FLR

Flare · Flare · gru_s3

token id: #342
symbol: FLR
variant: –
chain: Flare
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-04-14
predictions: 3,819

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1171

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0063

actual -0.0614

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.006397	0.006276	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.006418	0.006351	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.006385	0.006301	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-18	oos	0.006418	0.00634	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-17	oos	0.006488	0.006389	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.006633	0.006535	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.006687	0.006607	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.006693	0.006565	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.006851	0.00672	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.006849	0.006636	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-11	oos	0.006991	0.006799	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-10	oos	0.006984	0.006767	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-09	oos	0.007045	0.006826	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.006806	0.006602	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.006975	0.006789	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-06	oos	0.007272	0.007111	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-05	oos	0.007223	0.007084	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-04	oos	0.007303	0.007166	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-03	oos	0.007178	0.007007	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.007204	0.007039	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.007389	0.007209	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.007366	0.007161	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.00753	0.007309	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-28	oos	0.007162	0.007006	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.007128	0.00701	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.007357	0.007176	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-25	oos	0.007334	0.00717	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-24	oos	0.00718	0.007059	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.00711	0.00702	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.007207	0.007138	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.006935	0.006927	-0.12%	0.006397	-7.76%	0.0304	✓	1.07
2026-09-20	oos	0.00659	0.006591	+0.01%	0.006418	-2.60%	0.0504	✗	1.10
2026-09-19	oos	0.006636	0.006667	+0.47%	0.006385	-3.77%	0.0513	✗	1.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.00663	0.006701	+1.07%	0.006418	-3.20%	0.0583	✗	1.09
2026-09-17	oos	0.00642	0.006504	+1.30%	0.006488	+1.05%	0.0748	✗	1.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.00633	0.006468	+2.19%	0.006633	+4.80%	0.0517	✗	1.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.0063	0.006473	+2.74%	0.006687	+6.14%	0.0607	✗	1.12
2026-09-14	oos	0.00662	0.006806	+2.82%	0.006693	+1.11%	0.0642	✗	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.006403	0.00661	+3.24%	0.006851	+7.00%	0.0520	✗	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.006516	0.006783	+4.08%	0.006849	+5.11%	0.0527	✗	1.11
2026-09-11	oos	0.006377	0.006719	+5.37%	0.006991	+9.62%	0.0499	✓	1.11
2026-09-10	oos	0.006306	0.006684	+5.99%	0.006984	+10.75%	0.0444	✓	1.10
2026-09-09	oos	0.00642	0.006896	+7.41%	0.007045	+9.72%	0.0374	✓	1.11
2026-09-08	oos	0.006536	0.007024	+7.47%	0.006806	+4.13%	0.0788	✗	1.17
2026-09-07	oos	0.006562	0.007084	+7.94%	0.006975	+6.29%	0.0758	✓	1.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.006713	0.007297	+8.71%	0.007272	+8.33%	0.0776	✓	1.18
2026-09-05	oos	0.006718	0.007359	+9.54%	0.007223	+7.52%	0.1027	✗	1.18
2026-09-04	oos	0.006726	0.007424	+10.37%	0.007303	+8.58%	0.1146	✗	1.19
2026-09-03	oos	0.006957	0.007745	+11.33%	0.007178	+3.18%	0.1257	✗	1.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.006749	0.007431	+10.10%	0.007204	+6.74%	0.1402	✗	1.23
2026-09-01	oos	0.006678	0.007442	+11.45%	0.007389	+10.64%	0.1201	✗	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.007054	0.007922	+12.30%	0.007366	+4.43%	0.1435	✗	1.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.00631	0.007121	+12.85%	0.00753	+19.34%	0.0237	✓	1.07
2026-08-29	oos	0.006313	0.007225	+14.43%	0.007162	+13.43%	0.0777	✓	1.07
2026-08-28	oos	0.006346	0.007294	+14.94%	0.007128	+12.32%	0.1101	✓	1.07
2026-08-27	oos	0.006703	0.00784	+16.97%	0.007357	+9.75%	0.1166	✓	1.05
2026-08-26	oos	0.006497	0.007551	+16.22%	0.007334	+12.88%	0.0941	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.006585	0.007598	+15.38%	0.00718	+9.04%	0.1322	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.00693	0.007958	+14.84%	0.00711	+2.60%	0.1816	✗	1.04
2026-08-23	oos	0.007203	0.008108	+12.56%	0.007207	+0.06%	0.2274	✗	1.06
2026-08-22	oos	0.007129	0.008026	+12.58%	0.006935	-2.72%	0.2697	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.007597	0.008578	+12.92%	0.00659	-13.26%	0.3006	✗	1.04
2026-08-20	oos	0.00695	0.007468	+7.45%	0.006636	-4.52%	0.2254	✗	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.006392	0.006615	+3.49%	0.00663	+3.72%	0.1441	✗	0.95
2026-08-18	oos	0.005872	0.005879	+0.12%	0.00642	+9.33%	0.0603	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.00595	0.005943	-0.12%	0.00633	+6.38%	0.0868	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.00591	0.005862	-0.81%	0.0063	+6.60%	0.0971	✓	0.92
2026-08-15	oos	0.00597	0.005924	-0.78%	0.00662	+10.88%	0.0881	✓	0.92
2026-08-14	oos	0.00598	0.005935	-0.75%	0.006403	+7.07%	0.1078	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.00601	0.005966	-0.72%	0.006516	+8.43%	0.0946	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.00602	0.00597	-0.83%	0.006377	+5.93%	0.1129	✓	0.91
2026-08-11	oos	0.00606	0.006009	-0.84%	0.006306	+4.06%	0.1313	✓	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.00606	0.005988	-1.19%	0.00642	+5.95%	0.1251	✓	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.00611	0.006036	-1.20%	0.006536	+6.97%	0.1031	✓	0.96
2026-08-08	oos	0.0061	0.006038	-1.02%	0.006562	+7.58%	0.1059	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.00601	0.005956	-0.89%	0.006713	+11.70%	0.0913	✓	0.99
2026-08-06	oos	0.00596	0.005901	-0.99%	0.006718	+12.72%	0.0854	✓	0.99
2026-08-05	oos	0.00599	0.005957	-0.55%	0.006726	+12.29%	0.0874	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.00611	0.00604	-1.14%	0.006957	+13.86%	0.0960	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.0063	0.00618	-1.91%	0.006749	+7.13%	0.1127	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00633	0.006215	-1.81%	0.006678	+5.50%	0.1295	✓	1.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.006245	0.006141	-1.67%	0.007054	+12.95%	0.0874	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.00626	0.006165	-1.52%	0.00631	+0.80%	0.1901	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.00629	0.006268	-0.35%	0.006313	+0.37%	0.1882	✓	1.03
2026-07-29	oos	0.006305	0.006269	-0.57%	0.006346	+0.65%	0.1892	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.006245	0.006229	-0.26%	0.006703	+7.33%	0.1590	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.006285	0.006254	-0.49%	0.006497	+3.37%	0.1812	✓	1.02
2026-07-26	oos	0.00644	0.00646	+0.31%	0.006585	+2.25%	0.1682	✗	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.00642	0.006405	-0.24%	0.00693	+7.94%	0.1332	✓	1.03
2026-07-24	oos	0.0064	0.006399	-0.01%	0.007203	+12.55%	0.0795	✓	1.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.00647	0.006526	+0.87%	0.007129	+10.19%	0.0854	✗	1.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.00665	0.006768	+1.77%	0.007597	+14.24%	0.0572	✗	1.02
2026-07-21	oos	0.006785	0.006947	+2.39%	0.00695	+2.43%	0.0941	✗	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.006445	0.006555	+1.71%	0.006392	-0.82%	0.0838	✗	0.96
2026-07-19	oos	0.00651	0.006599	+1.37%	0.005872	-9.80%	0.1167	✗	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	0.00656	0.006662	+1.56%	0.00595	-9.30%	0.1083	✗	0.96
2026-07-17	oos	0.00654	0.006625	+1.30%	0.00591	-9.63%	0.0980	✗	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	0.006635	0.006695	+0.91%	0.00597	-10.02%	0.1030	✗	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	0.00662	0.006705	+1.28%	0.00598	-9.67%	0.0875	✗	0.99
2026-07-14	oos	0.00664	0.006728	+1.33%	0.00601	-9.49%	0.0888	✗	0.99
2026-07-13	oos	0.00639	0.006421	+0.48%	0.00602	-5.79%	0.0826	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.006465	0.006497	+0.50%	0.00606	-6.26%	0.0664	✗	1.01
2026-07-11	oos	0.006645	0.006644	-0.02%	0.00606	-8.80%	0.0941	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.00666	0.006662	+0.03%	0.00611	-8.26%	0.0976	✗	0.99
2026-07-09	oos	0.006605	0.006603	-0.04%	0.0061	-7.65%	0.1063	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.00657	0.006582	+0.19%	0.00601	-8.52%	0.1329	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.00674	0.006744	+0.06%	0.00596	-11.57%	0.1384	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00689	0.006893	+0.04%	0.00599	-13.06%	0.1497	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.007025	0.007013	-0.17%	0.00611	-13.02%	0.1450	✓	0.97
2026-07-04	oos	0.00706	0.007045	-0.21%	0.0063	-10.76%	0.1177	✓	0.98
2026-07-03	oos	0.00701	0.007005	-0.07%	0.00633	-9.70%	0.1161	✓	0.95
2026-07-02	oos	0.00669	0.006722	+0.47%	0.006245	-6.65%	0.0929	✗	0.94
2026-07-01	oos	0.00643	0.006476	+0.72%	0.00626	-2.64%	0.0770	✗	0.92
2026-06-30	oos	0.00641	0.006454	+0.69%	0.00629	-1.87%	0.1186	✗	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.006575	0.0066	+0.38%	0.006305	-4.11%	0.1013	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.006595	0.006609	+0.22%	0.006245	-5.31%	0.1214	✗	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.006665	0.006663	-0.03%	0.006285	-5.70%	0.1142	✓	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0068	0.00679	-0.14%	0.00644	-5.29%	0.1313	✓	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.00682	0.006807	-0.19%	0.00642	-5.87%	0.1267	✓	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.00696	0.006924	-0.52%	0.0064	-8.05%	0.1243	✓	0.92
2026-06-23	oos	0.00707	0.007007	-0.89%	0.00647	-8.49%	0.1139	✓	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	0.007345	0.007223	-1.65%	0.00665	-9.46%	0.1119	✓	0.89
2026-06-21	oos	0.007395	0.007246	-2.01%	0.006785	-8.25%	0.1110	✓	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	0.00742	0.007259	-2.17%	0.006445	-13.14%	0.1324	✓	0.88
2026-06-19	oos	0.00739	0.007235	-2.09%	0.00651	-11.91%	0.1223	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.00737	0.007229	-1.91%	0.00656	-10.99%	0.1236	✓	0.88
2026-06-17	oos	0.00754	0.007375	-2.19%	0.00654	-13.26%	0.1126	✓	0.88
2026-06-16	oos	0.00773	0.007541	-2.44%	0.006635	-14.17%	0.1032	✓	0.87
2026-06-15	oos	0.00798	0.00776	-2.76%	0.00662	-17.04%	0.1382	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.00805	0.007808	-3.01%	0.00664	-17.52%	0.1524	✓	0.88
2026-06-13	oos	0.00789	0.00768	-2.66%	0.00639	-19.01%	0.1543	✓	0.87
2026-06-12	oos	0.00794	0.007726	-2.70%	0.006465	-18.58%	0.1809	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.00752	0.007366	-2.05%	0.006645	-11.64%	0.1059	✓	0.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.006835	0.006792	-0.62%	0.00666	-2.56%	0.0538	✓	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.006995	0.006932	-0.90%	0.006605	-5.58%	0.0674	✓	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0073	0.007174	-1.72%	0.00657	-10.00%	0.0777	✓	0.78
2026-06-07	oos	0.00716	0.007057	-1.43%	0.00674	-5.87%	0.0463	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.00675	0.006752	+0.03%	0.00689	+2.07%	0.0164	✗	0.73
2026-06-05	oos	0.00671	0.00672	+0.14%	0.007025	+4.69%	0.0149	✓	0.72
2026-06-04	oos	0.00712	0.007018	-1.44%	0.00706	-0.84%	0.0138	✓	0.68
2026-06-03	oos	0.00717	0.007056	-1.60%	0.00701	-2.23%	0.0102	✓	0.69
2026-06-02	oos	0.00716	0.007033	-1.78%	0.00669	-6.56%	0.0088	✓	0.73
2026-06-01	oos	0.00754	0.007345	-2.59%	0.00643	-14.72%	0.0160	✓	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.00772	0.007529	-2.48%	0.00641	-16.97%	0.0068	✓	0.67
2026-05-30	oos	0.00773	0.007558	-2.23%	0.006575	-14.94%	0.0104	✓	0.63
2026-05-29	oos	0.00775	0.007582	-2.17%	0.006595	-14.90%	0.0070	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.0078	0.007614	-2.38%	0.006665	-14.55%	0.0038	✓	0.63
2026-05-27	oos	0.008	0.007796	-2.56%	0.0068	-15.00%	0.0004	✓	0.64
2026-05-26	oos	0.00816	0.007956	-2.50%	0.00682	-16.42%	0.0021	✓	0.64
2026-05-25	oos	0.008285	0.00809	-2.36%	0.00696	-15.99%	0.0081	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.00829	0.0081	-2.29%	0.00707	-14.72%	0.0011	✓	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.00842	0.008209	-2.51%	0.007345	-12.77%	0.0073	✓	0.65
2026-05-22	oos	0.00826	0.008062	-2.40%	0.007395	-10.47%	0.0290	✗	0.65
2026-05-21	oos	0.00843	0.008252	-2.11%	0.00742	-11.98%	0.0168	✓	0.65
2026-05-20	oos	0.008415	0.008243	-2.04%	0.00739	-12.18%	0.0213	✗	0.66
2026-05-19	oos	0.008265	0.008106	-1.92%	0.00737	-10.83%	0.0344	✗	0.65
2026-05-18	oos	0.00845	0.008275	-2.07%	0.00754	-10.77%	0.0235	✗	0.66
2026-05-17	oos	0.00906	0.008766	-3.25%	0.00773	-14.68%	0.0196	✓	0.64
2026-05-16	oos	0.00921	0.008928	-3.06%	0.00798	-13.36%	0.0072	✓	0.64
2026-05-15	oos	0.00934	0.009106	-2.51%	0.00805	-13.81%	0.0050	✓	0.64
2026-05-14	oos	0.009375	0.009228	-1.57%	0.00789	-15.84%	0.0053	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.00863	0.008576	-0.62%	0.00794	-8.00%	0.0586	✗	0.61
2026-05-12	oos	0.00869	0.008723	+0.38%	0.00752	-13.46%	0.0039	✗	0.61
2026-05-11	oos	0.00874	0.008855	+1.31%	0.006835	-21.80%	0.0846	✗	0.61
2026-05-10	oos	0.00868	0.008892	+2.44%	0.006995	-19.41%	0.0651	✗	0.61
2026-05-09	oos	0.00817	0.008396	+2.77%	0.0073	-10.65%	0.0048	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.00802	0.008268	+3.09%	0.00716	-10.72%	0.0054	✓	0.59
2026-05-07	oos	0.00781	0.008118	+3.94%	0.00675	-13.57%	0.0222	✓	0.59
2026-05-06	oos	0.00781	0.008274	+5.94%	0.00671	-14.08%	0.0208	✓	0.65
2026-05-05	oos	0.007625	0.008058	+5.68%	0.00712	-6.62%	0.0214	✓	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.00754	0.007947	+5.40%	0.00717	-4.91%	0.0319	✓	0.61
2026-05-03	oos	0.00753	0.007886	+4.73%	0.00716	-4.91%	0.0016	✓	0.60
2026-05-02	oos	0.00757	0.00796	+5.15%	0.00754	-0.40%	0.0041	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.0075	0.007898	+5.31%	0.00772	+2.93%	0.0126	✓	0.58
2026-04-30	oos	0.00746	0.007705	+3.28%	0.00773	+3.62%	0.0228	✓	0.58
2026-04-29	oos	0.007515	0.00773	+2.86%	0.00775	+3.13%	0.0211	✓	0.58
2026-04-28	oos	0.0076	0.007842	+3.18%	0.0078	+2.63%	0.0164	✓	0.58
2026-04-27	oos	0.00774	0.008093	+4.56%	0.008	+3.36%	0.0118	✓	0.58
2026-04-26	oos	0.00792	0.008387	+5.89%	0.00816	+3.03%	0.0061	✓	0.58
2026-04-25	oos	0.00791	0.008237	+4.14%	0.008285	+4.74%	0.0088	✓	0.58
2026-04-24	oos	0.00793	0.008218	+3.63%	0.00829	+4.54%	0.0124	✓	0.59
2026-04-23	oos	0.00793	0.008331	+5.06%	0.00842	+6.18%	0.0231	✓	0.59
2026-04-22	oos	0.007995	0.008401	+5.07%	0.00826	+3.31%	0.0044	✓	0.59
2026-04-21	oos	0.008055	0.008285	+2.86%	0.00843	+4.66%	0.0080	✓	0.60
2026-04-20	oos	0.008115	0.008304	+2.33%	0.008415	+3.70%	0.0006	✓	0.60
2026-04-19	oos	0.00793	0.007997	+0.84%	0.008265	+4.22%	0.0091	✓	0.61
2026-04-18	oos	0.00815	0.00837	+2.70%	0.00845	+3.68%	0.0001	✓	0.61
2026-04-17	oos	0.008465	0.008798	+3.94%	0.00906	+7.03%	0.0269	✓	0.61
2026-04-16	oos	0.00828	0.008466	+2.24%	0.00921	+11.23%	0.0610	✓	0.61
2026-04-15	oos	0.00811	0.008287	+2.18%	0.00934	+15.17%	0.0864	✓	0.60
2026-04-14	oos	0.00803	0.00817	+1.75%	0.009375	+16.75%	0.0836	✓	0.61
2026-04-13	oos	0.00806	0.008221	+1.99%	0.00863	+7.07%	0.0106	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.0077	0.00769	-0.14%	0.00869	+12.86%	0.0461	✗	0.59
2026-04-11	oos	0.00792	0.008022	+1.29%	0.00874	+10.35%	0.0198	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.00764	0.007763	+1.60%	0.00868	+13.61%	0.0419	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.00754	0.007608	+0.90%	0.00817	+8.36%	0.0031	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.00746	0.00749	+0.40%	0.00802	+7.51%	0.0022	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.0076	0.007637	+0.49%	0.00781	+2.76%	0.0400	✗	0.58
2026-04-06	oos	0.00745	0.007348	-1.36%	0.00781	+4.83%	0.0395	✓	0.60
2026-04-05	oos	0.00748	0.007361	-1.59%	0.007625	+1.94%	0.0600	✓	0.60
2026-04-04	oos	0.007535	0.007385	-1.99%	0.00754	+0.07%	0.0857	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.00756	0.007424	-1.80%	0.00753	-0.40%	0.0865	✓	0.63
2026-04-02	oos	0.00771	0.007585	-1.62%	0.00757	-1.82%	0.1048	✓	0.63
2026-04-01	oos	0.0076	0.007503	-1.28%	0.0075	-1.32%	0.0887	✓	0.64
2026-03-31	oos	0.007835	0.007724	-1.42%	0.00746	-4.79%	0.1074	✓	0.65
2026-03-30	oos	0.00785	0.007731	-1.51%	0.007515	-4.27%	0.1118	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.00767	0.00759	-1.05%	0.0076	-0.91%	0.0930	✓	0.65
2026-03-28	oos	0.0078	0.007753	-0.60%	0.00774	-0.77%	0.1013	✓	0.65
2026-03-27	oos	0.007665	0.007673	+0.11%	0.00792	+3.33%	0.0784	✗	0.65
2026-03-26	oos	0.00794	0.008015	+0.95%	0.00791	-0.38%	0.0914	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.008035	0.008194	+1.98%	0.00793	-1.31%	0.0865	✗	0.65
2026-03-24	oos	0.00812	0.008276	+1.92%	0.00793	-2.34%	0.1106	✗	0.65
2026-03-23	oos	0.008165	0.008356	+2.34%	0.007995	-2.08%	0.1084	✗	0.65
2026-03-22	oos	0.007995	0.008089	+1.17%	0.008055	+0.75%	0.0819	✗	0.66
2026-03-21	oos	0.00817	0.008272	+1.25%	0.008115	-0.67%	0.0823	✗	0.66
2026-03-20	oos	0.00831	0.008472	+1.94%	0.00793	-4.57%	0.0963	✗	0.66
2026-03-19	oos	0.00834	0.008506	+1.98%	0.00815	-2.28%	0.0953	✗	0.66
2026-03-18	oos	0.00841	0.008626	+2.57%	0.008465	+0.65%	0.0716	✗	0.67
2026-03-17	oos	0.00871	0.009009	+3.43%	0.00828	-4.94%	0.0954	✗	0.67
2026-03-16	oos	0.008915	0.009228	+3.51%	0.00811	-9.03%	0.1287	✗	0.67
2026-03-15	oos	0.00879	0.009004	+2.43%	0.00803	-8.65%	0.1266	✗	0.66
2026-03-14	oos	0.00868	0.008851	+1.97%	0.00806	-7.14%	0.1232	✗	0.67
2026-03-13	oos	0.00879	0.008965	+2.00%	0.0077	-12.40%	0.1504	✗	0.67
2026-03-12	oos	0.00888	0.009035	+1.74%	0.00792	-10.81%	0.1557	✗	0.67
2026-03-11	oos	0.00895	0.009094	+1.61%	0.00764	-14.64%	0.2006	✗	0.68
2026-03-10	oos	0.00901	0.009148	+1.53%	0.00754	-16.32%	0.2108	✗	0.68
2026-03-09	oos	0.008965	0.009093	+1.42%	0.00746	-16.79%	0.2237	✗	0.68
2026-03-08	oos	0.00889	0.008991	+1.13%	0.0076	-14.51%	0.2268	✗	0.68
2026-03-07	oos	0.00895	0.009056	+1.18%	0.00745	-16.76%	0.2112	✗	0.68
2026-03-06	oos	0.00887	0.009021	+1.70%	0.00748	-15.67%	0.1963	✗	0.68
2026-03-05	oos	0.00921	0.009353	+1.55%	0.007535	-18.19%	0.1808	✗	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.00939	0.009546	+1.66%	0.00756	-19.49%	0.1777	✗	0.68
2026-03-03	oos	0.00927	0.009367	+1.05%	0.00771	-16.83%	0.1796	✗	0.71
2026-03-02	oos	0.00926	0.009371	+1.20%	0.0076	-17.93%	0.2020	✗	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.009315	0.009389	+0.79%	0.007835	-15.89%	0.2074	✗	0.72
2026-02-28	oos	0.00942	0.009495	+0.80%	0.00785	-16.67%	0.1876	✗	0.75
2026-02-27	oos	0.00929	0.009359	+0.75%	0.00767	-17.44%	0.2002	✗	0.75
2026-02-26	oos	0.00958	0.009623	+0.45%	0.0078	-18.58%	0.1969	✗	0.75
2026-02-25	oos	0.00971	0.00975	+0.41%	0.007665	-21.06%	0.2223	✗	0.75
2026-02-24	oos	0.00915	0.00921	+0.66%	0.00794	-13.22%	0.2010	✗	0.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.00907	0.009134	+0.71%	0.008035	-11.41%	0.2025	✗	0.76
2026-02-22	oos	0.00926	0.009312	+0.56%	0.00812	-12.31%	0.1692	✗	0.76
2026-02-21	oos	0.00953	0.009559	+0.30%	0.008165	-14.32%	0.1901	✗	0.77
2026-02-20	oos	0.009415	0.009461	+0.49%	0.007995	-15.08%	0.1668	✗	0.79
2026-02-19	oos	0.00928	0.009336	+0.60%	0.00817	-11.96%	0.1558	✗	0.79
2026-02-18	oos	0.009415	0.00944	+0.26%	0.00831	-11.74%	0.1746	✗	0.79
2026-02-17	oos	0.00975	0.009723	-0.27%	0.00834	-14.46%	0.1813	✓	0.78
2026-02-16	oos	0.00983	0.009785	-0.45%	0.00841	-14.45%	0.1781	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.009795	0.009758	-0.38%	0.00871	-11.08%	0.1699	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.00991	0.009842	-0.68%	0.008915	-10.04%	0.1541	✓	0.78
2026-02-13	oos	0.0095	0.009482	-0.19%	0.00879	-7.47%	0.1197	✓	0.77
2026-02-12	oos	0.00941	0.009426	+0.17%	0.00868	-7.76%	0.1401	✗	0.79
2026-02-11	oos	0.00944	0.009439	-0.01%	0.00879	-6.89%	0.1161	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.00956	0.009518	-0.44%	0.00888	-7.11%	0.0892	✓	0.80
2026-02-09	oos	0.00961	0.009548	-0.64%	0.00895	-6.87%	0.0659	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.0096	0.009551	-0.51%	0.00901	-6.15%	0.0546	✓	0.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.00956	0.009548	-0.13%	0.008965	-6.22%	0.0534	✓	0.81
2026-02-06	oos	0.00986	0.009815	-0.46%	0.00889	-9.84%	0.0446	✓	0.81
2026-02-05	oos	0.00898	0.009154	+1.93%	0.00895	-0.33%	0.0783	✗	0.81
2026-02-04	oos	0.00973	0.009647	-0.85%	0.00887	-8.84%	0.0162	✓	0.98
2026-02-03	oos	0.01	0.009864	-1.36%	0.00921	-7.90%	0.0050	✓	0.98
2026-02-02	oos	0.00997	0.009831	-1.40%	0.00939	-5.82%	0.0380	✗	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.01006	0.009917	-1.42%	0.00927	-7.85%	0.0528	✗	1.02
2026-01-31	oos	0.00969	0.009592	-1.02%	0.00926	-4.44%	0.1174	✗	1.14
2026-01-30	oos	0.01009	0.009934	-1.55%	0.009315	-7.68%	0.2322	✗	1.21
2026-01-29	oos	0.010255	0.010072	-1.78%	0.00942	-8.14%	0.2129	✗	1.20
2026-01-28	oos	0.01063	0.010498	-1.24%	0.00929	-12.61%	0.2546	✗	1.24
2026-01-27	oos	0.01062	0.010504	-1.09%	0.00958	-9.79%	0.2568	✗	1.25
2026-01-26	oos	0.01049	0.010357	-1.26%	0.00971	-7.44%	0.2558	✗	1.23
2026-01-25	oos	0.01016	0.010017	-1.41%	0.00915	-9.94%	0.2779	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01057	0.010384	-1.76%	0.00907	-14.19%	0.2573	✗	1.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.01037	0.010227	-1.38%	0.00926	-10.70%	0.2435	✗	1.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.01047	0.010332	-1.32%	0.00953	-8.98%	0.2547	✗	1.22
2026-01-21	oos	0.01034	0.010192	-1.43%	0.009415	-8.95%	0.2545	✗	1.22
2026-01-20	oos	0.01	0.009888	-1.12%	0.00928	-7.20%	0.2659	✗	1.19
2026-01-19	oos	0.01054	0.010508	-0.30%	0.009415	-10.67%	0.2889	✗	1.20
2026-01-18	oos	0.01049	0.010516	+0.25%	0.00975	-7.05%	0.3140	✓	1.19
2026-01-17	oos	0.01105	0.011175	+1.13%	0.00983	-11.04%	0.2502	✓	1.17
2026-01-16	oos	0.01103	0.011189	+1.44%	0.009795	-11.20%	0.2437	✓	1.15
2026-01-15	oos	0.01115	0.011329	+1.61%	0.00991	-11.12%	0.2332	✓	1.17
2026-01-14	oos	0.011485	0.011804	+2.78%	0.0095	-17.28%	0.1844	✓	1.17
2026-01-13	oos	0.01159	0.011801	+1.82%	0.00941	-18.81%	0.2151	✓	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.01132	0.011241	-0.69%	0.00944	-16.61%	0.2091	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.0111	0.011007	-0.84%	0.00956	-13.87%	0.2099	✗	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.01117	0.011079	-0.81%	0.00961	-13.97%	0.1797	✗	1.27
2026-01-09	oos	0.0113	0.011266	-0.30%	0.0096	-15.04%	0.1572	✗	1.25
2026-01-08	oos	0.01137	0.011368	-0.02%	0.00956	-15.92%	0.1651	✗	1.24
2026-01-07	oos	0.01183	0.011816	-0.12%	0.00986	-16.65%	0.1602	✗	1.32
2026-01-06	oos	0.01262	0.012661	+0.32%	0.00898	-28.84%	0.1825	✓	1.31
2026-01-05	oos	0.01254	0.012608	+0.54%	0.00973	-22.41%	0.0673	✓	1.30
2026-01-04	oos	0.01177	0.011809	+0.33%	0.01	-15.04%	0.0747	✓	1.27
2026-01-03	oos	0.01113	0.011227	+0.87%	0.00997	-10.42%	0.0579	✓	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	0.01091	0.011021	+1.02%	0.01006	-7.79%	0.1041	✓	1.24
2026-01-01	oos	0.0109	0.010992	+0.84%	0.00969	-11.10%	0.0244	✓	1.25
2025-12-31	oos	0.01018	0.010325	+1.43%	0.01009	-0.88%	0.0244	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.01081	0.010892	+0.76%	0.010255	-5.13%	0.0073	✓	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.01117	0.011199	+0.26%	0.01063	-4.83%	0.0800	✗	1.19
2025-12-28	oos	0.01128	0.011318	+0.34%	0.01062	-5.85%	0.0804	✗	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.01133	0.011394	+0.57%	0.01049	-7.41%	0.0887	✗	1.19
2025-12-26	oos	0.01118	0.011284	+0.93%	0.01016	-9.12%	0.0948	✗	1.20
2025-12-25	oos	0.01117	0.0113	+1.16%	0.01057	-5.37%	0.0927	✗	1.20
2025-12-24	oos	0.011345	0.011491	+1.29%	0.01037	-8.59%	0.1282	✗	1.21
2025-12-23	oos	0.0113	0.011471	+1.52%	0.01047	-7.35%	0.1207	✗	1.28
2025-12-22	oos	0.01172	0.011896	+1.50%	0.01034	-11.77%	0.1519	✗	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	0.011425	0.011602	+1.55%	0.01	-12.47%	0.1438	✗	1.29
2025-12-20	oos	0.01157	0.011746	+1.52%	0.01054	-8.90%	0.1695	✗	1.31
2025-12-19	oos	0.0115	0.011719	+1.91%	0.01049	-8.78%	0.1904	✗	1.31
2025-12-18	oos	0.01103	0.011276	+2.23%	0.01105	+0.18%	0.1602	✗	1.31
2025-12-17	oos	0.01149	0.011711	+1.92%	0.01103	-4.00%	0.1935	✗	1.30
2025-12-16	oos	0.01168	0.011883	+1.74%	0.01115	-4.54%	0.1738	✗	1.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.01169	0.011881	+1.63%	0.011485	-1.75%	0.1851	✗	1.31
2025-12-14	oos	0.01213	0.012242	+0.92%	0.01159	-4.45%	0.1569	✗	1.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.01248	0.012559	+0.63%	0.01132	-9.29%	0.1172	✗	1.30
2025-12-12	oos	0.012345	0.012441	+0.78%	0.0111	-10.09%	0.1226	✗	1.30
2025-12-11	oos	0.0126	0.012687	+0.69%	0.01117	-11.35%	0.0964	✗	1.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.01276	0.012821	+0.48%	0.0113	-11.44%	0.1045	✗	1.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.01299	0.013028	+0.29%	0.01137	-12.47%	0.1124	✗	1.31
2025-12-08	oos	0.01301	0.013018	+0.06%	0.01183	-9.07%	0.1048	✗	1.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.01295	0.012959	+0.07%	0.01262	-2.55%	0.0740	✗	1.32
2025-12-06	oos	0.01306	0.013056	-0.03%	0.01254	-3.98%	0.1072	✓	1.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.01304	0.013061	+0.16%	0.01177	-9.74%	0.1357	✗	1.33
2025-12-04	oos	0.01328	0.013286	+0.04%	0.01113	-16.19%	0.1551	✗	1.34
2025-12-03	oos	0.01397	0.013917	-0.38%	0.01091	-21.90%	0.1925	✓	1.34
2025-12-02	oos	0.01384	0.013821	-0.14%	0.0109	-21.24%	0.1989	✓	1.35
2025-12-01	oos	0.01341	0.013458	+0.36%	0.01018	-24.09%	0.2990	✗	1.41
2025-11-30	oos	0.01466	0.014569	-0.62%	0.01081	-26.26%	0.2684	✓	1.36
2025-11-29	oos	0.01505	0.014937	-0.75%	0.01117	-25.78%	0.2342	✓	1.35
2025-11-28	oos	0.01492	0.014862	-0.39%	0.01128	-24.40%	0.2302	✓	1.35
2025-11-27	oos	0.01495	0.014942	-0.06%	0.01133	-24.21%	0.2238	✓	1.35
2025-11-26	oos	0.01429	0.014332	+0.29%	0.01118	-21.76%	0.2009	✗	1.33
2025-11-25	oos	0.01363	0.013727	+0.71%	0.01117	-18.05%	0.2038	✗	1.34
2025-11-24	oos	0.01364	0.013761	+0.89%	0.011345	-16.83%	0.1830	✗	1.34
2025-11-23	oos	0.01305	0.013233	+1.40%	0.0113	-13.41%	0.1673	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.01232	0.012589	+2.18%	0.01172	-4.87%	0.1297	✗	1.30
2025-11-21	oos	0.0126	0.012849	+1.98%	0.011425	-9.33%	0.1706	✗	1.29
2025-11-20	oos	0.012965	0.013127	+1.25%	0.01157	-10.76%	0.1527	✗	1.29
2025-11-19	oos	0.01339	0.013455	+0.48%	0.0115	-14.12%	0.1064	✗	1.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.01371	0.013723	+0.09%	0.01103	-19.55%	0.1055	✗	1.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.01379	0.013783	-0.05%	0.01149	-16.68%	0.0924	✓	1.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.01414	0.014064	-0.54%	0.01168	-17.40%	0.0907	✓	1.37
2025-11-15	oos	0.01427	0.014157	-0.79%	0.01169	-18.08%	0.0536	✓	1.37
2025-11-14	oos	0.01394	0.013889	-0.36%	0.01213	-12.98%	0.0403	✓	1.37
2025-11-13	oos	0.01455	0.014355	-1.34%	0.01248	-14.23%	0.0002	✓	1.42
2025-11-12	oos	0.01536	0.01501	-2.28%	0.012345	-19.63%	0.0302	✓	1.39
2025-11-11	oos	0.01544	0.015063	-2.44%	0.0126	-18.39%	0.0319	✓	1.37
2025-11-10	oos	0.01621	0.015709	-3.09%	0.01276	-21.28%	0.0166	✓	1.36
2025-11-09	oos	0.01598	0.015524	-2.86%	0.01299	-18.71%	0.0121	✓	1.36
2025-11-08	oos	0.01549	0.015177	-2.02%	0.01301	-16.01%	0.0107	✓	1.36
2025-11-07	oos	0.01551	0.015207	-1.96%	0.01295	-16.51%	0.0185	✓	1.35
2025-11-06	oos	0.01487	0.014706	-1.10%	0.01306	-12.17%	0.0498	✗	1.33
2025-11-05	oos	0.01498	0.014797	-1.22%	0.01304	-12.95%	0.0780	✗	1.36
2025-11-04	oos	0.0136	0.01365	+0.37%	0.01328	-2.35%	0.0994	✓	1.31
2025-11-03	oos	0.01353	0.013523	-0.05%	0.01397	+3.25%	0.2191	✗	1.42
2025-11-02	oos	0.01601	0.015667	-2.14%	0.01384	-13.55%	0.1234	✗	1.29
2025-11-01	oos	0.016	0.015659	-2.13%	0.01341	-16.19%	0.1613	✗	1.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01613	0.015792	-2.09%	0.01466	-9.11%	0.1784	✗	1.31
2025-10-30	oos	0.01595	0.015678	-1.71%	0.01505	-5.64%	0.1898	✗	1.31
2025-10-29	oos	0.0168	0.016407	-2.34%	0.01492	-11.19%	0.1533	✗	1.30
2025-10-28	oos	0.01667	0.016442	-1.37%	0.01495	-10.32%	0.1926	✗	1.36
2025-10-27	oos	0.0171	0.016881	-1.28%	0.01429	-16.43%	0.1473	✗	1.35
2025-10-26	oos	0.01758	0.017345	-1.34%	0.01363	-22.47%	0.1254	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.01709	0.016869	-1.29%	0.01364	-20.19%	0.1060	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.0174	0.017195	-1.18%	0.01305	-25.00%	0.0564	✗	1.35
2025-10-23	oos	0.01714	0.01699	-0.88%	0.01232	-28.12%	0.0359	✗	1.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.01726	0.017131	-0.75%	0.0126	-27.00%	0.0200	✗	1.39
2025-10-21	oos	0.017705	0.01761	-0.53%	0.012965	-26.77%	0.0062	✗	1.39
2025-10-20	oos	0.017545	0.017519	-0.15%	0.01339	-23.68%	0.0011	✓	1.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.017435	0.017509	+0.43%	0.01371	-21.37%	0.0069	✗	1.52
2025-10-18	oos	0.01827	0.01825	-0.11%	0.01379	-24.52%	0.0447	✓	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	0.01676	0.01693	+1.01%	0.01414	-15.63%	0.0070	✓	1.53
2025-10-16	oos	0.01747	0.017539	+0.39%	0.01427	-18.32%	0.0174	✗	1.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01882	0.01874	-0.42%	0.01394	-25.93%	0.0569	✓	1.50
2025-10-14	oos	0.01934	0.019239	-0.52%	0.01455	-24.77%	0.0850	✓	1.53
2025-10-13	oos	0.02064	0.020419	-1.07%	0.01536	-25.58%	0.0940	✓	1.51
2025-10-12	oos	0.02002	0.019821	-0.99%	0.01544	-22.88%	0.0842	✓	1.50
2025-10-11	oos	0.01938	0.019172	-1.08%	0.01621	-16.36%	0.0998	✓	1.54
2025-10-10	oos	0.01922	0.019017	-1.06%	0.01598	-16.86%	0.0550	✓	1.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.02223	0.022257	+0.12%	0.01549	-30.32%	0.1105	✗	1.45
2025-10-08	oos	0.02322	0.023316	+0.42%	0.01551	-33.20%	0.1566	✗	1.41
2025-10-07	oos	0.02358	0.023435	-0.62%	0.01487	-36.94%	0.2003	✓	1.41
2025-10-06	oos	0.02422	0.024359	+0.58%	0.01498	-38.15%	0.2318	✗	1.39
2025-10-05	oos	0.024185	0.024149	-0.15%	0.0136	-43.77%	0.3004	✓	1.39
2025-10-04	oos	0.02423	0.024095	-0.56%	0.01353	-44.16%	0.3824	✓	1.40
2025-10-03	oos	0.02501	0.024784	-0.90%	0.01601	-35.99%	0.2958	✓	1.39
2025-10-02	oos	0.02591	0.025363	-2.11%	0.016	-38.25%	0.3299	✓	1.43
2025-10-01	oos	0.02651	0.02568	-3.13%	0.01613	-39.16%	0.3486	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.0255	0.02452	-3.84%	0.01595	-37.45%	0.3528	✓	1.49
2025-09-29	oos	0.0265	0.025372	-4.26%	0.0168	-36.60%	0.3560	✓	1.46
2025-09-28	oos	0.02637	0.025135	-4.68%	0.01667	-36.78%	0.4201	✓	1.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02541	0.024236	-4.62%	0.0171	-32.70%	0.4074	✓	1.49
2025-09-26	oos	0.0258	0.02458	-4.73%	0.01758	-31.86%	0.3991	✓	1.48
2025-09-25	oos	0.02372	0.022803	-3.87%	0.01709	-27.95%	0.3232	✓	1.46
2025-09-24	oos	0.02725	0.025841	-5.17%	0.0174	-36.15%	0.3691	✓	1.28
2025-09-23	oos	0.02488	0.023788	-4.39%	0.01714	-31.11%	0.3064	✓	1.25
2025-09-22	oos	0.02357	0.022668	-3.82%	0.01726	-26.77%	0.2133	✓	1.27
2025-09-21	oos	0.02502	0.023988	-4.13%	0.017705	-29.24%	0.2280	✓	1.22
2025-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.02397	-4.08%	0.017545	-29.79%	0.2544	✓	1.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.02317	0.022362	-3.49%	0.017435	-24.75%	0.1686	✓	1.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.02367	0.022868	-3.39%	0.01827	-22.81%	0.1106	✓	1.29
2025-09-17	oos	0.02397	0.023072	-3.74%	0.01676	-30.08%	0.2022	✓	1.31

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.