EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s4
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +7d
assessed
25
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
52.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4468
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0185
actual -0.4493
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002542 | +3.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002524 | +4.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002933 | +2.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003084 | +2.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003137 | +3.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.003034 | +4.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003426 | +3.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002828 | +6.85% | 0.002465 | -6.86% | 0.1585 | ✗ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003637 | +3.66% | 0.002424 | -30.92% | 0.4035 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004255 | +2.53% | 0.002855 | -31.19% | 0.4004 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005191 | -0.74% | 0.003005 | -42.54% | 0.5262 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005113 | +0.72% | 0.003031 | -40.28% | 0.5041 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005216 | +1.32% | 0.002896 | -43.75% | 0.5758 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.00564 | +0.95% | 0.003313 | -40.70% | 0.5373 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006194 | -0.65% | 0.002646 | -57.55% | 0.8295 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005908 | -0.41% | 0.003509 | -40.85% | 0.4920 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004504 | +4.13% | 0.00415 | -4.05% | 0.0339 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.005028 | +3.09% | 0.005229 | +7.23% | 0.0726 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005556 | +3.25% | 0.005076 | -5.68% | 0.0686 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006845 | +0.89% | 0.005148 | -24.12% | 0.2614 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007166 | +0.46% | 0.005587 | -21.68% | 0.2110 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006745 | +2.74% | 0.006234 | -5.04% | 0.0754 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.007081 | +2.17% | 0.005932 | -14.40% | 0.1995 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008839 | -2.33% | 0.004325 | -52.21% | 0.7418 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.011742 | -8.69% | 0.004877 | -62.08% | 0.9026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.012239 | -9.64% | 0.005381 | -60.27% | 0.8255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.012555 | -10.38% | 0.006784 | -51.57% | 0.6204 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.011823 | -11.77% | 0.007134 | -46.76% | 0.5107 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.01816 | -7.72% | 0.006565 | -66.64% | 1.0077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.016176 | -7.14% | 0.00693 | -60.22% | 0.8175 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.012264 | -8.14% | 0.00905 | -32.21% | 0.2670 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.010871 | -7.37% | 0.01286 | +9.59% | 0.1282 | ✗ | 1.00 |