FLORK

FLORK · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4

token id: #763
symbol: FLORK
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xf40592daacb3e5abf358789f5688c0b4f64d7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-20
predictions: 540

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

175

of 180 predictions shown

direction hit

56.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1234

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0007

actual -0.0420

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.003933	0.003915	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	5.23
2026-10-20	oos	0.004125	0.004096	-0.70%	0.003933	-4.67%	0.0257	✓	5.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.004032	0.004007	-0.61%	0.004125	+2.32%	0.0402	✓	5.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.003454	0.003454	-0.01%	0.004032	+16.73%	0.1654	✗	5.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.00347	0.003473	+0.09%	0.003454	-0.46%	0.0449	✗	5.14
2026-10-16	oos	0.003774	0.003764	-0.27%	0.00347	-8.06%	0.0737	✓	5.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.003348	0.00336	+0.39%	0.003774	+12.74%	0.1549	✓	5.10
2026-10-14	oos	0.003046	0.003075	+0.94%	0.003348	+9.90%	0.0505	✓	5.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.003451	0.003469	+0.53%	0.003046	-11.74%	0.0348	✗	5.11
2026-10-12	oos	0.003467	0.003493	+0.74%	0.003451	-0.46%	0.0972	✗	5.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.004396	0.004382	-0.30%	0.003467	-21.12%	0.1261	✓	4.62
2026-10-10	oos	0.004267	0.00427	+0.09%	0.004396	+3.02%	0.0123	✗	4.48
2026-10-09	oos	0.004635	0.004622	-0.28%	0.004267	-7.95%	0.0999	✓	4.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.003808	0.003842	+0.89%	0.004635	+21.70%	0.1421	✓	4.37
2026-10-07	oos	0.00422	0.004243	+0.56%	0.003808	-9.74%	0.0253	✗	4.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.004727	0.004727	-0.00%	0.00422	-10.75%	0.0108	✗	4.64
2026-10-05	oos	0.005032	0.005019	-0.25%	0.004727	-6.04%	0.0478	✓	4.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.005847	0.005781	-1.14%	0.005032	-13.95%	0.0961	✓	4.85
2026-10-03	oos	0.006506	0.006406	-1.54%	0.005847	-10.13%	0.1917	✓	4.87
2026-10-02	oos	0.005842	0.005807	-0.60%	0.006506	+11.37%	0.1002	✗	4.78
2026-10-01	oos	0.006148	0.006097	-0.83%	0.005842	-4.98%	0.0233	✓	4.76
2026-09-30	oos	0.006403	0.006353	-0.78%	0.006148	-3.98%	0.1098	✓	5.02
2026-09-29	oos	0.007246	0.007128	-1.63%	0.006403	-11.64%	0.1022	✓	5.23
2026-09-28	oos	0.006295	0.006264	-0.51%	0.007246	+15.10%	0.1347	✗	5.04
2026-09-27	oos	0.006935	0.006857	-1.12%	0.006295	-9.22%	0.0249	✓	5.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.00719	0.0071	-1.25%	0.006935	-3.55%	0.0263	✓	5.06
2026-09-25	oos	0.006766	0.00672	-0.67%	0.00719	+6.27%	0.0481	✗	5.06
2026-09-24	oos	0.008768	0.008529	-2.73%	0.006766	-22.83%	0.2142	✓	5.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.007721	0.007597	-1.61%	0.008768	+13.56%	0.1429	✗	5.03
2026-09-22	oos	0.006789	0.006732	-0.84%	0.007721	+13.73%	0.2521	✗	5.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.007053	0.006976	-1.10%	0.006789	-3.75%	0.0023	✓	5.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.006691	0.006705	+0.21%	0.007053	+5.42%	0.3540	✗	6.24
2026-09-19	oos	0.007862	0.007829	-0.42%	0.006691	-14.89%	0.1514	✓	6.23
2026-09-18	oos	0.009109	0.008976	-1.46%	0.007862	-13.69%	0.1597	✓	6.13
2026-09-17	oos	0.006408	0.00645	+0.66%	0.009109	+42.15%	0.0102	✓	5.82
2026-09-16	oos	0.005785	0.00584	+0.96%	0.006408	+10.77%	0.0770	✓	5.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.004084	0.004135	+1.26%	0.005785	+41.67%	0.2943	✓	5.61
2026-09-14	oos	0.007517	0.007573	+0.75%	0.004084	-45.68%	0.4625	✗	4.60
2026-09-13	oos	0.006585	0.006655	+1.06%	0.007517	+14.15%	0.0431	✓	4.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.009079	0.009121	+0.47%	0.006585	-27.47%	0.2992	✗	4.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.00891	0.008945	+0.40%	0.009079	+1.90%	0.0118	✓	4.34
2026-09-10	oos	0.010048	0.010023	-0.25%	0.00891	-11.33%	0.1560	✓	4.38
2026-09-09	oos	0.006942	0.005975	-13.93%	0.010048	+44.74%	0.6400	✗	5.32
2026-09-08	oos	0.013098	0.012902	-1.50%	0.006942	-47.00%	0.6092	✓	5.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.016474	0.016335	-0.84%	0.013098	-20.49%	0.1805	✓	4.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.019363	0.019272	-0.47%	0.016474	-14.92%	0.0829	✓	4.73
2026-09-05	oos	0.022837	0.022731	-0.46%	0.019363	-15.21%	0.1908	✓	4.80
2026-09-04	oos	0.018725	0.018643	-0.44%	0.022837	+21.96%	0.1940	✗	4.55
2026-09-03	oos	0.02597	0.025822	-0.57%	0.018725	-27.90%	0.2373	✓	4.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.019537	0.019448	-0.46%	0.02597	+32.92%	0.1195	✗	3.40
2026-08-03	oos	0.00012	0.000119941	-0.05%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2026-08-02	oos	0.0001374	0.000136559	-0.61%	0.00012	-12.66%	0.1282	✓	1.96
2026-08-01	oos	0.0001501	0.000148512	-1.06%	0.0001374	-8.46%	0.1032	✓	2.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0002767	0.000267348	-3.38%	0.0001501	-45.75%	0.5751	✓	2.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.000324	0.000300592	-7.22%	0.0002767	-14.60%	0.0190	✓	2.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.0001227	0.000123836	+0.93%	0.000324	+164.06%	0.9424	✓	1.51
2026-07-28	oos	0.0001533	0.000153817	+0.34%	0.0001227	-19.96%	0.2272	✗	1.57
2026-07-27	oos	0.0001458	0.000146789	+0.68%	0.0001533	+5.14%	0.0398	✓	1.51
2026-07-26	oos	0.0001474	0.00014836	+0.65%	0.0001458	-1.09%	0.0269	✓	1.74
2026-07-25	oos	0.0001242	0.000125762	+1.26%	0.0001474	+18.68%	0.1320	✓	1.66
2026-07-24	oos	0.0001469	0.000148442	+1.05%	0.0001242	-15.45%	0.1835	✗	1.57
2026-07-23	oos	0.0001482	0.000149813	+1.09%	0.0001469	-0.88%	0.0038	✓	1.57
2026-07-22	oos	0.0001463	0.00014798	+1.15%	0.0001482	+1.30%	0.0250	✓	1.49
2026-07-21	oos	0.0001807	0.000182112	+0.78%	0.0001463	-19.04%	0.2093	✗	1.49
2026-07-20	oos	0.0001782	0.000179983	+1.00%	0.0001807	+1.40%	0.0249	✗	1.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.0001866	0.000188534	+1.04%	0.0001782	-4.50%	0.0683	✗	1.46
2026-07-18	oos	0.0002258	0.000227463	+0.74%	0.0001866	-17.36%	0.1954	✗	1.46
2026-07-17	oos	0.0002712	0.000272104	+0.33%	0.0002258	-16.74%	0.2083	✗	1.55
2026-07-16	oos	0.0002521	0.000253783	+0.67%	0.0002712	+7.58%	0.0634	✓	1.54
2026-07-15	oos	0.0002931	0.000293783	+0.23%	0.0002521	-13.99%	0.1310	✗	1.50
2026-07-14	oos	0.000341	0.00033969	-0.38%	0.0002931	-14.05%	0.1413	✓	1.49
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003621	0.000361181	-0.25%	0.000341	-5.83%	0.1272	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.000379	0.000376178	-0.74%	0.0003621	-4.46%	0.0008	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003995	0.000394987	-1.13%	0.000379	-5.13%	0.0405	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.0003957	0.000390347	-1.35%	0.0003995	+0.96%	0.0325	✗	1.67
2026-07-09	oos	0.0004508	0.000440129	-2.37%	0.0003957	-12.22%	0.1327	✓	1.75
2026-07-08	oos	0.000301	0.000280261	-6.89%	0.0004508	+49.77%	0.4539	✗	1.43
2026-07-07	oos	0.00047	0.000448335	-4.61%	0.000301	-35.96%	0.3779	✓	1.19
2026-07-06	oos	0.0004803	0.00044158	-8.06%	0.00047	-2.14%	0.0752	✓	1.20
2026-07-05	oos	0.00082	0.000796474	-2.87%	0.0004803	-41.43%	0.5149	✓	1.39
2026-07-04	oos	0.001078	0.001053	-2.33%	0.00082	-23.93%	0.2617	✓	1.50
2026-07-03	oos	0.001188	0.001148	-3.34%	0.001078	-9.26%	0.0771	✓	1.54
2026-07-02	oos	0.000855	0.000833553	-2.51%	0.001188	+38.95%	0.3337	✗	1.24
2026-07-01	oos	0.000655	0.000638663	-2.49%	0.000855	+30.53%	0.2700	✗	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.000741	0.000722517	-2.49%	0.000655	-11.61%	0.1223	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	2.94e-7	2.96e-7	+0.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	3.12e-7	3.13e-7	+0.61%	2.94e-7	-5.67%	0.0489	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	3.36e-7	3.38e-7	+0.58%	3.12e-7	-7.29%	0.0935	✗	1.03
2026-06-18	oos	2.98e-7	3.00e-7	+0.87%	3.36e-7	+12.90%	0.1040	✓	0.93
2026-06-17	oos	3.46e-7	3.49e-7	+0.64%	2.98e-7	-14.11%	0.1378	✗	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	3.72e-7	3.74e-7	+0.53%	3.46e-7	-6.98%	0.0626	✗	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	4.01e-7	4.03e-7	+0.37%	3.72e-7	-7.15%	0.0697	✗	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	3.38e-7	3.41e-7	+0.85%	4.01e-7	+18.80%	0.1578	✓	0.69
2026-06-13	oos	3.52e-7	3.55e-7	+0.90%	3.38e-7	-4.04%	0.0638	✗	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	3.57e-7	3.60e-7	+0.99%	3.52e-7	-1.37%	0.0330	✗	0.67
2026-06-11	oos	4.01e-7	4.04e-7	+0.86%	3.57e-7	-11.02%	0.1251	✗	0.68
2026-06-10	oos	3.75e-7	3.80e-7	+1.15%	4.01e-7	+6.88%	0.0393	✓	0.46
2026-06-09	oos	3.74e-7	3.79e-7	+1.28%	3.75e-7	+0.37%	0.0072	✓	0.46
2026-06-08	oos	3.97e-7	4.02e-7	+1.30%	3.74e-7	-5.82%	0.0626	✗	0.47
2026-06-07	oos	4.64e-7	4.70e-7	+1.13%	3.97e-7	-14.52%	0.1663	✗	0.47
2026-06-06	oos	4.55e-7	4.61e-7	+1.34%	4.64e-7	+2.04%	0.0050	✓	0.30
2026-06-05	oos	4.48e-7	4.55e-7	+1.51%	4.55e-7	+1.56%	0.0014	✓	0.29
2026-06-04	oos	4.85e-7	4.92e-7	+1.51%	4.48e-7	-7.55%	0.0820	✗	0.26
2026-06-03	oos	5.80e-7	5.87e-7	+1.31%	4.85e-7	-16.38%	0.1909	✗	0.27
2026-06-02	oos	5.62e-7	5.70e-7	+1.46%	5.80e-7	+3.17%	0.0394	✓	0.57
2026-06-01	oos	6.00e-7	6.08e-7	+1.26%	5.62e-7	-6.45%	0.0254	✗	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	6.74e-7	6.80e-7	+0.90%	6.00e-7	-10.88%	0.1044	✗	0.63
2026-05-30	oos	5.84e-7	5.92e-7	+1.42%	6.74e-7	+15.40%	0.1309	✓	0.67
2026-05-29	oos	6.58e-7	6.67e-7	+1.29%	5.84e-7	-11.33%	0.1372	✗	0.74
2026-05-28	oos	6.43e-7	6.53e-7	+1.46%	6.58e-7	+2.35%	0.0102	✓	0.74
2026-05-27	oos	6.33e-7	6.43e-7	+1.56%	6.43e-7	+1.66%	0.0104	✓	0.87
2026-05-26	oos	7.17e-7	7.27e-7	+1.34%	6.33e-7	-11.74%	0.1238	✗	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	6.90e-7	7.01e-7	+1.47%	7.17e-7	+3.85%	0.0432	✓	1.07
2026-05-24	oos	7.49e-7	7.60e-7	+1.45%	6.90e-7	-7.82%	0.0997	✗	1.09
2026-05-23	oos	8.02e-7	8.14e-7	+1.45%	7.49e-7	-6.61%	0.0874	✗	1.10
2026-05-22	oos	7.61e-7	7.74e-7	+1.69%	8.02e-7	+5.39%	0.0232	✓	0.79
2026-05-21	oos	9.46e-7	9.59e-7	+1.41%	7.61e-7	-19.56%	0.2041	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.000001063	0.000001077	+1.33%	9.46e-7	-11.01%	0.1307	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.000001057	0.000001073	+1.48%	0.000001063	+0.57%	0.0182	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.000001316	0.000001332	+1.21%	0.000001057	-19.68%	0.2289	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.000001395	0.000001412	+1.21%	0.000001316	-5.66%	0.0643	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.000001587	0.000001603	+1.02%	0.000001395	-12.10%	0.1301	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.000001354	0.000001373	+1.44%	0.000001587	+17.21%	0.1566	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.000001393	0.000001414	+1.49%	0.000001354	-2.80%	0.0180	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.000001677	0.000001701	+1.42%	0.000001393	-16.94%	0.2220	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.000001585	0.000001611	+1.61%	0.000001677	+5.80%	0.0554	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.000001818	0.000001845	+1.51%	0.000001585	-12.82%	0.1368	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.000002312	0.000002338	+1.11%	0.000001818	-21.37%	0.2456	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.000002772	0.000002793	+0.76%	0.000002312	-16.59%	0.2080	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.000002647	0.000002675	+1.07%	0.000002772	+4.72%	0.0297	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.000002433	0.000002466	+1.35%	0.000002647	+8.80%	0.0686	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.000003582	0.000003584	+0.06%	0.000002433	-32.08%	0.3696	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.000003919	0.000003905	-0.35%	0.000003582	-8.60%	0.0930	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.000005398	0.000005255	-2.64%	0.000003919	-27.40%	0.3065	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.000004105	0.00000408	-0.62%	0.000005398	+31.50%	0.2637	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.000003748	0.000003743	-0.13%	0.000004105	+9.53%	0.0938	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.000003913	0.000003898	-0.38%	0.000003748	-4.22%	0.0450	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.0002259	0.000224314	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.0002195	0.000217889	-0.73%	0.0002259	+2.92%	0.0197	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.0002045	0.000203169	-0.65%	0.0002195	+7.33%	0.0378	✗	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.0002157	0.000214257	-0.67%	0.0002045	-5.19%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.0007511	0.000754176	+0.41%	–	pending	–	–	2.15
2025-04-07	in	0.0007467	0.000749517	+0.38%	0.0007511	+0.59%	0.0849	✓	2.23
2025-04-06	in	0.0006971	0.000701719	+0.66%	0.0007467	+7.12%	0.0406	✓	2.20
2025-04-05	in	0.0007712	0.00077326	+0.27%	0.0006971	-9.61%	0.0413	✓	2.29
2025-04-04	in	0.0007747	0.000777131	+0.31%	0.0007712	-0.45%	0.0022	✓	2.29
2025-04-03	in	0.0007187	0.000724099	+0.75%	0.0007747	+7.79%	0.0489	✓	2.27
2025-04-02	in	0.0007508	0.000756511	+0.76%	0.0007187	-4.28%	0.0701	✗	2.28
2025-04-01	in	0.0008037	0.000807723	+0.50%	0.0007508	-6.58%	0.0004	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.000813	0.000818631	+0.69%	0.0008037	-1.14%	0.0920	✗	2.34
2025-03-30	in	0.000721	0.000729892	+1.23%	0.000813	+12.76%	0.1035	✓	2.32
2025-03-29	in	0.000678	0.000687987	+1.47%	0.000721	+6.34%	0.0535	✓	2.32
2025-03-28	in	0.000881	0.000887494	+0.74%	0.000678	-23.04%	0.2218	✗	2.25
2025-03-27	in	0.000913	0.000918562	+0.61%	0.000881	-3.50%	0.0341	✓	2.29
2025-03-26	in	0.0012	0.0012	-0.02%	0.000913	-23.92%	0.2809	✓	2.34
2025-03-25	in	0.001273	0.001271	-0.14%	0.0012	-5.73%	0.0442	✓	2.33
2025-03-24	in	0.001297	0.001295	-0.14%	0.001273	-1.85%	0.0147	✓	2.33
2025-03-23	in	0.001292	0.001293	+0.05%	0.001297	+0.39%	0.0351	✗	2.34
2025-03-22	in	0.001276	0.00128	+0.30%	0.001292	+1.25%	0.0527	✗	2.36
2025-03-21	in	0.001337	0.00134	+0.26%	0.001276	-4.56%	0.0468	✗	1.00
2025-03-20	in	0.001296	0.001302	+0.47%	0.001337	+3.16%	0.0279	✓	1.00
2025-03-19	in	0.001529	0.001526	-0.21%	0.001296	-15.24%	0.1317	✓	1.00
2025-03-18	in	0.001389	0.001396	+0.51%	0.001529	+10.08%	0.0416	✓	1.00
2025-03-17	in	0.00133	0.00134	+0.73%	0.001389	+4.44%	0.0519	✓	1.00
2025-03-16	in	0.00128	0.001293	+1.01%	0.00133	+3.91%	0.0108	✓	1.00
2025-03-15	in	0.001394	0.001406	+0.85%	0.00128	-8.18%	0.0723	✗	1.00
2025-03-14	in	0.001647	0.001654	+0.45%	0.001394	-15.36%	0.1757	✗	1.00
2025-03-13	in	0.001567	0.00158	+0.85%	0.001647	+5.11%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2025-03-12	in	0.001934	0.001934	+0.01%	0.001567	-18.98%	0.1792	✗	1.00
2025-03-11	in	0.001798	0.001805	+0.42%	0.001934	+7.56%	0.0598	✓	1.00
2025-03-10	in	0.00146	0.001479	+1.33%	0.001798	+23.15%	0.1409	✓	1.00
2025-03-09	in	0.001635	0.001652	+1.05%	0.00146	-10.70%	0.0966	✗	1.00
2025-03-08	in	0.001889	0.001896	+0.36%	0.001635	-13.45%	0.0820	✗	1.00
2025-03-07	in	0.002226	0.002224	-0.07%	0.001889	-15.14%	0.1571	✓	1.00
2025-03-06	in	0.002583	0.002574	-0.35%	0.002226	-13.82%	0.1094	✓	1.00
2025-03-05	in	0.002641	0.002632	-0.36%	0.002583	-2.20%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2025-03-04	in	0.002791	0.002784	-0.23%	0.002641	-5.37%	0.0906	✓	1.00
2025-03-03	in	0.00273	0.002725	-0.17%	0.002791	+2.23%	0.0112	✗	1.00
2025-03-02	in	0.00327	0.003247	-0.71%	0.00273	-16.51%	0.0834	✓	1.00
2025-03-01	in	0.002594	0.00259	-0.15%	0.00327	+26.06%	0.1415	✗	1.00