S

Sonic · native · gru_s3

token id: #120
symbol: S
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-06-24
predictions: 1,428

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1526

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0330

actual -0.0705

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.056345	0.049838	-11.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-20	oos	0.05751	0.05047	-12.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-19	oos	0.05861	0.050929	-13.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-18	oos	0.051685	0.045545	-11.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-17	oos	0.052695	0.046062	-12.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.054935	0.047584	-13.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-15	oos	0.055925	0.048089	-14.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.054155	0.046666	-13.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-13	oos	0.057115	0.048643	-14.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-12	oos	0.05647	0.048111	-14.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-11	oos	0.06086	0.050632	-16.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.04728	0.041278	-12.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-09	oos	0.043925	0.038514	-12.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-08	oos	0.038495	0.034408	-10.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.040855	0.036276	-11.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.043535	0.038481	-11.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-05	oos	0.043635	0.038516	-11.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.040785	0.036331	-10.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-03	oos	0.043395	0.038165	-12.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.03797	0.033813	-10.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.03865	0.034275	-11.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-30	oos	0.040745	0.035751	-12.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.037615	0.033293	-11.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.038825	0.034142	-12.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.04043	0.035333	-12.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.039945	0.034832	-12.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-25	oos	0.04142	0.035862	-13.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.04092	0.035449	-13.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04014	0.034856	-13.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.04336	0.037025	-14.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-21	oos	0.039495	0.034471	-12.72%	0.056345	+42.66%	0.5540	✗	1.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.039995	0.034108	-14.72%	0.05751	+43.79%	0.4887	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.033515	0.029932	-10.69%	0.05861	+74.88%	0.6605	✗	1.55
2026-09-18	oos	0.032415	0.02901	-10.50%	0.051685	+59.45%	0.5559	✗	1.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.027	0.025474	-5.65%	0.052695	+95.17%	0.6402	✗	1.36
2026-09-16	oos	0.025855	0.024739	-4.32%	0.054935	+112.47%	0.7066	✗	1.34
2026-09-15	oos	0.02546	0.024499	-3.78%	0.055925	+119.66%	0.7183	✗	1.29
2026-09-14	oos	0.02675	0.025675	-4.02%	0.054155	+102.45%	0.6922	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.026345	0.025407	-3.56%	0.057115	+116.80%	0.7094	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.027485	0.02635	-4.13%	0.05647	+105.46%	0.6906	✗	1.27
2026-09-11	oos	0.02702	0.026108	-3.37%	0.06086	+125.24%	0.7429	✗	1.29
2026-09-10	oos	0.02649	0.025725	-2.89%	0.04728	+78.48%	0.5062	✗	1.28
2026-09-09	oos	0.02824	0.027332	-3.22%	0.043925	+55.54%	0.4079	✗	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.02972	0.028506	-4.08%	0.038495	+29.53%	0.2498	✗	1.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.029985	0.02891	-3.58%	0.040855	+36.25%	0.2807	✗	1.26
2026-09-06	oos	0.03098	0.029909	-3.46%	0.043535	+40.53%	0.3005	✗	1.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.02983	0.029066	-2.56%	0.043635	+46.28%	0.3213	✗	1.19
2026-09-04	oos	0.02953	0.028888	-2.17%	0.040785	+38.11%	0.2501	✗	1.15
2026-09-03	oos	0.02826	0.028224	-0.13%	0.043395	+53.56%	0.3799	✗	1.20
2026-09-02	oos	0.02658	0.026229	-1.32%	0.03797	+42.85%	0.2565	✗	1.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.02764	0.027141	-1.81%	0.03865	+39.83%	0.2353	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.02777	0.027647	-0.44%	0.040745	+46.72%	0.3119	✗	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	0.02759	0.027451	-0.50%	0.037615	+36.34%	0.2242	✗	1.23
2026-08-29	oos	0.03037	0.029752	-2.03%	0.038825	+27.84%	0.1908	✗	1.17
2026-08-28	oos	0.02984	0.029431	-1.37%	0.04043	+35.49%	0.2224	✗	1.17
2026-08-27	oos	0.03047	0.031016	+1.79%	0.039945	+31.10%	0.1936	✓	1.18
2026-08-26	oos	0.03201	0.031982	-0.09%	0.04142	+29.40%	0.1838	✗	1.20
2026-08-25	oos	0.02739	0.028768	+5.03%	0.04092	+49.40%	0.2664	✓	1.19
2026-08-24	oos	0.028635	0.029775	+3.98%	0.04014	+40.18%	0.2197	✓	1.20
2026-08-23	oos	0.02816	0.028924	+2.71%	0.04336	+53.98%	0.2813	✓	1.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.02708	0.028002	+3.41%	0.039495	+45.85%	0.2051	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.02856	0.029564	+3.52%	0.039995	+40.04%	0.2604	✓	1.17
2026-08-20	oos	0.02506	0.025031	-0.12%	0.033515	+33.74%	0.1773	✗	1.07
2026-08-19	oos	0.02324	0.022641	-2.58%	0.032415	+39.48%	0.1968	✗	1.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.021375	0.020326	-4.91%	0.027	+26.32%	0.1159	✗	1.01
2026-08-17	oos	0.02184	0.020731	-5.08%	0.025855	+18.38%	0.0506	✓	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.02196	0.020699	-5.74%	0.02546	+15.94%	0.0131	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.02231	0.021015	-5.80%	0.02675	+19.90%	0.0158	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.02206	0.020822	-5.61%	0.026345	+19.42%	0.0270	✓	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.02262	0.021355	-5.59%	0.027485	+21.51%	0.0450	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.02238	0.021207	-5.24%	0.02702	+20.73%	0.0323	✓	1.07
2026-08-11	oos	0.023	0.021837	-5.06%	0.02649	+15.17%	0.0059	✓	1.07
2026-08-10	oos	0.02353	0.022392	-4.84%	0.02824	+20.02%	0.0141	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.02351	0.022531	-4.16%	0.02972	+26.41%	0.0681	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	0.02358	0.022627	-4.04%	0.029985	+27.16%	0.0643	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.02169	0.021067	-2.87%	0.03098	+42.83%	0.1478	✗	1.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.0219	0.021271	-2.87%	0.02983	+36.21%	0.0971	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.02193	0.021413	-2.36%	0.02953	+34.66%	0.0846	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.02235	0.021777	-2.57%	0.02826	+26.44%	0.0070	✓	1.12
2026-08-03	oos	0.02253	0.021884	-2.87%	0.02658	+17.98%	0.0329	✓	1.15
2026-08-02	oos	0.02177	0.021242	-2.43%	0.02764	+26.96%	0.0346	✗	1.16
2026-08-01	oos	0.0214	0.020898	-2.34%	0.02777	+29.77%	0.0258	✗	1.15
2026-07-31	oos	0.02131	0.020841	-2.20%	0.02759	+29.47%	0.0365	✗	1.15
2026-07-30	oos	0.02149	0.021188	-1.41%	0.03037	+41.32%	0.1367	✗	1.18
2026-07-29	oos	0.02114	0.020845	-1.40%	0.02984	+41.15%	0.1275	✗	1.17
2026-07-28	oos	0.02166	0.021314	-1.60%	0.03047	+40.67%	0.0921	✗	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.02165	0.021299	-1.62%	0.03201	+47.85%	0.1575	✗	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.02341	0.022998	-1.76%	0.02739	+17.00%	0.0296	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.02345	0.022985	-1.98%	0.028635	+22.11%	0.0110	✓	1.12
2026-07-24	oos	0.0234	0.022992	-1.74%	0.02816	+20.34%	0.0139	✓	1.12
2026-07-23	oos	0.02404	0.023696	-1.43%	0.02708	+12.65%	0.0562	✓	1.12
2026-07-22	oos	0.024615	0.024355	-1.06%	0.02856	+16.03%	0.0275	✓	1.10
2026-07-21	oos	0.02451	0.024317	-0.79%	0.02506	+2.24%	0.0727	✓	1.10
2026-07-20	oos	0.02515	0.02477	-1.51%	0.02324	-7.59%	0.1320	✓	1.12
2026-07-19	oos	0.02396	0.023639	-1.34%	0.021375	-10.79%	0.1007	✓	1.11
2026-07-18	oos	0.02426	0.023976	-1.17%	0.02184	-9.98%	0.0878	✓	1.12
2026-07-17	oos	0.02478	0.024416	-1.47%	0.02196	-11.38%	0.0871	✓	1.14
2026-07-16	oos	0.02491	0.024515	-1.59%	0.02231	-10.44%	0.0803	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.02547	0.025122	-1.37%	0.02206	-13.39%	0.0982	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.02549	0.025179	-1.22%	0.02262	-11.26%	0.0784	✓	1.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.02526	0.024912	-1.38%	0.02238	-11.40%	0.1300	✓	1.25
2026-07-12	oos	0.02531	0.025002	-1.22%	0.023	-9.13%	0.0793	✓	1.27
2026-07-11	oos	0.025885	0.025584	-1.16%	0.02353	-9.10%	0.0864	✓	1.27
2026-07-10	oos	0.02603	0.025761	-1.03%	0.02351	-9.68%	0.1056	✓	1.27
2026-07-09	oos	0.025275	0.025056	-0.86%	0.02358	-6.71%	0.0948	✓	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	0.02502	0.024872	-0.59%	0.02169	-13.31%	0.1895	✓	1.26
2026-07-07	oos	0.02562	0.025397	-0.87%	0.0219	-14.52%	0.1668	✓	1.26
2026-07-06	oos	0.02665	0.026342	-1.16%	0.02193	-17.71%	0.1951	✓	1.27
2026-07-05	oos	0.02718	0.02682	-1.32%	0.02235	-17.77%	0.1920	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.02669	0.026429	-0.98%	0.02253	-15.59%	0.1675	✓	1.32
2026-07-03	oos	0.02711	0.026857	-0.93%	0.02177	-19.70%	0.2300	✓	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	0.02489	0.024873	-0.07%	0.0214	-14.02%	0.1762	✓	1.25
2026-07-01	oos	0.02297	0.023091	+0.53%	0.02131	-7.23%	0.1367	✗	1.21
2026-06-30	oos	0.02269	0.022932	+1.07%	0.02149	-5.29%	0.1905	✗	1.25
2026-06-29	oos	0.02448	0.024693	+0.87%	0.02114	-13.64%	0.2287	✗	1.22
2026-06-28	oos	0.02413	0.024436	+1.27%	0.02166	-10.24%	0.2068	✗	1.21
2026-06-27	oos	0.02214	0.022476	+1.52%	0.02165	-2.21%	0.1125	✗	1.23
2026-06-26	oos	0.02018	0.020478	+1.48%	0.02341	+16.01%	0.0285	✓	1.24
2026-06-25	oos	0.02002	0.020352	+1.66%	0.02345	+17.13%	0.0502	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.02089	0.021202	+1.49%	0.0234	+12.02%	0.0379	✓	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.02376	0.023944	+0.77%	0.02404	+1.18%	0.0389	✗	1.14
2026-06-22	oos	0.025055	0.02509	+0.14%	0.024615	-1.76%	0.0560	✗	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.02697	0.026859	-0.41%	0.02451	-9.12%	0.1497	✓	1.15
2026-06-20	oos	0.02794	0.027717	-0.80%	0.02515	-9.99%	0.1146	✓	1.14
2026-06-19	oos	0.03075	0.030172	-1.88%	0.02396	-22.08%	0.2527	✓	1.18
2026-06-18	oos	0.03279	0.031907	-2.69%	0.02426	-26.01%	0.3100	✓	1.20
2026-06-17	oos	0.03205	0.03123	-2.56%	0.02478	-22.68%	0.2207	✓	1.23
2026-06-16	oos	0.03216	0.031268	-2.77%	0.02491	-22.54%	0.1921	✓	1.24
2026-06-15	oos	0.03274	0.031739	-3.06%	0.02547	-22.21%	0.1897	✓	1.27
2026-06-14	oos	0.03225	0.031363	-2.75%	0.02549	-20.96%	0.1934	✓	1.27
2026-06-13	oos	0.03076	0.030181	-1.88%	0.02526	-17.88%	0.1342	✓	1.28
2026-06-12	oos	0.03053	0.030069	-1.51%	0.02531	-17.10%	0.1764	✓	1.31
2026-06-11	oos	0.03056	0.03015	-1.34%	0.025885	-15.30%	0.1568	✓	1.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.02939	0.029289	-0.34%	0.02603	-11.43%	0.1740	✓	1.31
2026-06-09	oos	0.03161	0.031213	-1.26%	0.025275	-20.04%	0.2423	✓	1.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.02988	0.029634	-0.82%	0.02502	-16.27%	0.1513	✓	1.36
2026-06-07	oos	0.02978	0.029583	-0.66%	0.02562	-13.97%	0.1443	✓	1.36
2026-06-06	oos	0.02949	0.0295	+0.03%	0.02665	-9.63%	0.1722	✗	1.40
2026-06-05	oos	0.02964	0.029663	+0.08%	0.02718	-8.30%	0.1442	✗	1.39
2026-06-04	oos	0.03336	0.032702	-1.97%	0.02669	-19.99%	0.1882	✓	1.32
2026-06-03	oos	0.03696	0.035635	-3.58%	0.02711	-26.65%	0.2421	✓	1.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.03707	0.035641	-3.86%	0.02489	-32.86%	0.2499	✓	1.35
2026-06-01	oos	0.04034	0.038246	-5.19%	0.02297	-43.06%	0.2886	✓	1.28
2026-05-31	oos	0.03982	0.037898	-4.83%	0.02269	-43.02%	0.2110	✓	1.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.04047	0.038425	-5.05%	0.02448	-39.51%	0.1896	✓	1.28
2026-05-29	oos	0.04032	0.038412	-4.73%	0.02413	-40.15%	0.1964	✓	1.28
2026-05-28	oos	0.04035	0.03856	-4.44%	0.02214	-45.13%	0.2951	✓	1.27
2026-05-27	oos	0.04289	0.040719	-5.06%	0.02018	-52.95%	0.4355	✓	1.25
2026-05-26	oos	0.04466	0.042228	-5.45%	0.02002	-55.17%	0.4483	✓	1.25
2026-05-25	oos	0.04606	0.043434	-5.70%	0.02089	-54.65%	0.4333	✓	1.26
2026-05-24	oos	0.04541	0.042947	-5.42%	0.02376	-47.68%	0.3316	✓	1.26
2026-05-23	oos	0.04681	0.04407	-5.85%	0.025055	-46.48%	0.3393	✓	1.24
2026-05-22	oos	0.04565	0.043105	-5.58%	0.02697	-40.92%	0.2487	✓	1.25
2026-05-21	oos	0.04834	0.04535	-6.18%	0.02794	-42.20%	0.2520	✓	1.23
2026-05-20	oos	0.04456	0.042487	-4.65%	0.03075	-30.99%	0.0775	✓	1.23
2026-05-19	oos	0.04363	0.041712	-4.40%	0.03279	-24.85%	0.0039	✓	1.23
2026-05-18	oos	0.04456	0.042467	-4.70%	0.03205	-28.07%	0.0588	✓	1.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.04397	0.042025	-4.42%	0.03216	-26.86%	0.0610	✓	1.25
2026-05-16	oos	0.045505	0.043399	-4.63%	0.03274	-28.05%	0.0775	✓	1.24
2026-05-15	oos	0.04681	0.04464	-4.64%	0.03225	-31.10%	0.0936	✓	1.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.04942	0.047145	-4.60%	0.03076	-37.76%	0.1373	✓	1.26
2026-05-13	oos	0.04843	0.046025	-4.97%	0.03053	-36.96%	0.1349	✓	1.24
2026-05-12	oos	0.050295	0.048005	-4.55%	0.03056	-39.24%	0.1598	✓	1.24
2026-05-11	oos	0.05302	0.050616	-4.53%	0.02939	-44.57%	0.2226	✓	1.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.055	0.052384	-4.76%	0.03161	-42.53%	0.1841	✓	1.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.05253	0.050145	-4.54%	0.02988	-43.12%	0.2444	✓	1.11
2026-05-08	oos	0.05402	0.051193	-5.23%	0.02978	-44.87%	0.2852	✓	1.09
2026-05-07	oos	0.048855	0.047425	-2.93%	0.02949	-39.64%	0.1758	✓	1.09
2026-05-06	oos	0.04883	0.047961	-1.78%	0.02964	-39.30%	0.1674	✓	1.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.04528	0.044786	-1.09%	0.03336	-26.33%	0.0558	✓	1.01
2026-05-04	oos	0.04434	0.043673	-1.50%	0.03696	-16.64%	0.0564	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.0437	0.042785	-2.09%	0.03707	-15.17%	0.0227	✗	1.01
2026-05-02	oos	0.04378	0.042957	-1.88%	0.04034	-7.86%	0.0374	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.04408	0.043228	-1.93%	0.03982	-9.66%	0.0191	✓	1.03
2026-04-30	oos	0.04319	0.041836	-3.13%	0.04047	-6.30%	0.0039	✓	1.10
2026-04-29	oos	0.045185	0.043223	-4.34%	0.04032	-10.77%	0.0342	✓	1.10
2026-04-28	oos	0.04602	0.044099	-4.18%	0.04035	-12.32%	0.0465	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.04557	0.044097	-3.23%	0.04289	-5.88%	0.0178	✓	1.13
2026-04-26	oos	0.04674	0.045597	-2.44%	0.04466	-4.45%	0.0210	✓	1.13
2026-04-25	oos	0.04619	0.044865	-2.87%	0.04606	-0.28%	0.0322	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.04634	0.044927	-3.05%	0.04541	-2.01%	0.0179	✓	1.14
2026-04-23	oos	0.04397	0.04334	-1.43%	0.04681	+6.46%	0.1012	✗	1.15
2026-04-22	oos	0.04344	0.042776	-1.53%	0.04565	+5.09%	0.1063	✗	1.15
2026-04-21	oos	0.04306	0.041691	-3.18%	0.04834	+12.26%	0.1300	✗	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.04319	0.04161	-3.66%	0.04456	+3.17%	0.0442	✗	1.16
2026-04-19	oos	0.041505	0.039643	-4.49%	0.04363	+5.12%	0.0504	✗	1.16
2026-04-18	oos	0.0428	0.041376	-3.33%	0.04456	+4.11%	0.0558	✗	1.16
2026-04-17	oos	0.04703	0.045272	-3.74%	0.04397	-6.51%	0.0338	✓	1.15
2026-04-16	oos	0.046245	0.043833	-5.22%	0.045505	-1.60%	0.0070	✓	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	0.04265	0.04086	-4.20%	0.04681	+9.75%	0.0728	✗	1.15
2026-04-14	oos	0.04094	0.039244	-4.14%	0.04942	+20.71%	0.1283	✗	1.15
2026-04-13	oos	0.042885	0.040925	-4.57%	0.04843	+12.93%	0.0965	✗	1.14
2026-04-12	oos	0.040445	0.038141	-5.70%	0.050295	+24.35%	0.1270	✗	1.16
2026-04-11	oos	0.04206	0.039816	-5.33%	0.05302	+26.06%	0.1568	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.042265	0.040145	-5.02%	0.055	+30.13%	0.1772	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.04152	0.039432	-5.03%	0.05253	+26.52%	0.1521	✗	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.04137	0.039294	-5.02%	0.05402	+30.58%	0.1787	✗	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	0.04404	0.041659	-5.41%	0.048855	+10.93%	0.0362	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.04032	0.038264	-5.10%	0.04883	+21.11%	0.0529	✗	1.14
2026-04-05	oos	0.04081	0.03873	-5.10%	0.04528	+10.95%	0.0248	✓	1.14
2026-04-04	oos	0.04169	0.039421	-5.44%	0.04434	+6.36%	0.0817	✓	1.16
2026-04-03	oos	0.04201	0.039762	-5.35%	0.0437	+4.02%	0.0940	✓	1.18
2026-04-02	oos	0.04181	0.03962	-5.24%	0.04378	+4.71%	0.0915	✓	1.18
2026-04-01	oos	0.04561	0.042761	-6.25%	0.04408	-3.35%	0.1317	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.04091	0.039015	-4.63%	0.04319	+5.57%	0.0308	✓	1.18
2026-03-30	oos	0.04012	0.038328	-4.47%	0.045185	+12.62%	0.0143	✓	1.19
2026-03-29	oos	0.03984	0.038133	-4.29%	0.04602	+15.51%	0.0144	✓	1.19
2026-03-28	oos	0.04111	0.039272	-4.47%	0.04557	+10.85%	0.0347	✓	1.19
2026-03-27	oos	0.040245	0.03857	-4.16%	0.04674	+16.14%	0.0106	✓	1.19
2026-03-26	oos	0.04215	0.040291	-4.41%	0.04619	+9.58%	0.0087	✓	1.20
2026-03-25	oos	0.04345	0.041495	-4.50%	0.04634	+6.65%	0.0107	✓	1.20
2026-03-24	oos	0.04358	0.041618	-4.50%	0.04397	+0.89%	0.0708	✓	1.21
2026-03-23	oos	0.04382	0.041813	-4.58%	0.04344	-0.87%	0.0810	✓	1.21
2026-03-22	oos	0.04206	0.040211	-4.40%	0.04306	+2.38%	0.0753	✓	1.22
2026-03-21	oos	0.04309	0.041096	-4.63%	0.04319	+0.23%	0.0673	✓	1.22
2026-03-20	oos	0.04452	0.042336	-4.91%	0.041505	-6.77%	0.0758	✓	1.21
2026-03-19	oos	0.04455	0.042433	-4.75%	0.0428	-3.93%	0.0884	✓	1.21
2026-03-18	oos	0.045045	0.042999	-4.54%	0.04703	+4.41%	0.0073	✓	1.23
2026-03-17	oos	0.0492	0.046839	-4.80%	0.046245	-6.01%	0.0328	✓	1.21
2026-03-16	oos	0.04974	0.047582	-4.34%	0.04265	-14.25%	0.1086	✓	1.22
2026-03-15	oos	0.04646	0.04477	-3.64%	0.04094	-11.88%	0.1115	✓	1.20
2026-03-14	oos	0.04366	0.042298	-3.12%	0.042885	-1.78%	0.0390	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.04252	0.041486	-2.43%	0.040445	-4.88%	0.0222	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.042775	0.041704	-2.50%	0.04206	-1.67%	0.0342	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.04183	0.040935	-2.14%	0.042265	+1.04%	0.0148	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.04131	0.040645	-1.61%	0.04152	+0.51%	0.0097	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.04007	0.039601	-1.17%	0.04137	+3.24%	0.0018	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.038575	0.038281	-0.76%	0.04404	+14.17%	0.0370	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.03863	0.038309	-0.83%	0.04032	+4.37%	0.0229	✗	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03965	0.039354	-0.75%	0.04081	+2.93%	0.0207	✗	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.04146	0.041054	-0.98%	0.04169	+0.55%	0.0779	✗	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.04239	0.04196	-1.01%	0.04201	-0.90%	0.1004	✗	1.21
2026-03-03	oos	0.04104	0.040791	-0.61%	0.04181	+1.88%	0.0512	✗	1.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.0404	0.040201	-0.49%	0.04561	+12.90%	0.1393	✗	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.039275	0.039255	-0.05%	0.04091	+4.16%	0.0052	✓	1.27
2026-02-28	oos	0.04006	0.039972	-0.22%	0.04012	+0.15%	0.0081	✗	1.29
2026-02-27	oos	0.03994	0.039836	-0.26%	0.03984	-0.25%	0.0018	✓	1.29
2026-02-26	oos	0.04056	0.040357	-0.50%	0.04111	+1.36%	0.0412	✗	1.30
2026-02-25	oos	0.042635	0.042246	-0.91%	0.040245	-5.61%	0.0169	✓	1.29
2026-02-24	oos	0.03908	0.039085	+0.01%	0.04215	+7.86%	0.0150	✗	1.28
2026-02-23	oos	0.03971	0.039639	-0.18%	0.04345	+9.42%	0.0316	✓	1.25
2026-02-22	oos	0.04125	0.040919	-0.80%	0.04358	+5.65%	0.0095	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.04306	0.042537	-1.21%	0.04382	+1.76%	0.0241	✓	1.28
2026-02-20	oos	0.04351	0.042911	-1.38%	0.04206	-3.33%	0.0174	✓	1.27
2026-02-19	oos	0.04279	0.04232	-1.10%	0.04309	+0.70%	0.0182	✓	1.27
2026-02-18	oos	0.04403	0.043465	-1.28%	0.04452	+1.11%	0.0525	✓	1.28
2026-02-17	oos	0.048645	0.047426	-2.51%	0.04455	-8.42%	0.1074	✓	1.26
2026-02-16	oos	0.04907	0.047767	-2.66%	0.045045	-8.20%	0.1017	✓	1.26
2026-02-15	oos	0.04802	0.046974	-2.18%	0.0492	+2.46%	0.0449	✓	1.26
2026-02-14	oos	0.05037	0.048854	-3.01%	0.04974	-1.25%	0.0712	✓	1.26
2026-02-13	oos	0.04599	0.045407	-1.27%	0.04646	+1.02%	0.0480	✓	1.25
2026-02-12	oos	0.04486	0.044747	-0.25%	0.04366	-2.67%	0.1167	✓	1.26
2026-02-11	oos	0.04543	0.045171	-0.57%	0.04252	-6.41%	0.1310	✓	1.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.040455	0.040624	+0.42%	0.042775	+5.73%	0.0197	✓	1.29
2026-02-09	oos	0.04113	0.041308	+0.43%	0.04183	+1.70%	0.0106	✓	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.0421	0.042356	+0.61%	0.04131	-1.88%	0.0191	✗	1.30
2026-02-07	oos	0.045525	0.045635	+0.24%	0.04007	-11.98%	0.1146	✗	1.31
2026-02-06	oos	0.047525	0.047427	-0.21%	0.038575	-18.83%	0.1215	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.04218	0.04291	+1.73%	0.03863	-8.42%	0.1952	✗	1.31
2026-02-04	oos	0.04777	0.04756	-0.44%	0.03965	-17.00%	0.0611	✓	1.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.05052	0.049968	-1.09%	0.04146	-17.93%	0.0738	✓	1.73
2026-02-02	oos	0.052515	0.051692	-1.57%	0.04239	-19.28%	0.0609	✓	1.74
2026-02-01	oos	0.04984	0.049545	-0.59%	0.04104	-17.66%	0.0009	✓	1.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.05228	0.051953	-0.63%	0.0404	-22.72%	0.0303	✓	1.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.06154	0.060275	-2.06%	0.039275	-36.18%	0.0398	✓	1.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.061395	0.060296	-1.79%	0.04006	-34.75%	0.0397	✓	1.59
2026-01-28	oos	0.06854	0.067259	-1.87%	0.03994	-41.73%	0.0558	✓	1.54
2026-01-27	oos	0.06747	0.066373	-1.63%	0.04056	-39.88%	0.0586	✓	1.56
2026-01-26	oos	0.06747	0.066258	-1.80%	0.042635	-36.81%	0.0381	✓	1.54
2026-01-25	oos	0.06591	0.064795	-1.69%	0.03908	-40.71%	0.0400	✓	1.55
2026-01-24	oos	0.070225	0.068687	-2.19%	0.03971	-43.45%	0.0540	✓	1.54
2026-01-23	oos	0.07085	0.069353	-2.11%	0.04125	-41.78%	0.0857	✓	1.55
2026-01-22	oos	0.07213	0.070286	-2.56%	0.04306	-40.30%	0.0636	✓	1.55
2026-01-21	oos	0.07287	0.071017	-2.54%	0.04351	-40.29%	0.0653	✓	1.55
2026-01-20	oos	0.07088	0.069048	-2.58%	0.04279	-39.63%	0.0528	✓	1.54
2026-01-19	oos	0.07668	0.074557	-2.77%	0.04403	-42.58%	0.0156	✓	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.0772	0.075003	-2.85%	0.048645	-36.99%	0.0757	✗	1.55
2026-01-17	oos	0.08104	0.078215	-3.49%	0.04907	-39.45%	0.0271	✓	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.08223	0.079008	-3.92%	0.04802	-41.60%	0.0039	✓	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.08222	0.078646	-4.35%	0.05037	-38.74%	0.0359	✓	1.53
2026-01-14	oos	0.086885	0.083205	-4.24%	0.04599	-47.07%	0.0683	✓	1.53
2026-01-13	oos	0.08951	0.084874	-5.18%	0.04486	-49.88%	0.0708	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.08172	0.076727	-6.11%	0.04543	-44.41%	0.0533	✓	1.53
2026-01-11	oos	0.08444	0.078877	-6.59%	0.040455	-52.09%	0.2381	✓	1.54
2026-01-10	oos	0.08494	0.079009	-6.98%	0.04113	-51.58%	0.2575	✓	1.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.08794	0.081572	-7.24%	0.0421	-52.13%	0.2559	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.089465	0.082783	-7.47%	0.045525	-49.11%	0.1657	✓	1.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.09185	0.084668	-7.82%	0.047525	-48.26%	0.0331	✓	2.11
2026-01-06	oos	0.09761	0.089827	-7.97%	0.04218	-56.79%	0.0902	✗	2.11
2026-01-05	oos	0.097	0.089176	-8.07%	0.04777	-50.75%	0.1010	✓	2.08
2026-01-04	oos	0.09157	0.084185	-8.06%	0.05052	-44.83%	0.1294	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.08263	0.076779	-7.08%	0.052515	-36.45%	0.1001	✓	1.98
2026-01-02	oos	0.08252	0.076646	-7.12%	0.04984	-39.60%	0.1202	✓	1.98
2026-01-01	oos	0.08058	0.075049	-6.86%	0.05228	-35.12%	0.1232	✓	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.07379	0.069605	-5.67%	0.06154	-16.60%	0.0465	✓	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.076875	0.072108	-6.20%	0.061395	-20.14%	0.0744	✓	1.92
2025-12-29	oos	0.0747	0.070474	-5.66%	0.06854	-8.25%	0.0734	✓	1.96
2025-12-28	oos	0.07763	0.072828	-6.19%	0.06747	-13.09%	0.1038	✓	1.96
2025-12-27	oos	0.0772	0.072558	-6.01%	0.06747	-12.60%	0.0825	✓	1.94
2025-12-26	oos	0.07268	0.06896	-5.12%	0.06591	-9.31%	0.0289	✓	1.93
2025-12-25	oos	0.0713	0.067919	-4.74%	0.070225	-1.51%	0.0085	✓	1.93
2025-12-24	oos	0.07579	0.071758	-5.32%	0.07085	-6.52%	0.0535	✓	1.94
2025-12-23	oos	0.07128	0.068198	-4.32%	0.07213	+1.19%	0.0116	✓	1.93
2025-12-22	oos	0.07369	0.070212	-4.72%	0.07287	-1.11%	0.0197	✓	1.92
2025-12-21	oos	0.075515	0.071915	-4.77%	0.07088	-6.14%	0.0074	✓	1.92
2025-12-20	oos	0.07844	0.07466	-4.82%	0.07668	-2.24%	0.0650	✓	1.96
2025-12-19	oos	0.07941	0.075865	-4.46%	0.0772	-2.78%	0.1021	✓	1.96
2025-12-18	oos	0.07469	0.072306	-3.19%	0.08104	+8.50%	0.0946	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.07879	0.076006	-3.53%	0.08223	+4.37%	0.1208	✓	1.95
2025-12-16	oos	0.08329	0.080002	-3.95%	0.08222	-1.28%	0.1368	✓	1.95
2025-12-15	oos	0.08304	0.080037	-3.62%	0.086885	+4.63%	0.1429	✓	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.08731	0.083847	-3.97%	0.08951	+2.52%	0.0882	✓	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.0917	0.087801	-4.25%	0.08172	-10.88%	0.0919	✓	1.95
2025-12-12	oos	0.0907	0.087201	-3.86%	0.08444	-6.90%	0.0450	✓	1.95
2025-12-11	oos	0.09442	0.090794	-3.84%	0.08494	-10.04%	0.0201	✓	1.96
2025-12-10	oos	0.0953	0.091683	-3.79%	0.08794	-7.72%	0.0089	✓	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.09869	0.09484	-3.90%	0.089465	-9.35%	0.0227	✓	1.97
2025-12-08	oos	0.09609	0.092532	-3.70%	0.09185	-4.41%	0.0208	✓	1.94
2025-12-07	oos	0.09203	0.089067	-3.22%	0.09761	+6.06%	0.0218	✓	1.94
2025-12-06	oos	0.09565	0.092464	-3.33%	0.097	+1.41%	0.0505	✓	1.96
2025-12-05	oos	0.09574	0.092882	-2.99%	0.09157	-4.36%	0.0608	✓	1.96
2025-12-04	oos	0.10124	0.097574	-3.62%	0.08263	-18.38%	0.1340	✓	1.97
2025-12-03	oos	0.10517	0.101107	-3.86%	0.08252	-21.54%	0.1281	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.10324	0.099581	-3.54%	0.08058	-21.95%	0.1552	✓	1.98
2025-12-01	oos	0.09531	0.093301	-2.11%	0.07379	-22.58%	0.2628	✓	2.02
2025-11-30	oos	0.10465	0.101242	-3.26%	0.076875	-26.54%	0.2306	✓	2.03
2025-11-29	oos	0.10764	0.104219	-3.18%	0.0747	-30.60%	0.2490	✓	2.01
2025-11-28	oos	0.11083	0.106992	-3.46%	0.07763	-29.96%	0.2527	✓	2.01
2025-11-27	oos	0.11165	0.107455	-3.76%	0.0772	-30.86%	0.2518	✓	2.01
2025-11-26	oos	0.11204	0.108176	-3.45%	0.07268	-35.13%	0.3269	✓	1.98
2025-11-25	oos	0.11271	0.109059	-3.24%	0.0713	-36.74%	0.4214	✓	2.06
2025-11-24	oos	0.11139	0.107704	-3.31%	0.07579	-31.96%	0.3359	✓	2.07
2025-11-23	oos	0.10407	0.101864	-2.12%	0.07128	-31.51%	0.3717	✓	2.06
2025-11-22	oos	0.10432	0.102641	-1.61%	0.07369	-29.36%	0.4263	✓	2.12
2025-11-21	oos	0.10554	0.103689	-1.75%	0.075515	-28.45%	0.4039	✓	2.11
2025-11-20	oos	0.11425	0.110839	-2.99%	0.07844	-31.34%	0.3886	✓	2.09
2025-11-19	oos	0.1208	0.115086	-4.73%	0.07941	-34.26%	0.2886	✓	2.20
2025-11-18	oos	0.123815	0.117156	-5.38%	0.07469	-39.68%	0.2665	✓	2.20
2025-11-17	oos	0.11994	0.113977	-4.97%	0.07879	-34.31%	0.2226	✓	2.22
2025-11-16	oos	0.12583	0.118429	-5.88%	0.08329	-33.81%	0.1973	✓	2.22
2025-11-15	oos	0.13222	0.123306	-6.74%	0.08304	-37.20%	0.1729	✓	2.22
2025-11-14	oos	0.1312	0.122768	-6.43%	0.08731	-33.45%	0.1865	✓	2.22
2025-11-13	oos	0.13693	0.126261	-7.79%	0.0917	-33.03%	0.0885	✓	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.14172	0.129899	-8.34%	0.0907	-36.00%	0.0803	✓	2.35
2025-11-11	oos	0.14019	0.128781	-8.14%	0.09442	-32.65%	0.0590	✓	2.35
2025-11-10	oos	0.15163	0.138644	-8.56%	0.0953	-37.15%	0.0466	✓	2.33
2025-11-09	oos	0.15409	0.141313	-8.29%	0.09869	-35.95%	0.0725	✓	2.35
2025-11-08	oos	0.16684	0.151013	-9.49%	0.09609	-42.41%	0.1565	✓	2.45
2025-11-07	oos	0.16628	0.151304	-9.01%	0.09203	-44.65%	0.1772	✓	2.40
2025-11-06	oos	0.12409	0.118445	-4.55%	0.09565	-22.92%	0.0706	✗	2.25
2025-11-05	oos	0.12541	0.119638	-4.60%	0.09574	-23.66%	0.1207	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.12529	0.120545	-3.79%	0.10124	-19.20%	0.0527	✗	2.34
2025-11-03	oos	0.1221	0.117579	-3.70%	0.10517	-13.87%	0.2245	✗	2.56
2025-11-02	oos	0.14051	0.135305	-3.70%	0.10324	-26.52%	0.2131	✗	2.53
2025-11-01	oos	0.142825	0.138208	-3.23%	0.09531	-33.27%	0.2452	✗	2.54
2025-10-31	oos	0.137605	0.134024	-2.60%	0.10465	-23.95%	0.2404	✗	2.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.143925	0.139922	-2.78%	0.10764	-25.21%	0.1888	✗	2.56
2025-10-29	oos	0.15944	0.155305	-2.59%	0.11083	-30.49%	0.1409	✗	2.50
2025-10-28	oos	0.16166	0.158944	-1.68%	0.11165	-30.94%	0.1860	✗	2.54
2025-10-27	oos	0.16729	0.164865	-1.45%	0.11204	-33.03%	0.2028	✗	2.54
2025-10-26	oos	0.174865	0.171778	-1.77%	0.11271	-35.54%	0.2669	✗	2.54
2025-10-25	oos	0.16693	0.164239	-1.61%	0.11139	-33.27%	0.2135	✗	2.56
2025-10-24	oos	0.165915	0.163959	-1.18%	0.10407	-37.28%	0.1736	✗	2.55
2025-10-23	oos	0.16373	0.161868	-1.14%	0.10432	-36.29%	0.2309	✗	2.55
2025-10-22	oos	0.16071	0.158771	-1.21%	0.10554	-34.33%	0.1957	✗	2.57
2025-10-21	oos	0.165255	0.162344	-1.76%	0.11425	-30.86%	0.2277	✗	2.57
2025-10-20	oos	0.174005	0.169337	-2.68%	0.1208	-30.58%	0.1558	✗	2.60
2025-10-19	oos	0.1764	0.171156	-2.97%	0.123815	-29.81%	0.0786	✗	2.57
2025-10-18	oos	0.172865	0.168165	-2.72%	0.11994	-30.62%	0.0528	✗	2.57
2025-10-17	oos	0.171525	0.167186	-2.53%	0.12583	-26.64%	0.0305	✗	2.57
2025-10-16	oos	0.181	0.174413	-3.64%	0.13222	-26.95%	0.0420	✗	2.56
2025-10-15	oos	0.18851	0.179659	-4.70%	0.1312	-30.40%	0.0953	✗	2.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.20075	0.190552	-5.08%	0.13693	-31.79%	0.0049	✓	2.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.21232	0.201097	-5.29%	0.14172	-33.25%	0.0250	✓	2.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.19667	0.186627	-5.11%	0.14019	-28.72%	0.0063	✓	2.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.17866	0.170914	-4.34%	0.15163	-15.13%	0.0088	✓	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	0.1768	0.165916	-6.16%	0.15409	-12.85%	0.1212	✗	2.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.27329	0.260889	-4.54%	0.16684	-38.95%	0.1492	✓	1.71
2025-10-08	oos	0.28482	0.274171	-3.74%	0.16628	-41.62%	0.1958	✓	1.71
2025-10-07	oos	0.297305	0.282717	-4.91%	0.12409	-58.26%	0.5041	✓	1.76
2025-10-06	oos	0.2814	0.273717	-2.73%	0.12541	-55.43%	0.4293	✓	1.92
2025-10-05	oos	0.27518	0.267755	-2.70%	0.12529	-54.47%	0.3832	✓	1.91
2025-10-04	oos	0.27814	0.268859	-3.34%	0.1221	-56.10%	0.5225	✓	1.92
2025-10-03	oos	0.28135	0.271979	-3.33%	0.14051	-50.06%	0.4662	✓	1.92
2025-10-02	oos	0.27842	0.268575	-3.54%	0.142825	-48.70%	0.4550	✓	1.93
2025-10-01	oos	0.28123	0.26916	-4.29%	0.137605	-51.07%	0.5132	✓	1.98
2025-09-30	oos	0.25245	0.242081	-4.11%	0.143925	-42.99%	0.4207	✓	1.92
2025-09-29	oos	0.24691	0.237075	-3.98%	0.15944	-35.43%	0.3212	✓	1.96
2025-09-28	oos	0.246095	0.234541	-4.69%	0.16166	-34.31%	0.3847	✓	2.00
2025-09-27	oos	0.236765	0.226241	-4.44%	0.16729	-29.34%	0.3808	✓	2.01
2025-09-26	oos	0.2391	0.228665	-4.36%	0.174865	-26.87%	0.3557	✓	2.02
2025-09-25	oos	0.2298	0.220661	-3.98%	0.16693	-27.36%	0.3270	✓	2.01
2025-09-24	oos	0.25036	0.239248	-4.44%	0.165915	-33.73%	0.3248	✓	2.01
2025-09-23	oos	0.255405	0.243591	-4.63%	0.16373	-35.89%	0.3625	✓	2.03
2025-09-22	oos	0.249745	0.239019	-4.29%	0.16071	-35.65%	0.3050	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	0.285965	0.270448	-5.43%	0.165255	-42.21%	0.3775	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.28919	0.273333	-5.48%	0.174005	-39.83%	0.3664	✓	1.86
2025-09-19	oos	0.296955	0.27936	-5.93%	0.1764	-40.60%	0.3435	✓	1.86
2025-09-18	oos	0.31025	0.290308	-6.43%	0.172865	-44.28%	0.3552	✓	1.85
2025-09-17	oos	0.30842	0.287824	-6.68%	0.171525	-44.39%	0.3515	✓	1.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.