MARSCOIN

MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s3

token id: #52
symbol: MARSCOIN
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

57.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0738

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0066

actual -0.0078

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07975	0.079296	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.07935	0.078928	-0.53%	0.07975	+0.50%	0.0128	✗	0.83
2026-10-19	oos	0.07795	0.077612	-0.43%	0.07935	+1.80%	0.0114	✗	0.80
2026-10-18	oos	0.07555	0.075341	-0.28%	0.07795	+3.18%	0.0357	✗	0.81
2026-10-17	oos	0.07685	0.076655	-0.25%	0.07555	-1.69%	0.0208	✓	0.81
2026-10-16	oos	0.07985	0.079592	-0.32%	0.07685	-3.76%	0.0339	✓	0.81
2026-10-15	oos	0.07715	0.07701	-0.18%	0.07985	+3.50%	0.0427	✗	0.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.08255	0.082276	-0.33%	0.07715	-6.54%	0.0703	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.07945	0.079281	-0.21%	0.08255	+3.90%	0.0587	✗	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.08085	0.080676	-0.22%	0.07945	-1.73%	0.0317	✓	0.99
2026-10-11	oos	0.09555	0.094966	-0.61%	0.08085	-15.38%	0.1431	✓	0.76
2026-10-10	oos	0.09625	0.095653	-0.62%	0.09555	-0.73%	0.0081	✓	0.76
2026-10-09	oos	0.09325	0.092742	-0.54%	0.09625	+3.22%	0.0338	✗	0.74
2026-10-08	oos	0.09105	0.09061	-0.48%	0.09325	+2.42%	0.0213	✗	0.71
2026-10-07	oos	0.09505	0.094502	-0.58%	0.09105	-4.21%	0.0237	✓	0.70
2026-10-06	oos	0.10535	0.104544	-0.76%	0.09505	-9.78%	0.0806	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	0.10525	0.104461	-0.75%	0.10535	+0.10%	0.0098	✗	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	0.10865	0.107811	-0.77%	0.10525	-3.13%	0.0192	✓	0.55
2026-10-03	oos	0.11095	0.110022	-0.84%	0.10865	-2.07%	0.0332	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.1074	0.106548	-0.79%	0.11095	+3.31%	0.0377	✗	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.12765	0.12638	-0.99%	0.1074	-15.86%	0.1587	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.1371	0.135517	-1.15%	0.12765	-6.89%	0.0752	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.14065	0.138896	-1.25%	0.1371	-2.52%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.15785	0.154183	-2.32%	0.14065	-10.90%	0.0940	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.1233	0.122016	-1.04%	0.15785	+28.02%	0.2695	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.13445	0.132587	-1.39%	0.1233	-8.29%	0.0732	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.11835	0.11714	-1.02%	0.13445	+13.60%	0.1340	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.1152	0.114128	-0.93%	0.11835	+2.73%	0.0398	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.1364	0.134411	-1.46%	0.1152	-15.54%	0.1543	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.14165	0.138599	-2.15%	0.1364	-3.71%	0.0053	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.10195	0.101276	-0.66%	0.14165	+38.94%	0.3401	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.09225	0.092064	-0.20%	0.10195	+10.51%	0.0372	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.09905	0.098764	-0.29%	0.09225	-6.87%	0.0673	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.11315	0.11253	-0.55%	0.09905	-12.46%	0.1320	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.1172	0.116426	-0.66%	0.11315	-3.46%	0.0861	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.092	0.092089	+0.10%	0.1172	+27.39%	0.2385	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.08655	0.08674	+0.22%	0.092	+6.30%	0.0515	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.09165	0.091823	+0.19%	0.08655	-5.56%	0.0254	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.09765	0.097775	+0.13%	0.09165	-6.14%	0.0824	✗	1.00