FATCOIN
FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s4
- token id
- #811
- symbol
- FATCOIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-04
- predictions
- 117
Track record at +7d
assessed
32
of 39 predictions shown
direction hit
59.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4898
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1858
actual -0.2940
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003623 | 0.000341255 | -5.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003674 | 0.000345301 | -6.01% | – | pending | – | – | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.0003527 | 0.000338617 | -3.99% | – | pending | – | – | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004097 | 0.000384613 | -6.12% | – | pending | – | – | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043515 | 0.000406159 | -6.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.000357 | 0.00035344 | -1.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.35 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00038465 | 0.000377692 | -1.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.37 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00040915 | 0.000401868 | -1.78% | 0.0003623 | -11.45% | 0.1084 | ✓ | 0.35 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.0003266 | 0.000334795 | +2.51% | 0.0003674 | +12.49% | 0.0946 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00035135 | 0.000361004 | +2.75% | 0.0003527 | +0.38% | 0.0242 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000385 | 0.000390778 | +1.50% | 0.0004097 | +6.42% | 0.0652 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00037315 | 0.000384672 | +3.09% | 0.00043515 | +16.62% | 0.1382 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.00040435 | 0.000416045 | +2.89% | 0.000357 | -11.71% | 0.1430 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00036805 | 0.000386198 | +4.93% | 0.00038465 | +4.51% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.000506 | 0.000510737 | +0.94% | 0.00040915 | -19.14% | 0.2150 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00038745 | 0.000405026 | +4.54% | 0.0003266 | -15.71% | 0.1762 | ✗ | 1.35 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.00035605 | 0.000376669 | +5.79% | 0.00035135 | -1.32% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0004861 | 0.000500907 | +3.05% | 0.000385 | -20.80% | 0.2205 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.00051235 | 0.0005321 | +3.85% | 0.00037315 | -27.17% | 0.3330 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00051375 | 0.000537169 | +4.56% | 0.00040435 | -21.29% | 0.2606 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.00054035 | 0.000564817 | +4.53% | 0.00036805 | -31.89% | 0.3904 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0006234 | 0.000649137 | +4.13% | 0.000506 | -18.83% | 0.2457 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00059005 | 0.000620469 | +5.16% | 0.00038745 | -34.34% | 0.4934 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00074535 | 0.000768316 | +3.08% | 0.00035605 | -52.23% | 0.7962 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0008163 | 0.000830539 | +1.74% | 0.0004861 | -40.45% | 0.5596 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00094305 | 0.000941862 | -0.13% | 0.00051235 | -45.67% | 0.6127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.001029 | 0.001018 | -1.11% | 0.00051375 | -50.09% | 0.6885 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0009778 | 0.000977042 | -0.08% | 0.00054035 | -44.74% | 0.5978 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001144 | 0.001111 | -2.95% | 0.0006234 | -45.53% | 0.5678 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001388 | 0.001261 | -9.20% | 0.00059005 | -57.50% | 0.7291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.001228 | 0.001143 | -6.91% | 0.00074535 | -39.31% | 0.3909 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.001401 | 0.00133 | -5.13% | 0.0008163 | -41.75% | 0.5277 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00174 | 0.001573 | -9.63% | 0.00094305 | -45.82% | 0.5499 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.001629 | 0.001454 | -10.72% | 0.001029 | -36.81% | 0.3846 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.001716 | 0.001527 | -11.03% | 0.0009778 | -43.02% | 0.5456 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.000835 | 0.000270337 | -67.62% | 0.001144 | +37.07% | 1.3404 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.001151 | 0.000360436 | -68.67% | 0.001388 | +20.69% | 1.2173 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.00143 | 0.000304346 | -78.72% | 0.001228 | -14.15% | 1.2928 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.001492 | 0.000187621 | -87.42% | 0.001401 | -6.08% | 1.9555 | ✓ | 1.00 |