.083585	0.082898	-0.82%	0.082625	-1.15%	0.0201	✓	1.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.090115	0.088815	-1.44%	0.083585	-7.25%	0.0380	✓	0.97
2026-10-10	oos	0.083055	0.082407	-0.78%	0.090115	+8.50%	0.0805	✗	0.97
2026-10-09	oos	0.08464	0.083994	-0.76%	0.083055	-1.87%	0.0155	✓	0.97
2026-10-08	oos	0.074885	0.074414	-0.63%	0.08464	+13.03%	0.1189	✗	0.95
2026-10-07	oos	0.08185	0.081063	-0.96%	0.074885	-8.51%	0.0620	✓	0.90
2026-10-06	oos	0.085125	0.083843	-1.51%	0.08185	-3.85%	0.0003	✓	0.89
2026-10-05	oos	0.08466	0.083671	-1.17%	0.085125	+0.55%	0.0194	✗	0.89
2026-10-04	oos	0.07718	0.076473	-0.92%	0.08466	+9.69%	0.1100	✗	0.94
2026-10-03	oos	0.07493	0.07431	-0.83%	0.07718	+3.00%	0.0186	✗	0.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.07229	0.071688	-0.83%	0.07493	+3.65%	0.0416	✗	0.93
2026-10-01	oos	0.072095	0.071457	-0.88%	0.07229	+0.27%	0.0154	✗	0.94
2026-09-30	oos	0.073905	0.073186	-0.97%	0.072095	-2.45%	0.0297	✓	0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.071935	0.071217	-1.00%	0.073905	+2.74%	0.0380	✗	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.068335	0.067614	-1.06%	0.071935	+5.27%	0.0599	✗	0.95
2026-09-27	oos	0.07512	0.074383	-0.98%	0.068335	-9.03%	0.0738	✓	0.92
2026-09-26	oos	0.07277	0.072063	-0.97%	0.07512	+3.23%	0.0410	✗	0.92
2026-09-25	oos	0.070245	0.069631	-0.87%	0.07277	+3.59%	0.0406	✗	0.92
2026-09-24	oos	0.06915	0.06855	-0.87%	0.070245	+1.58%	0.0276	✗	0.92
2026-09-23	oos	0.06954	0.068694	-1.22%	0.06915	-0.56%	0.0065	✓	0.92
2026-09-22	oos	0.06734	0.066425	-1.36%	0.06954	+3.27%	0.0666	✗	0.97
2026-09-21	oos	0.061705	0.061159	-0.88%	0.06734	+9.13%	0.1009	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.0586	0.058226	-0.64%	0.061705	+5.30%	0.0095	✓	1.04
2026-09-19	oos	0.059505	0.059042	-0.78%	0.0586	-1.52%	0.0066	✓	1.04
2026-09-18	oos	0.05665	0.056333	-0.56%	0.059505	+5.04%	0.0502	✗	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.05343	0.053225	-0.38%	0.05665	+6.03%	0.0023	✓	1.04
2026-09-16	oos	0.05307	0.052899	-0.32%	0.05343	+0.68%	0.0072	✗	1.04
2026-09-15	oos	0.05379	0.053587	-0.38%	0.05307	-1.34%	0.0175	✓	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.05786	0.057511	-0.60%	0.05379	-7.03%	0.0328	✓	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.055745	0.055376	-0.66%	0.05786	+3.79%	0.0261	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.05273	0.05261	-0.23%	0.055745	+5.72%	0.0640	✗	1.01
2026-09-11	oos	0.050745	0.05071	-0.07%	0.05273	+3.91%	0.0383	✗	1.02
2026-09-10	oos	0.0499	0.049896	-0.01%	0.050745	+1.69%	0.0080	✗	1.02
2026-09-09	oos	0.052765	0.052694	-0.13%	0.0499	-5.43%	0.0320	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.051975	0.05195	-0.05%	0.052765	+1.52%	0.0177	✗	1.01
2026-09-07	oos	0.05178	0.051774	-0.01%	0.051975	+0.38%	0.0122	✗	1.02
2026-09-06	oos	0.051665	0.05168	+0.03%	0.05178	+0.22%	0.0180	✓	1.03
2026-09-05	oos	0.0514	0.051404	+0.01%	0.051665	+0.52%	0.0014	✗	1.03
2026-09-04	oos	0.049055	0.049081	+0.05%	0.0514	+4.78%	0.0442	✓	1.02
2026-09-03	oos	0.049915	0.049931	+0.03%	0.049055	-1.72%	0.0025	✓	1.02
2026-09-02	oos	0.048865	0.048799	-0.13%	0.049915	+2.15%	0.0350	✓	1.15
2026-09-01	oos	0.04967	0.049626	-0.09%	0.048865	-1.62%	0.0141	✓	1.17
2026-08-31	oos	0.049145	0.049108	-0.08%	0.04967	+1.07%	0.0277	✗	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.05001	0.049894	-0.23%	0.049145	-1.73%	0.0280	✓	1.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.04775	0.047671	-0.16%	0.05001	+4.73%	0.0559	✗	1.10
2026-08-28	oos	0.048305	0.048167	-0.29%	0.04775	-1.15%	0.0143	✓	1.10
2026-08-27	oos	0.04948	0.049289	-0.39%	0.048305	-2.37%	0.0141	✗	1.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.04656	0.046412	-0.32%	0.04948	+6.27%	0.0469	✗	1.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.0436	0.043513	-0.20%	0.04656	+6.79%	0.0607	✗	1.10
2026-08-24	oos	0.0447	0.044585	-0.26%	0.0436	-2.46%	0.0160	✓	1.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.046105	0.045925	-0.39%	0.0447	-3.05%	0.0454	✓	1.15
2026-08-22	oos	0.044895	0.044691	-0.45%	0.046105	+2.70%	0.0211	✗	1.15
2026-08-21	oos	0.046545	0.046274	-0.58%	0.044895	-3.54%	0.0114	✓	1.15
2026-08-20	oos	0.04243	0.042211	-0.52%	0.046545	+9.70%	0.0184	✗	1.13
2026-08-19	oos	0.04081	0.040658	-0.37%	0.04243	+3.97%	0.0185	✓	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.038735	0.038593	-0.37%	0.04081	+5.36%	0.0290	✓	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.039415	0.03928	-0.34%	0.038735	-1.73%	0.0179	✓	1.25
2026-08-16	oos	0.039755	0.039605	-0.38%	0.039415	-0.86%	0.0381	✓	1.29
2026-08-15	oos	0.040075	0.03991	-0.41%	0.039755	-0.80%	0.0002	✓	1.29
2026-08-14	oos	0.039605	0.03946	-0.37%	0.040075	+1.19%	0.0146	✗	1.29
2026-08-13	oos	0.040095	0.039949	-0.36%	0.039605	-1.22%	0.0006	✓	1.30
2026-08-12	oos	0.038775	0.038641	-0.34%	0.040095	+3.40%	0.0366	✗	1.32
2026-08-11	oos	0.039395	0.039208	-0.48%	0.038775	-1.57%	0.0086	✓	1.32
2026-08-10	oos	0.041485	0.041261	-0.54%	0.039395	-5.04%	0.0384	✓	1.32
2026-08-09	oos	0.04295	0.042704	-0.57%	0.041485	-3.41%	0.0097	✓	1.32
2026-08-08	oos	0.039915	0.039761	-0.39%	0.04295	+7.60%	0.0784	✗	1.32
2026-08-07	oos	0.038765	0.03863	-0.35%	0.039915	+2.97%	0.0324	✗	1.30
2026-08-06	oos	0.039635	0.039441	-0.49%	0.038765	-2.20%	0.0302	✓	1.34
2026-08-05	oos	0.03936	0.039245	-0.29%	0.039635	+0.70%	0.0169	✗	1.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.038855	0.038753	-0.26%	0.03936	+1.30%	0.0040	✗	1.34
2026-08-03	oos	0.03955	0.039434	-0.29%	0.038855	-1.76%	0.0274	✓	1.38
2026-08-02	oos	0.04082	0.040682	-0.34%	0.03955	-3.11%	0.0275	✓	1.38
2026-08-01	oos	0.038585	0.038471	-0.29%	0.04082	+5.79%	0.0437	✗	1.33
2026-07-31	oos	0.03904	0.038912	-0.33%	0.038585	-1.17%	0.0071	✓	1.33
2026-07-30	oos	0.038175	0.038061	-0.30%	0.03904	+2.27%	0.0672	✗	1.41
2026-07-29	oos	0.037585	0.037476	-0.29%	0.038175	+1.57%	0.0007	✓	1.38
2026-07-28	oos	0.039235	0.039087	-0.38%	0.037585	-4.21%	0.0402	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03883	0.03863	-0.51%	0.039235	+1.04%	0.0122	✗	1.38
2026-07-26	oos	0.041615	0.041463	-0.37%	0.03883	-6.69%	0.0314	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.040675	0.040545	-0.32%	0.041615	+2.31%	0.0042	✗	1.35
2026-07-24	oos	0.04046	0.040345	-0.28%	0.040675	+0.53%	0.0036	✗	1.36
2026-07-23	oos	0.04209	0.041958	-0.31%	0.04046	-3.87%	0.0162	✓	1.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.04331	0.043147	-0.38%	0.04209	-2.82%	0.0041	✓	1.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.043515	0.043328	-0.43%	0.04331	-0.47%	0.0081	✗	1.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.042335	0.042198	-0.32%	0.043515	+2.79%	0.0054	✗	1.28
2026-07-19	oos	0.04159	0.041472	-0.28%	0.042335	+1.79%	0.0102	✗	1.28
2026-07-18	oos	0.04222	0.042101	-0.28%	0.04159	-1.49%	0.0099	✓	1.33
2026-07-17	oos	0.04247	0.042359	-0.26%	0.04222	-0.59%	0.0222	✓	1.35
2026-07-16	oos	0.04278	0.04268	-0.23%	0.04247	-0.72%	0.0075	✓	1.34
2026-07-15	oos	0.04381	0.043711	-0.23%	0.04278	-2.35%	0.0021	✓	1.32
2026-07-14	oos	0.04417	0.044082	-0.20%	0.04381	-0.82%	0.0006	✓	1.34
2026-07-13	oos	0.042475	0.042408	-0.16%	0.04417	+3.99%	0.0181	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.043805	0.043732	-0.17%	0.042475	-3.04%	0.0031	✗	1.38
2026-07-11	oos	0.04499	0.044893	-0.22%	0.043805	-2.63%	0.0239	✓	1.27
2026-07-10	oos	0.044875	0.044796	-0.18%	0.04499	+0.26%	0.0112	✗	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.04427	0.0442	-0.16%	0.044875	+1.37%	0.0034	✓	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.04321	0.04315	-0.14%	0.04427	+2.45%	0.0071	✗	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.04424	0.044171	-0.16%	0.04321	-2.33%	0.0007	✓	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.0462	0.046104	-0.21%	0.04424	-4.24%	0.0284	✓	1.21
2026-07-05	oos	0.0462	0.046099	-0.22%	0.0462	+0.00%	0.0057	✓	1.21
2026-07-04	oos	0.047135	0.046996	-0.29%	0.0462	-1.98%	0.0266	✓	1.22
2026-07-03	oos	0.046505	0.046408	-0.21%	0.047135	+1.35%	0.0050	✗	1.17
2026-07-02	oos	0.044895	0.044816	-0.18%	0.046505	+3.59%	0.0175	✗	1.16
2026-07-01	oos	0.04534	0.045245	-0.21%	0.044895	-0.98%	0.0377	✓	1.19
2026-06-30	oos	0.0431	0.043048	-0.12%	0.04534	+5.20%	0.0230	✗	1.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.04435	0.044283	-0.15%	0.0431	-2.82%	0.0059	✗	1.19
2026-06-28	oos	0.04424	0.044165	-0.17%	0.04435	+0.25%	0.0097	✓	1.21
2026-06-27	oos	0.043775	0.043719	-0.13%	0.04424	+1.06%	0.0213	✗	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.04479	0.044707	-0.19%	0.043775	-2.27%	0.0197	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.04407	0.043975	-0.22%	0.04479	+1.63%	0.0123	✗	1.21
2026-06-24	oos	0.04587	0.04582	-0.11%	0.04407	-3.92%	0.0158	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.04777	0.047697	-0.15%	0.04587	-3.98%	0.0105	✓	1.06
2026-06-22	oos	0.050025	0.049925	-0.20%	0.04777	-4.51%	0.0228	✓	1.03
2026-06-21	oos	0.05046	0.050339	-0.24%	0.050025	-0.86%	0.0180	✓	1.04
2026-06-20	oos	0.051595	0.05145	-0.28%	0.05046	-2.20%	0.0039	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.0497	0.049578	-0.25%	0.051595	+3.81%	0.0281	✗	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.05029	0.050104	-0.37%	0.0497	-1.17%	0.0178	✓	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.053005	0.052778	-0.43%	0.05029	-5.12%	0.0235	✓	1.01
2026-06-16	oos	0.05309	0.052981	-0.21%	0.053005	-0.16%	0.0191	✗	1.04
2026-06-15	oos	0.05351	0.053392	-0.22%	0.05309	-0.78%	0.0047	✗	1.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.05327	0.053162	-0.20%	0.05351	+0.45%	0.0024	✓	1.04
2026-06-13	oos	0.052355	0.052271	-0.16%	0.05327	+1.75%	0.0014	✓	1.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.051125	0.051065	-0.12%	0.052355	+2.41%	0.0105	✗	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.052275	0.052204	-0.14%	0.051125	-2.20%	0.0205	✓	1.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.049885	0.049874	-0.02%	0.052275	+4.79%	0.0125	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.05106	0.051023	-0.07%	0.049885	-2.30%	0.0186	✓	1.01
2026-06-08	oos	0.05208	0.052034	-0.09%	0.05106	-1.96%	0.0035	✗	1.01
2026-06-07	oos	0.052	0.051962	-0.07%	0.05208	+0.15%	0.0062	✗	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.0506	0.050655	+0.11%	0.052	+2.77%	0.0139	✗	1.02
2026-06-05	oos	0.0508	0.050858	+0.11%	0.0506	-0.39%	0.0021	✗	1.01
2026-06-04	oos	0.0572	0.05713	-0.12%	0.0508	-11.19%	0.0766	✓	0.92
2026-06-03	oos	0.0624	0.062162	-0.38%	0.0572	-8.33%	0.0798	✓	0.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.0611	0.060998	-0.17%	0.0624	+2.13%	0.0620	✗	0.98
2026-06-01	oos	0.0668	0.066557	-0.36%	0.0611	-8.53%	0.0285	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.06645	0.066214	-0.36%	0.0668	+0.53%	0.0361	✗	0.87
2026-05-30	oos	0.0677	0.067446	-0.38%	0.06645	-1.85%	0.0127	✓	0.83
2026-05-29	oos	0.06725	0.067007	-0.36%	0.0677	+0.67%	0.0057	✗	0.84
2026-05-28	oos	0.0674	0.067146	-0.38%	0.06725	-0.22%	0.0032	✓	0.84
2026-05-27	oos	0.0718	0.071381	-0.58%	0.0674	-6.13%	0.0484	✓	0.83
2026-05-26	oos	0.07525	0.074559	-0.92%	0.0718	-4.58%	0.0213	✓	0.81
2026-05-25	oos	0.0821	0.081082	-1.24%	0.07525	-8.34%	0.0602	✓	0.77
2026-05-24	oos	0.0747	0.074153	-0.73%	0.0821	+9.91%	0.0991	✗	0.77
2026-05-23	oos	0.07	0.069698	-0.43%	0.0747	+6.71%	0.0662	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.06805	0.067783	-0.39%	0.07	+2.87%	0.0207	✗	0.73
2026-05-21	oos	0.07215	0.071776	-0.52%	0.06805	-5.68%	0.0340	✓	0.70
2026-05-20	oos	0.07275	0.072353	-0.55%	0.07215	-0.82%	0.0035	✓	0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.0684	0.068086	-0.46%	0.07275	+6.36%	0.0599	✗	0.69
2026-05-18	oos	0.0694	0.069074	-0.47%	0.0684	-1.44%	0.0082	✓	0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.0687	0.068386	-0.46%	0.0694	+1.02%	0.0190	✗	0.71
2026-05-16	oos	0.0716	0.071251	-0.49%	0.0687	-4.05%	0.0301	✓	0.70
2026-05-15	oos	0.07495	0.074575	-0.50%	0.0716	-4.47%	0.0322	✓	0.70
2026-05-14	oos	0.0797	0.079254	-0.56%	0.07495	-5.96%	0.0387	✓	0.68
2026-05-13	oos	0.078	0.077589	-0.53%	0.0797	+2.18%	0.0118	✗	0.67
2026-05-12	oos	0.0822	0.081687	-0.62%	0.078	-5.11%	0.0364	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.0849	0.084264	-0.75%	0.0822	-3.18%	0.0149	✓	0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.08615	0.085329	-0.95%	0.0849	-1.45%	0.0012	✓	0.66
2026-05-09	oos	0.0857	0.084727	-1.14%	0.08615	+0.53%	0.0040	✓	0.67
2026-05-08	oos	0.0785	0.077782	-0.91%	0.0857	+9.17%	0.0930	✗	0.67
2026-05-07	oos	0.0746	0.074025	-0.77%	0.0785	+5.23%	0.0572	✗	0.66
2026-05-06	oos	0.07545	0.074473	-1.29%	0.0746	-1.13%	0.0143	✗	0.71
2026-05-05	oos	0.0684	0.068159	-0.35%	0.07545	+10.31%	0.0965	✗	0.79
2026-05-04	oos	0.0669	0.066672	-0.34%	0.0684	+2.24%	0.0153	✗	0.79
2026-05-03	oos	0.0689	0.068596	-0.44%	0.0669	-2.90%	0.0379	✓	0.79
2026-05-02	oos	0.0669	0.06663	-0.40%	0.0689	+2.99%	0.0347	✗	0.78
2026-05-01	oos	0.0638	0.063569	-0.36%	0.0669	+4.86%	0.0466	✗	0.78
2026-04-30	oos	0.0634	0.063158	-0.38%	0.0638	+0.63%	0.0101	✓	0.81
2026-04-29	oos	0.0656	0.065324	-0.42%	0.0634	-3.35%	0.0358	✓	0.81
2026-04-28	oos	0.06815	0.067841	-0.45%	0.0656	-3.74%	0.0275	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.0677	0.067416	-0.42%	0.06815	+0.66%	0.0220	✗	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.0718	0.071436	-0.51%	0.0677	-5.71%	0.0400	✓	0.81
2026-04-25	oos	0.0693	0.068935	-0.53%	0.0718	+3.61%	0.0300	✗	0.82
2026-04-24	oos	0.0753	0.074543	-1.01%	0.0693	-7.97%	0.0750	✓	0.83
2026-04-23	oos	0.06795	0.067557	-0.58%	0.0753	+10.82%	0.1174	✗	0.84
2026-04-22	oos	0.0669	0.066582	-0.47%	0.06795	+1.57%	0.0195	✗	0.84
2026-04-21	oos	0.067	0.066641	-0.54%	0.0669	-0.15%	0.0165	✓	0.85
2026-04-20	oos	0.0673	0.066883	-0.62%	0.067	-0.45%	0.0037	✓	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.06145	0.061157	-0.48%	0.0673	+9.52%	0.0724	✗	0.86
2026-04-18	oos	0.0642	0.063783	-0.65%	0.06145	-4.28%	0.0154	✓	0.85
2026-04-17	oos	0.0648	0.064332	-0.72%	0.0642	-0.93%	0.0132	✗	0.86
2026-04-16	oos	0.0644	0.064037	-0.56%	0.0648	+0.62%	0.0100	✓	0.86
2026-04-15	oos	0.05675	0.05654	-0.37%	0.0644	+13.48%	0.1265	✗	0.85
2026-04-14	oos	0.055	0.054801	-0.36%	0.05675	+3.18%	0.0275	✗	0.85
2026-04-13	oos	0.0562	0.056011	-0.34%	0.055	-2.14%	0.0152	✓	0.84
2026-04-12	oos	0.0561	0.055882	-0.39%	0.0562	+0.18%	0.0395	✓	0.89
2026-04-11	oos	0.05685	0.056644	-0.36%	0.0561	-1.32%	0.0193	✗	0.89
2026-04-10	oos	0.05915	0.058851	-0.50%	0.05685	-3.89%	0.0357	✓	0.89
2026-04-09	oos	0.05745	0.057241	-0.36%	0.05915	+2.96%	0.0181	✗	0.89
2026-04-08	oos	0.0581	0.057843	-0.44%	0.05745	-1.12%	0.0157	✓	0.89
2026-04-07	oos	0.0559	0.055694	-0.37%	0.0581	+3.94%	0.0526	✗	0.90
2026-04-06	oos	0.0532	0.053009	-0.36%	0.0559	+5.08%	0.0142	✗	0.89
2026-04-05	oos	0.05455	0.054332	-0.40%	0.0532	-2.47%	0.0191	✓	0.90
2026-04-04	oos	0.05595	0.055719	-0.41%	0.05455	-2.50%	0.0443	✓	0.92
2026-04-03	oos	0.0561	0.055838	-0.47%	0.05595	-0.27%	0.0025	✓	0.92
2026-04-02	oos	0.0556	0.055343	-0.46%	0.0561	+0.90%	0.0127	✗	0.92
2026-04-01	oos	0.0585	0.058075	-0.73%	0.0556	-4.96%	0.0270	✓	0.92
2026-03-31	oos	0.0544	0.054145	-0.47%	0.0585	+7.54%	0.0789	✗	0.93
2026-03-30	oos	0.0523	0.052092	-0.40%	0.0544	+4.02%	0.0231	✗	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.0505	0.050319	-0.36%	0.0523	+3.56%	0.0279	✗	0.91
2026-03-28	oos	0.0484	0.048245	-0.32%	0.0505	+4.34%	0.0507	✗	0.91
2026-03-27	oos	0.0494	0.049217	-0.37%	0.0484	-2.02%	0.0163	✓	0.91
2026-03-26	oos	0.0461	0.046008	-0.20%	0.0494	+7.16%	0.1055	✗	0.96
2026-03-25	oos	0.047	0.046905	-0.20%	0.0461	-1.91%	0.0178	✗	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.0483	0.048197	-0.21%	0.047	-2.69%	0.0357	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.04845	0.048373	-0.16%	0.0483	-0.31%	0.0032	✗	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.0475	0.047438	-0.13%	0.04845	+2.00%	0.0219	✓	0.99
2026-03-21	oos	0.0493	0.049233	-0.14%	0.0475	-3.65%	0.0205	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.05205	0.051967	-0.16%	0.0493	-5.28%	0.0306	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.0524	0.052315	-0.16%	0.05205	-0.67%	0.0131	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.0559	0.055777	-0.22%	0.0524	-6.26%	0.0441	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.058	0.057835	-0.28%	0.0559	-3.62%	0.0022	✓	0.98
2026-03-16	oos	0.0583	0.058149	-0.26%	0.058	-0.51%	0.0102	✗	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0567	0.056561	-0.24%	0.0583	+2.82%	0.0025	✗	1.00
2026-03-14	oos	0.055	0.054897	-0.19%	0.0567	+3.09%	0.0105	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0567	0.056571	-0.23%	0.055	-3.00%	0.0322	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.0573	0.057156	-0.25%	0.0567	-1.05%	0.0138	✓	1.00
2026-03-11	oos	0.0589	0.058688	-0.36%	0.0573	-2.72%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-03-10	oos	0.0594	0.059205	-0.33%	0.0589	-0.84%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.0557	0.055611	-0.16%	0.0594	+6.64%	0.0441	✗	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.0557	0.055617	-0.15%	0.0557	+0.00%	0.0357	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.0558	0.055721	-0.14%	0.0557	-0.18%	0.0194	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.0567	0.056614	-0.15%	0.0558	-1.59%	0.0018	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.0596	0.059497	-0.17%	0.0567	-4.87%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-03-04	oos	0.0602	0.060089	-0.18%	0.0596	-1.00%	0.0156	✗	0.95
2026-03-03	oos	0.0596	0.059496	-0.17%	0.0602	+1.01%	0.0493	✓	0.99
2026-03-02	oos	0.06	0.059855	-0.24%	0.0596	-0.67%	0.0029	✗	0.99
2026-03-01	oos	0.0597	0.059503	-0.33%	0.06	+0.50%	0.0375	✓	1.01
2026-02-28	oos	0.06205	0.06198	-0.11%	0.0597	-3.79%	0.0194	✓	1.00
2026-02-27	oos	0.0616	0.061542	-0.09%	0.06205	+0.73%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.06325	0.063178	-0.11%	0.0616	-2.61%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.0653	0.065202	-0.15%	0.06325	-3.14%	0.0230	✓	1.00
2026-02-24	oos	0.06225	0.062195	-0.09%	0.0653	+4.90%	0.0111	✓	1.01
2026-02-23	oos	0.06205	0.061991	-0.09%	0.06225	+0.32%	0.0128	✗	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.0618	0.061764	-0.06%	0.06205	+0.40%	0.0511	✗	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.06575	0.06565	-0.15%	0.0618	-6.01%	0.0553	✓	1.03
2026-02-20	oos	0.06785	0.067737	-0.17%	0.06575	-3.10%	0.0293	✓	1.03
2026-02-19	oos	0.0662	0.066144	-0.08%	0.06785	+2.49%	0.0101	✗	1.03
2026-02-18	oos	0.06635	0.066334	-0.02%	0.0662	-0.23%	0.0106	✓	1.03
2026-02-17	oos	0.06845	0.068418	-0.05%	0.06635	-3.07%	0.0143	✓	1.05
2026-02-16	oos	0.07075	0.070699	-0.07%	0.06845	-3.25%	0.0108	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.0695	0.069476	-0.03%	0.07075	+1.80%	0.0172	✗	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07265	0.072581	-0.10%	0.0695	-4.34%	0.0283	✓	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.0717	0.071678	-0.03%	0.07265	+1.32%	0.0014	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.07005	0.070074	+0.03%	0.0717	+2.36%	0.0180	✗	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.0699	0.069937	+0.05%	0.07005	+0.21%	0.0149	✓	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.07125	0.071262	+0.02%	0.0699	-1.89%	0.0094	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.07485	0.074792	-0.08%	0.07125	-4.81%	0.0282	✓	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.0779	0.077747	-0.20%	0.07485	-3.92%	0.0353	✓	1.06
2026-02-07	oos	0.0743	0.074366	+0.09%	0.0779	+4.85%	0.0313	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.0742	0.074265	+0.09%	0.0743	+0.13%	0.0178	✓	0.94
2026-02-05	oos	0.0672	0.067531	+0.49%	0.0742	+10.42%	0.0147	✗	0.94
2026-02-04	oos	0.0784	0.078432	+0.04%	0.0672	-14.29%	0.0426	✓	1.31
2026-02-03	oos	0.0804	0.080365	-0.04%	0.0784	-2.49%	0.0220	✗	1.31
2026-02-02	oos	0.0816	0.081524	-0.09%	0.0804	-1.47%	0.0385	✗	1.34
2026-02-01	oos	0.081	0.080973	-0.03%	0.0816	+0.74%	0.0223	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0825	0.08242	-0.10%	0.081	-1.82%	0.0144	✗	1.41
2026-01-30	oos	0.0903	0.090076	-0.25%	0.0825	-8.64%	0.0071	✗	1.41
2026-01-29	oos	0.0917	0.091496	-0.22%	0.0903	-1.53%	0.0064	✓	1.42
2026-01-28	oos	0.0973	0.097033	-0.27%	0.0917	-5.76%	0.0205	✗	1.44
2026-01-27	oos	0.1	0.099708	-0.29%	0.0973	-2.70%	0.0252	✓	1.46
2026-01-26	oos	0.1002	0.099907	-0.29%	0.1	-0.20%	0.0133	✓	1.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.0946	0.094404	-0.21%	0.1002	+5.92%	0.0317	✗	1.45
2026-01-24	oos	0.1001	0.09982	-0.28%	0.0946	-5.49%	0.0125	✓	1.43
2026-01-23	oos	0.1008	0.100525	-0.27%	0.1001	-0.69%	0.0020	✓	1.43
2026-01-22	oos	0.1021	0.10176	-0.33%	0.1008	-1.27%	0.0097	✓	1.43
2026-01-21	oos	0.1043	0.103947	-0.34%	0.1021	-2.11%	0.0195	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	0.1007	0.100341	-0.36%	0.1043	+3.57%	0.0219	✗	1.42
2026-01-19	oos	0.1108	0.110039	-0.69%	0.1007	-9.12%	0.0238	✓	1.38
2026-01-18	oos	0.1163	0.114917	-1.19%	0.1108	-4.73%	0.0205	✓	1.38
2026-01-17	oos	0.1181	0.116528	-1.33%	0.1163	-1.52%	0.0196	✗	1.38
2026-01-16	oos	0.1102	0.109627	-0.52%	0.1181	+7.17%	0.0802	✗	1.39
2026-01-15	oos	0.108	0.107311	-0.64%	0.1102	+2.04%	0.0278	✗	1.39
2026-01-14	oos	0.1115	0.110764	-0.66%	0.108	-3.14%	0.0056	✓	1.39
2026-01-13	oos	0.1132	0.112421	-0.69%	0.1115	-1.50%	0.0313	✓	1.41
2026-01-12	oos	0.1046	0.104017	-0.56%	0.1132	+8.22%	0.0212	✗	1.41
2026-01-11	oos	0.1058	0.105203	-0.56%	0.1046	-1.13%	0.0107	✓	1.42
2026-01-10	oos	0.1077	0.107112	-0.55%	0.1058	-1.76%	0.0202	✓	1.43
2026-01-09	oos	0.1094	0.108788	-0.56%	0.1077	-1.55%	0.0077	✓	1.51
2026-01-08	oos	0.1096	0.108953	-0.59%	0.1094	-0.18%	0.0129	✗	1.57
2026-01-07	oos	0.1112	0.11053	-0.60%	0.1096	-1.44%	0.0035	✓	1.78
2026-01-06	oos	0.117	0.116126	-0.75%	0.1112	-4.96%	0.0037	✓	1.78
2026-01-05	oos	0.115	0.114079	-0.80%	0.117	+1.74%	0.0281	✗	1.78
2026-01-04	oos	0.1101	0.109411	-0.63%	0.115	+4.45%	0.0037	✓	1.80
2026-01-03	oos	0.1087	0.108054	-0.59%	0.1101	+1.29%	0.0010	✓	1.81
2026-01-02	oos	0.1068	0.106175	-0.59%	0.1087	+1.78%	0.0108	✗	1.80
2026-01-01	oos	0.1056	0.104981	-0.59%	0.1068	+1.14%	0.0074	✓	1.80
2025-12-31	oos	0.0989	0.098411	-0.49%	0.1056	+6.77%	0.0455	✗	1.77
2025-12-30	oos	0.1007	0.10018	-0.52%	0.0989	-1.79%	0.0052	✗	1.77
2025-12-29	oos	0.1013	0.100762	-0.53%	0.1007	-0.59%	0.0264	✓	1.76
2025-12-28	oos	0.1043	0.103708	-0.57%	0.1013	-2.88%	0.0081	✓	1.75
2025-12-27	oos	0.1068	0.10607	-0.68%	0.1043	-2.34%	0.0182	✓	1.74
2025-12-26	oos	0.1004	0.099908	-0.49%	0.1068	+6.37%	0.0567	✗	1.72
2025-12-25	oos	0.0984	0.097987	-0.42%	0.1004	+2.03%	0.0219	✗	1.71
2025-12-24	oos	0.0998	0.099381	-0.42%	0.0984	-1.40%	0.0013	✓	1.72
2025-12-23	oos	0.1	0.099584	-0.42%	0.0998	-0.20%	0.0014	✓	1.71
2025-12-22	oos	0.1003	0.099884	-0.41%	0.1	-0.30%	0.0231	✗	1.71
2025-12-21	oos	0.1012	0.100808	-0.39%	0.1003	-0.89%	0.0034	✓	1.71
2025-12-20	oos	0.1079	0.107427	-0.44%	0.1012	-6.21%	0.0659	✓	1.74
2025-12-19	oos	0.1045	0.104077	-0.40%	0.1079	+3.25%	0.0315	✗	1.73
2025-12-18	oos	0.0998	0.09946	-0.34%	0.1045	+4.71%	0.0033	✓	1.74
2025-12-17	oos	0.1018	0.10144	-0.35%	0.0998	-1.96%	0.0011	✓	1.74
2025-12-16	oos	0.1138	0.11317	-0.55%	0.1018	-10.54%	0.0735	✓	1.71
2025-12-15	oos	0.1114	0.110697	-0.63%	0.1138	+2.15%	0.0007	✓	1.72
2025-12-14	oos	0.1104	0.109965	-0.39%	0.1114	+0.91%	0.0478	✗	1.73
2025-12-13	oos	0.1163	0.115734	-0.49%	0.1104	-5.07%	0.0069	✓	1.72
2025-12-12	oos	0.1123	0.111811	-0.44%	0.1163	+3.56%	0.0398	✗	1.72
2025-12-11	oos	0.1167	0.11609	-0.52%	0.1123	-3.77%	0.0096	✗	1.73
2025-12-10	oos	0.1163	0.115665	-0.55%	0.1167	+0.34%	0.0006	✓	1.73
2025-12-09	oos	0.1182	0.117523	-0.57%	0.1163	-1.61%	0.0018	✓	1.73
2025-12-08	oos	0.1121	0.111575	-0.47%	0.1182	+5.44%	0.0206	✗	1.67
2025-12-07	oos	0.1072	0.106777	-0.39%	0.1121	+4.57%	0.0440	✗	1.66
2025-12-06	oos	0.1145	0.113895	-0.53%	0.1072	-6.38%	0.0820	✓	1.69
2025-12-05	oos	0.128	0.126635	-1.07%	0.1145	-10.55%	0.0993	✓	1.69
2025-12-04	oos	0.1123	0.111822	-0.43%	0.128	+13.98%	0.1901	✗	1.81
2025-12-03	oos	0.1142	0.113695	-0.44%	0.1123	-1.66%	0.0143	✗	1.82
2025-12-02	oos	0.1113	0.11082	-0.43%	0.1142	+2.61%	0.0125	✓	1.83
2025-12-01	oos	0.1068	0.106569	-0.22%	0.1113	+4.21%	0.0655	✓	1.92
2025-11-30	oos	0.11205	0.111714	-0.30%	0.1068	-4.69%	0.0458	✗	1.96
2025-11-29	oos	0.1143	0.113948	-0.31%	0.11205	-1.97%	0.0069	✓	1.95
2025-11-28	oos	0.11715	0.116783	-0.31%	0.1143	-2.43%	0.0199	✓	1.96
2025-11-27	oos	0.11915	0.118781	-0.31%	0.11715	-1.68%	0.0049	✓	1.96
2025-11-26	oos	0.1207	0.120323	-0.31%	0.11915	-1.28%	0.0280	✓	1.95
2025-11-25	oos	0.11905	0.11873	-0.27%	0.1207	+1.39%	0.0545	✓	2.01
2025-11-24	oos	0.11905	0.118688	-0.30%	0.11905	+0.00%	0.0246	✗	2.01
2025-11-23	oos	0.11545	0.115261	-0.16%	0.11905	+3.12%	0.0012	✓	2.02
2025-11-22	oos	0.11335	0.113298	-0.05%	0.11545	+1.85%	0.0322	✓	2.06
2025-11-21	oos	0.11505	0.114988	-0.05%	0.11335	-1.48%	0.0050	✓	2.06
2025-11-20	oos	0.1204	0.120222	-0.15%	0.11505	-4.44%	0.0089	✓	2.05
2025-11-19	oos	0.1315	0.130952	-0.42%	0.1204	-8.44%	0.0336	✗	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.13865	0.138013	-0.46%	0.1315	-5.16%	0.0150	✓	2.12
2025-11-17	oos	0.1388	0.138254	-0.39%	0.13865	-0.11%	0.0159	✓	2.13
2025-11-16	oos	0.1458	0.144993	-0.55%	0.1388	-4.80%	0.0037	✓	2.11
2025-11-15	oos	0.15355	0.152199	-0.88%	0.1458	-5.05%	0.0127	✓	2.11
2025-11-14	oos	0.15435	0.153006	-0.87%	0.15355	-0.52%	0.0197	✓	2.12
2025-11-13	oos	0.1688	0.166641	-1.28%	0.15435	-8.56%	0.0370	✗	2.16
2025-11-12	oos	0.1803	0.176825	-1.93%	0.1688	-6.38%	0.0032	✓	2.15
2025-11-11	oos	0.1816	0.17626	-2.94%	0.1803	-0.72%	0.0518	✗	2.18
2025-11-10	oos	0.1691	0.166307	-1.65%	0.1816	+7.39%	0.1524	✗	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.1922	0.18654	-2.94%	0.1691	-12.02%	0.1267	✓	2.34
2025-11-08	oos	0.2354	0.224062	-4.82%	0.1922	-18.35%	0.2124	✓	2.53
2025-11-07	oos	0.2042	0.194125	-4.93%	0.2354	+15.28%	0.2173	✗	2.52
2025-11-06	oos	0.0983	0.098174	-0.13%	0.2042	+107.73%	0.6913	✗	2.11
2025-11-05	oos	0.0977	0.097591	-0.11%	0.0983	+0.61%	0.0612	✗	2.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.09315	0.093148	-0.00%	0.0977	+4.88%	0.0024	✓	2.14
2025-11-03	oos	0.0955	0.095469	-0.03%	0.09315	-2.46%	0.0866	✗	2.27
2025-11-02	oos	0.1125	0.1122	-0.27%	0.0955	-15.11%	0.0808	✓	2.19
2025-11-01	oos	0.11275	0.112449	-0.27%	0.1125	-0.22%	0.0092	✓	2.20
2025-10-31	oos	0.1085	0.108303	-0.18%	0.11275	+3.92%	0.0302	✗	2.21
2025-10-30	oos	0.1069	0.106741	-0.15%	0.1085	+1.50%	0.0090	✓	2.21
2025-10-29	oos	0.11435	0.114122	-0.20%	0.1069	-6.52%	0.0311	✓	2.17
2025-10-28	oos	0.11665	0.116383	-0.23%	0.11435	-1.97%	0.0400	✗	2.23
2025-10-27	oos	0.1229	0.122563	-0.27%	0.11665	-5.09%	0.0263	✓	2.23
2025-10-26	oos	0.12715	0.126775	-0.29%	0.1229	-3.34%	0.0221	✓	2.22
2025-10-25	oos	0.12355	0.123264	-0.23%	0.12715	+2.91%	0.0266	✓	2.26
2025-10-24	oos	0.12425	0.12399	-0.21%	0.12355	-0.56%	0.0163	✓	2.27
2025-10-23	oos	0.12295	0.122747	-0.17%	0.12425	+1.06%	0.0068	✓	2.27
2025-10-22	oos	0.11955	0.119464	-0.07%	0.12295	+2.84%	0.0242	✓	2.28
2025-10-21	oos	0.1223	0.122194	-0.09%	0.11955	-2.25%	0.0055	✓	2.28
2025-10-20	oos	0.1289	0.128671	-0.18%	0.1223	-5.12%	0.0045	✓	2.29
2025-10-19	oos	0.12785	0.127706	-0.11%	0.1289	+0.82%	0.0298	✓	2.27
2025-10-18	oos	0.1233	0.123287	-0.01%	0.12785	+3.69%	0.0056	✗	2.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.1228	0.122824	+0.02%	0.1233	+0.41%	0.0119	✗	2.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.1263	0.126224	-0.06%	0.1228	-2.77%	0.0091	✗	2.26
2025-10-15	oos	0.13265	0.132482	-0.13%	0.1263	-4.79%	0.0060	✗	2.26
2025-10-14	oos	0.14015	0.13984	-0.22%	0.13265	-5.35%	0.0072	✓	2.25
2025-10-13	oos	0.147	0.14659	-0.28%	0.14015	-4.66%	0.0013	✓	2.26
2025-10-12	oos	0.1403	0.139911	-0.28%	0.147	+4.78%	0.0455	✗	2.18
2025-10-11	oos	0.1241	0.12399	-0.09%	0.1403	+13.05%	0.0430	✗	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1452	0.144834	-0.25%	0.1241	-14.53%	0.1143	✓	2.03
2025-10-09	oos	0.1853	0.18463	-0.36%	0.1452	-21.64%	0.1129	✓	1.71
2025-10-08	oos	0.18885	0.188155	-0.37%	0.1853	-1.88%	0.0074	✗	1.70
2025-10-07	oos	0.18365	0.182964	-0.37%	0.18885	+2.83%	0.0039	✗	1.74
2025-10-06	oos	0.19855	0.19765	-0.45%	0.18365	-7.50%	0.0272	✓	1.71
2025-10-05	oos	0.19095	0.190215	-0.38%	0.19855	+3.98%	0.0264	✗	1.70
2025-10-04	oos	0.1939	0.193148	-0.39%	0.19095	-1.52%	0.0261	✓	1.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.19925	0.19834	-0.46%	0.1939	-2.69%	0.0246	✓	1.70
2025-10-02	oos	0.19705	0.195796	-0.64%	0.19925	+1.12%	0.0064	✓	1.71
2025-10-01	oos	0.19565	0.194965	-0.35%	0.19705	+0.72%	0.0180	✓	1.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.18695	0.186357	-0.32%	0.19565	+4.65%	0.0223	✓	1.80
2025-09-29	oos	0.18825	0.187608	-0.34%	0.18695	-0.69%	0.0012	✓	1.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.18935	0.188642	-0.37%	0.18825	-0.58%	0.0378	✓	1.87
2025-09-27	oos	0.186	0.185427	-0.31%	0.18935	+1.80%	0.0221	✓	1.90
2025-09-26	oos	0.1841	0.183501	-0.33%	0.186	+1.03%	0.0138	✗	1.90
2025-09-25	oos	0.1761	0.175515	-0.33%	0.1841	+4.54%	0.0363	✗	1.90
2025-09-24	oos	0.1864	0.185605	-0.43%	0.1761	-5.53%	0.0224	✗	1.93
2025-09-23	oos	0.18475	0.183791	-0.52%	0.1864	+0.89%	0.0087	✓	1.93
2025-09-22	oos	0.1838	0.183049	-0.41%	0.18475	+0.52%	0.0214	✗	1.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.19775	0.196872	-0.44%	0.1838	-7.05%	0.0271	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.20095	0.200014	-0.47%	0.19775	-1.59%	0.0035	✓	1.93
2025-09-19	oos	0.1998	0.198841	-0.48%	0.20095	+0.58%	0.0095	✗	1.95
2025-09-18	oos	0.21125	0.210108	-0.54%	0.1998	-5.42%	0.0267	✓	1.93

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.