ARX

Arcium · Solana · gru_s4

token id: #310
symbol: ARX
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-22
predictions: 342

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 114 predictions shown

direction hit

45.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3602

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0973

actual +0.0950

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.2378	0.211652	-11.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-21	oos	0.2364	0.211651	-10.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-20	oos	0.23045	0.207363	-10.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-19	oos	0.22725	0.205861	-9.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-18	oos	0.23265	0.211854	-8.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-17	oos	0.23705	0.216624	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-16	oos	0.23935	0.218776	-8.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-15	oos	0.2303	0.210749	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-14	oos	0.2421	0.221412	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-13	oos	0.25125	0.229585	-8.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.2508	0.228502	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-11	oos	0.2821	0.255762	-9.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.2784	0.251975	-9.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-09	oos	0.25605	0.231527	-9.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.26245	0.23711	-9.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-07	oos	0.27185	0.244694	-9.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.27005	0.242309	-10.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-05	oos	0.2923	0.261922	-10.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.2751	0.245159	-10.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.2819	0.252272	-10.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.2895	0.260481	-10.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-01	oos	0.284	0.2557	-9.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.2786	0.251032	-9.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-29	oos	0.27045	0.244102	-9.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.25885	0.233687	-9.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.2513	0.225972	-10.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-26	oos	0.2266	0.20515	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-25	oos	0.2494	0.226246	-9.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-24	oos	0.2518	0.229002	-9.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.2311	0.211473	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.2222	0.204173	-8.11%	0.2378	+7.02%	0.1681	✗	0.67
2026-09-21	oos	0.20055	0.185643	-7.43%	0.2364	+17.88%	0.2666	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.19665	0.181616	-7.64%	0.23045	+17.19%	0.2209	✗	0.80
2026-09-19	oos	0.19445	0.179775	-7.55%	0.22725	+16.87%	0.2284	✗	0.80
2026-09-18	oos	0.1914	0.177116	-7.46%	0.23265	+21.55%	0.2617	✗	0.80
2026-09-17	oos	0.1731	0.16101	-6.98%	0.23705	+36.94%	0.3428	✗	0.69
2026-09-16	oos	0.1693	0.157825	-6.78%	0.23935	+41.38%	0.3696	✗	0.69
2026-09-15	oos	0.1623	0.15177	-6.49%	0.2303	+41.90%	0.3605	✗	0.68
2026-09-14	oos	0.16235	0.15249	-6.07%	0.2421	+49.12%	0.4318	✗	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.15375	0.145224	-5.55%	0.25125	+63.41%	0.4936	✗	0.69
2026-09-12	oos	0.15455	0.14621	-5.40%	0.2508	+62.28%	0.5005	✗	0.69
2026-09-11	oos	0.1391	0.133333	-4.15%	0.2821	+102.80%	0.6930	✗	0.70
2026-09-10	oos	0.13475	0.129696	-3.75%	0.2784	+106.60%	0.7084	✗	0.69
2026-09-09	oos	0.1473	0.141474	-3.96%	0.25605	+73.83%	0.5593	✗	0.64
2026-09-08	oos	0.1524	0.145806	-4.33%	0.26245	+72.21%	0.5620	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.14595	0.140509	-3.73%	0.27185	+86.26%	0.6260	✗	0.66
2026-09-06	oos	0.1413	0.136649	-3.29%	0.27005	+91.12%	0.6377	✗	0.69
2026-09-05	oos	0.1321	0.127507	-3.48%	0.2923	+121.27%	0.7807	✗	0.68
2026-09-04	oos	0.1363	0.131647	-3.41%	0.2751	+101.83%	0.6807	✗	0.68
2026-09-03	oos	0.129	0.124374	-3.59%	0.2819	+118.53%	0.7869	✗	0.75
2026-09-02	oos	0.1263	0.11898	-5.80%	0.2895	+129.22%	0.8222	✗	0.75
2026-09-01	oos	0.1232	0.1156	-6.17%	0.284	+130.52%	0.8291	✗	0.76
2026-08-31	oos	0.12885	0.121666	-5.58%	0.2786	+116.22%	0.7825	✗	0.75
2026-08-30	oos	0.11945	0.110796	-7.24%	0.27045	+126.41%	0.8391	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.12315	0.114717	-6.85%	0.25885	+110.19%	0.7676	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.1217	0.112997	-7.15%	0.2513	+106.49%	0.7411	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.132	0.125698	-4.77%	0.2266	+71.67%	0.5565	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.1292	0.12174	-5.77%	0.2494	+93.03%	0.6774	✗	0.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.13065	0.122452	-6.27%	0.2518	+92.73%	0.6749	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.13355	0.126742	-5.10%	0.2311	+73.04%	0.5585	✗	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	0.1465	0.137805	-5.94%	0.2222	+51.67%	0.4069	✗	0.68
2026-08-22	oos	0.1243	0.114429	-7.94%	0.20055	+61.34%	0.4859	✗	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.1294	0.119563	-7.60%	0.19665	+51.97%	0.4750	✗	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.117	0.102789	-12.15%	0.19445	+66.20%	0.5968	✗	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.1163	0.103435	-11.06%	0.1914	+64.57%	0.5579	✗	0.37
2026-08-18	oos	0.1134	0.103567	-8.67%	0.1731	+52.65%	0.4672	✗	0.28
2026-08-17	oos	0.1128	0.103092	-8.61%	0.1693	+50.09%	0.4503	✗	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.1097	0.101247	-7.71%	0.1623	+47.95%	0.4370	✗	0.19
2026-08-15	oos	0.10755	0.09926	-7.71%	0.16235	+50.95%	0.4494	✗	0.20
2026-08-14	oos	0.11125	0.102183	-8.15%	0.15375	+38.20%	0.3691	✗	0.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.1114	0.101918	-8.51%	0.15455	+38.73%	0.3748	✗	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.1143	0.104048	-8.97%	0.1391	+21.70%	0.2489	✗	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.11885	0.107444	-9.60%	0.13475	+13.38%	0.1878	✗	0.21
2026-08-10	oos	0.1269	0.113544	-10.53%	0.1473	+16.08%	0.2230	✗	0.18
2026-08-09	oos	0.1266	0.112491	-11.14%	0.1524	+20.38%	0.2629	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.13015	0.114993	-11.65%	0.14595	+12.14%	0.1964	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.14055	0.123413	-12.19%	0.1413	+0.53%	0.0900	✓	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	0.1461	0.128152	-12.28%	0.1321	-9.58%	0.0202	✓	0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.15025	0.13123	-12.66%	0.1363	-9.28%	0.0099	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.14175	0.124125	-12.43%	0.129	-8.99%	0.0025	✓	0.17
2026-08-03	oos	0.1479	0.129301	-12.58%	0.1263	-14.60%	0.0619	✓	0.19
2026-08-02	oos	0.1524	0.132754	-12.89%	0.1232	-19.16%	0.1132	✓	0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.16225	0.141139	-13.01%	0.12885	-20.59%	0.1468	✓	0.25
2026-07-31	oos	0.15805	0.137223	-13.18%	0.11945	-24.42%	0.1917	✓	0.25
2026-07-30	oos	0.1536	0.132251	-13.90%	0.12315	-19.82%	0.1485	✓	0.41
2026-07-29	oos	0.156	0.134321	-13.90%	0.1217	-21.99%	0.1797	✓	0.41
2026-07-28	oos	0.1527	0.131299	-14.02%	0.132	-13.56%	0.0880	✓	0.41
2026-07-27	oos	0.1502	0.128787	-14.26%	0.1292	-13.98%	0.0828	✓	0.40
2026-07-26	oos	0.16	0.136351	-14.78%	0.13065	-18.34%	0.0987	✓	0.30
2026-07-25	oos	0.1795	0.153825	-14.30%	0.13355	-25.60%	0.2410	✓	0.48
2026-07-24	oos	0.1715	0.146387	-14.64%	0.1465	-14.58%	0.0886	✓	0.46
2026-07-23	oos	0.17255	0.147387	-14.58%	0.1243	-27.96%	0.2544	✓	0.50
2026-07-22	oos	0.16805	0.143206	-14.78%	0.1294	-23.00%	0.2035	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	0.1516	0.129087	-14.85%	0.117	-22.82%	0.1915	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.15445	0.132364	-14.30%	0.1163	-24.70%	0.1902	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.1477	0.126744	-14.19%	0.1134	-23.22%	0.1112	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.1512	0.130022	-14.01%	0.1128	-25.40%	0.1372	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.1625	0.140922	-13.28%	0.1097	-32.49%	0.2338	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.1622	0.141155	-12.97%	0.10755	-33.69%	0.2600	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.16265	0.142028	-12.68%	0.11125	-31.60%	0.2170	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.16555	0.144963	-12.44%	0.1114	-32.71%	0.2390	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.1726	0.153739	-10.93%	0.1143	-33.78%	0.3147	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.1679	0.148262	-11.70%	0.11885	-29.21%	0.2178	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.1814	0.162834	-10.23%	0.1269	-30.04%	0.2515	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.1783	0.15933	-10.64%	0.1266	-29.00%	0.2411	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.17915	0.161308	-9.96%	0.13015	-27.35%	0.2417	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.18075	0.163832	-9.36%	0.14055	-22.24%	0.1950	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.1964	0.1791	-8.81%	0.1461	-25.61%	0.2184	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.2184	0.201875	-7.57%	0.15025	-31.20%	0.3047	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.2388	0.221929	-7.07%	0.14175	-40.64%	0.4556	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.2062	0.188261	-8.70%	0.1479	-28.27%	0.2473	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.2145	0.196652	-8.32%	0.1524	-28.95%	0.2705	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.2256	0.208428	-7.61%	0.16225	-28.08%	0.2711	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.2228	0.205852	-7.61%	0.15805	-29.06%	0.3109	✓	1.00