A

Vaulta · native · gru_s4

token id: #104
symbol: A
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-07-23
predictions: 1,341

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0640

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0087

actual -0.0167

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09485	0.092867	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.09785	0.095703	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.0884	0.086962	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-18	oos	0.09015	0.088783	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-17	oos	0.1117	0.108677	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-16	oos	0.1047	0.102348	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.09715	0.095284	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.1036	0.100715	-2.78%	0.09485	-8.45%	0.0750	✓	1.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.0997	0.097066	-2.64%	0.09785	-1.86%	0.0103	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.09905	0.09628	-2.80%	0.0884	-10.75%	0.0867	✓	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.1038	0.1009	-2.79%	0.09015	-13.15%	0.0910	✓	1.07
2026-10-10	oos	0.10325	0.099911	-3.23%	0.1117	+8.18%	0.1307	✗	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.10475	0.101021	-3.56%	0.1047	-0.05%	0.0489	✗	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.09735	0.094162	-3.27%	0.09715	-0.21%	0.0258	✓	1.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.09825	0.094997	-3.31%	0.1036	+5.45%	0.1081	✗	1.03
2026-10-06	oos	0.10315	0.099682	-3.36%	0.0997	-3.34%	0.0300	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.10175	0.098104	-3.58%	0.09905	-2.65%	0.0584	✗	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.09665	0.093471	-3.29%	0.1038	+7.40%	0.1393	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.09575	0.092612	-3.28%	0.10325	+7.83%	0.1316	✗	1.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.09425	0.091438	-2.98%	0.10475	+11.14%	0.1603	✗	1.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.093247	-3.02%	0.09735	+1.25%	0.0829	✗	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.09875	0.095718	-3.07%	0.09825	-0.51%	0.0297	✓	1.08
2026-09-29	oos	0.09635	0.093592	-2.86%	0.10315	+7.06%	0.0733	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.0952	0.092592	-2.74%	0.10175	+6.88%	0.0656	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.1039	0.100568	-3.21%	0.09665	-6.98%	0.0632	✓	0.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.1017	0.098869	-2.78%	0.09575	-5.85%	0.0359	✓	0.99
2026-09-25	oos	0.1023	0.099614	-2.63%	0.09425	-7.87%	0.0602	✓	0.99
2026-09-24	oos	0.0994	0.097196	-2.22%	0.09615	-3.27%	0.0163	✓	0.99
2026-09-23	oos	0.09175	0.090295	-1.59%	0.09875	+7.63%	0.0993	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.09795	0.096175	-1.81%	0.09635	-1.63%	0.0313	✗	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.0931	0.091901	-1.29%	0.0952	+2.26%	0.0726	✗	1.01
2026-09-20	oos	0.089	0.087612	-1.56%	0.1039	+16.74%	0.1295	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.08995	0.088536	-1.57%	0.1017	+13.06%	0.0992	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.09185	0.089975	-2.04%	0.1023	+11.38%	0.0880	✗	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0786	0.077493	-1.41%	0.0994	+26.46%	0.1621	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.0759	0.075018	-1.16%	0.09175	+20.88%	0.1134	✗	0.86
2026-09-15	oos	0.0762	0.075197	-1.32%	0.09795	+28.54%	0.1461	✗	0.90
2026-09-14	oos	0.08075	0.079756	-1.23%	0.0931	+15.29%	0.0680	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.08135	0.080146	-1.48%	0.089	+9.40%	0.0573	✗	0.86
2026-09-12	oos	0.0783	0.077477	-1.05%	0.08995	+14.88%	0.1058	✗	0.87
2026-09-11	oos	0.07675	0.076107	-0.84%	0.09185	+19.67%	0.1475	✗	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.0775	0.076727	-1.00%	0.0786	+1.42%	0.0263	✗	0.88
2026-09-09	oos	0.0815	0.080781	-0.88%	0.0759	-6.87%	0.0385	✓	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.08075	0.080087	-0.82%	0.0762	-5.63%	0.0139	✓	0.96
2026-09-07	oos	0.08045	0.080002	-0.56%	0.08075	+0.37%	0.0206	✗	0.97
2026-09-06	oos	0.0806	0.080438	-0.20%	0.08135	+0.93%	0.0547	✗	0.96
2026-09-05	oos	0.0801	0.080038	-0.08%	0.0783	-2.25%	0.0095	✗	0.96
2026-09-04	oos	0.07725	0.077253	+0.00%	0.07675	-0.65%	0.0237	✓	0.96
2026-09-03	oos	0.0787	0.079065	+0.46%	0.0775	-1.52%	0.0377	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.07665	0.075997	-0.85%	0.0815	+6.33%	0.0567	✗	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.0745	0.07395	-0.74%	0.08075	+8.39%	0.0737	✗	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.07485	0.074516	-0.45%	0.08045	+7.48%	0.0699	✗	1.01
2026-08-30	oos	0.07375	0.0733	-0.61%	0.0806	+9.29%	0.0603	✗	1.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.07645	0.075884	-0.74%	0.0801	+4.77%	0.0340	✗	0.99
2026-08-28	oos	0.07615	0.075592	-0.73%	0.07725	+1.44%	0.0015	✓	0.99
2026-08-27	oos	0.0776	0.077414	-0.24%	0.0787	+1.42%	0.0042	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.07885	0.078201	-0.82%	0.07665	-2.79%	0.0023	✓	1.01
2026-08-25	oos	0.0731	0.072872	-0.31%	0.0745	+1.92%	0.0366	✗	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.07305	0.072886	-0.22%	0.07485	+2.46%	0.0320	✗	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.0753	0.074745	-0.74%	0.07375	-2.06%	0.0126	✓	1.03
2026-08-22	oos	0.07315	0.072687	-0.63%	0.07645	+4.51%	0.0349	✗	1.03
2026-08-21	oos	0.0773	0.076543	-0.98%	0.07615	-1.49%	0.0011	✓	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.06965	0.068921	-1.05%	0.0776	+11.41%	0.0287	✗	0.95
2026-08-19	oos	0.0665	0.065362	-1.71%	0.07885	+18.57%	0.0598	✗	0.97
2026-08-18	oos	0.06045	0.059118	-2.20%	0.0731	+20.93%	0.0375	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.061	0.05966	-2.20%	0.07305	+19.75%	0.0186	✓	0.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.061	0.059696	-2.14%	0.0753	+23.44%	0.0347	✗	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.0616	0.06027	-2.16%	0.07315	+18.75%	0.0075	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.0619	0.060522	-2.23%	0.0773	+24.88%	0.0408	✗	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.0624	0.060993	-2.25%	0.06965	+11.62%	0.0001	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.06255	0.061265	-2.05%	0.0665	+6.31%	0.0039	✓	0.97
2026-08-11	oos	0.0631	0.061754	-2.13%	0.06045	-4.20%	0.0386	✓	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.0641	0.062666	-2.24%	0.061	-4.84%	0.0355	✓	0.97
2026-08-09	oos	0.0644	0.062886	-2.35%	0.061	-5.28%	0.0005	✓	0.98
2026-08-08	oos	0.0652	0.063631	-2.41%	0.0616	-5.52%	0.0034	✓	0.98
2026-08-07	oos	0.06435	0.062883	-2.28%	0.0619	-3.81%	0.0142	✓	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.0652	0.063715	-2.28%	0.0624	-4.29%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.0642	0.062726	-2.30%	0.06255	-2.57%	0.0161	✓	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.0649	0.063336	-2.41%	0.0631	-2.77%	0.0045	✓	1.01
2026-08-03	oos	0.06435	0.062749	-2.49%	0.0641	-0.39%	0.0142	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.06335	0.061749	-2.53%	0.0644	+1.66%	0.0207	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.06375	0.062122	-2.55%	0.0652	+2.27%	0.0146	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.064	0.062318	-2.63%	0.06435	+0.55%	0.0005	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.0613	0.059815	-2.42%	0.0652	+6.36%	0.0938	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0598	0.058415	-2.32%	0.0642	+7.36%	0.0828	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.0623	0.060855	-2.32%	0.0649	+4.17%	0.0611	✗	1.04
2026-07-27	oos	0.0623	0.060862	-2.31%	0.06435	+3.29%	0.0594	✗	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.0636	0.062293	-2.05%	0.06335	-0.39%	0.0460	✗	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.0619	0.060671	-1.98%	0.06375	+2.99%	0.0740	✗	1.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.06265	0.061585	-1.70%	0.064	+2.15%	0.0590	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.065	0.064026	-1.50%	0.0613	-5.69%	0.0383	✓	1.02
2026-07-22	oos	0.0661	0.065237	-1.31%	0.0598	-9.53%	0.0532	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.0672	0.066404	-1.18%	0.0623	-7.29%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.0666	0.065853	-1.12%	0.0623	-6.46%	0.0311	✓	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.06795	0.067206	-1.09%	0.0636	-6.40%	0.0658	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.0695	0.068812	-0.99%	0.0619	-10.94%	0.0977	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.07	0.069364	-0.91%	0.06265	-10.50%	0.1049	✓	1.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.0725	0.071776	-1.00%	0.065	-10.34%	0.1206	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.0755	0.074798	-0.93%	0.0661	-12.45%	0.1458	✓	1.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.0742	0.07357	-0.85%	0.0672	-9.43%	0.1153	✓	1.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.07395	0.07313	-1.11%	0.0666	-9.94%	0.1462	✓	1.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.0714	0.070739	-0.93%	0.06795	-4.83%	0.0576	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.07405	0.073285	-1.03%	0.0695	-6.14%	0.0711	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0787	0.077812	-1.13%	0.07	-11.05%	0.1016	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.0795	0.078558	-1.18%	0.0725	-8.81%	0.0910	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.0743	0.073587	-0.96%	0.0755	+1.62%	0.0183	✓	1.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.07375	0.073151	-0.81%	0.0742	+0.61%	0.0152	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.074	0.073483	-0.70%	0.07395	-0.07%	0.0377	✗	1.14
2026-07-05	oos	0.0722	0.071806	-0.55%	0.0714	-1.11%	0.0084	✓	1.11
2026-07-04	oos	0.0738	0.073333	-0.63%	0.07405	+0.34%	0.0023	✓	1.11
2026-07-03	oos	0.0674	0.067127	-0.40%	0.0787	+16.77%	0.1320	✗	1.06
2026-07-02	oos	0.0641	0.063941	-0.25%	0.0795	+24.02%	0.1894	✗	1.05
2026-07-01	oos	0.06395	0.063736	-0.34%	0.0743	+16.18%	0.1137	✗	1.06
2026-06-30	oos	0.06295	0.062751	-0.32%	0.07375	+17.16%	0.0767	✗	1.08
2026-06-29	oos	0.0614	0.061251	-0.24%	0.074	+20.52%	0.1198	✗	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.06	0.059867	-0.22%	0.0722	+20.33%	0.1133	✗	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.0602	0.060034	-0.28%	0.0738	+22.59%	0.1493	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.06145	0.061201	-0.41%	0.0674	+9.68%	0.0505	✗	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.0601	0.059907	-0.32%	0.0641	+6.66%	0.0349	✗	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.06195	0.061699	-0.40%	0.06395	+3.23%	0.0546	✗	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.0652	0.064855	-0.53%	0.06295	-3.45%	0.0454	✗	1.11
2026-06-22	oos	0.0646	0.064316	-0.44%	0.0614	-4.95%	0.0217	✗	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.06425	0.063974	-0.43%	0.06	-6.61%	0.0042	✓	1.11
2026-06-20	oos	0.0662	0.0659	-0.45%	0.0602	-9.06%	0.0149	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.06635	0.066107	-0.37%	0.06145	-7.39%	0.0111	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.06895	0.068676	-0.40%	0.0601	-12.84%	0.0752	✓	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.07425	0.073786	-0.63%	0.06195	-16.57%	0.1147	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.0728	0.0724	-0.55%	0.0652	-10.44%	0.0544	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.0737	0.073265	-0.59%	0.0646	-12.35%	0.0867	✓	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.0741	0.073628	-0.64%	0.06425	-13.29%	0.0941	✓	1.10
2026-06-13	oos	0.0724	0.071989	-0.57%	0.0662	-8.56%	0.0803	✓	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.0709	0.070564	-0.47%	0.06635	-6.42%	0.0605	✓	1.11
2026-06-11	oos	0.0727	0.072172	-0.73%	0.06895	-5.16%	0.0337	✓	1.11
2026-06-10	oos	0.06335	0.063316	-0.05%	0.07425	+17.21%	0.1108	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.0639	0.063765	-0.21%	0.0728	+13.93%	0.0696	✗	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.0643	0.064064	-0.37%	0.0737	+14.62%	0.0890	✗	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.0638	0.063506	-0.46%	0.0741	+16.14%	0.1166	✗	1.01
2026-06-06	oos	0.0615	0.061472	-0.05%	0.0724	+17.72%	0.1076	✗	0.98
2026-06-05	oos	0.0621	0.062125	+0.04%	0.0709	+14.17%	0.0930	✓	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.0676	0.067148	-0.67%	0.0727	+7.54%	0.0830	✗	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0717	0.071017	-0.95%	0.06335	-11.65%	0.0779	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0711	0.070366	-1.03%	0.0639	-10.13%	0.0253	✓	0.92
2026-06-01	oos	0.077	0.075692	-1.70%	0.0643	-16.49%	0.0599	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0773	0.075842	-1.89%	0.0638	-17.46%	0.0427	✓	0.87
2026-05-30	oos	0.0769	0.075411	-1.94%	0.0615	-20.03%	0.0445	✓	0.83
2026-05-29	oos	0.0762	0.074761	-1.89%	0.0621	-18.50%	0.0323	✓	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.07425	0.072931	-1.78%	0.0676	-8.96%	0.0422	✗	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.07545	0.074008	-1.91%	0.0717	-4.97%	0.0908	✗	0.82
2026-05-26	oos	0.078	0.076426	-2.02%	0.0711	-8.85%	0.0332	✗	0.82
2026-05-25	oos	0.0794	0.077814	-2.00%	0.077	-3.02%	0.0565	✗	0.84
2026-05-24	oos	0.0776	0.076174	-1.84%	0.0773	-0.39%	0.0525	✗	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.0805	0.078971	-1.90%	0.0769	-4.47%	0.0046	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0778	0.076451	-1.73%	0.0762	-2.06%	0.0194	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.08215	0.080565	-1.93%	0.07425	-9.62%	0.0394	✓	0.79
2026-05-20	oos	0.081	0.079524	-1.82%	0.07545	-6.85%	0.0197	✓	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.07975	0.078465	-1.61%	0.078	-2.19%	0.0037	✓	0.79
2026-05-18	oos	0.0815	0.080327	-1.44%	0.0794	-2.58%	0.0147	✓	0.79
2026-05-17	oos	0.08035	0.079408	-1.17%	0.0776	-3.42%	0.0186	✓	0.79
2026-05-16	oos	0.08395	0.082932	-1.21%	0.0805	-4.11%	0.0150	✓	0.78
2026-05-15	oos	0.0873	0.086262	-1.19%	0.0778	-10.88%	0.0664	✓	0.79
2026-05-14	oos	0.0922	0.09112	-1.17%	0.08215	-10.90%	0.0693	✓	0.77
2026-05-13	oos	0.0908	0.089681	-1.23%	0.081	-10.79%	0.0840	✓	0.77
2026-05-12	oos	0.094	0.09298	-1.08%	0.07975	-15.16%	0.1181	✓	0.75
2026-05-11	oos	0.0974	0.096409	-1.02%	0.0815	-16.32%	0.1248	✓	0.72
2026-05-10	oos	0.09885	0.097805	-1.06%	0.08035	-18.72%	0.1533	✓	0.72
2026-05-09	oos	0.0948	0.093688	-1.17%	0.08395	-11.45%	0.0870	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.0964	0.095075	-1.37%	0.0873	-9.44%	0.0754	✓	0.70
2026-05-07	oos	0.0913	0.090241	-1.16%	0.0922	+0.99%	0.0122	✗	0.69
2026-05-06	oos	0.0914	0.090635	-0.84%	0.0908	-0.66%	0.0213	✗	0.73
2026-05-05	oos	0.08745	0.086823	-0.72%	0.094	+7.49%	0.0838	✗	0.83
2026-05-04	oos	0.0878	0.086901	-1.02%	0.0974	+10.93%	0.0950	✗	0.82
2026-05-03	oos	0.0886	0.08745	-1.30%	0.09885	+11.57%	0.0852	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.089391	-1.33%	0.0948	+4.64%	0.0382	✗	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.0894	0.088208	-1.33%	0.0964	+7.83%	0.0684	✗	0.83
2026-04-30	oos	0.0887	0.087198	-1.69%	0.0913	+2.93%	0.0055	✓	0.85
2026-04-29	oos	0.0942	0.092286	-2.03%	0.0914	-2.97%	0.0720	✓	0.86
2026-04-28	oos	0.09205	0.090393	-1.80%	0.08745	-5.00%	0.0845	✓	0.88
2026-04-27	oos	0.0891	0.08784	-1.41%	0.0878	-1.46%	0.0285	✓	0.89
2026-04-26	oos	0.09155	0.090401	-1.26%	0.0886	-3.22%	0.0188	✓	0.88
2026-04-25	oos	0.0878	0.086724	-1.23%	0.0906	+3.19%	0.0321	✗	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0912	0.089933	-1.39%	0.0894	-1.97%	0.0148	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0873	0.08649	-0.93%	0.0887	+1.60%	0.0480	✗	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.0871	0.086231	-1.00%	0.0942	+8.15%	0.1169	✗	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.0829	0.081891	-1.22%	0.09205	+11.04%	0.1173	✗	0.88
2026-04-20	oos	0.0815	0.080598	-1.11%	0.0891	+9.33%	0.0829	✗	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.07895	0.077841	-1.41%	0.09155	+15.96%	0.1051	✗	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.0814	0.080633	-0.94%	0.0878	+7.86%	0.0627	✗	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.0848	0.084181	-0.73%	0.0912	+7.55%	0.0758	✗	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.08345	0.082586	-1.04%	0.0873	+4.61%	0.0187	✗	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0811	0.080297	-0.99%	0.0871	+7.40%	0.0417	✗	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.0784	0.077648	-0.96%	0.0829	+5.74%	0.0396	✗	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.0793	0.078645	-0.83%	0.0815	+2.77%	0.0188	✗	0.89
2026-04-12	oos	0.0769	0.075985	-1.19%	0.07895	+2.67%	0.0008	✓	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.0804	0.079575	-1.03%	0.0814	+1.24%	0.0100	✓	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.081	0.0803	-0.86%	0.0848	+4.69%	0.0046	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.07935	0.078585	-0.96%	0.08345	+5.17%	0.0183	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.07915	0.07844	-0.90%	0.0811	+2.46%	0.0135	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.081	0.080333	-0.82%	0.0784	-3.21%	0.0526	✓	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.0789	0.078123	-0.98%	0.0793	+0.51%	0.0567	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.07845	0.077647	-1.02%	0.0769	-1.98%	0.0326	✓	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0791	0.078115	-1.24%	0.0804	+1.64%	0.0485	✓	0.94
2026-04-03	oos	0.0796	0.078482	-1.40%	0.081	+1.76%	0.0496	✓	0.94
2026-04-02	oos	0.0768	0.075783	-1.32%	0.07935	+3.32%	0.0205	✓	0.94
2026-04-01	oos	0.0791	0.078095	-1.27%	0.07915	+0.06%	0.0270	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.074489	-1.21%	0.081	+7.43%	0.0337	✗	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.0745	0.073609	-1.20%	0.0789	+5.91%	0.0397	✗	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0723	0.071503	-1.10%	0.07845	+8.51%	0.0496	✗	0.96
2026-03-28	oos	0.0744	0.073516	-1.19%	0.0791	+6.32%	0.0593	✗	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0736	0.072802	-1.08%	0.0796	+8.15%	0.0806	✗	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0765	0.075637	-1.13%	0.0768	+0.39%	0.0418	✗	0.96
2026-03-25	oos	0.0805	0.07951	-1.23%	0.0791	-1.74%	0.0385	✗	0.95
2026-03-24	oos	0.0815	0.080606	-1.10%	0.0754	-7.48%	0.0348	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.07885	0.078074	-0.98%	0.0745	-5.52%	0.0108	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.0761	0.075409	-0.91%	0.0723	-4.99%	0.0151	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.078	0.077297	-0.90%	0.0744	-4.62%	0.0015	✓	0.96
2026-03-20	oos	0.081	0.080224	-0.96%	0.0736	-9.14%	0.0286	✓	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.0816	0.080879	-0.88%	0.0765	-6.25%	0.0398	✓	0.96
2026-03-18	oos	0.0801	0.079559	-0.68%	0.0805	+0.50%	0.0110	✗	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.0842	0.083554	-0.77%	0.0815	-3.21%	0.0217	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.0853	0.084591	-0.83%	0.07885	-7.56%	0.0153	✓	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0837	0.083035	-0.79%	0.0761	-9.08%	0.0165	✓	1.00
2026-03-14	oos	0.0787	0.078251	-0.57%	0.078	-0.89%	0.0294	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0792	0.078686	-0.65%	0.081	+2.27%	0.0352	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.0771	0.076614	-0.63%	0.0816	+5.84%	0.0717	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0764	0.076034	-0.48%	0.0801	+4.84%	0.0376	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0757	0.075379	-0.42%	0.0842	+11.23%	0.0562	✗	0.99
2026-03-09	oos	0.0764	0.076021	-0.50%	0.0853	+11.65%	0.0256	✗	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.0762	0.075785	-0.54%	0.0837	+9.84%	0.0014	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.0765	0.076146	-0.46%	0.0787	+2.88%	0.0258	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.0792	0.078806	-0.50%	0.0792	+0.00%	0.0365	✓	1.02
2026-03-05	oos	0.0788	0.078566	-0.30%	0.0771	-2.16%	0.0136	✓	1.04
2026-03-04	oos	0.0794	0.079297	-0.13%	0.0764	-3.78%	0.0007	✓	1.05
2026-03-03	oos	0.077	0.07697	-0.04%	0.0757	-1.69%	0.0420	✓	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.0793	0.07924	-0.08%	0.0764	-3.66%	0.0302	✓	1.08
2026-03-01	oos	0.0788	0.078756	-0.06%	0.0762	-3.30%	0.0363	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.08095	0.080915	-0.04%	0.0765	-5.50%	0.0608	✓	1.07
2026-02-27	oos	0.0801	0.080112	+0.02%	0.0792	-1.12%	0.0473	✗	1.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.0807	0.080818	+0.15%	0.0788	-2.35%	0.0781	✗	1.08
2026-02-25	oos	0.0829	0.08301	+0.13%	0.0794	-4.22%	0.1162	✗	1.08
2026-02-24	oos	0.078	0.07822	+0.28%	0.077	-1.28%	0.0848	✗	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	0.0786	0.078851	+0.32%	0.0793	+0.89%	0.0610	✗	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	0.08	0.08025	+0.31%	0.0788	-1.50%	0.0117	✓	1.08
2026-02-21	oos	0.08305	0.083235	+0.22%	0.08095	-2.53%	0.0120	✗	1.08
2026-02-20	oos	0.08205	0.082338	+0.35%	0.0801	-2.38%	0.0066	✓	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.0811	0.081517	+0.51%	0.0807	-0.49%	0.0184	✗	1.08
2026-02-18	oos	0.08255	0.082958	+0.49%	0.0829	+0.42%	0.0259	✗	1.08
2026-02-17	oos	0.0849	0.085265	+0.43%	0.078	-8.13%	0.0339	✗	1.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.0864	0.086818	+0.48%	0.0786	-9.03%	0.0315	✗	1.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.0858	0.086312	+0.60%	0.08	-6.76%	0.0575	✗	1.07
2026-02-14	oos	0.0897	0.090089	+0.43%	0.08305	-7.41%	0.0530	✗	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.0875	0.088031	+0.61%	0.08205	-6.23%	0.0575	✗	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.08485	0.08556	+0.84%	0.0811	-4.42%	0.0658	✗	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.0818	0.082669	+1.06%	0.08255	+0.92%	0.0081	✓	1.05
2026-02-10	oos	0.0808	0.081715	+1.13%	0.0849	+5.07%	0.0592	✓	1.07
2026-02-09	oos	0.0827	0.083705	+1.22%	0.0864	+4.47%	0.0509	✓	1.07
2026-02-08	oos	0.08285	0.083885	+1.25%	0.0858	+3.56%	0.0458	✓	1.08
2026-02-07	oos	0.0853	0.086532	+1.44%	0.0897	+5.16%	0.0274	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.08535	0.086699	+1.58%	0.0875	+2.52%	0.0360	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.0775	0.080418	+3.77%	0.08485	+9.48%	0.0064	✓	1.13
2026-02-04	oos	0.0912	0.09224	+1.14%	0.0818	-10.31%	0.0109	✓	1.28
2026-02-03	oos	0.09215	0.093002	+0.92%	0.0808	-12.32%	0.0196	✗	1.27
2026-02-02	oos	0.0951	0.095536	+0.46%	0.0827	-13.04%	0.0064	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.09105	0.091854	+0.88%	0.08285	-9.01%	0.0094	✓	1.25
2026-01-31	oos	0.0923	0.093116	+0.88%	0.0853	-7.58%	0.0753	✓	1.28
2026-01-30	oos	0.1006	0.100646	+0.05%	0.08535	-15.16%	0.0627	✓	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.1017	0.101759	+0.06%	0.0775	-23.80%	0.1127	✓	1.30
2026-01-28	oos	0.1097	0.109191	-0.46%	0.0912	-16.86%	0.0792	✗	1.30
2026-01-27	oos	0.11	0.109448	-0.50%	0.09215	-16.23%	0.0419	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	0.1109	0.11037	-0.48%	0.0951	-14.25%	0.0001	✓	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	0.109	0.108656	-0.32%	0.09105	-16.47%	0.0230	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	0.115	0.114095	-0.79%	0.0923	-19.74%	0.0510	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	0.1126	0.111557	-0.93%	0.1006	-10.66%	0.0237	✓	1.29
2026-01-22	oos	0.1092	0.108471	-0.67%	0.1017	-6.87%	0.0087	✗	1.29
2026-01-21	oos	0.1106	0.109799	-0.72%	0.1097	-0.81%	0.0020	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	0.1068	0.106414	-0.36%	0.11	+3.00%	0.0214	✗	1.29
2026-01-19	oos	0.1149	0.113882	-0.89%	0.1109	-3.48%	0.0348	✗	1.29
2026-01-18	oos	0.1213	0.120297	-0.83%	0.109	-10.14%	0.0016	✓	1.28
2026-01-17	oos	0.1275	0.126621	-0.69%	0.115	-9.80%	0.0133	✓	1.27
2026-01-16	oos	0.1381	0.137012	-0.79%	0.1126	-18.46%	0.1141	✓	1.26
2026-01-15	oos	0.172	0.169529	-1.44%	0.1092	-36.51%	0.3561	✓	1.26
2026-01-14	oos	0.1801	0.177327	-1.54%	0.1106	-38.59%	0.3697	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	0.1811	0.178047	-1.69%	0.1068	-41.03%	0.4135	✓	1.27
2026-01-12	oos	0.1682	0.16555	-1.58%	0.1149	-31.69%	0.3839	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.1707	0.168101	-1.52%	0.1213	-28.94%	0.3640	✓	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.1766	0.173735	-1.62%	0.1275	-27.80%	0.3747	✓	1.28
2026-01-09	oos	0.175	0.172299	-1.54%	0.1381	-21.09%	0.2935	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.1728	0.170363	-1.41%	0.172	-0.46%	0.0550	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.1784	0.17588	-1.41%	0.1801	+0.95%	0.0841	✓	1.79
2026-01-06	oos	0.1862	0.183523	-1.44%	0.1811	-2.74%	0.0448	✓	1.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.1866	0.183938	-1.43%	0.1682	-9.86%	0.0377	✓	1.78
2026-01-04	oos	0.1777	0.175512	-1.23%	0.1707	-3.94%	0.0158	✓	1.76
2026-01-03	oos	0.173	0.171352	-0.95%	0.1766	+2.08%	0.0345	✗	1.76
2026-01-02	oos	0.172	0.170442	-0.91%	0.175	+1.74%	0.0155	✗	1.76
2026-01-01	oos	0.1638	0.162585	-0.74%	0.1728	+5.49%	0.0166	✗	1.74
2025-12-31	oos	0.1581	0.157271	-0.52%	0.1784	+12.84%	0.0530	✗	1.73
2025-12-30	oos	0.162	0.161134	-0.53%	0.1862	+14.94%	0.0438	✗	1.72
2025-12-29	oos	0.1553	0.154663	-0.41%	0.1866	+20.15%	0.0612	✗	1.69
2025-12-28	oos	0.1565	0.155852	-0.41%	0.1777	+13.55%	0.0628	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.1583	0.157675	-0.39%	0.173	+9.29%	0.0405	✗	1.67
2025-12-26	oos	0.1507	0.150538	-0.11%	0.172	+14.13%	0.0835	✗	1.66
2025-12-25	oos	0.1533	0.153088	-0.14%	0.1638	+6.85%	0.0381	✗	1.66
2025-12-24	oos	0.1615	0.161123	-0.23%	0.1581	-2.11%	0.0168	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.1645	0.164142	-0.22%	0.162	-1.52%	0.0313	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	0.1649	0.164564	-0.20%	0.1553	-5.82%	0.0308	✓	1.65
2025-12-21	oos	0.163	0.162852	-0.09%	0.1565	-3.99%	0.0255	✓	1.65
2025-12-20	oos	0.1697	0.16921	-0.29%	0.1583	-6.72%	0.0569	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	0.1605	0.160343	-0.10%	0.1507	-6.11%	0.0469	✓	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	0.1465	0.147082	+0.40%	0.1533	+4.64%	0.0091	✓	1.63
2025-12-17	oos	0.153	0.153456	+0.30%	0.1615	+5.56%	0.0249	✓	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	0.1628	0.162967	+0.10%	0.1645	+1.04%	0.0172	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.1624	0.162823	+0.26%	0.1649	+1.54%	0.0271	✗	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.1675	0.167833	+0.20%	0.163	-2.69%	0.0378	✗	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.1754	0.175413	+0.01%	0.1697	-3.25%	0.0021	✓	1.63
2025-12-12	oos	0.1751	0.175186	+0.05%	0.1605	-8.34%	0.0477	✗	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.1818	0.181662	-0.08%	0.1465	-19.42%	0.0852	✓	1.63
2025-12-10	oos	0.1851	0.184647	-0.24%	0.153	-17.34%	0.0806	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.1891	0.188402	-0.37%	0.1628	-13.91%	0.0583	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.1798	0.179412	-0.22%	0.1624	-9.68%	0.0223	✓	1.62
2025-12-07	oos	0.1767	0.176507	-0.11%	0.1675	-5.21%	0.0121	✓	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	0.1812	0.180981	-0.12%	0.1754	-3.20%	0.0492	✓	1.63
2025-12-05	oos	0.179	0.179034	+0.02%	0.1751	-2.18%	0.0391	✗	1.63
2025-12-04	oos	0.1893	0.188898	-0.21%	0.1818	-3.96%	0.0462	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.1949	0.194369	-0.27%	0.1851	-5.03%	0.0239	✓	1.63
2025-12-02	oos	0.1904	0.190243	-0.08%	0.1891	-0.68%	0.0307	✓	1.64
2025-12-01	oos	0.1869	0.187483	+0.31%	0.1798	-3.80%	0.1281	✗	1.75
2025-11-30	oos	0.195	0.195115	+0.06%	0.1767	-9.38%	0.0998	✗	1.79
2025-11-29	oos	0.2012	0.201306	+0.05%	0.1812	-9.94%	0.0743	✗	1.78
2025-11-28	oos	0.20235	0.202514	+0.08%	0.179	-11.54%	0.0926	✗	1.78
2025-11-27	oos	0.2057	0.205855	+0.08%	0.1893	-7.97%	0.0990	✗	1.78
2025-11-26	oos	0.20555	0.205808	+0.13%	0.1949	-5.18%	0.1114	✗	1.75
2025-11-25	oos	0.2049	0.205601	+0.34%	0.1904	-7.08%	0.1576	✗	1.81
2025-11-24	oos	0.2115	0.211792	+0.14%	0.1869	-11.63%	0.0839	✗	1.81
2025-11-23	oos	0.20805	0.208756	+0.34%	0.195	-6.27%	0.1411	✗	1.81
2025-11-22	oos	0.207	0.208458	+0.70%	0.2012	-2.80%	0.1642	✗	1.84
2025-11-21	oos	0.21175	0.213156	+0.66%	0.20235	-4.44%	0.1734	✗	1.83
2025-11-20	oos	0.2175	0.218532	+0.47%	0.2057	-5.43%	0.1587	✗	1.83
2025-11-19	oos	0.22935	0.229289	-0.03%	0.20555	-10.38%	0.0887	✓	1.89
2025-11-18	oos	0.2355	0.235113	-0.16%	0.2049	-12.99%	0.0203	✓	1.89
2025-11-17	oos	0.23525	0.234977	-0.12%	0.2115	-10.10%	0.0245	✓	1.90
2025-11-16	oos	0.24075	0.240199	-0.23%	0.20805	-13.58%	0.0098	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.24695	0.246239	-0.29%	0.207	-16.18%	0.0541	✗	1.89
2025-11-14	oos	0.24405	0.244018	-0.01%	0.21175	-13.23%	0.0568	✗	1.89
2025-11-13	oos	0.25205	0.251911	-0.06%	0.2175	-13.71%	0.1340	✗	2.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.2673	0.266991	-0.12%	0.22935	-14.20%	0.0578	✗	1.99
2025-11-11	oos	0.27265	0.272354	-0.11%	0.2355	-13.63%	0.0585	✗	1.98
2025-11-10	oos	0.2966	0.295183	-0.48%	0.23525	-20.68%	0.0439	✗	1.93
2025-11-09	oos	0.29045	0.289094	-0.47%	0.24075	-17.11%	0.0222	✗	1.94
2025-11-08	oos	0.29515	0.293093	-0.70%	0.24695	-16.33%	0.0362	✓	1.98
2025-11-07	oos	0.3126	0.308621	-1.27%	0.24405	-21.93%	0.0627	✓	1.94
2025-11-06	oos	0.26315	0.262012	-0.43%	0.25205	-4.22%	0.0078	✓	1.85
2025-11-05	oos	0.25415	0.253295	-0.34%	0.2673	+5.17%	0.0953	✗	1.91
2025-11-04	oos	0.24405	0.243924	-0.05%	0.27265	+11.72%	0.0825	✗	1.92
2025-11-03	oos	0.25155	0.250932	-0.25%	0.2966	+17.91%	0.1782	✗	2.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.27195	0.270321	-0.60%	0.29045	+6.80%	0.1815	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.27175	0.270499	-0.46%	0.29515	+8.61%	0.2355	✗	2.03
2025-10-31	oos	0.2666	0.265855	-0.28%	0.3126	+17.25%	0.2813	✗	2.02
2025-10-30	oos	0.2652	0.264918	-0.11%	0.26315	-0.77%	0.1294	✗	2.03
2025-10-29	oos	0.28125	0.28052	-0.26%	0.25415	-9.64%	0.0167	✗	2.00
2025-10-28	oos	0.2852	0.284294	-0.32%	0.24405	-14.43%	0.0651	✗	2.04
2025-10-27	oos	0.2965	0.295458	-0.35%	0.25155	-15.16%	0.0220	✓	2.03
2025-10-26	oos	0.2991	0.297942	-0.39%	0.27195	-9.08%	0.0187	✓	2.04
2025-10-25	oos	0.29355	0.292584	-0.33%	0.27175	-7.43%	0.0437	✓	2.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.29495	0.294052	-0.30%	0.2666	-9.61%	0.0701	✓	2.07
2025-10-23	oos	0.2875	0.286813	-0.24%	0.2652	-7.76%	0.0442	✓	2.06
2025-10-22	oos	0.27735	0.277525	+0.06%	0.28125	+1.41%	0.0331	✗	2.07
2025-10-21	oos	0.2829	0.282845	-0.02%	0.2852	+0.81%	0.0766	✓	2.07
2025-10-20	oos	0.29235	0.291604	-0.26%	0.2965	+1.42%	0.0484	✓	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	0.2889	0.288442	-0.16%	0.2991	+3.53%	0.0736	✓	2.09
2025-10-18	oos	0.28685	0.286546	-0.11%	0.29355	+2.34%	0.0612	✓	2.10
2025-10-17	oos	0.2824	0.282506	+0.04%	0.29495	+4.44%	0.0451	✗	2.09
2025-10-16	oos	0.2888	0.288225	-0.20%	0.2875	-0.45%	0.0395	✓	2.10
2025-10-15	oos	0.29865	0.296932	-0.58%	0.27735	-7.13%	0.0057	✓	2.12
2025-10-14	oos	0.3155	0.312236	-1.03%	0.2829	-10.33%	0.0086	✓	2.12
2025-10-13	oos	0.32845	0.323424	-1.53%	0.29235	-10.99%	0.0125	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.306	0.302722	-1.07%	0.2889	-5.59%	0.0743	✗	2.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.27425	0.274552	+0.11%	0.28685	+4.59%	0.1112	✓	2.06
2025-10-10	oos	0.2654	0.26624	+0.32%	0.2824	+6.41%	0.1852	✓	2.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.3868	0.381857	-1.28%	0.2888	-25.34%	0.1231	✓	1.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.40045	0.396223	-1.06%	0.29865	-25.42%	0.1412	✓	1.32
2025-10-07	oos	0.39895	0.393823	-1.29%	0.3155	-20.92%	0.1273	✓	1.33
2025-10-06	oos	0.4093	0.406354	-0.72%	0.32845	-19.75%	0.1063	✓	1.35
2025-10-05	oos	0.4024	0.399185	-0.80%	0.306	-23.96%	0.1703	✓	1.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.4036	0.40027	-0.82%	0.27425	-32.05%	0.2425	✓	1.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.4156	0.411993	-0.87%	0.2654	-36.14%	0.3324	✓	1.35
2025-10-02	oos	0.4167	0.412023	-1.12%	0.3868	-7.18%	0.0755	✓	1.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.4109	0.405727	-1.26%	0.40045	-2.54%	0.0660	✓	1.37
2025-09-30	oos	0.3938	0.388845	-1.26%	0.39895	+1.31%	0.0604	✓	1.38
2025-09-29	oos	0.4029	0.397586	-1.32%	0.4093	+1.59%	0.0907	✓	1.38
2025-09-28	oos	0.41305	0.40698	-1.47%	0.4024	-2.58%	0.1497	✓	1.44
2025-09-27	oos	0.4041	0.398501	-1.39%	0.4036	-0.12%	0.1470	✓	1.45
2025-09-26	oos	0.41015	0.404657	-1.34%	0.4156	+1.33%	0.1312	✓	1.45
2025-09-25	oos	0.39875	0.394053	-1.18%	0.4167	+4.50%	0.0894	✓	1.44
2025-09-24	oos	0.4212	0.415478	-1.36%	0.4109	-2.45%	0.0776	✓	1.45
2025-09-23	oos	0.42185	0.417249	-1.09%	0.3938	-6.65%	0.0844	✓	1.47
2025-09-22	oos	0.427	0.422958	-0.95%	0.4029	-5.64%	0.0696	✓	1.47
2025-09-21	oos	0.46255	0.457419	-1.11%	0.41305	-10.70%	0.0642	✓	1.40
2025-09-20	oos	0.4707	0.465005	-1.21%	0.4041	-14.15%	0.0653	✓	1.39
2025-09-19	oos	0.4696	0.463974	-1.20%	0.41015	-12.66%	0.0492	✓	1.39
2025-09-18	oos	0.4854	0.478818	-1.36%	0.39875	-17.85%	0.0842	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.48145	0.474366	-1.47%	0.4212	-12.51%	0.0812	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.