4STOCK
4Stock · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s4
- token id
- #596
- symbol
- 4STOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd270d4e1ec6e6e0d28c0ecb8be966ec75997ffff
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0976
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0047
actual -0.0339
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003904 | 0.003897 | -0.17% | – | pending | – | – | 3.80 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.003528 | 0.003538 | +0.30% | 0.003904 | +10.66% | 0.1096 | ✓ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003593 | 0.003608 | +0.40% | 0.003528 | -1.82% | 0.0741 | ✗ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0032 | 0.003226 | +0.84% | 0.003593 | +12.31% | 0.1159 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003746 | 0.003767 | +0.57% | 0.0032 | -14.59% | 0.1938 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003468 | 0.003499 | +0.92% | 0.003746 | +8.03% | 0.0740 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003481 | 0.003517 | +1.03% | 0.003468 | -0.40% | 0.0169 | ✓ | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00381 | 0.003847 | +0.97% | 0.003481 | -8.62% | 0.1278 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004392 | 0.00442 | +0.64% | 0.00381 | -13.26% | 0.0719 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004583 | 0.004618 | +0.74% | 0.004392 | -4.17% | 0.1186 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005344 | 0.005361 | +0.34% | 0.004583 | -14.22% | 0.0587 | ✗ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005176 | 0.005209 | +0.64% | 0.005344 | +3.24% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005327 | 0.005365 | +0.71% | 0.005176 | -2.83% | 0.0402 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004808 | 0.004862 | +1.13% | 0.005327 | +10.79% | 0.0809 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005606 | 0.005647 | +0.74% | 0.004808 | -14.23% | 0.1417 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007086 | 0.007059 | -0.38% | 0.005606 | -20.89% | 0.2037 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006889 | 0.006883 | -0.10% | 0.007086 | +2.85% | 0.0316 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007242 | 0.007215 | -0.37% | 0.006889 | -4.87% | 0.0374 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007364 | 0.007355 | -0.12% | 0.007242 | -1.65% | 0.0361 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007354 | 0.007355 | +0.01% | 0.007364 | +0.13% | 0.0016 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.009011 | 0.00892 | -1.01% | 0.007354 | -18.39% | 0.1890 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.009411 | 0.009321 | -0.95% | 0.009011 | -4.25% | 0.0492 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008594 | 0.00856 | -0.39% | 0.009411 | +9.51% | 0.0957 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009772 | 0.009674 | -1.00% | 0.008594 | -12.06% | 0.1206 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011118 | 0.010891 | -2.04% | 0.009772 | -12.11% | 0.0965 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.010767 | 0.010586 | -1.68% | 0.011118 | +3.26% | 0.0485 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010275 | 0.01014 | -1.32% | 0.010767 | +4.78% | 0.0561 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.011434 | 0.011207 | -1.98% | 0.010275 | -10.13% | 0.0833 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.013476 | 0.01306 | -3.08% | 0.011434 | -15.15% | 0.1331 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.015175 | 0.014416 | -5.00% | 0.013476 | -11.20% | 0.0461 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.011248 | 0.010906 | -3.04% | 0.015175 | +34.91% | 0.3349 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.009298 | 0.009256 | -0.45% | 0.011248 | +20.97% | 0.1301 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011466 | 0.011285 | -1.59% | 0.009298 | -18.91% | 0.1927 | ✓ | 1.00 |