EMBER
embercurve · Solana · gru_s3
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 96
Track record at +1d
assessed
31
of 32 predictions shown
direction hit
38.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1354
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0017
actual -0.0513
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.00248 | +0.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002444 | +0.83% | 0.002465 | +1.69% | 0.0130 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.002871 | +0.53% | 0.002424 | -15.11% | 0.1917 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.00302 | +0.51% | 0.002855 | -4.98% | 0.0526 | ✗ | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.003051 | +0.65% | 0.003005 | -0.87% | 0.0281 | ✗ | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002922 | +0.92% | 0.003031 | +4.70% | 0.0392 | ✓ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003336 | +0.70% | 0.002896 | -12.60% | 0.1291 | ✗ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.00268 | +1.25% | 0.003313 | +25.18% | 0.2017 | ✓ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.00354 | +0.87% | 0.002646 | -24.58% | 0.2685 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.004175 | +0.60% | 0.003509 | -15.45% | 0.1964 | ✗ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.005224 | -0.11% | 0.00415 | -20.64% | 0.2065 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.005083 | +0.15% | 0.005229 | +3.02% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.00516 | +0.24% | 0.005076 | -1.40% | 0.0209 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005591 | +0.07% | 0.005148 | -7.86% | 0.0929 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.006219 | -0.24% | 0.005587 | -10.38% | 0.0880 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005926 | -0.09% | 0.006234 | +5.09% | 0.0774 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004363 | +0.88% | 0.005932 | +37.16% | 0.3097 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.004915 | +0.79% | 0.004325 | -11.32% | 0.1192 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005424 | +0.79% | 0.004877 | -9.37% | 0.1269 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006814 | +0.43% | 0.005381 | -20.68% | 0.2388 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.007163 | +0.41% | 0.006784 | -4.89% | 0.0502 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006611 | +0.70% | 0.007134 | +8.66% | 0.0607 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006975 | +0.65% | 0.006565 | -5.27% | 0.0596 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.009065 | +0.17% | 0.00693 | -23.43% | 0.2708 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.012793 | -0.52% | 0.00905 | -29.63% | 0.3341 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.013464 | -0.60% | 0.01286 | -5.06% | 0.0465 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013919 | -0.65% | 0.013545 | -3.32% | 0.0311 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.013328 | -0.54% | 0.01401 | +4.55% | 0.0534 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.019359 | -1.63% | 0.0134 | -31.91% | 0.3680 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.017186 | -1.35% | 0.01968 | +12.97% | 0.1569 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.013259 | -0.68% | 0.01742 | +30.49% | 0.2775 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.011677 | -0.50% | 0.01335 | +13.76% | 0.0691 | ✗ | 1.00 |