PIVX

PIVX · native · gru_s3

token id: #982
symbol: PIVX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-03
predictions: 2,472

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3748

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0437

actual -0.0793

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.046063	0.041243	-10.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2026-10-20	oos	0.044303	0.039727	-10.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-19	oos	0.038908	0.035525	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-18	oos	0.040121	0.0365	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.041976	0.037956	-9.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-16	oos	0.04214	0.038061	-9.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-15	oos	0.040984	0.037102	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-10-14	oos	0.042723	0.038429	-10.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.22
2026-10-13	oos	0.048539	0.042972	-11.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.048982	0.043176	-11.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-11	oos	0.051192	0.044833	-12.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2026-10-10	oos	0.055342	0.047833	-13.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-09	oos	0.047817	0.041781	-12.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.048636	0.042269	-13.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.051425	0.044361	-13.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.063034	0.053309	-15.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.064795	0.054108	-16.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-04	oos	0.048757	0.041944	-13.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.10
2026-10-03	oos	0.063282	0.052887	-16.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.07724	0.062552	-19.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.065312	0.053705	-17.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.06345	0.051839	-18.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-29	oos	0.057817	0.047414	-17.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-09-28	oos	0.039594	0.033567	-15.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.020089	0.017793	-11.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-26	oos	0.019153	0.016952	-11.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.019801	0.017519	-11.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.70
2026-09-24	oos	0.017977	0.015906	-11.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	0.018474	0.016331	-11.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.018867	0.016581	-12.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-21	oos	0.022112	0.01947	-11.95%	0.046063	+108.32%	0.8886	✗	0.60
2026-09-20	oos	0.023916	0.021121	-11.69%	0.044303	+85.24%	0.7232	✗	0.81
2026-09-19	oos	0.02122	0.018879	-11.03%	0.038908	+83.36%	0.7171	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	0.0217	0.019307	-11.03%	0.040121	+84.89%	0.7192	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.021004	0.018934	-9.85%	0.041976	+99.85%	0.7385	✗	0.90
2026-09-16	oos	0.019977	0.01815	-9.14%	0.04214	+110.94%	0.7813	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.018341	0.016947	-7.60%	0.040984	+123.46%	0.8022	✗	0.98
2026-09-14	oos	0.021357	0.019226	-9.98%	0.042723	+100.04%	0.7626	✗	0.84
2026-09-13	oos	0.021441	0.019339	-9.80%	0.048539	+126.39%	0.8539	✗	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.019998	0.018269	-8.65%	0.048982	+144.93%	0.9375	✗	0.86
2026-09-11	oos	0.016089	0.015389	-4.35%	0.051192	+218.18%	1.1319	✗	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.015435	0.014891	-3.52%	0.055342	+258.56%	1.2430	✗	0.87
2026-09-09	oos	0.014016	0.013773	-1.74%	0.047817	+241.15%	1.1930	✗	0.98
2026-09-08	oos	0.014106	0.013878	-1.61%	0.048636	+244.79%	1.2134	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.014333	0.014121	-1.48%	0.051425	+258.79%	1.2406	✗	1.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.015073	0.014863	-1.40%	0.063034	+318.19%	1.3823	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.016226	0.016013	-1.31%	0.064795	+299.34%	1.3264	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.016043	0.015999	-0.28%	0.048757	+203.91%	1.0316	✗	1.01
2026-09-03	oos	0.016077	0.016413	+2.09%	0.063282	+293.63%	1.3064	✓	1.03
2026-09-02	oos	0.014557	0.014497	-0.41%	0.07724	+430.60%	1.5851	✗	0.99
2026-09-01	oos	0.013541	0.013401	-1.04%	0.065312	+382.33%	1.4921	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.015959	0.016162	+1.27%	0.06345	+297.58%	1.3174	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.015231	0.01528	+0.32%	0.057817	+279.60%	1.2684	✓	0.84
2026-08-29	oos	0.015462	0.015594	+0.85%	0.039594	+156.07%	0.8804	✓	0.80
2026-08-28	oos	0.014379	0.014401	+0.15%	0.020089	+39.71%	0.2687	✓	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.014522	0.014895	+2.57%	0.019153	+31.89%	0.2105	✓	0.81
2026-08-26	oos	0.013992	0.014157	+1.18%	0.019801	+41.52%	0.2862	✓	0.79
2026-08-25	oos	0.017995	0.018431	+2.42%	0.017977	-0.10%	0.0851	✗	0.84
2026-08-24	oos	0.0149	0.015279	+2.54%	0.018474	+23.99%	0.1330	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.01409	0.014233	+1.01%	0.018867	+33.90%	0.1944	✓	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.01252	0.01246	-0.48%	0.022112	+76.61%	0.4780	✗	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	0.01168	0.011677	-0.03%	0.023916	+104.76%	0.6863	✗	0.86
2026-08-20	oos	0.01182	0.01146	-3.05%	0.02122	+79.53%	0.5108	✗	0.99
2026-08-19	oos	0.011425	0.011083	-2.99%	0.0217	+89.93%	0.5171	✗	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.01161	0.011399	-1.82%	0.021004	+80.91%	0.4175	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.0103	0.01017	-1.26%	0.019977	+93.95%	0.4797	✗	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.00951	0.009353	-1.65%	0.018341	+92.86%	0.4689	✗	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.01287	0.012914	+0.34%	0.021357	+65.94%	0.2662	✓	1.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.01516	0.015285	+0.83%	0.021441	+41.43%	0.1174	✓	1.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.01864	0.018767	+0.68%	0.019998	+7.29%	0.1466	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	0.02256	0.022491	-0.31%	0.016089	-28.68%	0.5612	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.02393	0.023706	-0.94%	0.015435	-35.50%	0.6486	✓	1.18
2026-08-10	oos	0.02418	0.023885	-1.22%	0.014016	-42.03%	0.7743	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.02524	0.024806	-1.72%	0.014106	-44.11%	0.7867	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.02708	0.026387	-2.56%	0.014333	-47.07%	0.8429	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.02744	0.02667	-2.81%	0.015073	-45.07%	0.8196	✓	1.17
2026-08-06	oos	0.02886	0.027829	-3.57%	0.016226	-43.78%	0.7980	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.02835	0.0274	-3.35%	0.016043	-43.41%	0.7855	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.02711	0.02622	-3.28%	0.016077	-40.70%	0.7601	✓	1.14
2026-08-03	oos	0.02921	0.028016	-4.09%	0.014557	-50.16%	0.8855	✓	1.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.03281	0.031305	-4.59%	0.013541	-58.73%	1.0749	✓	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.03275	0.031218	-4.68%	0.015959	-51.27%	0.9449	✓	1.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.0324	0.031055	-4.15%	0.015231	-52.99%	0.9710	✓	1.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.03269	0.031906	-2.40%	0.015462	-52.70%	0.9634	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.03295	0.032065	-2.69%	0.014379	-56.36%	1.0515	✓	1.26
2026-07-28	oos	0.03401	0.033179	-2.44%	0.014522	-57.30%	1.1159	✓	1.26
2026-07-27	oos	0.03427	0.033501	-2.24%	0.013992	-59.17%	1.1459	✓	1.26
2026-07-26	oos	0.03537	0.035151	-0.62%	0.017995	-49.12%	0.9073	✓	1.29
2026-07-25	oos	0.0352	0.034817	-1.09%	0.0149	-57.67%	1.1187	✓	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.03414	0.033841	-0.88%	0.01409	-58.73%	1.1282	✓	1.31
2026-07-23	oos	0.0343	0.034339	+0.11%	0.01252	-63.50%	1.2305	✗	1.31
2026-07-22	oos	0.03457	0.034965	+1.14%	0.01168	-66.21%	1.3190	✗	1.31
2026-07-21	oos	0.03553	0.036093	+1.58%	0.01182	-66.73%	1.2382	✗	1.31
2026-07-20	oos	0.03587	0.036089	+0.61%	0.011425	-68.15%	1.2301	✗	1.31
2026-07-19	oos	0.03523	0.035369	+0.39%	0.01161	-67.05%	1.1140	✗	1.31
2026-07-18	oos	0.03624	0.036415	+0.48%	0.0103	-71.58%	1.2565	✗	1.29
2026-07-17	oos	0.03704	0.037057	+0.04%	0.00951	-74.33%	1.3383	✗	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.03687	0.036924	+0.15%	0.01287	-65.09%	1.0387	✗	1.29
2026-07-15	oos	0.0371	0.037333	+0.63%	0.01516	-59.14%	0.8671	✗	1.25
2026-07-14	oos	0.03683	0.037167	+0.91%	0.01864	-49.39%	0.6595	✗	1.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.03589	0.035872	-0.05%	0.02256	-37.14%	0.4873	✓	1.29
2026-07-12	oos	0.03833	0.038419	+0.23%	0.02393	-37.57%	0.4692	✗	1.28
2026-07-11	oos	0.03828	0.038403	+0.32%	0.02418	-36.83%	0.4653	✗	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.03912	0.039269	+0.38%	0.02524	-35.48%	0.4561	✗	1.26
2026-07-09	oos	0.03771	0.037839	+0.34%	0.02708	-28.19%	0.3685	✗	1.25
2026-07-08	oos	0.03957	0.039518	-0.13%	0.02744	-30.65%	0.4183	✓	1.28
2026-07-07	oos	0.03778	0.037975	+0.52%	0.02886	-23.61%	0.2940	✗	1.32
2026-07-06	oos	0.04255	0.042558	+0.02%	0.02835	-33.37%	0.4184	✗	1.30
2026-07-05	oos	0.04148	0.041571	+0.22%	0.02711	-34.64%	0.4368	✗	1.27
2026-07-04	oos	0.04232	0.042329	+0.02%	0.02921	-30.98%	0.3786	✗	1.27
2026-07-03	oos	0.03966	0.039842	+0.46%	0.03281	-17.27%	0.2134	✗	1.23
2026-07-02	oos	0.04057	0.040665	+0.23%	0.03275	-19.28%	0.2423	✗	1.26
2026-07-01	oos	0.04463	0.044279	-0.79%	0.0324	-27.40%	0.3754	✓	1.35
2026-06-30	oos	0.03787	0.038049	+0.47%	0.03269	-13.68%	0.2766	✗	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.04009	0.040253	+0.41%	0.03295	-17.81%	0.2740	✗	1.23
2026-06-28	oos	0.04282	0.042816	-0.01%	0.03401	-20.57%	0.3196	✓	1.26
2026-06-27	oos	0.05542	0.053502	-3.46%	0.03427	-38.16%	0.5188	✓	1.21
2026-06-26	oos	0.0338	0.034289	+1.45%	0.03537	+4.64%	0.0725	✗	1.22
2026-06-25	oos	0.03696	0.037422	+1.25%	0.0352	-4.76%	0.1524	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.03498	0.035502	+1.49%	0.03414	-2.40%	0.1020	✗	1.27
2026-06-23	oos	0.03711	0.037617	+1.37%	0.0343	-7.57%	0.1394	✗	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.03903	0.039455	+1.09%	0.03457	-11.43%	0.1729	✗	1.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.0392	0.039602	+1.03%	0.03553	-9.36%	0.1713	✗	1.24
2026-06-20	oos	0.04471	0.044786	+0.17%	0.03587	-19.77%	0.2402	✗	1.19
2026-06-19	oos	0.04323	0.04338	+0.35%	0.03523	-18.51%	0.2300	✗	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.04402	0.044082	+0.14%	0.03624	-17.67%	0.2309	✗	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.05114	0.050417	-1.41%	0.03704	-27.57%	0.2990	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.05156	0.050748	-1.58%	0.03687	-28.49%	0.2884	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.05157	0.05081	-1.47%	0.0371	-28.06%	0.2888	✓	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.05117	0.050478	-1.35%	0.03683	-28.02%	0.3035	✓	1.07
2026-06-13	oos	0.05121	0.050545	-1.30%	0.03589	-29.92%	0.3059	✓	1.07
2026-06-12	oos	0.04976	0.049296	-0.93%	0.03833	-22.97%	0.2549	✓	1.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.05155	0.05074	-1.57%	0.03828	-25.74%	0.2852	✓	1.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.04929	0.048802	-0.99%	0.03912	-20.63%	0.2653	✓	1.03
2026-06-09	oos	0.05016	0.049492	-1.33%	0.03771	-24.82%	0.2965	✓	1.03
2026-06-08	oos	0.05223	0.051164	-2.04%	0.03957	-24.24%	0.2433	✓	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.05182	0.050709	-2.14%	0.03778	-27.09%	0.2947	✓	1.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.0503	0.049539	-1.51%	0.04255	-15.41%	0.2054	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.05147	0.050444	-1.99%	0.04148	-19.41%	0.2395	✓	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.05671	0.054504	-3.89%	0.04232	-25.37%	0.2416	✓	1.01
2026-06-03	oos	0.05891	0.056264	-4.49%	0.03966	-32.68%	0.3257	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.0563	0.053703	-4.61%	0.04057	-27.94%	0.1910	✓	1.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.06186	0.057856	-6.47%	0.04463	-27.85%	0.0848	✓	1.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.06074	0.056953	-6.24%	0.03787	-37.65%	0.1666	✓	1.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.0611	0.057502	-5.89%	0.04009	-34.39%	0.1471	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.06045	0.057081	-5.57%	0.04282	-29.16%	0.0631	✓	1.07
2026-05-28	oos	0.05848	0.055388	-5.29%	0.05542	-5.23%	0.2212	✗	1.08
2026-05-27	oos	0.06173	0.058764	-4.80%	0.0338	-45.25%	0.3261	✓	1.06
2026-05-26	oos	0.06274	0.06046	-3.63%	0.03696	-41.09%	0.2361	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.06585	0.063997	-2.81%	0.03498	-46.88%	0.3469	✓	1.09
2026-05-24	oos	0.06597	0.06413	-2.79%	0.03711	-43.75%	0.3229	✓	1.09
2026-05-23	oos	0.065	0.063239	-2.71%	0.03903	-39.95%	0.2882	✓	1.07
2026-05-22	oos	0.06289	0.061046	-2.93%	0.0392	-37.67%	0.2544	✓	1.07
2026-05-21	oos	0.06719	0.065557	-2.43%	0.04471	-33.46%	0.1854	✓	1.05
2026-05-20	oos	0.06825	0.066391	-2.72%	0.04323	-36.66%	0.2200	✓	1.05
2026-05-19	oos	0.0635	0.062113	-2.18%	0.04402	-30.68%	0.1381	✓	1.03
2026-05-18	oos	0.06566	0.064046	-2.46%	0.05114	-22.11%	0.0408	✓	1.04
2026-05-17	oos	0.06633	0.06483	-2.26%	0.05156	-22.27%	0.0580	✓	1.03
2026-05-16	oos	0.06748	0.066032	-2.15%	0.05157	-23.58%	0.0774	✓	1.03
2026-05-15	oos	0.06585	0.065028	-1.25%	0.05117	-22.29%	0.0444	✓	1.06
2026-05-14	oos	0.07439	0.072928	-1.96%	0.05121	-31.16%	0.1234	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.07085	0.069543	-1.84%	0.04976	-29.77%	0.1181	✓	0.98
2026-05-12	oos	0.07454	0.073061	-1.98%	0.05155	-30.84%	0.1244	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	0.07391	0.073321	-0.80%	0.04929	-33.31%	0.1289	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	0.07985	0.078593	-1.57%	0.05016	-37.18%	0.1815	✓	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.08007	0.078422	-2.06%	0.05223	-34.77%	0.1753	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.07902	0.077985	-1.31%	0.05182	-34.42%	0.1900	✓	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.08028	0.079002	-1.59%	0.0503	-37.34%	0.2016	✓	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.07661	0.077424	+1.06%	0.05147	-32.82%	0.1892	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.07632	0.077084	+1.00%	0.05671	-25.69%	0.1179	✗	0.80
2026-05-04	oos	0.07301	0.074203	+1.63%	0.05891	-19.31%	0.0568	✗	0.79
2026-05-03	oos	0.06969	0.070951	+1.81%	0.0563	-19.21%	0.1027	✗	0.78
2026-05-02	oos	0.06908	0.07078	+2.46%	0.06186	-10.45%	0.0589	✗	0.77
2026-05-01	oos	0.06633	0.068224	+2.85%	0.06074	-8.43%	0.0690	✗	0.77
2026-04-30	oos	0.06506	0.066158	+1.69%	0.0611	-6.09%	0.0528	✗	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.0651	0.066081	+1.51%	0.06045	-7.14%	0.0637	✗	0.79
2026-04-28	oos	0.06576	0.067112	+2.06%	0.05848	-11.07%	0.1086	✗	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.07142	0.073139	+2.41%	0.06173	-13.57%	0.1388	✗	0.77
2026-04-26	oos	0.0752	0.07756	+3.14%	0.06274	-16.57%	0.1842	✗	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	0.07447	0.076322	+2.49%	0.06585	-11.58%	0.1436	✗	0.76
2026-04-24	oos	0.07791	0.079515	+2.06%	0.06597	-15.33%	0.1818	✗	0.79
2026-04-23	oos	0.07757	0.079903	+3.01%	0.065	-16.20%	0.1898	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.07755	0.079921	+3.06%	0.06289	-18.90%	0.2113	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.07699	0.078247	+1.63%	0.06719	-12.73%	0.1647	✗	0.79
2026-04-20	oos	0.07787	0.078658	+1.01%	0.06825	-12.35%	0.1587	✗	0.80
2026-04-19	oos	0.07709	0.076781	-0.40%	0.0635	-17.63%	0.2216	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.08054	0.080953	+0.51%	0.06566	-18.48%	0.2219	✗	0.79
2026-04-17	oos	0.07991	0.081319	+1.76%	0.06633	-16.99%	0.2069	✗	0.80
2026-04-16	oos	0.08209	0.081944	-0.18%	0.06748	-17.80%	0.2253	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08009	0.080078	-0.01%	0.06585	-17.78%	0.2402	✓	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.07965	0.079518	-0.17%	0.07439	-6.60%	0.1387	✓	0.81
2026-04-13	oos	0.092	0.089809	-2.38%	0.07085	-22.99%	0.2889	✓	0.82
2026-04-12	oos	0.08838	0.085168	-3.63%	0.07454	-15.66%	0.2422	✓	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.09402	0.091144	-3.06%	0.07391	-21.39%	0.3029	✓	0.83
2026-04-10	oos	0.08717	0.08553	-1.88%	0.07985	-8.40%	0.1671	✓	0.83
2026-04-09	oos	0.08639	0.08422	-2.51%	0.08007	-7.32%	0.1470	✓	0.83
2026-04-08	oos	0.08576	0.083379	-2.78%	0.07902	-7.86%	0.1536	✓	0.83
2026-04-07	oos	0.08944	0.086977	-2.75%	0.08028	-10.24%	0.1683	✓	0.83
2026-04-06	oos	0.08678	0.083633	-3.63%	0.07661	-11.72%	0.2274	✓	0.83
2026-04-05	oos	0.08602	0.083061	-3.44%	0.07632	-11.28%	0.2173	✓	0.83
2026-04-04	oos	0.08618	0.082757	-3.97%	0.07301	-15.28%	0.2684	✓	0.84
2026-04-03	oos	0.08498	0.081558	-4.03%	0.06969	-17.99%	0.2903	✓	0.83
2026-04-02	oos	0.08134	0.078245	-3.80%	0.06908	-15.07%	0.2600	✓	0.83
2026-04-01	oos	0.08276	0.079464	-3.98%	0.06633	-19.85%	0.2949	✓	0.82
2026-03-31	oos	0.07898	0.075988	-3.79%	0.06506	-17.62%	0.2483	✓	0.83
2026-03-30	oos	0.07689	0.074004	-3.75%	0.0651	-15.33%	0.2329	✓	0.83
2026-03-29	oos	0.07703	0.073953	-3.99%	0.06576	-14.63%	0.2375	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	0.08307	0.079319	-4.52%	0.07142	-14.02%	0.2312	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	0.08411	0.080138	-4.72%	0.0752	-10.59%	0.2030	✓	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	0.08724	0.082927	-4.94%	0.07447	-14.64%	0.2078	✓	0.83
2026-03-25	oos	0.09149	0.08677	-5.16%	0.07791	-14.84%	0.1756	✓	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	0.09081	0.086012	-5.28%	0.07757	-14.58%	0.1887	✓	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	0.09086	0.085996	-5.35%	0.07755	-14.65%	0.1840	✓	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	0.08763	0.082992	-5.29%	0.07699	-12.14%	0.1709	✓	0.81
2026-03-21	oos	0.08704	0.082404	-5.33%	0.07787	-10.54%	0.1348	✓	0.81
2026-03-20	oos	0.08914	0.084158	-5.59%	0.07709	-13.52%	0.1250	✓	0.81
2026-03-19	oos	0.08938	0.084503	-5.46%	0.08054	-9.89%	0.1130	✓	0.81
2026-03-18	oos	0.09038	0.085246	-5.68%	0.07991	-11.58%	0.1293	✓	0.82
2026-03-17	oos	0.09325	0.087699	-5.95%	0.08209	-11.97%	0.0797	✓	0.82
2026-03-16	oos	0.09123	0.085968	-5.77%	0.08009	-12.21%	0.0703	✓	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	0.09	0.084748	-5.84%	0.07965	-11.50%	0.0774	✓	0.83
2026-03-14	oos	0.09154	0.08615	-5.89%	0.092	+0.50%	0.0279	✓	0.86
2026-03-13	oos	0.08527	0.08078	-5.27%	0.08838	+3.65%	0.0922	✗	0.86
2026-03-12	oos	0.08602	0.081521	-5.23%	0.09402	+9.30%	0.1121	✗	0.86
2026-03-11	oos	0.08521	0.080736	-5.25%	0.08717	+2.30%	0.0431	✓	0.86
2026-03-10	oos	0.08005	0.076232	-4.77%	0.08639	+7.92%	0.1030	✗	0.85
2026-03-09	oos	0.07869	0.07521	-4.42%	0.08576	+8.98%	0.0988	✗	0.85
2026-03-08	oos	0.07509	0.07245	-3.52%	0.08944	+19.11%	0.1375	✗	0.85
2026-03-07	oos	0.07947	0.076037	-4.32%	0.08678	+9.20%	0.1124	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	0.07877	0.075409	-4.27%	0.08602	+9.20%	0.1207	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	0.08192	0.077686	-5.17%	0.08618	+5.20%	0.1476	✗	0.84
2026-03-04	oos	0.08571	0.080617	-5.94%	0.08498	-0.85%	0.1232	✗	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.08358	0.079589	-4.77%	0.08134	-2.68%	0.0405	✓	0.88
2026-03-02	oos	0.08372	0.079602	-4.92%	0.08276	-1.15%	0.0481	✓	0.88
2026-03-01	oos	0.08067	0.077624	-3.78%	0.07898	-2.09%	0.0142	✓	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	0.08629	0.082168	-4.78%	0.07689	-10.89%	0.0634	✓	0.86
2026-02-27	oos	0.08363	0.08019	-4.11%	0.07703	-7.89%	0.0415	✓	0.86
2026-02-26	oos	0.0854	0.081373	-4.72%	0.08307	-2.73%	0.0356	✓	0.86
2026-02-25	oos	0.08816	0.083536	-5.25%	0.08411	-4.59%	0.0277	✓	0.86
2026-02-24	oos	0.0815	0.078965	-3.11%	0.08724	+7.04%	0.0414	✗	0.82
2026-02-23	oos	0.0827	0.07986	-3.43%	0.09149	+10.63%	0.0570	✗	0.80
2026-02-22	oos	0.08618	0.082229	-4.58%	0.09081	+5.37%	0.0652	✗	0.81
2026-02-21	oos	0.08833	0.083988	-4.92%	0.09086	+2.86%	0.0450	✓	0.80
2026-02-20	oos	0.09057	0.085909	-5.15%	0.08763	-3.25%	0.0215	✓	0.79
2026-02-19	oos	0.08893	0.084893	-4.54%	0.08704	-2.13%	0.0025	✓	0.79
2026-02-18	oos	0.09045	0.086379	-4.50%	0.08914	-1.45%	0.0169	✓	0.81
2026-02-17	oos	0.0944	0.089573	-5.11%	0.08938	-5.32%	0.0306	✓	0.80
2026-02-16	oos	0.09606	0.090775	-5.50%	0.09038	-5.91%	0.0314	✓	0.79
2026-02-15	oos	0.09482	0.089994	-5.09%	0.09325	-1.66%	0.0220	✓	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	0.09884	0.093263	-5.64%	0.09123	-7.70%	0.0797	✓	0.82
2026-02-13	oos	0.09679	0.092126	-4.82%	0.09	-7.02%	0.0674	✓	0.78
2026-02-12	oos	0.09446	0.09099	-3.67%	0.09154	-3.09%	0.0516	✓	0.79
2026-02-11	oos	0.09184	0.088956	-3.14%	0.08527	-7.15%	0.0841	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	0.09156	0.088765	-3.05%	0.08602	-6.05%	0.0507	✓	0.78
2026-02-09	oos	0.09423	0.09126	-3.15%	0.08521	-9.57%	0.0698	✓	0.77
2026-02-08	oos	0.09528	0.092497	-2.92%	0.08005	-15.98%	0.1410	✓	0.77
2026-02-07	oos	0.0984	0.095599	-2.85%	0.07869	-20.03%	0.1857	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	0.0977	0.095104	-2.66%	0.07509	-23.14%	0.1862	✓	0.75
2026-02-05	oos	0.0963	0.094701	-1.66%	0.07947	-17.48%	0.2356	✓	0.88
2026-02-04	oos	0.1106	0.106247	-3.94%	0.07877	-28.78%	0.2396	✓	0.86
2026-02-03	oos	0.1139	0.109003	-4.30%	0.08192	-28.08%	0.2263	✓	0.91
2026-02-02	oos	0.1186	0.112891	-4.81%	0.08571	-27.73%	0.2018	✓	0.93
2026-02-01	oos	0.1225	0.116376	-5.00%	0.08358	-31.77%	0.2403	✓	0.77
2026-01-31	oos	0.1258	0.119089	-5.33%	0.08372	-33.45%	0.2645	✓	0.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.1377	0.129215	-6.16%	0.08067	-41.42%	0.3293	✓	0.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.143	0.133709	-6.50%	0.08629	-39.66%	0.2961	✓	0.61
2026-01-28	oos	0.1464	0.137074	-6.37%	0.08363	-42.88%	0.2907	✓	0.67
2026-01-27	oos	0.1603	0.14889	-7.12%	0.0854	-46.72%	0.3476	✓	0.75
2026-01-26	oos	0.1669	0.154116	-7.66%	0.08816	-47.18%	0.3670	✓	0.73
2026-01-25	oos	0.1611	0.148657	-7.72%	0.0815	-49.41%	0.3907	✓	0.70
2026-01-24	oos	0.1798	0.164272	-8.64%	0.0827	-54.00%	0.4816	✓	0.64
2026-01-23	oos	0.1858	0.169203	-8.93%	0.08618	-53.62%	0.4241	✓	0.89
2026-01-22	oos	0.1948	0.175998	-9.65%	0.08833	-54.66%	0.4420	✓	0.90
2026-01-21	oos	0.1784	0.162483	-8.92%	0.09057	-49.23%	0.3422	✓	0.89
2026-01-20	oos	0.1709	0.156154	-8.63%	0.08893	-47.96%	0.3204	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.182	0.165156	-9.25%	0.09045	-50.30%	0.3200	✓	0.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.1597	0.147971	-7.34%	0.0944	-40.89%	0.1475	✓	0.92
2026-01-17	oos	0.1624	0.1505	-7.33%	0.09606	-40.85%	0.1562	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.1802	0.163451	-9.29%	0.09482	-47.38%	0.2463	✓	0.91
2026-01-15	oos	0.1475	0.135624	-8.05%	0.09884	-32.99%	0.0306	✓	0.91
2026-01-14	oos	0.1489	0.135815	-8.79%	0.09679	-35.00%	0.0276	✓	0.91
2026-01-13	oos	0.1391	0.125631	-9.68%	0.09446	-32.09%	0.0344	✓	0.88
2026-01-12	oos	0.1286	0.116207	-9.64%	0.09184	-28.58%	0.0280	✓	0.86
2026-01-11	oos	0.1265	0.113939	-9.93%	0.09156	-27.62%	0.0312	✓	0.90
2026-01-10	oos	0.1302	0.116668	-10.39%	0.09423	-27.63%	0.0145	✓	0.90
2026-01-09	oos	0.1299	0.116473	-10.34%	0.09528	-26.65%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.1312	0.117428	-10.50%	0.0984	-25.00%	0.1148	✗	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1363	0.12207	-10.44%	0.0977	-28.32%	0.0962	✓	0.49
2026-01-06	oos	0.1419	0.127463	-10.17%	0.0963	-32.14%	0.1174	✓	0.41
2026-01-05	oos	0.1341	0.120938	-9.81%	0.1106	-17.52%	0.0193	✓	0.43
2026-01-04	oos	0.1333	0.120811	-9.37%	0.1139	-14.55%	0.0303	✓	0.47
2026-01-03	oos	0.134	0.12208	-8.90%	0.1186	-11.49%	0.0386	✓	0.48
2026-01-02	oos	0.1299	0.119327	-8.14%	0.1225	-5.70%	0.0945	✗	0.43
2026-01-01	oos	0.1352	0.1243	-8.06%	0.1258	-6.95%	0.0685	✓	0.47
2025-12-31	oos	0.1293	0.11945	-7.62%	0.1377	+6.50%	0.1607	✗	0.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1282	0.118618	-7.47%	0.143	+11.54%	0.2081	✗	0.47
2025-12-29	oos	0.1299	0.120402	-7.31%	0.1464	+12.70%	0.1825	✗	0.56
2025-12-28	oos	0.1288	0.119299	-7.38%	0.1603	+24.46%	0.2876	✗	0.56
2025-12-27	oos	0.1333	0.123027	-7.71%	0.1669	+25.21%	0.3023	✗	0.55
2025-12-26	oos	0.1217	0.114171	-6.19%	0.1611	+32.37%	0.3489	✗	0.54
2025-12-25	oos	0.1217	0.114649	-5.79%	0.1798	+47.74%	0.4383	✗	0.54
2025-12-24	oos	0.122	0.115224	-5.55%	0.1858	+52.30%	0.4664	✗	0.54
2025-12-23	oos	0.1237	0.116956	-5.45%	0.1948	+57.48%	0.4969	✗	0.58
2025-12-22	oos	0.1191	0.113076	-5.06%	0.1784	+49.79%	0.4506	✗	0.59
2025-12-21	oos	0.121	0.115137	-4.85%	0.1709	+41.24%	0.3971	✗	0.59
2025-12-20	oos	0.1284	0.121959	-5.02%	0.182	+41.74%	0.3711	✗	0.62
2025-12-19	oos	0.1234	0.11777	-4.56%	0.1597	+29.42%	0.2668	✗	0.62
2025-12-18	oos	0.1187	0.114208	-3.78%	0.1624	+36.82%	0.2872	✗	0.61
2025-12-17	oos	0.1248	0.119829	-3.98%	0.1802	+44.39%	0.3454	✗	0.61
2025-12-16	oos	0.1305	0.124929	-4.27%	0.1475	+13.03%	0.1157	✗	0.60
2025-12-15	oos	0.13	0.124862	-3.95%	0.1489	+14.54%	0.1070	✗	0.60
2025-12-14	oos	0.1399	0.133583	-4.52%	0.1391	-0.57%	0.0056	✓	0.59
2025-12-13	oos	0.1477	0.140142	-5.12%	0.1286	-12.93%	0.0917	✓	0.56
2025-12-12	oos	0.1524	0.144255	-5.34%	0.1265	-16.99%	0.1350	✓	0.57
2025-12-11	oos	0.1575	0.148533	-5.69%	0.1302	-17.33%	0.1186	✓	0.56
2025-12-10	oos	0.1591	0.150389	-5.48%	0.1299	-18.35%	0.1371	✓	0.56
2025-12-09	oos	0.1656	0.156076	-5.75%	0.1312	-20.77%	0.1635	✓	0.56
2025-12-08	oos	0.1606	0.152297	-5.17%	0.1363	-15.13%	0.1148	✓	0.55
2025-12-07	oos	0.16	0.152093	-4.94%	0.1419	-11.31%	0.0894	✓	0.55
2025-12-06	oos	0.1638	0.155574	-5.02%	0.1341	-18.13%	0.1772	✓	0.57
2025-12-05	oos	0.1537	0.147053	-4.32%	0.1333	-13.27%	0.1117	✓	0.57
2025-12-04	oos	0.1695	0.160261	-5.45%	0.134	-20.94%	0.1706	✓	0.51
2025-12-03	oos	0.1707	0.161364	-5.47%	0.1299	-23.90%	0.1973	✓	0.51
2025-12-02	oos	0.1695	0.161255	-4.86%	0.1352	-20.24%	0.1612	✓	0.53
2025-12-01	oos	0.165	0.158567	-3.90%	0.1293	-21.64%	0.2115	✓	0.54
2025-11-30	oos	0.1765	0.167818	-4.92%	0.1282	-27.37%	0.2585	✓	0.49
2025-11-29	oos	0.1739	0.165695	-4.72%	0.1299	-25.30%	0.2232	✓	0.48
2025-11-28	oos	0.1872	0.177123	-5.38%	0.1288	-31.20%	0.3021	✓	0.49
2025-11-27	oos	0.196	0.184492	-5.87%	0.1333	-31.99%	0.3060	✓	0.48
2025-11-26	oos	0.2004	0.188385	-6.00%	0.1217	-39.27%	0.4176	✓	0.54
2025-11-25	oos	0.2034	0.191491	-5.85%	0.1217	-40.17%	0.4522	✓	0.59
2025-11-24	oos	0.2118	0.198108	-6.46%	0.122	-42.40%	0.4804	✓	0.58
2025-11-23	oos	0.2164	0.20185	-6.72%	0.1237	-42.84%	0.4941	✓	0.62
2025-11-22	oos	0.22	0.204834	-6.89%	0.1191	-45.86%	0.5740	✓	0.71
2025-11-21	oos	0.2207	0.205038	-7.10%	0.121	-45.17%	0.5568	✓	0.71
2025-11-20	oos	0.2542	0.230712	-9.24%	0.1284	-49.49%	0.5996	✓	0.67
2025-11-19	oos	0.264	0.236656	-10.36%	0.1234	-53.26%	0.6248	✓	0.70
2025-11-18	oos	0.2603	0.232696	-10.60%	0.1187	-54.40%	0.6129	✓	0.72
2025-11-17	oos	0.251	0.225567	-10.13%	0.1248	-50.28%	0.5435	✓	0.73
2025-11-16	oos	0.2828	0.247072	-12.63%	0.1305	-53.85%	0.5895	✓	0.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.2202	0.200505	-8.94%	0.13	-40.96%	0.3538	✓	0.79
2025-11-14	oos	0.2065	0.189582	-8.19%	0.1399	-32.25%	0.2502	✓	0.77
2025-11-13	oos	0.1977	0.181362	-8.26%	0.1477	-25.29%	0.1174	✓	0.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.2388	0.213876	-10.44%	0.1524	-36.18%	0.2446	✓	0.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.2335	0.209308	-10.36%	0.1575	-32.55%	0.1982	✓	0.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.241	0.214549	-10.98%	0.1591	-33.98%	0.1873	✓	0.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.2682	0.235699	-12.12%	0.1656	-38.26%	0.2503	✓	0.84
2025-11-08	oos	0.2763	0.241613	-12.55%	0.1606	-41.87%	0.3012	✓	0.89
2025-11-07	oos	0.2973	0.257023	-13.55%	0.16	-46.18%	0.3582	✓	0.87
2025-11-06	oos	0.3066	0.263592	-14.03%	0.1638	-46.58%	0.3610	✓	0.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.344	0.290599	-15.52%	0.1537	-55.32%	0.5115	✓	0.83
2025-11-04	oos	0.331	0.276982	-16.32%	0.1695	-48.79%	0.4096	✓	0.84
2025-11-03	oos	0.2923	0.250549	-14.28%	0.1707	-41.60%	0.2383	✓	1.11
2025-11-02	oos	0.2623	0.228685	-12.82%	0.1695	-35.38%	0.0506	✓	1.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.2884	0.24585	-14.75%	0.165	-42.79%	0.0742	✓	1.33
2025-10-31	oos	0.2412	0.212183	-12.03%	0.1765	-26.82%	0.0672	✓	1.31
2025-10-30	oos	0.2135	0.191185	-10.45%	0.1739	-18.55%	0.1285	✗	1.27
2025-10-29	oos	0.2633	0.228323	-13.28%	0.1872	-28.90%	0.0295	✓	1.19
2025-10-28	oos	0.2569	0.222835	-13.26%	0.196	-23.71%	0.1388	✓	1.26
2025-10-27	oos	0.233	0.20624	-11.49%	0.2004	-13.99%	0.2719	✗	1.30
2025-10-26	oos	0.2427	0.211207	-12.98%	0.2034	-16.19%	0.3128	✗	1.29
2025-10-25	oos	0.1694	0.157968	-6.75%	0.2118	+25.03%	0.5261	✗	0.99
2025-10-24	oos	0.1667	0.155833	-6.52%	0.2164	+29.81%	0.5747	✗	1.00
2025-10-23	oos	0.1684	0.157039	-6.75%	0.22	+30.64%	0.6023	✗	1.01
2025-10-22	oos	0.164	0.153147	-6.62%	0.2207	+34.57%	0.6046	✗	1.02
2025-10-21	oos	0.1681	0.156691	-6.79%	0.2542	+51.22%	0.7107	✗	1.01
2025-10-20	oos	0.1826	0.168382	-7.79%	0.264	+44.58%	0.6359	✗	0.98
2025-10-19	oos	0.1846	0.169319	-8.28%	0.2603	+41.01%	0.5789	✗	0.95
2025-10-18	oos	0.1778	0.163589	-7.99%	0.251	+41.17%	0.5711	✗	0.94
2025-10-17	oos	0.1755	0.161587	-7.93%	0.2828	+61.14%	0.6743	✗	0.94
2025-10-16	oos	0.1772	0.162797	-8.13%	0.2202	+24.27%	0.4186	✗	0.94
2025-10-15	oos	0.1795	0.165039	-8.06%	0.2065	+15.04%	0.3753	✗	0.95
2025-10-14	oos	0.1959	0.177909	-9.18%	0.1977	+0.92%	0.2188	✗	0.89
2025-10-13	oos	0.2198	0.195713	-10.96%	0.2388	+8.64%	0.3015	✗	0.81
2025-10-12	oos	0.2327	0.203254	-12.65%	0.2335	+0.34%	0.2277	✗	0.80
2025-10-11	oos	0.2065	0.183415	-11.18%	0.241	+16.71%	0.3022	✗	0.66
2025-10-10	oos	0.2455	0.210091	-14.42%	0.2682	+9.25%	0.2840	✗	0.52
2025-10-09	oos	0.1897	0.174089	-8.23%	0.2763	+45.65%	0.7646	✗	1.74
2025-10-08	oos	0.1442	0.141028	-2.20%	0.2973	+106.17%	1.0920	✗	1.95
2025-10-07	oos	0.1348	0.131999	-2.08%	0.3066	+127.45%	1.1785	✗	1.85
2025-10-06	oos	0.1445	0.143101	-0.97%	0.344	+138.06%	1.1942	✗	1.73
2025-10-05	oos	0.1413	0.140369	-0.66%	0.331	+134.25%	1.2041	✗	1.76
2025-10-04	oos	0.1597	0.154976	-2.96%	0.2923	+83.03%	0.8846	✗	1.80
2025-10-03	oos	0.1405	0.139411	-0.78%	0.2623	+86.69%	0.8152	✗	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	0.1343	0.132824	-1.10%	0.2884	+114.74%	0.9397	✗	1.79
2025-10-01	oos	0.1329	0.130517	-1.79%	0.2412	+81.49%	0.7602	✗	1.83
2025-09-30	oos	0.1204	0.117099	-2.74%	0.2135	+77.33%	0.6923	✗	1.77
2025-09-29	oos	0.1214	0.118016	-2.79%	0.2633	+116.89%	0.8716	✗	1.79
2025-09-28	oos	0.1237	0.119724	-3.21%	0.2569	+107.68%	0.7518	✗	1.86
2025-09-27	oos	0.1203	0.116105	-3.49%	0.233	+93.68%	0.6228	✗	1.87
2025-09-26	oos	0.1198	0.11552	-3.57%	0.2427	+102.59%	0.6611	✗	1.88
2025-09-25	oos	0.1167	0.112263	-3.80%	0.1694	+45.16%	0.3667	✗	1.88
2025-09-24	oos	0.1243	0.119751	-3.66%	0.1667	+34.11%	0.3699	✗	1.90
2025-09-23	oos	0.1231	0.118532	-3.71%	0.1684	+36.80%	0.3840	✗	1.92
2025-09-22	oos	0.1243	0.119303	-4.02%	0.164	+31.94%	0.4062	✗	1.88
2025-09-21	oos	0.1337	0.128046	-4.23%	0.1681	+25.73%	0.3861	✗	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	0.1364	0.130526	-4.31%	0.1826	+33.87%	0.4262	✗	1.98
2025-09-19	oos	0.1333	0.127245	-4.54%	0.1846	+38.48%	0.4962	✗	1.99
2025-09-18	oos	0.1416	0.134981	-4.67%	0.1778	+25.56%	0.4496	✗	1.97
2025-09-17	oos	0.1427	0.135904	-4.76%	0.1755	+22.99%	0.4337	✗	1.98

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.