EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s4
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +1d
assessed
31
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
35.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1363
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0005
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.00249 | +1.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002453 | +1.21% | 0.002465 | +1.69% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002882 | +0.92% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1956 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.003032 | +0.88% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0564 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003063 | +1.05% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0320 | ✗ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002933 | +1.30% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0355 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003346 | +1.00% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1321 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.00269 | +1.65% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.1977 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003549 | +1.13% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2710 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004189 | +0.93% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1997 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005237 | +0.13% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2089 | ✗ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005101 | +0.49% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005181 | +0.63% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0248 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005614 | +0.49% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0971 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006236 | +0.03% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0907 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005931 | -0.01% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0766 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004374 | +1.13% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004922 | +0.92% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.1205 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005433 | +0.96% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1287 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006811 | +0.39% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2384 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007152 | +0.26% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0487 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.00662 | +0.83% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0594 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006983 | +0.76% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0607 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.009025 | -0.27% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2663 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.01261 | -1.94% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3198 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.01326 | -2.10% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013696 | -2.24% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013062 | -2.52% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0735 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019252 | -2.18% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3624 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.017003 | -2.39% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1675 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013014 | -2.51% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2961 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011479 | -2.18% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0861 | ✗ | 1.00 |