FATCOIN

FATCOIN · Robinhood · gru_s4

token id: #811
symbol: FATCOIN
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x12d5ee7917ca430073c3a638ee1e6f0648a98a01
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

57.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1484

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0341

actual -0.0388

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003623	0.00035837	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003674	0.000363075	-1.18%	0.0003623	-1.39%	0.0008	✓	0.45
2026-10-19	oos	0.0003527	0.000350641	-0.58%	0.0003674	+4.17%	0.0422	✗	0.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004097	0.000404479	-1.27%	0.0003527	-13.91%	0.1363	✓	0.32
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043515	0.000427541	-1.75%	0.0004097	-5.85%	0.0450	✓	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.000357	0.000357131	+0.04%	0.00043515	+21.89%	0.1981	✓	0.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.00038465	0.00038381	-0.22%	0.000357	-7.19%	0.0696	✓	0.37
2026-10-14	oos	0.00040915	0.000407659	-0.36%	0.00038465	-5.99%	0.0605	✓	0.35
2026-10-13	oos	0.0003266	0.000329018	+0.74%	0.00040915	+25.28%	0.2336	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.00035135	0.000354109	+0.79%	0.0003266	-7.04%	0.0942	✗	0.81
2026-10-11	oos	0.000385	0.000386851	+0.48%	0.00035135	-8.74%	0.0754	✗	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.00037315	0.000376261	+0.83%	0.000385	+3.18%	0.0156	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.00040435	0.00040744	+0.76%	0.00037315	-7.72%	0.0914	✗	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	0.00036805	0.000372439	+1.19%	0.00040435	+9.86%	0.0757	✓	0.63
2026-10-07	oos	0.000506	0.000507043	+0.21%	0.00036805	-27.26%	0.3141	✗	0.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.00038745	0.000391597	+1.07%	0.000506	+30.60%	0.2925	✓	1.35
2026-10-05	oos	0.00035605	0.000360742	+1.32%	0.00038745	+8.82%	0.0749	✓	1.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.0004861	0.000489909	+0.78%	0.00035605	-26.75%	0.3079	✗	1.28
2026-10-03	oos	0.00051235	0.00051716	+0.94%	0.0004861	-5.12%	0.0826	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.00051375	0.000519275	+1.08%	0.00051235	-0.27%	0.0162	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.00054035	0.000546161	+1.08%	0.00051375	-4.92%	0.0571	✗	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.0006234	0.000629456	+0.97%	0.00054035	-13.32%	0.1680	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.00059005	0.00059706	+1.19%	0.0006234	+5.65%	0.0442	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.00074535	0.000751112	+0.77%	0.00059005	-20.84%	0.2435	✗	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.0008163	0.000820242	+0.48%	0.00074535	-8.69%	0.0838	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00094305	0.000943247	+0.02%	0.0008163	-13.44%	0.1451	✗	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.001029	0.001027	-0.26%	0.00094305	-8.38%	0.0887	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.0009778	0.000978064	+0.03%	0.001029	+5.26%	0.0545	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.001144	0.001137	-0.70%	0.0009778	-14.57%	0.1505	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.001388	0.001354	-2.48%	0.001144	-17.57%	0.1469	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.001228	0.001207	-1.72%	0.001388	+13.06%	0.1447	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.001401	0.001383	-1.31%	0.001228	-12.36%	0.1836	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.00174	0.001694	-2.67%	0.001401	-19.48%	0.1888	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.001629	0.00158	-2.98%	0.00174	+6.85%	0.0921	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.001716	0.001658	-3.39%	0.001629	-5.07%	0.0751	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.000835	0.0006592	-21.05%	0.001716	+105.50%	0.9540	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.001151	0.000902283	-21.57%	0.000835	-27.42%	0.0849	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.00143	0.001037	-27.54%	0.001151	-19.57%	0.1380	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.001492	0.000970477	-34.95%	0.00143	-4.12%	0.3702	✓	1.00