ARCSOL

? · · gru_s4

token id: #958
symbol: ARCSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-12-11
predictions: 1,986

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

41.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4016

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0726

actual +0.1748

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.050705	0.048629	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.05179	0.049397	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.04402	0.042853	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.041255	0.040337	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.040095	0.039185	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.035465	0.035108	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.03882	0.038	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.22
2026-10-14	oos	0.036985	0.036546	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.031545	0.031967	+1.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-12	oos	0.05973	0.05699	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.06296	0.060347	-4.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-10	oos	0.061445	0.058772	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-09	oos	0.062975	0.06006	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-08	oos	0.060855	0.058215	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-07	oos	0.06405	0.061186	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.071945	0.068175	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-05	oos	0.070345	0.06683	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-04	oos	0.073015	0.069311	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-03	oos	0.071135	0.067443	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-02	oos	0.070635	0.066931	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-01	oos	0.07224	0.068217	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-09-30	oos	0.07045	0.066683	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.07265	0.068593	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.06992	0.066333	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.07275	0.069066	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.07069	0.067552	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.07175	0.068524	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.07354	0.070426	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.07853	0.074872	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.078215	0.075986	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.07816	0.076678	-1.90%	0.050705	-35.13%	0.4149	✓	-0.03
2026-09-20	oos	0.073655	0.07031	-4.54%	0.05179	-29.69%	0.3029	✓	-0.13
2026-09-19	oos	0.063745	0.062074	-2.62%	0.04402	-30.94%	0.3429	✓	-0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.070975	0.06825	-3.84%	0.041255	-41.87%	0.5020	✓	-0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.07026	0.067515	-3.91%	0.040095	-42.93%	0.5131	✓	-0.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.07422	0.070849	-4.54%	0.035465	-52.22%	0.6830	✓	-0.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.07934	0.074938	-5.55%	0.03882	-51.07%	0.6499	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.07305	0.070104	-4.03%	0.036985	-49.37%	0.6357	✓	-0.09
2026-09-13	oos	0.06938	0.067009	-3.42%	0.031545	-54.53%	0.7456	✓	-0.10
2026-09-12	oos	0.07315	0.07035	-3.83%	0.05973	-18.35%	0.1567	✓	-0.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.07391	0.071178	-3.70%	0.06296	-14.82%	0.1090	✓	-0.17
2026-09-10	oos	0.07355	0.070917	-3.58%	0.061445	-16.46%	0.1300	✓	-0.17
2026-09-09	oos	0.071975	0.070266	-2.37%	0.062975	-12.50%	0.1012	✓	-0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.07252	0.071106	-1.95%	0.060855	-16.09%	0.1493	✓	-0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.07476	0.073749	-1.35%	0.06405	-14.33%	0.1322	✓	-0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.07195	0.071758	-0.27%	0.071945	-0.01%	0.0114	✗	-0.14
2026-09-05	oos	0.074015	0.073896	-0.16%	0.070345	-4.96%	0.0394	✓	-0.14
2026-09-04	oos	0.07428	0.074507	+0.31%	0.073015	-1.70%	0.0102	✗	-0.12
2026-09-03	oos	0.07189	0.07348	+2.21%	0.071135	-1.05%	0.0281	✗	-0.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.07274	0.072569	-0.24%	0.070635	-2.89%	0.0097	✓	-0.19
2026-09-01	oos	0.06482	0.0657	+1.36%	0.07224	+11.45%	0.1120	✓	-0.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.06939	0.07074	+1.94%	0.07045	+1.53%	0.0122	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.06761	0.068896	+1.90%	0.07265	+7.45%	0.0612	✓	-0.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.07057	0.072192	+2.30%	0.06992	-0.92%	0.0223	✓	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.06989	0.071606	+2.46%	0.07275	+4.09%	0.0277	✓	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.06683	0.070195	+5.03%	0.07069	+5.78%	0.0124	✓	-0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.07115	0.073811	+3.74%	0.07175	+0.84%	0.0229	✓	-0.09
2026-08-25	oos	0.07217	0.07467	+3.46%	0.07354	+1.90%	0.0068	✓	-0.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.07048	0.073376	+4.11%	0.07853	+11.42%	0.0751	✓	-0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.0693	0.071668	+3.42%	0.078215	+12.86%	0.0988	✓	-0.11
2026-08-22	oos	0.06685	0.069248	+3.59%	0.07816	+16.92%	0.1347	✓	-0.12
2026-08-21	oos	0.0681	0.071153	+4.48%	0.073655	+8.16%	0.0390	✓	-0.13
2026-08-20	oos	0.06936	0.069192	-0.24%	0.063745	-8.10%	0.0711	✓	-0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.0691	0.065766	-4.83%	0.070975	+2.71%	0.0934	✗	-0.11
2026-08-18	oos	0.06936	0.064091	-7.60%	0.07026	+1.30%	0.1120	✗	-0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.07402	0.068478	-7.49%	0.07422	+0.27%	0.0980	✗	-0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.07188	0.066845	-7.00%	0.07934	+10.38%	0.1965	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.07187	0.066981	-6.80%	0.07305	+1.64%	0.1153	✗	-0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.07702	0.071463	-7.21%	0.06938	-9.92%	0.0006	✓	-0.15
2026-08-13	oos	0.0757	0.070581	-6.76%	0.07315	-3.37%	0.0517	✓	-0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.07193	0.0676	-6.02%	0.07391	+2.75%	0.1373	✗	-0.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.06592	0.062587	-5.06%	0.07355	+11.57%	0.2157	✗	-0.29
2026-08-10	oos	0.06458	0.061363	-4.98%	0.071975	+11.45%	0.2135	✗	-0.27
2026-08-09	oos	0.0662	0.063054	-4.75%	0.07252	+9.55%	0.1963	✗	-0.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.06342	0.060558	-4.51%	0.07476	+17.88%	0.2702	✗	-0.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.05236	0.050779	-3.02%	0.07195	+37.41%	0.4288	✗	-0.38
2026-08-06	oos	0.05468	0.052907	-3.24%	0.074015	+35.36%	0.4146	✗	-0.36
2026-08-05	oos	0.0513	0.050039	-2.46%	0.07428	+44.80%	0.4688	✗	-0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.053	0.051557	-2.72%	0.07189	+35.64%	0.4101	✗	-0.33
2026-08-03	oos	0.0509	0.049738	-2.28%	0.07274	+42.91%	0.4483	✗	-0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.05129	0.050094	-2.33%	0.06482	+26.38%	0.3199	✗	-0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.05185	0.050627	-2.36%	0.06939	+33.83%	0.3881	✗	-0.32
2026-07-31	oos	0.05344	0.051959	-2.77%	0.06761	+26.52%	0.3321	✗	-0.32
2026-07-30	oos	0.05276	0.051391	-2.59%	0.07057	+33.76%	0.3795	✗	-0.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.0537	0.052249	-2.70%	0.06989	+30.15%	0.3518	✗	-0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.05151	0.050327	-2.30%	0.06683	+29.74%	0.3550	✗	-0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.05404	0.052672	-2.53%	0.07115	+31.66%	0.3713	✗	-0.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.05593	0.054651	-2.29%	0.07217	+29.04%	0.3317	✗	-0.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.06002	0.058293	-2.88%	0.07048	+17.43%	0.2564	✗	-0.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.06223	0.06038	-2.97%	0.0693	+11.36%	0.1957	✗	-0.30
2026-07-23	oos	0.06145	0.059959	-2.43%	0.06685	+8.79%	0.1580	✗	-0.29
2026-07-22	oos	0.06452	0.063142	-2.14%	0.0681	+5.55%	0.1276	✗	-0.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.0666	0.065329	-1.91%	0.06936	+4.14%	0.0887	✗	-0.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.07012	0.068103	-2.88%	0.0691	-1.45%	0.0321	✗	-0.29
2026-07-19	oos	0.07069	0.06847	-3.14%	0.06936	-1.88%	0.0129	✓	-0.29
2026-07-18	oos	0.07093	0.068705	-3.14%	0.07402	+4.36%	0.0732	✗	-0.26
2026-07-17	oos	0.07314	0.070468	-3.65%	0.07188	-1.72%	0.0164	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.07475	0.071961	-3.73%	0.07187	-3.85%	0.0036	✓	-0.19
2026-07-15	oos	0.07579	0.073271	-3.32%	0.07702	+1.62%	0.0435	✗	-0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.08041	0.077342	-3.82%	0.0757	-5.86%	0.0271	✓	-0.23
2026-07-13	oos	0.07419	0.071403	-3.76%	0.07193	-3.05%	0.0141	✓	-0.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.07814	0.075155	-3.82%	0.06592	-15.64%	0.1325	✓	-0.41
2026-07-11	oos	0.07879	0.075814	-3.78%	0.06458	-18.04%	0.1594	✓	-0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.07946	0.076615	-3.58%	0.0662	-16.69%	0.1417	✓	-0.40
2026-07-09	oos	0.0791	0.076236	-3.62%	0.06342	-19.82%	0.1733	✓	-0.40
2026-07-08	oos	0.08115	0.077869	-4.04%	0.05236	-35.48%	0.3809	✓	-0.38
2026-07-07	oos	0.08095	0.07786	-3.82%	0.05468	-32.45%	0.3486	✓	-0.33
2026-07-06	oos	0.08236	0.079208	-3.83%	0.0513	-37.71%	0.4312	✓	-0.34
2026-07-05	oos	0.08139	0.07831	-3.78%	0.053	-34.88%	0.3883	✓	-0.29
2026-07-04	oos	0.07808	0.07543	-3.39%	0.0509	-34.81%	0.3915	✓	-0.30
2026-07-03	oos	0.07906	0.076278	-3.52%	0.05129	-35.13%	0.3920	✓	-0.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.08274	0.079362	-4.08%	0.05185	-37.33%	0.4196	✓	-0.29
2026-07-01	oos	0.08328	0.079723	-4.27%	0.05344	-35.83%	0.3866	✓	-0.29
2026-06-30	oos	0.0839	0.080081	-4.55%	0.05276	-37.12%	0.3914	✓	-0.26
2026-06-29	oos	0.08357	0.079787	-4.53%	0.0537	-35.74%	0.3801	✓	-0.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.08813	0.083456	-5.30%	0.05151	-41.55%	0.4684	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.08415	0.080115	-4.80%	0.05404	-35.78%	0.3821	✓	-0.19
2026-06-26	oos	0.08425	0.080138	-4.88%	0.05593	-33.61%	0.3437	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.08372	0.079619	-4.90%	0.06002	-28.31%	0.2688	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.08263	0.078863	-4.56%	0.06223	-24.69%	0.2231	✓	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.08268	0.07911	-4.32%	0.06145	-25.68%	0.2440	✓	-0.23
2026-06-22	oos	0.08369	0.07992	-4.50%	0.06452	-22.91%	0.2056	✓	-0.26
2026-06-21	oos	0.08017	0.076723	-4.30%	0.0666	-16.93%	0.1278	✓	-0.27
2026-06-20	oos	0.07994	0.076564	-4.22%	0.07012	-12.28%	0.0836	✓	-0.28
2026-06-19	oos	0.07887	0.075422	-4.37%	0.07069	-10.37%	0.0597	✓	-0.27
2026-06-18	oos	0.08197	0.078044	-4.79%	0.07093	-13.47%	0.0876	✓	-0.27
2026-06-17	oos	0.08464	0.080291	-5.14%	0.07314	-13.59%	0.0956	✓	-0.27
2026-06-16	oos	0.07379	0.071107	-3.64%	0.07475	+1.30%	0.0427	✗	-0.25
2026-06-15	oos	0.07726	0.07424	-3.91%	0.07579	-1.90%	0.0121	✓	-0.36
2026-06-14	oos	0.08196	0.078299	-4.47%	0.08041	-1.89%	0.0234	✓	-0.29
2026-06-13	oos	0.08941	0.084517	-5.47%	0.07419	-17.02%	0.1406	✓	-0.30
2026-06-12	oos	0.08883	0.084156	-5.26%	0.07814	-12.03%	0.0731	✓	-0.33
2026-06-11	oos	0.08349	0.079423	-4.87%	0.07879	-5.63%	0.0070	✓	-0.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.08397	0.079863	-4.89%	0.07946	-5.37%	0.0085	✓	-0.32
2026-06-09	oos	0.08311	0.079031	-4.91%	0.0791	-4.82%	0.0083	✓	-0.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.08395	0.079518	-5.28%	0.08115	-3.34%	0.0160	✓	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.08357	0.078964	-5.51%	0.08095	-3.14%	0.0249	✓	-0.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.08278	0.078153	-5.59%	0.08236	-0.51%	0.0612	✗	-0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.08116	0.076538	-5.70%	0.08139	+0.28%	0.0676	✗	-0.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.07524	0.071294	-5.24%	0.07808	+3.77%	0.0904	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.07419	0.070221	-5.35%	0.07906	+6.56%	0.1168	✗	-0.08
2026-06-02	oos	0.0709	0.06723	-5.18%	0.08274	+16.70%	0.2083	✗	0.01
2026-06-01	oos	0.07662	0.071409	-6.80%	0.08328	+8.69%	0.1461	✗	-0.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07343	0.06836	-6.90%	0.0839	+14.26%	0.2196	✗	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.07835	0.072537	-7.42%	0.08357	+6.66%	0.2020	✗	0.30
2026-05-29	oos	0.07464	0.069484	-6.91%	0.08813	+18.07%	0.2558	✗	0.09
2026-05-28	oos	0.07173	0.066862	-6.79%	0.08415	+17.31%	0.2395	✗	0.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.06396	0.060127	-5.99%	0.08425	+31.72%	0.3547	✗	0.08
2026-05-26	oos	0.06433	0.060228	-6.38%	0.08372	+30.14%	0.3828	✗	0.22
2026-05-25	oos	0.06502	0.060706	-6.64%	0.08263	+27.08%	0.1601	✗	-0.63
2026-05-24	oos	0.06402	0.05981	-6.58%	0.08268	+29.15%	0.1875	✗	-0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.06449	0.060034	-6.91%	0.08369	+29.77%	0.2172	✗	-0.63
2026-05-22	oos	0.06401	0.059617	-6.86%	0.08017	+25.25%	0.1776	✗	-0.67
2026-05-21	oos	0.0641	0.059474	-7.22%	0.07994	+24.71%	0.1665	✗	-0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.06525	0.060357	-7.50%	0.07887	+20.87%	0.1286	✗	-0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.06462	0.059809	-7.45%	0.08197	+26.85%	0.1752	✗	-0.70
2026-05-18	oos	0.06589	0.060727	-7.84%	0.08464	+28.46%	0.2075	✗	-0.70
2026-05-17	oos	0.06769	0.062228	-8.07%	0.07379	+9.01%	0.0570	✓	-0.69
2026-05-16	oos	0.06178	0.057621	-6.73%	0.07726	+25.06%	0.1840	✗	-0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.07376	0.067104	-9.02%	0.08196	+11.12%	0.0688	✓	-0.71
2026-05-14	oos	0.06026	0.056789	-5.76%	0.08941	+48.37%	0.3165	✗	-0.60
2026-05-13	oos	0.06384	0.059259	-7.18%	0.08883	+39.14%	0.2992	✗	-0.48
2026-05-12	oos	0.06714	0.062073	-7.55%	0.08349	+24.35%	0.1695	✗	-0.54
2026-05-11	oos	0.06406	0.06001	-6.32%	0.08397	+31.08%	0.2018	✗	-0.47
2026-05-10	oos	0.06287	0.059305	-5.67%	0.08311	+32.19%	0.1898	✗	-0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.06858	0.063413	-7.53%	0.08395	+22.41%	0.1656	✗	-0.47
2026-05-08	oos	0.06956	0.064267	-7.61%	0.08357	+20.14%	0.1675	✗	-0.40
2026-05-07	oos	0.06741	0.062617	-7.11%	0.08278	+22.80%	0.2015	✗	-0.28
2026-05-06	oos	0.06943	0.064752	-6.74%	0.08116	+16.89%	0.2510	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.07004	0.064922	-7.31%	0.07524	+7.42%	0.1292	✗	-0.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.06657	0.0617	-7.32%	0.07419	+11.45%	0.1764	✗	-0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.06844	0.062787	-8.26%	0.0709	+3.59%	0.0843	✓	-0.23
2026-05-02	oos	0.0717	0.065315	-8.91%	0.07662	+6.86%	0.1402	✗	-0.20
2026-05-01	oos	0.07521	0.068193	-9.33%	0.07343	-2.37%	0.0628	✓	-0.18
2026-04-30	oos	0.07485	0.068005	-9.15%	0.07835	+4.68%	0.1355	✗	-0.18
2026-04-29	oos	0.07517	0.068407	-9.00%	0.07464	-0.71%	0.0816	✓	-0.18
2026-04-28	oos	0.06678	0.061724	-7.57%	0.07173	+7.41%	0.1471	✗	-0.08
2026-04-27	oos	0.07902	0.072184	-8.65%	0.06396	-19.06%	0.1252	✓	-0.11
2026-04-26	oos	0.06856	0.06395	-6.72%	0.06433	-6.17%	0.0030	✓	-0.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.06671	0.061987	-7.08%	0.06502	-2.53%	0.0473	✓	-0.09
2026-04-24	oos	0.06458	0.060048	-7.02%	0.06402	-0.87%	0.0638	✓	-0.04
2026-04-23	oos	0.06653	0.0618	-7.11%	0.06449	-3.07%	0.0416	✓	-0.05
2026-04-22	oos	0.06516	0.060452	-7.23%	0.06401	-1.76%	0.0555	✓	-0.05
2026-04-21	oos	0.06662	0.06094	-8.53%	0.0641	-3.78%	0.0512	✓	-0.04
2026-04-20	oos	0.0665	0.060509	-9.01%	0.06525	-1.88%	0.0768	✓	-0.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.06537	0.058974	-9.78%	0.06462	-1.15%	0.0981	✓	-0.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.06838	0.061953	-9.40%	0.06589	-3.64%	0.0648	✓	-0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.06957	0.063738	-8.38%	0.06769	-2.70%	0.0610	✓	-0.22
2026-04-16	oos	0.07276	0.065652	-9.77%	0.06178	-15.09%	0.0528	✓	-0.21
2026-04-15	oos	0.06959	0.06287	-9.66%	0.07376	+5.99%	0.1714	✗	-0.21
2026-04-14	oos	0.07018	0.063001	-10.23%	0.06026	-14.14%	0.0262	✓	-0.21
2026-04-13	oos	0.07211	0.064545	-10.49%	0.06384	-11.47%	0.0041	✓	-0.24
2026-04-12	oos	0.07456	0.065784	-11.77%	0.06714	-9.95%	0.0270	✓	-0.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.07646	0.068278	-10.70%	0.06406	-16.22%	0.0569	✓	-0.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.071	0.064154	-9.64%	0.06287	-11.45%	0.0136	✓	-0.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.07094	0.064052	-9.71%	0.06858	-3.33%	0.0747	✓	-0.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.05996	0.054692	-8.79%	0.06956	+16.01%	0.2504	✗	-0.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.05853	0.053409	-8.75%	0.06741	+15.17%	0.2414	✗	-0.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.05693	0.051832	-8.95%	0.06943	+21.96%	0.3042	✗	-0.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.05355	0.048793	-8.88%	0.07004	+30.79%	0.3730	✗	-0.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.05503	0.050022	-9.10%	0.06657	+20.97%	0.2961	✗	-0.06
2026-04-03	oos	0.05465	0.049807	-8.86%	0.06844	+25.23%	0.3274	✗	-0.06
2026-04-02	oos	0.05233	0.048065	-8.15%	0.0717	+37.02%	0.4089	✗	-0.06
2026-04-01	oos	0.05479	0.049882	-8.96%	0.07521	+37.27%	0.4208	✗	-0.07
2026-03-31	oos	0.05374	0.049076	-8.68%	0.07485	+39.28%	0.4305	✗	-0.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.05065	0.04686	-7.48%	0.07517	+48.41%	0.4843	✗	-0.09
2026-03-29	oos	0.05037	0.04673	-7.23%	0.06678	+32.58%	0.3724	✗	-0.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.0517	0.047789	-7.56%	0.07902	+52.84%	0.5184	✗	-0.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.04745	0.044401	-6.43%	0.06856	+44.49%	0.4530	✗	-0.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.04267	0.040335	-5.47%	0.06671	+56.34%	0.5110	✗	-0.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.04459	0.041704	-6.47%	0.06458	+44.83%	0.4444	✗	-0.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.04665	0.043304	-7.17%	0.06653	+42.62%	0.4380	✗	-0.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.04747	0.043877	-7.57%	0.06516	+37.27%	0.4035	✗	-0.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.04813	0.044784	-6.95%	0.06662	+38.42%	0.4044	✗	-0.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.0497	0.045802	-7.84%	0.0665	+33.80%	0.3792	✗	-0.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.04846	0.044634	-7.90%	0.06537	+34.89%	0.3844	✗	-0.06
2026-03-19	oos	0.04463	0.041706	-6.55%	0.06838	+53.22%	0.4999	✗	-0.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.04082	0.038654	-5.31%	0.06957	+70.43%	0.5899	✗	-0.03
2026-03-17	oos	0.03639	0.034895	-4.11%	0.07276	+99.95%	0.7346	✗	0.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.042995	0.04054	-5.71%	0.06959	+61.86%	0.5404	✗	0.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.04655	0.043735	-6.05%	0.07018	+50.76%	0.4706	✗	0.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.04861	0.045487	-6.42%	0.07211	+48.34%	0.4567	✗	0.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.04251	0.040936	-3.70%	0.07456	+75.39%	0.5998	✗	0.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.04395	0.042115	-4.17%	0.07646	+73.97%	0.5940	✗	0.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.04198	0.040635	-3.20%	0.071	+69.13%	0.5553	✗	0.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.04267	0.041157	-3.55%	0.07094	+66.25%	0.5427	✗	0.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.0386	0.037922	-1.76%	0.05996	+55.34%	0.4565	✗	0.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.03482	0.034723	-0.28%	0.05853	+68.09%	0.5244	✗	-0.03
2026-03-07	oos	0.03611	0.035728	-1.06%	0.05693	+57.66%	0.4667	✗	-0.03
2026-03-06	oos	0.03847	0.037583	-2.31%	0.05355	+39.20%	0.3547	✗	-0.04
2026-03-05	oos	0.03718	0.036125	-2.84%	0.05503	+48.01%	0.4194	✗	-0.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.03949	0.037688	-4.56%	0.05465	+38.39%	0.3680	✗	-0.04
2026-03-03	oos	0.03686	0.036049	-2.20%	0.05233	+41.97%	0.3707	✗	-0.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.05133	0.046246	-9.90%	0.05479	+6.74%	0.1684	✗	-0.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.04186	0.039946	-4.57%	0.05374	+28.38%	0.3040	✗	-0.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.02815	0.028142	-0.03%	0.05065	+79.93%	0.5876	✗	-0.02
2026-02-27	oos	0.03078	0.031039	+0.84%	0.05037	+63.65%	0.4842	✓	-0.00
2026-02-26	oos	0.03057	0.030646	+0.25%	0.0517	+69.12%	0.5229	✓	-0.00
2026-02-25	oos	0.05789	0.054097	-6.55%	0.04745	-18.03%	0.1321	✓	-0.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.10322	0.09052	-12.30%	0.04267	-58.66%	0.7855	✓	0.47
2026-02-23	oos	0.09076	0.080916	-10.85%	0.04459	-50.87%	0.6409	✓	0.46
2026-02-22	oos	0.09047	0.080239	-11.31%	0.04665	-48.44%	0.5617	✓	0.46
2026-02-21	oos	0.07352	0.066914	-8.99%	0.04747	-35.43%	0.3653	✓	0.52
2026-02-20	oos	0.07318	0.066431	-9.22%	0.04813	-34.23%	0.3214	✓	0.40
2026-02-19	oos	0.07658	0.069147	-9.71%	0.0497	-35.10%	0.3419	✓	0.41
2026-02-18	oos	0.07777	0.07016	-9.78%	0.04846	-37.69%	0.3935	✓	0.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.07714	0.069306	-10.16%	0.04463	-42.14%	0.4559	✓	0.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.07932	0.070556	-11.05%	0.04082	-48.54%	0.5624	✓	0.45
2026-02-15	oos	0.0769	0.068809	-10.52%	0.03639	-52.68%	0.6699	✓	0.46
2026-02-14	oos	0.07943	0.070606	-11.11%	0.042995	-45.87%	0.5280	✓	0.45
2026-02-13	oos	0.08241	0.07309	-11.31%	0.04655	-43.51%	0.4774	✓	0.46
2026-02-12	oos	0.07515	0.067952	-9.58%	0.04861	-35.32%	0.3653	✓	0.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.06673	0.061379	-8.02%	0.04251	-36.30%	0.3924	✓	0.44
2026-02-10	oos	0.0712	0.064467	-9.46%	0.04395	-38.27%	0.3933	✓	0.41
2026-02-09	oos	0.06393	0.058691	-8.20%	0.04198	-34.33%	0.3357	✓	0.43
2026-02-08	oos	0.0755	0.067062	-11.18%	0.04267	-43.48%	0.4502	✓	0.42
2026-02-07	oos	0.06176	0.056968	-7.76%	0.0386	-37.50%	0.3851	✓	0.35
2026-02-06	oos	0.07968	0.069923	-12.24%	0.03482	-56.30%	0.6765	✓	0.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.06819	0.061994	-9.09%	0.03611	-47.05%	0.5468	✓	0.09
2026-02-04	oos	0.06337	0.057779	-8.82%	0.03847	-39.29%	0.3787	✓	0.40
2026-02-03	oos	0.07037	0.061748	-12.25%	0.03718	-47.16%	0.4808	✓	0.41
2026-02-02	oos	0.04656	0.043327	-6.94%	0.03949	-15.18%	0.0311	✓	0.78
2026-02-01	oos	0.04173	0.039365	-5.67%	0.03686	-11.67%	0.0067	✓	0.61
2026-01-31	oos	0.0431	0.040335	-6.42%	0.05133	+19.10%	0.2988	✗	0.43
2026-01-30	oos	0.04241	0.039388	-7.13%	0.04186	-1.30%	0.1847	✗	0.50
2026-01-29	oos	0.04793	0.043942	-8.32%	0.02815	-41.27%	0.3266	✓	0.51
2026-01-28	oos	0.05456	0.048946	-10.29%	0.03078	-43.59%	0.3358	✓	0.42
2026-01-27	oos	0.05158	0.046385	-10.07%	0.03057	-40.73%	0.2986	✓	0.43
2026-01-26	oos	0.04991	0.04494	-9.96%	0.05789	+15.99%	0.3705	✗	0.45
2026-01-25	oos	0.05037	0.045295	-10.08%	0.10322	+104.92%	0.9695	✗	0.48
2026-01-24	oos	0.05777	0.05067	-12.29%	0.09076	+57.11%	0.7071	✗	0.39
2026-01-23	oos	0.06047	0.05227	-13.56%	0.09047	+49.61%	0.6359	✗	0.31
2026-01-22	oos	0.06253	0.053486	-14.46%	0.07352	+17.58%	0.4140	✗	0.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.0701	0.060072	-14.30%	0.07318	+4.39%	0.2922	✗	0.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.08145	0.069127	-15.13%	0.07658	-5.98%	0.2334	✗	0.47
2026-01-19	oos	0.06695	0.058063	-13.27%	0.07777	+16.16%	0.5365	✗	0.74
2026-01-18	oos	0.05477	0.047738	-12.84%	0.07714	+40.84%	0.7427	✗	0.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.04908	0.042325	-13.76%	0.07932	+61.61%	0.8945	✗	0.82
2026-01-16	oos	0.05165	0.044324	-14.18%	0.0769	+48.89%	0.8153	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.05462	0.0468	-14.32%	0.07943	+45.42%	0.7921	✗	0.84
2026-01-14	oos	0.05716	0.049829	-12.82%	0.08241	+44.17%	0.7832	✗	0.82
2026-01-13	oos	0.06727	0.058387	-13.20%	0.07515	+11.71%	0.5983	✗	0.95
2026-01-12	oos	0.04898	0.043123	-11.96%	0.06673	+36.24%	0.6270	✗	0.62
2026-01-11	oos	0.04891	0.043326	-11.42%	0.0712	+45.57%	0.6795	✗	0.66
2026-01-10	oos	0.044	0.039415	-10.42%	0.06393	+45.30%	0.6477	✗	0.65
2026-01-09	oos	0.04275	0.038473	-10.00%	0.0755	+76.61%	0.8343	✗	0.63
2026-01-08	oos	0.03731	0.033786	-9.44%	0.06176	+65.53%	0.7743	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.03251	0.029581	-9.01%	0.07968	+145.09%	1.4077	✗	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	0.03523	0.0321	-8.88%	0.06819	+93.56%	1.3937	✗	1.60
2026-01-05	oos	0.03633	0.0332	-8.62%	0.06337	+74.43%	1.0587	✗	1.64
2026-01-04	oos	0.03601	0.032702	-9.19%	0.07037	+95.42%	1.0895	✗	1.70
2026-01-03	oos	0.03574	0.032462	-9.17%	0.04656	+30.27%	0.6014	✗	1.70
2026-01-02	oos	0.03374	0.03072	-8.95%	0.04173	+23.68%	0.5683	✗	1.67
2026-01-01	oos	0.03516	0.031934	-9.18%	0.0431	+22.58%	0.5045	✗	1.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.03534	0.032155	-9.01%	0.04241	+20.01%	0.3439	✗	1.70
2025-12-30	oos	0.03487	0.03166	-9.21%	0.04793	+37.45%	0.4925	✗	1.73
2025-12-29	oos	0.03703	0.033488	-9.56%	0.05456	+47.34%	0.4482	✗	1.71
2025-12-28	oos	0.04027	0.03615	-10.23%	0.05158	+28.09%	0.3316	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.04554	0.040205	-11.71%	0.04991	+9.60%	0.2078	✗	1.68
2025-12-26	oos	0.04354	0.038419	-11.76%	0.05037	+15.69%	0.2847	✗	1.65
2025-12-25	oos	0.04617	0.040352	-12.60%	0.05777	+25.12%	0.3231	✗	1.65
2025-12-24	oos	0.04127	0.036241	-12.19%	0.06047	+46.52%	0.4770	✗	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.0401	0.035135	-12.38%	0.06253	+55.94%	0.5416	✗	1.52
2025-12-22	oos	0.04472	0.038553	-13.79%	0.0701	+56.75%	0.5842	✗	1.50
2025-12-21	oos	0.04437	0.038159	-14.00%	0.08145	+83.57%	0.7638	✗	1.51
2025-12-20	oos	0.04508	0.038712	-14.12%	0.06695	+48.51%	0.4748	✗	1.56
2025-12-19	oos	0.0423	0.03655	-13.59%	0.05477	+29.48%	0.3097	✗	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	0.04002	0.035062	-12.39%	0.04908	+22.64%	0.1698	✗	1.56
2025-12-17	oos	0.036	0.031774	-11.74%	0.05165	+43.47%	0.3231	✗	1.59
2025-12-16	oos	0.04841	0.041056	-15.19%	0.05462	+12.83%	0.1607	✓	1.48
2025-12-15	oos	0.04002	0.034713	-13.26%	0.05716	+42.83%	0.3363	✗	1.41
2025-12-14	oos	0.03232	0.028515	-11.77%	0.06727	+108.14%	0.7404	✗	1.50
2025-12-13	oos	0.03009	0.026694	-11.29%	0.04898	+62.78%	0.5911	✗	1.54
2025-12-12	oos	0.03156	0.027973	-11.37%	0.04891	+54.97%	0.5486	✗	1.55
2025-12-11	oos	0.03257	0.028823	-11.51%	0.044	+35.09%	0.4598	✗	1.55
2025-12-10	oos	0.03374	0.02983	-11.59%	0.04275	+26.70%	0.3861	✗	1.57
2025-12-09	oos	0.0371	0.032483	-12.44%	0.03731	+0.57%	0.1667	✗	1.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.03916	0.034065	-13.01%	0.03251	-16.98%	0.0576	✓	1.58
2025-12-07	oos	0.03906	0.033957	-13.07%	0.03523	-9.81%	0.0201	✓	1.58
2025-12-06	oos	0.04	0.034727	-13.18%	0.03633	-9.18%	0.0357	✓	1.61
2025-12-05	oos	0.04029	0.034827	-13.56%	0.03601	-10.62%	0.0049	✓	1.61
2025-12-04	oos	0.0406	0.034777	-14.34%	0.03574	-11.97%	0.0540	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.04414	0.03769	-14.61%	0.03374	-23.56%	0.0493	✓	1.61
2025-12-02	oos	0.04418	0.037786	-14.47%	0.03516	-20.42%	0.0249	✓	1.65
2025-12-01	oos	0.04214	0.036398	-13.63%	0.03534	-16.14%	0.0538	✓	1.74
2025-11-30	oos	0.05073	0.043143	-14.96%	0.03487	-31.26%	0.1770	✓	1.63
2025-11-29	oos	0.04066	0.035441	-12.84%	0.03703	-8.93%	0.1112	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.04525	0.039126	-13.53%	0.04027	-11.01%	0.0836	✓	1.62
2025-11-27	oos	0.03818	0.033707	-11.72%	0.04554	+19.28%	0.3650	✗	1.64
2025-11-26	oos	0.03594	0.03197	-11.05%	0.04354	+21.15%	0.3680	✗	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.03641	0.032335	-11.19%	0.04617	+26.81%	0.3593	✗	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.03441	0.030686	-10.82%	0.04127	+19.94%	0.3095	✗	1.76
2025-11-23	oos	0.02719	0.025013	-8.01%	0.0401	+47.48%	0.4600	✗	1.67
2025-11-22	oos	0.03725	0.032942	-11.56%	0.04472	+20.05%	0.2148	✗	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.03157	0.028467	-9.83%	0.04437	+40.54%	0.3593	✗	2.05
2025-11-20	oos	0.02838	0.025829	-8.99%	0.04508	+58.84%	0.5140	✗	2.10
2025-11-19	oos	0.0308	0.027553	-10.54%	0.0423	+37.34%	0.5104	✗	2.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.03265	0.028937	-11.37%	0.04002	+22.57%	0.5064	✗	2.18
2025-11-17	oos	0.03008	0.026826	-10.82%	0.036	+19.68%	0.4377	✗	2.17
2025-11-16	oos	0.03037	0.026949	-11.26%	0.04841	+59.40%	0.7376	✗	2.18
2025-11-15	oos	0.02951	0.026209	-11.18%	0.04002	+35.62%	0.6446	✗	2.20
2025-11-14	oos	0.03099	0.027364	-11.70%	0.03232	+4.29%	0.3214	✗	2.23
2025-11-13	oos	0.03208	0.027988	-12.76%	0.03009	-6.20%	0.3037	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.02999	0.026142	-12.83%	0.03156	+5.24%	0.4730	✗	2.40
2025-11-11	oos	0.02939	0.025518	-13.17%	0.03257	+10.82%	0.5031	✗	2.42
2025-11-10	oos	0.02816	0.024357	-13.51%	0.03374	+19.82%	0.6790	✗	2.50
2025-11-09	oos	0.03016	0.026175	-13.21%	0.0371	+23.01%	0.6591	✗	2.55
2025-11-08	oos	0.02936	0.025571	-12.90%	0.03916	+33.38%	0.7375	✗	2.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.02507	0.022135	-11.71%	0.03906	+55.80%	0.9174	✗	2.62
2025-11-06	oos	0.02259	0.020225	-10.47%	0.04	+77.07%	1.0094	✗	2.59
2025-11-05	oos	0.02642	0.02319	-12.22%	0.04029	+52.50%	0.9316	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.02557	0.022751	-11.03%	0.0406	+58.78%	0.8237	✗	2.52
2025-11-03	oos	0.02367	0.021215	-10.37%	0.04414	+86.48%	1.1107	✗	2.88
2025-11-02	oos	0.01919	0.017661	-7.97%	0.04418	+130.22%	1.5485	✗	3.31
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016407	-6.57%	0.04214	+139.98%	1.7452	✗	3.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01618	0.015298	-5.45%	0.05073	+213.54%	1.8281	✗	3.27
2025-10-30	oos	0.013	0.012673	-2.52%	0.04066	+212.77%	1.7286	✗	3.20
2025-10-29	oos	0.01309	0.012718	-2.84%	0.04525	+245.68%	1.8822	✗	3.21
2025-10-28	oos	0.01363	0.013103	-3.87%	0.03818	+180.12%	1.7661	✗	3.28
2025-10-27	oos	0.01453	0.013795	-5.06%	0.03594	+147.35%	1.7169	✗	3.27
2025-10-26	oos	0.01458	0.013845	-5.04%	0.03641	+149.73%	1.8558	✗	3.28
2025-10-25	oos	0.01564	0.014782	-5.49%	0.03441	+120.01%	1.6595	✗	3.46
2025-10-24	oos	0.01313	0.012781	-2.66%	0.02719	+107.08%	1.6067	✗	3.46
2025-10-23	oos	0.0135	0.013085	-3.07%	0.03725	+175.93%	1.9585	✗	3.47
2025-10-22	oos	0.01197	0.011876	-0.79%	0.03157	+163.74%	1.7830	✗	3.43
2025-10-21	oos	0.01301	0.01273	-2.15%	0.02838	+118.14%	1.5721	✗	3.43
2025-10-20	oos	0.01334	0.012882	-3.43%	0.0308	+130.88%	1.5366	✗	3.50
2025-10-19	oos	0.0134	0.012931	-3.50%	0.03265	+143.66%	1.4735	✗	3.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.0135	0.012982	-3.84%	0.03008	+122.81%	1.3755	✗	3.52
2025-10-17	oos	0.01155	0.011324	-1.95%	0.03037	+162.94%	1.4121	✗	3.47
2025-10-16	oos	0.01146	0.011198	-2.28%	0.02951	+157.50%	1.4061	✗	3.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01216	0.011727	-3.56%	0.03099	+154.85%	1.5350	✗	3.54
2025-10-14	oos	0.01252	0.011941	-4.62%	0.03208	+156.23%	1.4407	✗	3.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.01343	0.01261	-6.11%	0.02999	+123.31%	1.3174	✗	3.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.01231	0.011702	-4.94%	0.02939	+138.75%	1.3119	✗	3.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.01196	0.011561	-3.34%	0.02816	+135.45%	1.0538	✗	3.70
2025-10-10	oos	0.01147	0.011122	-3.03%	0.03016	+162.95%	1.2844	✗	3.76
2025-10-09	oos	0.02132	0.019853	-6.88%	0.02936	+37.71%	0.8039	✗	2.37
2025-10-08	oos	0.02238	0.02085	-6.84%	0.02507	+12.02%	0.5858	✗	2.26
2025-10-07	oos	0.01976	0.018386	-6.95%	0.02259	+14.32%	0.6370	✗	2.38
2025-10-06	oos	0.02155	0.020172	-6.40%	0.02642	+22.60%	0.7190	✗	2.46
2025-10-05	oos	0.02113	0.019752	-6.52%	0.02557	+21.01%	0.7395	✗	2.45
2025-10-04	oos	0.02253	0.020946	-7.03%	0.02367	+5.06%	0.4687	✗	2.49
2025-10-03	oos	0.02337	0.021743	-6.96%	0.01919	-17.89%	0.1269	✗	2.49
2025-10-02	oos	0.02322	0.021595	-7.00%	0.01756	-24.38%	0.0224	✓	2.50
2025-10-01	oos	0.02106	0.019653	-6.68%	0.01618	-23.17%	0.0024	✓	2.47
2025-09-30	oos	0.02064	0.019254	-6.71%	0.013	-37.02%	0.2583	✓	2.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.0199	0.018571	-6.68%	0.01309	-34.22%	0.2407	✓	2.82
2025-09-28	oos	0.02045	0.019103	-6.59%	0.01363	-33.35%	0.3564	✓	2.98
2025-09-27	oos	0.02037	0.019059	-6.44%	0.01453	-28.67%	0.3901	✓	3.02
2025-09-26	oos	0.02103	0.019598	-6.81%	0.01458	-30.67%	0.4273	✓	3.04
2025-09-25	oos	0.02033	0.018912	-6.98%	0.01564	-23.07%	0.2625	✓	3.04
2025-09-24	oos	0.01793	0.016663	-7.07%	0.01313	-26.77%	0.1633	✓	3.65
2025-09-23	oos	0.01685	0.01568	-6.95%	0.0135	-19.88%	0.0874	✓	3.64
2025-09-22	oos	0.01713	0.015927	-7.02%	0.01197	-30.12%	0.1203	✓	3.53
2025-09-21	oos	0.0195	0.018056	-7.40%	0.01301	-33.28%	0.1123	✓	3.48
2025-09-20	oos	0.02021	0.018655	-7.69%	0.01334	-33.99%	0.1722	✓	3.56
2025-09-19	oos	0.01988	0.01833	-7.80%	0.0134	-32.60%	0.0907	✓	3.56
2025-09-18	oos	0.02217	0.020371	-8.12%	0.0135	-39.11%	0.0991	✓	3.53
2025-09-17	oos	0.02326	0.021334	-8.28%	0.01155	-50.34%	0.2929	✓	3.57

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.