KAS

Kaspa · Kaspa · gru_s3

token id: #115
symbol: KAS
variant: –
chain: Kaspa
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-19
predictions: 2,079

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0612

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0092

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.037705	0.037108	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.03737	0.036879	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.0351	0.034913	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-18	oos	0.035465	0.03532	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-17	oos	0.035295	0.035243	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.036135	0.036056	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.035945	0.035891	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.03702	0.036836	-0.50%	0.037705	+1.85%	0.0070	✗	1.19
2026-10-13	oos	0.038605	0.038226	-0.98%	0.03737	-3.20%	0.0203	✓	1.18
2026-10-12	oos	0.038425	0.038056	-0.96%	0.0351	-8.65%	0.0822	✓	1.18
2026-10-11	oos	0.041375	0.040668	-1.71%	0.035465	-14.28%	0.1147	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.040775	0.040099	-1.66%	0.035295	-13.44%	0.1074	✓	1.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.0414	0.040658	-1.79%	0.036135	-12.72%	0.1041	✓	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.03917	0.038604	-1.45%	0.035945	-8.23%	0.0770	✓	1.08
2026-10-07	oos	0.040535	0.039744	-1.95%	0.03702	-8.67%	0.0489	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.043225	0.042176	-2.43%	0.038605	-10.69%	0.0586	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.04348	0.04238	-2.53%	0.038425	-11.63%	0.0491	✓	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.042675	0.041607	-2.50%	0.041375	-3.05%	0.0290	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.043115	0.041974	-2.65%	0.040775	-5.43%	0.0060	✓	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.042085	0.040981	-2.62%	0.0414	-1.63%	0.0348	✗	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.041435	0.040343	-2.63%	0.03917	-5.47%	0.0104	✓	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.043475	0.042223	-2.88%	0.040535	-6.76%	0.0372	✓	1.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.042925	0.041702	-2.85%	0.043225	+0.70%	0.0120	✓	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.04546	0.04409	-3.01%	0.04348	-4.36%	0.0430	✓	1.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.04692	0.045448	-3.14%	0.042675	-9.05%	0.0886	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.04781	0.046123	-3.53%	0.043115	-9.82%	0.0716	✓	1.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.04216	0.040903	-2.98%	0.042085	-0.18%	0.0232	✓	1.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.0399	0.038793	-2.77%	0.041435	+3.85%	0.0599	✗	1.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.03851	0.037511	-2.59%	0.043475	+12.89%	0.1583	✗	1.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.04158	0.040382	-2.88%	0.042925	+3.23%	0.0930	✗	1.06
2026-09-21	oos	0.043235	0.041894	-3.10%	0.04546	+5.15%	0.1206	✗	1.05
2026-09-20	oos	0.039935	0.038869	-2.67%	0.04692	+17.49%	0.1471	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.03912	0.038124	-2.54%	0.04781	+22.21%	0.1867	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.03804	0.037142	-2.36%	0.04216	+10.83%	0.0864	✗	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0338	0.033502	-0.88%	0.0399	+18.05%	0.0818	✗	0.93
2026-09-16	oos	0.03291	0.032805	-0.32%	0.03851	+17.02%	0.0656	✗	0.92
2026-09-15	oos	0.032925	0.032924	-0.00%	0.04158	+26.29%	0.1094	✗	0.94
2026-09-14	oos	0.034885	0.034717	-0.48%	0.043235	+23.94%	0.1257	✗	0.92
2026-09-13	oos	0.033285	0.033449	+0.49%	0.039935	+19.98%	0.1274	✓	0.90
2026-09-12	oos	0.03521	0.03527	+0.17%	0.03912	+11.10%	0.0588	✓	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.035965	0.036063	+0.27%	0.03804	+5.77%	0.0116	✓	0.90
2026-09-10	oos	0.035345	0.035583	+0.67%	0.0338	-4.37%	0.0492	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.03653	0.036774	+0.67%	0.03291	-9.91%	0.0864	✗	0.89
2026-09-08	oos	0.035455	0.035965	+1.44%	0.032925	-7.14%	0.0553	✗	0.89
2026-09-07	oos	0.03651	0.036941	+1.18%	0.034885	-4.45%	0.0470	✗	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.0323	0.033581	+3.97%	0.033285	+3.05%	0.0355	✓	0.98
2026-09-05	oos	0.03057	0.032055	+4.86%	0.03521	+15.18%	0.1257	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.02944	0.031071	+5.54%	0.035965	+22.16%	0.1771	✓	0.98
2026-09-03	oos	0.029815	0.031644	+6.14%	0.035345	+18.55%	0.1700	✓	0.99
2026-09-02	oos	0.027975	0.029371	+4.99%	0.03653	+30.58%	0.2076	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.027505	0.028873	+4.97%	0.035455	+28.90%	0.1938	✓	0.85
2026-08-31	oos	0.027895	0.029322	+5.12%	0.03651	+30.88%	0.2147	✓	0.67
2026-08-30	oos	0.02709	0.028305	+4.49%	0.0323	+19.23%	0.1082	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.02766	0.028778	+4.04%	0.03057	+10.52%	0.0465	✓	0.69
2026-08-28	oos	0.02804	0.029008	+3.45%	0.02944	+4.99%	0.0013	✓	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.02955	0.030593	+3.53%	0.029815	+0.90%	0.0339	✓	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.02803	0.028842	+2.90%	0.027975	-0.20%	0.0162	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.02765	0.028305	+2.37%	0.027505	-0.52%	0.0192	✓	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.029135	0.029694	+1.92%	0.027895	-4.26%	0.0590	✗	0.65
2026-08-23	oos	0.0293	0.029718	+1.43%	0.02709	-7.54%	0.0920	✗	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.029095	0.029481	+1.33%	0.02766	-4.93%	0.0738	✗	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.029695	0.030148	+1.52%	0.02804	-5.57%	0.0684	✗	0.66
2026-08-20	oos	0.02801	0.028125	+0.41%	0.02955	+5.50%	0.0100	✗	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.027	0.026874	-0.47%	0.02803	+3.81%	0.0415	✓	0.64
2026-08-18	oos	0.02527	0.025006	-1.05%	0.02765	+9.42%	0.0114	✓	0.58
2026-08-17	oos	0.02566	0.025376	-1.11%	0.029135	+13.54%	0.0180	✗	0.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.02552	0.02521	-1.21%	0.0293	+14.81%	0.0226	✗	0.60
2026-08-15	oos	0.025795	0.025477	-1.23%	0.029095	+12.79%	0.0129	✗	0.60
2026-08-14	oos	0.02542	0.025118	-1.19%	0.029695	+16.82%	0.0378	✗	0.59
2026-08-13	oos	0.0253	0.025012	-1.14%	0.02801	+10.71%	0.0284	✗	0.60
2026-08-12	oos	0.02554	0.025243	-1.16%	0.027	+5.72%	0.0102	✓	0.64
2026-08-11	oos	0.02595	0.025645	-1.17%	0.02527	-2.62%	0.0262	✓	0.64
2026-08-10	oos	0.02587	0.025572	-1.15%	0.02566	-0.81%	0.0022	✓	0.65
2026-08-09	oos	0.02595	0.02567	-1.08%	0.02552	-1.66%	0.0152	✗	0.67
2026-08-08	oos	0.02667	0.026369	-1.13%	0.025795	-3.28%	0.0023	✓	0.67
2026-08-07	oos	0.026445	0.026177	-1.01%	0.02542	-3.88%	0.0088	✓	0.68
2026-08-06	oos	0.02562	0.025373	-0.96%	0.0253	-1.25%	0.0060	✓	0.68
2026-08-05	oos	0.02607	0.02582	-0.96%	0.02554	-2.03%	0.0018	✓	0.68
2026-08-04	oos	0.02641	0.026141	-1.02%	0.02595	-1.74%	0.0016	✓	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.02606	0.025784	-1.06%	0.02587	-0.73%	0.0016	✓	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.02682	0.026498	-1.20%	0.02595	-3.24%	0.0362	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02677	0.026425	-1.29%	0.02667	-0.37%	0.0149	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.027205	0.026839	-1.34%	0.026445	-2.79%	0.0381	✓	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.02764	0.027307	-1.20%	0.02562	-7.31%	0.0586	✓	0.73
2026-07-29	oos	0.02739	0.027047	-1.25%	0.02607	-4.82%	0.0447	✓	0.72
2026-07-28	oos	0.027945	0.027591	-1.27%	0.02641	-5.49%	0.0460	✓	0.72
2026-07-27	oos	0.028125	0.027778	-1.24%	0.02606	-7.34%	0.0613	✓	0.72
2026-07-26	oos	0.02929	0.028946	-1.18%	0.02682	-8.43%	0.0562	✓	0.70
2026-07-25	oos	0.02807	0.027754	-1.13%	0.02677	-4.63%	0.0196	✓	0.68
2026-07-24	oos	0.027735	0.027438	-1.07%	0.027205	-1.91%	0.0050	✓	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02799	0.027725	-0.95%	0.02764	-1.25%	0.0004	✓	0.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.02828	0.028049	-0.82%	0.02739	-3.15%	0.0006	✓	0.69
2026-07-21	oos	0.02861	0.028396	-0.75%	0.027945	-2.32%	0.0121	✗	0.69
2026-07-20	oos	0.028365	0.028116	-0.88%	0.028125	-0.85%	0.0162	✗	0.68
2026-07-19	oos	0.02833	0.028078	-0.89%	0.02929	+3.39%	0.0355	✗	0.67
2026-07-18	oos	0.027785	0.027573	-0.76%	0.02807	+1.03%	0.0231	✗	0.67
2026-07-17	oos	0.02788	0.027638	-0.87%	0.027735	-0.52%	0.0015	✓	0.67
2026-07-16	oos	0.02816	0.027894	-0.94%	0.02799	-0.60%	0.0103	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	0.0289	0.028623	-0.96%	0.02828	-2.15%	0.0271	✓	0.72
2026-07-14	oos	0.028605	0.028342	-0.92%	0.02861	+0.02%	0.0074	✓	0.72
2026-07-13	oos	0.0284	0.028104	-1.04%	0.028365	-0.12%	0.0262	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.02847	0.028187	-0.99%	0.02833	-0.49%	0.0064	✓	0.78
2026-07-11	oos	0.029295	0.028979	-1.08%	0.027785	-5.15%	0.0548	✓	0.80
2026-07-10	oos	0.02949	0.029169	-1.09%	0.02788	-5.46%	0.0422	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.02951	0.029178	-1.13%	0.02816	-4.57%	0.0432	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.02925	0.028927	-1.11%	0.0289	-1.20%	0.0335	✓	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.02924	0.028926	-1.07%	0.028605	-2.17%	0.0330	✓	0.84
2026-07-06	oos	0.0302	0.029853	-1.15%	0.0284	-5.96%	0.0268	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.03094	0.030547	-1.27%	0.02847	-7.98%	0.0725	✓	0.86
2026-07-04	oos	0.03184	0.031399	-1.39%	0.029295	-7.99%	0.0788	✓	0.87
2026-07-03	oos	0.03138	0.03096	-1.34%	0.02949	-6.02%	0.0705	✓	0.86
2026-07-02	oos	0.03096	0.030563	-1.28%	0.02951	-4.68%	0.0584	✓	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.03083	0.030442	-1.26%	0.02925	-5.12%	0.0725	✓	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.029245	0.02895	-1.01%	0.02924	-0.02%	0.0574	✓	0.85
2026-06-29	oos	0.03032	0.02994	-1.25%	0.0302	-0.40%	0.0436	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.02775	0.027502	-0.89%	0.03094	+11.50%	0.0632	✗	0.82
2026-06-27	oos	0.027795	0.027549	-0.89%	0.03184	+14.55%	0.1036	✗	0.80
2026-06-26	oos	0.02811	0.027859	-0.89%	0.03138	+11.63%	0.0857	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.02756	0.027353	-0.75%	0.03096	+12.34%	0.1002	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.02795	0.027714	-0.84%	0.03083	+10.30%	0.1204	✗	0.82
2026-06-23	oos	0.02886	0.028552	-1.07%	0.029245	+1.33%	0.0821	✗	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.02934	0.028995	-1.18%	0.03032	+3.34%	0.0981	✗	0.87
2026-06-21	oos	0.02916	0.028822	-1.16%	0.02775	-4.84%	0.0155	✗	0.87
2026-06-20	oos	0.029775	0.029409	-1.23%	0.027795	-6.65%	0.0030	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.02992	0.029549	-1.24%	0.02811	-6.05%	0.0069	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.03041	0.030015	-1.30%	0.02756	-9.37%	0.0440	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03193	0.031435	-1.55%	0.02795	-12.46%	0.0743	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.03249	0.031946	-1.67%	0.02886	-11.17%	0.0645	✓	0.80
2026-06-15	oos	0.03302	0.032431	-1.78%	0.02934	-11.14%	0.0755	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	0.0324	0.031845	-1.71%	0.02916	-10.00%	0.0627	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.031385	0.030888	-1.58%	0.029775	-5.13%	0.0345	✓	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	0.03099	0.030532	-1.48%	0.02992	-3.45%	0.0195	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.03109	0.030635	-1.46%	0.03041	-2.19%	0.0002	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.030365	0.030013	-1.16%	0.03193	+5.15%	0.0287	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.03018	0.029851	-1.09%	0.03249	+7.65%	0.0416	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.03205	0.031596	-1.42%	0.03302	+3.03%	0.0106	✓	0.67
2026-06-07	oos	0.03126	0.030881	-1.21%	0.0324	+3.65%	0.0231	✗	0.67
2026-06-06	oos	0.02999	0.029842	-0.49%	0.031385	+4.65%	0.0136	✗	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0309	0.030749	-0.49%	0.03099	+0.29%	0.0178	✓	0.64
2026-06-04	oos	0.02955	0.02941	-0.47%	0.03109	+5.21%	0.0583	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	0.03196	0.031676	-0.89%	0.030365	-4.99%	0.0132	✓	0.70
2026-06-02	oos	0.02844	0.02834	-0.35%	0.03018	+6.12%	0.1291	✗	0.85
2026-06-01	oos	0.03044	0.030104	-1.10%	0.03205	+5.29%	0.1556	✗	0.76
2026-05-31	oos	0.0307	0.030347	-1.15%	0.03126	+1.82%	0.1450	✗	0.77
2026-05-30	oos	0.03084	0.030494	-1.12%	0.02999	-2.76%	0.1299	✗	0.76
2026-05-29	oos	0.03102	0.030679	-1.10%	0.0309	-0.39%	0.1484	✗	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.031095	0.030766	-1.06%	0.02955	-4.97%	0.0673	✗	0.76
2026-05-27	oos	0.03209	0.031705	-1.20%	0.03196	-0.41%	0.1217	✗	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.032615	0.032225	-1.20%	0.02844	-12.80%	0.0271	✓	0.76
2026-05-25	oos	0.03365	0.033207	-1.32%	0.03044	-9.54%	0.0252	✓	0.77
2026-05-24	oos	0.03334	0.032917	-1.27%	0.0307	-7.92%	0.0346	✓	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.0338	0.033362	-1.29%	0.03084	-8.76%	0.0493	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.03374	0.033307	-1.28%	0.03102	-8.06%	0.0496	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.03525	0.034761	-1.39%	0.031095	-11.79%	0.0711	✓	0.76
2026-05-20	oos	0.034845	0.034396	-1.29%	0.03209	-7.91%	0.0376	✓	0.76
2026-05-19	oos	0.03364	0.033278	-1.08%	0.032615	-3.05%	0.0108	✓	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.03485	0.034434	-1.19%	0.03365	-3.44%	0.0260	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.03396	0.033616	-1.01%	0.03334	-1.83%	0.0040	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.034185	0.033852	-0.97%	0.0338	-1.13%	0.0127	✗	0.76
2026-05-15	oos	0.035135	0.0348	-0.95%	0.03374	-3.97%	0.0048	✓	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.03758	0.037184	-1.05%	0.03525	-6.20%	0.0204	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.03724	0.036828	-1.11%	0.034845	-6.43%	0.0382	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.03807	0.037666	-1.06%	0.03364	-11.64%	0.0783	✓	0.73
2026-05-11	oos	0.04041	0.039867	-1.34%	0.03485	-13.76%	0.0927	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.03867	0.038263	-1.05%	0.03396	-12.18%	0.0771	✓	0.70
2026-05-09	oos	0.03729	0.03693	-0.97%	0.034185	-8.33%	0.0547	✓	0.70
2026-05-08	oos	0.03648	0.036176	-0.83%	0.035135	-3.69%	0.0190	✓	0.72
2026-05-07	oos	0.03538	0.03517	-0.59%	0.03758	+6.22%	0.0566	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0366	0.036356	-0.67%	0.03724	+1.75%	0.0476	✗	0.88
2026-05-05	oos	0.034435	0.034327	-0.31%	0.03807	+10.56%	0.1081	✗	0.88
2026-05-04	oos	0.03338	0.033315	-0.20%	0.04041	+21.06%	0.1726	✗	0.88
2026-05-03	oos	0.03365	0.033474	-0.52%	0.03867	+14.92%	0.1041	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.0332	0.033059	-0.42%	0.03729	+12.32%	0.0981	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.03264	0.032501	-0.42%	0.03648	+11.76%	0.0928	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.0325	0.032252	-0.76%	0.03538	+8.86%	0.0468	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.032555	0.032278	-0.85%	0.0366	+12.43%	0.0556	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.0328	0.032537	-0.80%	0.034435	+4.98%	0.0008	✓	0.96
2026-04-27	oos	0.0334	0.033168	-0.69%	0.03338	-0.06%	0.0239	✓	0.96
2026-04-26	oos	0.03391	0.03373	-0.53%	0.03365	-0.77%	0.0010	✓	0.96
2026-04-25	oos	0.03364	0.033398	-0.72%	0.0332	-1.31%	0.0185	✓	0.95
2026-04-24	oos	0.03369	0.033434	-0.76%	0.03264	-3.12%	0.0336	✓	0.96
2026-04-23	oos	0.034295	0.034094	-0.59%	0.0325	-5.23%	0.0234	✓	0.96
2026-04-22	oos	0.034285	0.034067	-0.63%	0.032555	-5.05%	0.0148	✓	0.96
2026-04-21	oos	0.034245	0.033871	-1.09%	0.0328	-4.22%	0.0317	✓	0.96
2026-04-20	oos	0.03484	0.034393	-1.28%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0482	✓	0.97
2026-04-19	oos	0.03421	0.033686	-1.53%	0.03391	-0.88%	0.0556	✓	0.98
2026-04-18	oos	0.0343	0.033869	-1.26%	0.03364	-1.92%	0.0313	✓	0.98
2026-04-17	oos	0.03616	0.035678	-1.33%	0.03369	-6.83%	0.0619	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.03409	0.033609	-1.41%	0.034295	+0.60%	0.0192	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.03319	0.032751	-1.32%	0.034285	+3.30%	0.0032	✓	0.97
2026-04-14	oos	0.032345	0.031933	-1.27%	0.034245	+5.87%	0.0420	✗	0.97
2026-04-13	oos	0.03311	0.032656	-1.37%	0.03484	+5.23%	0.0465	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.03149	0.031032	-1.45%	0.03421	+8.64%	0.0566	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.032925	0.032457	-1.42%	0.0343	+4.18%	0.0211	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.03341	0.032916	-1.48%	0.03616	+8.23%	0.0416	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.03219	0.031735	-1.41%	0.03409	+5.90%	0.0279	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.031945	0.031495	-1.41%	0.03319	+3.90%	0.0034	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03278	0.032314	-1.42%	0.032345	-1.33%	0.0286	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.031225	0.030763	-1.48%	0.03311	+6.04%	0.0010	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.03142	0.03095	-1.50%	0.03149	+0.22%	0.0066	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.031165	0.030697	-1.50%	0.032925	+5.65%	0.0093	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.03098	0.030533	-1.44%	0.03341	+7.84%	0.0062	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.03126	0.030816	-1.42%	0.03219	+2.98%	0.0250	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.03208	0.031612	-1.46%	0.031945	-0.42%	0.0311	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.03262	0.032127	-1.51%	0.03278	+0.49%	0.0314	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.03189	0.03144	-1.41%	0.031225	-2.09%	0.0374	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.03288	0.032382	-1.51%	0.03142	-4.44%	0.0747	✓	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.03477	0.034185	-1.68%	0.031165	-10.37%	0.1068	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.03448	0.033951	-1.53%	0.03098	-10.15%	0.1005	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.03602	0.03547	-1.53%	0.03126	-13.21%	0.0992	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.03857	0.037954	-1.60%	0.03208	-16.83%	0.1238	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.03626	0.035784	-1.31%	0.03262	-10.04%	0.0605	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.034985	0.034617	-1.05%	0.03189	-8.85%	0.0242	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.03642	0.035879	-1.48%	0.03288	-9.72%	0.0588	✓	1.01
2026-03-21	oos	0.03576	0.035317	-1.24%	0.03477	-2.77%	0.0233	✗	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.03804	0.03753	-1.34%	0.03448	-9.36%	0.0236	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.03729	0.03682	-1.26%	0.03602	-3.41%	0.0052	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.03946	0.038846	-1.56%	0.03857	-2.26%	0.0079	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.03628	0.036005	-0.76%	0.03626	-0.06%	0.0574	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.03374	0.033605	-0.40%	0.034985	+3.69%	0.1003	✗	1.09
2026-03-15	oos	0.031	0.030874	-0.41%	0.03642	+17.48%	0.2415	✗	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.03066	0.030502	-0.52%	0.03576	+16.63%	0.1948	✗	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.03049	0.030343	-0.48%	0.03804	+24.76%	0.2330	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.03054	0.030384	-0.51%	0.03729	+22.10%	0.2143	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.03036	0.03021	-0.50%	0.03946	+29.97%	0.2511	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.03025	0.030094	-0.51%	0.03628	+19.93%	0.1269	✗	1.09
2026-03-09	oos	0.03006	0.029886	-0.58%	0.03374	+12.24%	0.0228	✗	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.02957	0.029399	-0.58%	0.031	+4.84%	0.0541	✓	1.08
2026-03-07	oos	0.02957	0.02942	-0.51%	0.03066	+3.69%	0.0212	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.03016	0.030013	-0.49%	0.03049	+1.09%	0.0286	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.03043	0.03032	-0.36%	0.03054	+0.36%	0.0128	✗	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.03075	0.030664	-0.28%	0.03036	-1.27%	0.0287	✗	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.03054	0.030397	-0.47%	0.03025	-0.95%	0.0323	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	0.03032	0.03019	-0.43%	0.03006	-0.86%	0.0025	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	0.02943	0.029332	-0.33%	0.02957	+0.48%	0.0045	✗	1.18
2026-02-28	oos	0.03014	0.030031	-0.36%	0.02957	-1.89%	0.0207	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.03027	0.030166	-0.34%	0.03016	-0.36%	0.0406	✓	1.20
2026-02-26	oos	0.03135	0.031201	-0.47%	0.03043	-2.93%	0.0840	✓	1.20
2026-02-25	oos	0.030915	0.030773	-0.46%	0.03075	-0.53%	0.0810	✓	1.20
2026-02-24	oos	0.02909	0.029031	-0.20%	0.03054	+4.98%	0.0272	✓	1.21
2026-02-23	oos	0.02971	0.029628	-0.28%	0.03032	+2.05%	0.0563	✓	1.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.03041	0.030276	-0.44%	0.02943	-3.22%	0.0067	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.031105	0.030953	-0.49%	0.03014	-3.10%	0.0077	✓	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.031165	0.031018	-0.47%	0.03027	-2.87%	0.0168	✗	1.30
2026-02-19	oos	0.03012	0.030019	-0.34%	0.03135	+4.08%	0.0334	✗	1.29
2026-02-18	oos	0.031045	0.03092	-0.40%	0.030915	-0.42%	0.0307	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	0.03191	0.031732	-0.56%	0.02909	-8.84%	0.0202	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.03225	0.032043	-0.64%	0.02971	-7.88%	0.0066	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.03206	0.031865	-0.61%	0.03041	-5.15%	0.0244	✓	1.30
2026-02-14	oos	0.033445	0.033179	-0.79%	0.031105	-7.00%	0.0303	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	0.03214	0.031956	-0.57%	0.031165	-3.03%	0.0095	✓	1.29
2026-02-12	oos	0.031395	0.031339	-0.18%	0.03012	-4.06%	0.0546	✓	1.30
2026-02-11	oos	0.03148	0.031421	-0.19%	0.031045	-1.38%	0.0001	✓	1.31
2026-02-10	oos	0.03105	0.030983	-0.22%	0.03191	+2.77%	0.0555	✗	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.031485	0.031401	-0.27%	0.03225	+2.43%	0.0504	✗	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.03386	0.033717	-0.42%	0.03206	-5.32%	0.0218	✓	1.34
2026-02-07	oos	0.03134	0.031434	+0.30%	0.033445	+6.72%	0.0517	✓	1.32
2026-02-06	oos	0.03199	0.032088	+0.31%	0.03214	+0.47%	0.0339	✓	1.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.02706	0.02792	+3.18%	0.031395	+16.02%	0.0494	✓	1.28
2026-02-04	oos	0.030985	0.031145	+0.52%	0.03148	+1.60%	0.1369	✓	1.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.03206	0.032095	+0.11%	0.03105	-3.15%	0.1027	✓	1.43
2026-02-02	oos	0.03312	0.033029	-0.28%	0.031485	-4.94%	0.1211	✗	1.47
2026-02-01	oos	0.03069	0.030865	+0.57%	0.03386	+10.33%	0.2211	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.03316	0.033147	-0.04%	0.03134	-5.49%	0.1289	✗	1.45
2026-01-30	oos	0.03736	0.036951	-1.09%	0.03199	-14.37%	0.1043	✗	1.41
2026-01-29	oos	0.03846	0.037978	-1.25%	0.02706	-29.64%	0.0800	✗	1.41
2026-01-28	oos	0.03977	0.03917	-1.51%	0.030985	-22.09%	0.0568	✗	1.46
2026-01-27	oos	0.03979	0.039212	-1.45%	0.03206	-19.43%	0.0407	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	0.03979	0.039198	-1.49%	0.03312	-16.76%	0.0032	✓	1.44
2026-01-25	oos	0.03958	0.039008	-1.45%	0.03069	-22.46%	0.0679	✓	1.45
2026-01-24	oos	0.04162	0.040905	-1.72%	0.03316	-20.33%	0.0298	✓	1.45
2026-01-23	oos	0.04022	0.039553	-1.66%	0.03736	-7.11%	0.0302	✗	1.41
2026-01-22	oos	0.03987	0.039205	-1.67%	0.03846	-3.54%	0.0623	✗	1.43
2026-01-21	oos	0.04105	0.040324	-1.77%	0.03977	-3.12%	0.0106	✓	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.04018	0.039506	-1.68%	0.03979	-0.97%	0.0060	✓	1.44
2026-01-19	oos	0.04267	0.041841	-1.94%	0.03979	-6.75%	0.0193	✓	1.46
2026-01-18	oos	0.04269	0.041874	-1.91%	0.03958	-7.29%	0.0598	✗	1.48
2026-01-17	oos	0.04421	0.043407	-1.82%	0.04162	-5.86%	0.0551	✗	1.48
2026-01-16	oos	0.04515	0.044336	-1.80%	0.04022	-10.92%	0.0002	✓	1.49
2026-01-15	oos	0.04555	0.044733	-1.79%	0.03987	-12.47%	0.0169	✓	1.48
2026-01-14	oos	0.04799	0.047158	-1.73%	0.04105	-14.46%	0.0185	✓	1.47
2026-01-13	oos	0.04827	0.047322	-1.96%	0.04018	-16.76%	0.0475	✓	1.51
2026-01-12	oos	0.04629	0.045271	-2.20%	0.04267	-7.82%	0.0824	✓	1.56
2026-01-11	oos	0.04672	0.04567	-2.25%	0.04269	-8.63%	0.1148	✓	1.58
2026-01-10	oos	0.04649	0.045455	-2.23%	0.04421	-4.90%	0.1088	✓	1.59
2026-01-09	oos	0.04702	0.045987	-2.20%	0.04515	-3.98%	0.1044	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.04699	0.045993	-2.12%	0.04555	-3.06%	0.0867	✓	1.57
2026-01-07	oos	0.04884	0.047779	-2.17%	0.04799	-1.74%	0.1083	✓	1.87
2026-01-06	oos	0.05147	0.050376	-2.13%	0.04827	-6.22%	0.0755	✓	1.86
2026-01-05	oos	0.05092	0.049868	-2.07%	0.04629	-9.09%	0.0208	✓	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.04943	0.048337	-2.21%	0.04672	-5.48%	0.0213	✓	1.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.04572	0.044852	-1.90%	0.04649	+1.68%	0.0404	✗	1.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.04603	0.04514	-1.93%	0.04702	+2.15%	0.0294	✗	1.84
2026-01-01	oos	0.04474	0.043925	-1.82%	0.04699	+5.03%	0.0208	✗	1.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.04288	0.042206	-1.57%	0.04884	+13.90%	0.0693	✗	1.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.04387	0.043179	-1.57%	0.05147	+17.32%	0.0699	✗	1.81
2025-12-29	oos	0.04348	0.042834	-1.49%	0.05092	+17.11%	0.0382	✗	1.80
2025-12-28	oos	0.04453	0.043855	-1.52%	0.04943	+11.00%	0.0470	✗	1.80
2025-12-27	oos	0.04555	0.04485	-1.54%	0.04572	+0.37%	0.0365	✓	1.78
2025-12-26	oos	0.0449	0.044262	-1.42%	0.04603	+2.52%	0.0140	✓	1.77
2025-12-25	oos	0.04362	0.04308	-1.24%	0.04474	+2.57%	0.0063	✓	1.77
2025-12-24	oos	0.04453	0.043978	-1.24%	0.04288	-3.71%	0.0230	✓	1.77
2025-12-23	oos	0.04512	0.044558	-1.25%	0.04387	-2.77%	0.0348	✓	1.75
2025-12-22	oos	0.04661	0.045983	-1.34%	0.04348	-6.72%	0.0273	✓	1.74
2025-12-21	oos	0.04686	0.046229	-1.35%	0.04453	-4.97%	0.0224	✓	1.74
2025-12-20	oos	0.04493	0.04441	-1.16%	0.04555	+1.38%	0.0355	✗	1.74
2025-12-19	oos	0.04325	0.04283	-0.97%	0.0449	+3.82%	0.0629	✗	1.73
2025-12-18	oos	0.04057	0.040365	-0.51%	0.04362	+7.52%	0.0434	✗	1.72
2025-12-17	oos	0.04197	0.041682	-0.69%	0.04453	+6.10%	0.0383	✗	1.72
2025-12-16	oos	0.04481	0.044339	-1.05%	0.04512	+0.69%	0.0258	✗	1.71
2025-12-15	oos	0.04296	0.042604	-0.83%	0.04661	+8.50%	0.0482	✗	1.70
2025-12-14	oos	0.04428	0.043804	-1.07%	0.04686	+5.83%	0.0584	✗	1.71
2025-12-13	oos	0.04682	0.046182	-1.36%	0.04493	-4.04%	0.0094	✓	1.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.04629	0.045676	-1.33%	0.04325	-6.57%	0.0128	✓	1.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.04775	0.047068	-1.43%	0.04057	-15.04%	0.0122	✓	1.71
2025-12-10	oos	0.0486	0.047864	-1.51%	0.04197	-13.64%	0.0189	✓	1.72
2025-12-09	oos	0.04996	0.049146	-1.63%	0.04481	-10.31%	0.0002	✓	1.73
2025-12-08	oos	0.05214	0.051188	-1.83%	0.04296	-17.61%	0.0907	✓	1.77
2025-12-07	oos	0.05151	0.050584	-1.80%	0.04428	-14.04%	0.0890	✓	1.76
2025-12-06	oos	0.05103	0.050135	-1.75%	0.04682	-8.25%	0.0879	✓	1.77
2025-12-05	oos	0.05251	0.051552	-1.82%	0.04629	-11.85%	0.1261	✓	1.77
2025-12-04	oos	0.05509	0.054002	-1.97%	0.04775	-13.32%	0.1317	✓	1.78
2025-12-03	oos	0.05674	0.055577	-2.05%	0.0486	-14.35%	0.1070	✓	1.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.0545	0.05348	-1.87%	0.04996	-8.33%	0.0948	✓	1.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.05196	0.051147	-1.57%	0.05214	+0.35%	0.0726	✓	1.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.057285	0.056122	-2.03%	0.05151	-10.08%	0.0864	✓	1.84
2025-11-29	oos	0.056335	0.055261	-1.91%	0.05103	-9.42%	0.0480	✓	1.83
2025-11-28	oos	0.057835	0.056684	-1.99%	0.05251	-9.21%	0.0448	✓	1.83
2025-11-27	oos	0.05831	0.05713	-2.02%	0.05509	-5.52%	0.0519	✓	1.83
2025-11-26	oos	0.05813	0.056918	-2.09%	0.05674	-2.39%	0.0624	✓	1.82
2025-11-25	oos	0.0506	0.049931	-1.32%	0.0545	+7.71%	0.0094	✓	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.04514	0.044762	-0.84%	0.05196	+15.11%	0.1896	✗	1.78
2025-11-23	oos	0.040015	0.039935	-0.20%	0.057285	+43.16%	0.2907	✗	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.03809	0.038235	+0.38%	0.056335	+47.90%	0.2655	✓	1.74
2025-11-21	oos	0.038595	0.03878	+0.48%	0.057835	+49.85%	0.2847	✓	1.73
2025-11-20	oos	0.04001	0.040125	+0.29%	0.05831	+45.74%	0.2806	✓	1.73
2025-11-19	oos	0.042245	0.042093	-0.36%	0.05813	+37.60%	0.3427	✗	1.82
2025-11-18	oos	0.04326	0.043044	-0.50%	0.0506	+16.97%	0.2746	✗	1.82
2025-11-17	oos	0.042685	0.042541	-0.34%	0.04514	+5.75%	0.1373	✗	1.83
2025-11-16	oos	0.04344	0.043217	-0.51%	0.040015	-7.88%	0.0737	✗	1.85
2025-11-15	oos	0.045145	0.044838	-0.68%	0.03809	-15.63%	0.0600	✗	1.85
2025-11-14	oos	0.04449	0.044285	-0.46%	0.038595	-13.25%	0.0572	✗	1.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.04827	0.047806	-0.96%	0.04001	-17.11%	0.0866	✗	1.88
2025-11-12	oos	0.04948	0.048958	-1.06%	0.042245	-14.62%	0.0517	✗	1.89
2025-11-11	oos	0.04936	0.048858	-1.02%	0.04326	-12.36%	0.0754	✗	1.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.052515	0.051923	-1.13%	0.042685	-18.72%	0.0693	✗	1.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.05211	0.051543	-1.09%	0.04344	-16.64%	0.0317	✗	1.92
2025-11-08	oos	0.05182	0.051315	-0.97%	0.045145	-12.88%	0.0044	✓	1.94
2025-11-07	oos	0.05215	0.051654	-0.95%	0.04449	-14.69%	0.0198	✗	1.90
2025-11-06	oos	0.05107	0.05067	-0.78%	0.04827	-5.48%	0.0166	✓	1.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.04678	0.046563	-0.46%	0.04948	+5.77%	0.1042	✗	2.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.04401	0.043992	-0.04%	0.04936	+12.16%	0.0853	✗	1.98
2025-11-03	oos	0.04672	0.046494	-0.48%	0.052515	+12.40%	0.1329	✗	2.05
2025-11-02	oos	0.05215	0.051766	-0.74%	0.05211	-0.08%	0.1162	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.05323	0.052824	-0.76%	0.05182	-2.65%	0.1298	✗	2.04
2025-10-31	oos	0.05282	0.052448	-0.70%	0.05215	-1.27%	0.1144	✗	2.04
2025-10-30	oos	0.05363	0.053227	-0.75%	0.05107	-4.77%	0.0961	✗	2.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.05846	0.057883	-0.99%	0.04678	-19.98%	0.0963	✓	2.02
2025-10-28	oos	0.056465	0.056042	-0.75%	0.04401	-22.06%	0.0163	✓	2.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.05729	0.056852	-0.77%	0.04672	-18.45%	0.0519	✓	2.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.05812	0.057653	-0.80%	0.05215	-10.27%	0.0249	✓	2.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.05877	0.058175	-1.01%	0.05323	-9.43%	0.0570	✓	2.18
2025-10-24	oos	0.053045	0.052683	-0.68%	0.05282	-0.42%	0.0321	✗	2.19
2025-10-23	oos	0.05144	0.051141	-0.58%	0.05363	+4.26%	0.0836	✗	2.18
2025-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.04909	-0.33%	0.05846	+18.70%	0.1259	✗	2.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.0517	0.051393	-0.59%	0.056465	+9.22%	0.0050	✓	2.17
2025-10-20	oos	0.05496	0.054443	-0.94%	0.05729	+4.24%	0.0173	✓	2.18
2025-10-19	oos	0.05275	0.05241	-0.65%	0.05812	+10.18%	0.0085	✓	2.13
2025-10-18	oos	0.05055	0.050426	-0.24%	0.05877	+16.26%	0.0664	✗	2.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.05184	0.051732	-0.21%	0.053045	+2.32%	0.0647	✓	2.13
2025-10-16	oos	0.05353	0.053273	-0.48%	0.05144	-3.90%	0.0725	✓	2.14
2025-10-15	oos	0.056935	0.05647	-0.82%	0.04925	-13.50%	0.0741	✓	2.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.060645	0.060053	-0.98%	0.0517	-14.75%	0.0599	✓	2.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.06486	0.064158	-1.08%	0.05496	-15.26%	0.0665	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.06167	0.061111	-0.91%	0.05275	-14.46%	0.0285	✓	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	0.05713	0.056837	-0.51%	0.05055	-11.52%	0.0496	✓	2.07
2025-10-10	oos	0.05531	0.055025	-0.52%	0.05184	-6.27%	0.0669	✗	2.13
2025-10-09	oos	0.07384	0.072964	-1.19%	0.05353	-27.51%	0.1124	✓	1.68
2025-10-08	oos	0.07499	0.074209	-1.04%	0.056935	-24.08%	0.0871	✓	1.66
2025-10-07	oos	0.07491	0.07402	-1.19%	0.060645	-19.04%	0.0811	✓	1.66
2025-10-06	oos	0.07812	0.077498	-0.80%	0.06486	-16.97%	0.0451	✓	1.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.07493	0.07427	-0.88%	0.06167	-17.70%	0.0667	✓	1.68
2025-10-04	oos	0.07636	0.07554	-1.07%	0.05713	-25.18%	0.1091	✓	1.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.08047	0.079502	-1.20%	0.05531	-31.27%	0.2277	✓	1.70
2025-10-02	oos	0.081495	0.080409	-1.33%	0.07384	-9.39%	0.1008	✓	1.72
2025-10-01	oos	0.07985	0.078695	-1.45%	0.07499	-6.09%	0.1153	✓	1.73
2025-09-30	oos	0.0752	0.074021	-1.57%	0.07491	-0.39%	0.0968	✓	1.75
2025-09-29	oos	0.07694	0.07571	-1.60%	0.07812	+1.53%	0.1202	✓	1.75
2025-09-28	oos	0.077705	0.076392	-1.69%	0.07493	-3.57%	0.1908	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	0.07633	0.075069	-1.65%	0.07636	+0.04%	0.1835	✓	1.82
2025-09-26	oos	0.07817	0.076838	-1.70%	0.08047	+2.94%	0.1518	✓	1.82
2025-09-25	oos	0.07547	0.074287	-1.57%	0.081495	+7.98%	0.0906	✓	1.81
2025-09-24	oos	0.078745	0.07746	-1.63%	0.07985	+1.40%	0.0553	✓	1.87
2025-09-23	oos	0.07816	0.076908	-1.60%	0.0752	-3.79%	0.0567	✓	1.89
2025-09-22	oos	0.078845	0.077504	-1.70%	0.07694	-2.42%	0.0346	✓	1.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.08139	0.080005	-1.70%	0.077705	-4.53%	0.0228	✗	1.91
2025-09-20	oos	0.08414	0.082632	-1.79%	0.07633	-9.28%	0.0293	✗	2.02
2025-09-19	oos	0.08403	0.082543	-1.77%	0.07817	-6.97%	0.0530	✗	2.02
2025-09-18	oos	0.088075	0.086469	-1.82%	0.07547	-14.31%	0.0080	✓	2.01
2025-09-17	oos	0.08874	0.087012	-1.95%	0.078745	-11.26%	0.0449	✓	2.01

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.