INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s3

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0363

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0039

actual -0.0009

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.12835	0.127359	-0.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.1274	0.126677	-0.57%	0.12835	+0.75%	0.0117	✗	0.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.12652	-0.53%	0.1274	+0.16%	0.0011	✓	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.123174	-0.38%	0.1272	+2.87%	0.0240	✗	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.125605	-0.35%	0.12365	-1.90%	0.0144	✓	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.123829	-0.30%	0.12605	+1.49%	0.0131	✗	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.125241	-0.29%	0.1242	-1.11%	0.0075	✓	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.140737	-0.50%	0.1256	-11.21%	0.1094	✓	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.126419	-0.26%	0.14145	+11.60%	0.1085	✗	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.123579	-0.26%	0.12675	+2.30%	0.0363	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.120441	-0.26%	0.1239	+2.61%	0.0186	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.117447	-0.21%	0.12075	+2.59%	0.0419	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.117496	-0.26%	0.1177	-0.08%	0.0040	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.109432	-0.24%	0.1178	+7.38%	0.0709	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.114169	-0.33%	0.1097	-4.23%	0.0466	✓	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.116544	-0.39%	0.11455	-2.09%	0.0051	✓	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.112302	-0.44%	0.117	+3.72%	0.0591	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.118063	-0.54%	0.1128	-4.97%	0.0440	✓	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.116926	-0.62%	0.1187	+0.89%	0.0211	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.112034	-0.72%	0.11765	+4.25%	0.0351	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.109291	-0.78%	0.11285	+2.45%	0.0302	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.104254	-0.76%	0.11015	+4.85%	0.0578	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.102771	-0.90%	0.10505	+1.30%	0.0115	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.101791	-1.13%	0.1037	+0.73%	0.0192	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.088848	-0.95%	0.10295	+14.77%	0.1458	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.088867	-0.93%	0.0897	+0.00%	0.0179	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.093399	-0.85%	0.0897	-4.78%	0.0408	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.098963	-0.89%	0.0942	-5.66%	0.0521	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.098942	-0.96%	0.09985	-0.05%	0.0116	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.088029	-0.76%	0.0999	+12.63%	0.1264	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.089434	-0.85%	0.0887	-1.66%	0.0077	✓	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.081967	-0.83%	0.0902	+9.13%	0.0995	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.073329	-0.37%	0.08265	+12.30%	0.0738	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.075481	-0.42%	0.0736	-2.90%	0.0246	✓	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.0758	-0.39%	0.0758	-0.39%	0.0032	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.075655	-0.45%	0.0761	+0.13%	0.0393	✓	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.068274	-0.04%	0.076	+11.27%	0.1051	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.067241	+0.06%	0.0683	+1.64%	0.0100	✓	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.069683	-0.02%	0.0672	-3.59%	0.0112	✓	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.06488	+0.20%	0.0697	+7.64%	0.0592	✓	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.070028	-0.03%	0.06475	-7.57%	0.0743	✓	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.07019	-0.01%	0.07005	-0.21%	0.0025	✓	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.070022	-0.11%	0.0702	+0.14%	0.0033	✓	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.0661	+0.07%	0.0701	+6.13%	0.0750	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.065946	+0.07%	0.06605	+0.23%	0.0032	✓	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.067424	+0.04%	0.0659	-2.23%	0.0167	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.067621	+0.10%	0.0674	-0.22%	0.0087	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.067787	+0.13%	0.06755	-0.22%	0.0083	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.063537	+0.22%	0.0677	+6.78%	0.0620	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.062056	+0.33%	0.0634	+2.51%	0.0368	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.061359	+0.18%	0.06185	+0.98%	0.0342	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059463	+0.19%	0.06125	+3.20%	0.0306	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.058906	+0.18%	0.05935	+0.94%	0.0196	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.054406	+0.19%	0.0588	+8.29%	0.0673	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.057112	+0.11%	0.0543	-4.82%	0.0440	✗	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.053659	+0.11%	0.05705	+6.44%	0.0569	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.054715	+0.12%	0.0536	-1.92%	0.0069	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.054713	+0.02%	0.05465	-0.09%	0.0152	✗	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.053713	+0.03%	0.0547	+1.86%	0.0124	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.054445	-0.01%	0.0537	-1.38%	0.0082	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.056686	-0.20%	0.05445	-4.14%	0.0563	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.055375	-0.14%	0.0568	+2.43%	0.0167	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.057545	-0.35%	0.05545	-3.98%	0.0209	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.054664	-0.34%	0.05775	+5.29%	0.0172	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.053093	-0.48%	0.05485	+2.81%	0.0240	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.050886	-0.52%	0.05335	+4.30%	0.0325	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.051085	-0.52%	0.05115	-0.39%	0.0024	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.050605	-0.58%	0.05135	+0.88%	0.0158	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.0512	-0.58%	0.0509	-1.17%	0.0025	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.050846	-0.69%	0.0515	+0.59%	0.0120	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.051227	-0.72%	0.0512	-0.78%	0.0079	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.050832	-0.72%	0.0516	+0.78%	0.0147	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.051993	-0.78%	0.0512	-2.29%	0.0132	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.052159	-0.74%	0.0524	-0.29%	0.0117	✗	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.053254	-0.83%	0.05255	-2.14%	0.0037	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.052596	-0.95%	0.0537	+1.13%	0.0219	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.050718	-0.75%	0.0531	+3.91%	0.0456	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.050435	-0.82%	0.0511	+0.49%	0.0021	✓	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.050263	-0.76%	0.05085	+0.39%	0.0175	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.048978	-0.85%	0.05065	+2.53%	0.0245	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.049437	-0.73%	0.0494	-0.80%	0.0108	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.049758	-0.68%	0.0498	-0.60%	0.0014	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.051052	-0.68%	0.0501	-2.53%	0.0317	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.049036	-0.64%	0.0514	+4.15%	0.0482	✗	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.048135	-0.55%	0.04935	+1.96%	0.0592	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.047873	-0.47%	0.0484	+0.62%	0.0035	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.049126	-0.45%	0.0481	-2.53%	0.0220	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.050687	-0.42%	0.04935	-3.05%	0.0295	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.054173	-0.42%	0.0509	-6.43%	0.0346	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.055168	-0.42%	0.0544	-1.81%	0.0317	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.054874	-0.41%	0.0554	+0.54%	0.0059	✗	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.055537	-0.47%	0.0551	-1.25%	0.0085	✗	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.055354	-0.44%	0.0558	+0.36%	0.0251	✗	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.05493	-0.40%	0.0556	+0.82%	0.0191	✗	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.053746	-0.47%	0.05515	+2.13%	0.0052	✗	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.052184	-0.32%	0.054	+3.15%	0.0259	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.052523	-0.34%	0.05235	-0.66%	0.0014	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.052361	-0.36%	0.0527	+0.29%	0.0088	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.052804	-0.37%	0.05255	-0.85%	0.0069	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.054296	-0.37%	0.053	-2.75%	0.0084	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054668	-0.33%	0.0545	-0.64%	0.0014	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.053212	-0.35%	0.05485	+2.72%	0.0173	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.055007	-0.35%	0.0534	-3.26%	0.0037	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.056047	-0.36%	0.0552	-1.87%	0.0147	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.056736	-0.38%	0.05625	-1.23%	0.0023	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.055305	-0.35%	0.05695	+2.61%	0.0126	✗	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054537	-0.30%	0.0555	+1.46%	0.0006	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054838	-0.29%	0.0547	-0.55%	0.0170	✗	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.057158	-0.33%	0.055	-4.10%	0.0266	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.057803	-0.34%	0.05735	-1.12%	0.0145	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.058188	-0.36%	0.058	-0.68%	0.0112	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.058098	-0.35%	0.0584	+0.17%	0.0036	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.056916	-0.32%	0.0583	+2.10%	0.0078	✗	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.057184	-0.38%	0.0571	-0.52%	0.0264	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.052269	-0.25%	0.0574	+9.54%	0.0713	✗	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.053399	-0.28%	0.0524	-2.15%	0.0066	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.05195	-0.19%	0.05355	+2.88%	0.0201	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.052397	-0.20%	0.05205	-0.86%	0.0002	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.055029	-0.22%	0.0525	-4.81%	0.0461	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051686	-0.12%	0.05515	+6.57%	0.0605	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.05331	-0.17%	0.05175	-3.09%	0.0103	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.059012	-0.32%	0.0534	-9.80%	0.0783	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.058313	-0.32%	0.0592	+1.20%	0.0318	✗	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.055587	-0.20%	0.0585	+5.03%	0.0422	✗	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056813	-0.24%	0.0557	-2.19%	0.0073	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057715	-0.23%	0.05695	-1.56%	0.0228	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.059499	-0.25%	0.05785	-3.02%	0.0359	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.059622	-0.30%	0.05965	-0.25%	0.0210	✗	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.060088	-0.35%	0.0598	-0.83%	0.0106	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.058507	-0.33%	0.0603	+2.73%	0.0393	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.05948	-0.37%	0.0587	-1.68%	0.0210	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.058687	-0.28%	0.0597	+1.44%	0.0002	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.059981	-0.45%	0.05885	-2.32%	0.0312	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.057884	-0.20%	0.06025	+3.88%	0.0404	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054492	-0.01%	0.058	+6.42%	0.0341	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.056866	-0.15%	0.0545	-4.30%	0.0393	✓	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.058049	-0.09%	0.05695	-1.98%	0.0005	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.05429	+0.17%	0.0581	+7.20%	0.0711	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.053348	+0.28%	0.0542	+1.88%	0.0177	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.05554	+0.25%	0.0532	-3.97%	0.0405	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.058701	+0.17%	0.0554	-5.46%	0.0203	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.064996	-0.01%	0.0586	-9.85%	0.1009	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.063916	+0.02%	0.065	+1.72%	0.0466	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.071651	-0.48%	0.0639	-11.25%	0.0850	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.073569	-0.58%	0.072	-2.70%	0.0086	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.068542	-0.23%	0.074	+7.71%	0.0779	✗	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.062865	+0.10%	0.0687	+9.39%	0.0861	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.063279	+0.12%	0.0628	-0.63%	0.0066	✗	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.06715	+0.00%	0.0632	-5.88%	0.0556	✗	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.07754	-0.27%	0.06715	-13.63%	0.1362	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.081406	-0.36%	0.07775	-4.83%	0.0399	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.081024	-0.34%	0.0817	+0.49%	0.0071	✗	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.082687	-0.38%	0.0813	-2.05%	0.0185	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.08064	-0.32%	0.083	+2.60%	0.0229	✗	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.085621	-0.44%	0.0809	-5.93%	0.0473	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.084656	-0.41%	0.086	+1.18%	0.0154	✗	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.082734	-0.38%	0.085	+2.35%	0.0240	✗	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.084012	-0.34%	0.08305	-1.48%	0.0107	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.083961	-0.34%	0.0843	+0.06%	0.0066	✗	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.084983	-0.31%	0.08425	-1.17%	0.0048	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.088212	-0.27%	0.08525	-3.62%	0.0311	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.094653	-0.31%	0.08845	-6.85%	0.0624	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.097405	-0.30%	0.09495	-2.81%	0.0299	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.103777	-0.41%	0.0977	-6.24%	0.0578	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.101682	-0.31%	0.1042	+2.16%	0.0265	✗	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.10485	-0.33%	0.102	-3.04%	0.0268	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.110229	-0.52%	0.1052	-5.05%	0.0497	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.102069	-0.32%	0.1108	+8.20%	0.0813	✗	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.109159	-0.72%	0.1024	-6.87%	0.0642	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.099571	-0.28%	0.10995	+10.12%	0.1059	✗	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.090508	-0.10%	0.09985	+10.21%	0.0944	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.089858	-0.16%	0.0906	+0.67%	0.0001	✓	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.088799	-0.23%	0.09	+1.12%	0.0033	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.088909	-0.21%	0.089	-0.11%	0.0020	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.090345	-0.17%	0.0891	-1.55%	0.0175	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.090675	-0.25%	0.0905	-0.44%	0.0209	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.090619	-0.31%	0.0909	+0.00%	0.0024	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.094277	-0.39%	0.0909	-3.96%	0.0307	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.090038	-0.35%	0.09465	+4.76%	0.0608	✗	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.090373	-0.36%	0.09035	-0.39%	0.0131	✗	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.088865	-0.43%	0.0907	+1.62%	0.0101	✗	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.092351	-0.54%	0.08925	-3.88%	0.0361	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.084751	-0.41%	0.09285	+9.11%	0.0996	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.088062	-0.50%	0.0851	-3.84%	0.0349	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.089411	-0.54%	0.0885	-1.56%	0.0295	✓	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.094045	-0.64%	0.0899	-5.02%	0.0502	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.087901	-0.56%	0.09465	+7.07%	0.0518	✗	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.093299	-0.85%	0.0884	-6.06%	0.0332	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.089852	-0.61%	0.0941	+4.09%	0.0607	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.086433	-0.54%	0.0904	+4.03%	0.0242	✗	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.083022	-0.51%	0.0869	+4.13%	0.0421	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.079701	-0.50%	0.08345	+4.18%	0.0389	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.079315	-0.48%	0.0801	+0.50%	0.0127	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.076014	-0.64%	0.0797	+4.18%	0.0049	✓	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.082091	-0.62%	0.0765	-7.38%	0.0442	✓	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.083159	-0.65%	0.0826	-1.31%	0.0077	✓	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.079686	-0.64%	0.0837	+4.36%	0.0358	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.08151	-0.66%	0.0802	-2.25%	0.0243	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.081366	-0.65%	0.08205	+0.18%	0.0177	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.084328	-0.85%	0.0819	-3.70%	0.0664	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.07914	-0.70%	0.08505	+6.71%	0.0739	✗	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.081342	-0.68%	0.0797	-2.69%	0.0421	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.081942	-0.68%	0.0819	-0.73%	0.0048	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.079821	-0.66%	0.0825	+2.68%	0.0322	✗	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.078123	-0.54%	0.08035	+2.29%	0.0439	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.075038	-0.48%	0.07855	+4.18%	0.0472	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.076651	-0.45%	0.0754	-2.08%	0.0361	✓	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.077746	-0.45%	0.077	-1.41%	0.0202	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.07914	-0.45%	0.0781	-1.76%	0.0083	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.076605	-0.38%	0.0795	+3.38%	0.0375	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.082989	-0.49%	0.0769	-7.79%	0.0455	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.081612	-0.47%	0.0834	+1.71%	0.0537	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.084235	-0.67%	0.082	-3.30%	0.0365	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.08033	-0.46%	0.0848	+5.08%	0.0584	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.076353	-0.45%	0.0807	+5.22%	0.0167	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.076608	-0.51%	0.0767	-0.39%	0.0150	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.079153	-0.56%	0.077	-3.27%	0.0076	✓	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.081075	-0.52%	0.0796	-2.33%	0.0257	✓	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.085035	-0.54%	0.0815	-4.68%	0.0255	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.092183	-0.66%	0.0855	-7.87%	0.0424	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.08941	-0.54%	0.0928	+3.23%	0.0487	✗	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.091434	-0.62%	0.0899	-2.28%	0.0427	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.090927	-0.63%	0.092	+0.55%	0.0089	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.084116	-0.45%	0.0915	+8.28%	0.0804	✗	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.088992	-0.68%	0.0845	-5.69%	0.0573	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.089001	-0.56%	0.0896	+0.11%	0.0023	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.083988	-0.49%	0.0895	+6.04%	0.0603	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.080947	-0.43%	0.0844	+3.81%	0.0211	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.080796	-0.37%	0.0813	+0.25%	0.0290	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.084169	-0.51%	0.0811	-4.14%	0.0186	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.086396	-0.81%	0.0846	-2.87%	0.0093	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.080698	-0.37%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.1158	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.078633	-0.34%	0.081	+2.66%	0.0547	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.083372	-0.39%	0.0789	-5.73%	0.1231	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.07999	-0.39%	0.0837	+4.23%	0.0532	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.075185	-0.29%	0.0803	+6.50%	0.0180	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.079367	-0.36%	0.0754	-5.34%	0.0316	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.080701	-0.37%	0.07965	-1.67%	0.0314	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.081354	-0.42%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0226	✗	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.081352	-0.49%	0.0817	-0.06%	0.0125	✗	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.081563	-0.41%	0.08175	-0.18%	0.0676	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.085132	-0.43%	0.0819	-4.21%	0.0286	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.089279	-0.53%	0.0855	-4.74%	0.0096	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.093676	-0.61%	0.08975	-4.77%	0.0370	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.099755	-0.79%	0.09425	-6.27%	0.0563	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.100247	-0.79%	0.10055	-0.49%	0.0145	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.100727	-1.05%	0.10105	-0.74%	0.0067	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.111575	-1.61%	0.1018	-10.23%	0.0747	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.123392	-3.07%	0.1134	-10.92%	0.0628	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.1063	-2.66%	0.1273	+16.58%	0.1793	✗	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.07066	-0.13%	0.1092	+54.35%	0.4513	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.069194	-0.08%	0.07075	+2.17%	0.0066	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.071004	-0.14%	0.06925	-2.60%	0.0697	✓	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.070617	-0.12%	0.0711	+0.57%	0.0208	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.06587	+0.18%	0.0707	+7.53%	0.1013	✓	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.066634	+0.13%	0.06575	-1.20%	0.0084	✓	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.067982	+0.19%	0.06655	-1.92%	0.0183	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.070917	+0.17%	0.06785	-4.17%	0.0618	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.069636	+0.20%	0.0708	+1.87%	0.0384	✓	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.061497	+0.57%	0.0695	+13.65%	0.0177	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.072178	+0.11%	0.06115	-15.19%	0.0346	✓	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.078033	-0.09%	0.0721	-7.68%	0.0325	✓	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.081085	-0.20%	0.0781	-3.88%	0.0135	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.081917	-0.22%	0.08125	-1.04%	0.0383	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.087049	-0.40%	0.0821	-6.06%	0.0279	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.106097	-1.03%	0.0874	-18.47%	0.1148	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.088161	-0.38%	0.1072	+21.13%	0.2012	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.096833	-0.68%	0.0885	-9.23%	0.0293	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.091582	-0.45%	0.0975	+5.98%	0.0620	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.08919	-0.46%	0.092	+2.68%	0.0197	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.089639	-0.73%	0.0896	-0.78%	0.0231	✓	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.088936	-0.63%	0.0903	+0.89%	0.0499	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.080995	-0.50%	0.0895	+9.95%	0.1052	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.080057	-0.55%	0.0814	+1.12%	0.0165	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.080285	-0.64%	0.0805	-0.37%	0.0013	✓	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.07857	-0.67%	0.0808	+2.15%	0.0135	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.0846	-0.70%	0.0791	-7.16%	0.0103	✓	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.092992	-0.86%	0.0852	-9.17%	0.0735	✓	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.091826	-0.73%	0.0938	+1.41%	0.0404	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.095303	-0.62%	0.0925	-3.55%	0.0248	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.094248	-0.90%	0.0959	+0.84%	0.0185	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.091911	-0.74%	0.0951	+2.70%	0.0518	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.089491	-0.79%	0.0926	+2.66%	0.0139	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.081199	-0.86%	0.0902	+10.13%	0.0513	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.085724	-1.13%	0.0819	-5.54%	0.0499	✓	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.088308	-0.78%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0252	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.090631	-0.73%	0.089	-2.52%	0.0161	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.091363	-0.69%	0.0913	-0.76%	0.0069	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.092099	-0.65%	0.092	-0.76%	0.0043	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.095798	-0.62%	0.0927	-3.84%	0.0189	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.097229	-0.58%	0.0964	-1.43%	0.0055	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.09755	-0.66%	0.0978	-0.41%	0.0490	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.096061	-0.56%	0.0982	+1.66%	0.0021	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.093818	-0.51%	0.0966	+2.44%	0.0150	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.089688	-0.46%	0.0943	+4.66%	0.0229	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.086846	-0.41%	0.0901	+3.33%	0.0090	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.088786	-0.46%	0.0872	-2.24%	0.0023	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.088817	-0.54%	0.0892	-0.11%	0.0246	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.087716	-0.44%	0.0893	+1.36%	0.0352	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.092684	-0.66%	0.0881	-5.57%	0.0523	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.102185	-1.37%	0.0933	-9.94%	0.1025	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.090171	-0.80%	0.1036	+13.97%	0.1360	✗	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.083389	-0.37%	0.0909	+8.60%	0.0961	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.083171	-0.27%	0.0837	+0.36%	0.0023	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.084037	-0.31%	0.0834	-1.07%	0.0178	✗	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.083479	-0.26%	0.0843	+0.72%	0.0116	✗	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.086721	-0.43%	0.0837	-3.90%	0.0426	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.084236	-0.43%	0.0871	+2.96%	0.0282	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.07681	-0.12%	0.0846	+10.01%	0.0369	✗	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.081468	-0.16%	0.0769	-5.76%	0.0405	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.086005	-0.23%	0.0816	-5.34%	0.0152	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.083002	-0.12%	0.0862	+3.73%	0.0053	✗	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.08479	-0.13%	0.0831	-2.12%	0.0199	✗	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.088894	-0.23%	0.0849	-4.71%	0.0006	✓	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.086345	-0.18%	0.0891	+3.01%	0.0319	✗	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.090463	-0.15%	0.0865	-4.53%	0.0048	✗	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.093565	-0.14%	0.0906	-3.31%	0.0432	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.098204	-0.20%	0.0937	-4.78%	0.0327	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.09378	-0.13%	0.0984	+4.79%	0.0038	✗	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.090358	-0.16%	0.0939	+3.76%	0.0329	✗	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.099027	-0.17%	0.0905	-8.77%	0.1158	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.100244	-0.16%	0.0992	-1.20%	0.0087	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.102526	-0.27%	0.1004	-2.33%	0.0420	✗	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.102126	-0.27%	0.1028	+0.39%	0.0373	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.103729	-0.26%	0.1024	-1.54%	0.0624	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.101676	-0.12%	0.104	+2.16%	0.1060	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.115864	-0.25%	0.1018	-12.35%	0.0253	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.114447	-0.22%	0.11615	+1.26%	0.0261	✗	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.116676	-0.28%	0.1147	-1.97%	0.0152	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.121471	-0.39%	0.117	-4.06%	0.0274	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.110431	-0.24%	0.12195	+10.16%	0.0790	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.107477	-0.16%	0.1107	+2.83%	0.0489	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.107508	-0.18%	0.10765	-0.05%	0.0252	✗	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.106639	-0.15%	0.1077	+0.84%	0.0276	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.104522	-0.07%	0.1068	+2.10%	0.0361	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.11066	-0.17%	0.1046	-5.64%	0.0458	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.128005	-0.58%	0.11085	-13.90%	0.1050	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.119116	-0.24%	0.12875	+7.83%	0.2219	✗	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.118486	-0.22%	0.1194	+0.55%	0.0490	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.118627	-0.15%	0.11875	-0.04%	0.0221	✓	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.120135	-0.14%	0.1188	-1.25%	0.0480	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.125013	-0.19%	0.1203	-3.95%	0.0004	✓	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.120427	-0.10%	0.12525	+3.90%	0.0103	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.123716	-0.27%	0.12055	-2.82%	0.1228	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.126077	-0.33%	0.12405	-1.94%	0.0412	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.122982	-0.30%	0.1265	+2.55%	0.0668	✗	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.131936	-0.43%	0.12335	-6.91%	0.0148	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.131121	-0.51%	0.1325	+0.53%	0.0251	✓	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.130825	-0.17%	0.1318	+0.57%	0.0614	✓	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.132815	-0.18%	0.13105	-1.50%	0.0149	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.116734	+0.16%	0.13305	+14.16%	0.0751	✓	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.119376	+0.15%	0.11655	-2.22%	0.0486	✓	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.116182	+0.24%	0.1192	+2.85%	0.0418	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.122474	+0.10%	0.1159	-5.27%	0.0934	✓	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.137636	-0.05%	0.12235	-11.15%	0.0061	✓	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.136666	+0.05%	0.1377	+0.81%	0.0059	✗	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.13472	+0.05%	0.1366	+1.45%	0.0001	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.137173	+0.09%	0.13465	-1.75%	0.0541	✗	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.154932	-0.01%	0.13705	-11.55%	0.0738	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.158959	+0.01%	0.15495	-2.52%	0.0546	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.162543	-0.04%	0.15895	-2.24%	0.0100	✗	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.173869	-0.10%	0.1626	-6.58%	0.0545	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.170208	-0.05%	0.17405	+2.20%	0.0583	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.172253	+0.00%	0.1703	-1.13%	0.0292	✗	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.166445	+0.06%	0.17225	+3.55%	0.0078	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.159938	+0.15%	0.16635	+4.16%	0.0344	✗	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.167754	+0.12%	0.1597	-4.69%	0.0263	✗	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.180877	+0.07%	0.16755	-7.30%	0.0128	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.1811	+0.14%	0.18075	-0.06%	0.0557	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.175577	+0.21%	0.18085	+3.22%	0.0128	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.173601	+0.26%	0.1752	+1.18%	0.0125	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.177682	+0.19%	0.17315	-2.37%	0.0245	✓	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.184708	+0.09%	0.17735	-3.90%	0.0345	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.196148	-0.00%	0.18455	-5.91%	0.0030	✗	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.210087	-0.13%	0.19615	-6.75%	0.0079	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.19321	-0.18%	0.21035	+8.68%	0.0794	✗	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.173892	-0.18%	0.19355	+11.11%	0.0116	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.193518	-0.40%	0.1742	-10.34%	0.0438	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.306542	-0.46%	0.1943	-36.91%	0.2841	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.320502	-0.50%	0.30795	-4.39%	0.0096	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.310562	-0.59%	0.3221	+3.10%	0.0065	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.336834	-0.64%	0.3124	-7.85%	0.0026	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.318106	-0.72%	0.339	+5.81%	0.0379	✗	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.323634	-0.54%	0.3204	-1.54%	0.0334	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.334417	-0.63%	0.3254	-3.31%	0.0304	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.338462	-1.06%	0.33655	-1.62%	0.0439	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.321479	-0.75%	0.3421	+5.62%	0.0171	✗	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.309171	-0.57%	0.3239	+4.16%	0.0657	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.310231	-0.60%	0.31095	-0.37%	0.0101	✗	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.317895	-0.67%	0.3121	-2.48%	0.0771	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.306115	-0.60%	0.32005	+3.93%	0.0255	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.311048	-0.51%	0.30795	-1.50%	0.0096	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.297437	-0.51%	0.31265	+4.58%	0.0312	✗	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.322601	-0.62%	0.29895	-7.90%	0.0466	✗	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.315735	-0.59%	0.3246	+2.20%	0.0099	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.32372	-0.62%	0.3176	-2.50%	0.0008	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.359181	-0.72%	0.32575	-9.96%	0.0289	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.365938	-0.75%	0.3618	-1.87%	0.0010	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.368661	-0.86%	0.3687	-0.85%	0.0015	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.392407	-1.02%	0.37185	-6.21%	0.0164	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.