MEMEROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s3

token id: #770
symbol: MEMEROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

Track record at +1d

assessed

38

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1121

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0011

actual -0.0488

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.009054	0.009058	+0.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-20	oos	0.009211	0.009221	+0.10%	0.009054	-1.72%	0.0181	✗	0.08
2026-10-19	oos	0.011556	0.011473	-0.72%	0.009211	-20.29%	0.2228	✓	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.010901	0.010865	-0.33%	0.011556	+6.00%	0.0622	✗	0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.010958	0.01094	-0.17%	0.010901	-0.52%	0.0054	✓	0.25
2026-10-16	oos	0.012207	0.01214	-0.54%	0.010958	-10.23%	0.1021	✓	0.24
2026-10-15	oos	0.014254	0.014033	-1.55%	0.012207	-14.36%	0.1381	✓	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	0.01064	0.010682	+0.39%	0.014254	+33.97%	0.2883	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.0117	0.011714	+0.12%	0.01064	-9.06%	0.0972	✗	-0.05
2026-10-12	oos	0.01209	0.012111	+0.17%	0.0117	-3.23%	0.0334	✗	-0.06
2026-10-11	oos	0.012425	0.012445	+0.16%	0.01209	-2.70%	0.0298	✗	-0.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.012195	0.012247	+0.43%	0.012425	+1.89%	0.0151	✓	-0.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.012895	0.012948	+0.41%	0.012195	-5.43%	0.0596	✗	-0.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.012035	0.012128	+0.77%	0.012895	+7.15%	0.0630	✓	-0.16
2026-10-07	oos	0.01357	0.01364	+0.52%	0.012035	-11.31%	0.1308	✗	-0.29
2026-10-06	oos	0.01678	0.01675	-0.18%	0.01357	-19.13%	0.2304	✓	-0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.017965	0.017907	-0.33%	0.01678	-6.60%	0.0668	✓	-0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.017285	0.017276	-0.05%	0.017965	+3.93%	0.0331	✗	-0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.01557	0.015655	+0.54%	0.017285	+11.01%	0.0784	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.0164	0.016495	+0.58%	0.01557	-5.06%	0.0605	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.017095	0.017196	+0.59%	0.0164	-4.07%	0.0433	✗	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.021475	0.021493	+0.08%	0.017095	-20.40%	0.2443	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.02495	0.024859	-0.36%	0.021475	-13.93%	0.1454	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.02912	0.028858	-0.90%	0.02495	-14.32%	0.1477	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.02693	0.026787	-0.53%	0.02912	+8.13%	0.0955	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.02853	0.028345	-0.65%	0.02693	-5.61%	0.0517	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03015	0.029917	-0.77%	0.02853	-5.37%	0.0513	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.02773	0.027633	-0.35%	0.03015	+8.73%	0.0907	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03443	0.034022	-1.19%	0.02773	-19.46%	0.2046	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03152	0.031271	-0.79%	0.03443	+9.23%	0.1176	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02677	0.026761	-0.03%	0.03152	+17.74%	0.1683	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.027265	0.027332	+0.25%	0.02677	-1.82%	0.0856	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.03062	0.03065	+0.10%	0.027265	-10.96%	0.1161	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.03075	0.03081	+0.20%	0.03062	-0.42%	0.0106	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03702	0.036968	-0.14%	0.03075	-16.94%	0.2418	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02977	0.029865	+0.32%	0.03702	+24.35%	0.2121	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.032345	0.032411	+0.20%	0.02977	-7.96%	0.0924	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.044095	0.044026	-0.16%	0.032345	-26.65%	0.2746	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04952	0.049335	-0.37%	0.044095	-10.96%	0.1300	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.