TENDIES

TENDIES · Robinhood · gru_s3

token id: #799
symbol: TENDIES
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x45242320dbb855eea8fd36804c6487e10e97fcf9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-16
predictions: 267

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 89 predictions shown

direction hit

56.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1262

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0061

actual -0.0216

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004573	0.004531	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	2.70
2026-10-20	oos	0.004425	0.004388	-0.85%	0.004573	+3.33%	0.0485	✗	2.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.00342	0.003436	+0.46%	0.004425	+29.40%	0.2211	✓	2.40
2026-10-18	oos	0.0035	0.003518	+0.51%	0.00342	-2.29%	0.0237	✗	2.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.00385	0.003865	+0.40%	0.0035	-9.09%	0.1160	✗	2.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.003762	0.003784	+0.58%	0.00385	+2.34%	0.0206	✓	2.22
2026-10-15	oos	0.004347	0.00436	+0.30%	0.003762	-13.46%	0.1305	✗	2.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.004939	0.00494	+0.02%	0.004347	-11.99%	0.1431	✗	2.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.005042	0.005043	+0.01%	0.004939	-2.04%	0.0214	✓	2.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.004456	0.004484	+0.63%	0.005042	+13.15%	0.0807	✓	2.22
2026-10-11	oos	0.005425	0.005429	+0.07%	0.004456	-17.86%	0.1478	✗	2.12
2026-10-10	oos	0.005468	0.005481	+0.23%	0.005425	-0.79%	0.0298	✗	2.12
2026-10-09	oos	0.004698	0.004737	+0.83%	0.005468	+16.39%	0.1342	✓	2.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.005044	0.005085	+0.82%	0.004698	-6.86%	0.1013	✗	2.13
2026-10-07	oos	0.005198	0.005238	+0.76%	0.005044	-2.96%	0.0036	✓	2.15
2026-10-06	oos	0.006669	0.006675	+0.09%	0.005198	-22.06%	0.1966	✗	1.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.007464	0.007451	-0.17%	0.006669	-10.65%	0.1060	✓	1.98
2026-10-04	oos	0.006732	0.006749	+0.26%	0.007464	+10.87%	0.1185	✓	2.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.006723	0.006751	+0.43%	0.006732	+0.14%	0.0449	✗	2.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.006885	0.006917	+0.46%	0.006723	-2.36%	0.0342	✗	2.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.008486	0.008483	-0.04%	0.006885	-18.87%	0.2006	✓	2.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.008463	0.008472	+0.11%	0.008486	+0.27%	0.0291	✗	2.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.008951	0.008956	+0.06%	0.008463	-5.45%	0.0547	✗	1.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.00977	0.00976	-0.10%	0.008951	-8.38%	0.0908	✓	1.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.010303	0.01028	-0.22%	0.00977	-5.18%	0.0272	✓	1.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.011222	0.011172	-0.44%	0.010303	-8.19%	0.0821	✓	1.98
2026-09-25	oos	0.010876	0.010851	-0.23%	0.011222	+3.18%	0.0260	✗	1.98
2026-09-24	oos	0.010248	0.010255	+0.06%	0.010876	+6.13%	0.0658	✓	2.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.01068	0.010683	+0.03%	0.010248	-4.04%	0.0417	✗	1.99
2026-09-22	oos	0.011668	0.011641	-0.23%	0.01068	-8.47%	0.0442	✓	1.97
2026-09-21	oos	0.013417	0.013328	-0.66%	0.011668	-13.04%	0.1241	✓	1.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.012814	0.012787	-0.21%	0.013417	+4.71%	0.0869	✓	2.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.013697	0.01365	-0.34%	0.012814	-6.45%	0.0613	✓	2.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.014911	0.01481	-0.67%	0.013697	-8.14%	0.0873	✓	2.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.011718	0.011756	+0.32%	0.014911	+27.24%	0.1353	✓	1.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.01202	0.01205	+0.25%	0.011718	-2.51%	0.0327	✗	1.78
2026-09-15	oos	0.01274	0.012743	+0.02%	0.01202	-5.65%	0.0716	✗	1.79
2026-09-14	oos	0.014146	0.014112	-0.25%	0.01274	-9.94%	0.0438	✓	1.73
2026-09-13	oos	0.013051	0.013048	-0.02%	0.014146	+8.39%	0.0507	✗	1.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.014048	0.014022	-0.19%	0.013051	-7.10%	0.0617	✓	1.67
2026-09-11	oos	0.016721	0.016606	-0.69%	0.014048	-15.99%	0.1684	✓	1.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.018437	0.018226	-1.14%	0.016721	-9.31%	0.1009	✓	1.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.01575	0.015654	-0.61%	0.018437	+17.06%	0.2070	✗	1.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.016751	0.016607	-0.86%	0.01575	-5.98%	0.0490	✓	1.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.016325	0.016186	-0.85%	0.016751	+2.61%	0.0501	✗	1.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.017816	0.01764	-0.99%	0.016325	-8.37%	0.0479	✓	1.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.021024	0.020766	-1.23%	0.017816	-15.26%	0.1653	✓	1.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.01957	0.01935	-1.12%	0.021024	+7.43%	0.0792	✗	1.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.029397	0.028861	-1.82%	0.01957	-33.43%	0.3594	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.033181	0.031979	-3.62%	0.029397	-11.40%	0.1824	✓	1.97
2026-09-01	oos	0.017887	0.017654	-1.30%	0.033181	+85.50%	0.6336	✗	2.14
2026-08-31	oos	0.01556	0.015423	-0.88%	0.017887	+14.96%	0.1831	✗	2.34
2026-08-30	oos	0.01848	0.01822	-1.41%	0.01556	-15.80%	0.1855	✓	2.41
2026-08-29	oos	0.017954	0.017684	-1.51%	0.01848	+2.93%	0.0619	✗	2.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.01445	0.014333	-0.81%	0.017954	+24.25%	0.2129	✗	2.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.016556	0.016384	-1.04%	0.01445	-12.72%	0.0535	✓	2.34
2026-08-26	oos	0.017784	0.017513	-1.52%	0.016556	-6.91%	0.0939	✓	2.40
2026-08-25	oos	0.015549	0.015408	-0.91%	0.017784	+14.37%	0.1283	✗	2.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.020972	0.020504	-2.23%	0.015549	-25.86%	0.2639	✓	2.21
2026-08-23	oos	0.018399	0.018028	-2.02%	0.020972	+13.98%	0.1171	✗	2.14
2026-08-22	oos	0.01375	0.013647	-0.75%	0.018399	+33.81%	0.2807	✗	2.08
2026-08-21	oos	0.01328	0.013201	-0.60%	0.01375	+3.54%	0.0767	✗	2.19
2026-08-20	oos	0.01453	0.014374	-1.07%	0.01328	-8.60%	0.3246	✓	3.49
2026-08-19	oos	0.01378	0.013606	-1.27%	0.01453	+5.44%	0.1484	✓	4.10
2026-08-18	oos	0.009565	0.009544	-0.22%	0.01378	+44.07%	0.1856	✗	2.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01009	0.010053	-0.37%	0.009565	-5.20%	0.0582	✓	2.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.01105	0.010991	-0.54%	0.01009	-8.69%	0.1791	✓	3.63
2026-08-15	oos	0.01269	0.012595	-0.75%	0.01105	-12.92%	0.1206	✓	3.56
2026-08-14	oos	0.01476	0.01463	-0.88%	0.01269	-14.02%	0.1429	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.01771	0.017523	-1.06%	0.01476	-16.66%	0.1645	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.01887	0.018656	-1.14%	0.01771	-6.15%	0.0522	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.02139	0.021093	-1.39%	0.01887	-11.78%	0.1095	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.02278	0.02239	-1.71%	0.02139	-6.10%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.01943	0.019181	-1.28%	0.02278	+17.24%	0.1865	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.02054	0.020227	-1.52%	0.01943	-5.40%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.0169	0.016721	-1.06%	0.02054	+21.54%	0.2055	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.01809	0.017878	-1.17%	0.0169	-6.58%	0.0659	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.02558	0.024935	-2.52%	0.01809	-29.28%	0.3157	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.02012	0.019755	-1.81%	0.02558	+27.14%	0.2498	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.01793	0.017649	-1.57%	0.02012	+12.21%	0.1219	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.01447	0.01433	-0.97%	0.01793	+23.91%	0.2246	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.01273	0.012643	-0.68%	0.01447	+13.67%	0.1233	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.01294	0.012852	-0.68%	0.01273	-1.62%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.01824	0.017935	-1.67%	0.01294	-29.06%	0.2967	✓	1.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.01305	0.012941	-0.83%	0.01824	+39.77%	0.3303	✗	1.00
2026-07-28	oos	0.00984	0.009794	-0.47%	0.01305	+32.62%	0.2863	✗	1.00
2026-07-27	oos	0.01129	0.011225	-0.58%	0.00984	-12.84%	0.1340	✓	1.00
2026-07-26	oos	0.01333	0.013241	-0.67%	0.01129	-15.30%	0.1339	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.01339	0.0133	-0.67%	0.01333	-0.45%	0.0139	✓	1.00