APTM

Apertum · native · gru_s4

token id: #738
symbol: APTM
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-29
predictions: 1,569

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

49.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0402

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0001

actual -0.0075

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05044	0.050432	-0.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-20	oos	0.050485	0.050488	+0.01%	0.05044	-0.09%	0.0013	✗	-0.11
2026-10-19	oos	0.04955	0.049587	+0.07%	0.050485	+1.89%	0.0196	✓	-0.12
2026-10-18	oos	0.051575	0.051571	-0.01%	0.04955	-3.93%	0.0402	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.051415	0.051408	-0.01%	0.051575	+0.31%	0.0039	✗	-0.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.05148	0.051455	-0.05%	0.051415	-0.13%	0.0009	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.05166	0.051584	-0.15%	0.05148	-0.35%	0.0026	✓	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.05095	0.050834	-0.23%	0.05166	+1.39%	0.0167	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.04801	0.047905	-0.22%	0.05095	+6.12%	0.0598	✗	-0.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.04597	0.045927	-0.09%	0.04801	+4.44%	0.0467	✗	-0.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.043545	0.04352	-0.06%	0.04597	+5.57%	0.0553	✗	0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.038075	0.038233	+0.41%	0.043545	+14.37%	0.1304	✓	-0.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.04453	0.044566	+0.08%	0.038075	-14.50%	0.1573	✗	-0.02
2026-10-08	oos	0.039705	0.039894	+0.48%	0.04453	+12.15%	0.1106	✓	-0.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.048795	0.048806	+0.02%	0.039705	-18.63%	0.2098	✗	-0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.05007	0.050083	+0.03%	0.048795	-2.55%	0.0312	✗	-0.19
2026-10-05	oos	0.05562	0.055543	-0.14%	0.05007	-9.98%	0.1043	✓	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.05554	0.055517	-0.04%	0.05562	+0.14%	0.0002	✓	-0.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.05556	0.055575	+0.03%	0.05554	-0.04%	0.0043	✓	-0.24
2026-10-02	oos	0.059785	0.059785	+0.00%	0.05556	-7.07%	0.0726	✗	-0.24
2026-10-01	oos	0.067895	0.067846	-0.07%	0.059785	-11.94%	0.1276	✓	-0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.069685	0.0696	-0.12%	0.067895	-2.57%	0.0206	✓	-0.28
2026-09-29	oos	0.07139	0.07132	-0.10%	0.069685	-2.39%	0.0235	✓	-0.26
2026-09-28	oos	0.06487	0.064942	+0.11%	0.07139	+10.05%	0.0951	✓	-0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.07234	0.072389	+0.07%	0.06487	-10.33%	0.1148	✗	-0.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.078755	0.07875	-0.01%	0.07234	-8.15%	0.0847	✓	-0.44
2026-09-25	oos	0.08103	0.081018	-0.01%	0.078755	-2.81%	0.0268	✓	-0.39
2026-09-24	oos	0.08097	0.080972	+0.00%	0.08103	+0.07%	0.0006	✗	-0.39
2026-09-23	oos	0.08203	0.082034	+0.00%	0.08097	-1.29%	0.0130	✗	-0.39
2026-09-22	oos	0.08513	0.085091	-0.05%	0.08203	-3.64%	0.0450	✓	-0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.07953	0.079618	+0.11%	0.08513	+7.04%	0.0653	✓	-0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.0812	0.081272	+0.09%	0.07953	-2.06%	0.0012	✗	-0.32
2026-09-19	oos	0.085365	0.085374	+0.01%	0.0812	-4.88%	0.0504	✗	-0.33
2026-09-18	oos	0.08565	0.085649	-0.00%	0.085365	-0.33%	0.0019	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.08507	0.084925	-0.17%	0.08565	+0.68%	0.0307	✗	-0.39
2026-09-16	oos	0.08344	0.083318	-0.15%	0.08507	+1.95%	0.0218	✗	-0.39
2026-09-15	oos	0.08708	0.086832	-0.28%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0375	✓	-0.32
2026-09-14	oos	0.08585	0.085809	-0.05%	0.08708	+1.43%	0.0042	✗	-0.31
2026-09-13	oos	0.079525	0.07953	+0.01%	0.08585	+7.95%	0.0825	✓	-0.34
2026-09-12	oos	0.083605	0.083625	+0.02%	0.079525	-4.88%	0.0524	✗	-0.35
2026-09-11	oos	0.08481	0.084857	+0.06%	0.083605	-1.42%	0.0146	✗	-0.34
2026-09-10	oos	0.090155	0.090138	-0.02%	0.08481	-5.93%	0.0581	✓	-0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.08912	0.089292	+0.19%	0.090155	+1.16%	0.0025	✓	-0.32
2026-09-08	oos	0.0919	0.092091	+0.21%	0.08912	-3.03%	0.0334	✗	-0.28
2026-09-07	oos	0.09638	0.096548	+0.17%	0.0919	-4.65%	0.0517	✗	-0.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.087055	0.087348	+0.34%	0.09638	+10.71%	0.0949	✓	-0.22
2026-09-05	oos	0.088895	0.089251	+0.40%	0.087055	-2.07%	0.0235	✗	-0.22
2026-09-04	oos	0.089055	0.089495	+0.49%	0.088895	-0.18%	0.0064	✗	-0.18
2026-09-03	oos	0.09121	0.091718	+0.56%	0.089055	-2.36%	0.0333	✗	-0.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.09298	0.093411	+0.46%	0.09121	-1.90%	0.0160	✗	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.16979	0.163824	-3.51%	0.09298	-45.24%	0.5667	✓	-0.22
2026-08-31	oos	0.08124	0.081421	+0.22%	0.16979	+109.00%	0.7372	✓	0.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.07423	0.07441	+0.24%	0.08124	+9.44%	0.0869	✓	0.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.07457	0.074785	+0.29%	0.07423	-0.46%	0.0066	✗	0.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.07422	0.074495	+0.37%	0.07457	+0.47%	0.0004	✓	0.11
2026-08-27	oos	0.08533	0.085639	+0.36%	0.07422	-13.02%	0.1427	✗	0.01
2026-08-26	oos	0.10211	0.102335	+0.22%	0.08533	-16.43%	0.1829	✗	0.08
2026-08-25	oos	0.10665	0.106833	+0.17%	0.10211	-4.26%	0.0457	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.11217	0.112295	+0.11%	0.10665	-4.92%	0.0513	✗	0.05
2026-08-23	oos	0.12435	0.124247	-0.08%	0.11217	-9.79%	0.1038	✓	0.10
2026-08-22	oos	0.12235	0.122243	-0.09%	0.12435	+1.63%	0.0163	✗	0.09
2026-08-21	oos	0.1212	0.121118	-0.07%	0.12235	+0.95%	0.0118	✗	0.10
2026-08-20	oos	0.12097	0.120967	-0.00%	0.1212	+0.19%	0.0050	✓	0.10
2026-08-19	oos	0.12915	0.128952	-0.15%	0.12097	-6.33%	0.0746	✓	0.20
2026-08-18	oos	0.13144	0.131155	-0.22%	0.12915	-1.74%	0.0341	✓	0.27
2026-08-17	oos	0.13321	0.132904	-0.23%	0.13144	-1.33%	0.0120	✓	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.13581	0.135479	-0.24%	0.13321	-1.91%	0.0248	✓	0.31
2026-08-15	oos	0.13355	0.133256	-0.22%	0.13581	+1.69%	0.0199	✗	0.31
2026-08-14	oos	0.1315	0.13127	-0.17%	0.13355	+1.56%	0.0170	✗	0.32
2026-08-13	oos	0.14032	0.139956	-0.26%	0.1315	-6.29%	0.0602	✓	0.30
2026-08-12	oos	0.14456	0.14413	-0.30%	0.14032	-2.93%	0.0268	✓	0.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.14696	0.146462	-0.34%	0.14456	-1.63%	0.0125	✓	0.32
2026-08-10	oos	0.14592	0.145391	-0.36%	0.14696	+0.71%	0.0127	✗	0.32
2026-08-09	oos	0.13868	0.138271	-0.29%	0.14592	+5.22%	0.0592	✗	0.37
2026-08-08	oos	0.14461	0.144098	-0.35%	0.13868	-4.10%	0.0380	✓	0.37
2026-08-07	oos	0.1437	0.143206	-0.34%	0.14461	+0.63%	0.0097	✗	0.32
2026-08-06	oos	0.14603	0.145505	-0.36%	0.1437	-1.60%	0.0157	✓	0.33
2026-08-05	oos	0.14513	0.144611	-0.36%	0.14603	+0.62%	0.0115	✗	0.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.14826	0.147697	-0.38%	0.14513	-2.11%	0.0203	✓	0.32
2026-08-03	oos	0.15172	0.151082	-0.42%	0.14826	-2.28%	0.0219	✓	0.33
2026-08-02	oos	0.15604	0.155289	-0.48%	0.15172	-2.77%	0.0231	✓	0.31
2026-08-01	oos	0.15091	0.150174	-0.49%	0.15604	+3.40%	0.0350	✗	0.28
2026-07-31	oos	0.13661	0.136131	-0.35%	0.15091	+10.47%	0.1033	✗	0.28
2026-07-30	oos	0.14276	0.14219	-0.40%	0.13661	-4.31%	0.0324	✓	0.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.14754	0.146943	-0.40%	0.14276	-3.24%	0.0328	✓	0.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.15216	0.151503	-0.43%	0.14754	-3.04%	0.0267	✓	0.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.15277	0.15209	-0.45%	0.15216	-0.40%	0.0003	✓	0.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.15221	0.151557	-0.43%	0.15277	+0.37%	0.0164	✗	0.33
2026-07-25	oos	0.14016	0.139708	-0.32%	0.15221	+8.60%	0.0814	✗	0.27
2026-07-24	oos	0.14238	0.141971	-0.29%	0.14016	-1.56%	0.0137	✓	0.26
2026-07-23	oos	0.14741	0.147023	-0.26%	0.14238	-3.41%	0.0284	✓	0.24
2026-07-22	oos	0.15841	0.157986	-0.27%	0.14741	-6.94%	0.0657	✓	0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.15839	0.15803	-0.23%	0.15841	+0.01%	0.0039	✗	0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.15106	0.150788	-0.18%	0.15839	+4.85%	0.0454	✗	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	0.14672	0.146528	-0.13%	0.15106	+2.96%	0.0292	✗	0.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.1545	0.15428	-0.14%	0.14672	-5.04%	0.0499	✓	0.17
2026-07-17	oos	0.15717	0.156904	-0.17%	0.1545	-1.70%	0.0186	✓	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	0.16458	0.164099	-0.29%	0.15717	-4.50%	0.0436	✓	0.26
2026-07-15	oos	0.14785	0.147559	-0.20%	0.16458	+11.32%	0.1134	✗	0.29
2026-07-14	oos	0.13584	0.135693	-0.11%	0.14785	+8.84%	0.0871	✗	0.30
2026-07-13	oos	0.12405	0.124064	+0.01%	0.13584	+9.50%	0.0831	✓	0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.11991	0.119992	+0.07%	0.12405	+3.45%	0.0382	✓	0.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.1254	0.125451	+0.04%	0.11991	-4.38%	0.0451	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	0.12225	0.122364	+0.09%	0.1254	+2.58%	0.0258	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.12308	0.123225	+0.12%	0.12225	-0.67%	0.0114	✗	0.23
2026-07-08	oos	0.12313	0.123312	+0.15%	0.12308	-0.04%	0.0059	✗	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	0.12172	0.121939	+0.18%	0.12313	+1.16%	0.0144	✓	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	0.11802	0.118311	+0.25%	0.12172	+3.14%	0.0310	✓	0.24
2026-07-05	oos	0.12421	0.124483	+0.22%	0.11802	-4.98%	0.0562	✗	0.44
2026-07-04	oos	0.12789	0.128145	+0.20%	0.12421	-2.88%	0.0347	✗	0.45
2026-07-03	oos	0.12756	0.127823	+0.21%	0.12789	+0.26%	0.0033	✗	0.42
2026-07-02	oos	0.13462	0.134749	+0.10%	0.12756	-5.24%	0.0624	✗	0.45
2026-07-01	oos	0.1334	0.133438	+0.03%	0.13462	+0.91%	0.0025	✗	0.45
2026-06-30	oos	0.1241	0.124299	+0.16%	0.1334	+7.49%	0.0605	✓	0.42
2026-06-29	oos	0.10165	0.102246	+0.59%	0.1241	+22.09%	0.2100	✓	0.59
2026-06-28	oos	0.10748	0.108068	+0.55%	0.10165	-5.42%	0.0681	✗	0.60
2026-06-27	oos	0.12679	0.127082	+0.23%	0.10748	-15.23%	0.1634	✗	0.54
2026-06-26	oos	0.12502	0.125346	+0.26%	0.12679	+1.42%	0.0121	✓	0.54
2026-06-25	oos	0.1193	0.119757	+0.38%	0.12502	+4.79%	0.0404	✓	0.53
2026-06-24	oos	0.12379	0.124181	+0.32%	0.1193	-3.63%	0.0281	✗	0.57
2026-06-23	oos	0.12526	0.125645	+0.31%	0.12379	-1.17%	0.0048	✗	0.38
2026-06-22	oos	0.13626	0.136596	+0.25%	0.12526	-8.07%	0.0802	✗	0.31
2026-06-21	oos	0.1432	0.14352	+0.22%	0.13626	-4.85%	0.0556	✗	0.33
2026-06-20	oos	0.14425	0.144596	+0.24%	0.1432	-0.73%	0.0040	✗	0.37
2026-06-19	oos	0.14924	0.149585	+0.23%	0.14425	-3.34%	0.0408	✗	0.38
2026-06-18	oos	0.152465	0.15282	+0.23%	0.14924	-2.12%	0.0274	✗	0.39
2026-06-17	oos	0.16544	0.165701	+0.16%	0.152465	-7.84%	0.0749	✗	0.34
2026-06-16	oos	0.1638	0.164095	+0.18%	0.16544	+1.00%	0.0145	✓	0.35
2026-06-15	oos	0.17088	0.17112	+0.14%	0.1638	-4.14%	0.0397	✗	0.40
2026-06-14	oos	0.17032	0.170568	+0.15%	0.17088	+0.33%	0.0018	✗	0.42
2026-06-13	oos	0.16995	0.170205	+0.15%	0.17032	+0.22%	0.0081	✗	0.45
2026-06-12	oos	0.16892	0.16919	+0.16%	0.16995	+0.61%	0.0015	✓	0.43
2026-06-11	oos	0.16948	0.169745	+0.16%	0.16892	-0.33%	0.0047	✗	0.43
2026-06-10	oos	0.16501	0.165372	+0.22%	0.16948	+2.71%	0.0091	✓	0.46
2026-06-09	oos	0.16981	0.170118	+0.18%	0.16501	-2.83%	0.0287	✗	0.47
2026-06-08	oos	0.17186	0.17211	+0.15%	0.16981	-1.19%	0.0034	✗	0.46
2026-06-07	oos	0.17355	0.173755	+0.12%	0.17186	-0.97%	0.0094	✗	0.42
2026-06-06	oos	0.16966	0.169994	+0.20%	0.17355	+2.29%	0.0083	✓	0.31
2026-06-05	oos	0.16953	0.16987	+0.20%	0.16966	+0.08%	0.0003	✓	0.33
2026-06-04	oos	0.17312	0.173305	+0.11%	0.16953	-2.07%	0.0071	✗	0.33
2026-06-03	oos	0.17071	0.170925	+0.13%	0.17312	+1.41%	0.0140	✓	0.34
2026-06-02	oos	0.17298	0.173058	+0.05%	0.17071	-1.31%	0.0008	✓	0.36
2026-06-01	oos	0.17134	0.171293	-0.03%	0.17298	+0.96%	0.0342	✗	0.36
2026-05-31	oos	0.180875	0.180578	-0.16%	0.17134	-5.27%	0.0426	✓	0.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.18247	0.182085	-0.21%	0.180875	-0.87%	0.0058	✓	0.31
2026-05-29	oos	0.18313	0.182738	-0.21%	0.18247	-0.36%	0.0032	✓	0.32
2026-05-28	oos	0.18267	0.182242	-0.23%	0.18313	+0.25%	0.0055	✗	0.31
2026-05-27	oos	0.18145	0.180996	-0.25%	0.18267	+0.67%	0.0127	✗	0.32
2026-05-26	oos	0.17662	0.176237	-0.22%	0.18145	+2.73%	0.0363	✗	0.35
2026-05-25	oos	0.18038	0.179898	-0.27%	0.17662	-2.08%	0.0110	✓	0.40
2026-05-24	oos	0.18253	0.181969	-0.31%	0.18038	-1.18%	0.0102	✓	0.40
2026-05-23	oos	0.1803	0.179824	-0.26%	0.18253	+1.24%	0.0131	✗	0.44
2026-05-22	oos	0.18214	0.181699	-0.24%	0.1803	-1.01%	0.0148	✓	0.44
2026-05-21	oos	0.18351	0.183068	-0.24%	0.18214	-0.75%	0.0074	✗	0.45
2026-05-20	oos	0.19035	0.189852	-0.26%	0.18351	-3.59%	0.0344	✓	0.45
2026-05-19	oos	0.18468	0.184307	-0.20%	0.19035	+3.07%	0.0281	✗	0.45
2026-05-18	oos	0.19254	0.192093	-0.23%	0.18468	-4.08%	0.0383	✓	0.44
2026-05-17	oos	0.19675	0.196278	-0.24%	0.19254	-2.14%	0.0167	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.20489	0.204244	-0.32%	0.19675	-3.97%	0.0336	✓	0.42
2026-05-15	oos	0.20193	0.201259	-0.33%	0.20489	+1.47%	0.0232	✗	0.44
2026-05-14	oos	0.19072	0.190219	-0.26%	0.20193	+5.88%	0.0722	✗	0.49
2026-05-13	oos	0.17412	0.173772	-0.20%	0.19072	+9.53%	0.0844	✗	0.39
2026-05-12	oos	0.17421	0.173988	-0.13%	0.17412	-0.05%	0.0066	✗	0.39
2026-05-11	oos	0.18395	0.183735	-0.12%	0.17421	-5.29%	0.0477	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.18566	0.185532	-0.07%	0.18395	-0.92%	0.0062	✓	0.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.19691	0.196592	-0.16%	0.18566	-5.71%	0.0656	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.19567	0.195387	-0.14%	0.19691	+0.63%	0.0053	✗	0.43
2026-05-07	oos	0.19909	0.198858	-0.12%	0.19567	-1.72%	0.0172	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.19352	0.193654	+0.07%	0.19909	+2.88%	0.0341	✓	0.36
2026-05-05	oos	0.19238	0.192616	+0.12%	0.19352	+0.59%	0.0019	✓	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.20175	0.201824	+0.04%	0.19238	-4.64%	0.0536	✗	0.43
2026-05-03	oos	0.20465	0.20447	-0.09%	0.20175	-1.42%	0.0195	✓	0.37
2026-05-02	oos	0.20929	0.208921	-0.18%	0.20465	-2.22%	0.0201	✓	0.37
2026-05-01	oos	0.20161	0.201126	-0.24%	0.20929	+3.81%	0.0377	✗	0.37
2026-04-30	oos	0.19292	0.192414	-0.26%	0.20161	+4.50%	0.0381	✗	0.34
2026-04-29	oos	0.19468	0.194098	-0.30%	0.19292	-0.90%	0.0086	✓	0.34
2026-04-28	oos	0.20541	0.204536	-0.43%	0.19468	-5.22%	0.0471	✓	0.30
2026-04-27	oos	0.20654	0.205643	-0.43%	0.20541	-0.55%	0.0030	✓	0.31
2026-04-26	oos	0.20357	0.202815	-0.37%	0.20654	+1.46%	0.0235	✗	0.32
2026-04-25	oos	0.20785	0.206939	-0.44%	0.20357	-2.06%	0.0207	✓	0.32
2026-04-24	oos	0.21439	0.213404	-0.46%	0.20785	-3.05%	0.0272	✓	0.35
2026-04-23	oos	0.22594	0.224844	-0.48%	0.21439	-5.11%	0.0439	✓	0.35
2026-04-22	oos	0.21641	0.215529	-0.41%	0.22594	+4.40%	0.0469	✗	0.35
2026-04-21	oos	0.21717	0.21635	-0.38%	0.21641	-0.35%	0.0081	✓	0.35
2026-04-20	oos	0.24333	0.242367	-0.40%	0.21717	-10.75%	0.1120	✓	0.35
2026-04-19	oos	0.23956	0.238624	-0.39%	0.24333	+1.57%	0.0092	✗	0.38
2026-04-18	oos	0.25684	0.255992	-0.33%	0.23956	-6.73%	0.0570	✓	0.37
2026-04-17	oos	0.27491	0.274265	-0.23%	0.25684	-6.57%	0.0593	✓	0.36
2026-04-16	oos	0.28018	0.27929	-0.32%	0.27491	-1.88%	0.0250	✓	0.36
2026-04-15	oos	0.27333	0.272574	-0.28%	0.28018	+2.51%	0.0259	✗	0.36
2026-04-14	oos	0.27129	0.270588	-0.26%	0.27333	+0.75%	0.0069	✗	0.36
2026-04-13	oos	0.26811	0.267562	-0.20%	0.27129	+1.19%	0.0151	✗	0.36
2026-04-12	oos	0.27622	0.275546	-0.24%	0.26811	-2.94%	0.0474	✓	0.39
2026-04-11	oos	0.29991	0.298963	-0.32%	0.27622	-7.90%	0.0670	✓	0.37
2026-04-10	oos	0.28573	0.284898	-0.29%	0.29991	+4.96%	0.0509	✗	0.37
2026-04-09	oos	0.26827	0.267605	-0.25%	0.28573	+6.51%	0.0597	✗	0.35
2026-04-08	oos	0.27586	0.274676	-0.43%	0.26827	-2.75%	0.0272	✓	0.36
2026-04-07	oos	0.24535	0.244433	-0.37%	0.27586	+12.44%	0.1252	✗	0.37
2026-04-06	oos	0.21158	0.211423	-0.07%	0.24535	+15.96%	0.1361	✗	0.29
2026-04-05	oos	0.19818	0.198235	+0.03%	0.21158	+6.76%	0.0658	✓	0.29
2026-04-04	oos	0.2031	0.203171	+0.04%	0.19818	-2.42%	0.0327	✗	0.31
2026-04-03	oos	0.19894	0.199143	+0.10%	0.2031	+2.09%	0.0181	✓	0.31
2026-04-02	oos	0.20104	0.201279	+0.12%	0.19894	-1.04%	0.0120	✗	0.31
2026-04-01	oos	0.21028	0.210386	+0.05%	0.20104	-4.39%	0.0398	✗	0.31
2026-03-31	oos	0.2115	0.211665	+0.08%	0.21028	-0.58%	0.0061	✗	0.32
2026-03-30	oos	0.21399	0.214284	+0.14%	0.2115	-1.16%	0.0202	✗	0.32
2026-03-29	oos	0.23271	0.232886	+0.08%	0.21399	-8.04%	0.0887	✗	0.35
2026-03-28	oos	0.23595	0.236157	+0.09%	0.23271	-1.37%	0.0128	✗	0.35
2026-03-27	oos	0.24364	0.243803	+0.07%	0.23595	-3.16%	0.0326	✗	0.35
2026-03-26	oos	0.2636	0.263427	-0.07%	0.24364	-7.57%	0.0663	✓	0.33
2026-03-25	oos	0.22177	0.222088	+0.14%	0.2636	+18.86%	0.1862	✓	0.41
2026-03-24	oos	0.237085	0.237384	+0.13%	0.22177	-6.46%	0.0726	✗	0.42
2026-03-23	oos	0.24136	0.241684	+0.13%	0.237085	-1.77%	0.0172	✗	0.42
2026-03-22	oos	0.2329	0.23339	+0.21%	0.24136	+3.63%	0.0167	✓	0.39
2026-03-21	oos	0.23942	0.23995	+0.22%	0.2329	-2.72%	0.0238	✗	0.38
2026-03-20	oos	0.24414	0.244748	+0.25%	0.23942	-1.93%	0.0134	✗	0.38
2026-03-19	oos	0.25525	0.25591	+0.26%	0.24414	-4.35%	0.0503	✗	0.39
2026-03-18	oos	0.25961	0.26038	+0.30%	0.25525	-1.68%	0.0107	✗	0.49
2026-03-17	oos	0.28038	0.28105	+0.24%	0.25961	-7.41%	0.0621	✗	0.47
2026-03-16	oos	0.300425	0.300785	+0.12%	0.28038	-6.67%	0.0647	✗	0.43
2026-03-15	oos	0.28623	0.286834	+0.21%	0.300425	+4.96%	0.0345	✓	0.42
2026-03-14	oos	0.29323	0.293687	+0.16%	0.28623	-2.39%	0.0352	✗	0.43
2026-03-13	oos	0.30095	0.300921	-0.01%	0.29323	-2.57%	0.0277	✓	0.44
2026-03-12	oos	0.238945	0.239807	+0.36%	0.30095	+25.95%	0.2247	✓	0.41
2026-03-11	oos	0.21947	0.220518	+0.48%	0.238945	+8.87%	0.0784	✓	0.39
2026-03-10	oos	0.24161	0.242726	+0.46%	0.21947	-9.16%	0.1021	✗	0.40
2026-03-09	oos	0.2527	0.253897	+0.47%	0.24161	-4.39%	0.0588	✗	0.42
2026-03-08	oos	0.275275	0.276541	+0.46%	0.2527	-8.20%	0.1069	✗	0.46
2026-03-07	oos	0.285105	0.286439	+0.47%	0.275275	-3.45%	0.0308	✗	0.46
2026-03-06	oos	0.29572	0.297108	+0.47%	0.285105	-3.59%	0.0356	✗	0.45
2026-03-05	oos	0.30314	0.304556	+0.47%	0.29572	-2.45%	0.0115	✗	0.45
2026-03-04	oos	0.31296	0.314383	+0.45%	0.30314	-3.14%	0.0254	✗	0.44
2026-03-03	oos	0.32191	0.323459	+0.48%	0.31296	-2.78%	0.0626	✗	0.48
2026-03-02	oos	0.30972	0.311386	+0.54%	0.32191	+3.94%	0.0368	✓	0.50
2026-03-01	oos	0.30922	0.311031	+0.59%	0.30972	+0.16%	0.0283	✗	0.53
2026-02-28	oos	0.31967	0.321505	+0.57%	0.30922	-3.27%	0.0294	✗	0.53
2026-02-27	oos	0.32496	0.32687	+0.59%	0.31967	-1.63%	0.0312	✗	0.54
2026-02-26	oos	0.33098	0.332916	+0.59%	0.32496	-1.82%	0.0111	✗	0.54
2026-02-25	oos	0.34717	0.349079	+0.55%	0.33098	-4.66%	0.0493	✗	0.53
2026-02-24	oos	0.33162	0.333817	+0.66%	0.34717	+4.69%	0.0080	✓	0.53
2026-02-23	oos	0.33904	0.341283	+0.66%	0.33162	-2.19%	0.0244	✗	0.50
2026-02-22	oos	0.36056	0.362667	+0.58%	0.33904	-5.97%	0.0457	✗	0.48
2026-02-21	oos	0.36987	0.371972	+0.57%	0.36056	-2.52%	0.0288	✗	0.48
2026-02-20	oos	0.3689	0.371056	+0.58%	0.36987	+0.26%	0.0030	✓	0.47
2026-02-19	oos	0.37199	0.374244	+0.61%	0.3689	-0.83%	0.0215	✗	0.47
2026-02-18	oos	0.36234	0.364797	+0.68%	0.37199	+2.66%	0.0156	✓	0.48
2026-02-17	oos	0.36101	0.363535	+0.70%	0.36234	+0.37%	0.0042	✓	0.48
2026-02-16	oos	0.35947	0.362067	+0.72%	0.36101	+0.43%	0.0070	✓	0.49
2026-02-15	oos	0.3796	0.382191	+0.68%	0.35947	-5.30%	0.0618	✗	0.49
2026-02-14	oos	0.39839	0.400913	+0.63%	0.3796	-4.72%	0.0475	✗	0.50
2026-02-13	oos	0.39596	0.398666	+0.68%	0.39839	+0.61%	0.0075	✗	0.49
2026-02-12	oos	0.42051	0.42329	+0.66%	0.39596	-5.84%	0.0867	✗	0.52
2026-02-11	oos	0.41563	0.418506	+0.69%	0.42051	+1.17%	0.0113	✓	0.53
2026-02-10	oos	0.419	0.421872	+0.69%	0.41563	-0.80%	0.0008	✓	0.54
2026-02-09	oos	0.47437	0.476867	+0.53%	0.419	-11.67%	0.1198	✗	0.51
2026-02-08	oos	0.49868	0.501046	+0.47%	0.47437	-4.87%	0.0533	✗	0.54
2026-02-07	oos	0.51882	0.521108	+0.44%	0.49868	-3.88%	0.0522	✗	0.55
2026-02-06	oos	0.54166	0.543712	+0.38%	0.51882	-4.22%	0.0369	✗	0.54
2026-02-05	oos	0.54685	0.549802	+0.54%	0.54166	-0.95%	0.0948	✗	0.69
2026-02-04	oos	0.60577	0.606836	+0.18%	0.54685	-9.73%	0.0020	✗	0.68
2026-02-03	oos	0.62096	0.621329	+0.06%	0.60577	-2.45%	0.0019	✗	0.65
2026-02-02	oos	0.56247	0.563716	+0.22%	0.62096	+10.40%	0.1262	✓	0.76
2026-02-01	oos	0.56928	0.570646	+0.24%	0.56247	-1.20%	0.0310	✗	0.73
2026-01-31	oos	0.5988	0.599413	+0.10%	0.56928	-4.93%	0.0352	✗	0.73
2026-01-30	oos	0.60888	0.608378	-0.08%	0.5988	-1.66%	0.0362	✗	0.77
2026-01-29	oos	0.59124	0.590878	-0.06%	0.60888	+2.98%	0.0337	✗	0.77
2026-01-28	oos	0.57403	0.573347	-0.12%	0.59124	+3.00%	0.0772	✗	0.87
2026-01-27	oos	0.57841	0.577361	-0.18%	0.57403	-0.76%	0.0062	✓	0.87
2026-01-26	oos	0.56422	0.564226	+0.00%	0.57841	+2.51%	0.0167	✓	0.84
2026-01-25	oos	0.55145	0.552424	+0.18%	0.56422	+2.32%	0.0047	✓	0.85
2026-01-24	oos	0.61442	0.613714	-0.11%	0.55145	-10.25%	0.0842	✓	0.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.63296	0.631921	-0.16%	0.61442	-2.93%	0.0251	✓	0.68
2026-01-22	oos	0.66735	0.665823	-0.23%	0.63296	-5.15%	0.0507	✓	0.68
2026-01-21	oos	0.67395	0.672574	-0.20%	0.66735	-0.98%	0.0085	✓	0.67
2026-01-20	oos	0.69983	0.698303	-0.22%	0.67395	-3.70%	0.0435	✓	0.67
2026-01-19	oos	0.77066	0.76734	-0.43%	0.69983	-9.19%	0.0643	✓	0.59
2026-01-18	oos	0.77974	0.776171	-0.46%	0.77066	-1.16%	0.0000	✓	0.62
2026-01-17	oos	0.78625	0.782634	-0.46%	0.77974	-0.83%	0.0060	✗	0.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.84274	0.838069	-0.55%	0.78625	-6.70%	0.0613	✓	0.60
2026-01-15	oos	0.80277	0.79868	-0.51%	0.84274	+4.98%	0.0542	✗	0.61
2026-01-14	oos	0.80498	0.800923	-0.50%	0.80277	-0.27%	0.0109	✗	0.60
2026-01-13	oos	0.79915	0.794965	-0.52%	0.80498	+0.73%	0.0023	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	0.77905	0.775278	-0.48%	0.79915	+2.58%	0.0019	✓	0.63
2026-01-11	oos	0.78271	0.778974	-0.48%	0.77905	-0.47%	0.0021	✓	0.64
2026-01-10	oos	0.81372	0.809231	-0.55%	0.78271	-3.81%	0.0369	✓	0.64
2026-01-09	oos	0.77048	0.766882	-0.47%	0.81372	+5.61%	0.0602	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.80087	0.796762	-0.51%	0.77048	-3.79%	0.0303	✓	0.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.81518	0.810861	-0.53%	0.80087	-1.76%	0.0110	✓	0.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.83361	0.829002	-0.55%	0.81518	-2.21%	0.0030	✓	0.52
2026-01-05	oos	0.8552	0.850078	-0.60%	0.83361	-2.52%	0.0188	✓	0.49
2026-01-04	oos	0.82596	0.821214	-0.57%	0.8552	+3.54%	0.0275	✗	0.51
2026-01-03	oos	0.8105	0.805966	-0.56%	0.82596	+1.91%	0.0197	✗	0.49
2026-01-02	oos	0.81724	0.812362	-0.60%	0.8105	-0.82%	0.0057	✓	0.49
2026-01-01	oos	0.82222	0.817234	-0.61%	0.81724	-0.61%	0.0067	✓	0.49
2025-12-31	oos	0.79806	0.793766	-0.54%	0.82222	+3.03%	0.0286	✗	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.84257	0.837596	-0.59%	0.79806	-5.28%	0.0438	✓	0.45
2025-12-29	oos	0.805	0.80074	-0.53%	0.84257	+4.67%	0.0446	✗	0.43
2025-12-28	oos	0.83292	0.828108	-0.58%	0.805	-3.35%	0.0245	✓	0.43
2025-12-27	oos	0.84932	0.844202	-0.60%	0.83292	-1.93%	0.0138	✓	0.43
2025-12-26	oos	0.83272	0.827937	-0.57%	0.84932	+1.99%	0.0230	✗	0.42
2025-12-25	oos	0.83327	0.828503	-0.57%	0.83272	-0.07%	0.0045	✓	0.42
2025-12-24	oos	0.80289	0.798672	-0.53%	0.83327	+3.78%	0.0445	✗	0.42
2025-12-23	oos	0.79958	0.795452	-0.52%	0.80289	+0.41%	0.0085	✗	0.42
2025-12-22	oos	0.71958	0.716978	-0.36%	0.79958	+11.12%	0.1146	✗	0.43
2025-12-21	oos	0.7579	0.754862	-0.40%	0.71958	-5.06%	0.0475	✓	0.43
2025-12-20	oos	0.8103	0.805916	-0.54%	0.7579	-6.47%	0.0630	✓	0.44
2025-12-19	oos	0.729805	0.72629	-0.48%	0.8103	+11.03%	0.1083	✗	0.43
2025-12-18	oos	0.56897	0.568172	-0.14%	0.729805	+28.27%	0.2428	✗	0.25
2025-12-17	oos	0.56168	0.560823	-0.15%	0.56897	+1.30%	0.0166	✗	0.25
2025-12-16	oos	0.50399	0.503853	-0.03%	0.56168	+11.45%	0.1145	✗	0.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.48578	0.485862	+0.02%	0.50399	+3.75%	0.0318	✓	0.29
2025-12-14	oos	0.48116	0.481407	+0.05%	0.48578	+0.96%	0.0150	✓	0.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.50201	0.502153	+0.03%	0.48116	-4.15%	0.0360	✗	0.29
2025-12-12	oos	0.49457	0.494849	+0.06%	0.50201	+1.50%	0.0144	✓	0.28
2025-12-11	oos	0.48276	0.483271	+0.11%	0.49457	+2.45%	0.0307	✓	0.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.48155	0.482168	+0.13%	0.48276	+0.25%	0.0005	✓	0.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.48623	0.486915	+0.14%	0.48155	-0.96%	0.0090	✗	0.30
2025-12-08	oos	0.49425	0.494898	+0.13%	0.48623	-1.62%	0.0248	✗	0.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.44899	0.450195	+0.27%	0.49425	+10.08%	0.0925	✓	0.31
2025-12-06	oos	0.46421	0.465409	+0.26%	0.44899	-3.28%	0.0401	✗	0.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.47895	0.480138	+0.25%	0.46421	-3.08%	0.0335	✗	0.32
2025-12-04	oos	0.48164	0.482894	+0.26%	0.47895	-0.56%	0.0019	✓	0.33
2025-12-03	oos	0.46809	0.469505	+0.30%	0.48164	+2.89%	0.0306	✓	0.35
2025-12-02	oos	0.4468	0.448429	+0.36%	0.46809	+4.76%	0.0355	✓	0.32
2025-12-01	oos	0.42344	0.425253	+0.43%	0.4468	+5.52%	0.0356	✓	0.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.44	0.441745	+0.40%	0.42344	-3.76%	0.0317	✗	0.23
2025-11-29	oos	0.41408	0.416044	+0.47%	0.44	+6.26%	0.0572	✓	0.24
2025-11-28	oos	0.40946	0.411504	+0.50%	0.41408	+1.13%	0.0064	✓	0.23
2025-11-27	oos	0.40698	0.409078	+0.52%	0.40946	+0.61%	0.0020	✓	0.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.39521	0.397431	+0.56%	0.40698	+2.98%	0.0220	✓	0.19
2025-11-25	oos	0.40539	0.407676	+0.56%	0.39521	-2.51%	0.0385	✗	0.21
2025-11-24	oos	0.40428	0.406583	+0.57%	0.40539	+0.27%	0.0007	✓	0.21
2025-11-23	oos	0.39642	0.398903	+0.63%	0.40428	+1.98%	0.0100	✓	0.20
2025-11-22	oos	0.40187	0.404531	+0.66%	0.39642	-1.36%	0.0251	✗	0.20
2025-11-21	oos	0.4076	0.410292	+0.66%	0.40187	-1.41%	0.0199	✗	0.19
2025-11-20	oos	0.42	0.422588	+0.62%	0.4076	-2.95%	0.0330	✗	0.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.431	0.433302	+0.53%	0.42	-2.55%	0.0214	✗	0.18
2025-11-18	oos	0.457	0.459106	+0.46%	0.431	-5.69%	0.0606	✗	0.16
2025-11-17	oos	0.457	0.459207	+0.48%	0.457	+0.00%	0.0062	✗	0.16
2025-11-16	oos	0.484	0.485965	+0.41%	0.457	-5.58%	0.0585	✗	0.13
2025-11-15	oos	0.454	0.456266	+0.50%	0.484	+6.61%	0.0612	✓	0.16
2025-11-14	oos	0.486	0.488204	+0.45%	0.454	-6.58%	0.0746	✗	0.18
2025-11-13	oos	0.508	0.510007	+0.40%	0.486	-4.33%	0.0407	✗	0.14
2025-11-12	oos	0.532	0.533942	+0.37%	0.508	-4.51%	0.0472	✗	0.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.52	0.522207	+0.42%	0.532	+2.31%	0.0205	✓	0.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.58	0.581885	+0.33%	0.52	-10.34%	0.1106	✗	0.06
2025-11-09	oos	0.581	0.583026	+0.35%	0.58	-0.17%	0.0059	✗	0.06
2025-11-08	oos	0.58	0.582121	+0.37%	0.581	+0.17%	0.0031	✓	0.05
2025-11-07	oos	0.589	0.590941	+0.33%	0.58	-1.53%	0.0182	✗	0.05
2025-11-06	oos	0.583	0.584974	+0.34%	0.589	+1.03%	0.0062	✓	0.03
2025-11-05	oos	0.568	0.569999	+0.35%	0.583	+2.64%	0.0242	✓	0.07
2025-11-04	oos	0.562	0.564182	+0.39%	0.568	+1.07%	0.0058	✓	0.04
2025-11-03	oos	0.557	0.559014	+0.36%	0.562	+0.90%	0.0102	✓	0.10
2025-11-02	oos	0.581	0.582538	+0.26%	0.557	-4.13%	0.0426	✗	0.06
2025-11-01	oos	0.574	0.575693	+0.30%	0.581	+1.22%	0.0089	✓	0.05
2025-10-31	oos	0.582	0.583681	+0.29%	0.574	-1.37%	0.0170	✗	0.06
2025-10-30	oos	0.574	0.576008	+0.35%	0.582	+1.39%	0.0097	✓	0.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.582	0.583958	+0.34%	0.574	-1.37%	0.0162	✗	0.06
2025-10-28	oos	0.566	0.568225	+0.39%	0.582	+2.83%	0.0263	✓	0.09
2025-10-27	oos	0.63	0.631644	+0.26%	0.566	-10.16%	0.1091	✗	0.06
2025-10-26	oos	0.628	0.629914	+0.30%	0.63	+0.32%	0.0004	✓	0.06
2025-10-25	oos	0.713	0.714301	+0.18%	0.628	-11.92%	0.1327	✗	0.15
2025-10-24	oos	0.721	0.722375	+0.19%	0.713	-1.11%	0.0141	✗	0.18
2025-10-23	oos	0.754	0.755121	+0.15%	0.721	-4.38%	0.0478	✗	0.19
2025-10-22	oos	0.752	0.753507	+0.20%	0.754	+0.27%	0.0024	✗	0.13
2025-10-21	oos	0.752	0.753609	+0.21%	0.752	+0.00%	0.0013	✓	0.12
2025-10-20	oos	0.807	0.807507	+0.06%	0.752	-6.82%	0.0699	✗	0.07
2025-10-19	oos	0.796	0.796968	+0.12%	0.807	+1.38%	0.0102	✓	0.14
2025-10-18	oos	0.818	0.818741	+0.09%	0.796	-2.69%	0.0302	✗	0.15
2025-10-17	oos	0.792	0.793474	+0.19%	0.818	+3.28%	0.0294	✓	0.16
2025-10-16	oos	0.789	0.790477	+0.19%	0.792	+0.38%	0.0045	✓	0.16
2025-10-15	oos	0.827	0.827343	+0.04%	0.789	-4.59%	0.0444	✗	0.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.839	0.838618	-0.05%	0.827	-1.43%	0.0116	✓	0.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.854	0.852754	-0.15%	0.839	-1.76%	0.0139	✓	0.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.867	0.865546	-0.17%	0.854	-1.50%	0.0137	✓	0.14
2025-10-11	oos	0.883	0.882313	-0.08%	0.867	-1.81%	0.0240	✓	0.17
2025-10-10	oos	0.872	0.871486	-0.06%	0.883	+1.26%	0.0170	✗	0.19
2025-10-09	oos	0.872	0.869136	-0.33%	0.872	+0.00%	0.0235	✗	0.27
2025-10-08	oos	0.95	0.944257	-0.60%	0.872	-8.21%	0.0770	✓	0.19
2025-10-07	oos	1.01	1.0039	-0.61%	0.95	-5.94%	0.0612	✓	0.38
2025-10-06	oos	1.09	1.0831	-0.63%	1.01	-7.34%	0.0607	✓	0.34
2025-10-05	oos	1.141	1.1333	-0.67%	1.09	-4.47%	0.0427	✓	0.38
2025-10-04	oos	1.165	1.1566	-0.72%	1.141	-2.06%	0.0169	✓	0.38
2025-10-03	oos	1.175	1.1664	-0.73%	1.165	-0.85%	0.0016	✓	0.37
2025-10-02	oos	1.198	1.1892	-0.73%	1.175	-1.92%	0.0174	✓	0.39
2025-10-01	oos	1.223	1.2136	-0.77%	1.198	-2.04%	0.0216	✓	0.53
2025-09-30	oos	1.204	1.1967	-0.60%	1.223	+1.58%	0.0018	✓	0.59
2025-09-29	oos	1.219	1.211	-0.66%	1.204	-1.23%	0.0035	✓	0.88
2025-09-28	oos	1.21	1.2032	-0.56%	1.219	+0.74%	0.0033	✓	0.85
2025-09-27	oos	1.22	1.2144	-0.46%	1.21	-0.82%	0.0255	✓	0.96
2025-09-26	oos	1.223	1.2177	-0.43%	1.22	-0.25%	0.0020	✓	0.96
2025-09-25	oos	1.249	1.2435	-0.44%	1.223	-2.08%	0.0224	✓	0.96
2025-09-24	oos	1.271	1.2642	-0.54%	1.249	-1.73%	0.0266	✗	1.00
2025-09-23	oos	1.3	1.2931	-0.53%	1.271	-2.23%	0.0294	✓	1.03
2025-09-22	oos	1.29	1.2832	-0.53%	1.3	+0.78%	0.0195	✗	1.01
2025-09-21	oos	1.31	1.3032	-0.52%	1.29	-1.53%	0.0123	✗	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	1.325	1.3182	-0.51%	1.31	-1.13%	0.0028	✓	0.85
2025-09-19	oos	1.336	1.329	-0.52%	1.325	-0.82%	0.0035	✓	0.85
2025-09-18	oos	1.363	1.3557	-0.53%	1.336	-1.98%	0.0045	✓	0.83
2025-09-17	oos	1.283	1.2758	-0.56%	1.363	+6.24%	0.0615	✗	0.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.