EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s3
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
65.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1311
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0190
actual -0.0556
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.002102 | 0.002064 | -1.77% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002055 | 0.002019 | -1.75% | 0.002102 | +2.26% | 0.0367 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002393 | -1.28% | 0.002055 | -15.22% | 0.1726 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002823 | -1.14% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1749 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.00297 | -1.16% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0359 | ✓ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.002999 | -1.07% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0109 | ✓ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002859 | -1.28% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0612 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003274 | -1.19% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1102 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002573 | -2.77% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.2422 | ✗ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003456 | -1.52% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2444 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004105 | -1.10% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1794 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005147 | -1.57% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.1918 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005004 | -1.42% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0348 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.005075 | -1.41% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005508 | -1.41% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0780 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006123 | -1.78% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0724 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005807 | -2.11% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0978 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004165 | -3.71% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3562 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004703 | -3.58% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.0749 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005204 | -3.29% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.0856 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.00662 | -2.43% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2099 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.006948 | -2.60% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006346 | -3.34% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.1017 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006696 | -3.37% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008873 | -1.96% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2493 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.01269 | -1.32% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3261 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.01336 | -1.37% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0386 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013818 | -1.37% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0238 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013232 | -1.26% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0606 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019219 | -2.34% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3607 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.01708 | -1.95% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1630 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013197 | -1.14% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2822 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011594 | -1.20% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0762 | ✗ | 1.00 |