UMXM

Manadia · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s3

token id: #947
symbol: UMXM
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x44fc58faaaca03e5d52e493dae930ffa63e2a664
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 519

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

172

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

44.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0588

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0069

actual -0.0219

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.03595	0.036025	+0.21%	–	pending	–	–	-1.33
2026-10-20	oos	0.04015	0.04019	+0.10%	0.03595	-10.46%	0.1150	✗	-1.20
2026-10-19	oos	0.04395	0.043959	+0.02%	0.04015	-8.65%	0.0751	✗	-1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.04805	0.048014	-0.07%	0.04395	-8.53%	0.0910	✓	-1.24
2026-10-17	oos	0.05595	0.055797	-0.27%	0.04805	-14.12%	0.1394	✓	-1.32
2026-10-16	oos	0.0651	0.064722	-0.58%	0.05595	-14.06%	0.1476	✓	-1.33
2026-10-15	oos	0.0648	0.064587	-0.33%	0.0651	+0.46%	0.0020	✓	-1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.25085	0.235947	-5.94%	0.0648	-74.17%	1.2844	✓	-1.16
2026-10-13	oos	0.0581	0.058	-0.17%	0.25085	+331.76%	1.4595	✗	-0.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.0588	0.058677	-0.21%	0.0581	-1.19%	0.0052	✓	-0.29
2026-10-11	oos	0.05905	0.058961	-0.15%	0.0588	-0.42%	0.0079	✓	-0.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.0592	0.059132	-0.11%	0.05905	-0.25%	0.0010	✓	-0.25
2026-10-09	oos	0.0591	0.059018	-0.14%	0.0592	+0.17%	0.0042	✗	-0.26
2026-10-08	oos	0.0616	0.061498	-0.17%	0.0591	-4.06%	0.0370	✓	-0.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.0618	0.061724	-0.12%	0.0616	-0.32%	0.0065	✓	-0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.0634	0.063323	-0.12%	0.0618	-2.52%	0.0301	✓	-0.21
2026-10-05	oos	0.0619	0.06179	-0.18%	0.0634	+2.42%	0.0252	✗	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.06095	0.060782	-0.28%	0.0619	+1.56%	0.0162	✗	-0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.066	0.065657	-0.52%	0.06095	-7.65%	0.0702	✓	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.0647	0.064498	-0.31%	0.066	+2.01%	0.0236	✗	-0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.06655	0.066487	-0.10%	0.0647	-2.78%	0.0280	✓	-0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.06295	0.062945	-0.01%	0.06655	+5.72%	0.0588	✗	-0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.0632	0.063201	+0.00%	0.06295	-0.40%	0.0041	✗	-0.16
2026-09-28	oos	0.06695	0.066929	-0.03%	0.0632	-5.60%	0.0570	✓	-0.14
2026-09-27	oos	0.0776	0.077483	-0.15%	0.06695	-13.72%	0.1487	✓	-0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.0759	0.075762	-0.18%	0.0776	+2.24%	0.0241	✗	-0.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.07795	0.077842	-0.14%	0.0759	-2.63%	0.0244	✓	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.0836	0.08347	-0.16%	0.07795	-6.76%	0.0692	✓	-0.23
2026-09-23	oos	0.089	0.08886	-0.16%	0.0836	-6.07%	0.0610	✓	-0.23
2026-09-22	oos	0.09335	0.093169	-0.19%	0.089	-4.66%	0.0515	✓	-0.27
2026-09-21	oos	0.09665	0.096452	-0.21%	0.09335	-3.41%	0.0340	✓	-0.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.09805	0.097647	-0.41%	0.09665	-1.43%	0.0153	✗	-0.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.0989	0.098459	-0.45%	0.09805	-0.86%	0.0045	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.0993	0.098443	-0.86%	0.0989	-0.40%	0.0064	✓	-0.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.09925	0.098685	-0.57%	0.0993	+0.05%	0.0334	✗	-0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.0999	0.099294	-0.61%	0.09925	-0.65%	0.0008	✓	-0.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.09935	0.098684	-0.67%	0.0999	+0.55%	0.0158	✗	-0.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.09945	0.09859	-0.86%	0.09935	-0.10%	0.0086	✓	-0.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.0999	0.099369	-0.53%	0.09945	-0.45%	0.0099	✗	-0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.0998	0.099274	-0.53%	0.0999	+0.10%	0.0033	✓	-0.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.0995	0.098912	-0.59%	0.0998	+0.30%	0.0093	✗	-0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.0997	0.098971	-0.73%	0.0995	-0.20%	0.0093	✗	-0.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.09985	0.099226	-0.63%	0.0997	-0.15%	0.0053	✓	-0.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.10035	0.099937	-0.41%	0.09985	-0.50%	0.0017	✓	-0.40
2026-09-07	oos	0.1002	0.099749	-0.45%	0.10035	+0.15%	0.0027	✓	-0.40
2026-09-06	oos	0.09995	0.099498	-0.45%	0.1002	+0.25%	0.0009	✓	-0.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.1004	0.099845	-0.55%	0.09995	-0.45%	0.0036	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.09975	0.099148	-0.60%	0.1004	+0.65%	0.0133	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.10045	0.099964	-0.48%	0.09975	-0.70%	0.0091	✓	-0.35
2026-09-02	oos	0.12235	0.121274	-0.88%	0.10045	-17.90%	0.1803	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.10025	0.099652	-0.60%	0.12235	+22.04%	0.2050	✗	-0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.09965	0.098869	-0.78%	0.10025	+0.60%	0.0108	✗	-0.21
2026-08-30	oos	0.1011	0.10044	-0.65%	0.09965	-1.43%	0.0065	✓	-0.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.10075	0.10018	-0.57%	0.1011	+0.35%	0.0081	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.1007	0.100134	-0.56%	0.10075	+0.05%	0.0069	✗	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.10085	0.100342	-0.50%	0.1007	-0.15%	0.0004	✓	-0.13
2026-08-26	oos	0.1005	0.099949	-0.55%	0.10085	+0.35%	0.0112	✗	-0.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.1009	0.100335	-0.56%	0.1005	-0.40%	0.0026	✓	-0.16
2026-08-24	oos	0.1008	0.100276	-0.52%	0.1009	+0.10%	0.0052	✗	-0.17
2026-08-23	oos	0.10075	0.100203	-0.54%	0.1008	+0.05%	0.0090	✗	-0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.09985	0.099408	-0.44%	0.10075	+0.90%	0.0151	✗	-0.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.0995	0.099188	-0.31%	0.09985	+0.35%	0.0038	✗	-0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.1003	0.100371	+0.07%	0.0995	-0.80%	0.0075	✓	-0.23
2026-08-19	oos	0.10025	0.100692	+0.44%	0.1003	+0.05%	0.0129	✓	-0.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.10475	0.10554	+0.75%	0.10025	-4.30%	0.0275	✗	-0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.1043	0.105267	+0.93%	0.10475	+0.43%	0.0039	✓	-0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.13135	0.132206	+0.65%	0.1043	-20.59%	0.2336	✗	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.13905	0.139798	+0.54%	0.13135	-5.54%	0.0628	✗	-0.15
2026-08-14	oos	0.1395	0.140021	+0.37%	0.13905	-0.32%	0.0068	✗	-0.16
2026-08-13	oos	0.1552	0.155346	+0.09%	0.1395	-10.12%	0.1089	✗	-0.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.16135	0.161439	+0.06%	0.1552	-3.81%	0.0394	✗	-0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.1805	0.18038	-0.07%	0.16135	-10.61%	0.1119	✓	-0.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.20565	0.205169	-0.23%	0.1805	-12.23%	0.1294	✓	-0.22
2026-08-09	oos	0.2128	0.212252	-0.26%	0.20565	-3.36%	0.0350	✓	-0.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.2366	0.235877	-0.31%	0.2128	-10.06%	0.1032	✓	-0.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.2354	0.234659	-0.31%	0.2366	+0.51%	0.0083	✗	-0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.244	0.243217	-0.32%	0.2354	-3.52%	0.0305	✓	-0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.2479	0.247055	-0.34%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0136	✓	-0.22
2026-08-04	oos	0.24485	0.2442	-0.27%	0.2479	+1.25%	0.0169	✗	-0.21
2026-08-03	oos	0.2522	0.251481	-0.29%	0.24485	-2.91%	0.0248	✓	-0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.2667	0.266037	-0.25%	0.2522	-5.44%	0.0535	✓	-0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.2733	0.272608	-0.25%	0.2667	-2.41%	0.0194	✓	-0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.2786	0.277057	-0.55%	0.2733	-1.90%	0.0139	✓	-0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.25295	0.252233	-0.28%	0.2786	+10.14%	0.0963	✗	-0.11
2026-07-29	oos	0.25285	0.245236	-3.01%	0.25295	+0.04%	0.0330	✗	-0.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.26005	0.239758	-7.80%	0.25285	-2.77%	0.0532	✓	-0.09
2026-07-27	oos	0.2189	0.186445	-14.83%	0.26005	+18.80%	0.3329	✗	-0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.288	0.250716	-12.95%	0.2189	-23.99%	0.1426	✓	-0.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.43055	0.414922	-3.63%	0.288	-33.11%	0.3633	✓	-0.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.5458	0.542325	-0.64%	0.43055	-21.12%	0.2308	✓	-0.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.67405	0.673511	-0.08%	0.5458	-19.03%	0.2112	✓	-0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.8973	0.898331	+0.11%	0.67405	-24.88%	0.2908	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	1.0072	1.0067	-0.06%	0.8973	-10.92%	0.1166	✓	-0.25
2026-07-20	oos	1.2409	1.2402	-0.06%	1.0072	-18.83%	0.2062	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	2.3075	2.2987	-0.38%	1.2409	-46.22%	0.6176	✓	0.13
2026-07-18	oos	2.3811	2.3707	-0.43%	2.3075	-3.09%	0.0268	✓	0.13
2026-07-17	oos	2.3614	2.3492	-0.52%	2.3811	+0.83%	0.0116	✗	0.13
2026-07-16	oos	2.2402	2.2308	-0.42%	2.3614	+5.41%	0.0566	✗	0.12
2026-07-15	oos	2.2807	2.2703	-0.46%	2.2402	-1.78%	0.0117	✓	0.11
2026-07-14	oos	2.2208	2.2092	-0.53%	2.2807	+2.69%	0.0324	✗	0.12
2026-07-13	oos	2.2458	2.2357	-0.45%	2.2208	-1.11%	0.0134	✓	0.16
2026-07-12	oos	2.2386	2.2281	-0.47%	2.2458	+0.32%	0.0116	✗	0.16
2026-07-11	oos	2.2285	2.218	-0.47%	2.2386	+0.45%	0.0093	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	2.2295	2.2194	-0.45%	2.2285	-0.05%	0.0049	✗	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	2.2182	2.2051	-0.59%	2.2295	+0.51%	0.0086	✗	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	2.2142	2.1998	-0.65%	2.2182	+0.18%	0.0058	✓	0.17
2026-07-07	oos	2.214	2.1987	-0.69%	2.2142	+0.01%	0.0098	✗	0.16
2026-07-06	oos	2.1901	2.1783	-0.54%	2.214	+1.09%	0.0180	✗	0.16
2026-07-05	oos	2.1837	2.167	-0.77%	2.1901	+0.29%	0.0095	✗	0.17
2026-07-04	oos	2.1444	2.1327	-0.55%	2.1837	+1.83%	0.0224	✗	0.16
2026-07-03	oos	2.1366	2.125	-0.54%	2.1444	+0.37%	0.0076	✗	0.17
2026-07-02	oos	2.1222	2.1102	-0.56%	2.1366	+0.68%	0.0095	✗	0.17
2026-07-01	oos	2.0958	2.0806	-0.73%	2.1222	+1.26%	0.0155	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	2.0838	2.0721	-0.56%	2.0958	+0.58%	0.0070	✗	0.18
2026-06-29	oos	2.0821	2.0689	-0.63%	2.0838	+0.08%	0.0120	✗	0.18
2026-06-28	oos	2.0604	2.0443	-0.78%	2.0821	+1.05%	0.0163	✗	0.18
2026-06-27	oos	2.0261	2.0129	-0.65%	2.0604	+1.69%	0.0247	✗	0.18
2026-06-26	oos	2.0122	1.9999	-0.61%	2.0261	+0.69%	0.0132	✗	0.18
2026-06-25	oos	1.9861	1.9688	-0.87%	2.0122	+1.32%	0.0209	✗	0.18
2026-06-24	oos	1.964	1.9491	-0.76%	1.9861	+1.12%	0.0227	✗	0.18
2026-06-23	oos	1.9527	1.9379	-0.76%	1.964	+0.58%	0.0184	✗	0.18
2026-06-22	oos	1.8978	1.8782	-1.03%	1.9527	+2.90%	0.0431	✗	0.20
2026-06-21	oos	1.819	1.8102	-0.49%	1.8978	+4.33%	0.0452	✗	0.18
2026-06-20	oos	1.8041	1.795	-0.51%	1.819	+0.82%	0.0161	✗	0.18
2026-06-19	oos	1.7939	1.7839	-0.55%	1.8041	+0.57%	0.0091	✗	0.19
2026-06-18	oos	1.775	1.7616	-0.76%	1.7939	+1.06%	0.0164	✗	0.19
2026-06-17	oos	1.7866	1.7746	-0.67%	1.775	-0.65%	0.0046	✓	0.18
2026-06-16	oos	1.7721	1.7633	-0.50%	1.7866	+0.82%	0.0163	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	1.7686	1.7599	-0.49%	1.7721	+0.20%	0.0087	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	1.7635	1.7543	-0.53%	1.7686	+0.29%	0.0066	✗	0.18
2026-06-13	oos	1.7518	1.7389	-0.73%	1.7635	+0.67%	0.0104	✗	0.19
2026-06-12	oos	1.732	1.7242	-0.45%	1.7518	+1.15%	0.0133	✗	0.19
2026-06-11	oos	1.7178	1.71	-0.45%	1.732	+0.83%	0.0128	✗	0.19
2026-06-10	oos	1.7223	1.7146	-0.45%	1.7178	-0.26%	0.0059	✓	0.23
2026-06-09	oos	1.7114	1.7035	-0.47%	1.7223	+0.63%	0.0119	✗	0.23
2026-06-08	oos	1.7274	1.7185	-0.51%	1.7114	-0.92%	0.0006	✓	0.21
2026-06-07	oos	1.6827	1.6739	-0.53%	1.7274	+2.66%	0.0323	✗	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	1.6853	1.6771	-0.49%	1.6827	-0.15%	0.0074	✓	0.27
2026-06-05	oos	1.6878	1.6778	-0.59%	1.6853	-0.15%	0.0053	✓	0.27
2026-06-04	oos	1.6892	1.6808	-0.50%	1.6878	-0.08%	0.0166	✗	0.28
2026-06-03	oos	1.6755	1.6666	-0.53%	1.6892	+0.82%	0.0145	✗	0.28
2026-06-02	oos	1.6107	1.6018	-0.55%	1.6755	+4.02%	0.0613	✗	0.41
2026-06-01	oos	1.7272	1.7166	-0.61%	1.6107	-6.75%	0.0671	✓	-0.05
2026-05-31	oos	1.6968	1.6862	-0.63%	1.7272	+1.79%	0.0233	✗	-0.02
2026-05-30	oos	1.6992	1.6881	-0.66%	1.6968	-0.14%	0.0051	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	1.6483	1.639	-0.57%	1.6992	+3.09%	0.0364	✗	-0.05
2026-05-28	oos	1.6386	1.6293	-0.57%	1.6483	+0.60%	0.0116	✗	-0.05
2026-05-27	oos	1.641	1.6313	-0.59%	1.6386	-0.15%	0.0038	✓	-0.06
2026-05-26	oos	1.6222	1.6129	-0.57%	1.641	+1.16%	0.0160	✗	-0.06
2026-05-25	oos	1.6498	1.6402	-0.58%	1.6222	-1.67%	0.0138	✓	-0.15
2026-05-24	oos	1.6164	1.6075	-0.55%	1.6498	+2.06%	0.0265	✗	-0.16
2026-05-23	oos	1.6125	1.6035	-0.56%	1.6164	+0.24%	0.0086	✗	-0.15
2026-05-22	oos	1.6076	1.5985	-0.56%	1.6125	+0.31%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	1.6017	1.5928	-0.56%	1.6076	+0.37%	0.0368	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	1.6625	1.6517	-0.65%	1.6017	-3.66%	0.0316	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	1.617	1.6065	-0.65%	1.6625	+2.82%	0.0251	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	1.6751	1.6626	-0.75%	1.617	-3.47%	0.0256	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	1.5775	1.5654	-0.76%	1.6751	+6.19%	0.0737	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	1.5375	1.53	-0.49%	1.5775	+2.60%	0.0395	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	1.5322	1.5251	-0.46%	1.5375	+0.35%	0.0202	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	1.5186	1.5122	-0.42%	1.5322	+0.90%	0.0384	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	1.5346	1.5276	-0.46%	1.5186	-1.05%	0.0283	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	1.5227	1.5159	-0.45%	1.5346	+0.78%	0.0273	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	1.5116	1.5059	-0.38%	1.5227	+0.73%	0.0264	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	1.5148	1.5095	-0.35%	1.5116	-0.21%	0.0072	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.5776	1.5714	-0.39%	1.5148	-3.98%	0.0557	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	1.5512	1.5455	-0.37%	1.5776	+1.70%	0.0148	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	1.5268	1.5214	-0.35%	1.5512	+1.60%	0.0171	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	1.6231	1.617	-0.37%	1.5268	-5.93%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	1.6713	1.6646	-0.40%	1.6231	-2.89%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	1.6419	1.6353	-0.40%	1.6713	+1.79%	0.0087	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	1.7622	1.7537	-0.48%	1.6419	-6.83%	0.0822	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	1.7539	1.7459	-0.46%	1.7622	+0.47%	0.0109	✗	1.00