BASECAT
Basecat · Base · gru_s4
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +7d
assessed
44
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
65.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2646
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0134
actual -0.2156
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.01203 | 0.011537 | -4.10% | – | pending | – | – | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.01208 | 0.011578 | -4.16% | – | pending | – | – | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011297 | -3.61% | – | pending | – | – | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.0118 | -3.87% | – | pending | – | – | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.012336 | -4.59% | – | pending | – | – | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012208 | -4.36% | – | pending | – | – | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.012366 | -4.69% | – | pending | – | – | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012285 | -4.77% | 0.01203 | -6.74% | 0.0921 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.012079 | -4.17% | 0.01208 | -4.17% | 0.0837 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.012819 | -5.50% | 0.01172 | -13.60% | 0.0840 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.01256 | -4.67% | 0.012275 | -6.83% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.015103 | -10.00% | 0.01293 | -22.94% | 0.1031 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.012669 | -2.47% | 0.012765 | -1.73% | 0.0536 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011368 | +0.38% | 0.012975 | +14.57% | 0.1634 | ✓ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.011534 | +0.64% | 0.0129 | +12.57% | 0.0990 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.012811 | -1.07% | 0.012605 | -2.66% | 0.0332 | ✗ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011797 | +0.32% | 0.013565 | +15.35% | 0.2181 | ✓ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012778 | -0.94% | 0.013175 | +2.13% | 0.1596 | ✗ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.012874 | -1.27% | 0.01678 | +28.68% | 0.3555 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.013314 | -0.38% | 0.01299 | -2.81% | 0.0364 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.011421 | +3.07% | 0.011325 | +2.21% | 0.0568 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.012191 | +2.45% | 0.01146 | -3.70% | 0.0429 | ✓ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.012614 | +2.68% | 0.01295 | +5.41% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013913 | +1.45% | 0.01176 | -14.25% | 0.2309 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014793 | +0.80% | 0.0129 | -12.10% | 0.2127 | ✗ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015825 | -0.60% | 0.01304 | -18.09% | 0.2599 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.016068 | -0.54% | 0.013365 | -17.27% | 0.1948 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.016717 | -0.79% | 0.01108 | -34.24% | 0.4248 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.018125 | -2.13% | 0.0119 | -35.75% | 0.4358 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.018375 | -2.00% | 0.012285 | -34.48% | 0.3756 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.017157 | -0.82% | 0.013715 | -20.72% | 0.1938 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.018983 | -2.67% | 0.014675 | -24.76% | 0.2205 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.017782 | +1.85% | 0.01592 | -8.82% | 0.1505 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.019158 | +1.13% | 0.016155 | -14.73% | 0.2089 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.022134 | -0.88% | 0.01685 | -24.54% | 0.3118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.017731 | +4.73% | 0.01852 | +9.39% | 0.0566 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.017231 | +5.36% | 0.01875 | +14.64% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.021082 | +3.88% | 0.0173 | -14.76% | 0.3291 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.022049 | +3.32% | 0.019505 | -8.60% | 0.2249 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.022345 | +3.24% | 0.01746 | -19.33% | 0.3019 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.023091 | +1.25% | 0.018945 | -16.93% | 0.2480 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.020928 | -1.84% | 0.02233 | +4.74% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.030492 | -3.67% | 0.01693 | -46.52% | 0.5859 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.030181 | -5.71% | 0.016355 | -48.91% | 0.5850 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.037412 | -4.07% | 0.020295 | -47.96% | 0.5744 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.041383 | -3.66% | 0.02134 | -50.32% | 0.6506 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.052737 | -5.15% | 0.021645 | -61.07% | 0.8455 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.070411 | -9.52% | 0.022805 | -70.70% | 1.0947 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.052817 | -7.34% | 0.02132 | -62.60% | 0.8757 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.044014 | -5.35% | 0.031655 | -31.92% | 0.2697 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.02859 | -0.21% | 0.03201 | +11.73% | 0.1004 | ✗ | 1.00 |