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MSFTX

Microsoft xStock · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id
#605
symbol
MSFTX
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x5621737f42dae558b81269fcb9e9e70c19aa6b35
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2025-11-25
predictions
783
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
187
of 261 predictions shown
direction hit
45.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0869
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0477
actual +0.0246

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos527.2872502.2155-4.75%–pending––0.08
2026-10-20oos529.0269499.5946-5.56%–pending––0.08
2026-10-19oos532.8345501.1541-5.95%–pending––0.09
2026-10-18oos526.7454502.8666-4.53%–pending––0.09
2026-10-17oos527.6699500.8208-5.09%–pending––0.10
2026-10-16oos527.6898499.3267-5.37%–pending––0.10
2026-10-15oos536.9949507.0409-5.58%–pending––0.09
2026-10-14oos531.9497501.1739-5.79%–pending––0.09
2026-10-13oos541.0907511.4043-5.49%–pending––0.08
2026-10-12oos541.1951508.812-5.98%–pending––0.07
2026-10-11oos536.13513.0885-4.30%–pending––0.06
2026-10-10oos534.8327509.5931-4.72%–pending––0.08
2026-10-09oos534.9768508.5826-4.93%–pending––0.08
2026-10-08oos522.4756496.882-4.90%–pending––0.07
2026-10-07oos529.6532509.5985-3.79%–pending––0.06
2026-10-06oos529.4942510.176-3.65%–pending––0.05
2026-10-05oos525.0852509.7648-2.92%–pending––0.07
2026-10-04oos517.8778506.913-2.12%–pending––0.06
2026-10-03oos518.4096505.1203-2.56%–pending––0.06
2026-10-02oos518.3699505.4982-2.48%–pending––0.06
2026-10-01oos514.8357503.7955-2.14%–pending––0.06
2026-09-30oos514.4331500.8596-2.64%–pending––0.06
2026-09-29oos509.4575495.7419-2.69%–pending––0.08
2026-09-28oos514.1746502.4814-2.27%–pending––0.09
2026-09-27oos516.9532506.8578-1.95%–pending––0.07
2026-09-26oos517.4155507.5488-1.91%–pending––0.07
2026-09-25oos517.4155508.6864-1.69%–pending––0.07
2026-09-24oos495.992492.5508-0.69%–pending––0.07
2026-09-23oos499.9088493.8386-1.21%–pending––0.07
2026-09-22oos500.0928496.039-0.81%–pending––0.08
2026-09-21oos500.5451498.4623-0.42%527.2872+5.34%0.0608✗0.10
2026-09-20oos501.7629489.7334-2.40%529.0269+5.43%0.0745✗0.12
2026-09-19oos497.3092487.0998-2.05%532.8345+7.14%0.0889✗0.12
2026-09-18oos496.4343487.9033-1.72%526.7454+6.11%0.0750✗0.12
2026-09-17oos491.6874474.5598-3.48%527.6699+7.32%0.0985✗0.12
2026-09-16oos489.714473.003-3.41%527.6898+7.75%0.1014✗0.12
2026-09-15oos496.9414478.4172-3.73%536.9949+8.06%0.1038✗0.14
2026-09-14oos499.8194485.3408-2.90%531.9497+6.43%0.0854✗0.15
2026-09-13oos492.2739477.965-2.91%541.0907+9.92%0.1122✗0.15
2026-09-11oos492.4031478.9143-2.74%536.13+8.88%0.1023✗0.13
2026-09-10oos492.2739478.1274-2.87%534.8327+8.65%0.0993✗0.16
2026-09-09oos492.4479481.205-2.28%534.9768+8.64%0.0975✗0.16
2026-09-08oos494.6449480.3161-2.90%522.4756+5.63%0.0788✗0.13
2026-09-07oos497.2893487.2443-2.02%529.6532+6.51%0.0767✗0.13
2026-09-06oos497.334491.0241-1.27%529.4942+6.47%0.0667✗0.14
2026-09-05oos497.339490.9767-1.28%525.0852+5.58%0.0571✗0.14
2026-09-04oos494.6896489.2785-1.09%517.8778+4.69%0.0453✗0.14
2026-09-03oos509.5122507.217-0.45%518.4096+1.75%0.0168✗0.12
2026-09-02oos497.8908485.4057-2.51%518.3699+4.11%0.0539✗0.13
2026-09-01oos501.0123487.7287-2.65%514.8357+2.76%0.0420✗0.13
2026-08-31oos507.9514495.9141-2.37%514.4331+1.28%0.0266✗0.16
2026-08-30oos510.72496.8048-2.72%509.4575-0.25%0.0086✓0.22
2026-08-29oos510.5759499.2623-2.22%514.1746+0.70%0.0157✓0.21
2026-08-28oos509.88500.103-1.92%516.9532+1.39%0.0158✓0.21
2026-08-27oos503.0404503.5175+0.09%517.4155+2.86%0.0158✓0.23
2026-08-26oos496.0466493.0492-0.60%517.4155+4.31%0.0344✗0.22
2026-08-25oos489.8234485.0821-0.97%495.992+1.26%0.0070✓0.21
2026-08-24oos487.4474487.5421+0.02%499.9088+2.56%0.0113✓0.21
2026-08-23oos478.7388474.6197-0.86%500.0928+4.46%0.0300✗0.22
2026-08-22oos478.7239475.6131-0.65%500.5451+4.56%0.0258✗0.22
2026-08-21oos478.7935485.5902+1.42%501.7629+4.80%0.0251✓0.22
2026-08-20oos481.4528471.9762-1.97%497.3092+3.29%0.0233✗0.27
2026-08-19oos483.9431462.5726-4.42%496.4343+2.58%0.0231✓0.31
2026-08-18oos481.3295451.4194-6.21%491.6874+2.15%0.0245✓0.37
2026-08-17oos476.0188445.9876-6.31%489.714+2.88%0.0332✓0.36
2026-08-14oos494.1408457.805-7.35%492.2739-0.38%0.0007✓0.36
2026-08-13oos495.7335454.524-8.31%–pending––0.36
2026-08-12oos488.631452.1683-7.46%492.4031+0.77%0.0168✓0.35
2026-08-11oos495.0118454.3624-8.21%492.2739-0.55%0.0160✓0.34
2026-08-10oos505.2897459.5484-9.05%492.4479-2.54%0.0017✓0.35
2026-08-09oos497.5054459.3055-7.68%494.6449-0.57%0.0060✓0.36
2026-08-08oos500.8899457.7139-8.62%497.2893-0.72%0.0120✓0.36
2026-08-07oos495.0018448.1972-9.46%497.334+0.47%0.0277✓0.36
2026-08-06oos498.6103448.51-10.05%497.339-0.25%0.0240✓0.37
2026-08-05oos485.4855437.3778-9.91%494.6896+1.90%0.0468✓0.36
2026-08-04oos490.0645438.2228-10.58%509.5122+3.97%0.0637✓0.37
2026-08-03oos484.0869430.9121-10.98%497.8908+2.85%0.0720✓0.37
2026-08-02oos457.4987415.909-9.09%501.0123+9.51%0.1174✗0.35
2026-08-01oos457.4987410.9201-10.18%507.9514+11.03%0.1329✗0.35
2026-07-31oos459.7086408.7889-11.08%510.72+11.10%0.1477✗0.35
2026-07-30oos446.0312402.8698-9.68%510.5759+14.47%0.1627✗0.39
2026-07-29oos425.5053398.0604-6.45%509.88+19.83%0.1712✗0.39
2026-07-28oos395.3485375.2942-5.07%503.0404+27.24%0.2121✗0.35
2026-07-27oos381.4024362.0693-5.07%496.0466+30.06%0.2404✗0.35
2026-07-26oos388.475372.1967-4.19%489.8234+26.09%0.2135✗0.33
2026-07-25oos384.0005366.4793-4.56%487.4474+26.94%0.2191✗0.32
2026-07-24oos381.6662363.6423-4.72%478.7388+25.43%0.2132✗0.32
2026-07-23oos385.9266370.7319-3.94%478.7239+24.05%0.2020✗0.32
2026-07-22oos391.5658376.2681-3.91%478.7935+22.28%0.1887✗0.31
2026-07-21oos399.5144383.0737-4.12%481.4528+20.51%0.2005✗0.30
2026-07-20oos399.0863380.3511-4.69%483.9431+21.26%0.2225✗0.30
2026-07-19oos385.3692369.6902-4.07%481.3295+24.90%0.2639✗0.29
2026-07-17oos394.4327373.2362-5.37%–pending––0.29
2026-07-16oos400.3705377.5025-5.71%–pending––0.30
2026-07-15oos396.9262378.8848-4.55%494.1408+24.49%0.2740✗0.31
2026-07-14oos386.7578368.9149-4.61%495.7335+28.18%0.3031✗0.31
2026-07-13oos389.8288368.8405-5.38%488.631+25.35%0.2743✗0.38
2026-07-12oos396.4982377.381-4.82%495.0118+24.85%0.2726✗0.37
2026-07-11oos395.5028375.6888-5.01%505.2897+27.76%0.2956✗0.37
2026-07-10oos387.0565369.1812-4.62%497.5054+28.54%0.2941✗0.38
2026-07-09oos384.1996366.0446-4.73%500.8899+30.37%0.3034✗0.38
2026-07-08oos386.8325367.2014-5.07%495.0018+27.96%0.2823✗0.39
2026-07-07oos395.9656375.037-5.29%498.6103+25.92%0.2792✗0.38
2026-07-06oos386.285368.0298-4.73%485.4855+25.68%0.2733✗0.39
2026-07-05oos416.0984393.5785-5.41%490.0645+17.78%0.2163✗0.41
2026-07-02oos398.6235375.864-5.71%457.4987+14.77%0.1882✗0.41
2026-07-01oos384.3041363.2581-5.48%459.7086+19.62%0.2179✗0.38
2026-06-30oos377.3061357.1253-5.35%446.0312+18.21%0.1849✗0.37
2026-06-29oos371.3086352.0004-5.20%425.5053+14.60%0.1658✗0.40
2026-06-27oos400.4003377.4845-5.72%381.4024-4.74%0.0152✓0.42
2026-06-26oos372.7968352.9282-5.33%388.475+4.21%0.0608✗0.41
2026-06-25oos360.8665343.1201-4.92%384.0005+6.41%0.0827✗0.40
2026-06-24oos365.8735349.7291-4.41%381.6662+4.32%0.0668✗0.42
2026-06-23oos373.6131356.4366-4.60%385.9266+3.30%0.0644✗0.40
2026-06-22oos372.8565354.8847-4.82%391.5658+5.02%0.0848✗0.41
2026-06-21oos382.5023365.4889-4.45%399.5144+4.45%0.0670✗0.43
2026-06-19oos382.5023363.6865-4.92%385.3692+0.75%0.0497✓0.43
2026-06-18oos380.7305361.8154-4.97%–pending––0.43
2026-06-17oos389.1668368.8554-5.22%394.4327+1.35%0.0707✗0.42
2026-06-16oos396.7122374.5253-5.59%400.3705+0.92%0.0783✗0.40
2026-06-15oos403.093379.8847-5.76%396.9262-1.53%0.0539✓0.42
2026-06-14oos416.3522392.6259-5.70%386.7578-7.11%0.0101✓0.45
2026-06-13oos421.3493396.1594-5.98%389.8288-7.48%0.0000✓0.47
2026-06-12oos391.7251369.4254-5.69%396.4982+1.22%0.0694✗0.42
2026-06-11oos392.8201369.1357-6.03%395.5028+0.68%0.0676✗0.42
2026-06-10oos400.0669375.1015-6.24%387.0565-3.25%0.0119✓0.46
2026-06-09oos405.8056378.2792-6.78%384.1996-5.32%0.0040✓0.48
2026-06-08oos410.4991381.0721-7.17%386.8325-5.77%0.0210✓0.45
2026-06-05oos417.9947385.2788-7.83%416.0984-0.45%0.0592✓0.43
2026-06-04oos428.4369393.2495-8.21%–pending––0.42
2026-06-03oos427.7002391.3259-8.50%–pending––0.41
2026-06-02oos441.8255398.5976-9.78%398.6235-9.78%0.0291✓0.36
2026-06-01oos459.4547413.8051-9.94%384.3041-16.36%0.0274✓0.27
2026-05-31oos455.1246417.5187-8.26%377.3061-17.10%0.0352✓0.29
2026-05-29oos440.3224402.6381-8.56%–pending––0.29
2026-05-28oos431.6969398.6063-7.67%400.4003-7.25%0.0636✓0.29
2026-05-27oos418.0295386.7553-7.48%372.7968-10.82%0.0254✓0.29
2026-05-26oos415.1428384.2236-7.45%360.8665-13.07%0.0100✓0.30
2026-05-25oos426.6948399.3083-6.42%365.8735-14.25%0.0110✓0.32
2026-05-24oos426.6899398.9527-6.50%373.6131-12.44%0.0002✓0.32
2026-05-23oos426.6749398.1184-6.69%372.8565-12.61%0.0076✓0.32
2026-05-22oos422.6036393.8242-6.81%382.5023-9.49%0.0268✓0.32
2026-05-21oos421.21395.5294-6.10%–pending––0.33
2026-05-20oos417.7398393.1996-5.87%382.5023-8.44%0.0373✓0.33
2026-05-19oos417.0968392.3585-5.93%380.7305-8.72%0.0353✓0.33
2026-05-18oos422.9837397.9087-5.93%389.1668-7.99%0.0346✓0.32
2026-05-17oos423.871400.2343-5.58%396.7122-6.41%0.0441✓0.32
2026-05-15oos412.0971395.9566-3.92%416.3522+1.03%0.1095✗0.32
2026-05-14oos408.4034398.2316-2.49%421.3493+3.17%0.1341✗0.34
2026-05-13oos405.3378392.0584-3.28%391.7251-3.36%0.0693✗0.32
2026-05-12oos411.8528400.3211-2.80%392.8201-4.62%0.0542✗0.31
2026-05-11oos413.8268408.5048-1.29%400.0669-3.33%0.0771✗0.34
2026-05-08oos418.2183410.3797-1.87%–pending––0.33
2026-05-07oos420.7157413.4162-1.74%–pending––0.33
2026-05-06oos416.3092415.4664-0.20%417.9947+0.40%0.0646✗0.20
2026-05-05oos409.5798409.0445-0.13%428.4369+4.60%0.0870✗0.17
2026-05-04oos413.0442407.8812-1.25%427.7002+3.55%0.0850✗0.17
2026-05-01oos421.7674412.2727-2.25%455.1246+7.91%0.1110✗0.20
2026-04-30oos408.6427397.1002-2.82%–pending––0.19
2026-04-29oos425.6157410.1211-3.64%440.3224+3.46%0.0772✗0.19
2026-04-28oos428.437414.4425-3.27%431.6969+0.76%0.0482✗0.20
2026-04-27oos425.4163415.1819-2.41%418.0295-1.74%0.0146✓0.19
2026-04-26oos422.1662417.2363-1.17%415.1428-1.66%0.0025✓0.21
2026-04-24oos425.7353419.0834-1.56%426.6899+0.22%0.0193✗0.21
2026-04-23oos418.7816418.6306-0.04%426.6749+1.88%0.0234✗0.21
2026-04-22oos427.6743425.9463-0.40%422.6036-1.19%0.0003✓0.21
2026-04-21oos425.9746414.9066-2.60%421.21-1.12%0.0118✓0.21
2026-04-20oos417.9691405.1819-3.06%417.7398-0.05%0.0263✓0.20
2026-04-17oos426.2487415.9206-2.42%423.871-0.56%0.0181✓0.20
2026-04-16oos420.0627406.3927-3.25%–pending––0.19
2026-04-15oos416.0649402.9441-3.15%412.0971-0.95%0.0119✓0.19
2026-04-14oos394.6206382.5188-3.07%408.4034+3.49%0.0492✗0.18
2026-04-13oos386.8644377.1891-2.50%405.3378+4.78%0.0609✗0.18
2026-04-10oos377.6526366.6649-2.91%–pending––0.15
2026-04-09oos373.1265358.6419-3.88%–pending––0.14
2026-04-08oos373.939358.5802-4.11%418.2183+11.84%0.1371✗0.14
2026-04-07oos382.6075367.3155-4.00%420.7157+9.96%0.1211✗0.14
2026-04-06oos378.6047358.8962-5.21%416.3092+9.96%0.1288✗0.12
2026-04-03oos379.7363357.5519-5.84%–pending––0.12
2026-04-02oos379.7562357.7908-5.78%–pending––0.12
2026-04-01oos382.6374361.2661-5.59%421.7674+10.23%0.1388✗0.12
2026-03-31oos384.0829362.6284-5.59%408.6427+6.39%0.1065✗0.12
2026-03-30oos371.5713351.2442-5.47%425.6157+14.54%0.1793✗0.10
2026-03-27oos368.7998348.7262-5.44%422.1662+14.47%0.1736✗0.10
2026-03-26oos378.9487360.2408-4.94%–pending––0.09
2026-03-25oos382.2785367.4949-3.87%425.7353+11.37%0.1394✗0.09
2026-03-24oos375.0008359.1073-4.24%418.7816+11.67%0.1446✗0.09
2026-03-23oos390.1344373.3616-4.30%427.6743+9.62%0.1272✗0.09
2026-03-20oos388.5193370.9036-4.53%–pending––0.09
2026-03-19oos389.6758371.2409-4.73%–pending––0.09
2026-03-18oos387.652372.5719-3.89%426.2487+9.96%0.1274✗0.09
2026-03-17oos398.6084389.905-2.18%420.0627+5.38%0.0732✗0.08
2026-03-16oos413.5925407.6007-1.45%416.0649+0.60%0.0206✗0.07
2026-03-13oos396.3753382.6066-3.47%–pending––0.07
2026-03-12oos416.1547398.7966-4.17%–pending––0.08
2026-03-11oos389.9988374.4427-3.99%377.6526-3.17%0.0059✓0.07
2026-03-10oos420.004399.5431-4.87%373.1265-11.16%0.0704✓0.08
2026-03-09oos422.5885401.001-5.11%373.939-11.51%0.0730✓0.08
2026-03-06oos407.8403389.2-4.57%–pending––0.08
2026-03-05oos410.1653395.1259-3.67%–pending––0.08
2026-03-04oos406.124394.1641-2.94%379.7363-6.50%0.0321✓0.06
2026-03-03oos403.0805386.279-4.17%379.7562-5.79%0.0155✓0.07
2026-03-02oos398.4006383.2774-3.80%382.6374-3.96%0.0008✓0.08
2026-02-27oos399.6529383.7699-3.97%–pending––0.06
2026-02-26oos397.1134382.4345-3.70%–pending––0.07
2026-02-25oos401.2545385.9169-3.82%368.7998-8.09%0.0437✓0.07
2026-02-24oos388.4571372.8396-4.02%378.9487-2.45%0.0136✓0.04
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