MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s3
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0811
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0085
actual -0.0046
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.714387 | -0.65% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.753852 | -0.75% | 0.719025 | -5.33% | 0.0360 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.767802 | -0.83% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0631 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.774075 | -0.90% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.739557 | -0.89% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0248 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.642687 | -0.55% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1550 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.622301 | -0.50% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0682 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.605994 | -0.43% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0044 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.596731 | -0.40% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.0970 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.594474 | -0.39% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0616 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.60639 | -0.41% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0869 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.608436 | -0.46% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.561612 | -0.30% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0803 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.51103 | -0.10% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0870 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.547071 | -0.24% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0480 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.685932 | -0.53% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1970 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.649503 | -0.47% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0624 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.668386 | -0.49% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.699939 | -0.63% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0618 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.705111 | -0.67% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.717913 | -0.70% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.739437 | -0.81% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0379 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.788692 | -0.96% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0554 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.772864 | -1.00% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0277 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.767555 | -1.03% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0289 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.757244 | -1.12% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0233 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.767383 | -1.29% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.722971 | -1.22% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0760 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.81572 | -1.72% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.1085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.887388 | -2.51% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0456 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.708556 | -1.84% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2550 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.514105 | -0.65% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2746 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.810566 | -2.23% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4479 | ✓ | 1.00 |