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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · gru_s3

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
792
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
234
of 264 predictions shown
direction hit
56.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3352
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0319
actual +0.0948

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos3.42193.291-3.82%–pending––1.27
2026-10-20oos3.38263.2654-3.46%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.9981-3.12%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.9899-2.77%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11463.0211-3.00%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17523.0802-2.99%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.9511-2.45%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.9992-2.76%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.2243-3.68%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.2535-3.63%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.6538-4.72%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.4974-3.84%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.4983-3.53%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.4932-3.13%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.4772-2.67%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.7118-2.72%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.9154-2.57%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.6279-0.99%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.5275-1.10%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.5152-1.01%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.7433-1.62%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.8427-2.72%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.8023-3.32%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.236-4.62%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.4275-4.88%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.5947-5.15%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.6039-5.12%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.8025-5.33%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31965.016-5.71%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.8101-5.07%–pending––1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.5188-4.64%3.4219-27.79%0.2120✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.5216-5.30%3.3826-29.15%0.3261✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.5553-5.28%3.0947-35.65%0.3988✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.518-5.26%3.0752-35.51%0.4075✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.5225-5.99%3.1146-35.26%0.4895✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.3419-5.68%3.1752-31.03%0.4359✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.8396-4.48%3.0253-24.73%0.3888✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38854.1646-5.10%3.0842-29.72%0.3753✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.92-4.70%3.3476-18.61%0.2950✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21584.018-4.69%3.3759-19.92%0.2716✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35184.1474-4.70%3.8347-11.88%0.2171✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29234.0966-4.56%3.6372-15.26%0.2578✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.3147-4.67%3.6262-19.88%0.2650✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.5648-5.48%3.6061-25.33%0.3069✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.4842-5.09%3.5727-24.38%0.3195✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.3228-4.25%3.8154-15.49%0.2346✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.5168-5.00%4.0187-15.48%0.2422✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.5621-5.52%3.6643-24.12%0.3566✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.2627-4.04%3.5667-19.71%0.2518✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.6622-3.41%3.5512-6.34%0.1657✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.4399-2.28%3.8048+8.09%0.0422✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.4949-2.01%3.9499+10.75%0.0383✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.4527-2.14%3.9328+11.46%0.0619✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.4893-1.81%4.4413+24.97%0.1816✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.4473-1.40%4.6547+33.14%0.2249✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.6633-1.28%4.844+30.54%0.2342✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.4289-0.66%4.8522+40.57%0.2927✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.2919+0.25%5.0729+54.48%0.3704✓0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.4073+0.22%5.3196+56.46%0.3876✓0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.5089-1.77%5.0667+41.84%0.2668✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.21+0.65%4.7386+48.58%0.2778✓0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.2087+2.62%4.7745+52.70%0.3629✓0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.7015+1.25%4.8092+80.24%0.4898✓0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.5529-1.95%4.7687+83.15%0.4721✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.2531-4.48%4.8107+103.95%0.6021✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.2217-4.65%4.6035+97.57%0.5656✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.1635-4.99%4.0195+76.51%0.4363✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.1494-4.98%4.3885+94.01%0.5027✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.1279-4.79%4.1132+84.03%0.4636✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.1631-4.76%4.2158+85.61%0.4753✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.2201-4.95%4.3518+86.32%0.4724✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.2886-5.36%4.2923+77.50%0.4414✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.2577-5.23%4.5262+89.98%0.4885✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1966-4.64%4.8297+109.67%0.5847✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.1792-4.51%4.7248+107.03%0.5617✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1934-4.57%4.5148+96.43%0.4968✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.2484-5.31%4.7547+100.25%0.5180✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.1004-3.87%4.8289+121.01%0.6053✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.9862-3.51%4.4421+115.80%0.5560✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.9318-3.67%3.7914+89.05%0.4703✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.9591-3.63%3.52+73.16%0.3765✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.9428-3.69%3.5664+76.80%0.3751✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.9903-3.70%3.5283+70.70%0.3527✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.1924-3.84%3.5537+55.87%0.3012✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.0961-3.77%3.4962+60.52%0.3268✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.1944-4.52%3.7108+61.45%0.3159✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12862.0481-3.78%3.4518+62.16%0.3287✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14312.0794-2.97%3.2837+53.22%0.2943✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.9998-3.04%3.3999+64.84%0.3445✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.9759-2.75%3.5721+75.80%0.4211✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.1054-2.62%3.1894+47.52%0.2705✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.2469-2.33%3.1267+35.92%0.1910✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.2866-2.50%2.6682+13.77%0.0779✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.1213-2.65%2.6037+19.49%0.1598✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.1409-3.12%2.3588+6.74%0.0969✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.1892-2.98%2.33+3.26%0.0659✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.2161-3.19%2.2771-0.53%0.0407✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.2108-3.28%2.262-1.05%0.0329✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.3161-4.16%2.235-7.51%0.0138✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.4419-5.82%2.2713-12.40%0.0532✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.1694-5.85%2.3356+1.36%0.0614✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.4546-6.73%2.4181-8.12%0.0130✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.4062-6.64%2.3824-7.56%0.0112✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.4934-7.29%2.3035-14.36%0.0868✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.2496-6.13%2.2822-4.77%0.0028✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.1885-6.07%2.2984-1.35%0.0205✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.2975-6.51%2.3744-3.38%0.0232✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.3875-7.35%2.1849-15.21%0.0949✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.2883-6.90%2.0584-16.26%0.1108✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.069-6.00%2.0055-8.88%0.0351✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.9902-5.84%2.0328-3.82%0.0113✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.9413-6.17%2.0172-2.50%0.0253✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.9276-6.93%2.0669-0.21%0.0392✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.749-5.41%2.28+23.31%0.2093✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.7544-5.69%2.1781+17.08%0.1829✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.6392-5.10%2.2984+33.05%0.2974✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.6318-5.11%2.1286+23.78%0.2320✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.7127-6.04%2.1431+17.57%0.1763✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.5336-4.69%2.0626+28.18%0.2563✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.6011-5.59%2.0319+19.82%0.2118✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.4425-4.14%2.162+43.68%0.3783✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.5332-4.73%2.3005+42.95%0.3842✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.4944-4.67%2.3453+49.61%0.4180✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.4848-4.61%2.179+39.98%0.3739✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.475-4.57%2.2098+42.97%0.3916✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.5321-4.94%2.2564+39.99%0.3664✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.6234-5.66%2.2892+33.04%0.3490✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.6378-5.52%2.2859+31.87%0.3513✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.6002-5.29%2.4166+43.03%0.4284✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5913-5.66%2.5928+53.72%0.4953✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.5365-5.85%2.3042+41.20%0.4283✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.449-5.75%2.6319+71.19%0.5948✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.4613-6.21%2.5774+65.42%0.5653✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.317-5.36%2.6896+93.27%0.6910✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.4744-6.86%2.3965+51.38%0.4728✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.3809-6.35%2.33+58.02%0.5309✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.3414-6.42%2.4575+71.44%0.6052✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.3396-6.37%2.5769+80.11%0.6239✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.398-7.32%2.458+62.95%0.5379✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3507-7.05%2.201+51.47%0.4965✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.6041-10.15%2.1136+18.38%0.2937✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.448-9.72%2.0689+28.99%0.4346✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.2419-7.59%2.0712+54.13%0.7557✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2793-7.06%1.849+34.33%0.6968✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.2699-7.24%1.8603+35.89%0.6588✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1746-6.71%1.7274+37.19%0.6682✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.1071-5.55%1.7196+46.70%0.7166✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0776-4.95%1.8228+60.77%0.8206✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.1211-5.25%1.6091+35.99%0.6898✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.278-7.36%1.6959+22.92%0.5723✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.2018-6.93%1.5047+16.53%0.4741✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1565-5.79%1.6094+31.11%0.5456✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.1277-5.29%1.5676+31.67%0.5393✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.3064-8.39%1.5567+9.16%0.3804✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1938-6.47%1.5456+21.09%0.4771✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0841-5.03%1.6118+41.20%0.6123✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.939086-1.24%1.7207+80.95%0.8054✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.864933+0.17%1.7335+100.76%0.8873✓1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.879054-0.08%1.6896+92.04%0.8442✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.861831+0.45%1.6867+96.59%0.8864✓1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.91984+0.51%1.6319+78.31%0.8379✓1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.89501-0.22%1.5373+71.39%0.8100✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.928801+0.24%1.5581+68.16%0.8009✓1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.997942-0.18%1.3916+39.19%0.6692✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0564-0.04%1.5831+49.80%0.7445✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0479-0.60%1.4745+39.87%0.6352✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0686-1.15%1.4334+32.60%0.5754✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.991404+0.08%1.4307+44.42%0.6915✓1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.971833+1.89%1.5084+58.14%0.7969✓1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.982071+1.57%1.4531+50.29%0.6389✓1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.924821+2.43%1.7854+97.74%0.8748✓0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.936243+1.53%1.6039+73.94%0.7032✓1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.925333+1.91%1.3438+48.00%0.4728✓1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.927099+2.61%1.3765+52.35%0.4576✓1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.898125+1.63%1.369+54.91%0.4563✓1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.951254+0.30%1.2591+32.75%0.3135✓1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.907197+1.24%1.1722+30.81%0.2984✓1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.882287+2.18%1.1338+31.30%0.2964✓1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.937206+2.27%1.1832+29.12%0.2753✓1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.943209+1.46%1.3796+48.41%0.3863✓1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.958504+1.37%1.2913+36.57%0.3055✓1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.945645+2.30%1.2275+32.79%0.2861✓1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.902972+2.70%1.1906+35.42%0.3195✓1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.89942+0.16%1.426+58.80%0.4421✓1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.893899-0.58%1.2764+41.96%0.3308✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.874916-1.78%1.1415+28.15%0.2185✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.96501-1.41%0.9509-2.86%0.0337✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.047-0.17%0.86345-17.67%0.1976✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04591.027-1.80%0.8798-15.88%0.2007✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04191.0212-1.99%0.858-17.65%0.2398✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02571.0036-2.16%0.9152-10.78%0.1985✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.1166-2.33%0.897-21.54%0.2942✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0375-5.05%0.92655-15.20%0.2680✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1625-3.61%0.99975-17.11%0.2829✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0975-3.46%1.0568-7.04%0.1778✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.972716-4.12%1.0542+3.91%0.0541✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.95289-4.64%1.081+8.18%0.0130✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.0353-3.81%0.99065-7.96%0.1667✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.959971-6.32%0.95385-6.92%0.1990✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.946205-6.14%0.96685-4.09%0.1610✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.92148-6.65%0.9029-8.53%0.2170✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.928008-6.20%0.9221-6.80%0.1900✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.893195-5.84%0.908-4.28%0.1696✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.845756-5.04%0.9035+1.45%0.0950✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.83222-4.62%0.88375+1.29%0.0700✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.782671-3.05%0.94845+17.48%0.0474✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.800449-3.18%0.89605+8.38%0.0547✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.826525-3.70%0.8635+0.61%0.1331✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.847163-4.00%0.9164+3.84%0.1172✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.865513-5.06%0.9296+1.97%0.0688✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.981052-1.47%0.94555-5.04%0.1311✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0171.0114-0.55%0.9244-9.10%0.2091✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.941856-1.38%0.8792-7.94%0.1815✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.911039-2.99%0.898-4.38%0.1516✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.0238-2.74%0.8991-14.59%0.2403✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0528-1.00%0.89075-16.24%0.2203✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1718-1.76%0.97885-17.94%0.2738✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.2037-0.65%1.0488-13.44%0.2306✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.3115+1.19%1.0459-19.30%0.2455✗1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1895+2.30%1.0419-10.39%0.1317✗1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0876+0.23%1.0257-5.47%0.0799✗1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0941-1.24%1.1433+3.20%0.0081✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0826-1.46%1.0926-0.55%0.0124✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.131-1.85%1.2061+4.66%0.0220✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0487-2.15%1.1368+6.07%0.0348✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.033-2.17%1.0145-3.92%0.0485✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.995272-2.46%0.99925-2.07%0.0405✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.994232-2.51%1.0763+5.55%0.0236✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.1043-2.23%1.0248-9.27%0.1023✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.1173-1.87%1.008-11.47%0.1184✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.1988-0.85%0.9871-18.36%0.1331✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3736+0.15%0.98935-27.86%0.2341✗1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2805-1.36%0.9486-26.93%0.2752✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.344-1.12%0.8906-34.48%0.3993✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.3431-1.15%0.8725-35.78%0.4758✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3783-0.53%0.8073-41.74%0.5307✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.3508-0.44%0.82675-39.07%0.4928✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.4239-0.30%0.85825-39.91%0.4851✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.4517-0.24%0.8825-39.35%0.4683✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.4232-0.46%0.91165-36.24%0.5364✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3858-0.23%0.9957-28.32%0.4568✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.441-0.37%1.017-29.69%0.4031✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.5207-0.24%0.955-37.35%0.5197✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.5262-0.38%0.9391-38.70%0.4835✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4713-0.36%1.0527-28.71%0.3634✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.4426-0.24%1.0634-26.46%0.3645✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.5785-0.65%1.1928-24.92%0.3159✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.6728-0.89%1.2116-28.22%0.3566✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.6615-0.92%1.2961-22.71%0.3205✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.6334-0.88%1.1627-29.44%0.4104✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5851-0.76%1.0852-32.06%0.4357✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.424-0.33%1.1078-22.46%0.3243✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.4099-0.43%1.0986-22.42%0.3063✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.4585-0.79%1.1523-21.62%0.2604✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.532-1.09%1.0717-30.80%0.3588✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5986-1.31%1.0559-34.81%0.4102✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.6044-1.34%1.0204-37.25%0.4408✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.6357-1.63%1.0198-38.67%0.4057✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.4258-0.94%1.1295-21.53%0.3018✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.5457-1.88%1.1386-27.72%0.2363✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.4524-1.93%1.2091-18.36%0.1182✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.557-2.48%1.3715-14.10%0.0477✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4786-2.36%1.2982-14.27%0.0121✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.5252-2.62%1.3592-13.22%0.0181✓1.00