KAT

Katana · Base · gru_s3

token id: #157
symbol: KAT
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0xd5390300c5db71f80d46f0fa9983fc72d4d1e3da
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-18
predictions: 627

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

179

of 209 predictions shown

direction hit

90.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1219

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0607

actual -0.1638

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004091	0.003969	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-20	oos	0.00408	0.004009	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.003988	0.003899	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.003837	0.003765	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.004005	0.003898	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-16	oos	0.004156	0.004063	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-15	oos	0.004154	0.004096	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.00421	0.004136	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.004313	0.004281	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-12	oos	0.00438	0.004251	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-11	oos	0.004635	0.004466	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-10	oos	0.004614	0.004414	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-09	oos	0.004588	0.004385	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-08	oos	0.004441	0.004261	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.004618	0.00439	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.004724	0.004497	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-05	oos	0.004836	0.004575	-5.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.004805	0.004565	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-03	oos	0.004783	0.004498	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-02	oos	0.004798	0.00453	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.004947	0.004638	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.005049	0.00471	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.00486	0.004568	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.004899	0.004603	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.005221	0.004853	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.005144	0.004802	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.005188	0.00486	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-24	oos	0.005001	0.004771	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-23	oos	0.004896	0.004729	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.005103	0.004915	-3.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.004902	0.004792	-2.25%	0.004091	-16.55%	0.1122	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004699	0.004625	-1.58%	0.00408	-13.16%	0.1472	✓	1.01
2026-09-19	oos	0.004719	0.004668	-1.09%	0.003988	-15.49%	0.1649	✓	1.01
2026-09-18	oos	0.004691	0.004667	-0.50%	0.003837	-18.21%	0.2103	✓	1.04
2026-09-17	oos	0.004315	0.00426	-1.27%	0.004005	-7.20%	0.1252	✓	0.99
2026-09-16	oos	0.00421	0.004182	-0.66%	0.004156	-1.27%	0.0745	✓	1.01
2026-09-15	oos	0.004137	0.004099	-0.90%	0.004154	+0.41%	0.0719	✓	1.02
2026-09-14	oos	0.004399	0.004402	+0.06%	0.00421	-4.30%	0.0866	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.004472	0.004411	-1.37%	0.004313	-3.58%	0.1019	✓	1.01
2026-09-12	oos	0.00477	0.004678	-1.92%	0.00438	-8.18%	0.1218	✓	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.004781	0.004724	-1.18%	0.004635	-3.03%	0.0971	✓	0.97
2026-09-10	oos	0.004846	0.004746	-2.07%	0.004614	-4.78%	0.1040	✓	0.95
2026-09-09	oos	0.006317	0.005845	-7.47%	0.004588	-27.37%	0.2829	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.004799	0.004818	+0.38%	0.004441	-7.48%	0.1130	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.004647	0.004749	+2.18%	0.004618	-0.65%	0.0677	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.004747	0.004945	+4.17%	0.004724	-0.48%	0.0864	✗	0.65
2026-09-05	oos	0.004658	0.004873	+4.62%	0.004836	+3.82%	0.0534	✗	0.64
2026-09-04	oos	0.004648	0.004865	+4.66%	0.004805	+3.38%	0.0653	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.004535	0.004857	+7.10%	0.004783	+5.46%	0.0437	✓	0.68
2026-09-02	oos	0.004436	0.004542	+2.39%	0.004798	+8.16%	0.0160	✓	0.80
2026-09-01	oos	0.004487	0.004608	+2.70%	0.004947	+10.25%	0.0039	✓	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.004692	0.004859	+3.58%	0.005049	+7.62%	0.0076	✓	0.74
2026-08-30	oos	0.004442	0.004563	+2.73%	0.00486	+9.41%	0.0024	✓	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.004496	0.004619	+2.74%	0.004899	+8.96%	0.0079	✓	0.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.004483	0.00462	+3.08%	0.005221	+16.48%	0.0580	✓	0.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.004649	0.004952	+6.53%	0.005144	+10.66%	0.0012	✓	0.78
2026-08-26	oos	0.004582	0.004805	+4.86%	0.005188	+13.20%	0.0282	✓	0.78
2026-08-25	oos	0.004442	0.004685	+5.47%	0.005001	+12.58%	0.0086	✓	0.79
2026-08-24	oos	0.004572	0.004816	+5.35%	0.004896	+7.10%	0.0352	✓	0.78
2026-08-23	oos	0.004738	0.004857	+2.51%	0.005103	+7.70%	0.0346	✗	0.81
2026-08-22	oos	0.004697	0.004784	+1.85%	0.004902	+4.38%	0.0704	✗	0.81
2026-08-21	oos	0.004902	0.005039	+2.79%	0.004699	-4.14%	0.0982	✗	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.004634	0.004482	-3.28%	0.004719	+1.82%	0.0343	✓	0.80
2026-08-19	oos	0.004476	0.004224	-5.64%	0.004691	+4.79%	0.0234	✓	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.004288	0.003962	-7.62%	0.004315	+0.62%	0.0558	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.004303	0.003979	-7.53%	0.00421	-2.16%	0.0861	✓	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.00443	0.004054	-8.48%	0.004137	-6.61%	0.1465	✓	0.90
2026-08-15	oos	0.004304	0.003948	-8.27%	0.004399	+2.21%	0.0863	✓	0.90
2026-08-14	oos	0.004249	0.003906	-8.06%	0.004472	+5.26%	0.0449	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.00435	0.003994	-8.19%	0.00477	+9.66%	0.0003	✓	0.90
2026-08-12	oos	0.004339	0.003981	-8.26%	0.004781	+10.18%	0.0025	✓	0.92
2026-08-11	oos	0.00446	0.004083	-8.45%	0.004846	+8.65%	0.0019	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0046	0.004209	-8.49%	0.006317	+37.32%	0.2161	✗	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.00473	0.004337	-8.32%	0.004799	+1.47%	0.0790	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.00462	0.004253	-7.95%	0.004647	+0.60%	0.0975	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.0046	0.004231	-8.02%	0.004747	+3.20%	0.0860	✓	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.00454	0.004186	-7.80%	0.004658	+2.60%	0.0987	✓	0.95
2026-08-05	oos	0.004415	0.004112	-6.85%	0.004648	+5.28%	0.0785	✓	0.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00448	0.004173	-6.85%	0.004535	+1.23%	0.1458	✓	0.96
2026-08-03	oos	0.00438	0.00408	-6.84%	0.004436	+1.28%	0.1057	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.0043	0.004016	-6.61%	0.004487	+4.35%	0.0715	✓	0.92
2026-08-01	oos	0.0043	0.004016	-6.60%	0.004692	+9.10%	0.0594	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.00439	0.004102	-6.57%	0.004442	+1.18%	0.1230	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.004425	0.00418	-5.54%	0.004496	+1.60%	0.1134	✓	0.98
2026-07-29	oos	0.00425	0.004021	-5.39%	0.004483	+5.47%	0.0644	✓	0.88
2026-07-28	oos	0.00455	0.004281	-5.91%	0.004649	+2.18%	0.1181	✓	0.88
2026-07-27	oos	0.004485	0.004237	-5.54%	0.004582	+2.17%	0.1113	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.004775	0.004526	-5.21%	0.004442	-6.97%	0.1736	✓	0.84
2026-07-25	oos	0.004795	0.004545	-5.22%	0.004572	-4.66%	0.1737	✓	0.87
2026-07-24	oos	0.0048	0.004565	-4.89%	0.004738	-1.29%	0.1073	✓	0.75
2026-07-23	oos	0.004675	0.004497	-3.80%	0.004697	+0.47%	0.0755	✓	0.70
2026-07-22	oos	0.0048	0.004658	-2.95%	0.004902	+2.13%	0.0395	✓	0.53
2026-07-21	oos	0.004875	0.004759	-2.37%	0.004634	-4.93%	0.0798	✓	0.57
2026-07-20	oos	0.004805	0.004675	-2.71%	0.004476	-6.85%	0.0763	✓	0.54
2026-07-19	oos	0.004695	0.004582	-2.40%	0.004288	-8.66%	0.0662	✓	0.53
2026-07-18	oos	0.004765	0.004663	-2.15%	0.004303	-9.70%	0.0774	✓	0.58
2026-07-17	oos	0.004805	0.00469	-2.39%	0.00443	-7.81%	0.0468	✓	0.62
2026-07-16	oos	0.005075	0.004917	-3.10%	0.004304	-15.19%	0.1259	✓	0.62
2026-07-15	oos	0.0048	0.004689	-2.32%	0.004249	-11.48%	0.0780	✓	0.75
2026-07-14	oos	0.00488	0.00476	-2.46%	0.00435	-10.86%	0.0716	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.004965	0.004795	-3.43%	0.004339	-12.61%	0.1151	✓	0.83
2026-07-12	oos	0.005055	0.004902	-3.03%	0.00446	-11.77%	0.0917	✓	0.84
2026-07-11	oos	0.00542	0.00522	-3.69%	0.0046	-15.13%	0.1283	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.00554	0.005328	-3.82%	0.00473	-14.62%	0.1292	✓	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	0.004945	0.004799	-2.94%	0.00462	-6.57%	0.0610	✓	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.00459	0.004479	-2.41%	0.0046	+0.22%	0.0071	✓	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.00479	0.004643	-3.08%	0.00454	-5.22%	0.0340	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.00505	0.004851	-3.93%	0.004415	-12.57%	0.1016	✓	0.78
2026-07-05	oos	0.005025	0.004815	-4.17%	0.00448	-10.85%	0.0780	✓	0.80
2026-07-04	oos	0.005155	0.004917	-4.62%	0.00438	-15.03%	0.1205	✓	0.81
2026-07-03	oos	0.0051	0.004864	-4.64%	0.0043	-15.69%	0.1349	✓	0.75
2026-07-02	oos	0.005045	0.004819	-4.47%	0.0043	-14.77%	0.1296	✓	0.76
2026-07-01	oos	0.00497	0.004757	-4.29%	0.00439	-11.67%	0.1154	✓	0.75
2026-06-30	oos	0.00485	0.004664	-3.84%	0.004425	-8.76%	0.1320	✓	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.004885	0.00468	-4.19%	0.00425	-13.00%	0.1449	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.004875	0.004677	-4.07%	0.00455	-6.67%	0.0815	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.005075	0.004845	-4.53%	0.004485	-11.63%	0.1225	✓	0.75
2026-06-26	oos	0.00494	0.004722	-4.41%	0.004775	-3.34%	0.0529	✓	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.00484	0.004645	-4.02%	0.004795	-0.93%	0.0236	✓	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.005135	0.004879	-4.98%	0.0048	-6.52%	0.0556	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.005345	0.005037	-5.76%	0.004675	-12.54%	0.0972	✓	0.60
2026-06-22	oos	0.005355	0.005019	-6.27%	0.0048	-10.36%	0.0652	✓	0.63
2026-06-21	oos	0.00541	0.005084	-6.02%	0.004875	-9.89%	0.0746	✓	0.64
2026-06-20	oos	0.00582	0.005409	-7.07%	0.004805	-17.44%	0.1287	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.00569	0.005279	-7.22%	0.004695	-17.49%	0.1285	✓	0.60
2026-06-18	oos	0.00533	0.004981	-6.55%	0.004765	-10.60%	0.0625	✓	0.60
2026-06-17	oos	0.00564	0.0052	-7.81%	0.004805	-14.80%	0.0738	✓	0.60
2026-06-16	oos	0.005695	0.005218	-8.37%	0.005075	-10.89%	0.0091	✓	0.66
2026-06-15	oos	0.005765	0.005287	-8.29%	0.0048	-16.74%	0.0810	✓	0.66
2026-06-14	oos	0.00577	0.00531	-7.97%	0.00488	-15.42%	0.0772	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.00589	0.00544	-7.63%	0.004965	-15.70%	0.0685	✓	0.67
2026-06-12	oos	0.00628	0.005773	-8.07%	0.005055	-19.51%	0.1351	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.00671	0.006106	-9.00%	0.00542	-19.23%	0.1215	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.00679	0.006196	-8.75%	0.00554	-18.41%	0.1432	✓	0.73
2026-06-09	oos	0.00619	0.005763	-6.90%	0.004945	-20.11%	0.1707	✓	0.74
2026-06-08	oos	0.00539	0.005125	-4.92%	0.00459	-14.84%	0.0991	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0052	0.004973	-4.36%	0.00479	-7.88%	0.0378	✓	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.00506	0.004893	-3.31%	0.00505	-0.20%	0.0107	✓	0.84
2026-06-05	oos	0.00521	0.005018	-3.69%	0.005025	-3.55%	0.0329	✓	0.84
2026-06-04	oos	0.00584	0.005479	-6.18%	0.005155	-11.73%	0.0526	✓	0.74
2026-06-03	oos	0.00661	0.006083	-7.98%	0.0051	-22.84%	0.1587	✓	0.73
2026-06-02	oos	0.00654	0.006003	-8.21%	0.005045	-22.86%	0.1097	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.00727	0.006564	-9.71%	0.00497	-31.64%	0.1625	✓	0.67
2026-05-31	oos	0.007225	0.006538	-9.51%	0.00485	-32.87%	0.1358	✓	0.71
2026-05-30	oos	0.007175	0.006513	-9.23%	0.004885	-31.92%	0.1421	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.007195	0.006533	-9.21%	0.004875	-32.24%	0.1428	✓	0.71
2026-05-28	oos	0.00722	0.006571	-8.99%	0.005075	-29.71%	0.1124	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.00769	0.006969	-9.37%	0.00494	-35.76%	0.1965	✓	0.69
2026-05-26	oos	0.00782	0.007106	-9.13%	0.00484	-38.11%	0.2184	✓	0.69
2026-05-25	oos	0.008245	0.007482	-9.26%	0.005135	-37.72%	0.2197	✓	0.66
2026-05-24	oos	0.00813	0.007352	-9.57%	0.005345	-34.26%	0.1826	✓	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.008385	0.007553	-9.92%	0.005355	-36.14%	0.2235	✓	0.66
2026-05-22	oos	0.00805	0.007269	-9.70%	0.00541	-32.80%	0.1824	✓	0.64
2026-05-21	oos	0.00854	0.007702	-9.81%	0.00582	-31.85%	0.1685	✓	0.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.00854	0.007675	-10.13%	0.00569	-33.37%	0.1812	✓	0.59
2026-05-19	oos	0.00841	0.007598	-9.65%	0.00533	-36.62%	0.2376	✓	0.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.00821	0.007442	-9.35%	0.00564	-31.30%	0.1724	✓	0.59
2026-05-17	oos	0.00824	0.007525	-8.67%	0.005695	-30.89%	0.1806	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.00863	0.007959	-7.77%	0.005765	-33.20%	0.2279	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.00865	0.008005	-7.45%	0.00577	-33.29%	0.2196	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.00909	0.008457	-6.96%	0.00589	-35.20%	0.2370	✓	0.54
2026-05-13	oos	0.00904	0.008326	-7.89%	0.00628	-30.53%	0.1615	✓	0.54
2026-05-12	oos	0.00985	0.009072	-7.90%	0.00671	-31.88%	0.1884	✓	0.48
2026-05-11	oos	0.01041	0.009623	-7.56%	0.00679	-34.77%	0.2238	✓	0.44
2026-05-10	oos	0.01024	0.009548	-6.76%	0.00619	-39.55%	0.3048	✓	0.45
2026-05-09	oos	0.01013	0.009403	-7.18%	0.00539	-46.79%	0.4474	✓	0.44
2026-05-08	oos	0.00975	0.009053	-7.15%	0.0052	-46.67%	0.4513	✓	0.44
2026-05-07	oos	0.00939	0.008725	-7.08%	0.00506	-46.11%	0.4256	✓	0.44
2026-05-06	oos	0.00956	0.009017	-5.68%	0.00521	-45.50%	0.4246	✓	0.43
2026-05-05	oos	0.0094	0.008829	-6.07%	0.00584	-37.87%	0.3122	✓	0.43
2026-05-04	oos	0.01	0.009295	-7.05%	0.00661	-33.90%	0.2388	✓	0.46
2026-05-03	oos	0.00941	0.00855	-9.14%	0.00654	-30.50%	0.1994	✓	0.42
2026-05-02	oos	0.00988	0.008998	-8.93%	0.00727	-26.42%	0.1731	✓	0.41
2026-05-01	oos	0.00985	0.008878	-9.86%	0.007225	-26.65%	0.1811	✓	0.41
2026-04-30	oos	0.01068	0.009452	-11.50%	0.007175	-32.82%	0.2579	✓	0.52
2026-04-29	oos	0.01092	0.009602	-12.07%	0.007195	-34.11%	0.2715	✓	0.53
2026-04-28	oos	0.01151	0.010161	-11.72%	0.00722	-37.27%	0.3227	✓	0.51
2026-04-27	oos	0.01139	0.010155	-10.85%	0.00769	-32.48%	0.2569	✓	0.52
2026-04-26	oos	0.01224	0.011035	-9.85%	0.00782	-36.11%	0.3277	✓	0.45
2026-04-25	oos	0.01554	0.013475	-13.29%	0.008245	-46.94%	0.4881	✓	0.61
2026-04-24	oos	0.02469	0.019701	-20.21%	0.00813	-67.07%	0.8812	✓	0.62
2026-04-23	oos	0.01414	0.012446	-11.98%	0.008385	-40.70%	0.3727	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.00937	0.008461	-9.70%	0.00805	-14.09%	0.0102	✓	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.009565	0.008488	-11.26%	0.00854	-10.72%	0.0118	✓	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.00957	0.008468	-11.51%	0.00854	-10.76%	0.0158	✓	1.15
2026-04-19	oos	0.00903	0.007871	-12.83%	0.00841	-6.87%	0.0234	✓	1.09
2026-04-18	oos	0.00968	0.008635	-10.80%	0.00821	-15.19%	0.0667	✓	1.03
2026-04-17	oos	0.00971	0.008839	-8.97%	0.00824	-15.14%	0.0744	✓	1.06
2026-04-16	oos	0.00858	0.007655	-10.78%	0.00863	+0.58%	0.0815	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.00816	0.007311	-10.40%	0.00865	+6.00%	0.1133	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.00801	0.007194	-10.19%	0.00909	+13.48%	0.1450	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.00829	0.00749	-9.65%	0.00904	+9.05%	0.1251	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.00788	0.007082	-10.13%	0.00985	+25.00%	0.2011	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.00849	0.007695	-9.36%	0.01041	+22.61%	0.1904	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.0086	0.007829	-8.97%	0.01024	+19.07%	0.1498	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.00856	0.007798	-8.90%	0.01013	+18.34%	0.1453	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.00875	0.007979	-8.81%	0.00975	+11.43%	0.0800	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.00898	0.008247	-8.16%	0.00939	+4.57%	0.0231	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.008595	0.007842	-8.77%	0.00956	+11.23%	0.0303	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.00868	0.00794	-8.52%	0.0094	+8.29%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.009165	0.008356	-8.83%	0.01	+9.11%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.0089	0.008102	-8.97%	0.00941	+5.73%	0.0101	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.00903	0.008196	-9.24%	0.00988	+9.41%	0.0246	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.01009	0.009161	-9.21%	0.00985	-2.38%	0.0660	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.01048	0.0095	-9.35%	0.01068	+1.91%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-03-30	oos	0.01104	0.009961	-9.77%	0.01092	-1.09%	0.0348	✓	1.00
2026-03-29	oos	0.01139	0.010253	-9.98%	0.01151	+1.05%	0.0303	✓	1.00
2026-03-28	oos	0.01209	0.010878	-10.03%	0.01139	-5.79%	0.1080	✓	1.00
2026-03-27	oos	0.0119	0.010725	-9.87%	0.01224	+2.86%	0.0382	✓	1.00