NES

Nesa · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id: #366
symbol: NES
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-24
predictions: 333

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 111 predictions shown

direction hit

91.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2301

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0676

actual -0.2719

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.11832	0.113601	-3.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.12079	0.116142	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-19	oos	0.114105	0.108751	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.05
2026-10-18	oos	0.118045	0.112217	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-17	oos	0.11967	0.113467	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.122125	0.116366	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.138695	0.132164	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.146385	0.139235	-4.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.136455	0.131894	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-10-12	oos	0.13391	0.128945	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-11	oos	0.14095	0.136258	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.14031	0.135829	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-09	oos	0.13735	0.133562	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.13322	0.12976	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.137455	0.134705	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.137615	0.136368	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-10-05	oos	0.14428	0.141942	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.14974	0.146646	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-03	oos	0.14604	0.142584	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-02	oos	0.14854	0.144242	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-01	oos	0.1514	0.146424	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-09-30	oos	0.15126	0.145708	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.15
2026-09-29	oos	0.16081	0.152844	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-09-28	oos	0.1614	0.153499	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.16563	0.157903	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.163905	0.156164	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.15964	0.15263	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.16505	0.157089	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-23	oos	0.16465	0.156122	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-22	oos	0.168615	0.160157	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2026-09-21	oos	0.16943	0.161339	-4.78%	0.11832	-30.17%	0.3037	✓	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	0.16252	0.152489	-6.17%	0.12079	-25.68%	0.2345	✓	0.07
2026-09-19	oos	0.162175	0.152647	-5.88%	0.114105	-29.64%	0.2915	✓	0.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.15727	0.14884	-5.36%	0.118045	-24.94%	0.2328	✓	0.07
2026-09-17	oos	0.15382	0.143584	-6.65%	0.11967	-22.20%	0.1837	✓	0.02
2026-09-16	oos	0.16251	0.149951	-7.73%	0.122125	-24.85%	0.2069	✓	0.02
2026-09-15	oos	0.1658	0.152055	-8.29%	0.138695	-16.35%	0.0941	✓	0.03
2026-09-14	oos	0.15123	0.143862	-4.87%	0.146385	-3.20%	0.0110	✓	0.15
2026-09-13	oos	0.14991	0.14234	-5.05%	0.136455	-8.98%	0.0535	✓	0.14
2026-09-12	oos	0.15991	0.150375	-5.96%	0.13391	-16.26%	0.1231	✓	0.13
2026-09-11	oos	0.149955	0.144045	-3.94%	0.14095	-6.01%	0.0323	✓	0.13
2026-09-10	oos	0.144685	0.140026	-3.22%	0.14031	-3.02%	0.0078	✓	0.12
2026-09-09	oos	0.11554	0.117269	+1.50%	0.13735	+18.88%	0.1401	✓	0.34
2026-09-08	oos	0.1225	0.123729	+1.00%	0.13322	+8.75%	0.0605	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.13114	0.132228	+0.83%	0.137455	+4.82%	0.0229	✓	0.31
2026-09-06	oos	0.1288	0.131463	+2.07%	0.137615	+6.84%	0.0250	✓	0.33
2026-09-05	oos	0.12945	0.130926	+1.14%	0.14428	+11.46%	0.0735	✓	0.33
2026-09-04	oos	0.1378	0.138901	+0.80%	0.14974	+8.66%	0.0482	✓	0.33
2026-09-03	oos	0.13944	0.142643	+2.30%	0.14604	+4.73%	0.0096	✓	0.33
2026-09-02	oos	0.13736	0.134658	-1.97%	0.14854	+8.14%	0.0701	✗	0.31
2026-09-01	oos	0.14057	0.137437	-2.23%	0.1514	+7.70%	0.0680	✗	0.31
2026-08-31	oos	0.14442	0.142343	-1.44%	0.15126	+4.74%	0.0420	✗	0.30
2026-08-30	oos	0.156	0.153445	-1.64%	0.16081	+3.08%	0.0227	✗	0.33
2026-08-29	oos	0.15359	0.152949	-0.42%	0.1614	+5.08%	0.0319	✗	0.34
2026-08-28	oos	0.14335	0.142822	-0.37%	0.16563	+15.54%	0.1208	✗	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.14355	0.148545	+3.48%	0.163905	+14.18%	0.0800	✓	0.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.1493	0.152891	+2.41%	0.15964	+6.93%	0.0195	✓	0.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.1605	0.164179	+2.29%	0.16505	+2.83%	0.0226	✓	0.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.13701	0.133585	-2.50%	0.16465	+20.17%	0.1785	✗	0.46
2026-08-23	oos	0.195165	0.186124	-4.63%	0.168615	-13.60%	0.1653	✓	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.205345	0.19215	-6.43%	0.16943	-17.49%	0.2021	✓	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.220915	0.207427	-6.11%	0.16252	-26.43%	0.2654	✓	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.215955	0.197525	-8.53%	0.162175	-24.90%	0.2667	✓	0.65
2026-08-19	oos	0.21345	0.193777	-9.22%	0.15727	-26.32%	0.3173	✓	0.70
2026-08-18	oos	0.20579	0.185087	-10.06%	0.15382	-25.25%	0.3073	✓	0.74
2026-08-17	oos	0.21233	0.190494	-10.28%	0.16251	-23.46%	0.2824	✓	0.74
2026-08-16	oos	0.214555	0.19227	-10.39%	0.1658	-22.72%	0.2959	✓	0.80
2026-08-15	oos	0.20837	0.187564	-9.98%	0.15123	-27.42%	0.3905	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.20957	0.188865	-9.88%	0.14991	-28.47%	0.3923	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.20644	0.186968	-9.43%	0.15991	-22.54%	0.3207	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.200645	0.182805	-8.89%	0.149955	-25.26%	0.3624	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.203145	0.185087	-8.89%	0.144685	-28.78%	0.4016	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.204145	0.186257	-8.76%	0.11554	-43.40%	0.6476	✓	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.20451	0.187045	-8.54%	0.1225	-40.10%	0.5882	✓	0.87
2026-08-08	oos	0.208985	0.190869	-8.67%	0.13114	-37.25%	0.5460	✓	0.86
2026-08-07	oos	0.20336	0.186384	-8.35%	0.1288	-36.66%	0.5548	✓	0.87
2026-08-06	oos	0.20365	0.18654	-8.40%	0.12945	-36.44%	0.5538	✓	0.87
2026-08-05	oos	0.19656	0.181152	-7.84%	0.1378	-29.89%	0.4624	✓	0.90
2026-08-04	oos	0.2043	0.187624	-8.16%	0.13944	-31.75%	0.5177	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.20654	0.189552	-8.22%	0.13736	-33.49%	0.5069	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.204585	0.188219	-8.00%	0.14057	-31.29%	0.4779	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.211265	0.193725	-8.30%	0.14442	-31.64%	0.5134	✓	0.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.20703	0.190525	-7.97%	0.156	-24.65%	0.4085	✓	0.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.214655	0.198484	-7.53%	0.15359	-28.45%	0.4440	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.219455	0.202196	-7.86%	0.14335	-34.68%	0.5461	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.217385	0.200602	-7.72%	0.14355	-33.97%	0.5694	✓	1.03
2026-07-27	oos	0.22475	0.206654	-8.05%	0.1493	-33.57%	0.5470	✓	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.241925	0.221851	-8.30%	0.1605	-33.66%	0.4873	✓	0.89
2026-07-25	oos	0.2425	0.221415	-8.69%	0.13701	-43.50%	0.6671	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.253825	0.23024	-9.29%	0.195165	-23.11%	0.3427	✓	0.92
2026-07-23	oos	0.2701	0.243946	-9.68%	0.205345	-23.97%	0.3416	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.270695	0.246156	-9.07%	0.220915	-18.39%	0.2781	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.23121	0.215436	-6.82%	0.215955	-6.60%	0.0908	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.22897	0.212696	-7.11%	0.21345	-6.78%	0.0572	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.223245	0.207564	-7.02%	0.20579	-7.82%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.225605	0.209351	-7.20%	0.21233	-5.88%	0.0191	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.238	0.218707	-8.11%	0.214555	-9.85%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.24992	0.227973	-8.78%	0.20837	-16.63%	0.0781	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.23956	0.219456	-8.39%	0.20957	-12.52%	0.0188	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.242325	0.221181	-8.73%	0.20644	-14.81%	0.0446	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.246155	0.222381	-9.66%	0.200645	-18.49%	0.1211	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.2359	0.213231	-9.61%	0.203145	-13.89%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.266755	0.237086	-11.12%	0.204145	-23.47%	0.1518	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.276415	0.243853	-11.78%	0.20451	-26.01%	0.1871	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.273545	0.240497	-12.08%	0.208985	-23.60%	0.1675	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.29756	0.257158	-13.58%	0.20336	-31.66%	0.2765	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.27962	0.245302	-12.27%	0.20365	-27.17%	0.2009	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.252165	0.225981	-10.38%	0.19656	-22.05%	0.1488	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.27204	0.240846	-11.47%	0.2043	-24.90%	0.1719	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.236725	0.215503	-8.96%	0.20654	-12.75%	0.0485	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.22291	0.204369	-8.32%	0.204585	-8.22%	0.0145	✓	1.00