SAGA

Saga · Saga · gru_s3

token id: #196
symbol: SAGA
variant: –
chain: Saga
address: usaga
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-16
predictions: 2,457

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1227

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0099

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.01969	0.019367	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-20	oos	0.019545	0.019267	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.018775	0.018601	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-18	oos	0.01851	0.018369	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.01908	0.018944	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.02015	0.019924	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-15	oos	0.01999	0.019775	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-14	oos	0.02013	0.01992	-1.04%	0.01969	-2.19%	0.0186	✓	0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.020745	0.020463	-1.36%	0.019545	-5.78%	0.0449	✓	0.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.020445	0.02023	-1.05%	0.018775	-8.17%	0.0752	✓	0.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.022525	0.022105	-1.86%	0.01851	-17.82%	0.1688	✓	0.43
2026-10-10	oos	0.02213	0.021767	-1.64%	0.01908	-13.78%	0.1233	✓	0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.0218	0.021477	-1.48%	0.02015	-7.57%	0.0580	✓	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.022475	0.022122	-1.57%	0.01999	-11.06%	0.1038	✓	0.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.02334	0.02287	-2.02%	0.02013	-13.75%	0.1183	✓	0.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.02469	0.024059	-2.56%	0.020745	-15.98%	0.1366	✓	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.02444	0.023794	-2.64%	0.020445	-16.35%	0.1324	✓	0.40
2026-10-04	oos	0.022865	0.022294	-2.50%	0.022525	-1.49%	0.0253	✗	0.45
2026-10-03	oos	0.023355	0.022763	-2.53%	0.02213	-5.25%	0.0180	✓	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.02255	0.021979	-2.53%	0.0218	-3.33%	0.0027	✓	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.0251	0.024349	-2.99%	0.022475	-10.46%	0.0633	✓	0.44
2026-09-30	oos	0.025095	0.024322	-3.08%	0.02334	-6.99%	0.0398	✓	0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.025775	0.024927	-3.29%	0.02469	-4.21%	0.0201	✓	0.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.027605	0.026617	-3.58%	0.02444	-11.47%	0.0981	✓	0.47
2026-09-27	oos	0.02681	0.025805	-3.75%	0.022865	-14.71%	0.1330	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.03197	0.030704	-3.96%	0.023355	-26.95%	0.2755	✓	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.035605	0.034181	-4.00%	0.02255	-36.67%	0.4183	✓	0.48
2026-09-24	oos	0.07402	0.068676	-7.22%	0.0251	-66.09%	1.0084	✓	0.34
2026-09-23	oos	0.04774	0.044836	-6.08%	0.025095	-47.43%	0.5766	✓	0.38
2026-09-22	oos	0.040475	0.038313	-5.34%	0.025775	-36.32%	0.3808	✓	0.52
2026-09-21	oos	0.039395	0.037183	-5.61%	0.027605	-29.93%	0.2770	✓	0.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.037745	0.035281	-6.53%	0.02681	-28.97%	0.2976	✓	0.58
2026-09-19	oos	0.025085	0.02411	-3.89%	0.03197	+27.45%	0.2590	✗	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.0249	0.023864	-4.16%	0.035605	+42.99%	0.3791	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.02211	0.021338	-3.49%	0.07402	+234.78%	1.2029	✗	0.41
2026-09-16	oos	0.01972	0.019245	-2.41%	0.04774	+142.09%	0.8675	✗	0.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.02417	0.023014	-4.78%	0.040475	+67.46%	0.5054	✗	0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01882	0.018474	-1.84%	0.039395	+109.33%	0.6806	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.01715	0.016918	-1.35%	0.037745	+120.09%	0.7650	✗	0.68
2026-09-12	oos	0.01723	0.017009	-1.29%	0.025085	+45.59%	0.3546	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.01639	0.016235	-0.94%	0.0249	+51.92%	0.3972	✗	0.66
2026-09-10	oos	0.017345	0.017034	-1.80%	0.02211	+27.47%	0.2625	✗	0.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.014	0.014062	+0.44%	0.01972	+40.86%	0.3619	✓	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.0147	0.0147	-0.00%	0.02417	+64.42%	0.5310	✗	0.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.015485	0.015437	-0.31%	0.01882	+21.54%	0.2086	✗	0.90
2026-09-06	oos	0.0155	0.015496	-0.03%	0.01715	+10.65%	0.1434	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.01546	0.015451	-0.06%	0.01723	+11.45%	0.1395	✗	0.93
2026-09-04	oos	0.014815	0.014838	+0.15%	0.01639	+10.63%	0.1276	✓	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.01502	0.01509	+0.47%	0.017345	+15.48%	0.1933	✓	0.90
2026-09-02	oos	0.014595	0.014574	-0.14%	0.014	-4.08%	0.0530	✓	1.02
2026-09-01	oos	0.0147	0.014676	-0.16%	0.0147	+0.00%	0.0124	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.01503	0.015035	+0.03%	0.015485	+3.03%	0.0233	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.014655	0.014639	-0.11%	0.0155	+5.77%	0.0252	✗	0.94
2026-08-29	oos	0.01525	0.015208	-0.28%	0.01546	+1.38%	0.0021	✓	0.92
2026-08-28	oos	0.01509	0.015039	-0.34%	0.014815	-1.82%	0.0363	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.015295	0.015309	+0.09%	0.01502	-1.80%	0.0304	✗	0.93
2026-08-26	oos	0.0153	0.015281	-0.12%	0.014595	-4.61%	0.0254	✓	0.93
2026-08-25	oos	0.01452	0.01454	+0.13%	0.0147	+1.24%	0.0244	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.01496	0.014977	+0.11%	0.01503	+0.47%	0.0086	✓	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.0152	0.015163	-0.24%	0.014655	-3.59%	0.0333	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.01408	0.01408	+0.00%	0.01525	+8.31%	0.0643	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.015745	0.01569	-0.35%	0.01509	-4.16%	0.0329	✓	0.98
2026-08-20	oos	0.01418	0.014054	-0.89%	0.015295	+7.86%	0.0015	✓	0.91
2026-08-19	oos	0.01363	0.013451	-1.31%	0.0153	+12.25%	0.0056	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.013255	0.013015	-1.81%	0.01452	+9.54%	0.0887	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.013465	0.013208	-1.91%	0.01496	+11.10%	0.0832	✓	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.012975	0.012723	-1.94%	0.0152	+17.15%	0.0371	✓	1.01
2026-08-15	oos	0.013015	0.012762	-1.95%	0.01408	+8.18%	0.1035	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.01321	0.012947	-1.99%	0.015745	+19.19%	0.0272	✓	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	0.01271	0.012484	-1.78%	0.01418	+11.57%	0.0202	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.01427	0.013954	-2.21%	0.01363	-4.48%	0.1213	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.013665	0.013396	-1.97%	0.013255	-3.00%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.01491	0.014557	-2.37%	0.013465	-9.69%	0.0883	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.01487	0.01452	-2.35%	0.012975	-12.74%	0.0831	✓	0.93
2026-08-08	oos	0.01653	0.016053	-2.89%	0.013015	-21.26%	0.1829	✓	0.91
2026-08-07	oos	0.013725	0.01347	-1.86%	0.01321	-3.75%	0.0072	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.013965	0.013682	-2.03%	0.01271	-8.99%	0.0618	✓	0.91
2026-08-05	oos	0.013395	0.013148	-1.84%	0.01427	+6.53%	0.0990	✗	0.92
2026-08-04	oos	0.01308	0.01284	-1.83%	0.013665	+4.47%	0.0697	✗	0.91
2026-08-03	oos	0.013395	0.013127	-2.00%	0.01491	+11.31%	0.1209	✗	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.012855	0.012605	-1.94%	0.01487	+15.67%	0.1455	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.01228	0.012056	-1.83%	0.01653	+34.61%	0.2853	✗	0.90
2026-07-31	oos	0.012285	0.012045	-1.95%	0.013725	+11.72%	0.1013	✗	0.90
2026-07-30	oos	0.012	0.011783	-1.81%	0.013965	+16.38%	0.1767	✗	0.96
2026-07-29	oos	0.012175	0.011935	-1.97%	0.013395	+10.02%	0.1048	✗	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.01255	0.012291	-2.07%	0.01308	+4.22%	0.0592	✗	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.01231	0.01205	-2.11%	0.013395	+8.81%	0.1092	✗	0.95
2026-07-26	oos	0.01324	0.012948	-2.20%	0.012855	-2.91%	0.0187	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.01341	0.013097	-2.34%	0.01228	-8.43%	0.0421	✓	0.92
2026-07-24	oos	0.014255	0.013883	-2.61%	0.012285	-13.82%	0.1037	✓	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.012765	0.012492	-2.14%	0.012	-5.99%	0.0352	✓	0.99
2026-07-22	oos	0.01323	0.012938	-2.21%	0.012175	-7.97%	0.0279	✓	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.01354	0.013235	-2.25%	0.01255	-7.31%	0.0132	✓	0.97
2026-07-20	oos	0.01278	0.012495	-2.23%	0.01231	-3.68%	0.0059	✓	0.88
2026-07-19	oos	0.012045	0.011791	-2.11%	0.01324	+9.92%	0.1072	✗	0.86
2026-07-18	oos	0.012375	0.012105	-2.18%	0.01341	+8.36%	0.1089	✗	0.85
2026-07-17	oos	0.012295	0.012021	-2.23%	0.014255	+15.94%	0.1677	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.01237	0.012087	-2.28%	0.012765	+3.19%	0.0336	✗	1.05
2026-07-15	oos	0.012765	0.012455	-2.43%	0.01323	+3.64%	0.0383	✗	1.05
2026-07-14	oos	0.01259	0.012275	-2.50%	0.01354	+7.55%	0.0737	✗	1.05
2026-07-13	oos	0.012285	0.01198	-2.48%	0.01278	+4.03%	0.0151	✓	1.07
2026-07-12	oos	0.012695	0.012364	-2.60%	0.012045	-5.12%	0.0419	✓	1.07
2026-07-11	oos	0.012735	0.012391	-2.70%	0.012375	-2.83%	0.0175	✓	1.02
2026-07-10	oos	0.01311	0.012734	-2.87%	0.012295	-6.22%	0.0314	✓	1.01
2026-07-09	oos	0.012865	0.012489	-2.92%	0.01237	-3.85%	0.0191	✓	1.01
2026-07-08	oos	0.012865	0.012474	-3.04%	0.012765	-0.78%	0.0162	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.01287	0.012446	-3.30%	0.01259	-2.18%	0.0153	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.01375	0.013305	-3.23%	0.012285	-10.65%	0.0512	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.01395	0.013496	-3.26%	0.012695	-9.00%	0.0637	✓	1.03
2026-07-04	oos	0.014145	0.013686	-3.25%	0.012735	-9.97%	0.0832	✓	1.04
2026-07-03	oos	0.0137	0.013266	-3.17%	0.01311	-4.31%	0.0371	✓	0.99
2026-07-02	oos	0.01404	0.013599	-3.14%	0.012865	-8.37%	0.0832	✓	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.012965	0.012601	-2.81%	0.012865	-0.77%	0.0157	✓	0.98
2026-06-30	oos	0.012555	0.012231	-2.58%	0.01287	+2.51%	0.0263	✓	0.98
2026-06-29	oos	0.012925	0.012571	-2.74%	0.01375	+6.38%	0.0288	✗	0.98
2026-06-28	oos	0.012955	0.012608	-2.68%	0.01395	+7.68%	0.0375	✗	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.01281	0.012472	-2.64%	0.014145	+10.42%	0.0761	✗	0.97
2026-06-26	oos	0.01302	0.012674	-2.66%	0.0137	+5.22%	0.0377	✗	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.01316	0.012814	-2.63%	0.01404	+6.69%	0.0626	✗	0.98
2026-06-24	oos	0.0136	0.013225	-2.76%	0.012965	-4.67%	0.0038	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.014455	0.014021	-3.00%	0.012555	-13.14%	0.0459	✓	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.01462	0.014166	-3.11%	0.012925	-11.59%	0.0329	✓	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.01546	0.014882	-3.74%	0.012955	-16.20%	0.0786	✓	0.98
2026-06-20	oos	0.01372	0.013368	-2.56%	0.01281	-6.63%	0.0289	✗	1.04
2026-06-19	oos	0.01305	0.012783	-2.04%	0.01302	-0.23%	0.0763	✗	1.03
2026-06-18	oos	0.01341	0.013144	-1.99%	0.01316	-1.86%	0.0546	✗	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.01376	0.013456	-2.21%	0.0136	-1.16%	0.0679	✗	1.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.014095	0.013765	-2.34%	0.014455	+2.55%	0.0977	✗	1.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.01301	0.012797	-1.64%	0.01462	+12.38%	0.1717	✗	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.01302	0.012831	-1.45%	0.01546	+18.74%	0.2277	✗	1.08
2026-06-13	oos	0.01338	0.013205	-1.31%	0.01372	+2.54%	0.0418	✗	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.01294	0.012853	-0.67%	0.01305	+0.85%	0.0163	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.01311	0.013039	-0.54%	0.01341	+2.29%	0.0398	✗	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.012	0.012104	+0.87%	0.01376	+14.67%	0.0794	✓	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.012545	0.01265	+0.84%	0.014095	+12.36%	0.0451	✓	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.01321	0.013288	+0.59%	0.01301	-1.51%	0.0717	✗	1.02
2026-06-07	oos	0.01346	0.013561	+0.75%	0.01302	-3.27%	0.0795	✗	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.01349	0.013692	+1.50%	0.01338	-0.82%	0.0837	✗	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.0139	0.014101	+1.45%	0.01294	-6.91%	0.1274	✗	1.03
2026-06-04	oos	0.01561	0.015647	+0.24%	0.01311	-16.02%	0.1732	✗	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.01747	0.017389	-0.46%	0.012	-31.31%	0.3327	✓	0.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01654	0.016494	-0.28%	0.012545	-24.15%	0.1946	✓	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.01794	0.017783	-0.87%	0.01321	-26.37%	0.1864	✓	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.01799	0.017895	-0.53%	0.01346	-25.18%	0.1482	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	0.01787	0.017816	-0.30%	0.01349	-24.51%	0.1028	✓	0.91
2026-05-29	oos	0.01784	0.01782	-0.11%	0.0139	-22.09%	0.0787	✓	0.92
2026-05-28	oos	0.018475	0.018479	+0.02%	0.01561	-15.51%	0.0395	✗	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.01875	0.018813	+0.34%	0.01747	-6.83%	0.0588	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.020105	0.020212	+0.53%	0.01654	-17.73%	0.0883	✗	0.87
2026-05-25	oos	0.023435	0.02322	-0.92%	0.01794	-23.45%	0.1897	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.01931	0.019639	+1.70%	0.01799	-6.84%	0.0494	✗	0.85
2026-05-23	oos	0.01991	0.020222	+1.57%	0.01787	-10.25%	0.0909	✗	0.86
2026-05-22	oos	0.019475	0.019755	+1.44%	0.01784	-8.40%	0.0782	✗	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.0206	0.020933	+1.62%	0.018475	-10.32%	0.0803	✗	0.83
2026-05-20	oos	0.02052	0.020864	+1.67%	0.01875	-8.63%	0.0720	✗	0.84
2026-05-19	oos	0.020385	0.02065	+1.30%	0.020105	-1.37%	0.0165	✗	0.83
2026-05-18	oos	0.021895	0.022018	+0.56%	0.023435	+7.03%	0.0590	✓	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.02097	0.021146	+0.84%	0.01931	-7.92%	0.0861	✗	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.02273	0.022743	+0.06%	0.01991	-12.41%	0.1176	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.024385	0.024251	-0.55%	0.019475	-20.14%	0.1829	✓	0.78
2026-05-14	oos	0.0265	0.026202	-1.12%	0.0206	-22.26%	0.2074	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.02909	0.028338	-2.58%	0.02052	-29.46%	0.3044	✓	0.80
2026-05-12	oos	0.04488	0.041281	-8.02%	0.020385	-54.58%	0.6762	✓	0.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.02601	0.025585	-1.63%	0.021895	-15.82%	0.1081	✓	0.79
2026-05-10	oos	0.01997	0.020134	+0.82%	0.02097	+5.01%	0.0919	✓	0.85
2026-05-09	oos	0.0197	0.019797	+0.49%	0.02273	+15.38%	0.1655	✓	0.85
2026-05-08	oos	0.01911	0.019205	+0.50%	0.024385	+27.60%	0.2506	✓	0.83
2026-05-07	oos	0.01818	0.018331	+0.83%	0.0265	+45.76%	0.3576	✓	0.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.018485	0.018708	+1.21%	0.02909	+57.37%	0.4662	✓	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.01823	0.018463	+1.28%	0.04488	+146.19%	0.8934	✓	0.99
2026-05-04	oos	0.01757	0.017771	+1.15%	0.02601	+48.04%	0.3585	✓	0.97
2026-05-03	oos	0.01781	0.017976	+0.93%	0.01997	+12.13%	0.0617	✓	0.96
2026-05-02	oos	0.01776	0.017942	+1.03%	0.0197	+10.92%	0.0695	✓	0.97
2026-05-01	oos	0.01715	0.017305	+0.90%	0.01911	+11.43%	0.0753	✓	0.97
2026-04-30	oos	0.017015	0.017143	+0.75%	0.01818	+6.85%	0.0097	✓	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.01737	0.017496	+0.73%	0.018485	+6.42%	0.0200	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.01748	0.017622	+0.81%	0.01823	+4.29%	0.0286	✗	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.017475	0.017665	+1.09%	0.01757	+0.54%	0.0394	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.017725	0.017987	+1.48%	0.01781	+0.48%	0.0083	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.0174	0.01762	+1.26%	0.01776	+2.07%	0.0064	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.01781	0.018025	+1.20%	0.01715	-3.71%	0.0606	✗	1.10
2026-04-23	oos	0.01766	0.017914	+1.44%	0.017015	-3.65%	0.0233	✗	1.10
2026-04-22	oos	0.01731	0.017523	+1.23%	0.01737	+0.35%	0.0263	✓	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.018155	0.018337	+1.00%	0.01748	-3.72%	0.0474	✗	1.12
2026-04-20	oos	0.018535	0.018681	+0.79%	0.017475	-5.72%	0.0886	✗	1.12
2026-04-19	oos	0.01845	0.018484	+0.19%	0.017725	-3.93%	0.1144	✗	1.14
2026-04-18	oos	0.02128	0.021434	+0.72%	0.0174	-18.23%	0.2364	✗	1.12
2026-04-17	oos	0.027215	0.027331	+0.43%	0.01781	-34.56%	0.4333	✗	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.02657	0.026545	-0.09%	0.01766	-33.53%	0.4509	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.026955	0.026852	-0.38%	0.01731	-35.78%	0.4861	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.02686	0.026707	-0.57%	0.018155	-32.41%	0.4169	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.02782	0.027625	-0.70%	0.018535	-33.38%	0.4191	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.02737	0.027011	-1.31%	0.01845	-32.59%	0.4291	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.02832	0.028052	-0.95%	0.02128	-24.86%	0.3166	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.02819	0.027967	-0.79%	0.027215	-3.46%	0.0889	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.02831	0.028036	-0.97%	0.02657	-6.15%	0.1056	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.02702	0.026777	-0.90%	0.026955	-0.24%	0.0513	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.02935	0.029078	-0.93%	0.02686	-8.48%	0.1142	✓	1.12
2026-04-06	oos	0.02841	0.028065	-1.22%	0.02782	-2.08%	0.0971	✓	1.13
2026-04-05	oos	0.02898	0.028636	-1.19%	0.02737	-5.56%	0.0736	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.029835	0.029415	-1.41%	0.02832	-5.08%	0.1323	✓	1.14
2026-04-03	oos	0.028205	0.027866	-1.20%	0.02819	-0.05%	0.0870	✓	1.14
2026-04-02	oos	0.027015	0.026742	-1.01%	0.02831	+4.79%	0.0235	✓	1.14
2026-04-01	oos	0.028485	0.028198	-1.01%	0.02702	-5.14%	0.0912	✓	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02728	0.027049	-0.85%	0.02935	+7.59%	0.0211	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02824	0.027941	-1.06%	0.02841	+0.60%	0.0197	✓	1.16
2026-03-29	oos	0.02713	0.026886	-0.90%	0.02898	+6.82%	0.0229	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.02862	0.028345	-0.96%	0.029835	+4.25%	0.0344	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.02884	0.028596	-0.85%	0.028205	-2.20%	0.0243	✓	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.02934	0.029176	-0.56%	0.027015	-7.92%	0.0447	✓	1.17
2026-03-25	oos	0.03119	0.031065	-0.40%	0.028485	-8.67%	0.0335	✓	1.16
2026-03-24	oos	0.0307	0.030567	-0.43%	0.02728	-11.14%	0.0750	✓	1.16
2026-03-23	oos	0.03012	0.030006	-0.38%	0.02824	-6.24%	0.0093	✗	1.16
2026-03-22	oos	0.02907	0.028905	-0.57%	0.02713	-6.67%	0.0305	✓	1.16
2026-03-21	oos	0.03052	0.030281	-0.78%	0.02862	-6.23%	0.0119	✓	1.16
2026-03-20	oos	0.03102	0.030752	-0.87%	0.02884	-7.03%	0.0061	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	0.03068	0.030389	-0.95%	0.02934	-4.37%	0.0159	✓	1.16
2026-03-18	oos	0.03241	0.03205	-1.11%	0.03119	-3.76%	0.0281	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.03409	0.033683	-1.19%	0.0307	-9.94%	0.0380	✓	1.16
2026-03-16	oos	0.0348	0.03438	-1.21%	0.03012	-13.45%	0.0675	✓	1.18
2026-03-15	oos	0.03385	0.03343	-1.24%	0.02907	-14.12%	0.0567	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	0.03399	0.033549	-1.30%	0.03052	-10.21%	0.0554	✓	1.19
2026-03-13	oos	0.03436	0.033935	-1.24%	0.03102	-9.72%	0.0823	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.03411	0.033715	-1.16%	0.03068	-10.06%	0.0839	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.03478	0.03432	-1.32%	0.03241	-6.81%	0.0748	✓	1.19
2026-03-10	oos	0.03266	0.032326	-1.02%	0.03409	+4.38%	0.0125	✓	1.19
2026-03-09	oos	0.03109	0.030808	-0.91%	0.0348	+11.93%	0.0156	✗	1.18
2026-03-08	oos	0.03067	0.030406	-0.86%	0.03385	+10.37%	0.0113	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.02969	0.029463	-0.76%	0.03399	+14.48%	0.0734	✗	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03167	0.031392	-0.88%	0.03436	+8.49%	0.0415	✗	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.03208	0.031806	-0.85%	0.03411	+6.33%	0.0761	✗	1.22
2026-03-04	oos	0.03242	0.032146	-0.85%	0.03478	+7.28%	0.1212	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0326	0.032324	-0.85%	0.03266	+0.18%	0.0200	✓	1.29
2026-03-02	oos	0.02987	0.029679	-0.64%	0.03109	+4.08%	0.0539	✗	1.29
2026-03-01	oos	0.02882	0.028694	-0.44%	0.03067	+6.42%	0.0627	✗	1.29
2026-02-28	oos	0.03017	0.02999	-0.60%	0.02969	-1.59%	0.0157	✓	1.31
2026-02-27	oos	0.030455	0.030265	-0.62%	0.03167	+3.99%	0.0013	✓	1.31
2026-02-26	oos	0.03044	0.030239	-0.66%	0.03208	+5.39%	0.0058	✓	1.32
2026-02-25	oos	0.03135	0.031099	-0.80%	0.03242	+3.41%	0.0465	✓	1.32
2026-02-24	oos	0.02889	0.028771	-0.41%	0.0326	+12.84%	0.0409	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.029195	0.029052	-0.49%	0.02987	+2.31%	0.0528	✓	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.03072	0.030464	-0.83%	0.02882	-6.18%	0.0199	✓	1.28
2026-02-21	oos	0.03137	0.031083	-0.91%	0.03017	-3.83%	0.0110	✓	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.032015	0.0317	-0.98%	0.030455	-4.87%	0.0005	✓	1.28
2026-02-19	oos	0.03174	0.031469	-0.85%	0.03044	-4.10%	0.0431	✓	1.28
2026-02-18	oos	0.03252	0.03224	-0.86%	0.03135	-3.60%	0.0588	✓	1.32
2026-02-17	oos	0.03461	0.034237	-1.08%	0.02889	-16.53%	0.1152	✓	1.06
2026-02-16	oos	0.03456	0.034186	-1.08%	0.029195	-15.52%	0.0909	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.03583	0.035389	-1.23%	0.03072	-14.26%	0.1232	✓	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.03387	0.033565	-0.90%	0.03137	-7.38%	0.0391	✓	1.07
2026-02-13	oos	0.03316	0.032984	-0.53%	0.032015	-3.45%	0.0168	✓	1.07
2026-02-12	oos	0.03225	0.03228	+0.09%	0.03174	-1.58%	0.0292	✗	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.03194	0.032027	+0.27%	0.03252	+1.82%	0.0249	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.02987	0.030097	+0.76%	0.03461	+15.87%	0.1611	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.03141	0.031609	+0.63%	0.03456	+10.03%	0.1087	✓	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.03117	0.031493	+1.04%	0.03583	+14.95%	0.1528	✓	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.03288	0.033263	+1.16%	0.03387	+3.01%	0.0093	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.03335	0.033799	+1.35%	0.03316	-0.57%	0.0089	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.02907	0.030228	+3.98%	0.03225	+10.94%	0.0060	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.034805	0.0353	+1.42%	0.03194	-8.23%	0.0001	✓	1.17
2026-02-03	oos	0.034995	0.035485	+1.40%	0.02987	-14.64%	0.0588	✗	1.19
2026-02-02	oos	0.03587	0.036234	+1.01%	0.03141	-12.43%	0.0009	✓	1.23
2026-02-01	oos	0.03433	0.034973	+1.87%	0.03117	-9.20%	0.0068	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.0361	0.036585	+1.34%	0.03288	-8.92%	0.0576	✓	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.04212	0.041982	-0.33%	0.03335	-20.82%	0.0196	✓	1.20
2026-01-29	oos	0.04236	0.042224	-0.32%	0.02907	-31.37%	0.0148	✓	1.21
2026-01-28	oos	0.04791	0.04742	-1.02%	0.034805	-27.35%	0.0829	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.04801	0.047562	-0.93%	0.034995	-27.11%	0.1170	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.0478	0.047374	-0.89%	0.03587	-24.96%	0.1479	✓	1.13
2026-01-25	oos	0.04549	0.045232	-0.57%	0.03433	-24.53%	0.1430	✓	1.12
2026-01-24	oos	0.04984	0.049324	-1.04%	0.0361	-27.57%	0.1769	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.04781	0.047311	-1.04%	0.04212	-11.90%	0.0487	✓	1.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.05072	0.050045	-1.33%	0.04236	-16.48%	0.1042	✓	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.05398	0.0531	-1.63%	0.04791	-11.24%	0.1004	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.05441	0.053487	-1.70%	0.04801	-11.76%	0.1182	✓	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.05993	0.058926	-1.67%	0.0478	-20.24%	0.1581	✓	1.07
2026-01-18	oos	0.0669	0.065631	-1.90%	0.04549	-32.00%	0.2828	✓	1.07
2026-01-17	oos	0.06146	0.060532	-1.51%	0.04984	-18.91%	0.1223	✓	1.10
2026-01-16	oos	0.06281	0.061898	-1.45%	0.04781	-23.88%	0.1865	✓	1.10
2026-01-15	oos	0.05834	0.057546	-1.36%	0.05072	-13.06%	0.0533	✓	1.10
2026-01-14	oos	0.0615	0.06094	-0.91%	0.05398	-12.23%	0.0319	✓	1.10
2026-01-13	oos	0.0646	0.063767	-1.29%	0.05441	-15.77%	0.0717	✓	1.13
2026-01-12	oos	0.0562	0.055125	-1.91%	0.05993	+6.64%	0.0685	✗	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.0575	0.056423	-1.87%	0.0669	+16.35%	0.1393	✗	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.0589	0.057853	-1.78%	0.06146	+4.35%	0.0068	✓	1.05
2026-01-09	oos	0.059	0.057985	-1.72%	0.06281	+6.46%	0.0200	✗	1.12
2026-01-08	oos	0.0596	0.058639	-1.61%	0.05834	-2.11%	0.0601	✓	1.12
2026-01-07	oos	0.0612	0.060249	-1.55%	0.0615	+0.49%	0.0842	✓	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.0647	0.06392	-1.21%	0.0646	-0.15%	0.0200	✓	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.0646	0.063824	-1.20%	0.0562	-13.00%	0.0766	✓	1.75
2026-01-04	oos	0.0645	0.063534	-1.50%	0.0575	-10.85%	0.0875	✓	1.80
2026-01-03	oos	0.0618	0.060918	-1.43%	0.0589	-4.69%	0.0292	✓	1.80
2026-01-02	oos	0.063	0.062033	-1.53%	0.059	-6.35%	0.0612	✓	1.80
2026-01-01	oos	0.0611	0.060137	-1.58%	0.0596	-2.45%	0.0545	✓	1.79
2025-12-31	oos	0.0563	0.055511	-1.40%	0.0612	+8.70%	0.0237	✗	1.74
2025-12-30	oos	0.0557	0.055024	-1.21%	0.0647	+16.16%	0.0589	✗	1.76
2025-12-29	oos	0.0564	0.055772	-1.11%	0.0646	+14.54%	0.0167	✗	1.74
2025-12-28	oos	0.0593	0.05864	-1.11%	0.0645	+8.77%	0.0251	✗	1.74
2025-12-27	oos	0.0607	0.06004	-1.09%	0.0618	+1.81%	0.0245	✓	1.71
2025-12-26	oos	0.059	0.058428	-0.97%	0.063	+6.78%	0.0243	✗	1.70
2025-12-25	oos	0.057	0.05658	-0.74%	0.0611	+7.19%	0.0467	✗	1.70
2025-12-24	oos	0.0594	0.058982	-0.70%	0.0563	-5.22%	0.0444	✓	1.70
2025-12-23	oos	0.0593	0.058936	-0.61%	0.0557	-6.07%	0.0754	✓	1.71
2025-12-22	oos	0.058	0.057754	-0.42%	0.0564	-2.76%	0.0048	✗	1.73
2025-12-21	oos	0.0582	0.057997	-0.35%	0.0593	+1.89%	0.0372	✗	1.73
2025-12-20	oos	0.0608	0.060512	-0.47%	0.0607	-0.16%	0.0135	✗	1.77
2025-12-19	oos	0.0596	0.059363	-0.40%	0.059	-1.01%	0.0100	✗	1.77
2025-12-18	oos	0.0566	0.05656	-0.07%	0.057	+0.71%	0.0273	✓	1.77
2025-12-17	oos	0.0578	0.057711	-0.15%	0.0594	+2.77%	0.0002	✓	1.78
2025-12-16	oos	0.063	0.062697	-0.48%	0.0593	-5.87%	0.0472	✓	1.76
2025-12-15	oos	0.0632	0.06293	-0.43%	0.058	-8.23%	0.1249	✓	1.77
2025-12-14	oos	0.0669	0.066505	-0.59%	0.0582	-13.00%	0.1428	✓	1.77
2025-12-13	oos	0.0717	0.071164	-0.75%	0.0608	-15.20%	0.1193	✓	1.76
2025-12-12	oos	0.0699	0.06945	-0.64%	0.0596	-14.74%	0.1098	✓	1.76
2025-12-11	oos	0.0709	0.070428	-0.67%	0.0566	-20.17%	0.0768	✓	1.78
2025-12-10	oos	0.071	0.070517	-0.68%	0.0578	-18.59%	0.0823	✓	1.78
2025-12-09	oos	0.073	0.072445	-0.76%	0.063	-13.70%	0.0425	✓	1.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.0699	0.06947	-0.62%	0.0632	-9.59%	0.0094	✓	1.78
2025-12-07	oos	0.0691	0.068718	-0.55%	0.0669	-3.18%	0.0176	✗	1.78
2025-12-06	oos	0.0719	0.071458	-0.61%	0.0717	-0.28%	0.0165	✓	1.80
2025-12-05	oos	0.069	0.068675	-0.47%	0.0699	+1.30%	0.0010	✓	1.80
2025-12-04	oos	0.0718	0.071358	-0.62%	0.0709	-1.25%	0.0153	✓	1.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.0749	0.074367	-0.71%	0.071	-5.21%	0.0185	✓	1.82
2025-12-02	oos	0.0751	0.074611	-0.65%	0.073	-2.80%	0.0495	✓	1.84
2025-12-01	oos	0.071	0.070766	-0.33%	0.0699	-1.55%	0.1064	✓	1.90
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.077618	-0.81%	0.0691	-11.69%	0.1169	✓	1.92
2025-11-29	oos	0.07905	0.078352	-0.88%	0.0719	-9.04%	0.0530	✓	1.90
2025-11-28	oos	0.0808	0.080076	-0.90%	0.069	-14.60%	0.1160	✓	1.90
2025-11-27	oos	0.08385	0.082958	-1.06%	0.0718	-14.37%	0.1605	✓	1.90
2025-11-26	oos	0.08755	0.086543	-1.15%	0.0749	-14.45%	0.2062	✓	1.90
2025-11-25	oos	0.08885	0.087976	-0.98%	0.0751	-15.48%	0.2470	✓	1.99
2025-11-24	oos	0.08875	0.087875	-0.99%	0.071	-20.00%	0.1679	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.08635	0.085784	-0.65%	0.07825	-9.38%	0.1729	✓	2.01
2025-11-22	oos	0.08625	0.085958	-0.34%	0.07905	-8.35%	0.2306	✓	2.10
2025-11-21	oos	0.09335	0.092767	-0.62%	0.0808	-13.44%	0.2772	✓	2.10
2025-11-20	oos	0.1142	0.111181	-2.64%	0.08385	-26.58%	0.3910	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.08525	0.08464	-0.72%	0.08755	+2.70%	0.0630	✗	2.67
2025-11-18	oos	0.08265	0.08206	-0.71%	0.08885	+7.50%	0.2467	✗	2.69
2025-11-17	oos	0.07945	0.079066	-0.48%	0.08875	+11.71%	0.2305	✗	2.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.082	0.081413	-0.72%	0.08635	+5.30%	0.2791	✗	2.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.08505	0.084377	-0.79%	0.08625	+1.41%	0.3486	✗	2.71
2025-11-14	oos	0.0849	0.084355	-0.64%	0.09335	+9.95%	0.3869	✗	2.72
2025-11-13	oos	0.08795	0.087005	-1.07%	0.1142	+29.85%	0.6785	✗	2.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.09065	0.089566	-1.20%	0.08525	-5.96%	0.2570	✗	2.90
2025-11-11	oos	0.092	0.090981	-1.11%	0.08265	-10.16%	0.2042	✗	2.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.10315	0.10164	-1.46%	0.07945	-22.98%	0.1573	✗	2.88
2025-11-09	oos	0.1014	0.100105	-1.28%	0.082	-19.13%	0.1068	✗	2.90
2025-11-08	oos	0.09815	0.097061	-1.11%	0.08505	-13.35%	0.0671	✗	2.92
2025-11-07	oos	0.0988	0.097605	-1.21%	0.0849	-14.07%	0.1160	✗	2.88
2025-11-06	oos	0.08365	0.083621	-0.03%	0.08795	+5.14%	0.0972	✗	2.80
2025-11-05	oos	0.0847	0.084579	-0.14%	0.09065	+7.02%	0.1310	✗	2.84
2025-11-04	oos	0.08105	0.08146	+0.51%	0.092	+13.51%	0.0784	✓	2.87
2025-11-03	oos	0.08535	0.085277	-0.09%	0.10315	+20.86%	0.2067	✗	3.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.10165	0.100695	-0.94%	0.1014	-0.25%	0.1678	✗	2.96
2025-11-01	oos	0.09955	0.09877	-0.78%	0.09815	-1.41%	0.2110	✗	2.97
2025-10-31	oos	0.09405	0.093675	-0.40%	0.0988	+5.05%	0.2281	✗	2.97
2025-10-30	oos	0.09355	0.093437	-0.12%	0.08365	-10.58%	0.0886	✗	2.97
2025-10-29	oos	0.10345	0.102911	-0.52%	0.0847	-18.12%	0.0259	✓	2.93
2025-10-28	oos	0.10255	0.102137	-0.40%	0.08105	-20.97%	0.0909	✗	3.02
2025-10-27	oos	0.10895	0.10837	-0.53%	0.08535	-21.66%	0.0333	✓	3.01
2025-10-26	oos	0.11645	0.115716	-0.63%	0.10165	-12.71%	0.0225	✓	3.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.1135	0.113036	-0.41%	0.09955	-12.29%	0.0824	✓	3.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.11195	0.111644	-0.27%	0.09405	-15.99%	0.1299	✓	3.09
2025-10-23	oos	0.11395	0.113707	-0.21%	0.09355	-17.90%	0.1438	✓	3.10
2025-10-22	oos	0.1096	0.110094	+0.45%	0.10345	-5.61%	0.1321	✗	3.11
2025-10-21	oos	0.11465	0.114918	+0.23%	0.10255	-10.55%	0.2415	✗	3.11
2025-10-20	oos	0.12245	0.122399	-0.04%	0.10895	-11.02%	0.2147	✓	3.14
2025-10-19	oos	0.12285	0.123208	+0.29%	0.11645	-5.21%	0.2204	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.12155	0.122481	+0.77%	0.1135	-6.62%	0.2036	✗	3.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.11985	0.121333	+1.24%	0.11195	-6.59%	0.2117	✗	3.12
2025-10-16	oos	0.1246	0.125906	+1.05%	0.11395	-8.55%	0.1547	✗	3.13
2025-10-15	oos	0.12925	0.130065	+0.63%	0.1096	-15.20%	0.0780	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.13585	0.136178	+0.24%	0.11465	-15.61%	0.0371	✗	3.17
2025-10-13	oos	0.14545	0.14548	+0.02%	0.12245	-15.81%	0.0403	✗	3.17
2025-10-12	oos	0.1329	0.133593	+0.52%	0.12285	-7.56%	0.0915	✓	3.07
2025-10-11	oos	0.12115	0.12321	+1.70%	0.12155	+0.33%	0.0872	✓	3.09
2025-10-10	oos	0.12685	0.127984	+0.89%	0.11985	-5.52%	0.1180	✓	3.09
2025-10-09	oos	0.19935	0.19934	-0.01%	0.1246	-37.50%	0.1961	✓	2.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.20705	0.207231	+0.09%	0.12925	-37.58%	0.2220	✗	2.33
2025-10-07	oos	0.199	0.198948	-0.03%	0.13585	-31.73%	0.2052	✓	2.48
2025-10-06	oos	0.21995	0.220355	+0.18%	0.14545	-33.87%	0.2235	✗	2.44
2025-10-05	oos	0.20715	0.207607	+0.22%	0.1329	-35.84%	0.2734	✗	2.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.2123	0.212652	+0.17%	0.12115	-42.93%	0.3168	✗	2.45
2025-10-03	oos	0.21945	0.219637	+0.09%	0.12685	-42.20%	0.3539	✗	2.46
2025-10-02	oos	0.22475	0.224263	-0.22%	0.19935	-11.30%	0.1402	✓	2.49
2025-10-01	oos	0.2153	0.214736	-0.26%	0.20705	-3.83%	0.1338	✓	2.52
2025-09-30	oos	0.20915	0.20816	-0.47%	0.199	-4.85%	0.2092	✓	2.64
2025-09-29	oos	0.20345	0.202607	-0.41%	0.21995	+8.11%	0.1525	✓	2.71
2025-09-28	oos	0.2131	0.211667	-0.67%	0.20715	-2.79%	0.2944	✓	2.84
2025-09-27	oos	0.2075	0.206074	-0.69%	0.2123	+2.31%	0.2881	✓	2.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.20955	0.207964	-0.76%	0.21945	+4.72%	0.2613	✓	2.89
2025-09-25	oos	0.1997	0.198309	-0.70%	0.22475	+12.54%	0.1666	✓	2.89
2025-09-24	oos	0.21865	0.21611	-1.16%	0.2153	-1.53%	0.1382	✓	2.94
2025-09-23	oos	0.21325	0.210739	-1.18%	0.20915	-1.92%	0.0611	✓	2.95
2025-09-22	oos	0.21845	0.215522	-1.34%	0.20345	-6.87%	0.0992	✓	2.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.2513	0.247143	-1.65%	0.2131	-15.20%	0.0721	✓	2.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.255	0.250517	-1.76%	0.2075	-18.63%	0.0361	✓	2.83
2025-09-19	oos	0.24655	0.242248	-1.74%	0.20955	-15.01%	0.0057	✓	2.83
2025-09-18	oos	0.2656	0.260704	-1.84%	0.1997	-24.81%	0.0658	✓	2.81
2025-09-17	oos	0.26805	0.262705	-1.99%	0.21865	-18.43%	0.1062	✓	2.83

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.