HANDL

HandlPay · Base · gru_s3

token id: #867
symbol: HANDL
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x3bbcb624cb9a1f73163a886f460f47603e5e4425
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

195

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

56.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2732

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0229

actual +0.0214

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002587	0.002544	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-20	oos	0.002568	0.002526	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-19	oos	0.002577	0.002532	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-18	oos	0.002627	0.002579	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-17	oos	0.00268	0.002625	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.002766	0.002702	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.002896	0.002821	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-14	oos	0.002931	0.002851	-2.75%	0.002587	-11.73%	0.1097	✓	0.92
2026-10-13	oos	0.003045	0.002956	-2.93%	0.002568	-15.68%	0.1390	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.00257	0.002502	-2.68%	0.002577	+0.26%	0.0287	✗	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002744	0.002661	-3.02%	0.002627	-4.24%	0.0011	✓	0.68
2026-10-10	oos	0.002932	0.002835	-3.29%	0.00268	-8.60%	0.0414	✓	0.80
2026-10-09	oos	0.003323	0.003204	-3.60%	0.002766	-16.78%	0.1369	✓	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.003348	0.003225	-3.67%	0.002896	-13.52%	0.1120	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.003766	0.003615	-4.01%	0.002931	-22.18%	0.1937	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.004313	0.004109	-4.74%	0.003045	-29.39%	0.2791	✓	0.70
2026-10-05	oos	0.003204	0.003094	-3.42%	0.00257	-19.77%	0.1473	✓	0.80
2026-10-04	oos	0.002963	0.002871	-3.12%	0.002744	-7.40%	0.0147	✓	0.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.002505	0.00244	-2.61%	0.002932	+17.04%	0.2019	✗	0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.00233	0.002276	-2.30%	0.003323	+42.65%	0.3980	✗	0.83
2026-10-01	oos	0.002286	0.002236	-2.21%	0.003348	+46.45%	0.4343	✗	0.80
2026-09-30	oos	0.002259	0.002208	-2.28%	0.003766	+66.72%	0.5368	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.002245	0.002194	-2.27%	0.004313	+92.12%	0.6605	✗	0.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.002244	0.002194	-2.26%	0.003204	+42.74%	0.3616	✗	0.63
2026-09-27	oos	0.002407	0.002345	-2.56%	0.002963	+23.11%	0.2190	✗	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.002653	0.002574	-2.99%	0.002505	-5.57%	0.0295	✓	0.67
2026-09-25	oos	0.002693	0.00261	-3.07%	0.00233	-13.49%	0.1164	✓	0.56
2026-09-24	oos	0.002335	0.002283	-2.22%	0.002286	-2.10%	0.0019	✓	0.58
2026-09-23	oos	0.002356	0.002303	-2.23%	0.002259	-4.09%	0.0136	✓	0.58
2026-09-22	oos	0.002528	0.002465	-2.50%	0.002245	-11.21%	0.0768	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.002459	0.002405	-2.18%	0.002244	-8.73%	0.0541	✓	0.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.002342	0.002295	-1.99%	0.002407	+2.77%	0.0344	✗	0.33
2026-09-19	oos	0.002353	0.002308	-1.91%	0.002653	+12.74%	0.1261	✗	0.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.002306	0.002268	-1.65%	0.002693	+16.79%	0.1587	✗	0.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.002375	0.002338	-1.55%	0.002335	-1.66%	0.0478	✓	0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.002358	0.002326	-1.37%	0.002356	-0.11%	0.0390	✓	0.50
2026-09-15	oos	0.002162	0.002144	-0.85%	0.002528	+16.92%	0.0686	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.002293	0.002276	-0.76%	0.002459	+7.24%	0.0142	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.002153	0.002147	-0.28%	0.002342	+8.78%	0.0667	✗	0.37
2026-09-12	oos	0.002319	0.002313	-0.26%	0.002353	+1.44%	0.0034	✓	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	0.002513	0.002504	-0.34%	0.002306	-8.24%	0.1108	✓	0.61
2026-09-10	oos	0.002318	0.002328	+0.42%	0.002375	+2.45%	0.0214	✓	0.61
2026-09-09	oos	0.002295	0.002325	+1.32%	0.002358	+2.75%	0.0310	✓	0.61
2026-09-08	oos	0.002464	0.002504	+1.59%	0.002162	-12.25%	0.1205	✗	0.70
2026-09-07	oos	0.00247	0.002528	+2.32%	0.002293	-7.17%	0.0900	✗	0.62
2026-09-06	oos	0.002376	0.002451	+3.17%	0.002153	-9.40%	0.1052	✗	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.002098	0.002162	+3.08%	0.002319	+10.58%	0.0878	✓	0.54
2026-09-04	oos	0.00193	0.00198	+2.62%	0.002513	+30.24%	0.2586	✓	0.65
2026-09-03	oos	0.001971	0.00204	+3.50%	0.002318	+17.58%	0.1664	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.001953	0.001985	+1.61%	0.002295	+17.50%	0.1349	✓	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.002051	0.002088	+1.79%	0.002464	+20.17%	0.1548	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.002147	0.002195	+2.22%	0.00247	+15.06%	0.1130	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.002273	0.002315	+1.86%	0.002376	+4.55%	0.0218	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.002369	0.002414	+1.91%	0.002098	-11.46%	0.1694	✗	1.42
2026-08-28	oos	0.002286	0.002318	+1.38%	0.00193	-15.60%	0.2165	✗	1.42
2026-08-27	oos	0.002201	0.002233	+1.44%	0.001971	-10.45%	0.1427	✗	1.48
2026-08-26	oos	0.002561	0.002592	+1.21%	0.001953	-23.72%	0.2481	✗	1.58
2026-08-25	oos	0.002741	0.002772	+1.11%	0.002051	-25.19%	0.2782	✗	1.59
2026-08-24	oos	0.002813	0.002843	+1.06%	0.002147	-23.68%	0.2722	✗	1.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.002679	0.002701	+0.82%	0.002273	-15.17%	0.1713	✗	1.59
2026-08-22	oos	0.002623	0.002641	+0.68%	0.002369	-9.68%	0.1327	✗	1.59
2026-08-21	oos	0.002321	0.002347	+1.12%	0.002286	-1.52%	0.0162	✗	1.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.00222	0.00222	+0.01%	0.002201	-0.83%	0.1757	✗	1.76
2026-08-19	oos	0.002071	0.002079	+0.42%	0.002561	+23.66%	0.0338	✗	1.84
2026-08-18	oos	0.002001	0.002043	+2.09%	0.002741	+36.99%	0.1159	✗	2.11
2026-08-17	oos	0.002435	0.002434	-0.05%	0.002813	+15.54%	0.2937	✓	2.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.002721	0.002697	-0.88%	0.002679	-1.54%	0.5056	✓	2.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.002724	0.002708	-0.59%	0.002623	-3.70%	0.5039	✓	2.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.002768	0.002755	-0.45%	0.002321	-16.13%	0.6871	✓	2.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.002774	0.002769	-0.19%	0.00222	-19.98%	0.5646	✓	2.44
2026-08-12	oos	0.002908	0.002897	-0.39%	0.002071	-28.79%	0.5287	✓	2.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.002851	0.002857	+0.22%	0.002001	-29.81%	0.3930	✗	2.05
2026-08-10	oos	0.002879	0.002886	+0.27%	0.002435	-15.42%	0.1882	✗	2.05
2026-08-09	oos	0.002784	0.002803	+0.68%	0.002721	-2.27%	0.0358	✓	2.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.003008	0.003004	-0.14%	0.002724	-9.45%	0.0363	✓	2.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002899	0.00291	+0.39%	0.002768	-4.52%	0.0075	✓	1.92
2026-08-06	oos	0.003063	0.003054	-0.29%	0.002774	-9.44%	0.0705	✓	1.96
2026-08-05	oos	0.00352	0.00345	-1.98%	0.002908	-17.38%	0.1345	✓	1.96
2026-08-04	oos	0.00322	0.003186	-1.07%	0.002851	-11.48%	0.0953	✓	1.95
2026-08-03	oos	0.003544	0.003468	-2.15%	0.002879	-18.77%	0.2000	✓	1.98
2026-08-02	oos	0.003796	0.003687	-2.86%	0.002784	-26.65%	0.3228	✓	1.99
2026-08-01	oos	0.003897	0.003776	-3.11%	0.003008	-22.82%	0.2948	✓	2.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.004087	0.003942	-3.54%	0.002899	-29.06%	0.3723	✓	2.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.004026	0.003881	-3.59%	0.003063	-23.91%	0.2226	✓	2.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.003978	0.003832	-3.69%	0.00352	-11.53%	0.1063	✓	1.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.00384	0.003699	-3.69%	0.00322	-16.14%	0.1446	✓	1.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.004067	0.0039	-4.12%	0.003544	-12.86%	0.0886	✓	1.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.004159	0.003978	-4.34%	0.003796	-8.72%	0.0128	✓	2.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.004036	0.00383	-5.10%	0.003897	-3.44%	0.0681	✗	2.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.003914	0.003704	-5.34%	0.004087	+4.42%	0.1421	✗	2.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.004071	0.003835	-5.80%	0.004026	-1.12%	0.0598	✗	2.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.004379	0.004116	-6.01%	0.003978	-9.15%	0.0402	✓	2.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.004947	0.004644	-6.13%	0.00384	-22.37%	0.1013	✓	2.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.004109	0.003862	-6.02%	0.004067	-1.02%	0.0982	✗	1.97
2026-07-19	oos	0.004335	0.004073	-6.05%	0.004159	-4.07%	0.0006	✓	1.99
2026-07-18	oos	0.004966	0.004649	-6.38%	0.004036	-18.72%	0.1265	✓	1.92
2026-07-17	oos	0.003998	0.003766	-5.81%	0.003914	-2.12%	0.0329	✓	1.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.003851	0.003638	-5.55%	0.004071	+5.70%	0.0764	✗	1.82
2026-07-15	oos	0.003984	0.003752	-5.82%	0.004379	+9.92%	0.1182	✗	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.003652	0.003448	-5.59%	0.004947	+35.47%	0.3207	✗	1.74
2026-07-13	oos	0.003994	0.00378	-5.37%	0.004109	+2.88%	0.0085	✓	1.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.004789	0.004488	-6.27%	0.004335	-9.47%	0.0622	✓	1.87
2026-07-11	oos	0.004183	0.003949	-5.59%	0.004966	+18.73%	0.2029	✗	1.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.003775	0.003583	-5.09%	0.003998	+5.90%	0.1155	✗	1.61
2026-07-09	oos	0.003099	0.002984	-3.72%	0.003851	+24.29%	0.2411	✗	1.52
2026-07-08	oos	0.002817	0.00271	-3.81%	0.003984	+41.40%	0.3253	✗	1.54
2026-07-07	oos	0.003076	0.002892	-5.98%	0.003652	+18.71%	0.1944	✗	1.49
2026-07-06	oos	0.003946	0.0037	-6.24%	0.003994	+1.21%	0.1156	✗	1.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.004679	0.004386	-6.25%	0.004789	+2.34%	0.0843	✗	1.38
2026-07-04	oos	0.004555	0.004239	-6.93%	0.004183	-8.17%	0.0283	✓	1.38
2026-07-03	oos	0.005829	0.005437	-6.72%	0.003775	-35.23%	0.4016	✓	1.45
2026-07-02	oos	0.006024	0.005625	-6.63%	0.003099	-48.56%	0.6363	✓	1.48
2026-07-01	oos	0.00711	0.006604	-7.11%	0.002817	-60.37%	0.9139	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.007826	0.007234	-7.56%	0.003076	-60.69%	0.9967	✓	1.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.008166	0.007458	-8.66%	0.003946	-51.67%	0.7468	✓	1.78
2026-06-28	oos	0.006209	0.005724	-7.81%	0.004679	-24.64%	0.3110	✓	1.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.004459	0.004181	-6.23%	0.004555	+2.16%	0.0032	✓	1.61
2026-06-26	oos	0.003925	0.003697	-5.81%	0.005829	+48.49%	0.3890	✗	1.61
2026-06-25	oos	0.00388	0.003656	-5.75%	0.006024	+55.28%	0.4518	✗	1.62
2026-06-24	oos	0.004037	0.003771	-6.60%	0.00711	+76.11%	0.6763	✗	2.49
2026-06-23	oos	0.003414	0.003214	-5.85%	0.007826	+129.22%	1.0395	✗	2.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.00327	0.003066	-6.25%	0.008166	+149.67%	1.1165	✗	2.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.003061	0.002884	-5.78%	0.006209	+102.83%	0.9036	✗	2.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.003072	0.002867	-6.69%	0.004459	+45.13%	0.5966	✗	2.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.002581	0.002429	-5.89%	0.003925	+52.11%	0.6032	✗	2.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.002174	0.002068	-4.88%	0.00388	+78.45%	0.7401	✗	2.14
2026-06-17	oos	0.002988	0.002775	-7.12%	0.004037	+35.12%	0.4826	✗	1.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.002667	0.002457	-7.86%	0.003414	+28.02%	0.4227	✗	2.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.001445	0.001373	-5.01%	0.00327	+126.27%	0.9464	✗	2.20
2026-06-14	oos	0.001098	0.001052	-4.17%	0.003061	+178.77%	1.1491	✗	2.12
2026-06-13	oos	0.0007385	0.000727438	-1.50%	0.003072	+316.02%	1.4467	✗	1.89
2026-06-12	oos	0.0006968	0.000689802	-1.00%	0.002581	+270.35%	1.3212	✗	1.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.0006502	0.000645955	-0.65%	0.002174	+234.36%	1.2338	✗	1.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.0005672	0.000570934	+0.66%	0.002988	+426.75%	1.5705	✓	1.77
2026-06-09	oos	0.000395	0.000406529	+2.92%	0.002667	+575.14%	1.7700	✓	1.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0003471	0.000358922	+3.41%	0.001445	+316.42%	1.2976	✓	1.92
2026-06-07	oos	0.0003432	0.000355731	+3.65%	0.001098	+219.96%	1.0555	✓	1.92
2026-06-06	oos	0.0002984	0.000312193	+4.62%	0.0007385	+147.49%	0.7579	✓	1.80
2026-06-05	oos	0.00033	0.000344853	+4.50%	0.0006968	+111.15%	0.6309	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.0003641	0.000378314	+3.90%	0.0006502	+78.58%	0.5484	✓	1.80
2026-06-03	oos	0.0003851	0.000399433	+3.72%	0.0005672	+47.29%	0.4251	✓	1.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.0003871	0.00040016	+3.37%	0.000395	+2.04%	0.1368	✓	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.0005712	0.000572237	+0.18%	0.0003471	-39.23%	0.3569	✗	1.16
2026-05-31	oos	0.0006019	0.000600758	-0.19%	0.0003432	-42.98%	0.3849	✓	1.16
2026-05-30	oos	0.0006	0.000599648	-0.06%	0.0002984	-50.27%	0.4731	✓	1.17
2026-05-29	oos	0.0005629	0.000565969	+0.55%	0.00033	-41.38%	0.3280	✗	1.15
2026-05-28	oos	0.000873	0.000854077	-2.17%	0.0003641	-58.29%	0.6973	✓	1.10
2026-05-27	oos	0.000875	0.000861336	-1.56%	0.0003851	-55.99%	0.6399	✓	1.11
2026-05-26	oos	0.0009405	0.000923403	-1.82%	0.0003871	-58.84%	0.7318	✓	1.07
2026-05-25	oos	0.000918	0.000903321	-1.60%	0.0005712	-37.78%	0.3684	✓	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.000931	0.000913338	-1.90%	0.0006019	-35.35%	0.3661	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.0009455	0.000925206	-2.15%	0.0006	-36.54%	0.3899	✓	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.000992	0.000967616	-2.46%	0.0005629	-43.26%	0.5091	✓	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.001069	0.001041	-2.64%	0.000873	-18.33%	0.1160	✓	1.12
2026-05-20	oos	0.000905	0.00088694	-2.00%	0.000875	-3.31%	0.0333	✗	1.12
2026-05-19	oos	0.000854	0.00083737	-1.95%	0.0009405	+10.13%	0.1297	✗	1.10
2026-05-18	oos	0.000854	0.000837991	-1.87%	0.000918	+7.49%	0.0868	✗	1.10
2026-05-17	oos	0.000867	0.000850771	-1.87%	0.000931	+7.38%	0.0963	✗	1.10
2026-05-16	oos	0.000918	0.000900473	-1.91%	0.0009455	+3.00%	0.0692	✗	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.00116	0.00113	-2.63%	0.000992	-14.48%	0.0869	✓	0.92
2026-05-14	oos	0.0008585	0.000849119	-1.09%	0.001069	+24.52%	0.2958	✗	1.47
2026-05-13	oos	0.000924	0.000910103	-1.50%	0.000905	-2.06%	0.0309	✗	1.58
2026-05-12	oos	0.000926	0.000914558	-1.24%	0.000854	-7.78%	0.0082	✓	1.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.000965	0.000954802	-1.06%	0.000854	-11.50%	0.0137	✓	1.62
2026-05-10	oos	0.000975	0.000965227	-1.00%	0.000867	-11.08%	0.0092	✓	1.63
2026-05-09	oos	0.001147	0.001127	-1.73%	0.000918	-19.97%	0.1468	✓	1.82
2026-05-08	oos	0.001138	0.001117	-1.84%	0.00116	+1.93%	0.0635	✗	1.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.0009895	0.000974332	-1.53%	0.0008585	-13.24%	0.1508	✓	1.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.00103	0.001018	-1.21%	0.000924	-10.33%	0.0479	✓	1.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.001073	0.001056	-1.51%	0.000926	-13.66%	0.1220	✓	1.84
2026-05-04	oos	0.001025	0.001008	-1.70%	0.000965	-5.85%	0.0852	✓	1.81
2026-05-03	oos	0.001002	0.0009812	-2.08%	0.000975	-2.69%	0.0881	✓	1.80
2026-05-02	oos	0.0009	0.000881491	-2.06%	0.001147	+27.44%	0.2177	✗	1.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.0011	0.001075	-2.29%	0.001138	+3.45%	0.0107	✓	1.88
2026-04-30	oos	0.001102	0.001072	-2.77%	0.0009895	-10.21%	0.1712	✓	1.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.001077	0.001046	-2.91%	0.00103	-4.32%	0.1539	✓	1.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.00107	0.001041	-2.70%	0.001073	+0.23%	0.0841	✓	1.95
2026-04-27	oos	0.001478	0.001427	-3.46%	0.001025	-30.65%	0.3822	✓	1.62
2026-04-26	oos	0.001527	0.00147	-3.76%	0.001002	-34.38%	0.3806	✓	1.63
2026-04-25	oos	0.001183	0.001145	-3.19%	0.0009	-23.92%	0.2600	✓	1.44
2026-04-24	oos	0.000974	0.000952838	-2.17%	0.0011	+12.94%	0.1293	✗	1.44
2026-04-23	oos	0.000981	0.000960704	-2.07%	0.001102	+12.33%	0.1628	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.00115	0.001122	-2.44%	0.001077	-6.35%	0.0090	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.001214	0.001178	-2.98%	0.00107	-11.86%	0.0956	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.001189	0.001152	-3.09%	0.001478	+24.31%	0.2293	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.00119	0.00115	-3.38%	0.001527	+28.32%	0.2201	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.001277	0.001234	-3.37%	0.001183	-7.36%	0.0671	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.001192	0.001157	-2.95%	0.000974	-18.29%	0.1768	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.001225	0.001184	-3.33%	0.000981	-19.92%	0.2289	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.001178	0.00114	-3.26%	0.00115	-2.38%	0.0350	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.001206	0.001165	-3.38%	0.001214	+0.66%	0.0121	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.001043	0.001014	-2.78%	0.001189	+14.00%	0.1403	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.001063	0.001031	-3.04%	0.00119	+11.89%	0.1008	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.001047	0.001017	-2.89%	0.001277	+21.97%	0.1923	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.001208	0.001166	-3.44%	0.001192	-1.32%	0.0330	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.001066	0.001036	-2.83%	0.001225	+14.92%	0.1219	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.001055	0.001026	-2.77%	0.001178	+11.66%	0.0869	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.001057	0.001028	-2.74%	0.001206	+14.10%	0.1286	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.001048	0.001019	-2.75%	0.001043	-0.48%	0.0550	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.001042	0.001014	-2.67%	0.001063	+2.06%	0.0225	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.00099	0.000965892	-2.44%	0.001047	+5.76%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.001044	0.001018	-2.50%	0.001208	+15.71%	0.0849	✗	1.00