HAJIMI

? · · gru_s3

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 519

Track record at +7d

assessed

145

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

50.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1872

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0230

actual +0.0389

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.0216	0.020695	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-21	oos	0.0214	0.020605	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.019913	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019228	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.018657	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.019481	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.020971	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.020896	-2.63%	0.0216	+0.65%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.0213	-2.56%	0.0214	-2.10%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.024431	-2.65%	0.020605	-17.89%	0.1686	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025208	-2.56%	0.01981	-23.42%	0.2420	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027366	-2.51%	0.01918	-31.67%	0.3390	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.028041	-2.48%	0.02	-30.45%	0.3226	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.027547	-2.42%	0.02154	-23.70%	0.2356	✓	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.027373	-2.41%	0.02146	-23.49%	0.2475	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.027399	-2.42%	0.02186	-22.15%	0.2081	✓	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027132	-2.40%	0.025095	-9.73%	0.0488	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.024869	-2.91%	0.02587	+1.00%	0.0873	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.028427	-2.35%	0.02807	-3.57%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.029724	-2.50%	0.028755	-5.67%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.029946	-2.57%	0.02823	-8.15%	0.0355	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.032216	-2.55%	0.02805	-15.15%	0.1006	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030142	-2.69%	0.02808	-9.35%	0.0675	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.032911	-2.72%	0.0278	-17.82%	0.1913	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.033409	-2.74%	0.025615	-25.43%	0.2927	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.033256	-2.56%	0.02911	-14.71%	0.1571	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.033676	-2.59%	0.030485	-11.82%	0.1034	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.033388	-2.52%	0.030735	-10.26%	0.0877	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.03302	-2.37%	0.03306	-2.25%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.034629	-2.40%	0.030975	-12.70%	0.1017	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.038813	-2.60%	0.03383	-15.11%	0.1073	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.033355	-1.71%	0.03435	+1.22%	0.0663	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.033833	-2.20%	0.03413	-1.34%	0.0311	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.032595	-1.98%	0.03457	+3.95%	0.0204	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.03412	-1.95%	0.03425	-1.58%	0.0352	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.032842	-1.99%	0.03382	+0.93%	0.0707	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.029912	-2.34%	0.03548	+15.83%	0.0680	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.032702	-2.03%	0.03985	+19.38%	0.0663	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013041	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.012795	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.01229	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012792	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012456	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013283	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012223	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.012784	-1.20%	0.013255	+2.43%	0.0716	✗	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.011921	-0.82%	0.013	+8.15%	0.0738	✓	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012484	-1.00%	0.01248	-1.03%	0.2083	✓	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.014633	-1.60%	0.013	-12.58%	0.2806	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.013542	-1.30%	0.01264	-7.87%	0.1907	✓	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.014221	-1.31%	0.01348	-6.45%	0.2686	✓	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.012145	-0.77%	0.01236	+0.98%	0.1334	✓	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.01312	-1.35%	0.01294	-2.71%	0.0011	✓	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.013491	-1.53%	0.01202	-12.26%	0.0472	✗	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013469	-1.90%	0.01261	-8.16%	0.2684	✗	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.015112	-2.37%	0.01487	-3.94%	0.6489	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017456	-2.59%	0.01372	-23.44%	0.5788	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.016143	-2.46%	0.01441	-12.93%	0.9396	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.013303	-2.68%	0.01224	-10.46%	0.9031	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.013943	-2.77%	0.0133	-7.25%	0.7108	✗	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.013741	-3.02%	0.0137	-3.32%	0.8053	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.01417	-3.14%	0.01373	-6.15%	0.6919	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014209	-3.27%	0.01548	+5.38%	0.5538	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.014983	-3.34%	0.01792	+15.61%	0.4450	✗	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.016056	-3.39%	0.01655	-0.42%	0.2575	✗	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.015335	-3.56%	0.01367	-14.03%	0.0540	✗	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017429	-3.44%	0.01434	-20.55%	0.1358	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017279	-3.41%	0.01417	-20.79%	0.0595	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017368	-3.40%	0.01463	-18.63%	0.0941	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.0191	-3.54%	0.01469	-25.81%	0.2872	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.018832	-3.38%	0.0155	-20.47%	0.1891	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.014699	-2.40%	0.01662	+10.36%	0.1416	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014411	-2.16%	0.0159	+7.94%	0.1451	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.017161	-2.49%	0.01805	+2.56%	0.0950	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.01122	-2.01%	0.01789	+56.24%	0.4897	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.011902	-1.80%	0.01798	+48.35%	0.4598	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012122	-1.61%	0.0198	+60.71%	0.5510	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.013884	-1.32%	0.01949	+38.52%	0.3992	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.012225	-1.65%	0.01506	+21.16%	0.2407	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.012895	-1.57%	0.01473	+12.44%	0.1473	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012561	-1.72%	0.0176	+37.72%	0.3240	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.013539	-1.32%	0.01145	-16.55%	0.1408	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.013951	-1.34%	0.01212	-14.29%	0.1354	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014483	-1.48%	0.01232	-16.19%	0.1849	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.014119	-1.68%	0.01407	-2.02%	0.0488	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.01536	-1.66%	0.01243	-20.42%	0.2364	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013205	-1.97%	0.0131	-2.75%	0.0326	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.012829	-2.66%	0.01278	-3.03%	0.0512	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.012005	-3.65%	0.01372	+10.11%	0.0612	✗	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.011985	-3.89%	0.01414	+13.39%	0.1069	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.012847	-3.12%	0.0147	+10.86%	0.1031	✗	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.020333	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.018802	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.016172	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.016373	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.017331	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.01904	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.015636	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016278	-3.05%	0.02087	+24.30%	0.2828	✗	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.014045	-2.53%	0.01921	+33.31%	0.2369	✗	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.019107	-2.86%	0.01657	-15.76%	0.0523	✓	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.02046	-2.85%	0.01683	-20.09%	0.0829	✓	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.0238	-2.38%	0.01782	-26.91%	0.1328	✓	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.025034	-1.86%	0.01952	-23.48%	0.1208	✓	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.027937	-1.60%	0.0161	-43.29%	0.3768	✓	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028317	-1.64%	0.01679	-41.68%	0.2566	✓	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.039176	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.040487	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.041256	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.039304	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.041502	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.039403	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.035298	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.037215	-2.40%	0.04019	+5.40%	0.0341	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.034868	-2.36%	0.0415	+16.21%	0.1016	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.034755	-2.43%	0.04227	+18.67%	0.1196	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.03528	-2.46%	0.04026	+11.31%	0.0628	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.035694	-2.42%	0.04247	+16.10%	0.0884	✗	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.039923	-2.41%	0.04033	-1.42%	0.0132	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.041527	-2.36%	0.03617	-14.95%	0.0996	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.040947	-2.32%	0.03813	-9.04%	0.0619	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.035681	-1.81%	0.03571	-1.73%	0.0041	✓	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.031169	-1.52%	0.03562	+12.54%	0.1256	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.027577	-1.58%	0.03617	+29.09%	0.2403	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028445	-1.64%	0.03658	+26.49%	0.1983	✗	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026527	-1.79%	0.04091	+51.46%	0.3583	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027436	-1.84%	0.04253	+52.16%	0.3392	✗	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.027977	-1.90%	0.04192	+46.98%	0.3511	✗	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029504	-1.92%	0.03634	+20.81%	0.1667	✗	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.029887	-1.95%	0.03165	+3.84%	0.0169	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.031837	-1.95%	0.02802	-13.70%	0.1519	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.031734	-1.93%	0.02892	-10.63%	0.0911	✓	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.031656	-1.93%	0.02701	-16.33%	0.1737	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.032556	-1.91%	0.02795	-15.79%	0.1303	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.036218	-2.03%	0.02852	-22.86%	0.2272	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.035043	-1.92%	0.03008	-15.81%	0.1448	✓	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032512	-1.75%	0.03048	-7.89%	0.0523	✓	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.030973	-1.70%	0.03247	+3.05%	0.0201	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.031687	-1.75%	0.03236	+0.34%	0.0008	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.027685	-1.55%	0.03228	+14.79%	0.1606	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.0277	-1.60%	0.03319	+17.90%	0.1443	✗	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.026362	-1.60%	0.03697	+38.00%	0.3300	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.028682	-1.67%	0.03573	+22.49%	0.2517	✗	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.029322	-1.70%	0.03309	+10.93%	0.1572	✗	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.028953	-1.69%	0.03151	+6.99%	0.2051	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.024042	-1.55%	0.03225	+32.06%	0.3886	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.024086	-1.61%	0.02812	+14.87%	0.2325	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.023697	-1.63%	0.02815	+16.85%	0.2435	✗	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.022047	-1.75%	0.02679	+19.39%	0.2317	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.021146	-1.88%	0.02917	+35.36%	0.3056	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.022264	-1.92%	0.02983	+31.41%	0.2772	✗	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022527	-2.10%	0.02945	+27.99%	0.2607	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.024434	-2.15%	0.02442	-2.20%	0.0147	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.025568	-2.15%	0.02448	-6.31%	0.0585	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.022764	-2.01%	0.02409	+3.70%	0.0072	✓	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026175	-2.26%	0.02244	-16.21%	0.1543	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.025704	-2.27%	0.02155	-18.06%	0.1589	✓	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.028083	-2.52%	0.0227	-21.21%	0.1955	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.023693	-2.22%	0.02301	-5.04%	0.0377	✓	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.024404	-2.27%	0.02497	+0.00%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.022171	-2.07%	0.02613	+15.42%	0.1197	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021229	-2.22%	0.02323	+7.00%	0.1128	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.022093	-2.24%	0.02678	+18.50%	0.1522	✗	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.022179	-2.21%	0.0263	+15.96%	0.1004	✗	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.02609	-2.58%	0.02881	+7.58%	0.0328	✗	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.020395	-2.51%	0.02423	+15.82%	0.1185	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.018789	-3.35%	0.02497	+28.45%	0.2953	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.020704	-3.25%	0.02264	+5.79%	0.1514	✗	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.02242	-3.15%	0.02171	-6.22%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.030195	-4.17%	0.0226	-28.28%	0.2082	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.03477	-5.36%	0.02268	-38.27%	0.3066	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.026542	-3.24%	0.02678	-2.37%	0.1141	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021438	-2.51%	0.02092	-4.87%	0.1163	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.