LIGHTER

? · · gru_s3

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 813

Track record at +7d

assessed

264

of 271 predictions shown

direction hit

49.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1240

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0301

actual +0.0181

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	3.422	3.3011	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.266	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	3.0184	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	3.0069	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.0531	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.1143	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	2.9883	-1.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.045	-1.30%	3.422	+10.92%	0.0987	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.2735	-2.30%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0352	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.3051	-2.06%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0672	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.7141	-3.23%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1626	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.5432	-2.58%	3.116	-14.32%	0.1027	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.5439	-2.32%	3.176	-12.46%	0.0920	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.5356	-1.98%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1631	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.5043	-1.95%	3.085	-13.68%	0.0975	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.7153	-2.69%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0622	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.8981	-3.01%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0757	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.5815	-2.28%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1184	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.5021	-1.82%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0702	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.4825	-1.76%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0761	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.708	-2.58%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0288	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.8365	-2.82%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0658	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.8084	-3.00%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0308	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.2779	-3.76%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1036	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.4653	-4.08%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2329	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.6361	-4.30%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2679	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.6421	-4.38%	3.545	-26.97%	0.2769	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	4.8456	-4.45%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2496	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.0709	-4.49%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2358	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	4.8468	-4.35%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1641	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.5395	-4.24%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0320	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.586	-4.02%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0513	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.6209	-4.02%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0165	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.586	-3.91%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0074	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.6388	-3.68%	5.071	+5.29%	0.0943	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.4508	-3.35%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0102	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.9299	-2.23%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0152	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.2549	-3.02%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0731	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	4.0079	-2.52%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0794	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.1007	-2.76%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0735	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.2242	-2.96%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0418	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.1666	-2.89%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1491	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.3855	-3.14%	4.605	+1.71%	0.0966	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.6613	-3.41%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.0827	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.5698	-3.23%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0198	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.3856	-2.89%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0143	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.6042	-3.15%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0305	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.6647	-3.28%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0165	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.3259	-2.59%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.0971	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.7096	-2.17%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1800	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.4588	-1.74%	4.826	+37.10%	0.3119	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.5005	-1.81%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2901	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.4567	-2.11%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2358	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.4799	-2.08%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2930	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4215	-2.16%	4.823	+37.92%	0.3215	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.6306	-2.17%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1903	✗	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.3723	-2.34%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1369	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.2052	-2.43%	3.52	+7.15%	0.1063	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.3164	-2.49%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0770	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.4706	-3.00%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0181	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.1023	-2.66%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1212	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.0544	-2.35%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1415	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.5932	-2.84%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2793	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5109	-3.50%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1854	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.2729	-3.65%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1793	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.2454	-3.71%	3.401	+45.84%	0.2094	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.1916	-3.71%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2720	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.1803	-3.78%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1759	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.1498	-3.77%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1530	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.1848	-3.80%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0586	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.246	-3.81%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0537	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.3248	-3.86%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0040	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.292	-3.82%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0081	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2179	-3.74%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0604	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.1975	-3.70%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0633	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.2126	-3.69%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0422	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.281	-3.80%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0101	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.112	-3.38%	2.335	+6.82%	0.1211	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	1.9933	-3.05%	2.418	+17.61%	0.2019	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9472	-2.81%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1945	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	1.9803	-2.83%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1285	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.964	-2.67%	2.282	+13.08%	0.1142	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.011	-2.75%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.0986	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2072	-3.23%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0786	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.115	-2.94%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0224	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.2279	-3.18%	2.056	-10.65%	0.0833	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.0735	-2.61%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0310	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.0904	-2.55%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0008	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.0163	-2.31%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0233	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	1.9864	-2.22%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0583	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.1039	-2.53%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0853	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2407	-2.79%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0006	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.277	-2.86%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0451	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1216	-2.64%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0216	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.147	-2.80%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0088	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.1893	-3.00%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0531	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.2139	-3.24%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.0885	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.2068	-3.42%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0395	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3195	-3.92%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0236	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.4812	-4.39%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0759	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.2038	-4.39%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0442	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.507	-4.68%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1357	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.4548	-4.74%	2.257	-12.42%	0.0940	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.557	-4.87%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1086	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.2834	-4.70%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0055	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.2178	-4.75%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0572	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.3397	-4.85%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0859	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.4506	-4.94%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0423	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.3433	-4.82%	2.63	+6.82%	0.1137	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.0992	-4.54%	2.577	+17.19%	0.1979	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0237	-4.45%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2672	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	1.9761	-4.40%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1750	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	1.981	-4.49%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1364	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.7782	-3.88%	2.459	+32.92%	0.2788	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.7873	-3.96%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3307	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.6672	-3.69%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3503	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.655	-3.78%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2546	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7512	-4.05%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1662	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.553	-3.48%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2694	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.633	-3.77%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2484	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4521	-3.45%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2911	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.5501	-3.78%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2242	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5089	-3.71%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1782	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.4972	-3.90%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1833	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.4825	-3.99%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2467	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.547	-4.09%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0759	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.645	-4.36%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0665	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.657	-4.44%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0671	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6136	-4.41%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0232	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.6102	-4.38%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0018	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.5596	-4.26%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0012	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.4749	-4.04%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0464	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.4944	-4.08%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0834	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.3457	-3.33%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2189	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5228	-3.87%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0954	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4132	-3.67%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1475	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.3816	-3.59%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1749	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.3814	-3.06%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1296	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.4501	-3.52%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0315	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4105	-3.79%	1.558	+6.28%	0.1023	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.6914	-5.03%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1640	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.5268	-4.93%	1.584	-1.37%	0.1113	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.278	-4.34%	1.467	+9.81%	0.3124	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.313	-4.65%	1.433	+4.07%	0.3040	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.3049	-4.72%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3500	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.2039	-4.60%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4696	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1254	-4.14%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4557	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.082	-4.08%	1.781	+57.89%	0.7036	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1329	-4.31%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5256	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.3175	-4.80%	1.336	-3.47%	0.1115	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2339	-4.72%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1642	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.1717	-4.46%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.2013	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1347	-4.32%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1394	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3514	-5.56%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0830	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2119	-5.17%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0264	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.0815	-4.63%	1.184	+4.41%	0.1038	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.91621	-3.96%	1.384	+45.07%	0.4081	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.834639	-3.34%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4457	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.84664	-3.52%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3923	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.827112	-3.49%	1.186	+38.39%	0.4142	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.879512	-3.88%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5374	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.865001	-3.67%	1.278	+42.32%	0.4182	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.890402	-3.90%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2982	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.957081	-4.24%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0674	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.0132	-4.33%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.0893	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0096	-4.12%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1023	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.0332	-4.07%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1702	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.95302	-3.64%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0564	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.921853	-3.37%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0068	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.934672	-3.24%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0033	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.883435	-2.49%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.1006	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.900258	-2.46%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1169	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.887661	-2.24%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1457	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.884285	-2.07%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1721	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.866259	-2.06%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0836	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.924922	-2.38%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0441	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.878575	-2.05%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0290	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.84875	-1.71%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0293	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.897706	-1.68%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0295	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.911704	-1.97%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0195	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.928631	-1.99%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0399	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.908752	-1.70%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0036	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.867394	-1.49%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1265	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.880517	-1.89%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0190	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.881412	-2.12%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0443	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.868243	-2.44%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0260	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.952627	-2.39%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0537	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0245	-2.38%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.0837	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.0159	-2.60%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1429	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0147	-2.67%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.1945	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	0.994321	-2.85%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1369	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1089	-3.03%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2307	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0595	-3.15%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2253	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1673	-3.21%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2211	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.103	-2.91%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1141	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	0.989854	-2.57%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0007	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.974812	-2.42%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0077	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0473	-2.40%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0587	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	0.999497	-2.44%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0447	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.985571	-2.37%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0756	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.963288	-2.30%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1296	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.966666	-2.26%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0620	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.929361	-2.07%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0079	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.873216	-1.78%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0848	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.856433	-1.67%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1642	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.796523	-1.36%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2160	✗	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.815457	-1.34%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1615	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.845663	-1.38%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1368	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.870291	-1.38%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1174	✗	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.898233	-1.51%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0870	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.978334	-1.63%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0435	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	0.992304	-1.61%	0.871	-13.63%	0.0922	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.939955	-1.47%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0830	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.927331	-1.40%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0822	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0354	-1.57%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1444	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0473	-1.57%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.1011	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1744	-1.68%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2334	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.1937	-1.59%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1835	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.2753	-1.60%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1796	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1499	-1.25%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1215	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0729	-1.30%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0489	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.0921	-1.35%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0018	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.0844	-1.37%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0116	✓	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1356	-1.47%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0610	✗	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.0562	-1.42%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1211	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.04	-1.42%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1550	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.0065	-1.42%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0400	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.0045	-1.43%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0395	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1112	-1.66%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0717	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.12	-1.75%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0668	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.1858	-1.87%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0226	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3471	-1.89%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.1889	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2757	-1.95%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2174	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3297	-2.01%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2573	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.3322	-1.97%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2717	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.3524	-2.00%	1.13	-18.12%	0.1849	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.331	-1.99%	1.14	-16.05%	0.1960	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.3996	-2.09%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2066	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4258	-2.07%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1190	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.4027	-1.95%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1586	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3594	-1.92%	1.357	-2.09%	0.0832	✓	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4155	-2.15%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0047	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.4799	-2.25%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0508	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.4971	-2.28%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0561	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4439	-2.17%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0200	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.4141	-2.14%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0012	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5543	-2.30%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0163	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.6457	-2.45%	1.386	-17.84%	0.0904	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.6398	-2.39%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.1034	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.6063	-2.35%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0250	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5633	-2.20%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0081	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.4017	-1.71%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0402	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.3939	-1.70%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0451	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.443	-1.90%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1173	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5148	-2.08%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1256	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.5851	-2.16%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0796	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.5973	-2.01%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0216	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6292	-2.09%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0056	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.4331	-0.20%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0580	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5448	-1.98%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4519	-2.03%	1.471	-0.74%	0.1080	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5527	-2.53%	1.547	-2.89%	0.1116	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.4793	-2.16%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1808	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5255	-2.46%	1.63	+4.22%	0.1936	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6697	-3.09%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1727	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.5613	-3.14%	1.436	-10.92%	0.2134	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.9237	-3.33%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.8763	-3.23%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0722	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.6554	-3.08%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0765	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5294	-3.05%	1.512	-4.15%	0.1070	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.751	-3.04%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0116	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.