HBAR

Hedera · Hedera · gru_s3

token id: #35
symbol: HBAR
variant: –
chain: Hedera
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-10-13
predictions: 4,371

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0504

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0127

actual -0.0062

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.084215	0.081688	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-21	oos	0.08386	0.0819	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-20	oos	0.08427	0.08252	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-19	oos	0.082935	0.081555	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-18	oos	0.085345	0.083885	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-17	oos	0.085225	0.083903	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-16	oos	0.083485	0.08249	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-15	oos	0.085125	0.084111	-1.19%	0.084215	-1.07%	0.0229	✓	0.96
2026-10-14	oos	0.0844	0.083323	-1.28%	0.08386	-0.64%	0.0221	✓	0.96
2026-10-13	oos	0.08691	0.085498	-1.63%	0.08427	-3.04%	0.0126	✓	0.96
2026-10-12	oos	0.08678	0.085181	-1.84%	0.082935	-4.43%	0.0278	✓	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.094055	0.091944	-2.24%	0.085345	-9.26%	0.0567	✓	0.88
2026-10-10	oos	0.09238	0.090258	-2.30%	0.085225	-7.75%	0.0410	✓	0.88
2026-10-09	oos	0.092205	0.090157	-2.22%	0.083485	-9.46%	0.0657	✓	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.090265	0.088181	-2.31%	0.085125	-5.69%	0.0399	✓	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.09284	0.090482	-2.54%	0.0844	-9.09%	0.0515	✓	0.87
2026-10-06	oos	0.09966	0.097123	-2.55%	0.08691	-12.79%	0.0871	✓	0.83
2026-10-05	oos	0.10171	0.099057	-2.61%	0.08678	-14.68%	0.0925	✓	0.83
2026-10-04	oos	0.10403	0.101295	-2.63%	0.094055	-9.59%	0.0463	✓	0.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.10197	0.099139	-2.78%	0.09238	-9.40%	0.0524	✓	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.10239	0.099617	-2.71%	0.092205	-9.95%	0.0579	✓	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.102615	0.099811	-2.73%	0.090265	-12.04%	0.0688	✓	0.84
2026-09-30	oos	0.10472	0.101917	-2.68%	0.09284	-11.34%	0.0904	✓	0.85
2026-09-29	oos	0.102385	0.099455	-2.86%	0.09966	-2.66%	0.0167	✓	0.84
2026-09-28	oos	0.122	0.118012	-3.27%	0.10171	-16.63%	0.1713	✓	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.09585	0.092778	-3.21%	0.10403	+8.53%	0.0918	✗	0.95
2026-09-26	oos	0.093485	0.090565	-3.12%	0.10197	+9.08%	0.1150	✗	0.95
2026-09-25	oos	0.095675	0.0928	-3.00%	0.10239	+7.02%	0.0937	✗	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	0.09309	0.090425	-2.86%	0.102615	+10.23%	0.1212	✗	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.09049	0.088051	-2.70%	0.10472	+15.73%	0.1827	✗	0.96
2026-09-22	oos	0.099085	0.096135	-2.98%	0.102385	+3.33%	0.0906	✗	0.92
2026-09-21	oos	0.093385	0.090862	-2.70%	0.122	+30.64%	0.3290	✗	0.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.086515	0.084428	-2.41%	0.09585	+10.79%	0.0912	✗	0.89
2026-09-19	oos	0.08142	0.079858	-1.92%	0.093485	+14.82%	0.1229	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.07921	0.077931	-1.61%	0.095675	+20.79%	0.1697	✗	0.91
2026-09-17	oos	0.07454	0.073909	-0.85%	0.09309	+24.89%	0.1419	✗	0.89
2026-09-16	oos	0.07388	0.073522	-0.48%	0.09049	+22.48%	0.1166	✗	0.89
2026-09-15	oos	0.074235	0.074007	-0.31%	0.099085	+33.47%	0.1763	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077725	0.077345	-0.49%	0.093385	+20.15%	0.1017	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.075075	0.075015	-0.08%	0.086515	+15.24%	0.0961	✗	0.84
2026-09-12	oos	0.074695	0.074851	+0.21%	0.08142	+9.00%	0.0416	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.0744	0.074851	+0.61%	0.07921	+6.47%	0.0167	✓	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.07476	0.07522	+0.62%	0.07454	-0.29%	0.0070	✗	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.076535	0.077318	+1.02%	0.07388	-3.47%	0.0217	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.07905	0.07995	+1.14%	0.074235	-6.09%	0.0426	✗	0.85
2026-09-07	oos	0.081845	0.082837	+1.21%	0.077725	-5.03%	0.0538	✗	0.84
2026-09-06	oos	0.08161	0.082961	+1.66%	0.075075	-8.01%	0.0613	✗	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.08021	0.081698	+1.86%	0.074695	-6.88%	0.0617	✗	0.85
2026-09-04	oos	0.0784	0.080011	+2.06%	0.0744	-5.10%	0.0459	✗	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.07927	0.081247	+2.49%	0.07476	-5.69%	0.0318	✗	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.07456	0.075487	+1.24%	0.076535	+2.65%	0.0034	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.07405	0.074978	+1.25%	0.07905	+6.75%	0.0417	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.07363	0.074761	+1.54%	0.081845	+11.16%	0.0850	✓	0.82
2026-08-30	oos	0.07347	0.074221	+1.02%	0.08161	+11.08%	0.0670	✓	0.83
2026-08-29	oos	0.07552	0.076265	+0.99%	0.08021	+6.21%	0.0336	✓	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.0761	0.076746	+0.85%	0.0784	+3.02%	0.0019	✓	0.83
2026-08-27	oos	0.07877	0.079797	+1.30%	0.07927	+0.63%	0.0167	✗	0.82
2026-08-26	oos	0.07861	0.079226	+0.78%	0.07456	-5.15%	0.0427	✗	0.82
2026-08-25	oos	0.07776	0.07822	+0.59%	0.07405	-4.77%	0.0432	✗	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.0793	0.079655	+0.45%	0.07363	-7.15%	0.0744	✗	0.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.07982	0.079849	+0.04%	0.07347	-7.96%	0.0826	✗	0.80
2026-08-22	oos	0.07742	0.077395	-0.03%	0.07552	-2.45%	0.0366	✓	0.80
2026-08-21	oos	0.0798	0.079717	-0.10%	0.0761	-4.64%	0.0415	✓	0.79
2026-08-20	oos	0.07345	0.072961	-0.67%	0.07877	+7.24%	0.0070	✗	0.73
2026-08-19	oos	0.07058	0.069872	-1.00%	0.07861	+11.38%	0.0220	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.06734	0.066471	-1.29%	0.07776	+15.47%	0.0144	✗	0.73
2026-08-17	oos	0.06593	0.065108	-1.25%	0.0793	+20.28%	0.0490	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.0646	0.063709	-1.38%	0.07982	+23.56%	0.0709	✗	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.06543	0.064487	-1.44%	0.07742	+18.32%	0.0369	✗	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.06584	0.064879	-1.46%	0.0798	+21.20%	0.0484	✗	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.06547	0.064461	-1.54%	0.07345	+12.19%	0.0276	✗	0.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.066	0.064935	-1.61%	0.07058	+6.94%	0.0182	✗	0.73
2026-08-11	oos	0.06638	0.065297	-1.63%	0.06734	+1.45%	0.0176	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0676	0.066446	-1.71%	0.06593	-2.47%	0.0142	✓	0.73
2026-08-09	oos	0.06858	0.067434	-1.67%	0.0646	-5.80%	0.0196	✓	0.74
2026-08-08	oos	0.06894	0.067789	-1.67%	0.06543	-5.09%	0.0136	✓	0.74
2026-08-07	oos	0.06804	0.066931	-1.63%	0.06584	-3.23%	0.0065	✓	0.76
2026-08-06	oos	0.06817	0.067016	-1.69%	0.06547	-3.96%	0.0132	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.06901	0.067854	-1.68%	0.066	-4.36%	0.0133	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.06935	0.068086	-1.82%	0.06638	-4.28%	0.0191	✓	0.77
2026-08-03	oos	0.07046	0.069054	-2.00%	0.0676	-4.06%	0.0268	✓	0.79
2026-08-02	oos	0.07002	0.06856	-2.08%	0.06858	-2.06%	0.0164	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.069	0.067498	-2.18%	0.06894	-0.09%	0.0052	✓	0.79
2026-07-31	oos	0.06876	0.067225	-2.23%	0.06804	-1.05%	0.0133	✓	0.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.06834	0.066882	-2.13%	0.06817	-0.25%	0.0248	✗	0.81
2026-07-29	oos	0.06781	0.066402	-2.08%	0.06901	+1.77%	0.0297	✗	0.81
2026-07-28	oos	0.06835	0.067013	-1.96%	0.06935	+1.46%	0.0317	✗	0.80
2026-07-27	oos	0.06807	0.066864	-1.77%	0.07046	+3.51%	0.0553	✗	0.80
2026-07-26	oos	0.0702	0.069028	-1.67%	0.07002	-0.26%	0.0369	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.07093	0.069828	-1.55%	0.069	-2.72%	0.0076	✓	0.81
2026-07-24	oos	0.07076	0.069803	-1.35%	0.06876	-2.83%	0.0010	✓	0.81
2026-07-23	oos	0.07107	0.070205	-1.22%	0.06834	-3.84%	0.0228	✓	0.82
2026-07-22	oos	0.07286	0.071982	-1.20%	0.06781	-6.93%	0.0325	✓	0.81
2026-07-21	oos	0.06953	0.068743	-1.13%	0.06835	-1.70%	0.0277	✗	0.82
2026-07-20	oos	0.06671	0.065914	-1.19%	0.06807	+2.04%	0.0507	✗	0.79
2026-07-19	oos	0.06652	0.06568	-1.26%	0.0702	+5.53%	0.0586	✗	0.79
2026-07-18	oos	0.06708	0.066187	-1.33%	0.07093	+5.74%	0.0754	✗	0.79
2026-07-17	oos	0.06588	0.065003	-1.33%	0.07076	+7.41%	0.0825	✗	0.79
2026-07-16	oos	0.06654	0.065636	-1.36%	0.07107	+6.81%	0.0638	✗	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.06793	0.066994	-1.38%	0.07286	+7.26%	0.0678	✗	0.77
2026-07-14	oos	0.0673	0.066394	-1.35%	0.06953	+3.31%	0.0280	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.06654	0.065706	-1.25%	0.06671	+0.26%	0.0227	✓	0.82
2026-07-12	oos	0.067575	0.066733	-1.25%	0.06652	-1.56%	0.0153	✓	0.82
2026-07-11	oos	0.06844	0.067574	-1.26%	0.06708	-1.99%	0.0202	✓	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.07032	0.069405	-1.30%	0.06588	-6.31%	0.0491	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.0699	0.069007	-1.28%	0.06654	-4.81%	0.0441	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.06931	0.068472	-1.21%	0.06793	-1.99%	0.0396	✓	0.81
2026-07-07	oos	0.07088	0.069995	-1.25%	0.0673	-5.05%	0.0602	✓	0.81
2026-07-06	oos	0.07332	0.072352	-1.32%	0.06654	-9.25%	0.0616	✓	0.81
2026-07-05	oos	0.07629	0.075241	-1.38%	0.067575	-11.42%	0.1095	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.0772	0.07615	-1.36%	0.06844	-11.35%	0.1158	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.07332	0.072478	-1.15%	0.07032	-4.09%	0.0510	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.07084	0.070134	-1.00%	0.0699	-1.33%	0.0252	✓	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.07187	0.071113	-1.05%	0.06931	-3.56%	0.0566	✓	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.06945	0.068802	-0.93%	0.07088	+2.06%	0.0343	✓	0.81
2026-06-29	oos	0.07158	0.070854	-1.01%	0.07332	+2.43%	0.0158	✓	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	0.07092	0.070252	-0.94%	0.07629	+7.57%	0.0291	✗	0.80
2026-06-27	oos	0.07182	0.071164	-0.91%	0.0772	+7.49%	0.0409	✗	0.79
2026-06-26	oos	0.07083	0.070229	-0.85%	0.07332	+3.52%	0.0105	✗	0.79
2026-06-25	oos	0.07336	0.072678	-0.93%	0.07084	-3.44%	0.0491	✓	0.80
2026-06-24	oos	0.07553	0.074689	-1.11%	0.07187	-4.85%	0.0252	✓	0.79
2026-06-23	oos	0.07748	0.076483	-1.29%	0.06945	-10.36%	0.0425	✓	0.79
2026-06-22	oos	0.07865	0.077546	-1.40%	0.07158	-8.99%	0.0316	✓	0.79
2026-06-21	oos	0.078	0.07687	-1.45%	0.07092	-9.08%	0.0320	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.08062	0.079365	-1.56%	0.07182	-10.92%	0.0449	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.08045	0.079211	-1.54%	0.07083	-11.96%	0.0666	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.08019	0.078994	-1.49%	0.07336	-8.52%	0.0324	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.08123	0.079983	-1.54%	0.07553	-7.02%	0.0127	✓	0.81
2026-06-16	oos	0.08058	0.079361	-1.51%	0.07748	-3.85%	0.0143	✓	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	0.08254	0.081248	-1.56%	0.07865	-4.71%	0.0031	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.08116	0.079941	-1.50%	0.078	-3.89%	0.0068	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.07828	0.077218	-1.36%	0.08062	+2.99%	0.0458	✗	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.07784	0.076858	-1.26%	0.08045	+3.35%	0.0465	✗	0.83
2026-06-11	oos	0.07916	0.078131	-1.30%	0.08019	+1.30%	0.0350	✗	0.83
2026-06-10	oos	0.07762	0.07675	-1.12%	0.08123	+4.65%	0.0169	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.07947	0.078515	-1.20%	0.08058	+1.40%	0.0256	✓	0.84
2026-06-08	oos	0.0813	0.080243	-1.30%	0.08254	+1.53%	0.0131	✓	0.83
2026-06-07	oos	0.08194	0.08091	-1.26%	0.08116	-0.95%	0.0277	✓	0.83
2026-06-06	oos	0.07967	0.078968	-0.88%	0.07828	-1.74%	0.0548	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.08035	0.079618	-0.91%	0.07784	-3.12%	0.0550	✓	0.81
2026-06-04	oos	0.08372	0.082674	-1.25%	0.07916	-5.45%	0.0404	✓	0.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.08512	0.083988	-1.33%	0.07762	-8.81%	0.0462	✓	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.0868	0.085504	-1.49%	0.07947	-8.44%	0.0112	✓	0.80
2026-06-01	oos	0.09223	0.090636	-1.73%	0.0813	-11.85%	0.0130	✓	0.78
2026-05-31	oos	0.09647	0.094656	-1.88%	0.08194	-15.06%	0.0298	✓	0.76
2026-05-30	oos	0.09499	0.09316	-1.93%	0.07967	-16.13%	0.0148	✓	0.74
2026-05-29	oos	0.09908	0.096883	-2.22%	0.08035	-18.90%	0.0490	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.09089	0.08925	-1.80%	0.08372	-7.89%	0.0426	✗	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.08554	0.084267	-1.49%	0.08512	-0.49%	0.1256	✗	0.78
2026-05-26	oos	0.08645	0.085176	-1.47%	0.0868	+0.40%	0.1190	✗	0.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.08805	0.08672	-1.51%	0.09223	+4.75%	0.1266	✗	0.81
2026-05-24	oos	0.08834	0.087043	-1.47%	0.09647	+9.20%	0.1394	✗	0.81
2026-05-23	oos	0.08959	0.088267	-1.48%	0.09499	+6.03%	0.1043	✗	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.08782	0.086586	-1.41%	0.09908	+12.82%	0.1572	✗	0.80
2026-05-21	oos	0.08984	0.088521	-1.47%	0.09089	+1.17%	0.0694	✗	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.08876	0.087487	-1.43%	0.08554	-3.63%	0.0112	✓	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.08848	0.087227	-1.42%	0.08645	-2.29%	0.0010	✓	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.09016	0.088812	-1.50%	0.08805	-2.34%	0.0118	✓	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.09007	0.088736	-1.48%	0.08834	-1.92%	0.0000	✓	0.80
2026-05-16	oos	0.09122	0.089897	-1.45%	0.08959	-1.79%	0.0116	✓	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.09283	0.091518	-1.41%	0.08782	-5.40%	0.0036	✓	0.81
2026-05-14	oos	0.09498	0.093628	-1.42%	0.08984	-5.41%	0.0049	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.09338	0.0921	-1.37%	0.08876	-4.95%	0.0175	✓	0.84
2026-05-12	oos	0.09385	0.092702	-1.22%	0.08848	-5.72%	0.0075	✓	0.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.09691	0.09574	-1.21%	0.09016	-6.97%	0.0108	✓	0.82
2026-05-10	oos	0.09753	0.096457	-1.10%	0.09007	-7.65%	0.0195	✓	0.82
2026-05-09	oos	0.09287	0.092012	-0.92%	0.09122	-1.78%	0.0171	✗	0.80
2026-05-08	oos	0.09267	0.091841	-0.89%	0.09283	+0.17%	0.0221	✗	0.80
2026-05-07	oos	0.09009	0.089473	-0.68%	0.09498	+5.43%	0.0490	✗	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.09137	0.090971	-0.44%	0.09338	+2.20%	0.0510	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.09029	0.089934	-0.39%	0.09385	+3.94%	0.0474	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.08774	0.08733	-0.47%	0.09691	+10.45%	0.0831	✗	0.91
2026-05-03	oos	0.08771	0.087048	-0.75%	0.09753	+11.20%	0.0727	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.08857	0.087903	-0.75%	0.09287	+4.85%	0.0323	✗	0.91
2026-05-01	oos	0.08818	0.087479	-0.79%	0.09267	+5.09%	0.0349	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.08731	0.086253	-1.21%	0.09009	+3.18%	0.0002	✓	0.92
2026-04-29	oos	0.08864	0.087469	-1.32%	0.09137	+3.08%	0.0234	✓	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.08891	0.08779	-1.26%	0.09029	+1.55%	0.0263	✓	0.93
2026-04-27	oos	0.08971	0.088807	-1.01%	0.08774	-2.20%	0.0416	✓	0.93
2026-04-26	oos	0.09231	0.091581	-0.79%	0.08771	-4.98%	0.0418	✓	0.93
2026-04-25	oos	0.09126	0.090343	-1.00%	0.08857	-2.95%	0.0321	✓	0.93
2026-04-24	oos	0.091	0.090077	-1.01%	0.08818	-3.10%	0.0306	✓	0.94
2026-04-23	oos	0.09082	0.090059	-0.84%	0.08731	-3.86%	0.0069	✓	0.94
2026-04-22	oos	0.09086	0.090126	-0.81%	0.08864	-2.44%	0.0134	✗	0.94
2026-04-21	oos	0.09038	0.089331	-1.16%	0.08891	-1.63%	0.0043	✓	0.95
2026-04-20	oos	0.08976	0.088665	-1.22%	0.08971	-0.06%	0.0069	✓	0.95
2026-04-19	oos	0.08727	0.086003	-1.45%	0.09231	+5.78%	0.0103	✓	0.95
2026-04-18	oos	0.08882	0.087813	-1.13%	0.09126	+2.75%	0.0148	✗	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.09078	0.08995	-0.91%	0.091	+0.24%	0.0071	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.09076	0.089655	-1.22%	0.09082	+0.07%	0.0263	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.08713	0.086132	-1.15%	0.09086	+4.28%	0.0110	✓	0.96
2026-04-14	oos	0.08511	0.084072	-1.22%	0.09038	+6.19%	0.0445	✗	0.96
2026-04-13	oos	0.08783	0.086721	-1.26%	0.08976	+2.20%	0.0163	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.08519	0.083812	-1.62%	0.08727	+2.44%	0.0013	✓	0.98
2026-04-11	oos	0.08836	0.087118	-1.41%	0.08882	+0.52%	0.0156	✓	0.98
2026-04-10	oos	0.08955	0.088353	-1.34%	0.09078	+1.37%	0.0265	✓	0.98
2026-04-09	oos	0.08935	0.088102	-1.40%	0.09076	+1.58%	0.0153	✓	0.98
2026-04-08	oos	0.08901	0.087735	-1.43%	0.08713	-2.11%	0.0575	✓	0.98
2026-04-07	oos	0.09183	0.090511	-1.44%	0.08511	-7.32%	0.0920	✓	0.98
2026-04-06	oos	0.08742	0.086014	-1.61%	0.08783	+0.47%	0.0558	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.08802	0.08657	-1.65%	0.08519	-3.22%	0.0407	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.08748	0.086068	-1.61%	0.08836	+1.01%	0.0560	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.08772	0.086406	-1.50%	0.08955	+2.09%	0.0507	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.088	0.086744	-1.43%	0.08935	+1.53%	0.0411	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.08845	0.087264	-1.34%	0.08901	+0.63%	0.0234	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.08758	0.086481	-1.26%	0.09183	+4.85%	0.0062	✓	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.08721	0.086173	-1.19%	0.08742	+0.24%	0.0178	✓	1.03
2026-03-29	oos	0.088	0.087021	-1.11%	0.08802	+0.02%	0.0351	✓	1.03
2026-03-28	oos	0.08978	0.088844	-1.04%	0.08748	-2.56%	0.0305	✓	1.03
2026-03-27	oos	0.08907	0.08826	-0.91%	0.08772	-1.52%	0.0155	✓	1.03
2026-03-26	oos	0.09107	0.090324	-0.82%	0.088	-3.37%	0.0026	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.09467	0.094006	-0.70%	0.08845	-6.57%	0.0134	✓	1.04
2026-03-24	oos	0.09416	0.093495	-0.71%	0.08758	-6.99%	0.0307	✓	1.04
2026-03-23	oos	0.09318	0.092604	-0.62%	0.08721	-6.41%	0.0025	✓	1.04
2026-03-22	oos	0.08921	0.08859	-0.70%	0.088	-1.36%	0.0228	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.09155	0.090911	-0.70%	0.08978	-1.93%	0.0274	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.09318	0.09261	-0.61%	0.08907	-4.41%	0.0241	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.09288	0.092293	-0.63%	0.09107	-1.95%	0.0040	✓	1.04
2026-03-18	oos	0.09579	0.095179	-0.64%	0.09467	-1.17%	0.0062	✓	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.09876	0.098285	-0.48%	0.09416	-4.66%	0.0071	✗	1.06
2026-03-16	oos	0.10029	0.099862	-0.43%	0.09318	-7.09%	0.0106	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09632	0.095831	-0.51%	0.08921	-7.38%	0.0034	✓	1.06
2026-03-14	oos	0.0936	0.093125	-0.51%	0.09155	-2.19%	0.0180	✗	1.06
2026-03-13	oos	0.09514	0.09467	-0.49%	0.09318	-2.06%	0.0091	✓	1.07
2026-03-12	oos	0.09484	0.094357	-0.51%	0.09288	-2.07%	0.0065	✓	1.07
2026-03-11	oos	0.09425	0.093753	-0.53%	0.09579	+1.63%	0.0058	✗	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.09519	0.094609	-0.61%	0.09876	+3.75%	0.0160	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.09436	0.093722	-0.68%	0.10029	+6.28%	0.0290	✓	1.07
2026-03-08	oos	0.09392	0.093196	-0.77%	0.09632	+2.56%	0.0751	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.09582	0.09507	-0.78%	0.0936	-2.32%	0.0784	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.09758	0.096896	-0.70%	0.09514	-2.50%	0.0626	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.09959	0.098982	-0.61%	0.09484	-4.77%	0.0372	✓	1.10
2026-03-04	oos	0.10116	0.100579	-0.57%	0.09425	-6.83%	0.0267	✓	1.10
2026-03-03	oos	0.09697	0.096299	-0.69%	0.09519	-1.84%	0.0381	✓	1.13
2026-03-02	oos	0.09804	0.097348	-0.71%	0.09436	-3.75%	0.0246	✓	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.09696	0.096192	-0.79%	0.09392	-3.14%	0.0275	✓	1.17
2026-02-28	oos	0.1002	0.099346	-0.85%	0.09582	-4.37%	0.0412	✓	1.17
2026-02-27	oos	0.10041	0.099479	-0.93%	0.09758	-2.82%	0.0586	✓	1.17
2026-02-26	oos	0.10265	0.101664	-0.96%	0.09959	-2.98%	0.0782	✓	1.17
2026-02-25	oos	0.10183	0.100781	-1.03%	0.10116	-0.66%	0.0746	✓	1.17
2026-02-24	oos	0.09503	0.094118	-0.96%	0.09697	+2.04%	0.0457	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.09492	0.093988	-0.98%	0.09804	+3.29%	0.0310	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09819	0.097116	-1.09%	0.09696	-1.25%	0.0309	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09977	0.09862	-1.15%	0.1002	+0.43%	0.0330	✗	1.17
2026-02-20	oos	0.09965	0.098484	-1.17%	0.10041	+0.76%	0.0575	✗	1.20
2026-02-19	oos	0.09759	0.09647	-1.15%	0.10265	+5.18%	0.0528	✗	1.20
2026-02-18	oos	0.09907	0.097833	-1.25%	0.10183	+2.79%	0.0117	✓	1.21
2026-02-17	oos	0.10203	0.100618	-1.38%	0.09503	-6.86%	0.0050	✓	1.20
2026-02-16	oos	0.10164	0.100258	-1.36%	0.09492	-6.61%	0.0222	✗	1.21
2026-02-15	oos	0.10028	0.098964	-1.31%	0.09819	-2.08%	0.0131	✓	1.22
2026-02-14	oos	0.10384	0.102253	-1.53%	0.09977	-3.92%	0.0075	✓	1.21
2026-02-13	oos	0.09878	0.097438	-1.36%	0.09965	+0.88%	0.0370	✗	1.20
2026-02-12	oos	0.0931	0.092051	-1.13%	0.09759	+4.82%	0.0447	✗	1.20
2026-02-11	oos	0.08903	0.088086	-1.06%	0.09907	+11.28%	0.1285	✗	1.21
2026-02-10	oos	0.09072	0.089633	-1.20%	0.10203	+12.47%	0.1535	✗	1.22
2026-02-09	oos	0.09207	0.090925	-1.24%	0.10164	+10.39%	0.1333	✗	1.22
2026-02-08	oos	0.09122	0.090176	-1.14%	0.10028	+9.93%	0.1327	✗	1.24
2026-02-07	oos	0.08995	0.089101	-0.94%	0.10384	+15.44%	0.1433	✗	1.26
2026-02-06	oos	0.09122	0.090286	-1.02%	0.09878	+8.29%	0.1207	✗	1.25
2026-02-05	oos	0.07803	0.078238	+0.27%	0.0931	+19.31%	0.1090	✓	1.22
2026-02-04	oos	0.08925	0.088474	-0.87%	0.08903	-0.25%	0.1291	✗	1.44
2026-02-03	oos	0.09058	0.089711	-0.96%	0.09072	+0.15%	0.1523	✗	1.49
2026-02-02	oos	0.09318	0.092146	-1.11%	0.09207	-1.19%	0.1740	✗	1.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.08845	0.087758	-0.78%	0.09122	+3.13%	0.1705	✗	1.46
2026-01-31	oos	0.09286	0.0919	-1.03%	0.08995	-3.13%	0.1690	✗	1.50
2026-01-30	oos	0.09859	0.097121	-1.49%	0.09122	-7.48%	0.2126	✗	1.56
2026-01-29	oos	0.10097	0.099335	-1.62%	0.07803	-22.72%	0.2213	✗	1.56
2026-01-28	oos	0.10696	0.105252	-1.60%	0.08925	-16.56%	0.1552	✗	1.60
2026-01-27	oos	0.10806	0.106376	-1.56%	0.09058	-16.18%	0.1009	✗	1.60
2026-01-26	oos	0.10647	0.104701	-1.66%	0.09318	-12.48%	0.0616	✗	1.55
2026-01-25	oos	0.10313	0.101361	-1.72%	0.08845	-14.23%	0.0454	✗	1.53
2026-01-24	oos	0.1083	0.106312	-1.84%	0.09286	-14.26%	0.0554	✗	1.53
2026-01-23	oos	0.10938	0.107342	-1.86%	0.09859	-9.86%	0.0098	✓	1.53
2026-01-22	oos	0.1081	0.10589	-2.04%	0.10097	-6.60%	0.0397	✗	1.53
2026-01-21	oos	0.1092	0.106737	-2.26%	0.10696	-2.05%	0.0056	✓	1.54
2026-01-20	oos	0.10557	0.103052	-2.39%	0.10806	+2.36%	0.0338	✗	1.51
2026-01-19	oos	0.11079	0.108099	-2.43%	0.10647	-3.90%	0.0583	✗	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.11172	0.109001	-2.43%	0.10313	-7.69%	0.0657	✗	1.54
2026-01-17	oos	0.11884	0.1163	-2.14%	0.1083	-8.87%	0.0289	✗	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.11859	0.116108	-2.09%	0.10938	-7.77%	0.0403	✗	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.11779	0.115304	-2.11%	0.1081	-8.23%	0.0372	✗	1.54
2026-01-14	oos	0.12339	0.121172	-1.80%	0.1092	-11.50%	0.0213	✗	1.54
2026-01-13	oos	0.12222	0.119796	-1.98%	0.10557	-13.62%	0.0071	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.11494	0.112114	-2.46%	0.11079	-3.61%	0.0354	✓	1.57
2026-01-11	oos	0.11716	0.114308	-2.43%	0.11172	-4.64%	0.0699	✓	1.57
2026-01-10	oos	0.11767	0.11493	-2.33%	0.11884	+0.99%	0.0472	✓	1.58
2026-01-09	oos	0.12019	0.117624	-2.13%	0.11859	-1.33%	0.0788	✓	1.62
2026-01-08	oos	0.12042	0.118008	-2.00%	0.11779	-2.18%	0.0817	✓	1.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.12358	0.121202	-1.92%	0.12339	-0.15%	0.0867	✓	1.73
2026-01-06	oos	0.12892	0.126502	-1.88%	0.12222	-5.20%	0.0650	✓	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.13169	0.129186	-1.90%	0.11494	-12.72%	0.0667	✓	1.73
2026-01-04	oos	0.12536	0.12308	-1.82%	0.11716	-6.54%	0.0375	✓	1.73
2026-01-03	oos	0.12073	0.118702	-1.68%	0.11767	-2.53%	0.0044	✓	1.74
2026-01-02	oos	0.1216	0.119584	-1.66%	0.12019	-1.16%	0.0057	✓	1.74
2026-01-01	oos	0.11419	0.112597	-1.40%	0.12042	+5.46%	0.0235	✗	1.71
2025-12-31	oos	0.10617	0.104975	-1.13%	0.12358	+16.40%	0.0921	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.11159	0.110277	-1.18%	0.12892	+15.53%	0.0585	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.11273	0.111491	-1.10%	0.13169	+16.82%	0.0422	✗	1.66
2025-12-28	oos	0.11538	0.114127	-1.09%	0.12536	+8.65%	0.0268	✗	1.66
2025-12-27	oos	0.11516	0.114029	-0.98%	0.12073	+4.84%	0.0055	✓	1.65
2025-12-26	oos	0.11157	0.110716	-0.77%	0.1216	+8.99%	0.0447	✗	1.63
2025-12-25	oos	0.10884	0.108106	-0.67%	0.11419	+4.92%	0.0257	✗	1.63
2025-12-24	oos	0.10923	0.108477	-0.69%	0.10617	-2.80%	0.0194	✓	1.64
2025-12-23	oos	0.1104	0.109585	-0.74%	0.11159	+1.08%	0.0001	✓	1.64
2025-12-22	oos	0.11407	0.113181	-0.78%	0.11273	-1.17%	0.0229	✗	1.63
2025-12-21	oos	0.11193	0.111117	-0.73%	0.11538	+3.08%	0.0517	✗	1.63
2025-12-20	oos	0.11374	0.112953	-0.69%	0.11516	+1.25%	0.0290	✗	1.64
2025-12-19	oos	0.1119	0.111219	-0.61%	0.11157	-0.29%	0.0180	✗	1.64
2025-12-18	oos	0.10483	0.104389	-0.42%	0.10884	+3.83%	0.0095	✗	1.62
2025-12-17	oos	0.10992	0.109321	-0.54%	0.10923	-0.63%	0.0269	✓	1.62
2025-12-16	oos	0.1146	0.113781	-0.71%	0.1104	-3.66%	0.0223	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.11416	0.11341	-0.66%	0.11407	-0.08%	0.0340	✓	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.11821	0.117198	-0.86%	0.11193	-5.31%	0.0546	✓	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.12302	0.121704	-1.07%	0.11374	-7.54%	0.0325	✓	1.62
2025-12-12	oos	0.12397	0.122612	-1.10%	0.1119	-9.74%	0.0516	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.12992	0.128281	-1.26%	0.10483	-19.31%	0.0725	✓	1.62
2025-12-10	oos	0.13476	0.132967	-1.33%	0.10992	-18.43%	0.0834	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.13898	0.137031	-1.40%	0.1146	-17.54%	0.0911	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.13455	0.132842	-1.27%	0.11416	-15.15%	0.0734	✓	1.63
2025-12-07	oos	0.13099	0.129445	-1.18%	0.11821	-9.76%	0.0501	✓	1.63
2025-12-06	oos	0.13403	0.132478	-1.16%	0.12302	-8.21%	0.0922	✓	1.65
2025-12-05	oos	0.13395	0.132542	-1.05%	0.12397	-7.45%	0.0840	✓	1.65
2025-12-04	oos	0.13939	0.137916	-1.06%	0.12992	-6.79%	0.0678	✓	1.66
2025-12-03	oos	0.14607	0.144442	-1.11%	0.13476	-7.74%	0.0441	✓	1.65
2025-12-02	oos	0.1447	0.143138	-1.08%	0.13898	-3.95%	0.0546	✓	1.67
2025-12-01	oos	0.13323	0.13213	-0.83%	0.13455	+0.99%	0.0652	✓	1.69
2025-11-30	oos	0.14133	0.139905	-1.01%	0.13099	-7.32%	0.0665	✓	1.71
2025-11-29	oos	0.14323	0.1418	-1.00%	0.13403	-6.42%	0.0269	✓	1.70
2025-11-28	oos	0.14539	0.143938	-1.00%	0.13395	-7.87%	0.0425	✓	1.70
2025-11-27	oos	0.14703	0.145515	-1.03%	0.13939	-5.20%	0.0574	✓	1.70
2025-11-26	oos	0.14787	0.146366	-1.02%	0.14607	-1.22%	0.0568	✓	1.69
2025-11-25	oos	0.1449	0.143637	-0.87%	0.1447	-0.14%	0.0694	✓	1.72
2025-11-24	oos	0.14845	0.147073	-0.93%	0.13323	-10.25%	0.0597	✓	1.72
2025-11-23	oos	0.14788	0.146629	-0.85%	0.14133	-4.43%	0.1069	✓	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.13168	0.131321	-0.27%	0.14323	+8.77%	0.0324	✓	1.70
2025-11-21	oos	0.1307	0.130421	-0.21%	0.14539	+11.24%	0.0040	✓	1.70
2025-11-20	oos	0.13637	0.135826	-0.40%	0.14703	+7.82%	0.0117	✓	1.69
2025-11-19	oos	0.14473	0.143513	-0.84%	0.14787	+2.17%	0.0492	✗	1.77
2025-11-18	oos	0.1506	0.149036	-1.04%	0.1449	-3.78%	0.0813	✗	1.76
2025-11-17	oos	0.1457	0.144341	-0.93%	0.14845	+1.89%	0.1032	✗	1.77
2025-11-16	oos	0.14655	0.144963	-1.08%	0.14788	+0.91%	0.1657	✗	1.79
2025-11-15	oos	0.15474	0.152749	-1.29%	0.13168	-14.90%	0.0665	✗	1.78
2025-11-14	oos	0.15283	0.151019	-1.19%	0.1307	-14.48%	0.0430	✗	1.78
2025-11-13	oos	0.1647	0.162139	-1.55%	0.13637	-17.20%	0.0823	✗	1.81
2025-11-12	oos	0.174	0.171053	-1.69%	0.14473	-16.82%	0.0231	✗	1.80
2025-11-11	oos	0.17766	0.17456	-1.74%	0.1506	-15.23%	0.0376	✗	1.80
2025-11-10	oos	0.19386	0.190007	-1.99%	0.1457	-24.84%	0.0202	✓	1.75
2025-11-09	oos	0.17656	0.173432	-1.77%	0.14655	-17.00%	0.0149	✓	1.73
2025-11-08	oos	0.17559	0.172592	-1.71%	0.15474	-11.87%	0.0109	✓	1.76
2025-11-07	oos	0.17696	0.17386	-1.75%	0.15283	-13.64%	0.0235	✗	1.72
2025-11-06	oos	0.16312	0.160596	-1.55%	0.1647	+0.97%	0.0534	✗	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.1752	0.172174	-1.73%	0.174	-0.68%	0.0467	✗	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.16856	0.165915	-1.57%	0.17766	+5.40%	0.0431	✗	1.68
2025-11-03	oos	0.17522	0.172169	-1.74%	0.19386	+10.64%	0.1282	✗	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.19448	0.190825	-1.88%	0.17656	-9.21%	0.0154	✓	1.71
2025-11-01	oos	0.19622	0.192633	-1.83%	0.17559	-10.51%	0.0330	✗	1.72
2025-10-31	oos	0.20092	0.197155	-1.87%	0.17696	-11.93%	0.0051	✓	1.75
2025-10-30	oos	0.19653	0.19293	-1.83%	0.16312	-17.00%	0.0504	✓	1.75
2025-10-29	oos	0.2011	0.197313	-1.88%	0.1752	-12.88%	0.0177	✓	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.19451	0.191036	-1.79%	0.16856	-13.34%	0.0686	✗	1.81
2025-10-27	oos	0.18484	0.182113	-1.48%	0.17522	-5.20%	0.0869	✗	1.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.17997	0.177494	-1.38%	0.19448	+8.06%	0.1571	✗	1.84
2025-10-25	oos	0.17259	0.170255	-1.35%	0.19622	+13.69%	0.1690	✗	1.86
2025-10-24	oos	0.17084	0.168636	-1.29%	0.20092	+17.61%	0.2004	✗	1.87
2025-10-23	oos	0.16515	0.163029	-1.28%	0.19653	+19.00%	0.2179	✗	1.87
2025-10-22	oos	0.1661	0.163954	-1.29%	0.2011	+21.07%	0.1617	✗	1.89
2025-10-21	oos	0.1705	0.16822	-1.34%	0.19451	+14.08%	0.0675	✗	1.89
2025-10-20	oos	0.17551	0.172852	-1.51%	0.18484	+5.32%	0.0066	✓	1.93
2025-10-19	oos	0.17053	0.168157	-1.39%	0.17997	+5.54%	0.0327	✓	1.91
2025-10-18	oos	0.16598	0.163804	-1.31%	0.17259	+3.98%	0.0256	✓	1.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.16262	0.160707	-1.18%	0.17084	+5.05%	0.0190	✓	1.90
2025-10-16	oos	0.17082	0.168586	-1.31%	0.16515	-3.32%	0.0539	✓	1.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.179	0.176652	-1.31%	0.1661	-7.21%	0.0053	✓	1.91
2025-10-14	oos	0.19031	0.18794	-1.25%	0.1705	-10.41%	0.0155	✓	1.93
2025-10-13	oos	0.19446	0.192066	-1.23%	0.17551	-9.74%	0.0094	✓	1.94
2025-10-12	oos	0.18541	0.183016	-1.29%	0.17053	-8.03%	0.0392	✗	1.92
2025-10-11	oos	0.16827	0.165858	-1.43%	0.16598	-1.36%	0.0621	✗	1.88
2025-10-10	oos	0.17768	0.174862	-1.59%	0.16262	-8.48%	0.0442	✗	1.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.21307	0.210089	-1.40%	0.17082	-19.83%	0.0093	✓	1.84
2025-10-08	oos	0.21974	0.216781	-1.35%	0.179	-18.54%	0.0047	✓	1.83
2025-10-07	oos	0.21828	0.215001	-1.50%	0.19031	-12.81%	0.0127	✓	1.90
2025-10-06	oos	0.23022	0.227031	-1.39%	0.19446	-15.53%	0.0044	✓	1.91
2025-10-05	oos	0.21642	0.213162	-1.51%	0.18541	-14.33%	0.0052	✓	1.90
2025-10-04	oos	0.21715	0.213661	-1.61%	0.16827	-22.51%	0.0485	✓	1.90
2025-10-03	oos	0.22557	0.222022	-1.57%	0.17768	-21.23%	0.0719	✓	1.90
2025-10-02	oos	0.22759	0.223662	-1.73%	0.21307	-6.38%	0.0659	✓	1.92
2025-10-01	oos	0.22445	0.220221	-1.88%	0.21974	-2.10%	0.0775	✓	1.95
2025-09-30	oos	0.21499	0.21049	-2.09%	0.21828	+1.53%	0.0892	✓	2.02
2025-09-29	oos	0.21688	0.212105	-2.20%	0.23022	+6.15%	0.0938	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.21613	0.211142	-2.31%	0.21642	+0.13%	0.1741	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.21279	0.207838	-2.33%	0.21715	+2.05%	0.1880	✓	2.10
2025-09-26	oos	0.21453	0.209517	-2.34%	0.22557	+5.15%	0.1557	✓	2.11
2025-09-25	oos	0.20754	0.20252	-2.42%	0.22759	+9.66%	0.0957	✓	2.10
2025-09-24	oos	0.22124	0.215449	-2.62%	0.22445	+1.45%	0.0567	✓	2.13
2025-09-23	oos	0.21907	0.213322	-2.62%	0.21499	-1.86%	0.0313	✓	2.15
2025-09-22	oos	0.22242	0.216412	-2.70%	0.21688	-2.49%	0.0282	✓	2.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.23427	0.22752	-2.88%	0.21613	-7.74%	0.0058	✓	2.11
2025-09-20	oos	0.24201	0.234979	-2.91%	0.21279	-12.07%	0.0177	✓	2.17
2025-09-19	oos	0.23899	0.2321	-2.88%	0.21453	-10.23%	0.0370	✗	2.18
2025-09-18	oos	0.24624	0.239162	-2.87%	0.20754	-15.72%	0.0146	✓	2.19

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.