NEX

Nexus · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #668
symbol: NEX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 438

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

139

of 146 predictions shown

direction hit

56.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1235

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0131

actual -0.0853

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	6.85e-7	6.78e-7	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	6.85e-7	6.79e-7	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-19	oos	6.75e-7	6.69e-7	-0.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	7.15e-7	7.07e-7	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-17	oos	7.15e-7	7.07e-7	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	7.35e-7	7.26e-7	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-15	oos	7.45e-7	7.37e-7	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	7.75e-7	7.65e-7	-1.23%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1184	✓	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	7.75e-7	7.67e-7	-1.01%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1123	✓	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	8.05e-7	7.95e-7	-1.22%	6.75e-7	-16.15%	0.1645	✓	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	8.15e-7	8.09e-7	-0.75%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1120	✓	0.56
2026-10-10	oos	8.15e-7	8.08e-7	-0.80%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1121	✓	0.57
2026-10-09	oos	7.95e-7	7.89e-7	-0.81%	7.35e-7	-7.55%	0.0629	✓	0.59
2026-10-08	oos	7.95e-7	7.88e-7	-0.84%	7.45e-7	-6.29%	0.0596	✓	0.58
2026-10-07	oos	8.05e-7	8.01e-7	-0.49%	7.75e-7	-3.73%	0.0213	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	8.15e-7	8.15e-7	-0.05%	7.75e-7	-4.91%	0.0339	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	8.25e-7	8.29e-7	+0.47%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0027	✓	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	8.25e-7	8.30e-7	+0.64%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0001	✓	0.56
2026-10-03	oos	8.35e-7	8.39e-7	+0.46%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0165	✗	0.56
2026-10-02	oos	8.40e-7	8.45e-7	+0.64%	7.95e-7	-5.36%	0.0483	✗	0.56
2026-10-01	oos	8.15e-7	8.20e-7	+0.63%	7.95e-7	-2.45%	0.0092	✗	0.58
2026-09-30	oos	8.25e-7	8.32e-7	+0.82%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0302	✗	0.74
2026-09-29	oos	8.35e-7	8.44e-7	+1.12%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0520	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	8.25e-7	8.35e-7	+1.22%	8.25e-7	+0.00%	0.0321	✗	0.74
2026-09-27	oos	8.40e-7	8.52e-7	+1.38%	8.25e-7	-1.79%	0.0492	✗	0.73
2026-09-26	oos	8.35e-7	8.46e-7	+1.32%	8.35e-7	+0.00%	0.0160	✗	0.73
2026-09-25	oos	8.35e-7	8.47e-7	+1.43%	8.40e-7	+0.60%	0.0118	✓	0.73
2026-09-24	oos	8.30e-7	8.43e-7	+1.55%	8.15e-7	-1.81%	0.0377	✗	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	8.50e-7	8.63e-7	+1.58%	8.25e-7	-2.94%	0.0383	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.000001065	0.000001074	+0.83%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2323	✗	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.000001075	0.000001085	+0.93%	8.25e-7	-23.26%	0.2485	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.000001055	0.000001063	+0.73%	8.40e-7	-20.38%	0.2643	✗	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.000001085	0.000001095	+0.94%	8.35e-7	-23.04%	0.2990	✗	0.72
2026-09-18	oos	0.000001065	0.000001076	+1.05%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2816	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.00000104	0.000001048	+0.81%	8.30e-7	-20.19%	0.3064	✗	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.000001015	0.000001026	+1.11%	8.50e-7	-16.26%	0.2609	✗	0.71
2026-09-15	oos	9.95e-7	0.000001007	+1.21%	0.000001065	+7.04%	0.0488	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.000001025	0.000001042	+1.68%	0.000001075	+4.88%	0.0446	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.000001005	0.000001023	+1.75%	0.000001055	+4.98%	0.0094	✓	0.73
2026-09-12	oos	0.000001015	0.000001031	+1.57%	0.000001085	+6.90%	0.0139	✓	0.74
2026-09-11	oos	0.000001025	0.00000104	+1.49%	0.000001065	+3.90%	0.0118	✓	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.000001045	0.000001056	+1.08%	0.00000104	-0.48%	0.0137	✗	0.76
2026-09-09	oos	0.00000107	0.000001085	+1.38%	0.000001015	-5.14%	0.0451	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.000001425	0.000001426	+0.06%	9.95e-7	-30.18%	0.3322	✗	0.74
2026-09-07	oos	0.000001445	0.00000145	+0.36%	0.000001025	-29.07%	0.3386	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00000145	0.000001468	+1.27%	0.000001005	-30.69%	0.3467	✗	0.72
2026-09-05	oos	0.00000147	0.000001485	+1.04%	0.000001015	-30.95%	0.3570	✗	0.73
2026-09-04	oos	0.00000145	0.000001468	+1.22%	0.000001025	-29.31%	0.3366	✗	0.71
2026-09-03	oos	0.00000145	0.000001481	+2.11%	0.000001045	-27.93%	0.3047	✗	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	0.00000143	0.000001433	+0.22%	0.00000107	-25.17%	0.3002	✗	0.64
2026-09-01	oos	0.00000144	0.000001448	+0.54%	0.000001425	-1.04%	0.0246	✗	0.64
2026-08-31	oos	0.000001435	0.000001452	+1.15%	0.000001445	+0.70%	0.0094	✓	0.73
2026-08-30	oos	0.000001435	0.00000144	+0.32%	0.00000145	+1.05%	0.0154	✗	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.000001445	0.000001456	+0.74%	0.00000147	+1.73%	0.0034	✓	0.65
2026-08-28	oos	0.000001455	0.000001467	+0.82%	0.00000145	-0.34%	0.0267	✗	0.65
2026-08-27	oos	0.00000148	0.000001504	+1.63%	0.00000145	-2.03%	0.0447	✗	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.000001465	0.000001482	+1.13%	0.00000143	-2.39%	0.0211	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.000001475	0.000001487	+0.82%	0.00000144	-2.37%	0.0229	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.000001465	0.000001478	+0.88%	0.000001435	-2.05%	0.0261	✗	0.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.00000149	0.000001495	+0.33%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0403	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.0000015	0.000001501	+0.08%	0.000001445	-3.67%	0.0479	✗	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.00000154	0.000001544	+0.27%	0.000001455	-5.52%	0.0555	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.000001505	0.000001482	-1.53%	0.00000148	-1.66%	0.0657	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.00000149	0.00000145	-2.66%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.1076	✓	0.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.000001435	0.000001389	-3.22%	0.000001475	+2.79%	0.1199	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.000001515	0.000001464	-3.34%	0.000001465	-3.30%	0.1896	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.000001485	0.000001435	-3.38%	0.00000149	+0.34%	0.1597	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.000001495	0.000001445	-3.37%	0.0000015	+0.33%	0.1491	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.000001545	0.000001494	-3.32%	0.00000154	-0.32%	0.1725	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.000001545	0.000001495	-3.25%	0.000001505	-2.59%	0.1246	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.000001555	0.000001504	-3.26%	0.00000149	-4.18%	0.0924	✓	0.93
2026-08-11	oos	0.000001635	0.000001576	-3.59%	0.000001435	-12.23%	0.1107	✓	0.93
2026-08-10	oos	0.000001645	0.000001575	-4.23%	0.000001515	-7.90%	0.0473	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.000001435	0.000001396	-2.70%	0.000001485	+3.48%	0.0934	✗	1.01
2026-08-08	oos	0.000001445	0.000001405	-2.74%	0.000001495	+3.46%	0.0915	✗	1.01
2026-08-07	oos	0.000001475	0.000001437	-2.61%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.1030	✗	1.01
2026-08-06	oos	0.000001475	0.000001437	-2.58%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0858	✗	1.01
2026-08-05	oos	0.000001455	0.000001419	-2.45%	0.000001555	+6.87%	0.1101	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.000001445	0.000001411	-2.34%	0.000001635	+13.15%	0.1554	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.000001465	0.000001429	-2.43%	0.000001645	+12.29%	0.1334	✗	1.01
2026-08-02	oos	0.00000149	0.000001454	-2.38%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0347	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.00000145	0.000001419	-2.17%	0.000001445	-0.34%	0.0149	✓	0.99
2026-07-31	oos	0.000001455	0.000001424	-2.16%	0.000001475	+1.37%	0.0034	✓	0.99
2026-07-30	oos	0.000001495	0.00000146	-2.37%	0.000001475	-1.34%	0.0176	✓	1.01
2026-07-29	oos	0.000001505	0.000001469	-2.37%	0.000001455	-3.32%	0.0209	✓	1.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.000001505	0.000001472	-2.21%	0.000001445	-3.99%	0.0215	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.000001505	0.000001472	-2.21%	0.000001465	-2.66%	0.0010	✓	1.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.000001575	0.000001537	-2.40%	0.00000149	-5.40%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.000001565	0.000001528	-2.38%	0.00000145	-7.35%	0.0281	✓	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.000001575	0.000001537	-2.40%	0.000001455	-7.62%	0.0351	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.000001595	0.000001555	-2.48%	0.000001495	-6.27%	0.0345	✓	1.01
2026-07-22	oos	0.000001635	0.000001594	-2.52%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0233	✓	1.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.000001635	0.000001593	-2.57%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0153	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.000001695	0.000001648	-2.79%	0.000001505	-11.21%	0.0658	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.000001715	0.000001664	-3.00%	0.000001575	-8.16%	0.0654	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.000001705	0.00000165	-3.23%	0.000001565	-8.21%	0.0446	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.000001705	0.000001648	-3.32%	0.000001575	-7.62%	0.0486	✓	1.05
2026-07-16	oos	0.000001775	0.000001711	-3.60%	0.000001595	-10.14%	0.0913	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.000001775	0.000001708	-3.80%	0.000001635	-7.89%	0.0659	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.000001785	0.000001716	-3.85%	0.000001635	-8.40%	0.0734	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.000001755	0.000001696	-3.35%	0.000001695	-3.42%	0.0515	✓	1.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.000001825	0.00000176	-3.58%	0.000001715	-6.03%	0.0418	✓	1.10
2026-07-11	oos	0.000002225	0.000002135	-4.05%	0.000001705	-23.37%	0.2428	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0000022	0.000002114	-3.93%	0.000001705	-22.50%	0.2107	✓	1.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.000002355	0.000002253	-4.32%	0.000001775	-24.63%	0.2498	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.000002615	0.000002509	-4.04%	0.000001775	-32.12%	0.3971	✓	1.30
2026-07-07	oos	0.00000269	0.000002569	-4.51%	0.000001785	-33.64%	0.3979	✓	1.31
2026-07-06	oos	0.00000276	0.000002623	-4.96%	0.000001755	-36.41%	0.3660	✓	1.31
2026-07-05	oos	0.00000285	0.000002704	-5.13%	0.000001825	-35.96%	0.3963	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.000002975	0.000002807	-5.66%	0.000002225	-25.21%	0.2468	✓	1.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.00000283	0.000002657	-6.11%	0.0000022	-22.26%	0.2223	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.00000185	0.000001821	-1.55%	0.000002355	+27.30%	0.2341	✗	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.00000185	0.000001828	-1.18%	0.000002615	+41.35%	0.3264	✗	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	0.00000184	0.000001827	-0.73%	0.00000269	+46.20%	0.3213	✗	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.000001885	0.000001867	-0.93%	0.00000276	+46.42%	0.3375	✗	0.86
2026-06-28	oos	0.000001885	0.000001873	-0.64%	0.00000285	+51.19%	0.3632	✗	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.000001905	0.000001894	-0.59%	0.000002975	+56.17%	0.4082	✗	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.00000201	0.000001994	-0.77%	0.00000283	+40.80%	0.3146	✗	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.00000199	0.00000198	-0.48%	0.00000185	-7.04%	0.0928	✓	0.84
2026-06-24	oos	0.000002145	0.000002123	-1.05%	0.00000185	-13.75%	0.1238	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.000002345	0.000002306	-1.65%	0.00000184	-21.54%	0.1751	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.000002455	0.000002408	-1.91%	0.000001885	-23.22%	0.1999	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.000002535	0.000002486	-1.92%	0.000001885	-25.64%	0.2302	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.000002575	0.000002523	-2.02%	0.000001905	-26.02%	0.2277	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.00000258	0.00000253	-1.93%	0.00000201	-22.09%	0.1874	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.000002835	0.000002771	-2.26%	0.00000199	-29.81%	0.2792	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.0000033	0.000003202	-2.98%	0.000002145	-35.00%	0.3453	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.00000302	0.000002939	-2.67%	0.000002345	-22.35%	0.1796	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.00000314	0.00000305	-2.87%	0.000002455	-21.82%	0.1813	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.00000308	0.000002998	-2.66%	0.000002535	-17.69%	0.1295	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.000002975	0.000002906	-2.31%	0.000002575	-13.45%	0.1179	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.000002985	0.000002921	-2.15%	0.00000258	-13.57%	0.1231	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.00000318	0.000003105	-2.37%	0.000002835	-10.85%	0.0800	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.000003115	0.000003056	-1.90%	0.0000033	+5.94%	0.0292	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.00000282	0.000002786	-1.20%	0.00000302	+7.09%	0.0188	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.00000286	0.000002823	-1.29%	0.00000314	+9.79%	0.0567	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.00000296	0.00000292	-1.35%	0.00000308	+4.05%	0.0160	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.00000295	0.000002925	-0.83%	0.000002975	+0.85%	0.0404	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.00000305	0.000003023	-0.89%	0.000002985	-2.13%	0.0529	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.00000294	0.00000291	-1.02%	0.00000318	+8.16%	0.0926	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.00000306	0.000003024	-1.16%	0.000003115	+1.80%	0.0709	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.00000337	0.000003308	-1.84%	0.00000282	-16.32%	0.0821	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.00000346	0.000003376	-2.42%	0.00000286	-17.34%	0.0430	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.000003485	0.000003396	-2.56%	0.00000296	-15.06%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.000003395	0.000003309	-2.53%	0.00000295	-13.11%	0.0777	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.0000035	0.00000341	-2.56%	0.00000305	-12.86%	0.0724	✗	1.00