MON

Monad · native · gru_s3

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 972

Track record at +7d

assessed

317

of 324 predictions shown

direction hit

50.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0941

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0233

actual +0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.022257	0.021505	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.022069	0.021463	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.021526	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.020414	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.020594	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.021179	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.02223	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.022293	-2.82%	0.022257	-2.97%	0.0415	✓	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.023414	-2.82%	0.022069	-8.40%	0.1063	✓	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.023713	-2.82%	0.022084	-9.50%	0.0680	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.023438	-3.39%	0.0209	-13.86%	0.1165	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.026528	-3.70%	0.021073	-23.51%	0.2001	✓	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.02404	-4.33%	0.021746	-13.46%	0.0729	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.023235	-4.84%	0.022843	-6.44%	0.0017	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.022748	-5.13%	0.022939	-4.33%	0.0006	✓	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.024064	-5.38%	0.024094	-5.26%	0.0312	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.027007	-5.00%	0.024401	-14.16%	0.0616	✓	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.0301	-4.32%	0.024261	-22.88%	0.1496	✓	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.032037	-3.91%	0.027548	-17.37%	0.1055	✓	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.032533	-3.95%	0.025129	-25.81%	0.2276	✓	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.030936	-4.26%	0.024415	-24.44%	0.2038	✓	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.032206	-4.33%	0.023977	-28.77%	0.2420	✓	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.030291	-4.61%	0.025431	-19.92%	0.1702	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.025508	-5.03%	0.028428	+5.84%	0.0772	✗	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.027116	-4.99%	0.031459	+10.23%	0.1102	✗	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.026722	-4.94%	0.03334	+18.60%	0.1872	✗	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.025459	-4.78%	0.033871	+26.68%	0.2800	✗	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.025167	-4.67%	0.032313	+22.39%	0.2430	✗	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.023914	-4.27%	0.033663	+34.76%	0.3341	✗	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.023059	-3.91%	0.031757	+32.34%	0.3342	✗	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.026183	-4.12%	0.026859	-1.64%	0.0670	✗	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.024706	-3.60%	0.028539	+11.36%	0.1951	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.024165	-3.30%	0.02811	+12.49%	0.0920	✗	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.024085	-2.92%	0.026738	+7.76%	0.0476	✗	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.024048	-2.53%	0.026401	+7.00%	0.0362	✗	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.022947	-1.32%	0.02498	+7.42%	0.0650	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.022031	-0.50%	0.023997	+8.38%	0.0675	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.021672	-0.05%	0.027307	+25.93%	0.0364	✗	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.02283	-0.37%	0.025628	+11.84%	0.0374	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.022681	+0.16%	0.02499	+10.35%	0.0147	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.023245	+0.46%	0.024811	+7.23%	0.0092	✗	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.023533	+0.95%	0.024673	+5.84%	0.0217	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.023192	+1.18%	0.023255	+1.45%	0.0064	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.025236	+1.03%	0.022142	-11.35%	0.0905	✗	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025905	+1.07%	0.021684	-15.40%	0.1246	✗	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.027299	+1.09%	0.022915	-15.15%	0.1585	✗	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.027507	+1.48%	0.022645	-16.45%	0.1318	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.025461	+2.12%	0.023138	-7.20%	0.0501	✗	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025568	+2.12%	0.023311	-6.89%	0.0487	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027688	+2.16%	0.022922	-15.42%	0.1076	✗	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.025639	+1.08%	0.024977	-1.52%	0.0425	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.026729	+0.94%	0.025632	-3.20%	0.0593	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.026747	+1.09%	0.027005	+2.06%	0.0013	✓	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.026677	+0.48%	0.027105	+2.09%	0.0269	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.026897	+0.66%	0.024932	-6.70%	0.1017	✗	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.027447	+0.41%	0.025037	-8.41%	0.1217	✗	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.028768	+0.56%	0.027102	-5.26%	0.0752	✗	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.028503	-0.28%	0.025364	-11.26%	0.0885	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.027564	-0.68%	0.026479	-4.59%	0.0218	✓	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.031272	-0.99%	0.026459	-16.23%	0.1603	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.03001	-1.38%	0.02655	-12.75%	0.1215	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.027709	-1.51%	0.026721	-5.02%	0.0556	✓	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.028199	-1.58%	0.027336	-4.59%	0.0232	✓	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.025975	-2.78%	0.028608	+7.07%	0.0258	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.022019	-2.44%	0.028582	+26.64%	0.1067	✗	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.020743	-2.29%	0.027753	+30.74%	0.0532	✗	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.021217	-2.53%	0.031585	+45.10%	0.1459	✗	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.01987	-2.02%	0.03043	+50.05%	0.1702	✗	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.020437	-2.13%	0.028133	+34.72%	0.0770	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.02067	-2.13%	0.028652	+35.66%	0.0638	✗	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.02106	-2.15%	0.026718	+24.14%	0.0685	✗	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.021335	-2.15%	0.022569	+3.51%	0.0523	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.020986	-1.96%	0.021228	-0.83%	0.0098	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.021304	-2.04%	0.021767	+0.09%	0.0110	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.020623	-1.66%	0.02028	-3.30%	0.0222	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.020538	-1.57%	0.020882	+0.08%	0.0533	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.020583	-1.49%	0.02112	+1.08%	0.0630	✗	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.020148	-1.42%	0.021522	+5.30%	0.0823	✗	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.020671	-1.51%	0.021804	+3.89%	0.0766	✗	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.020236	-1.44%	0.021406	+4.26%	0.0662	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.021159	-1.71%	0.021747	+1.02%	0.0186	✗	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.020608	-1.68%	0.020972	+0.06%	0.0094	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.02012	-1.66%	0.020865	+1.98%	0.0064	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.02037	-1.64%	0.020895	+0.89%	0.0157	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.021354	-1.59%	0.020439	-5.81%	0.0349	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.020475	-1.37%	0.020988	+1.10%	0.0103	✓	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.020971	-1.24%	0.020531	-3.32%	0.0254	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.019899	-1.05%	0.021527	+7.05%	0.0834	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.021121	-1.10%	0.02096	-1.85%	0.0298	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020392	-1.01%	0.02046	-0.68%	0.0349	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021611	-1.14%	0.02071	-5.26%	0.0163	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.02211	-1.01%	0.0217	-2.84%	0.0120	✓	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.022701	-0.96%	0.02076	-9.42%	0.0442	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022715	-0.96%	0.021235	-7.41%	0.0126	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022603	-1.17%	0.02011	-12.07%	0.0850	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.021006	-1.01%	0.021355	+0.64%	0.0029	✓	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021341	-1.06%	0.0206	-4.50%	0.0248	✓	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021676	-1.20%	0.02186	-0.36%	0.0043	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.021293	-1.24%	0.022335	+3.59%	0.0194	✗	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.022004	-1.28%	0.02292	+2.83%	0.0113	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022358	-1.33%	0.022935	+1.21%	0.0071	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.021986	-1.36%	0.02287	+2.60%	0.0283	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022494	-1.36%	0.02122	-6.95%	0.0800	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.021993	-1.24%	0.02157	-3.14%	0.0436	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022675	-1.24%	0.02194	-4.44%	0.0273	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022801	-1.21%	0.02156	-6.59%	0.0706	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022813	-1.20%	0.02229	-3.46%	0.0853	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.024011	-1.51%	0.02266	-7.05%	0.0992	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.024501	-1.88%	0.02229	-10.73%	0.0512	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021393	-0.91%	0.022805	+5.63%	0.0600	✗	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.020963	-0.74%	0.02227	+5.45%	0.0431	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020375	-0.61%	0.02296	+12.00%	0.0788	✗	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019885	-0.50%	0.02308	+15.49%	0.1057	✗	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019919	-0.60%	0.02309	+15.22%	0.0868	✗	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.018311	-0.10%	0.02438	+33.01%	0.1634	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018885	-0.19%	0.02497	+31.98%	0.1823	✗	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018645	-0.08%	0.02159	+15.70%	0.0383	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018826	-0.02%	0.02112	+12.16%	0.0320	✗	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019329	-0.06%	0.0205	+6.00%	0.0080	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.019143	-0.04%	0.019985	+4.36%	0.0047	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019628	-0.24%	0.02004	+1.86%	0.0488	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.020023	-0.36%	0.01833	-8.78%	0.0270	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020522	-0.52%	0.01892	-8.29%	0.0248	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.02063	-0.58%	0.01866	-10.07%	0.0062	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020451	-0.65%	0.01883	-8.53%	0.0360	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020524	-0.66%	0.01934	-6.39%	0.0380	✗	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.020937	-0.68%	0.01915	-9.16%	0.0014	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021577	-0.88%	0.019675	-9.62%	0.0046	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.022759	-1.22%	0.020095	-12.78%	0.0434	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022338	-1.20%	0.02063	-8.76%	0.0181	✓	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022222	-1.19%	0.02075	-7.74%	0.0021	✓	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021601	-1.00%	0.020585	-5.66%	0.0426	✓	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020921	-0.76%	0.02066	-1.99%	0.0108	✓	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021434	-0.81%	0.02108	-2.45%	0.0022	✓	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.020949	-0.48%	0.02177	+3.42%	0.0465	✓	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.02115	-0.56%	0.02304	+8.32%	0.0243	✓	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020763	-0.46%	0.02261	+8.39%	0.0047	✓	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.021991	-0.81%	0.02249	+1.44%	0.0442	✓	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.021043	-0.17%	0.02182	+3.51%	0.0657	✓	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.021034	-0.12%	0.02108	+0.09%	0.0701	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021423	-0.49%	0.02161	+0.37%	0.0158	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020432	-0.04%	0.02105	+2.98%	0.1037	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.020395	-0.27%	0.02127	+4.01%	0.1861	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.022176	-1.48%	0.02086	-7.33%	0.1713	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.023285	-2.08%	0.02217	-6.77%	0.2367	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.022799	-1.87%	0.02108	-9.27%	0.2719	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.022899	-1.64%	0.02106	-9.54%	0.2495	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.023278	-1.70%	0.02153	-9.08%	0.1777	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.022921	-1.67%	0.02044	-12.31%	0.1532	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.024446	-2.33%	0.02045	-18.30%	0.0511	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.025547	-2.75%	0.02251	-14.31%	0.0116	✓	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.024686	-2.31%	0.02378	-5.90%	0.0407	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.025206	-2.19%	0.023235	-9.84%	0.0199	✓	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.025601	-2.10%	0.02328	-10.98%	0.0496	✓	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.027762	-3.10%	0.02368	-17.35%	0.0739	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.026191	-2.65%	0.02331	-13.36%	0.0501	✓	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.025313	-2.31%	0.02503	-3.40%	0.0084	✓	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.026218	-2.82%	0.02627	-2.63%	0.0044	✓	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.026894	-3.26%	0.02527	-9.10%	0.0532	✓	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.026829	-3.32%	0.02577	-7.14%	0.0096	✓	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.027308	-3.44%	0.02615	-7.53%	0.0322	✓	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.02859	-3.96%	0.02865	-3.76%	0.0737	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.029028	-3.88%	0.026905	-10.91%	0.0370	✓	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.029615	-4.00%	0.02591	-16.01%	0.0552	✓	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.032166	-4.32%	0.02698	-19.75%	0.0776	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.033928	-4.40%	0.0278	-21.67%	0.1053	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.033193	-4.26%	0.02775	-19.96%	0.1287	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.032868	-4.04%	0.02828	-17.43%	0.1283	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.031283	-3.39%	0.02977	-8.06%	0.0701	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.031292	-3.09%	0.0302	-6.47%	0.0000	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.030463	-2.71%	0.03085	-1.47%	0.0190	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.028827	-2.12%	0.03362	+14.16%	0.1275	✗	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.028563	-1.95%	0.03549	+21.83%	0.1654	✗	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.029554	-1.85%	0.03467	+15.14%	0.1314	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.029609	-1.57%	0.03425	+13.86%	0.1175	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.026872	-1.06%	0.03238	+19.22%	0.1320	✗	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.026702	-1.10%	0.03229	+19.59%	0.1067	✗	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.028715	-1.49%	0.03131	+7.41%	0.0194	✗	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.030082	-1.76%	0.02945	-3.82%	0.0574	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.031467	-1.94%	0.02913	-9.22%	0.0755	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.030716	-1.86%	0.03011	-3.80%	0.0353	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.030073	-2.01%	0.03008	-1.99%	0.0114	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.031832	-2.00%	0.02716	-16.38%	0.1289	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.033019	-2.06%	0.027	-19.92%	0.1639	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.032008	-2.24%	0.02915	-10.97%	0.0930	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.031107	-2.47%	0.03062	-4.00%	0.0387	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.029221	-2.86%	0.03209	+6.68%	0.0172	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.031548	-2.78%	0.0313	-3.54%	0.0377	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.033927	-2.48%	0.03069	-11.78%	0.1058	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.033392	-2.65%	0.03248	-5.31%	0.0762	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.03422	-2.62%	0.033715	-4.06%	0.0676	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.033584	-2.65%	0.03274	-5.10%	0.0601	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.035085	-2.62%	0.031895	-11.48%	0.1176	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.031793	-2.80%	0.03008	-8.04%	0.1050	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.034606	-2.68%	0.03245	-8.75%	0.1052	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.034183	-2.64%	0.03479	-0.91%	0.0450	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.032092	-2.63%	0.0343	+4.07%	0.0145	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.030317	-2.64%	0.03514	+12.85%	0.0894	✗	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.029619	-2.57%	0.0345	+13.49%	0.1173	✗	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.026448	-2.41%	0.03603	+32.95%	0.2214	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.02757	-2.51%	0.03271	+15.66%	0.1427	✗	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.026599	-2.43%	0.03556	+30.45%	0.1988	✗	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.026589	-2.50%	0.03511	+28.75%	0.1827	✗	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.024462	-2.11%	0.03296	+31.89%	0.2201	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.023373	-1.92%	0.03114	+30.68%	0.2380	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.024372	-2.00%	0.0304	+22.24%	0.1605	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.02196	-1.57%	0.0271	+21.47%	0.1752	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.021716	-1.47%	0.02828	+28.31%	0.2129	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022912	-1.58%	0.02726	+17.10%	0.1573	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.022095	-1.32%	0.02727	+21.80%	0.2002	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.023958	-1.49%	0.02499	+2.75%	0.0729	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.025949	-1.78%	0.02383	-9.80%	0.0352	✓	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.023054	-1.20%	0.02487	+6.58%	0.1116	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.021348	-0.98%	0.02231	+3.48%	0.1090	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.020297	-1.14%	0.02204	+7.36%	0.1128	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.021142	-1.25%	0.02328	+8.73%	0.1374	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.022146	-1.31%	0.02239	-0.22%	0.0758	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021698	-1.28%	0.02432	+10.65%	0.1318	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.02274	-1.35%	0.02642	+14.62%	0.1491	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.023331	-1.14%	0.023335	-1.12%	0.0523	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.024481	-1.13%	0.02156	-12.92%	0.0649	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.023204	-1.09%	0.02053	-12.49%	0.0420	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021961	-0.99%	0.02141	-3.47%	0.0120	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021722	-0.88%	0.02244	+2.40%	0.0398	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.02102	-0.85%	0.02198	+3.68%	0.0548	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.021201	-0.98%	0.02305	+7.66%	0.0664	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021352	-1.01%	0.0236	+9.41%	0.0355	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.021002	-1.07%	0.02476	+16.63%	0.0588	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.020205	-1.05%	0.02346	+14.89%	0.0347	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021437	-1.12%	0.02218	+2.31%	0.0324	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021499	-1.11%	0.021915	+0.80%	0.0275	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021505	-1.08%	0.0212	-2.48%	0.0084	✓	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.0223	-1.15%	0.02141	-5.10%	0.0007	✓	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.020154	-1.11%	0.02157	+5.84%	0.0410	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.020958	-1.19%	0.02123	+0.09%	0.0195	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020604	-1.18%	0.02042	-2.06%	0.0123	✓	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020862	-1.27%	0.02168	+2.60%	0.0340	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020411	-1.25%	0.02174	+5.18%	0.0285	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020768	-1.29%	0.02174	+3.33%	0.0049	✓	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.02127	-1.35%	0.02256	+4.64%	0.0100	✓	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.01981	-1.10%	0.02038	+1.75%	0.0356	✓	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.020283	-1.21%	0.02121	+3.31%	0.0175	✓	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019597	-1.30%	0.02085	+5.01%	0.0894	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.020329	-1.41%	0.02113	+2.47%	0.0531	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020703	-1.60%	0.02067	-1.76%	0.0298	✗	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.02012	-1.56%	0.02104	+2.94%	0.0371	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019848	-1.55%	0.02156	+6.94%	0.0597	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.021694	-1.97%	0.02003	-9.49%	0.0296	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.022988	-2.22%	0.02053	-12.68%	0.0521	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.023435	-2.43%	0.019855	-17.34%	0.1492	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.022826	-2.41%	0.02062	-11.84%	0.0758	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.022258	-2.29%	0.02104	-7.64%	0.0446	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019849	-1.49%	0.02044	+1.44%	0.0188	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018804	-1.29%	0.02016	+5.83%	0.0780	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.019335	-1.80%	0.02213	+12.39%	0.1531	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017732	-1.27%	0.02351	+30.90%	0.2990	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017887	-1.29%	0.02402	+32.56%	0.3151	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018371	-1.28%	0.02339	+25.69%	0.2341	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.018302	-1.39%	0.02278	+22.74%	0.2425	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.017202	-0.22%	0.02015	+16.88%	0.1032	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.019331	-2.02%	0.01905	-3.45%	0.0835	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017286	-1.45%	0.01969	+12.26%	0.2560	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.018116	-1.92%	0.01796	-2.76%	0.1447	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.017559	-1.52%	0.01812	+1.63%	0.1504	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017736	-1.68%	0.01861	+3.16%	0.2185	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.019633	-2.76%	0.01856	-8.07%	0.1713	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.019451	-2.79%	0.01724	-13.84%	0.2641	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.020585	-3.26%	0.01973	-7.28%	0.2232	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.021387	-3.58%	0.01754	-20.92%	0.0192	✓	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.018169	-3.41%	0.01847	-1.81%	0.1610	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.017142	-3.64%	0.01783	+0.22%	0.1840	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.018219	-4.56%	0.01804	-5.50%	0.1374	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.017357	-5.23%	0.02019	+10.24%	0.2251	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.01708	-5.64%	0.02001	+10.55%	0.2264	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.017647	-5.93%	0.02128	+13.43%	0.1899	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.016779	-6.21%	0.02218	+23.98%	0.2684	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.018705	-7.03%	0.01881	-6.51%	0.0547	✓	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.020219	-7.08%	0.01779	-18.24%	0.0503	✓	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.020497	-7.29%	0.01909	-13.66%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.020628	-7.46%	0.018315	-17.83%	0.0540	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.020409	-7.78%	0.0181	-18.21%	0.0540	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.021435	-7.55%	0.01876	-19.09%	0.0538	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.022938	-7.32%	0.01789	-27.72%	0.1684	✓	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.021236	-7.95%	0.02012	-12.79%	0.0682	✓	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.021951	-7.92%	0.02176	-8.72%	0.0375	✓	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.022353	-7.82%	0.02211	-8.82%	0.0602	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.024183	-7.42%	0.02229	-14.66%	0.1328	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.025839	-7.05%	0.02213	-20.40%	0.2006	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.024893	-7.15%	0.023185	-13.52%	0.1280	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.02785	-6.67%	0.02475	-17.06%	0.1319	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.026384	-6.77%	0.02307	-18.48%	0.1110	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.026844	-6.63%	0.02384	-17.08%	0.1128	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.027397	-6.56%	0.02425	-17.29%	0.1198	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.026061	-6.76%	0.02612	-6.55%	0.0030	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.022133	-6.61%	0.0278	+17.30%	0.2102	✗	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.021261	-6.34%	0.02681	+18.11%	0.2041	✗	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.021162	-6.36%	0.02984	+32.04%	0.3044	✗	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.020206	-5.89%	0.0283	+31.81%	0.2911	✗	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.021098	-5.98%	0.02875	+28.12%	0.2855	✗	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.021755	-5.82%	0.02932	+26.93%	0.2799	✗	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.02204	-5.53%	0.02795	+19.80%	0.2197	✗	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.021943	-5.22%	0.0237	+2.38%	0.0665	✗	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.020693	-4.60%	0.0227	+4.66%	0.0934	✗	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.01904	-3.65%	0.0226	+14.37%	0.1604	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.018571	-3.33%	0.02147	+11.76%	0.1615	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.019798	-3.43%	0.02244	+9.46%	0.1339	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.018264	-2.69%	0.0231	+23.07%	0.2407	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.01858	-2.47%	0.02333	+22.47%	0.2368	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.016651	-1.53%	0.02315	+36.90%	0.3097	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.018387	-1.83%	0.02169	+15.80%	0.1491	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.021025	-2.44%	0.01976	-8.31%	0.0572	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.019418	-2.27%	0.01921	-3.32%	0.0352	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.020041	-2.90%	0.0205	-0.68%	0.0173	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.022778	-3.11%	0.01877	-20.16%	0.1719	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.02334	-3.03%	0.01905	-20.86%	0.1786	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.025454	-3.00%	0.01691	-35.56%	0.3293	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.026123	-2.92%	0.01873	-30.40%	0.2673	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.026559	-2.96%	0.02155	-21.26%	0.1554	✓	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.027308	-2.85%	0.01987	-29.31%	0.2701	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.024707	-3.41%	0.02064	-19.31%	0.1549	✓	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.02634	-3.13%	0.02351	-13.53%	0.1246	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.026341	-3.27%	0.02407	-11.60%	0.1005	✓	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.026701	-3.57%	0.02624	-5.24%	0.0223	✓	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.02957	-3.18%	0.02691	-11.89%	0.0790	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.