FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s3

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

50.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0498

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0033

actual +0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.9131	0.903888	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-21	oos	0.9062	0.899759	-0.71%	0.9131	+0.76%	0.0127	✗	0.87
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.834559	-0.30%	0.9062	+8.25%	0.0708	✗	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.89261	-0.41%	0.8371	-6.60%	0.0762	✓	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.913316	-0.43%	0.8963	-2.29%	0.0169	✓	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.87931	-0.21%	0.9173	+4.10%	0.0354	✗	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.919307	-0.29%	0.8812	-4.43%	0.0410	✓	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.951568	-0.35%	0.922	-3.45%	0.0248	✓	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.935887	-0.20%	0.9549	+1.83%	0.0141	✗	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.997857	-0.38%	0.93775	-6.38%	0.0459	✓	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	1.0096	-0.31%	1.0017	-1.09%	0.0223	✓	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.984587	-0.27%	1.0128	+2.58%	0.0490	✗	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.977948	-0.19%	0.9873	+0.77%	0.0013	✓	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.921318	-0.10%	0.9798	+6.25%	0.0576	✗	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.892695	-0.10%	0.9222	+3.20%	0.0234	✗	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.99245	-0.26%	0.8936	-10.20%	0.0888	✓	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.980387	-0.44%	0.99505	+1.05%	0.0378	✗	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	1.0512	-0.45%	0.9847	-6.75%	0.0632	✓	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.1109	-0.53%	1.0559	-5.46%	0.0435	✓	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	1.0797	-0.55%	1.1169	+2.87%	0.0169	✗	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	1.0722	-0.66%	1.0857	+0.59%	0.0102	✗	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	1.0648	-0.81%	1.0794	+0.54%	0.0169	✗	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	1.077	-0.82%	1.0735	-1.15%	0.0158	✓	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	1.0708	-0.89%	1.0859	+0.51%	0.0148	✗	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.24	-0.77%	1.0804	-13.54%	0.1395	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.2379	-0.86%	1.2496	+0.08%	0.0183	✗	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.2375	-0.89%	1.2486	+0.00%	0.0086	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.3012	-0.90%	1.2486	-4.91%	0.0441	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.2038	-0.93%	1.3131	+8.06%	0.0894	✗	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.2672	-0.97%	1.2151	-5.04%	0.0420	✓	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.316	-1.07%	1.2796	-3.80%	0.0129	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.237	-1.05%	1.3302	+6.41%	0.0761	✗	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.1122	-0.86%	1.2501	+11.43%	0.0744	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.2033	-1.13%	1.1219	-7.81%	0.0694	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.1818	-1.44%	1.217	+1.50%	0.0266	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.920703	-0.54%	1.199	+29.52%	0.2498	✗	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.80701	-0.13%	0.9257	+14.55%	0.1366	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.807718	-0.11%	0.8081	-0.06%	0.0015	✓	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.763778	+0.06%	0.8086	+5.93%	0.0690	✓	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.716109	+0.25%	0.7633	+6.86%	0.0580	✓	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.746773	+0.20%	0.7143	-4.16%	0.0425	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.750219	+0.22%	0.7453	-0.44%	0.0068	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.732745	+0.26%	0.7486	+2.43%	0.0187	✓	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.774806	+0.21%	0.73085	-5.47%	0.0522	✗	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.850775	+0.01%	0.77315	-9.12%	0.0951	✗	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.883794	-0.06%	0.8507	-3.80%	0.0360	✓	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	1.0079	-0.59%	0.8843	-12.78%	0.1279	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.88275	-0.20%	1.0139	+14.62%	0.1374	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.703897	+0.57%	0.88455	+26.38%	0.2282	✓	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.669931	+0.77%	0.6999	+5.28%	0.0470	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.661391	+0.59%	0.6648	+1.11%	0.0081	✗	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.660206	+0.55%	0.6575	+0.14%	0.0038	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.690239	+0.52%	0.6566	-4.38%	0.0463	✗	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.675359	+0.41%	0.6867	+2.10%	0.0134	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.67388	+0.38%	0.6726	+0.19%	0.0000	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.666139	+0.34%	0.6713	+1.11%	0.0064	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.677631	+0.42%	0.6639	-1.62%	0.0128	✗	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.676681	+0.32%	0.6748	+0.04%	0.0067	✗	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.692997	+0.27%	0.6745	-2.40%	0.0286	✗	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.678155	+0.32%	0.6911	+2.23%	0.0204	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.714685	+0.15%	0.676	-5.27%	0.0605	✗	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.701664	+0.15%	0.7136	+1.86%	0.0143	✓	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.666135	+0.28%	0.7006	+5.46%	0.0559	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.663142	+0.07%	0.6643	+0.24%	0.0237	✗	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.646697	-0.02%	0.6627	+2.46%	0.0061	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.622	-0.06%	0.6468	+3.92%	0.0186	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.623057	-0.07%	0.6224	-0.18%	0.0021	✓	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.623169	-0.12%	0.6235	-0.06%	0.0081	✓	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.620784	-0.12%	0.6239	+0.39%	0.0060	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.62812	-0.14%	0.6215	-1.19%	0.0108	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.625741	-0.15%	0.629	+0.37%	0.0081	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.626256	-0.17%	0.6267	-0.10%	0.0006	✓	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.640226	-0.20%	0.6273	-2.21%	0.0195	✓	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.624197	-0.19%	0.6415	+2.57%	0.0306	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.629459	-0.17%	0.6254	-0.81%	0.0005	✓	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.64773	-0.18%	0.6305	-2.84%	0.0265	✓	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.630664	-0.18%	0.6489	+2.71%	0.0284	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.61925	-0.22%	0.6318	+1.80%	0.0154	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.622208	-0.24%	0.6206	-0.50%	0.0001	✓	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.648998	-0.29%	0.6237	-4.18%	0.0439	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.653793	-0.34%	0.6509	-0.78%	0.0093	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.656507	-0.32%	0.656	-0.39%	0.0005	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.658154	-0.33%	0.6586	-0.26%	0.0063	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.662705	-0.33%	0.6603	-0.69%	0.0030	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.667035	-0.26%	0.6649	-0.58%	0.0152	✗	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.637375	-0.27%	0.6688	+4.65%	0.0402	✗	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.630058	-0.26%	0.6391	+1.17%	0.0138	✗	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.683062	-0.38%	0.6317	-7.88%	0.0797	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.66434	-0.25%	0.6857	+2.96%	0.0486	✗	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.68355	-0.28%	0.666	-2.84%	0.0377	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.746002	-0.53%	0.6855	-8.60%	0.0873	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.623828	-0.14%	0.75	+20.06%	0.1979	✗	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.687789	-0.26%	0.6247	-9.41%	0.0821	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.649855	-0.18%	0.6896	+5.93%	0.0652	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.634191	-0.14%	0.651	+2.50%	0.0079	✗	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.60963	-0.08%	0.6351	+4.10%	0.0335	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.612743	-0.07%	0.6101	-0.51%	0.0027	✓	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.608829	-0.04%	0.6132	+0.67%	0.0054	✓	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.630878	-0.08%	0.6091	-3.53%	0.0368	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.657931	-0.15%	0.6314	-4.17%	0.0274	✓	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.649235	-0.13%	0.6589	+1.35%	0.0186	✗	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.635804	-0.03%	0.6501	+2.22%	0.0178	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.645981	-0.05%	0.636	-1.59%	0.0065	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.645132	-0.03%	0.6463	+0.15%	0.0023	✗	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.651577	-0.02%	0.6453	-0.98%	0.0046	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.612578	+0.11%	0.6517	+6.50%	0.0485	✓	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.621565	+0.11%	0.6119	-1.45%	0.0296	✗	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.627068	+0.09%	0.6209	-0.89%	0.0063	✓	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.630572	+0.09%	0.6265	-0.56%	0.0035	✓	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.636264	+0.09%	0.63	-0.90%	0.0161	✗	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.646553	+0.10%	0.6357	-1.58%	0.0244	✗	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.639509	+0.14%	0.6459	+1.14%	0.0018	✓	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.648185	+0.14%	0.6386	-1.34%	0.0303	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.651247	+0.15%	0.6473	-0.46%	0.0297	✗	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.661502	+0.14%	0.6503	-1.56%	0.0404	✗	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.642982	+0.15%	0.6606	+2.90%	0.0547	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.670909	+0.11%	0.642	-4.21%	0.0556	✗	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.667132	+0.11%	0.6702	+0.57%	0.0123	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.653167	+0.13%	0.6664	+2.16%	0.0212	✓	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.649631	+0.14%	0.6523	+0.55%	0.0009	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.653802	+0.12%	0.6487	-0.66%	0.0131	✓	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.68556	+0.02%	0.653	-4.73%	0.0206	✗	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.698977	-0.03%	0.6854	-1.97%	0.0022	✗	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.720028	-0.05%	0.6992	-2.94%	0.0415	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.705495	-0.04%	0.7204	+2.07%	0.0377	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.7008	+0.00%	0.7058	+0.71%	0.0059	✗	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.719208	-0.01%	0.7008	-2.57%	0.0363	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.748088	-0.11%	0.7193	-3.95%	0.0123	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.769415	-0.19%	0.7489	-2.85%	0.0073	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.774329	-0.24%	0.7709	-0.68%	0.0060	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.767908	-0.16%	0.7762	+0.92%	0.0017	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.769722	-0.10%	0.7691	-0.18%	0.0220	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.755818	-0.02%	0.7705	+1.92%	0.0042	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.732549	+0.07%	0.756	+3.28%	0.0319	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.717161	+0.20%	0.732	+2.28%	0.0163	✗	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.730841	+0.21%	0.7157	-1.86%	0.0167	✗	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.734578	+0.23%	0.7293	-0.49%	0.0170	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.715014	+0.32%	0.7329	+2.83%	0.0287	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.742509	+0.31%	0.7127	-3.72%	0.0865	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.742992	+0.34%	0.7402	-0.04%	0.0003	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.808844	+0.18%	0.7405	-8.29%	0.0383	✗	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.875265	+0.03%	0.8074	-7.73%	0.0765	✗	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.874324	+0.04%	0.875	+0.11%	0.0462	✓	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.914429	-0.13%	0.874	-4.54%	0.0248	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.894106	-0.10%	0.9156	+2.30%	0.0582	✗	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.911059	-0.10%	0.895	-1.86%	0.0153	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.954732	-0.14%	0.912	-4.61%	0.0508	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.95866	-0.11%	0.9561	-0.38%	0.0009	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.950238	-0.07%	0.9597	+0.93%	0.0187	✗	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.984504	-0.16%	0.9509	-3.57%	0.0185	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	1.0277	-0.29%	0.9861	-4.33%	0.0251	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	1.0149	-0.25%	1.0307	+1.30%	0.0123	✗	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.926294	-0.08%	1.0175	+9.76%	0.0902	✗	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.938301	-0.03%	0.927	-1.24%	0.0263	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.955974	-0.16%	0.9386	-1.97%	0.0064	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	1.0537	-0.27%	0.9575	-9.38%	0.0966	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.969043	-0.25%	1.0566	+8.76%	0.0785	✗	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.95056	-0.35%	0.9715	+1.85%	0.0238	✗	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.932639	-0.45%	0.9539	+1.81%	0.0279	✗	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	1.0388	-0.54%	0.9369	-10.30%	0.0954	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.1941	-0.58%	1.0445	-13.03%	0.1237	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.2606	-0.64%	1.201	-5.34%	0.0280	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.1842	-0.59%	1.2687	+6.51%	0.0498	✗	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.3782	-0.87%	1.1912	-14.32%	0.1338	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1807	-0.62%	1.3903	+17.02%	0.1771	✗	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.1787	-0.61%	1.1881	+0.19%	0.0132	✗	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.1586	-0.56%	1.1859	+1.79%	0.0060	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.1615	-0.56%	1.1651	-0.25%	0.0020	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.1638	-0.57%	1.168	-0.21%	0.0015	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.1595	-0.67%	1.1705	+0.27%	0.0291	✗	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	1.0016	-0.31%	1.1673	+16.18%	0.1454	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.900415	-0.11%	1.0047	+11.46%	0.0945	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.889852	-0.13%	0.9014	+1.17%	0.0058	✓	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.889532	-0.13%	0.891	+0.03%	0.0034	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.856313	-0.09%	0.8907	+3.92%	0.0329	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.827976	-0.12%	0.8571	+3.39%	0.0069	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.819954	-0.13%	0.829	+0.97%	0.0029	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.910995	-0.29%	0.821	-10.14%	0.0956	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.872629	-0.20%	0.9136	+4.48%	0.0613	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.953644	-0.38%	0.8744	-8.66%	0.0680	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.817036	-0.13%	0.9573	+17.02%	0.1439	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.759749	-0.05%	0.8181	+7.63%	0.0712	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.807781	-0.11%	0.7601	-6.01%	0.0490	✓	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.831596	-0.20%	0.8087	-2.95%	0.0290	✓	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.787006	-0.21%	0.8333	+5.65%	0.0303	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.774113	-0.23%	0.7887	+1.65%	0.0116	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.764412	-0.30%	0.7759	+1.20%	0.0146	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.771465	-0.26%	0.7667	-0.88%	0.0213	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.771226	-0.24%	0.7735	+0.05%	0.0223	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.707378	-0.14%	0.7731	+9.13%	0.0617	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.74855	-0.26%	0.7084	-5.61%	0.0598	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.772424	-0.35%	0.7505	-3.17%	0.0383	✓	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.807022	-0.44%	0.7751	-4.38%	0.0363	✓	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.784872	-0.49%	0.8106	+2.78%	0.0261	✓	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.808199	-0.57%	0.7887	-2.97%	0.0131	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.693468	-0.18%	0.8128	+17.00%	0.1574	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.65573	-0.15%	0.6947	+5.79%	0.0386	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.652641	-0.16%	0.6567	+0.46%	0.0053	✓	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.663376	-0.14%	0.6537	-1.60%	0.0014	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.63297	-0.27%	0.6643	+4.66%	0.0021	✓	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.602877	-0.24%	0.6347	+5.03%	0.0540	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.622584	-0.31%	0.6043	-3.23%	0.0593	✓	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.621697	-0.29%	0.6245	+0.16%	0.0013	✓	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.627367	-0.31%	0.6235	-0.92%	0.0073	✓	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.620324	-0.29%	0.6293	+1.16%	0.0354	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.618075	-0.28%	0.6221	+0.37%	0.0084	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.619253	-0.25%	0.6198	-0.16%	0.0248	✓	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.635969	-0.26%	0.6208	-2.63%	0.0377	✓	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.630116	-0.22%	0.6376	+0.97%	0.0181	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.604281	-0.14%	0.6315	+4.36%	0.0446	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.617207	-0.18%	0.6051	-2.13%	0.0215	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.685003	-0.36%	0.6183	-10.07%	0.0617	✓	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.644974	-0.24%	0.6875	+6.34%	0.0518	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.653921	-0.24%	0.6465	-1.37%	0.0060	✓	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.627399	-0.08%	0.6555	+4.40%	0.0048	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.67582	-0.19%	0.6279	-7.27%	0.0563	✓	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.667862	-0.17%	0.6771	+1.21%	0.0391	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.652572	-0.05%	0.669	+2.47%	0.0157	✗	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.671574	-0.09%	0.6529	-2.87%	0.0077	✓	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.663531	-0.13%	0.6722	+1.17%	0.0546	✗	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.680115	-0.12%	0.6644	-2.42%	0.0092	✓	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.646273	+0.06%	0.6809	+5.42%	0.0218	✓	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.630357	+0.18%	0.6459	+2.65%	0.0003	✓	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.643137	+0.18%	0.6292	-1.99%	0.0263	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.653491	+0.14%	0.642	-1.62%	0.0241	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.613488	+0.24%	0.6526	+6.63%	0.0567	✓	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.646901	+0.17%	0.612	-5.23%	0.0594	✗	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.686523	+0.09%	0.6458	-5.85%	0.0861	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.647131	+0.21%	0.6859	+6.21%	0.0167	✓	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.651161	+0.15%	0.6458	-0.68%	0.0137	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.707906	+0.03%	0.6502	-8.12%	0.0709	✗	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.750224	-0.20%	0.7077	-5.85%	0.0135	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.711237	-0.21%	0.7517	+5.47%	0.0837	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.720945	-0.01%	0.7127	-1.15%	0.0844	✓	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.778782	-0.17%	0.721	-7.58%	0.0684	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.848472	-0.23%	0.7801	-8.27%	0.1406	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.808569	-0.18%	0.8504	+4.99%	0.0724	✗	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.826021	-0.19%	0.81	-2.13%	0.0400	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.742493	+0.01%	0.8276	+11.48%	0.1395	✓	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.771949	-0.07%	0.7424	-3.90%	0.0296	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.694287	+0.33%	0.7725	+11.63%	0.0344	✓	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.705241	+0.30%	0.692	-1.58%	0.0085	✗	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.736714	+0.15%	0.7031	-4.42%	0.0086	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.770426	+0.11%	0.7356	-4.42%	0.0400	✗	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.796252	+0.08%	0.7696	-3.27%	0.0335	✗	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.804117	+0.15%	0.7956	-0.91%	0.0309	✗	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.812953	+0.20%	0.8029	-1.04%	0.0239	✗	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.823706	+0.21%	0.8113	-1.30%	0.0075	✓	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.871183	+0.11%	0.822	-5.54%	0.0287	✗	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.923543	+0.05%	0.8702	-5.73%	0.0609	✗	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.942602	+0.02%	0.9231	-2.05%	0.0008	✗	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.948323	+0.13%	0.9424	-0.50%	0.0253	✗	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.854142	+0.50%	0.9471	+11.44%	0.0520	✓	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.868249	+0.53%	0.8499	-1.60%	0.0055	✗	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.919144	+0.46%	0.8637	-5.60%	0.0288	✗	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.961775	+0.43%	0.9149	-4.47%	0.0260	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.992729	+0.43%	0.9577	-3.12%	0.0327	✗	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0761	+0.34%	0.9885	-7.83%	0.1049	✗	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.1435	+0.25%	1.0725	-5.97%	0.0383	✗	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.940293	+0.85%	1.1406	+22.33%	0.0387	✓	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.1567	+0.30%	0.9324	-19.15%	0.0081	✗	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.1544	+0.24%	1.1532	+0.13%	0.0534	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.2077	-0.02%	1.1517	-4.66%	0.0110	✗	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.202	+0.02%	1.208	+0.52%	0.0238	✗	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.2252	-0.20%	1.2018	-2.10%	0.0107	✗	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.2754	-0.61%	1.2276	-4.33%	0.0575	✗	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.2817	-0.73%	1.2832	-0.62%	0.0081	✗	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.4252	-0.86%	1.2912	-10.18%	0.0224	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.4039	-0.93%	1.4375	+1.44%	0.0229	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.4948	-0.90%	1.4171	-6.05%	0.0676	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.3743	-1.03%	1.5084	+8.63%	0.0648	✗	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.5469	-1.04%	1.3886	-11.17%	0.0676	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.5829	-1.09%	1.5632	-2.32%	0.0062	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.6954	-1.17%	1.6004	-6.71%	0.0578	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.6835	-1.26%	1.7155	+0.62%	0.0172	✗	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.7356	-1.31%	1.705	-3.05%	0.0358	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.73	-1.41%	1.7586	+0.22%	0.0914	✗	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.5766	-1.47%	1.7548	+9.67%	0.1260	✗	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.6763	-1.42%	1.6001	-5.90%	0.0205	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.8805	-1.60%	1.7004	-11.02%	0.0939	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.8195	-1.67%	1.911	+3.27%	0.0505	✗	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.8577	-2.11%	1.8505	-2.49%	0.0194	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.4188	-1.76%	1.8977	+31.40%	0.2655	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.3581	-1.56%	1.4442	+4.67%	0.0080	✓	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.2351	-1.23%	1.3797	+10.33%	0.1053	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.0925	-0.86%	1.2505	+13.49%	0.1267	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.1444	-0.92%	1.1019	-4.60%	0.0357	✓	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.1614	-0.92%	1.155	-1.47%	0.0014	✓	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.2141	-1.01%	1.1722	-4.43%	0.0328	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.2831	-1.32%	1.2265	-5.67%	0.0250	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.2498	-1.26%	1.3002	+2.73%	0.0407	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.2414	-1.09%	1.2657	+0.84%	0.0012	✓	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.2295	-1.00%	1.2551	+1.06%	0.0136	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.2296	-0.90%	1.2419	+0.10%	0.0050	✓	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.2981	-0.93%	1.2407	-5.31%	0.0554	✓	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.3303	-0.86%	1.3103	-2.35%	0.0256	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.3425	-0.90%	1.3419	-0.94%	0.0077	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.4348	-1.06%	1.3547	-6.58%	0.0691	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.2417	-0.44%	1.4501	+16.27%	0.1623	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.2364	-0.34%	1.2472	+0.53%	0.0080	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.2251	-0.16%	1.2406	+1.10%	0.0077	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.3671	-0.43%	1.2271	-10.63%	0.1092	✓	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.283	-0.13%	1.373	+6.87%	0.0720	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.316	-0.11%	1.2847	-2.49%	0.0258	✓	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.338	-0.12%	1.3175	-1.65%	0.0047	✓	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.3321	+0.00%	1.3396	+0.56%	0.0064	✓	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.353	+0.07%	1.3321	-1.47%	0.0186	✗	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.3811	+0.10%	1.352	-2.01%	0.0236	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.4145	+0.20%	1.3798	-2.26%	0.0521	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.5648	-0.06%	1.4117	-9.84%	0.0953	✓	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.5191	+0.01%	1.5658	+3.09%	0.0466	✓	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.548	+0.06%	1.5189	-1.82%	0.0335	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.5617	+0.03%	1.547	-0.91%	0.0076	✓	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.656	-0.16%	1.5612	-5.88%	0.0397	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.6965	-0.20%	1.6587	-2.42%	0.0223	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.8902	-0.55%	1.6998	-10.57%	0.0869	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	2.0533	-0.72%	1.9007	-8.09%	0.0816	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	2.1946	-0.91%	2.0681	-6.62%	0.0539	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	2.0634	-0.56%	2.2147	+6.74%	0.0539	✗	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	2.146	-0.58%	2.0749	-3.87%	0.0358	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	2.1648	-0.48%	2.1585	-0.77%	0.0126	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.3532	-0.71%	2.1753	-8.22%	0.0779	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.3793	-0.86%	2.3701	-1.25%	0.0193	✗	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	2.2001	-0.63%	2.4001	+8.40%	0.0986	✗	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	2.0597	-0.32%	2.2141	+7.15%	0.0543	✗	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	2.0398	-0.13%	2.0663	+1.17%	0.0352	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	2.0141	-0.20%	2.0424	+1.20%	0.0560	✗	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	2.1932	-0.29%	2.0181	-8.25%	0.0787	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	2.2442	-0.29%	2.1995	-2.28%	0.0194	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.6377	-0.46%	2.2508	-15.06%	0.1546	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.8	-0.51%	2.65	-5.84%	0.0636	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.7986	-0.40%	2.8145	+0.16%	0.0279	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	3.0873	-0.74%	2.8099	-9.66%	0.0843	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.6404	-0.24%	3.1104	+17.52%	0.1501	✗	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	2.0807	-0.26%	2.6466	+26.86%	0.2255	✗	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.3901	-0.34%	2.0862	-13.01%	0.1332	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.9163	-0.40%	2.3982	-18.09%	0.1865	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.4868	-0.63%	2.928	-16.56%	0.1607	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.4794	-0.75%	3.509	+0.10%	0.0123	✗	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	4.2272	-1.51%	3.5056	-18.32%	0.1898	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	4.1081	-1.71%	4.2919	+2.69%	0.0512	✗	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	3.0735	-0.95%	4.1796	+34.70%	0.3136	✗	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.8543	-0.94%	3.103	+7.69%	0.0790	✗	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.9075	-1.07%	2.8813	-1.96%	0.0113	✗	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.8066	-1.15%	2.939	+3.51%	0.0541	✗	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	3.0828	-1.69%	2.8393	-9.46%	0.0775	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.9495	-2.25%	3.1359	+3.93%	0.0721	✗	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	2.1701	-1.17%	3.0174	+37.42%	0.3265	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.7797	-0.79%	2.1958	+22.40%	0.2073	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.7673	-0.85%	1.794	+0.65%	0.0161	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.4598	-0.58%	1.7824	+21.40%	0.1997	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.8406	-0.92%	1.4682	-20.97%	0.2308	✓	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.8508	-1.17%	1.8578	-0.80%	0.0081	✓	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.5688	-0.73%	1.8728	+18.51%	0.1794	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.783	-1.13%	1.5803	-12.37%	0.1257	✓	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.5586	-0.90%	1.8033	+14.66%	0.1465	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.3533	-0.55%	1.5727	+15.57%	0.1511	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.257	-0.39%	1.3608	+7.84%	0.0817	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.4731	-0.69%	1.2619	-14.93%	0.1593	✓	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.4237	-0.59%	1.4833	+3.58%	0.0345	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.7076	-1.09%	1.4321	-17.05%	0.1793	✓	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.5771	-0.85%	1.7264	+8.54%	0.0892	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.4561	-0.56%	1.5906	+8.63%	0.0976	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.4678	-0.54%	1.4643	-0.77%	0.0001	✓	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.4684	-0.57%	1.4757	-0.07%	0.0083	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.2862	-0.17%	1.4768	+14.62%	0.1502	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.2322	-0.13%	1.2884	+4.43%	0.0410	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.293	-0.30%	1.2338	-4.87%	0.0577	✓	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.1499	-0.33%	1.2969	+12.40%	0.1307	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.2013	-0.43%	1.1538	-4.37%	0.0325	✓	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.2603	-0.51%	1.2065	-4.75%	0.0397	✓	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.4016	-0.65%	1.2667	-10.21%	0.1115	✓	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.5176	-0.85%	1.4108	-7.83%	0.0901	✓	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.4344	-0.87%	1.5306	+5.78%	0.0507	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.543	-1.24%	1.447	-7.39%	0.0793	✓	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.388	-1.27%	1.5624	+11.14%	0.1198	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.479	-2.13%	1.4058	-6.97%	0.0247	✓	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	1.0684	-1.46%	1.5112	+39.38%	0.3378	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.925679	-1.05%	1.0842	+15.90%	0.1583	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.775515	-0.59%	0.9355	+19.92%	0.1899	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.773386	-0.62%	0.7801	+0.24%	0.0046	✓	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.714375	-0.37%	0.7782	+8.54%	0.0955	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.69669	-0.32%	0.717	+2.59%	0.0253	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.70163	-0.32%	0.6989	-0.71%	0.0069	✓	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.698733	-0.32%	0.7039	+0.41%	0.0070	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.709517	-0.45%	0.701	-1.64%	0.0171	✓	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.622717	-0.17%	0.7127	+14.25%	0.1308	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.617777	-0.18%	0.6238	+0.79%	0.0002	✓	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.635428	-0.23%	0.6189	-2.83%	0.0257	✓	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.571431	-0.13%	0.6369	+11.31%	0.1051	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.58236	-0.14%	0.5722	-1.89%	0.0218	✓	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.619445	-0.20%	0.5832	-6.04%	0.0603	✓	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.594328	-0.18%	0.6207	+4.25%	0.0425	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.607102	-0.21%	0.5954	-2.14%	0.0149	✓	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.608847	-0.24%	0.6084	-0.31%	0.0023	✓	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.591042	-0.26%	0.6103	+2.99%	0.0328	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.613921	-0.29%	0.5926	-3.75%	0.0337	✓	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.598061	-0.32%	0.6157	+2.62%	0.0307	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.630475	-0.35%	0.6	-5.17%	0.0498	✓	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.589511	-0.40%	0.6327	+6.89%	0.0770	✗	0.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.