CARDS

Collector Crypt · Solana · gru_s4

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 21 predictions shown

direction hit

40.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0995

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0165

actual +0.0161

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.37764	0.37185	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.376255	0.366609	-2.56%	0.37764	+0.37%	0.0273	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.341225	0.333607	-2.23%	0.376255	+10.27%	0.1073	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.332115	0.325799	-1.90%	0.341225	+2.74%	0.0329	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.25713	0.25552	-0.63%	0.332115	+29.16%	0.2642	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.271445	0.269416	-0.75%	0.25713	-5.27%	0.0543	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.29283	0.288479	-1.49%	0.271445	-7.30%	0.0594	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.349415	0.342101	-2.09%	0.29283	-16.19%	0.1479	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.31083	0.304538	-2.02%	0.349415	+12.41%	0.1307	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.279395	0.274353	-1.80%	0.31083	+11.25%	0.1435	✗	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.2734	0.271454	-0.71%	0.279395	+2.19%	0.0123	✗	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.32592	0.321821	-1.26%	0.2734	-16.11%	0.1397	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	0.31055	0.304519	-1.94%	0.32592	+4.95%	0.0587	✗	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	0.29286	0.287494	-1.83%	0.31055	+6.04%	0.0727	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.25146	0.248662	-1.11%	0.29286	+16.46%	0.1532	✗	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.272395	0.26941	-1.10%	0.25146	-7.69%	0.0498	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.310145	0.303748	-2.06%	0.272395	-12.17%	0.0821	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.285115	0.278261	-2.40%	0.310145	+8.78%	0.1109	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.23562	0.233792	-0.78%	0.285115	+21.01%	0.2073	✗	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.26884	0.264062	-1.78%	0.23562	-12.36%	0.1346	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.2746	0.268201	-2.33%	0.26884	-2.10%	0.0004	✓	1.00