BP

Backpack · Solana · gru_s4

token id: #474
symbol: BP
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-23
predictions: 612

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

197

of 204 predictions shown

direction hit

53.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1595

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0323

actual +0.0676

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.0984	1.0549	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-20	oos	1.0962	1.0534	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-19	oos	1.1594	1.1127	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-18	oos	1.1091	1.0681	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-17	oos	0.97705	0.960619	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	1.0034	0.982975	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-15	oos	1.0144	0.990235	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	1.0044	0.98366	-2.06%	1.0984	+9.37%	0.0924	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	1.0445	1.0128	-3.03%	1.0962	+4.96%	0.0818	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	1.0973	1.0595	-3.44%	1.1594	+5.66%	0.0885	✗	1.36
2026-10-11	oos	1.1975	1.1436	-4.50%	1.1091	-7.39%	0.0052	✓	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	1.1394	1.0928	-4.08%	0.97705	-14.24%	0.0883	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	1.2027	1.1492	-4.45%	1.0034	-16.57%	0.1193	✓	1.28
2026-10-08	oos	1.126	1.08	-4.09%	1.0144	-9.91%	0.0693	✓	1.26
2026-10-07	oos	1.0901	1.0442	-4.21%	1.0044	-7.87%	0.0119	✓	1.30
2026-10-06	oos	1.1856	1.1269	-4.95%	1.0445	-11.90%	0.0400	✓	1.24
2026-10-05	oos	1.2399	1.1752	-5.22%	1.0973	-11.50%	0.0082	✓	1.26
2026-10-04	oos	1.2509	1.1851	-5.25%	1.1975	-4.26%	0.0521	✓	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	1.2619	1.1929	-5.47%	1.1394	-9.72%	0.0179	✓	1.28
2026-10-02	oos	1.1594	1.092	-5.81%	1.2027	+3.74%	0.1265	✗	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	1.268	1.1921	-5.99%	1.126	-11.21%	0.0100	✓	1.24
2026-09-30	oos	1.2865	1.2064	-6.22%	1.0901	-15.26%	0.0973	✓	1.22
2026-09-29	oos	1.1463	1.0666	-6.95%	1.1856	+3.42%	0.0783	✗	1.22
2026-09-28	oos	1.2709	1.1876	-6.55%	1.2399	-2.44%	0.0092	✓	1.25
2026-09-27	oos	1.3501	1.2679	-6.09%	1.2509	-7.35%	0.0408	✓	1.14
2026-09-26	oos	1.3079	1.2328	-5.74%	1.2619	-3.51%	0.0190	✓	1.15
2026-09-25	oos	1.3502	1.2626	-6.49%	1.1594	-14.14%	0.0911	✓	1.19
2026-09-24	oos	1.0486	0.995561	-5.06%	1.268	+20.93%	0.2351	✗	1.25
2026-09-23	oos	0.848	0.810333	-4.44%	1.2865	+51.70%	0.4746	✗	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.76025	0.731975	-3.72%	1.1463	+50.78%	0.4924	✗	1.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.89395	0.859856	-3.81%	1.2709	+42.16%	0.4413	✗	1.37
2026-09-20	oos	0.82965	0.791546	-4.59%	1.3501	+62.73%	0.4761	✗	1.45
2026-09-19	oos	0.64225	0.624268	-2.80%	1.3079	+103.64%	0.6833	✗	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.57225	0.559748	-2.18%	1.3502	+135.95%	0.8249	✗	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.5342	0.524684	-1.78%	1.0486	+96.29%	0.5449	✗	1.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.4646	0.463379	-0.26%	0.848	+82.52%	0.4539	✗	1.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.4664	0.465496	-0.19%	0.76025	+63.00%	0.3256	✗	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.5093	0.503703	-1.10%	0.89395	+75.53%	0.4595	✗	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.4988	0.495101	-0.74%	0.82965	+66.33%	0.4547	✗	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.5479	0.540168	-1.41%	0.64225	+17.22%	0.1200	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.56005	0.552367	-1.37%	0.57225	+2.18%	0.0228	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	0.5563	0.549841	-1.16%	0.5342	-3.97%	0.0257	✓	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.59295	0.585393	-1.27%	0.4646	-21.65%	0.1961	✓	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.573	0.568242	-0.83%	0.4664	-18.60%	0.1482	✓	1.32
2026-09-07	oos	0.51165	0.514284	+0.51%	0.5093	-0.46%	0.0062	✓	1.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.4892	0.496485	+1.49%	0.4988	+1.96%	0.0685	✓	1.42
2026-09-05	oos	0.43585	0.447627	+2.70%	0.5479	+25.71%	0.2481	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.4332	0.44523	+2.78%	0.56005	+29.28%	0.2759	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.45165	0.464988	+2.95%	0.5563	+23.17%	0.2673	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.42545	0.43265	+1.69%	0.59295	+39.37%	0.2973	✓	1.42
2026-09-01	oos	0.3946	0.403438	+2.24%	0.573	+45.21%	0.3312	✓	1.46
2026-08-31	oos	0.4092	0.418134	+2.18%	0.51165	+25.04%	0.1963	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.4054	0.411585	+1.53%	0.4892	+20.67%	0.1575	✓	0.45
2026-08-29	oos	0.4135	0.418579	+1.23%	0.43585	+5.41%	0.0301	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.4334	0.436553	+0.73%	0.4332	-0.05%	0.0198	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.4455	0.451308	+1.30%	0.45165	+1.38%	0.0055	✓	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.4339	0.438831	+1.14%	0.42545	-1.95%	0.0199	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.4389	0.443228	+0.99%	0.3946	-10.09%	0.1088	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.4103	0.416258	+1.45%	0.4092	-0.27%	0.0144	✗	0.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.4431	0.446888	+0.85%	0.4054	-8.51%	0.0970	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.4304	0.433949	+0.82%	0.4135	-3.93%	0.0564	✗	0.53
2026-08-21	oos	0.4728	0.474711	+0.40%	0.4334	-8.33%	0.0880	✗	0.49
2026-08-20	oos	0.4026	0.400092	-0.62%	0.4455	+10.66%	0.0839	✗	0.25
2026-08-19	oos	0.4004	0.393758	-1.66%	0.4339	+8.37%	0.0584	✗	0.29
2026-08-18	oos	0.3608	0.355995	-1.33%	0.4389	+21.65%	0.1865	✗	0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.3692	0.36372	-1.48%	0.4103	+11.13%	0.0983	✗	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.3661	0.361218	-1.33%	0.4431	+21.03%	0.1799	✗	0.12
2026-08-15	oos	0.3707	0.365128	-1.50%	0.4304	+16.10%	0.1406	✗	0.12
2026-08-14	oos	0.3817	0.375033	-1.75%	0.4728	+23.87%	0.2032	✗	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.3807	0.373468	-1.90%	0.4026	+5.75%	0.0562	✗	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.3817	0.374258	-1.95%	0.4004	+4.90%	0.0524	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.3759	0.368313	-2.02%	0.3608	-4.02%	0.0233	✓	0.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.3539	0.347241	-1.88%	0.3692	+4.32%	0.0600	✗	0.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.4022	0.391067	-2.77%	0.3661	-8.98%	0.0621	✓	0.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.3854	0.375597	-2.54%	0.3707	-3.81%	0.0096	✓	0.12
2026-08-07	oos	0.4063	0.394868	-2.81%	0.3817	-6.05%	0.0304	✓	0.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.4411	0.42774	-3.03%	0.3807	-13.69%	0.1145	✓	0.15
2026-08-05	oos	0.4013	0.390225	-2.76%	0.3817	-4.88%	0.0190	✓	0.17
2026-08-04	oos	0.3902	0.380046	-2.60%	0.3759	-3.66%	0.0095	✓	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	0.3691	0.360838	-2.24%	0.3539	-4.12%	0.0206	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.3812	0.371488	-2.55%	0.4022	+5.51%	0.0764	✗	0.14
2026-08-01	oos	0.3678	0.360158	-2.08%	0.3854	+4.79%	0.0646	✗	0.09
2026-07-31	oos	0.3676	0.360203	-2.01%	0.4063	+10.53%	0.1173	✗	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.4028	0.390271	-3.11%	0.4411	+9.51%	0.1225	✗	0.02
2026-07-29	oos	0.4315	0.417142	-3.33%	0.4013	-7.00%	0.0395	✓	0.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.4521	0.435685	-3.63%	0.3902	-13.69%	0.1105	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4452	0.429968	-3.42%	0.3691	-17.09%	0.1524	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.4715	0.451553	-4.23%	0.3812	-19.15%	0.1685	✓	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.4618	0.444356	-3.78%	0.3678	-20.36%	0.1886	✓	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.4467	0.432056	-3.28%	0.3676	-17.71%	0.1612	✓	0.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.4334	0.420028	-3.09%	0.4028	-7.06%	0.0417	✓	0.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.4646	0.444178	-4.40%	0.4315	-7.12%	0.0292	✓	-0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.4645	0.445281	-4.14%	0.4521	-2.67%	0.0148	✓	-0.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.4481	0.43489	-2.95%	0.4452	-0.65%	0.0225	✓	-0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.4327	0.423726	-2.07%	0.4715	+8.97%	0.1073	✗	-0.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.4838	0.467106	-3.45%	0.4618	-4.55%	0.0117	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.472	0.458757	-2.81%	0.4467	-5.36%	0.0266	✓	-0.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.5022	0.485156	-3.39%	0.4334	-13.70%	0.1128	✓	-0.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.5499	0.525285	-4.48%	0.4646	-15.51%	0.1201	✓	-0.13
2026-07-14	oos	0.5377	0.513796	-4.45%	0.4645	-13.61%	0.0982	✓	-0.11
2026-07-13	oos	0.5299	0.511385	-3.49%	0.4481	-15.44%	0.1257	✓	-0.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.556	0.531429	-4.42%	0.4327	-22.18%	0.2028	✓	-0.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.5853	0.557501	-4.75%	0.4838	-17.34%	0.1397	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.5659	0.539123	-4.73%	0.472	-16.59%	0.1333	✓	-0.09
2026-07-09	oos	0.544	0.520711	-4.28%	0.5022	-7.68%	0.0352	✓	-0.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.5505	0.527365	-4.20%	0.5499	-0.11%	0.0456	✗	-0.10
2026-07-07	oos	0.5861	0.557119	-4.94%	0.5377	-8.26%	0.0317	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.5768	0.547516	-5.08%	0.5299	-8.13%	0.0364	✓	-0.13
2026-07-05	oos	0.5198	0.496473	-4.49%	0.556	+6.96%	0.1135	✗	-0.12
2026-07-04	oos	0.5456	0.518882	-4.90%	0.5853	+7.28%	0.1215	✗	-0.10
2026-07-03	oos	0.5821	0.551303	-5.29%	0.5659	-2.78%	0.0291	✓	-0.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.616	0.582618	-5.42%	0.544	-11.69%	0.0664	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.6116	0.579083	-5.32%	0.5505	-9.99%	0.0478	✓	-0.07
2026-06-30	oos	0.5575	0.531564	-4.65%	0.5861	+5.13%	0.1060	✗	-0.11
2026-06-29	oos	0.5169	0.4934	-4.55%	0.5768	+11.59%	0.1599	✗	-0.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.4789	0.460014	-3.94%	0.5198	+8.54%	0.1294	✗	-0.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.5447	0.515598	-5.34%	0.5456	+0.17%	0.0628	✗	-0.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.5608	0.527847	-5.88%	0.5821	+3.80%	0.1025	✗	-0.11
2026-06-25	oos	0.5105	0.479306	-6.11%	0.616	+20.67%	0.2546	✗	-0.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.6027	0.560423	-7.01%	0.6116	+1.48%	0.0826	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.59	0.544527	-7.71%	0.5575	-5.51%	0.0222	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.6595	0.608622	-7.71%	0.5169	-21.62%	0.1709	✓	-0.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.6834	0.62981	-7.84%	0.4789	-29.92%	0.2792	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.6577	0.607816	-7.58%	0.5447	-17.18%	0.1149	✓	-0.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.5807	0.54018	-6.98%	0.5608	-3.43%	0.0307	✓	-0.12
2026-06-18	oos	0.592	0.547499	-7.52%	0.5105	-13.77%	0.0757	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.4729	0.439959	-6.97%	0.6027	+27.45%	0.3168	✗	0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.4182	0.388447	-7.11%	0.59	+41.08%	0.4225	✗	0.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.4219	0.392163	-7.05%	0.6595	+56.32%	0.5231	✗	0.09
2026-06-14	oos	0.4896	0.450924	-7.90%	0.6834	+39.58%	0.4211	✗	0.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.335	0.315728	-5.75%	0.6577	+96.33%	0.7336	✗	-0.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.291	0.276691	-4.92%	0.5807	+99.55%	0.7412	✗	-0.16
2026-06-11	oos	0.2692	0.257427	-4.37%	0.592	+119.91%	0.8310	✗	-0.16
2026-06-10	oos	0.2411	0.232542	-3.55%	0.4729	+96.14%	0.7238	✗	-0.29
2026-06-09	oos	0.2476	0.238353	-3.73%	0.4182	+68.90%	0.5805	✗	-0.30
2026-06-08	oos	0.2589	0.248336	-4.08%	0.4219	+62.96%	0.5464	✗	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.2575	0.246849	-4.14%	0.4896	+90.14%	0.6971	✗	-0.33
2026-06-06	oos	0.2271	0.220033	-3.11%	0.335	+47.51%	0.4505	✗	-0.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.2316	0.223999	-3.28%	0.291	+25.65%	0.2829	✗	-0.53
2026-06-04	oos	0.2341	0.226006	-3.46%	0.2692	+14.99%	0.1727	✗	-0.58
2026-06-03	oos	0.2857	0.264723	-7.34%	0.2411	-15.61%	0.1182	✓	-0.60
2026-06-02	oos	0.1773	0.173483	-2.15%	0.2476	+39.65%	0.3629	✗	0.09
2026-06-01	oos	0.149	0.146774	-1.49%	0.2589	+73.76%	0.6513	✗	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.163	0.159854	-1.93%	0.2575	+57.98%	0.5643	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.1626	0.159197	-2.09%	0.2271	+39.67%	0.4677	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.1421	0.139884	-1.56%	0.2316	+62.98%	0.6054	✗	0.55
2026-05-28	oos	0.1254	0.123948	-1.16%	0.2341	+86.68%	0.7162	✗	0.57
2026-05-27	oos	0.1253	0.12371	-1.27%	0.2857	+128.01%	0.9228	✗	0.58
2026-05-26	oos	0.12	0.118558	-1.20%	0.1773	+47.75%	0.4857	✗	0.65
2026-05-25	oos	0.1201	0.118582	-1.26%	0.149	+24.06%	0.2818	✗	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.124	0.122311	-1.36%	0.163	+31.45%	0.3175	✗	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.1315	0.129396	-1.60%	0.1626	+23.65%	0.2544	✗	0.68
2026-05-22	oos	0.1326	0.13027	-1.76%	0.1421	+7.16%	0.1061	✗	0.69
2026-05-21	oos	0.1343	0.131417	-2.15%	0.1254	-6.63%	0.0088	✓	0.71
2026-05-20	oos	0.132	0.129017	-2.26%	0.1253	-5.08%	0.0005	✓	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1354	0.132097	-2.44%	0.12	-11.37%	0.0871	✓	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1376	0.134015	-2.61%	0.1201	-12.72%	0.1125	✓	0.72
2026-05-17	oos	0.1406	0.136737	-2.75%	0.124	-11.81%	0.0938	✓	0.72
2026-05-16	oos	0.1434	0.139344	-2.83%	0.1315	-8.30%	0.0445	✓	0.72
2026-05-15	oos	0.1443	0.140285	-2.78%	0.1326	-8.11%	0.0223	✓	0.73
2026-05-14	oos	0.1495	0.14588	-2.42%	0.1343	-10.17%	0.0508	✓	0.72
2026-05-13	oos	0.151	0.146637	-2.89%	0.132	-12.58%	0.0882	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.1476	0.143818	-2.56%	0.1354	-8.27%	0.0233	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.1573	0.153617	-2.34%	0.1376	-12.52%	0.0658	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.151	0.14791	-2.05%	0.1406	-6.89%	0.0047	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.1504	0.146618	-2.51%	0.1434	-4.65%	0.0024	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.1498	0.145805	-2.67%	0.1443	-3.67%	0.0005	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.1431	0.13926	-2.68%	0.1495	+4.47%	0.0608	✗	0.77
2026-05-06	oos	0.1475	0.14441	-2.10%	0.151	+2.37%	0.0649	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.1451	0.141848	-2.24%	0.1476	+1.72%	0.0437	✗	0.75
2026-05-04	oos	0.1507	0.14662	-2.71%	0.1573	+4.38%	0.0523	✗	0.78
2026-05-03	oos	0.1578	0.152718	-3.22%	0.151	-4.31%	0.0485	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.1554	0.150486	-3.16%	0.1504	-3.22%	0.0211	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.1461	0.141279	-3.30%	0.1498	+2.53%	0.0385	✗	0.81
2026-04-30	oos	0.1427	0.137306	-3.78%	0.1431	+0.28%	0.0041	✓	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.1429	0.137304	-3.92%	0.1475	+3.22%	0.0149	✓	0.78
2026-04-28	oos	0.1479	0.142119	-3.91%	0.1451	-1.89%	0.0245	✓	0.77
2026-04-27	oos	0.1495	0.143993	-3.68%	0.1507	+0.80%	0.0205	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.1465	0.141876	-3.16%	0.1578	+7.71%	0.1076	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.1442	0.139026	-3.59%	0.1554	+7.77%	0.1002	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.1421	0.136945	-3.63%	0.1461	+2.81%	0.0563	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.1417	0.137144	-3.22%	0.1427	+0.71%	0.0621	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.1404	0.135804	-3.27%	0.1429	+1.78%	0.0790	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.1404	0.134817	-3.98%	0.1479	+5.34%	0.0930	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.1408	0.135039	-4.09%	0.1495	+6.18%	0.0822	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.1367	0.13097	-4.19%	0.1465	+7.17%	0.0484	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.1404	0.134612	-4.12%	0.1442	+2.71%	0.0438	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.1379	0.132824	-3.68%	0.1421	+3.05%	0.0628	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.1495	0.143264	-4.17%	0.1417	-5.22%	0.0516	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.1394	0.133515	-4.22%	0.1404	+0.72%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.1439	0.137683	-4.32%	0.1404	-2.43%	0.0093	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.1496	0.143136	-4.32%	0.1408	-5.88%	0.0353	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.1443	0.138528	-4.00%	0.1367	-5.27%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.1479	0.141422	-4.38%	0.1404	-5.07%	0.0429	✓	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.1474	0.140918	-4.40%	0.1379	-6.45%	0.0763	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.1478	0.141472	-4.28%	0.1495	+1.15%	0.0094	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.1503	0.144095	-4.13%	0.1394	-7.25%	0.0845	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.1543	0.147917	-4.14%	0.1439	-6.74%	0.0586	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.1488	0.14344	-3.60%	0.1496	+0.54%	0.0360	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.1473	0.141947	-3.63%	0.1443	-2.04%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.1534	0.148401	-3.26%	0.1479	-3.59%	0.0860	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.1494	0.144757	-3.11%	0.1474	-1.34%	0.0682	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.1444	0.140004	-3.04%	0.1478	+2.35%	0.0165	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.1506	0.145491	-3.39%	0.1503	-0.20%	0.0102	✓	1.00