ZEST
Zest Protocol · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #421
- symbol
- ZEST
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xf326c8c9a691319f6330e27aa4a39f2d22c88dc5
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-19
- predictions
- 441
Track record at +1d
assessed
146
of 147 predictions shown
direction hit
55.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0432
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0044
actual +0.0009
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.179535 | 0.178519 | -0.57% | – | pending | – | – | 0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.18025 | 0.17924 | -0.56% | 0.179535 | -0.40% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.181205 | 0.180142 | -0.59% | 0.18025 | -0.53% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.18084 | 0.179786 | -0.58% | 0.181205 | +0.20% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 0.39 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18056 | 0.179484 | -0.60% | 0.18084 | +0.16% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.183695 | 0.182525 | -0.64% | 0.18056 | -1.71% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.170325 | 0.169515 | -0.48% | 0.183695 | +7.85% | 0.0838 | ✗ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.180015 | 0.178404 | -0.89% | 0.170325 | -5.38% | 0.0495 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.18324 | 0.182061 | -0.64% | 0.180015 | -1.76% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.188385 | 0.185708 | -1.42% | 0.18324 | -2.73% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.19535 | 0.193751 | -0.82% | 0.188385 | -3.57% | 0.0185 | ✓ | 0.41 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.182675 | 0.181461 | -0.66% | 0.19535 | +6.94% | 0.0701 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.182695 | 0.1814 | -0.71% | 0.182675 | -0.01% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 0.39 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.18424 | 0.18284 | -0.76% | 0.182695 | -0.84% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.39 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.185645 | 0.184115 | -0.82% | 0.18424 | -0.76% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 0.42 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.18452 | 0.183035 | -0.80% | 0.185645 | +0.61% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 0.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.178435 | 0.177071 | -0.76% | 0.18452 | +3.41% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.183765 | 0.182295 | -0.80% | 0.178435 | -2.90% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.189345 | 0.187656 | -0.89% | 0.183765 | -2.95% | 0.0313 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.19491 | 0.193019 | -0.97% | 0.189345 | -2.86% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.186715 | 0.184975 | -0.93% | 0.19491 | +4.39% | 0.0544 | ✗ | 0.51 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.191705 | 0.189709 | -1.04% | 0.186715 | -2.60% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.200545 | 0.197922 | -1.31% | 0.191705 | -4.41% | 0.0314 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.1856 | 0.182883 | -1.46% | 0.200545 | +8.05% | 0.0911 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.1774 | 0.175753 | -0.93% | 0.1856 | +4.62% | 0.0610 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.176065 | 0.17443 | -0.93% | 0.1774 | +0.76% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.185615 | 0.183674 | -1.05% | 0.176065 | -5.15% | 0.0443 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.18526 | 0.183117 | -1.16% | 0.185615 | +0.19% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.18662 | 0.184027 | -1.39% | 0.18526 | -0.73% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.16891 | 0.167266 | -0.97% | 0.18662 | +10.48% | 0.1225 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.148505 | 0.147899 | -0.41% | 0.16891 | +13.74% | 0.1357 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.146285 | 0.145558 | -0.50% | 0.148505 | +1.52% | 0.0193 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.146295 | 0.145625 | -0.46% | 0.146285 | -0.01% | 0.0051 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.141455 | 0.140976 | -0.34% | 0.146295 | +3.42% | 0.0344 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.13446 | 0.134283 | -0.13% | 0.141455 | +5.20% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.12504 | 0.125247 | +0.17% | 0.13446 | +7.53% | 0.0695 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1271 | 0.127366 | +0.21% | 0.12504 | -1.62% | 0.0222 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.12796 | 0.128328 | +0.29% | 0.1271 | -0.67% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.118755 | 0.119298 | +0.46% | 0.12796 | +7.75% | 0.0612 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.12552 | 0.126173 | +0.52% | 0.118755 | -5.39% | 0.0576 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.123365 | 0.124098 | +0.59% | 0.12552 | +1.75% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.124315 | 0.125124 | +0.65% | 0.123365 | -0.76% | 0.0183 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.12221 | 0.123137 | +0.76% | 0.124315 | +1.72% | 0.0209 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.12195 | 0.122862 | +0.75% | 0.12221 | +0.21% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.13189 | 0.132937 | +0.79% | 0.12195 | -7.54% | 0.0831 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.12829 | 0.12935 | +0.83% | 0.13189 | +2.81% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12529 | 0.126303 | +0.81% | 0.12829 | +2.39% | 0.0129 | ✓ | 0.42 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.119905 | 0.120765 | +0.72% | 0.12529 | +4.49% | 0.0359 | ✓ | 0.44 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.15572 | 0.156894 | +0.75% | 0.119905 | -23.00% | 0.2634 | ✗ | 0.28 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.13267 | 0.133355 | +0.52% | 0.15572 | +17.37% | 0.1647 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.13478 | 0.135428 | +0.48% | 0.13267 | -1.57% | 0.0209 | ✗ | -0.27 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.13747 | 0.138228 | +0.55% | 0.13478 | -1.96% | 0.0296 | ✗ | -0.29 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.13509 | 0.135745 | +0.48% | 0.13747 | +1.76% | 0.0144 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.13992 | 0.140548 | +0.45% | 0.13509 | -3.45% | 0.0412 | ✗ | -0.22 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.140325 | 0.140871 | +0.39% | 0.13992 | -0.29% | 0.0057 | ✗ | -0.21 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.14 | 0.140515 | +0.37% | 0.140325 | +0.23% | 0.0084 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.14009 | 0.140471 | +0.27% | 0.14 | -0.06% | 0.0001 | ✓ | -0.22 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.14027 | 0.140622 | +0.25% | 0.14009 | -0.13% | 0.0023 | ✓ | -0.23 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13999 | 0.140302 | +0.22% | 0.14027 | +0.20% | 0.0016 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.135745 | 0.136038 | +0.22% | 0.13999 | +3.13% | 0.0338 | ✓ | -0.32 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.139815 | 0.140102 | +0.21% | 0.135745 | -2.91% | 0.0287 | ✗ | -0.33 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.14046 | 0.140735 | +0.20% | 0.139815 | -0.46% | 0.0118 | ✗ | -0.32 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.13996 | 0.140057 | +0.07% | 0.14046 | +0.36% | 0.0259 | ✓ | -0.33 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.13215 | 0.132179 | +0.02% | 0.13996 | +5.91% | 0.0840 | ✓ | -0.51 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.14014 | 0.14002 | -0.09% | 0.13215 | -5.70% | 0.0273 | ✓ | -0.44 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.139245 | 0.139173 | -0.05% | 0.14014 | +0.64% | 0.0086 | ✗ | -0.53 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.14182 | 0.141729 | -0.06% | 0.139245 | -1.82% | 0.0042 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.14702 | 0.146896 | -0.08% | 0.14182 | -3.54% | 0.0367 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.14708 | 0.146994 | -0.06% | 0.14702 | -0.04% | 0.0005 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.15661 | 0.156449 | -0.10% | 0.14708 | -6.09% | 0.0656 | ✓ | -0.53 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.1534 | 0.153308 | -0.06% | 0.15661 | +2.09% | 0.0214 | ✗ | -0.54 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.15786 | 0.157718 | -0.09% | 0.1534 | -2.83% | 0.0288 | ✓ | -0.54 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.16138 | 0.161193 | -0.12% | 0.15786 | -2.18% | 0.0241 | ✓ | -0.54 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.16086 | 0.160665 | -0.12% | 0.16138 | +0.32% | 0.0034 | ✓ | -0.54 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.17409 | 0.173712 | -0.22% | 0.16086 | -7.60% | 0.0774 | ✓ | -0.54 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.21463 | 0.213702 | -0.43% | 0.17409 | -18.89% | 0.2049 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.21613 | 0.215196 | -0.43% | 0.21463 | -0.69% | 0.0024 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.22845 | 0.227226 | -0.54% | 0.21613 | -5.39% | 0.0528 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.227035 | 0.225879 | -0.51% | 0.22845 | +0.62% | 0.0158 | ✗ | -0.53 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.24291 | 0.241175 | -0.71% | 0.227035 | -6.54% | 0.0559 | ✓ | -0.50 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.2518 | 0.249004 | -1.11% | 0.24291 | -3.53% | 0.0250 | ✓ | -0.49 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.25194 | 0.25029 | -0.65% | 0.2518 | -0.06% | 0.0118 | ✗ | -0.49 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.25148 | 0.249834 | -0.65% | 0.25194 | +0.18% | 0.0079 | ✗ | -0.49 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.25008 | 0.248493 | -0.63% | 0.25148 | +0.56% | 0.0032 | ✓ | -0.51 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.251045 | 0.2493 | -0.69% | 0.25008 | -0.38% | 0.0096 | ✗ | -0.51 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.25109 | 0.249347 | -0.69% | 0.251045 | -0.02% | 0.0072 | ✗ | -0.51 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.23041 | 0.229104 | -0.57% | 0.25109 | +8.98% | 0.0929 | ✗ | -0.52 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.24866 | 0.247016 | -0.66% | 0.23041 | -7.34% | 0.0851 | ✓ | -0.61 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.24604 | 0.244505 | -0.62% | 0.24866 | +1.06% | 0.0268 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.24645 | 0.24488 | -0.64% | 0.24604 | -0.17% | 0.0068 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.24574 | 0.243991 | -0.71% | 0.24645 | +0.29% | 0.0007 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.22903 | 0.227946 | -0.47% | 0.24574 | +7.30% | 0.0658 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.22221 | 0.221213 | -0.45% | 0.22903 | +3.07% | 0.0309 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.25724 | 0.254753 | -0.97% | 0.22221 | -13.62% | 0.1275 | ✓ | -0.46 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.21195 | 0.211148 | -0.38% | 0.25724 | +21.37% | 0.2019 | ✗ | -0.55 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.21924 | 0.218312 | -0.42% | 0.21195 | -3.33% | 0.0305 | ✓ | -0.55 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.21692 | 0.216011 | -0.42% | 0.21924 | +1.07% | 0.0226 | ✗ | -0.55 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.21768 | 0.216729 | -0.44% | 0.21692 | -0.35% | 0.0020 | ✓ | -0.55 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.223485 | 0.222515 | -0.43% | 0.21768 | -2.60% | 0.0304 | ✓ | -0.57 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.22072 | 0.219789 | -0.42% | 0.223485 | +1.25% | 0.0143 | ✗ | -0.57 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.22699 | 0.225888 | -0.49% | 0.22072 | -2.76% | 0.0005 | ✓ | -0.55 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.229695 | 0.228644 | -0.46% | 0.22699 | -1.18% | 0.0209 | ✓ | -0.58 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.222055 | 0.221131 | -0.42% | 0.229695 | +3.44% | 0.0377 | ✗ | -0.58 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.221875 | 0.220961 | -0.41% | 0.222055 | +0.08% | 0.0017 | ✓ | -0.59 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.20467 | 0.204071 | -0.29% | 0.221875 | +8.41% | 0.0935 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.20336 | 0.202794 | -0.28% | 0.20467 | +0.64% | 0.0192 | ✗ | -0.67 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.226695 | 0.225817 | -0.39% | 0.20336 | -10.29% | 0.1178 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.22505 | 0.224216 | -0.37% | 0.226695 | +0.73% | 0.0029 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.233675 | 0.232698 | -0.42% | 0.22505 | -3.69% | 0.0286 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.22159 | 0.220813 | -0.35% | 0.233675 | +5.45% | 0.0626 | ✗ | -0.77 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.22991 | 0.229017 | -0.39% | 0.22159 | -3.62% | 0.0263 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.22854 | 0.227662 | -0.38% | 0.22991 | +0.60% | 0.0224 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.227225 | 0.22637 | -0.38% | 0.22854 | +0.58% | 0.0292 | ✗ | -0.78 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.232105 | 0.231185 | -0.40% | 0.227225 | -2.10% | 0.0014 | ✓ | -0.77 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.24112 | 0.240044 | -0.45% | 0.232105 | -3.74% | 0.0572 | ✓ | -0.85 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.25005 | 0.248788 | -0.50% | 0.24112 | -3.57% | 0.0219 | ✓ | -0.82 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.23156 | 0.230604 | -0.41% | 0.25005 | +7.98% | 0.0747 | ✗ | -0.81 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.25305 | 0.251727 | -0.52% | 0.23156 | -8.49% | 0.0844 | ✓ | -0.78 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.26118 | 0.259674 | -0.58% | 0.25305 | -3.11% | 0.0221 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.27063 | 0.268876 | -0.65% | 0.26118 | -3.49% | 0.0462 | ✓ | -0.81 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.26898 | 0.267188 | -0.67% | 0.27063 | +0.61% | 0.0100 | ✓ | -0.85 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.25974 | 0.258015 | -0.66% | 0.26898 | +3.56% | 0.0242 | ✗ | -0.84 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.25889 | 0.257268 | -0.63% | 0.25974 | +0.33% | 0.0190 | ✗ | -0.84 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.2522 | 0.250656 | -0.61% | 0.25889 | +2.65% | 0.0193 | ✗ | -0.84 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.25169 | 0.250114 | -0.63% | 0.2522 | +0.20% | 0.0182 | ✗ | -0.84 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.26188 | 0.260061 | -0.69% | 0.25169 | -3.89% | 0.0252 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.25705 | 0.255249 | -0.70% | 0.26188 | +1.88% | 0.0503 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.26347 | 0.261475 | -0.76% | 0.25705 | -2.44% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.2738 | 0.271494 | -0.84% | 0.26347 | -3.77% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.26953 | 0.267211 | -0.86% | 0.2738 | +1.58% | 0.0157 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.278 | 0.27538 | -0.94% | 0.26953 | -3.05% | 0.0411 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.28233 | 0.279451 | -1.02% | 0.278 | -1.53% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.27831 | 0.27536 | -1.06% | 0.28233 | +1.44% | 0.0254 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.29898 | 0.295234 | -1.25% | 0.27831 | -6.91% | 0.0929 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.26755 | 0.264588 | -1.11% | 0.29898 | +11.75% | 0.1261 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.28119 | 0.27743 | -1.34% | 0.26755 | -4.85% | 0.0142 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.27684 | 0.272627 | -1.52% | 0.28119 | +1.57% | 0.0347 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.27059 | 0.266421 | -1.54% | 0.27684 | +2.31% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.27126 | 0.266003 | -1.94% | 0.27059 | -0.25% | 0.0201 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.22938 | 0.224376 | -2.18% | 0.27126 | +18.26% | 0.2342 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.143 | 0.142406 | -0.42% | 0.22938 | +60.41% | 0.4804 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | oos | 0.14051 | 0.139857 | -0.47% | 0.143 | +1.77% | 0.0623 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-01 | oos | 0.15019 | 0.149123 | -0.71% | 0.14051 | -6.45% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | oos | 0.138 | 0.137152 | -0.61% | 0.15019 | +8.83% | 0.1220 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | oos | 0.15149 | 0.15052 | -0.64% | 0.138 | -8.90% | 0.0842 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | oos | 0.17198 | 0.170715 | -0.74% | 0.15149 | -11.91% | 0.1250 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | oos | 0.19651 | 0.194532 | -1.01% | 0.17198 | -12.48% | 0.1212 | ✓ | 1.00 |