RE
RE · Ethereum · gru_s3
- token id
- #279
- symbol
- RE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-18
- predictions
- 351
Track record at +1d
assessed
116
of 117 predictions shown
direction hit
56.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0458
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0064
actual -0.0094
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.39085 | 0.389239 | -0.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3878 | 0.386328 | -0.38% | 0.39085 | +0.79% | 0.0144 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.38025 | 0.378836 | -0.37% | 0.3878 | +1.99% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3807 | 0.379235 | -0.38% | 0.38025 | -0.12% | 0.0045 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.3939 | 0.392089 | -0.46% | 0.3807 | -3.35% | 0.0364 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4072 | 0.405356 | -0.45% | 0.3939 | -3.27% | 0.0274 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.41905 | 0.416912 | -0.51% | 0.4072 | -2.83% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.42225 | 0.42017 | -0.49% | 0.41905 | -0.76% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.43205 | 0.429809 | -0.52% | 0.42225 | -2.27% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.42635 | 0.424066 | -0.54% | 0.43205 | +1.34% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.44755 | 0.44481 | -0.61% | 0.42635 | -4.74% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.4449 | 0.442066 | -0.64% | 0.44755 | +0.60% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.4408 | 0.437958 | -0.64% | 0.4449 | +0.93% | 0.0121 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.4381 | 0.435026 | -0.70% | 0.4408 | +0.62% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.4626 | 0.459097 | -0.76% | 0.4381 | -5.30% | 0.0317 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.4822 | 0.478238 | -0.82% | 0.4626 | -4.06% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.5048 | 0.499911 | -0.97% | 0.4822 | -4.48% | 0.0342 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.5176 | 0.512662 | -0.95% | 0.5048 | -2.47% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.50915 | 0.504415 | -0.93% | 0.5176 | +1.66% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5062 | 0.501604 | -0.91% | 0.50915 | +0.58% | 0.0127 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.5149 | 0.509714 | -1.01% | 0.5062 | -1.69% | 0.0037 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.477713 | -0.79% | 0.5149 | +6.94% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.47595 | 0.471693 | -0.89% | 0.4815 | +1.17% | 0.0214 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.46175 | 0.458364 | -0.73% | 0.47595 | +3.08% | 0.0360 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.4892 | 0.484917 | -0.88% | 0.46175 | -5.61% | 0.0386 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.49105 | 0.486829 | -0.86% | 0.4892 | -0.38% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.47765 | 0.473902 | -0.78% | 0.49105 | +2.81% | 0.0319 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.4691 | 0.465604 | -0.75% | 0.47765 | +1.82% | 0.0288 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.4464 | 0.443249 | -0.71% | 0.4691 | +5.09% | 0.0566 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.4724 | 0.46881 | -0.76% | 0.4464 | -5.50% | 0.0281 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.46815 | 0.464979 | -0.68% | 0.4724 | +0.91% | 0.0210 | ✗ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.45915 | 0.456224 | -0.64% | 0.46815 | +1.96% | 0.0535 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.46645 | 0.46329 | -0.68% | 0.45915 | -1.57% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.459 | 0.456138 | -0.62% | 0.46645 | +1.62% | 0.0168 | ✗ | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.444 | 0.441786 | -0.50% | 0.459 | +3.38% | 0.0383 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.44075 | 0.438573 | -0.49% | 0.444 | +0.74% | 0.0083 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.41745 | 0.416266 | -0.28% | 0.44075 | +5.58% | 0.0462 | ✗ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.4368 | 0.435279 | -0.35% | 0.41745 | -4.43% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.4253 | 0.424386 | -0.21% | 0.4368 | +2.70% | 0.0024 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.4416 | 0.440401 | -0.27% | 0.4253 | -3.69% | 0.0260 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.4528 | 0.451381 | -0.31% | 0.4416 | -2.47% | 0.0229 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.4323 | 0.431599 | -0.16% | 0.4528 | +4.74% | 0.0351 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4244 | 0.424468 | +0.02% | 0.4323 | +1.86% | 0.0526 | ✓ | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.45435 | 0.453546 | -0.18% | 0.4244 | -6.59% | 0.0633 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.462 | 0.461145 | -0.19% | 0.45435 | -1.66% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4594 | 0.458945 | -0.10% | 0.462 | +0.57% | 0.0306 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4504 | 0.450219 | -0.04% | 0.4594 | +2.00% | 0.0105 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.4372 | 0.437424 | +0.05% | 0.4504 | +3.02% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4678 | 0.46744 | -0.08% | 0.4372 | -6.54% | 0.0372 | ✓ | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4633 | 0.462046 | -0.27% | 0.4678 | +0.97% | 0.0680 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.4791 | 0.477311 | -0.37% | 0.4633 | -3.30% | 0.0279 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.489 | 0.487004 | -0.41% | 0.4791 | -2.02% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.4687 | 0.466857 | -0.39% | 0.489 | +4.33% | 0.0279 | ✗ | 1.60 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.4914 | 0.489038 | -0.48% | 0.4687 | -4.62% | 0.0309 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.51565 | 0.512791 | -0.55% | 0.4914 | -4.70% | 0.0507 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.5365 | 0.533486 | -0.56% | 0.51565 | -3.89% | 0.0156 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.5266 | 0.523655 | -0.56% | 0.5365 | +1.88% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.5521 | 0.548438 | -0.66% | 0.5266 | -4.62% | 0.0509 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.53905 | 0.535863 | -0.59% | 0.5521 | +2.42% | 0.0393 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.5417 | 0.53824 | -0.64% | 0.53905 | -0.49% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.5018 | 0.49928 | -0.50% | 0.5417 | +7.95% | 0.0673 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.5242 | 0.520971 | -0.62% | 0.5018 | -4.27% | 0.0110 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.51015 | 0.506383 | -0.74% | 0.5242 | +2.75% | 0.0991 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.5374 | 0.52887 | -1.59% | 0.51015 | -5.07% | 0.1578 | ✓ | 2.33 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.3976 | 0.395068 | -0.64% | 0.5374 | +35.16% | 0.1981 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.4054 | 0.40274 | -0.66% | 0.3976 | -1.92% | 0.0179 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.4192 | 0.416153 | -0.73% | 0.4054 | -3.29% | 0.0712 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.4616 | 0.457578 | -0.87% | 0.4192 | -9.19% | 0.0826 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4469 | 0.443076 | -0.86% | 0.4616 | +3.29% | 0.0398 | ✗ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44 | 0.435903 | -0.93% | 0.4469 | +1.57% | 0.0373 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.4319 | 0.428082 | -0.88% | 0.44 | +1.88% | 0.0271 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.41915 | 0.415531 | -0.86% | 0.4319 | +3.04% | 0.0419 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.4086 | 0.405065 | -0.87% | 0.41915 | +2.58% | 0.0447 | ✗ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.40445 | 0.401015 | -0.85% | 0.4086 | +1.03% | 0.0451 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.4089 | 0.404852 | -0.99% | 0.40445 | -1.09% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.38965 | 0.386466 | -0.82% | 0.4089 | +4.94% | 0.0560 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.39565 | 0.392251 | -0.86% | 0.38965 | -1.52% | 0.0244 | ✓ | 1.84 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.38465 | 0.38153 | -0.81% | 0.39565 | +2.86% | 0.0460 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.385 | 0.38199 | -0.78% | 0.38465 | -0.09% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.40515 | 0.401717 | -0.85% | 0.385 | -4.97% | 0.0600 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.4209 | 0.417127 | -0.90% | 0.40515 | -3.74% | 0.0281 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.4414 | 0.437232 | -0.94% | 0.4209 | -4.64% | 0.0611 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.43796 | -0.94% | 0.4414 | -0.16% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.44585 | 0.441475 | -0.98% | 0.4421 | -0.84% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.496 | 0.489162 | -1.38% | 0.44585 | -10.11% | 0.1220 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.4515 | 0.446975 | -1.00% | 0.496 | +9.86% | 0.1023 | ✗ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.44995 | 0.445881 | -0.90% | 0.4515 | +0.34% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.476666 | -1.00% | 0.44995 | -6.55% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 2.25 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.5458 | 0.538283 | -1.38% | 0.4815 | -11.78% | 0.1521 | ✓ | 2.52 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.5818 | 0.570573 | -1.93% | 0.5458 | -6.19% | 0.0528 | ✓ | 2.54 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.5535 | 0.543624 | -1.78% | 0.5818 | +5.11% | 0.1080 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.4747 | 0.46741 | -1.54% | 0.5535 | +16.60% | 0.2172 | ✗ | 3.05 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.394426 | -0.25% | 0.4747 | +20.06% | 0.2062 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.375 | 0.375177 | +0.05% | 0.3954 | +5.44% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.3923 | 0.392234 | -0.02% | 0.375 | -4.41% | 0.0719 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.395531 | +0.03% | 0.3923 | -0.78% | 0.0024 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.4476 | 0.446624 | -0.22% | 0.3954 | -11.66% | 0.1358 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.4905 | 0.488635 | -0.38% | 0.4476 | -8.75% | 0.0896 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.4868 | 0.48513 | -0.34% | 0.4905 | +0.76% | 0.0257 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.5268 | 0.524421 | -0.45% | 0.4868 | -7.59% | 0.0702 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.5264 | 0.524267 | -0.41% | 0.5268 | +0.08% | 0.0380 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.55705 | 0.554441 | -0.47% | 0.5264 | -5.50% | 0.0285 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.5811 | 0.578188 | -0.50% | 0.55705 | -4.14% | 0.0367 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.57485 | 0.57216 | -0.47% | 0.5811 | +1.09% | 0.0211 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.5845 | 0.581823 | -0.46% | 0.57485 | -1.65% | 0.0270 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.603 | 0.600167 | -0.47% | 0.5845 | -3.07% | 0.0414 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.6298 | 0.626562 | -0.51% | 0.603 | -4.26% | 0.0210 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.6573 | 0.653639 | -0.56% | 0.6298 | -4.18% | 0.0265 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.6457 | 0.642164 | -0.55% | 0.6573 | +1.80% | 0.0167 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.6332 | 0.629868 | -0.53% | 0.6457 | +1.97% | 0.0170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.6217 | 0.618558 | -0.51% | 0.6332 | +1.85% | 0.0144 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.6877 | 0.683207 | -0.65% | 0.6217 | -9.60% | 0.1111 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.5835 | 0.580989 | -0.43% | 0.6877 | +17.86% | 0.1435 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.6483 | 0.645139 | -0.49% | 0.5835 | -10.00% | 0.1247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.7829 | 0.775174 | -0.99% | 0.6483 | -17.19% | 0.1511 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.6058 | 0.602763 | -0.50% | 0.7829 | +29.23% | 0.2500 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.6924 | 0.687715 | -0.68% | 0.6058 | -12.51% | 0.1191 | ✓ | 1.00 |