KNOTS
KNOTS · Solana · gru_s3
- token id
- #767
- symbol
- KNOTS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 8RVBk8vxLiUHueLUW1f4izFVqN3nWippLhkohKg6EGkS
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
53.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2000
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0078
actual -0.0582
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003417 | 0.003373 | -1.30% | – | pending | – | – | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00358 | 0.00352 | -1.68% | 0.003417 | -4.54% | 0.0170 | ✓ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003164 | 0.003126 | -1.20% | 0.00358 | +13.15% | 0.0803 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.002509 | 0.002506 | -0.12% | 0.003164 | +26.11% | 0.2419 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002929 | 0.00291 | -0.65% | 0.002509 | -14.34% | 0.1811 | ✓ | 4.29 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002911 | 0.002896 | -0.52% | 0.002929 | +0.62% | 0.0176 | ✗ | 4.31 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003261 | 0.003229 | -0.99% | 0.002911 | -10.73% | 0.0708 | ✓ | 4.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.003038 | 0.00302 | -0.60% | 0.003261 | +7.34% | 0.0479 | ✗ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002995 | 0.002981 | -0.48% | 0.003038 | +1.42% | 0.1037 | ✗ | 4.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003356 | 0.003331 | -0.75% | 0.002995 | -10.74% | 0.1832 | ✓ | 4.67 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0045 | 0.004393 | -2.37% | 0.003356 | -25.41% | 0.1654 | ✓ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.003239 | 0.00322 | -0.60% | 0.0045 | +38.92% | 0.2957 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.002974 | 0.002971 | -0.09% | 0.003239 | +8.91% | 0.0819 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.003605 | 0.003579 | -0.72% | 0.002974 | -17.50% | 0.1956 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.003288 | 0.003279 | -0.29% | 0.003605 | +9.64% | 0.1141 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005163 | 0.005036 | -2.45% | 0.003288 | -36.31% | 0.3995 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002456 | 0.002457 | +0.03% | 0.005163 | +110.16% | 0.7448 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003661 | 0.003648 | -0.37% | 0.002456 | -32.90% | 0.3865 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.002535 | 0.002447 | -3.51% | 0.003661 | +44.39% | 0.3824 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.002868 | 0.002729 | -4.85% | 0.002535 | -11.59% | 0.0763 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004989 | +0.27% | 0.002868 | -42.35% | 0.5495 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006722 | 0.006738 | +0.24% | 0.004975 | -25.99% | 0.3187 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007297 | 0.007309 | +0.17% | 0.006722 | -7.87% | 0.0827 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006679 | 0.00669 | +0.16% | 0.007297 | +9.24% | 0.0846 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00815 | 0.008152 | +0.03% | 0.006679 | -18.04% | 0.1873 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.011331 | 0.011298 | -0.29% | 0.00815 | -28.07% | 0.3271 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009613 | -0.28% | 0.011331 | +17.54% | 0.1606 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01419 | 0.014138 | -0.37% | 0.00964 | -32.06% | 0.3795 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01521 | 0.015151 | -0.39% | 0.01419 | -6.71% | 0.0656 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01505 | 0.014993 | -0.38% | 0.01521 | +1.06% | 0.0357 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02248 | 0.02236 | -0.53% | 0.01505 | -33.05% | 0.3913 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02179 | 0.021663 | -0.58% | 0.02248 | +3.17% | 0.0278 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021875 | 0.021738 | -0.63% | 0.02179 | -0.39% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 1.00 |