KSKD
Kaskad · Igra · gru_s3
- token id
- #438
- symbol
- KSKD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Igra
- address
- 0x16d92794f5b81d2cded0f0958779a410401e6435
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-25
- predictions
- 423
Track record at +1d
assessed
140
of 141 predictions shown
direction hit
46.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0545
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0071
actual -0.0042
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004883 | 0.004811 | -1.48% | – | pending | – | – | -0.16 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004922 | 0.004851 | -1.46% | 0.004883 | -0.80% | 0.0062 | ✓ | -0.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004786 | -1.39% | 0.004922 | +1.41% | 0.0300 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00524 | 0.005151 | -1.69% | 0.004854 | -7.37% | 0.0600 | ✓ | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.0054 | 0.005309 | -1.69% | 0.00524 | -2.97% | 0.0112 | ✓ | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.006489 | 0.006339 | -2.32% | 0.0054 | -16.78% | 0.1606 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.007413 | 0.007111 | -4.08% | 0.006489 | -12.46% | 0.0940 | ✓ | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004916 | 0.004833 | -1.69% | 0.007413 | +50.79% | 0.4304 | ✗ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004991 | 0.004895 | -1.91% | 0.004916 | -1.49% | 0.0031 | ✓ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.005084 | 0.004991 | -1.82% | 0.004991 | -1.83% | 0.0062 | ✓ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005203 | 0.005088 | -2.21% | 0.005084 | -2.31% | 0.0120 | ✓ | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005152 | 0.005041 | -2.15% | 0.005203 | +0.99% | 0.0354 | ✗ | -0.41 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005563 | 0.005391 | -3.09% | 0.005152 | -7.38% | 0.0436 | ✓ | -0.40 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005154 | 0.004975 | -3.46% | 0.005563 | +7.95% | 0.1158 | ✗ | -0.40 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.003492 | 0.003431 | -1.75% | 0.005154 | +47.56% | 0.4039 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.003406 | 0.003351 | -1.62% | 0.003492 | +2.54% | 0.0377 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.003381 | 0.003324 | -1.68% | 0.003406 | +0.74% | 0.0239 | ✗ | -0.15 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003272 | 0.003218 | -1.68% | 0.003381 | +3.32% | 0.0484 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003436 | 0.003367 | -1.98% | 0.003272 | -4.74% | 0.0262 | ✓ | -0.12 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.003394 | 0.003327 | -1.98% | 0.003436 | +1.22% | 0.0325 | ✗ | -0.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.003457 | 0.003374 | -2.39% | 0.003394 | -1.82% | 0.0053 | ✓ | -0.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00302 | 0.00296 | -1.99% | 0.003457 | +14.47% | 0.1581 | ✗ | -0.18 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.003004 | 0.002942 | -2.07% | 0.00302 | +0.53% | 0.0260 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003096 | 0.003026 | -2.26% | 0.003004 | -2.99% | 0.0068 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.003466 | 0.003363 | -2.97% | 0.003096 | -10.66% | 0.0856 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00388 | 0.003688 | -4.96% | 0.003466 | -10.67% | 0.0619 | ✓ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002221 | 0.002158 | -2.83% | 0.00388 | +74.70% | 0.5874 | ✗ | -0.21 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001571 | 0.001548 | -1.48% | 0.002221 | +41.37% | 0.3607 | ✗ | -0.13 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001353 | 0.001338 | -1.13% | 0.001571 | +16.11% | 0.1607 | ✗ | -0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001315 | 0.001302 | -1.02% | 0.001353 | +2.89% | 0.0394 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.001338 | 0.001324 | -1.02% | 0.001315 | -1.72% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 0.36 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.001392 | 0.001376 | -1.16% | 0.001338 | -3.88% | 0.0583 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.001368 | 0.001352 | -1.17% | 0.001392 | +1.75% | 0.0296 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.001328 | 0.001314 | -1.08% | 0.001368 | +3.01% | 0.0385 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0013 | 0.001288 | -0.95% | 0.001328 | +2.15% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.001252 | 0.001241 | -0.84% | 0.0013 | +3.83% | 0.0449 | ✗ | 0.44 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00124 | 0.001229 | -0.88% | 0.001252 | +0.97% | 0.0155 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.001208 | 0.001198 | -0.79% | 0.00124 | +2.65% | 0.0497 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.001204 | 0.001195 | -0.77% | 0.001208 | +0.33% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.001187 | 0.00118 | -0.57% | 0.001204 | +1.43% | 0.0227 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.001178 | 0.001172 | -0.49% | 0.001187 | +0.76% | 0.0122 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.001187 | 0.001181 | -0.53% | 0.001178 | -0.76% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.001169 | 0.001164 | -0.44% | 0.001187 | +1.54% | 0.0310 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.001152 | 0.001148 | -0.33% | 0.001169 | +1.48% | 0.0191 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.001171 | 0.001166 | -0.43% | 0.001152 | -1.62% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.001061 | 0.001062 | +0.12% | 0.001171 | +10.42% | 0.1065 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.001063 | 0.001066 | +0.25% | 0.001061 | -0.24% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.001026 | 0.001031 | +0.45% | 0.001063 | +3.61% | 0.0298 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.00103 | 0.001037 | +0.67% | 0.001026 | -0.39% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.001032 | 0.001038 | +0.62% | 0.00103 | -0.19% | 0.0340 | ✗ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.001081 | 0.001087 | +0.53% | 0.001032 | -4.53% | 0.0510 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.001086 | 0.001092 | +0.55% | 0.001081 | -0.46% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.001139 | 0.001144 | +0.44% | 0.001086 | -4.65% | 0.0598 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.0012 | 0.001205 | +0.39% | 0.001139 | -5.08% | 0.0509 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.001204 | 0.001208 | +0.37% | 0.0012 | -0.33% | 0.0106 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.001218 | 0.001222 | +0.34% | 0.001204 | -1.15% | 0.0079 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.001322 | 0.001324 | +0.19% | 0.001218 | -7.87% | 0.0956 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.001371 | 0.001372 | +0.10% | 0.001322 | -3.57% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.001323 | 0.001325 | +0.14% | 0.001371 | +3.63% | 0.0388 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.001295 | 0.001297 | +0.13% | 0.001323 | +2.16% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.001334 | 0.001335 | +0.08% | 0.001295 | -2.92% | 0.0376 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.001455 | 0.001454 | -0.05% | 0.001334 | -8.32% | 0.0732 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.00134 | 0.001338 | -0.14% | 0.001455 | +8.58% | 0.0342 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.001375 | 0.00137 | -0.36% | 0.00134 | -2.55% | 0.0624 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.001374 | 0.001367 | -0.54% | 0.001375 | +0.07% | 0.0523 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.001366 | 0.001359 | -0.54% | 0.001374 | +0.59% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001388 | -0.65% | 0.001366 | -2.22% | 0.0383 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001388 | -0.64% | 0.001397 | +0.00% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.00143 | 0.00142 | -0.71% | 0.001397 | -2.31% | 0.0169 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.00143 | 0.00142 | -0.70% | 0.00143 | +0.00% | 0.0133 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.001488 | 0.001476 | -0.84% | 0.00143 | -3.90% | 0.0315 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.001402 | 0.001392 | -0.69% | 0.001488 | +6.13% | 0.0681 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.001393 | 0.001384 | -0.67% | 0.001402 | +0.65% | 0.0184 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.001395 | 0.001386 | -0.65% | 0.001393 | -0.14% | 0.0181 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.00139 | 0.001381 | -0.64% | 0.001395 | +0.36% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.001413 | 0.001403 | -0.70% | 0.00139 | -1.63% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.001412 | 0.001402 | -0.73% | 0.001413 | +0.07% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.001415 | 0.001404 | -0.76% | 0.001412 | -0.21% | 0.0101 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.001424 | 0.001412 | -0.82% | 0.001415 | -0.63% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.001425 | 0.001413 | -0.85% | 0.001424 | -0.07% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.001416 | 0.001404 | -0.83% | 0.001425 | +0.64% | 0.0151 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.001404 | 0.001393 | -0.78% | 0.001416 | +0.85% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.001401 | 0.00139 | -0.78% | 0.001404 | +0.21% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.001424 | 0.001412 | -0.83% | 0.001401 | -1.62% | 0.0187 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.001476 | 0.001462 | -0.97% | 0.001424 | -3.52% | 0.0377 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.001396 | 0.001385 | -0.80% | 0.001476 | +5.73% | 0.0631 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.001373 | 0.001364 | -0.66% | 0.001396 | +1.68% | 0.0211 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001301 | -0.48% | 0.001373 | +5.05% | 0.0790 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.001325 | 0.001319 | -0.43% | 0.001307 | -1.36% | 0.0252 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.00129 | 0.001287 | -0.23% | 0.001325 | +2.71% | 0.0259 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.001261 | 0.00126 | -0.09% | 0.00129 | +2.30% | 0.0386 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.001246 | 0.001246 | +0.01% | 0.001261 | +1.20% | 0.0281 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.001288 | 0.001288 | -0.03% | 0.001246 | -3.26% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.00157 | 0.00156 | -0.66% | 0.001288 | -17.96% | 0.2155 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.001618 | 0.001608 | -0.63% | 0.00157 | -2.97% | 0.0338 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.001677 | 0.001666 | -0.67% | 0.001618 | -3.52% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.001787 | 0.001773 | -0.80% | 0.001677 | -6.16% | 0.0732 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.001731 | -0.61% | 0.001787 | +2.58% | 0.0292 | ✗ | 1.25 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.001788 | 0.001776 | -0.68% | 0.001742 | -2.57% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.001712 | 0.001706 | -0.37% | 0.001788 | +4.44% | 0.0525 | ✗ | 1.26 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.001805 | 0.0018 | -0.30% | 0.001712 | -5.15% | 0.1116 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.001932 | 0.001922 | -0.51% | 0.001805 | -6.57% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.002067 | 0.002054 | -0.64% | 0.001932 | -6.53% | 0.0604 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.002167 | 0.002151 | -0.74% | 0.002067 | -4.61% | 0.0318 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.001999 | 0.001994 | -0.23% | 0.002167 | +8.40% | 0.0627 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.00203 | 0.002027 | -0.12% | 0.001999 | -1.53% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.001974 | 0.001976 | +0.12% | 0.00203 | +2.84% | 0.0513 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001993 | +0.23% | 0.001974 | -0.70% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.0021 | 0.002106 | +0.28% | 0.001988 | -5.33% | 0.0671 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.002318 | 0.002322 | +0.17% | 0.0021 | -9.40% | 0.1123 | ✗ | 1.50 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.00231 | 0.002319 | +0.37% | 0.002318 | +0.35% | 0.0137 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.002346 | 0.002358 | +0.53% | 0.00231 | -1.53% | 0.0458 | ✗ | 1.50 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.002523 | 0.002537 | +0.57% | 0.002346 | -7.02% | 0.1199 | ✗ | 1.66 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.002781 | 0.002796 | +0.53% | 0.002523 | -9.28% | 0.1483 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.003049 | 0.003059 | +0.33% | 0.002781 | -8.79% | 0.0440 | ✗ | 1.85 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.002636 | 0.002657 | +0.80% | 0.003049 | +15.67% | 0.1183 | ✓ | 1.67 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.002773 | 0.002795 | +0.79% | 0.002636 | -4.94% | 0.0456 | ✗ | 1.67 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.003072 | 0.003093 | +0.69% | 0.002773 | -9.73% | 0.1073 | ✗ | 1.71 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.003242 | 0.003263 | +0.64% | 0.003072 | -5.24% | 0.0689 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.003936 | 0.003945 | +0.23% | 0.003242 | -17.63% | 0.1619 | ✗ | 1.62 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.006008 | 0.005978 | -0.49% | 0.003936 | -34.49% | 0.3911 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.006455 | 0.006416 | -0.61% | 0.006008 | -6.92% | 0.0451 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.006542 | 0.006503 | -0.60% | 0.006455 | -1.33% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.006544 | 0.006504 | -0.61% | 0.006542 | -0.03% | 0.0213 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.006634 | 0.006593 | -0.61% | 0.006544 | -1.36% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.006546 | 0.006508 | -0.57% | 0.006634 | +1.34% | 0.0097 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.006567 | 0.006528 | -0.59% | 0.006546 | -0.32% | 0.0273 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.006569 | 0.00653 | -0.60% | 0.006567 | -0.04% | 0.0237 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.006596 | 0.006556 | -0.61% | 0.006569 | -0.40% | 0.0121 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.006523 | 0.006486 | -0.57% | 0.006596 | +1.12% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.006549 | 0.006514 | -0.54% | 0.006523 | -0.40% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.00655 | 0.006517 | -0.51% | 0.006549 | -0.02% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.006531 | 0.006499 | -0.50% | 0.00655 | +0.29% | 0.0083 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.006586 | 0.006557 | -0.44% | 0.006531 | -0.84% | 0.0379 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.006576 | 0.006547 | -0.44% | 0.006586 | +0.15% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.006607 | 0.006576 | -0.47% | 0.006576 | -0.47% | 0.0221 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.006771 | 0.006737 | -0.51% | 0.006607 | -2.42% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.006585 | 0.006559 | -0.39% | 0.006771 | +2.82% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.006446 | 0.006422 | -0.37% | 0.006585 | +2.16% | 0.0280 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.006345 | 0.006316 | -0.45% | 0.006446 | +1.59% | 0.0648 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006888 | -0.54% | 0.006345 | -8.38% | 0.0784 | ✓ | 1.00 |