BASECAT
Basecat · Base · gru_s4
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
44.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1085
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0020
actual -0.0185
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.012065 | 0.011998 | -0.55% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011653 | -0.57% | 0.012065 | +2.94% | 0.0428 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.012194 | -0.66% | 0.01172 | -4.52% | 0.0773 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.01282 | -0.85% | 0.012275 | -5.07% | 0.0376 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012661 | -0.82% | 0.01293 | +1.29% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.012855 | -0.93% | 0.012765 | -1.62% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012773 | -0.99% | 0.012975 | +0.58% | 0.0373 | ✗ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.012501 | -0.82% | 0.0129 | +2.34% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.013401 | -1.21% | 0.012605 | -7.08% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.013058 | -0.89% | 0.013565 | +2.96% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.016127 | -3.89% | 0.013175 | -21.48% | 0.1416 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.012901 | -0.68% | 0.01678 | +29.18% | 0.2401 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011357 | +0.28% | 0.01299 | +14.70% | 0.1236 | ✓ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.011511 | +0.45% | 0.011325 | -1.18% | 0.0417 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.012947 | -0.03% | 0.01146 | -11.51% | 0.0762 | ✓ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011811 | +0.43% | 0.01295 | +10.12% | 0.1649 | ✓ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012919 | +0.15% | 0.01176 | -8.84% | 0.0874 | ✗ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.013033 | -0.05% | 0.0129 | -1.07% | 0.0137 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.013397 | +0.24% | 0.01304 | -2.43% | 0.0846 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.011214 | +1.21% | 0.013365 | +20.62% | 0.1677 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.012026 | +1.06% | 0.01108 | -6.89% | 0.0707 | ✗ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.012425 | +1.14% | 0.0119 | -3.13% | 0.0863 | ✗ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013836 | +0.88% | 0.012285 | -10.43% | 0.1161 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014787 | +0.76% | 0.013715 | -6.54% | 0.0813 | ✗ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015982 | +0.39% | 0.014675 | -7.82% | 0.0522 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.016226 | +0.44% | 0.01592 | -1.45% | 0.0206 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.016922 | +0.43% | 0.016155 | -4.12% | 0.0571 | ✗ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.018536 | +0.08% | 0.01685 | -9.02% | 0.0858 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.01876 | +0.05% | 0.01852 | -1.23% | 0.0131 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.017354 | +0.31% | 0.01875 | +8.38% | 0.0987 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.019445 | -0.31% | 0.0173 | -11.30% | 0.1123 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.017649 | +1.08% | 0.019505 | +11.71% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.019119 | +0.92% | 0.01746 | -7.84% | 0.0899 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.022384 | +0.24% | 0.018945 | -15.16% | 0.1712 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.017194 | +1.56% | 0.02233 | +31.90% | 0.2038 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.01663 | +1.68% | 0.01693 | +3.52% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.020569 | +1.35% | 0.016355 | -19.41% | 0.2366 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021609 | +1.26% | 0.020295 | -4.90% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.02193 | +1.32% | 0.02134 | -1.41% | 0.0450 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.023083 | +1.22% | 0.021645 | -5.09% | 0.0583 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.021574 | +1.19% | 0.022805 | +6.97% | 0.0548 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.03168 | +0.08% | 0.02132 | -32.65% | 0.4048 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.03164 | -1.15% | 0.031655 | -1.11% | 0.0230 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.038157 | -2.16% | 0.03201 | -17.92% | 0.1736 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.041908 | -2.44% | 0.039 | -9.21% | 0.0638 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.054722 | -1.58% | 0.042955 | -22.74% | 0.2265 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.074563 | -4.19% | 0.0556 | -28.55% | 0.2998 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.055307 | -2.97% | 0.07782 | +36.53% | 0.3395 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.045222 | -2.75% | 0.057 | +22.58% | 0.2512 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.028704 | +0.19% | 0.0465 | +62.30% | 0.4325 | ✓ | 1.00 |